Search found 426 matches

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Jul 23, 2020 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 2020 Q2 results
Replies: 56
Views: 11529

Re: AA Q2 results

I think looking at the June cash burns to project forward is a bit disingenuous since that was by far the best post-covid month. The situation in Q3 is significantly worse than in June. A better metric to compare across airlines is the guided Q3 burn rate. AA still appears to be significantly highe...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Jul 23, 2020 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 2020 Q2 results
Replies: 56
Views: 11529

Re: AA Q2 results

Did he make a mistake? Sure but as the youngest of three boys it's not rare for my mom to call me three names before getting to mine. Let's not overblow it. I appreciated his comments about "higher than forecast" revenue. The problem with the AA strategy at this point honestly is that they...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Jul 15, 2020 9:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14762

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

The problem then becomes the airline has all this money just sitting around, and Wall Street will either want to see it used for growth or returned to shareholders. And if it isn’t, some corporate raider will come in and load the carrier up with debt and take the cash, ala Al Checci and Gary Wilson...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Jul 15, 2020 4:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 767-400s at LaGuardia
Replies: 52
Views: 8828

Re: 767-400s at LaGuardia

I remember in the 80's & 90's AA had a DC-10 routed LGA-RDU-MCO-RDU-LGA Keep in mind one of DLs design requirements was to be able to be able to use it in LGA. I believe (I'm sure you can find one of the many threads on it) but that this requirement sort of stunted sales because it hurt performa...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Jul 15, 2020 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14762

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

Maybe airlines should consider having a rainy day fund for things like this? Or some type of insurance for downfalls? I do think this downturn will see the survivors having action plans in the future for a similar situation. The problem then becomes the airline has all this money just sitting aroun...

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by TWFlyGuy
Mon Jul 13, 2020 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC
Replies: 114
Views: 24520

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

If you do a search of Vasu Raja you'll see an interview he did on PBB...pretty insightful to why they are forging ahead with their plan. A couple of comments I found most insightful: - Early on B/E LF was 25% at $35 a barrel oil. As that tanked it went to 9% - Head of planning surprised him with UA'...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Jul 01, 2020 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1737
Views: 239976

Re: American adds more Asia to SEA, and other long-haul changes

Key takeaways here are less int'l from LAX, and decreasing long-thin routes Should be interesting to watch, especially SEA-PVG CLT down to 3 int'l routes it looks like http://news.aa.com/news/news-details/2020/American-Airlines-Resets-International-Network-for-Remainder-of-2020-Through-Summer-2021-...

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by TWFlyGuy
Fri Jun 19, 2020 4:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TWA Transatlantic Drawdown Time Line
Replies: 106
Views: 11131

Re: TWA Transatlantic Drawdown Time Line

Karabu covered the entire network but excluded tickets sold via codeshare including those on TWExpress. A lot of the Mexico flights that TW launched were essentially pre-sold charters with only ~10 sets for sale in Y. That's what made them profitable. There was a lot of effort in the end to get a co...

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by TWFlyGuy
Fri Jun 19, 2020 4:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TWA Transatlantic Drawdown Time Line
Replies: 106
Views: 11131

Re: TWA Transatlantic Drawdown Time Line

AA didn’t have any 747 on property in 91 they were either sold or wet leased to other carriers or governments by then American still had 2 747sp's property in 1991, I think they left around 1993-1994 American had the 2 747SP's until 1994. One went to Kazakstan Airlines N601AA. The other, N602AA wen...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Jun 04, 2020 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The future of CLT Airport
Replies: 67
Views: 11000

Re: The future of CLT Airport

The project you are referring to (A North Phase II) doesn't have anything to do with AA. If American emerges as a smaller airline they might need fewer gates or concourses at CLT. They will be smaller but the duration of that is yet to be determined. Most at risk will be things added more recently....

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Jun 03, 2020 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?
Replies: 115
Views: 13521

Re: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?

