Search found 979 matches

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by SteelChair
Thu Jul 18, 2019 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 100
Views: 8778

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

At what point are profits wiped out for the entire 737 program? Does anyone know how much that program has made? Although its been high volume for years, margins were probably a lot less than for widebodies.

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 17, 2019 11:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 165
Views: 30661

Re: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?

Really, really depends on the numbers. You'd have to know how close the A220 and E2 are on their network to know if MRO business does our does not outweigh the difference. We have airlines that don't have an MRO business and put in large orders for the A220/CSeries. Air Baltic and JetBlue come to m...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 16, 2019 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)
Replies: 210
Views: 13447

Re: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)

It seems to me the company is in the drivers seat. Has the union decided if they are fighting for higher wages, or more jobs? I don't think they'll get both. A scope selloff is a massive loss for labor imho. Southwest set the bar very high on pay, but they have a very small maintenance operation, s...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 16, 2019 3:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 165
Views: 30661

Re: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?

Go tell that to DL; aircraft/engine purchase and MRO activity is intertwined, look at what happened with the A350 and RR. It's actually a very smart way of operating when you have an MRO business. If you can bundle stuff, thats great. But the technical piece doesn't make enough profit to drive the ...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 16, 2019 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)
Replies: 210
Views: 13447

Re: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)

It seems to me the company is in the drivers seat. Has the union decided if they are fighting for higher wages, or more jobs? I don't think they'll get both. A scope selloff is a massive loss for labor imho. Southwest set the bar very high on pay, but they have a very small maintenance operation, so...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 16, 2019 3:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 165
Views: 30661

Re: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?

FWIW, AF Industries thinks there are not enough A220s sold yet to make money with it in offering heavy maintenance services to third parties. What would be the business case to offer such services for the E2 then? ;-) From the article: "Même si chez Air France Industrie, on n'est pas très chau...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 16, 2019 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 165
Views: 30661

Re: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?

At this point it makes more sense for AF to choose the E195-E2 iso the A220. ... Ah but wait, a Canadian CEO, a Canadian aircraft...coincidence you think? FWIW, AF Industries thinks there are not enough A220s sold yet to make money with it in offering heavy maintenance services to third parties. Wh...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 16, 2019 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 165
Views: 30661

Re: AF to order A220

Do you think there has been a kind of interference of the French government? Is there any indication of it? No, but I have just realized that the new management at AFR/KLM came from Air Canada. These guys are the same who sealed the deal for C Series back then. I think this is what I would call the...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines extends 737 Max flight cancellations through November 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 8721

Re: American Airlines extends 737 Max flight cancellations through November 2019

It doesn't matter if management screwed up, all will pay some price. Most senior managers wil not be held accountable, if past practice is any indication Things just look darker and darker for Boeing. Good thing for them they're "too big to fail." I'll bet they're so glad they listened to ...

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by SteelChair
Sun Jul 14, 2019 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta AMS-JFK Cancels for Drunk FO
Replies: 132
Views: 23895

Re: Delta AMS-JFK Cancels for Drunk FO

So many dirty little secrets that need to be exposed. The first is that being air crew, either front or back, isn't that a good job. Many of those who are enthusiasts simply cannot comprehend how his can be. Everything is different when its your job. Life on the road, time changes, the health effect...

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by SteelChair
Sat Jul 13, 2019 3:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022
Replies: 102
Views: 13052

Re: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022

A couple thoughts: My 717 prediction was 2026-27 AT THE EARLIEST. I personally think it'll go longer. Nothing being built now will take short cycles like the DC9/717 structure. It's the perfect airplane imho for the dense eastern US traffic feeding ATL, DTW, MSP, and NYC. And I expect Delta to liter...

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by SteelChair
Sat Jul 13, 2019 2:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: 3rd new airport for Shanghai to be located in Nantong
Replies: 11
Views: 2894

Re: Rumour: 3rd new airport for Shanghai to be located in Nantong

I would think that Shangai could support not only 3, but 3 ATL or ORD sized airports. As long as they are far enough apart. That's the great thing about the new Beijing airport, its so far away from the existing airport. Does anyone know how far apart these Shanghai airports are, and if the military...

