Search found 998 matches

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by Brickell305
Thu Aug 06, 2020 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates drops FLL
Replies: 91
Views: 14795

Re: Emirates drops FLL

:checkmark: :checkmark: I would add those that cruise their silver years. I know people who retired who circle the world to cruise, returning to Ft. Lauderdale or Long Beach (Los Angeles) for a cruise with their grandkids. Although I conceed cruuse workers probably outnumbered cruise passengers by ...

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by Brickell305
Thu Aug 06, 2020 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 1944
Views: 337429

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

It appears Payroll extension is on the way https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-airlines-exclu/republican-senators-back-extending-25-billion-payroll-aid-for-u-s-airlines-shares-jump-idUSKCN2512QE The question is, will the airlines take it? They don't need all of these employees...

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by Brickell305
Thu Aug 06, 2020 2:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates drops FLL
Replies: 91
Views: 14795

Re: Emirates drops FLL

I suspect the main business was cruise ship workers. Between the cruise contracts, the VFR traffic who do know where FLL is, the local O&D, and whatever other business traffic there is, that should have been more than enough to run 266 seats 4x weekly. Without the cruise industry, it's game ove...

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by Brickell305
Thu Aug 06, 2020 2:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Goes back to what I was saying a couple of weeks ago. Nobody is travelling within the islands; it's bad right now. JY and 3S will be better positioned than BW will be in operating out of BGI. JY because they have equipment that is better suited to the current market, and 3S because, (1) they will o...

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by Brickell305
Thu Aug 06, 2020 1:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Im told BW's loads are in the teens and often below 10 pax per flight. Not surprising in the least. Good luck to all the carriers expanding now. They’ll need it. It’s gonna be a while before intra-regional travel returns to normal. Goes back to what I was saying a couple of weeks ago. Nobody is tra...

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by Brickell305
Thu Aug 06, 2020 3:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

JY has probably the best sized equipment for these times. Does anyone know how the loads are on JY or BW? Im told BW's loads are in the teens and often below 10 pax per flight. Not surprising in the least. Good luck to all the carriers expanding now. They’ll need it. It’s gonna be a while before in...

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by Brickell305
Wed Aug 05, 2020 8:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

A lot of expansion from BGI at a time when BGI is tightening up on its COVID-19 restrictions. Most of the islands that now require a negative COVID test prior to arrival are outside of the Winwards where most of the expansion has taken place but does affect places like ANU. With Jamaica and Antigua ...

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by Brickell305
Wed Aug 05, 2020 7:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates drops FLL
Replies: 91
Views: 14795

Re: Emirates drops FLL

AA at one time flew LAX-FLL four times daily! As you said they moved it to PBI in 2013 and then canned it completely. AS is on the route and going double-daily this winter (assuming COVD recedes here in southern Florida) so no need to use AA metal. AA FF's can take the AS LAX-FLL flight for now, th...

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by Brickell305
Wed Aug 05, 2020 7:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates drops FLL
Replies: 91
Views: 14795

Re: Emirates drops FLL

Avianca also. Azul is a unique case because they've become super-popular with the Brazilian VFR crowd based in Deerfield, Boca and Delray, so since that seems to have become Azul's base flier. FLL geographically makes more sense than MIA. Maybe the only case for an airline foreign or domestic that ...

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by Brickell305
Wed Aug 05, 2020 5:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates drops FLL
Replies: 91
Views: 14795

Re: Emirates drops FLL

Not surprising. I do think this goes to show how the strength of MIA and how it is the preferred airport for intercontinental traffic. Outside of DY (and it's possible that they might not even resume service), all foreign long-haul carriers (SA/BA/EK) have all discontinued their FLL service. Off th...

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by Brickell305
Wed Aug 05, 2020 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates drops FLL
Replies: 91
Views: 14795

Re: Emirates drops FLL

Not surprising. I do think this goes to show how the strength of MIA and how it is the preferred airport for intercontinental traffic. Outside of DY (and it's possible that they might not even resume service), all foreign long-haul carriers (SA/BA/EK) have all discontinued their FLL service. It's i...

