Search found 76 matches

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by Cedar
Wed Sep 09, 2020 5:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 755
Views: 84182

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Rental cars are being stored off airport site, presumably because it's far cheaper to keep them off airport. I'm assuming to cut costs car rental agencies are only keeping a supply of vehicles at airports to support the current book of business. With a hotel you of course can't manage assets in tha...

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by Cedar
Sun Aug 30, 2020 3:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 755
Views: 84182

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Other airlines are reporting stronger bookings so what’s the problem with United? UA is heavily reliant on demand from NYC, ORD, WAS, & SF, places where demand hasn't grown significantly. Consumer sentiment in these areas is markedly different than the middle of the country, the south, & PN...

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by Cedar
Sat Aug 22, 2020 2:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 755
Views: 84182

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

It's not just about filling planes but filling planes profitably. 90% load factors with $39-$69 O/W fares means the airlines still go broke. Me thinks airlines are giving deep discounts. Obvisoulsy this is the goal, to fly profitably - but currently, the goal is to restore confidence. While it may ...

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by Cedar
Tue Aug 18, 2020 5:06 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: COVID refunds being withheld
Replies: 5
Views: 861

Re: COVID refunds being withheld

It looks like customers of EZY and Ryanair, among others are not getting refunds back onto their credit cards. Delays of over a month are common (on Twitter), even after receiving an email from the airline, saying the refund has been processed’ by them. In the UK a refund, once put through should g...

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by Cedar
Sat Aug 15, 2020 12:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 755
Views: 84182

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

The problem I see is that people are being encouraged to be tested. With more testing comes more positive numbers albeit many don't even know they have the virus. Higher numbers means more lockdowns, quarantines and travel restriction. Good luck getting the panic porn media to point out that while ...

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by Cedar
Mon Aug 10, 2020 10:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 755
Views: 84182

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

75driver wrote:
And Sunday it was. First time over 30% of last years day over day. Great news? No. Better news? Yes.

8/9/2020 831,789


:thumbsup: :thumbsup:

Cedar

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by Cedar
Tue Aug 04, 2020 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 209
Views: 9333

Re: October 1 station cuts

With the CARES act minimum service requirements set to expire September 30 most people are expecting airlines to whack stations right and left. I realize this is unprecedented so it may not be clear what's going to happen but I have a couple questions about certain potential procedures. 1. Normally...

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by Cedar
Tue Aug 04, 2020 4:43 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Virgin Galactic unveils Mach 3 Aircraft design
Replies: 57
Views: 8079

Re: Virgin Galactic unveils Mach 3 Aircraft design

This is very cool, but it's like a concept car — everyone wants one, but it'll never be built. This is a great marketing ploy by Virgin, but until they get their hands on a spare $50 billion, it won't be anything more than a great marketing ploy. :thumbsup: This is just an attempt at getting some s...

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by Cedar
Sat Jul 18, 2020 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Oh how I wish I can bring some of you into the word of airports/airlines I know - you will see that there is some of the false information being spewed out. There is a line at the door waiting for flights. Ground Handlers are begging for people as they pick up more work. New contracts are being sign...

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by Cedar
Thu Jul 16, 2020 4:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

There will likely be a gradual decline between now and the end of August, but the “fall off a cliff” numbers likely won’t show up until after Labor Day. After that? Anyone’s guess as to what happens I don’t think it’s “anyone’s guess.” We all know what’s coming. What's coming is what we saw in Apri...

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by Cedar
Mon Jun 29, 2020 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Weekend numbers are as follows:

6/28/2020 633,810
6/27/2020 546,310
6/26/2020 632,984

Cedar

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by Cedar
Sat Jun 20, 2020 4:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

EWR has fully opened concessions due to the increase in pax, and airtrain has resumed normal operations.
NJ entered phase 2 last Monday, this Monday will see even more reopening
NY will be entering phase 2 Monday as well

Expect to see alot more travel

Cedarg

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by Cedar
Sun Jun 14, 2020 4:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

According to an informed poster on the SMF thread, on Thursday, the TSA processed over 5000 pax @ SMF for the first time since March 18th. My own flight to SAN yesterday had 37 booked on Alaska's 76-seat E175, plus six on stand-by. That's effectively a 99% LF when accounting for the 32 blocked seat...