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by SteelChair
Fri Jul 12, 2019 3:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 421
Views: 101151

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

The light blue INSIDE the inlet is the "rub strip" for the fan. This abradeable material has been used by PW since at least the PW4000 days, mayber earlier. It is made to wear away if the fan moves a little bit....it allows the fan to move slightly without wearing into the metal. The color...

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by SteelChair
Fri Jul 12, 2019 1:27 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: How come DL185 (ATL-PVG) is not a polar route today but DL583 (DTW-PVG) is!?
Replies: 50
Views: 6925

Re: How come DL185 (ATL-PVG) is not a polar route today but DL583 (DTW-PVG) is!?

Cubsrule wrote:
185 is on a route that doesn't require ETOPS. That may not be a coincidence.


Are you sure about that? I knew 60 minute routes were possible in the Atlantic but thought they were virtually impossible in tbe Pacific.

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by SteelChair
Thu Jul 11, 2019 7:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022
Replies: 102
Views: 13052

Re: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022

AlexBrewster03 wrote:
Thank god. I hope the 717 follows soon after.
Also, is there a future A220 top off order in the future?


MHO only. I see the 717s staying until at least 2026-27 (they're great small short range airplanes), and a top up A220 order, including launch of the A220-500, within 18 months from today.

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by SteelChair
Thu Jul 11, 2019 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines posts better-than-expected June quarter results
Replies: 44
Views: 7046

Re: Delta Air Lines posts better-than-expected June quarter results

Bobloblaw wrote:
And yet georgia continues to give them a 4 cent per gallon fuel tax credit.


Because the state gets the revenue back many times over in other forms. Thankfully, GA isn't CA or NY yet.

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by SteelChair
Thu Jul 11, 2019 2:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 6993

Re: Airbus product range 2028

What is the range of the traditional 149 seat aircraft, ie., 727, 737-300, A320ceo, and MD88? Imho 2,000nm is more than enough to fill those markets....the densely traveled domestic US markets east of a line from DFW to MSP. Airlines are tired of buying too much airplane just to make manufacturers ...

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 10, 2019 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Beijing Daxing Route Announcements and News Thread
Replies: 72
Views: 11802

Re: Finnair to launch Helsinki—Beijing Daxing this November, becoming 1st inter’l carrier to operate at both PKX and PEK

With that, AY will become [...] the 1st foreign carrier known to be operating at both PKX and PEK rather than sticking to one Beijing airport only after Daxing opens in late September this year. I am confused. I thought the goal was to avoid such a situation? Is this just a transition phase only? T...

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 10, 2019 7:13 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: FAA to order AoA vane changes on 727/757/767.
Replies: 8
Views: 1887

Re: FAA to order AoA vane changes on 727/757/767.

Another stupid decision by the government in the wake of a totally unrelated accident. Jobs have to be justified, budgets have to be protected.

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 10, 2019 6:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Trump to nominate former DL exec as FAA Administrator
Replies: 97
Views: 15442

Re: Trump to nominate former DL exec as FAA Administrator

shankly wrote:


Well I'm not impressed by Sully.

An airline pilot who simply did his job has been elevated by the media to be an expert on all things aviation.

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 10, 2019 2:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex
Replies: 93
Views: 4462

Re: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex

Hasn't the Epstein drama been going on for years already? Doesn't he have extensive contacts to both sides of the aisle? My prediction: it'll fade away again with only token punishments. I say "token" compared to the penalties that "normal people" would face if they were involved...

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 10, 2019 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 6993

Re: Airbus product range 2028

How about mostly nothing. Few changes and no clean sheet model sounds likely. I doubt the A220-500 will appear. The range of the A220-300 is already below average compared to the 737 and A320 family. My estimates is a 3.7m simple stretch would bring range to below 2500nm. That is not very flexible....

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 10, 2019 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 6993

Re: Airbus product range 2028

How about mostly nothing. Few changes and no clean sheet model sounds likely. I doubt the A220-500 will appear. The range of the A220-300 is already below average compared to the 737 and A320 family. My estimates is a 3.7m simple stretch would bring range to below 2500nm. That is not very flexible....

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by SteelChair
Wed Jul 10, 2019 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's going to happen after the 787/a350 orderbooks are completed?
Replies: 32
Views: 5294

Re: What's going to happen after the 787/a350 orderbooks are completed?