In 2004-2005 there was some talk of experimenting with 3-5 PDK-LGA flights at DL. It never got off the ground obviously but with a sizable FF base up north, the thinking was it would be profitable so was worth considering. Never really got past talk and some analysis.

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed May 13, 2020 1:20 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: American Airlines MD11 Routes
Replies: 25
Views: 2171

Re: American Airlines MD11 Routes

Also flew them DFW-MIA mostly for aircraft routing...the aircraft would go on to S. America. Can't recall where.

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by TWFlyGuy
Mon Mar 30, 2020 2:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17235

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

Chuska wrote:
Thank God Enilria's program didn't meltdown with this one. And we still got it by daybreak Enilria..you rock!.


I always look forward t this post...but these past couple weeks have been tough to see. Thanks enilria!

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by TWFlyGuy
Fri Mar 20, 2020 2:55 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: United to consolidate at EWR?
Replies: 12
Views: 3729

Re: United to consolidate at EWR?

The same will apply to basically any major hub...AA in DFW, CLT, MIA, PHL, LAX, PHX. DL in ATL, DTW, MSP, SLC, LAX, NYC (JFK & LGA). And so on. With this level of prolonged draw down, even the airports will look to cut expenses as will the vendors with no traffic, why have all the restaurants, e...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Mar 18, 2020 2:13 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Corona virus Bailout Bill (US)
Replies: 145
Views: 8156

Re: Corona virus Bailout Bill

Water under the bridge, but don't you think the airlines were taking their cue from Boeings playbook? Massive stock buybacks to generate huge paydays for management and Wall Street? Now they are all hat in hand. Jeez...$43Billion in buybacks and $17Billion in dividends Boeing spent in a 6yr period ...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Mar 17, 2020 3:12 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Long-er haul narrowbody crewing economics.
Replies: 13
Views: 2669

Re: Long-er haul narrowbody crewing economics.

I wonder if they would try to float an idea of saying relief person is paid less for non-flight hours or something like that. Could be an interesting scenario if you're making more than standard domestic but not as much if you were the primary person..

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Mar 11, 2020 8:12 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Would the MAX be having issues if it had the PW GTF?
Replies: 18
Views: 3915

Re: Would the MAX be having issues if it had the PW GTF?

Since the LEAP engines are so large and heavy and affected the planes center of gravity, and the GTF is scalable to different fan sizes, would the MAX be having the same issues if it had a PW GTF with a smaller diameter fan? Could this be an opening for PW to get on the MAX if Boeing is desperate t...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Mar 03, 2020 4:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CLT announces record traffic numbers
Replies: 109
Views: 19564

Re: CLT big announcement Tuesday March 3

Would be great to see Delta or Southwest open up a major hub or focus in CLT!! CLT needs airlines with better service and options!! You do realize that CLT is a city of ~2.5 million. The only hub city with a lower population is SLC which benefits from a geography benefit in that driving is prohibit...

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by TWFlyGuy
Fri Feb 28, 2020 6:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why does AA start their schedule earlier in the day?
Replies: 75
Views: 12954

Re: Why does AA start their schedule earlier in the day?

Someone may have said this already, I scrolled through some rather quickly, but it's also hub location. Let's take Florida Northbound for example. What are your two options AA vs DL: ATL & CLT. So, if both have an 8a bank, with CLT being further North, it needs to leave a bit earlier. I'm over-s...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Jan 23, 2020 2:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Reports Q4 2019/Full Year Earnings
Replies: 55
Views: 9165

Re: AA Reports Q4 2019/Full Year Earnings

I wonder how much is Boeing compensation Have they agreed compensation with Boeing? If they have, then probably nothing. Based on WN's report, their compensation will be taken as reduced prices on MAXes, I'd be surprised if AA's wasn't the same. They have agreed on compensation (will be receiving c...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Jan 14, 2020 5:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA launching BOS to 3 new cities
Replies: 88
Views: 16333

Re: AA launching BOS to 3 new cities

Given the growth at HHH, I wonder if they have that on the BOS radar potentially. Saturday only like the ILM service would be interesting. STL & SFO make sense. Good to see AA get back to being aggressive. I do wonder if it is basically what they do with the JFK planes or if they finally got ove...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Jan 14, 2020 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Greensboro (GSO) Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 46
Views: 5996

Re: Greensboro (GSO) Aviation Thread - 2020

Janj wrote:
TWFlyGuy wrote:
Has WN served GSO? I assume after the merger and surprised they couldn't make it work if so.