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by Cedar
Sat Jun 13, 2020 5:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Next milestone is 1 million - call out your dates and let's see who gets it.

Cedar

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by Cedar
Tue Jun 09, 2020 4:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

I think we may see some accelerated growth with NY & the NE opening up here over the next month. I do think this will help a lot. Having NYC shut down has to have hurt numbers. That is a lot of traffic that basically went to zero. A few international carriers have just recently returned to EWR ...

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by Cedar
Sun Jun 07, 2020 2:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

It says they are only updating in Monday-Friday now. I believe TSA is going back to their normal operating hours/routine as far as administration is concerned. Previously they had admin people working from home on a flexible schedule and extra people available due to very little support needed at a...

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by Cedar
Thu May 28, 2020 8:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer to get a US$ 600 million relief pack from the Brazilian goverment
Replies: 3
Views: 438

Re: Embraer to get a US$ 600 million relief pack from the Brazilian goverment

Embraer will be fine & will emerge a stronger company, including the commercial division - the broken deal with Boeing will only make them push that much harder & show the world that they are a force to be reconed with. You can bet they will be working hard on improving every angle of the or...

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by Cedar
Mon May 18, 2020 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Definitely agree with all the optimism here & the rapid increase in passenger numbers. I've been saying this from day one. Just in my circle alone - people are trying to book flights or looking flights to book.

The demand is there and just itching to get up & go. Watch this space.

Cedar

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by Cedar
Sun May 17, 2020 4:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

I think we will see a sharper than expected ramp up in demand. I don't think projections are accounting for the fact that this initial rise in demand may be a litmus test for many on the sidelines. Once they see a friend or family member fly but not get sick, they will be more likely to do it thems...

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by Cedar
Wed May 13, 2020 4:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

VS will have fewer revenue-earning opportunities than BA due to BA's larger fleet. Computer says NO. This is not Field of Dreams "If you build it they will come" type of situation. The list of destinations served plus the frequency offered matters now as well as later this year. Not curre...

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by Cedar
Mon May 11, 2020 5:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Avianca has filed for Chapter 11
Replies: 65
Views: 14961

Re: Avianca has filed for Chapter 11

I'm sure they'll still be there in some way. There are lots of local entities within Avianca that could be revived From the looks of it, they may wind down operations in Peru temporarily in lockstep with the Chapter 11 filing, but there too, who else would fill the gap long term? The demand will st...

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by Cedar
Mon May 11, 2020 1:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Vs is not viable. Why don't you show us how vs can be viable? And once you do that, now take into consideration that demand won't reocver for 5 years and how they can be viable with that? Therein lies the fault in your argument. VS has traded for 36 years through 9/11, SARS, MERS and the 2008 crash...

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by Cedar
Fri May 08, 2020 11:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

If DL did something shortly before signing up to the CARES act that was obviously designed to circumvent the purpose of the CARES act (i.e. offer a loan or some other support to VS) do you suppose the “America first” trump administration would have permitted DL to continue to participate in it? You...

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by Cedar
Wed May 06, 2020 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United exercises options for 8 787-10s
Replies: 140
Views: 25147

Re: United exercises options for 7 787-10s

How's the dispatch reliability of the UA 767-300s? I'm sure it's better now than it used to be pre-merger, but what is it now? The dispatch reliability of our 763s is nil because the entire fleet is grounded. Based on the summer international schedule UA has released thus far the 763s probably won'...

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by Cedar
Wed May 06, 2020 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United exercises options for 8 787-10s
Replies: 140
Views: 25147

Re: United orders 7 787-10s

Yes there will be layoffs but no one knows a number.....Forbes sure as hell doesn’t. They got their number from websites with bad info including this one. So writing that 1/3 of the pilots are facing lay-off is irresponsible. The number is known, both at United and within Treasury. The CARES Act lo...