There are multiple industry groups within the OEMs and third-parties that do a ton of market research of forecasts. Are they the same groups that forecasted rosy skies for the A380, B748, and B777x? That consulted on the multuple attempts at the A350 before Airbus got it right? Just because they ha...

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 09, 2019 11:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's going to happen after the 787/a350 orderbooks are completed?
Replies: 32
Views: 5294

Re: What's going to happen after the 787/a350 orderbooks are completed?

I have been wondering for months when Boeing is going to announce a production rate decrease on the 787. Considering soft orders on the books and long lead production items, I think they will have to decrease the rate soon...within the next 12 months.

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 09, 2019 7:53 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: US3 and the 777X, only a matter of time?
Replies: 27
Views: 5052

Re: US3 and the 777X, only a matter of time?

Why would US carriers buy a plane that's optimized for the ME3?

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 09, 2019 7:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ben Smith tackles Air France
Replies: 35
Views: 9353

Re: Ben Smith tackles Air France

Will he be allowed to implement the needed reforms or will the bureaucracy prevent it and ultimately see what he is let go?

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by SteelChair
Tue Jul 09, 2019 7:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France to charge aviation tax
Replies: 125
Views: 11524

Re: France to charge aviation tax

Apparently the elites in France didnt learn anything from the yellow vests. People of their political ilk always have the same answer to every problem...... raise taxes ostensibly on quote-unquote the rich. One more step down the road of turning France into Venezuela

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 11:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex
Replies: 93
Views: 4462

Re: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex

I don't know what you're talking about. Define your accusation with sources please. Oops, my mistake. The underage pages were 2 other congressmen. BF merely engaged in solicitation/prostitution. Which is also illegal, no? No Barney did not engage in solicitation/prostitution, he had a friend who di...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 11:22 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex
Replies: 93
Views: 4462

Re: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex

And yet, this went on for years. Powerful members of the establishment on both sides of the aisle, and some in the corrupt media, knew about it, and some supported it. Yet, nothing was done to stop it. What changed? Why is Epstein suddenly a villain? What dirtbag members of the wealthy elite (you k...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 11:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex
Replies: 93
Views: 4462

Re: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex

Spar wrote:
SteelChair wrote:
The page scandal. Weren't they underage?

I don't know what you're talking about.

Define your accusation with sources please.


Oops, my mistake. The underage pages were 2 other congressmen.

BF merely engaged in solicitation/prostitution. Which is also illegal, no?

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 10:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex
Replies: 93
Views: 4462

Re: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex

Where is the outrage against someone like, oh say, Barney Frank? I cant shake the feeling that, while this guy should fry, we're all being manipulated OK where is the outrage against Barney Frank? Or Why? What has Barney Frank ever done that has offended anyone other than anti-gay bigots? The page ...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 9:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex
Replies: 93
Views: 4462

Re: Billionaire Jeff Epstein (finally) arrested for underage sex

And yet, this went on for years. Powerful members of the establishment on both sides of the aisle, and some in the corrupt media, knew about it, and some supported it. Yet, nothing was done to stop it. What changed? Why is Epstein suddenly a villain? What dirtbag members of the wealthy elite (you kn...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 10993

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

You can thank the LDS (Utah has the highest birth rate in the nation) and continuing exodus from CA's high cost of living (of the people moving into Utah, more than half come from CA) for the population boom in Utah... but jobs? Utah ranked #9 in 2017 (2018 not available) in young people/college gr...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is JetBlue's On Time Performance so Bad?
Replies: 27
Views: 4938

Re: Why is JetBlue's On Time Performance so Bad?

Clever, measuring the carrier against the average instead of the best. That's some quality nonsense that would fit fine with Corporate Communications. I wrote " I used them vs all carriers since it's hard to quantify AA/DL performance with that page due to their regional operations." I do...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 8:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is JetBlue's On Time Performance so Bad?
Replies: 27
Views: 4938

Re: Why is JetBlue's On Time Performance so Bad?