No, AirTran did a long time ago but canceled way before the acquisition.


Interesting...thanks!

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Jan 14, 2020 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Greensboro (GSO) Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 46
Views: 5996

Re: Greensboro (GSO) Aviation Thread - 2020

Has WN served GSO? I assume after the merger and surprised they couldn't make it work if so.

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Jan 09, 2020 3:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 146
Views: 13837

Re: The Rest of Michigan Aviation Thread - 2020

I've heard they have been full from the get go which would probably be the reason they have been upgraded to CRJ-700s from the E140s. Don't know about the yields though. Good point, I had forgotten they were initially scheduled as 140s. I have to imagine that unless the upgrade to 700's was fleet r...

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by TWFlyGuy
Mon Jan 06, 2020 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 146
Views: 13837

Re: The Rest of Michigan Aviation Thread - 2020

Any insight on how the CLT-FNT route is performing? I've heard they have been full from the get go which would probably be the reason they have been upgraded to CRJ-700s from the E140s. Don't know about the yields though. Good point, I had forgotten they were initially scheduled as 140s. I have to ...

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by TWFlyGuy
Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of Michigan Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 146
Views: 13837

Re: The Rest of Michigan Aviation Thread - 2020

Any insight on how the CLT-FNT route is performing?

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Nov 05, 2019 6:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12462

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

It is weird to realize that prior to the introduction of RJs and fuel price spikes in the early 2000's, M80's &F100's dominated the schedule in ORD for AA. I remember in the 1990's the 5x MCI-ORD were a mix of M80's and 727's but as RJ's came along, the economics of running 2/3's full mainline s...

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by TWFlyGuy
Mon Oct 14, 2019 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/13/2019:AS Exits SJC-TUS;AA Jan Cuts;F9 Extension
Replies: 75
Views: 16159

Re: OAG Changes 10/13/2019:AS Exits SJC-TUS;AA Jan Cuts;F9 Extension

The FAA and Port Authority need to step in and seize the excess slots from AA at JFK This isn’t right any longer Beyond the BS runway excuse Other airlines want those slots and they are stifling competition Just shed the slots, go down to 60 or so flights and call it a day How about just getting ri...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Oct 08, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Pilots Association Sues Boeing Re: 737MAX
Replies: 85
Views: 13170

Re: Southwest Pilots Association Sues Boeing Re: 737MAX

Well WN management has already said that they would share the compensation from Boeing with their employees, they did not say pilots only. So, is this a tactic to ensure that the sharing is done? I also posted this other thought in the grounding thread, why is WN management not added as a co-defend...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Sep 03, 2019 6:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/1/2019:AS Massive Changes, Drops SAN-ABQ/ELP/MCI/MSP/OMA/STL,SFO-ABQ/MCI,LAXPHL,BURSJC;AA Adds FAI-DFW/ORD
Replies: 125
Views: 21188

Re: OAG Changes 9/1/2019:AS Massive Changes, Drops SAN-ABQ/ELP/MCI/MSP/OMA/STL,SFO-ABQ/MCI,LAXPHL,BURSJC;AA Adds FAI-DFW

Why would UA want to stop it? UA would love to run PS out of LGA. That's easy. UA would get demolished at LGA. DL has a hub there. Right now UA at EWR and AA/DL/B6 at JFK basically control all transcon from NYC point of sale. UA has EWR sewed up. They are unlikely to trade that near monopoly for th...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Aug 28, 2019 2:19 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: United Miles No Longer Expire
Replies: 13
Views: 3424

Re: United Miles No Longer Expire

WA707atMSP wrote:
AA always imitates what UA and DL do. I'm sure within a month, "Doogie Discount" will be announcing that AAdvantage miles will no longer expire.