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by Brickell305
Tue Aug 04, 2020 1:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 8/4/2020:SEPTEMBER SLIDE;AA Drops LAX-YVR;AM Drops AUS;AS Adds SAN-SBA;
Replies: 68
Views: 14590

Re: OAG Changes 8/4/2020:SEPTEMBER SLIDE;AA Drops LAX-YVR;AM Drops AUS;AS Adds SAN-SBA;

It looks like someone took a sledgehammer to the AA, B6 and UA schedules.

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by Brickell305
Sun Aug 02, 2020 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

JY Embraer 120 has arrived in BGI in this article it seems they will also use the ERJ145 into BGI. Given the conditions they might actually work out of KIN. VS also resumed service to BGI yesterday using a 787. It also appears the Antigua government will be seeking a loan from the CDB to buy two ai...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 30, 2020 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

CAL has just added a schedule or 10x weekly flights BGI-OGL-BGI starting 6 August, 2020 and 3x weekly BGI-SLU-BGI. On some days CAL will operate 2 flights to OGL; 1 in the morning and another in the evening all returning to the BGI mini-base. No room will exist for LI2020. This is my point. Contrar...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 30, 2020 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Most of the carriers flying out of BGI wont be around by December. I think 3M,Air Sunshine, WM and the like will have the northern Caribbean sorted. If LI does change its fleet to twin otters its pilots will have to retrain and all the flight attendants will be done away with. There is demand for g...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 30, 2020 1:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Most of the carriers flying out of BGI wont be around by December. I think 3M,Air Sunshine, WM and the like will have the northern Caribbean sorted. If LI does change its fleet to twin otters its pilots will have to retrain and all the flight attendants will be done away with. There is demand for g...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 30, 2020 1:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Airways network updates
Replies: 221
Views: 46947

Re: BA starting LHR-MCO

Lots of businesses and conferences with worldwide visitors in Orlando. This is the same reason BA moved LAS to LHR for the connections. This has nothing to do with business. O&D is battered right now so the route will benefit from connections. Those are limited at LGW so while there’s slack at ...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 29, 2020 8:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1452
Views: 204925

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

Below is an article that provides one perspective of how the slot swap between AA and B6 could play out. I still find it interesting that AA wants to leverage B6's domestic routes to help feed AA's international network at JFK. PHL is just down the road. Instead of reducing gateways and simplifying...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 29, 2020 12:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

https://guyanaaviation.com/2020/07/28/air-antilles-to-begin-flight-services-to-st-lucia-barbados-and-dominica/?fbclid=IwAR3tL-uE2s2zy9GmBemjAkfsWym1hKoHigqdIEEtVZUSQba_Z7RFNXXvuQo Air Antilles plans to start flights between SLU and BGI and between DOM and BGI. From Aug 1st daily flights between SLU...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 28, 2020 8:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/28/2020:SLOW BLEED;AA Cuts LAX-EUG/FAT/MFR/RDM/SAN/SDF,LGA-TYS,ORD-SCE;DL Drops HAV/TGU/BOS Shrinks
Replies: 117
Views: 20493

Re: OAG Changes 7/28/2020:SLOW BLEED;AA Cuts LAX-EUG/FAT/MFR/RDM/SAN/SDF,LGA-TYS,ORD-SCE;DL Drops HAV/TGU/BOS Shrinks

enilria wrote:
panamair wrote:
Looks good! Thanks for re-running it
tphuang wrote:
Thanks for the hard work and update. Really appreciate it!

AA's cut is much larger now that we can see what was really August.

The MIA cuts are eye popping, though understandable.