In a word, they are poorly led. You hit upon some of the issues. But it all comes back to leadership. As an aside, I've always tried to reconcile "low cost," with based in the Northeast. Nothing is low cost there. So, they skimp on needed areas to try to save costs and it kills them operat...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 7:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 6993

Re: Airbus product range 2028

. A220 Already state of the art. Further engines PIP’s, simple stretch to the 500 and a very significant increase of production to 30+ per month in order to free up backlog for more capable variants of the A320 series. Further production sites in Europe and/or Asia. The A220 is not state of the art...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 7:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 10993

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

DL runs a tight ship (I still see them for what they are) but they do a great job as a business. There is no doubt that MAX planes being grounded has helped push people to them. That is a lot of daily availability gone!..and those who say it has no bearing, well its a.net. Please let the forum know...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 6:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Widebody Thread - 2019
Replies: 728
Views: 142825

Re: Delta Widebody Thread - 2019

seabosdca wrote:
DL is marketing the 359 as "New Flagship." But does it matter, when the 359 and refurbished 777 have almost exactly the same hard and soft products?


My guess is that it matters to Boeing.

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 6:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 10993

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

If you build it, they will come? How'd the new terminals work out for PIT, CVG, DTW, IND, etc. Agree generally, air travel has to respond to demand, not create it, but one caveat. The areas you listed are rust belt, largely unionized, business unfriendly states that were/are shrinking economically....

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 10993

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

I've found myself wondering what effect the super efficient and long legged CS300 will have upon SLC? That airplane, combined with the new terminal, mean significant upgrading to the SLC travel experience in the near term. If you build it, they will come? How'd the new terminals work out for PIT, C...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 6993

Re: Airbus product range 2028

I generally agree with your outlook. This Airbus is a much stronger competitor than the one hobbled by the A380 imho. Boeing needs to get their act together.

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 10993

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

1. The hubs you mention do not consist solely on local traffic. As it's been pointed out previously both DTW and MSP have equal, or smaller local traffic bases than hubs that are controlled by AA like CLT, PHL or DFW, or UA's DEN or IAH operations. While I can't say the DL O&D traffic at DTW/MS...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer
Replies: 213
Views: 36823

Re: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer

I have to think that short stage length will tip the balance in the favor of the E2. Regrettably. It would be interesting to know the specifics of the scope clause at BA. Scope clauses in the USA have, imho, made the E2 un-economic at the mainline and too big for the regionals. All of this has also ...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump supports Netherlands World Cup
Replies: 40
Views: 2431

Re: Trump supports Netherlands World Cup

Lame. That said, I love how every time she tweets in protest to grab attention she tags it with her clothing line, what a joke. :roll: https://mobile.twitter.com/mpinoe?lang=en Textbook example of manipulation of low information voters. She is only doing what the mainstream media (translation : Dem...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:06 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump asked permission to bomb Iran
Replies: 17
Views: 1583

Re: Trump asked permission to bomb Iran

There are state secrets and top secret meetings and many things that presidents hear and read that We The People are not privy to. Obama being a Constitutional scholar understands this and respects this. George W Bush being in the National Guard and the son of a WWII veteran understands this and re...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 3:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump asked permission to bomb Iran
Replies: 17
Views: 1583

Re: Trump asked permission to bomb Iran

There are state secrets and top secret meetings and many things that presidents hear and read that We The People are not privy to. Obama being a Constitutional scholar understands this and respects this. George W Bush being in the National Guard and the son of a WWII veteran understands this and re...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 3:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump supports Netherlands World Cup
Replies: 40
Views: 2431

Re: Trump supports Netherlands World Cup

Lame. That said, I love how every time she tweets in protest to grab attention she tags it with her clothing line, what a joke. :roll: https://mobile.twitter.com/mpinoe?lang=en Textbook example of manipulation of low information voters. She is only doing what the mainstream media (translation : Dem...

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: High yield airports?
Replies: 4
Views: 1055

Re: High yield airports?

https://www.transportation.gov/policy/a ... are-report


Thanks for the link
-->

MIflyer12 wrote:
Domestically, the DOT has done the work. Look at Table 2 showing average yield by city, among other data sets.

https://www.transportation.gov/policy/a ... are-report


Thanks for the link

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by SteelChair
Mon Jul 08, 2019 3:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Airbus and Boeing Market Forecasts
Replies: 29
Views: 3130

Re: New Airbus and Boeing Market Forecasts

Regarding the questions, "where have all the VLA's gone?" and "Aren't airports still congested?" Imho, the whole idea was a sales job. Fake news. Propoganda. Whatever you want to call it. There are plenty of options for marginal capacity increases, and real airlines have no inter...

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