It's an oligopoly industry...they all follow each other...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Aug 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Boston LHR, CDG and other Europe
Replies: 53
Views: 9921

Re: American Airlines Boston LHr, CDG and other Europe.

I just learned that AAL still holds the BOS_LHR route authority. The talk is that they are waiting for the 321 neo to resume service at some point.. Not sure if they would be interested in possibly restarting , Paris, Dublin and Shannon as well. Who knows back to seasonal service. The BOS-LHR slot ...

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by TWFlyGuy
Fri Aug 16, 2019 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CLT A Expansion and SkyClub
Replies: 21
Views: 3212

Re: CLT A Expansion and SkyClub

Adding the SkyClub is more a function of the expansion of A giving them room to add it. Original A was pretty confined. The renovations to the concourses have been pretty impressive in my opinion. I don't see DL adding LAX from CLT as AA would defend that pretty heavily. As one of the fastest growi...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Aug 15, 2019 8:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta ramp agent killed at JFK
Replies: 30
Views: 12287

Re: Delta ramp agent killed at JFK

CWL757 wrote:
Very sad. Ain't this the second one this week? I suppose the moral of the story is check, check and check again. I know this is easier said than done but it may just make life on the ramp that little bit safer. A delay is better than a death.


Yes, ramper in CLT killed this week as well.

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Aug 14, 2019 5:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CLT A Expansion and SkyClub
Replies: 21
Views: 3212

Re: CLT A Expansion and SkyClub

CanadianRedneck wrote:
Those renderings look awesome, who else is supposed to join DL in the expansion of A?


Basically everyone else except Lufthansa & Volaris. The new section of A is pretty awesome.

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Aug 14, 2019 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CLT A Expansion and SkyClub
Replies: 21
Views: 3212

Re: CLT A Expansion and SkyClub

Adding the SkyClub is more a function of the expansion of A giving them room to add it. Original A was pretty confined. The renovations to the concourses have been pretty impressive in my opinion. I don't see DL adding LAX from CLT as AA would defend that pretty heavily. As one of the fastest growin...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Jul 25, 2019 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AAL posts solid Q2 results despite 737 Max grounding
Replies: 66
Views: 8439

Re: AAL posts solid Q2 results despite 737 Max grounding

I really want to understand what went wrong with AA, is it due to the mentality of HP/US management style, or is it due to a perfect storm of all things gone wrong from the dispute with wifi provider to the debacle of premium seats manufactures to the MAX delays? I'll go with "HP/US management...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Jul 24, 2019 2:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA add new seasonal routes from PHX
Replies: 42
Views: 6620

Re: AA add new seasonal routes from PHX

kind of pathetic, though. When America West, AA's predecessor started, COS was one of the original cities, with multiple flights per day. Now they cant even support one daily year round flight? Has the city of Colorado Springs changed that much? Have demand patterns changed so much? Who's arguing t...

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by TWFlyGuy
Mon Jul 15, 2019 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta at LHR
Replies: 71
Views: 17554

Re: Delta at LHR

My recent observation on BA's SFO-LHR flight, more than 80% of passengers got off at LHR. I think even LHR is a OW hub, BA/AA don't rely on connecting, the majority traffic is between UK and USA. Then you would be wrong. Where else would OW members connect onward into Europe. Maybe because you were...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed May 15, 2019 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Via Air in trouble: majority of flights suspended
Replies: 109
Views: 24474

Re: Via Air in trouble: majority of flights suspended

Update on fleet: Wow, I'm glad I was able to shoot all of these at CLT during their "good times", along with a couple of their EMB-120s. I had thought when they were in CLT it was the biggest mistake to compete against AA out of CLT. The local market isn't that big to the destinations the...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed May 15, 2019 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Via Air in trouble: majority of flights suspended
Replies: 109
Views: 24474