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 28, 2020 8:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston
Replies: 26
Views: 3719

Re: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston

I assume that MCO has strong VFR as I dont imagine the Disney market will be back too soon. What of FLL? I dont think that the BW KIN MIA route is working ut, even though AA is just down to daily from 3X. The US based English speaking Caribbean VFR is not too excited in travel, unlike their Hispani...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 28, 2020 4:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1452
Views: 204925

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

If the demand for premium travel wanes I can see AA reconfiguring their 321Ts possibly reducing the J cabin. Or maybe just handing over the premium market to Mint. While Hollywood A listers will still get premium travel I see lots of travel budgets being slashed for the rank and file. Or... reduce ...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 28, 2020 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

BGI delayed the AA MIA-BGI flights due to the unchecked spreading of COVID-19 In south Florida. Permission to restart services was denied. AA appears to have pushed MIA-BGI back to September 9. I’m surprised by this as AA continues to serve smaller Eastern Caribbean markets and from memory BGI’s en...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 27, 2020 11:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

AA appears to have pushed MIA-BGI back to September 9. I’m surprised by this as AA continues to serve smaller Eastern Caribbean markets and from memory BGI’s entry requirements don’t seem any more onerous than say SVD.

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 27, 2020 7:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest will not furlough/lay off workers on Oct. 1
Replies: 35
Views: 7379

Re: Southwest will not furlough/lay off workers on Oct. 1

Southwest gets a lot of publicity because they didn’t have to “furlough” any employees, but in the end, they had to reduce their workforce just like other airlines. Therefore, a lot of Southwest employees will no longer have jobs just like a lot of DL/AA/UA employees will not have any jobs. I would...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

The thing is LI won’t have 30 seat planes. They’re essentially stuck with the leased ATRs they have now. Any plan to re-fleet (and therefore re-train pilots) is a non starter as LI doesn’t have the resources to do that. The new LI will have to make it work with ATRs, a more aggressive BW and one go...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 26, 2020 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

SKB - ANU won't happen 2x daily, maybe a couple of times a week similar to the Dominica operation. Selling SKB - ANU takes away yield from either SXM- SKB or SXM - ANU depending on what leg the SKB-ANU (or vice-versa) is added onto as they have to block out seats on the leg out of SXM. So SKB- ANU,...

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 24, 2020 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

That's why I said I am being optimistic, the realist in me sees LIAT2.0 in a very limited role going forward and that's why cutting the fleet in half they may be able to service routes profitably. I also mentioned that they are facing a new reality as CAL appears to be going on a very aggressive ex...

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 24, 2020 1:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

I think LI 2020 is done for before it even starts. If they actually do get started the profitable routes will have been taken. Its also unlikely these once profitable routes will still be profitable in this environment. Unlike days of old no Caribbean government has the funding to prop up a Liat. T...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 2020 Q2 results
Replies: 56
Views: 11421

Re: AA Q2 results

Their throwing caution to the wind attitude is coming back to bite them. DL and UA have been much more proactive about matching demand to supply in order to control cash burn. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4359563-american-airlines-managements-risk-taking-raises-bankruptcy-risk You realize that ...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 23, 2020 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 2020 Q2 results
Replies: 56
Views: 11421

Re: AA Q2 results

Their average cash burn for Q2 seems high IMO @ $55M. IIRC, it was $40M for DL and $30M for UA.

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 23, 2020 12:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston
Replies: 26
Views: 3719

Re: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston

I wish them good luck, just seems like the wrong time to be launching a new route, especially as the official opening of TnT's borders hasn't even been announced. August 14th seems very optimistic. Just like their optimistic Kingston to Miami flights that have been cancelled numerous times over the...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 10:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston
Replies: 26
Views: 3719

Re: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston

Re the corporate demand between IAH and GEO, yes there is as oil was recently discovered in significant quantities in GEO and now there’s a strong nascent oil industry there. How that competes with AA’s daily one stop connecting opportunity remains to be seen. On the POS route, there’s significant V...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 10:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes?
Replies: 56
Views: 8495

Re: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes

I'm fine with Canada as the US carriers get the benefit of their 30 flights day ex-YYZ arriving as domestic flights. I'm.againt something like AUH or SNN which basically get no use from US carriers. Because it gives benefits to US citizerns who are travelling and US citizens are much more important...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes?
Replies: 56
Views: 8495

Re: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes

I personally think there should be a rule where an airport has to have 8 flights to US operated by US carriers before it can be considered for preclearance. Otherwise, preclearance gives unfair advantages to foreign carriers. Like I know people that purpose fly to the US via YYZ because they don't ...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes?
Replies: 56
Views: 8495

Re: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes

Could the thread title be edited to add a ? after the word routes? The way it’s written now makes it seem as if they are getting a preclearance and possible new routes. On topic, I think there likely won’t be any new routes in the short term (for obvious reasons). Medium term, I don’t see the attrac...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 21, 2020 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

https://268today.com/business/liat-shareholders-reach-agreement-to-sell-3-planes-airline-could-fly-again-in-90-days/ Seems like the Governments of St Vincent and Barbados have agreed tosell their LIAT shares to Antigua fro 1 dollar each. Antigua has indicated they would sell the three ATRs owned an...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 20, 2020 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

The Bahamas is banning American tourists effective July 22 https://thepointsguy.com/news/americans-banned-bahamas-coronavirus/ I’ve heard this is being considered in SVD as well. Obviously with only 1-2 fights from the USA per week, it will have less impact there if implemented. Update: A better lin...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 19, 2020 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55044

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Just glad we are getting some real data points from somewhere. It is hard to believe ANYTHING in media anymore. ? What media are you using? Maybe it's time to switch to different ones? The regional newspapers and national broadcast company I am using in the Netherlands are perfectly trustworthy. Fo...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 19, 2020 4:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: South Florida Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 140
Views: 11660

Re: South Florida Aviation Thread - 2020

Caribbean Airlines plans to resume six times weekly Kingston-Miami service with 737-800 from July 21, 2020 Resume? Isn’t KIN-MIA a new route for BW? Pre-pandemic they only operated POS-MIA. I don’t think BW/JM have operated KIN-MIA on a regular basis since 2009. They operated it briefly within the ...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 19, 2020 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

BW restarts ops to SVD and GND out of BGI on July 22.

4x weekly (Mon, Tue, Fri, Sat) BGI-SVD-GND-BGI
2x weekly (Sun, Wed) BGI-GND-SVD-BGI

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 17, 2020 11:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

BW is restarting ops to ANU from July 25 with 2w (Sa, Sun) service KIN-ANU-BGI-ANU-KIN.

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 17, 2020 11:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1452
Views: 204925

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

Could we see added Tokyo as a result of this new partnership? Probably not, since they would need a HND slot (they could go NRT but I think theyve more or less consolidated into HND) and JAL already serves the route multiple times daily (JV I think). Maybe, but doubtful.[/quote] I don’t think TYO i...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 40506

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

Correct me if I am wrong, but with these partnerships AA+B6/AS will now be the largest carrier in NYC, BOS, LAX, SEA, South Florida, Dallas, DC, PHX, & CLT? Right, I think you are 100% right about this part. These deals help AA by making them more relevant in rest of the country where they are ...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 40506

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

I don’t see why AA people are viewing this as good news. It seems more to me like AA is giving up on competing in NYC on its own and is willing to outsource (not entirely obviously) domestic to B6 while it brings international to the table. It did the same with AS where it realized it could not bui...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 40506

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

I don’t see why AA people are viewing this as good news. It seems more to me like AA is giving up on competing in NYC on its own and is willing to outsource (not entirely obviously) domestic to B6 while it brings international to the table. It did the same with AS where it realized it could not buil...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 40506

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

Sounds like AA is trying to take on DL in Seattle, Boston and New York It sounds more like AA is weak on the West Coast and needed a partner to help them so went with AS who is strong domestically while AA brings international flights to the table. And the same occurred in NYC where AA has been str...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 15, 2020 9:34 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: AA/AS Merger Potential - What would it look like?
Replies: 10
Views: 1332

Re: AA/AS Merger Potential - What would it look like?

Best of luck getting a merger approved that makes the largest airline in the world even larger.

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 14, 2020 7:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 719
Views: 65556

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

That's another very good point. A BGI base may not even be necessary based on the number of flights, how they are scheduled/routed, etc. Having a focus city in BGI doesn't necessarily mean that BW must have a crew base there. POS has been a focus city for LI for years and LI has never had a crew ba...

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