Re: Via Air in trouble: majority of flights suspended

Update on fleet: N802HK: grounded at SFB for 6 months. (Probably left fleet) N838HK: grounded at SFB for 11 months. (Most definitely left fleet) N841HK: has not left the ground in 2 days; in AUS N824HK: has not left the ground in a day; in SFB N825HK: grounded at TUL for 4 weeks That’s all accordin...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue May 07, 2019 1:02 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: 44% say wont take MAX for a year?
Replies: 96
Views: 8921

Re: 44% say wont take MAX for a year?

Link? Survey methodology and participant demographics? It was done by yougov with 1756 North American and European fliers. It's not a public poll; there won't be a link. You would need access to Barclays investment research. I imagine the point is that without those pieces of information, is the 44...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Apr 18, 2019 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Midwest Express Revival Plans, Office Space Leased
Replies: 114
Views: 21049

Re: Midwest Express Revival Plans, Office Space Leased

They will fail if they use RJ’s. They will fail period. The real airline execs with all their experience would be running the biz model if it was highly successful, but as history has shown us...it's a huge failure. Who is giving the money to just pay themselves? You may prove right, BUT, it's wort...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Apr 11, 2019 8:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American is adding FNT-CLT flights
Replies: 23
Views: 2831

Re: American is adding FNT-CLT flights

FNT-ORD will grow to 2xERJ, 2xCR7 this summer; AA pushes a lot of traffic to Florida over ORD. Per mlive, service to CLT will be 2xERJ. It’ll be interesting to see if this is all new capacity, or if AA’s shifting some capacity from ORD to CLT to handle the Florida traffic. Guess we'll have to wait ...

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Apr 11, 2019 7:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American is adding FNT-CLT flights
Replies: 23
Views: 2831

Re: American is adding FNT-CLT flights

Anyone have specifics on when it will open for sale and what the flight times are? I looked on AA's site and could not book.

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Mar 20, 2019 7:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is it time for Cockpit Video to aid in crash investigation?
Replies: 126
Views: 9791

Re: Is it time for Cockpit Video to aid in crash investigation?

I don't get the storage issue. Do the CVR & FDR not overwrite after a period of time? Same with video. Rolling 30 days of capture or what ever the number is. Look at what we're hearing about the lion air accident. Apparently the day before there was an issue with that same aircraft. Would be gre...

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by TWFlyGuy
Tue Mar 19, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Man vs machine; are we ready to replace pilots completely?
Replies: 80
Views: 6107

Re: Man vs machine; are we ready to replace pilots completely?

For the forseeable future I see a need for someone in the cockpit. However there are also instances where outside control could have helped. I think of the Miracle on the Hudson as an instance where having someone on-board in control was immensely beneficial. Conversely, the AF flight off of the S. ...

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by TWFlyGuy
Wed Mar 06, 2019 7:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is there no Atlanta to Beijing flight?
Replies: 29
Views: 5020

Re: Why is there no Atlanta to Beijing flight?

Not enough people want to go from (A)tlanta to (B)eijing

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by TWFlyGuy
Thu Feb 28, 2019 3:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CLT new 12000ft runway shortened
Replies: 72
Views: 11935

Re: CLT new 12000ft runway shortened

What I'm curious about is how, if at all, this changes the design. If you look at how they plan to taxi to the new runway, they were going to build elongated "U" shaped taxiways on the north & south ends apparently so they could continue to use the inner most runway while an aircraft t...

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by TWFlyGuy
Mon Feb 25, 2019 3:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Georgia lawmaker lobs legislation for state takeover of Atlanta airport
Replies: 83
Views: 10487

Re: Georgia lawmaker lobs legislation for state takeover of Atlanta airport

Also sounds a bit like the same issue Charlotte is having with the state legislature.

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