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by Cedar
Tue May 05, 2020 1:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

User001 wrote:
AirHansa,

Would you like to add any more sweeping, unfounded and frankly some cases, bigoted generalisation your post? Don't quite think you got enough in there!


:thumbsup: :rotfl: :rotfl:

Cedar

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by Cedar
Mon May 04, 2020 11:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Look's like VS is getting ready to ditch LGW(?) - all 747s are (or will be this week) trnfr'd to MAN while the remaining 333s at LGW will relocate to LHR. After this is complete, LGW will have no VS aircraft parked. This week planned activity: G-VAST, Boeing 747 – LGW->MAN§ G-VROS, Boeing 747 – LHR...

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by Cedar
Mon May 04, 2020 1:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Didn't LGW close their North Terminal anyway - where VS operate from.

Cedar

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by Cedar
Sun May 03, 2020 3:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Warren Buffet out of aviation
Replies: 19
Views: 2851

Re: Warren Buffet out of aviation

Warren Buffet knows his stuff yes, is a great investor & has a great track record. But let's be real - he is in it for the money. He's been back & forth on the airline industry so much in past years and changes his mind based on what he knows and sees. He's been quoted on saying he will neve...

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by Cedar
Sun May 03, 2020 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Look's like VS is getting ready to ditch LGW(?) - all 747s are (or will be this week) trnfr'd to MAN while the remaining 333s at LGW will relocate to LHR. After this is complete, LGW will have no VS aircraft parked. This week planned activity: G-VAST, Boeing 747 – LGW->MAN§ G-VROS, Boeing 747 – LHR...

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by Cedar
Fri May 01, 2020 3:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PHL hurt by proximity to EWR/JFK?
Replies: 41
Views: 5035

Re: PHL hurt by proximity to EWR/JFK?

To what extent will PHL’s international growth and relevance always be restricted by the massive number of international flights at EWR(81 miles away) and JFK(105 miles away)? I remember back in the day, PHL had a respectable evening lineup of Air France, British Airways, KLM, Swissair(Now Swiss In...

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by Cedar
Thu Apr 30, 2020 2:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Rumour has it BA may not reopen Gatwick sadly, but if this did happen maybe VS could sell it's LHR slots and consolidate back to LGW without having to access taxpayers money . ..... and then maybe interline with easyjet etc . VS has no LHR slots to sell - they were used as collateral against a 300 ...

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by Cedar
Wed Apr 29, 2020 8:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Perfect example - they changed the airline logo 10 years ago. It took them 8 years to complete the entire fleet. I'm not including the the A346 - which they decided 2 years ago they would retire. Why paint aircraft unless you have to? You make some points about costs due to their operation, but it ...

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by Cedar
Wed Apr 29, 2020 5:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Don't mean to get off topic too much, but this has to do with profitability: Have a look: Does anyone not see something wrong here? For an airline of this size - this seems like mismanagement. Costs are too high for a number of reasons.below. VS have: 1.) 42 Aircraftt 2.) 4 fleet types - I can unde...

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by Cedar
Wed Apr 29, 2020 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Don't mean to get off topic too much, but this has to do with profitability: Have a look: Does anyone not see something wrong here? For an airline of this size - this seems like mismanagement. Costs are too high for a number of reasons.below. VS have: 1.) 42 Aircraftt 2.) 4 fleet types - I can under...

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by Cedar
Mon Apr 27, 2020 7:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

We might want to check where Virgin Enterprises is based. From what I can tell, it is the UK. I also believe Necker Island is part of Virgin Enterprises. So profits from the island go to the UK? There is loads of anti Branson shouting here, and a lot of it seems to be based on incorrect assumptions...

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by Cedar
Mon Apr 27, 2020 5:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Can someone confirm if the 0.6% = £170 million in 2019 is true? Maybe this is where you should have started. Just because there is a royalty agreement in place does not mean the Virgin Group is receiving the royalties. The piece in The Times said that the undisclosed royalty was paid to Virgin Ente...

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by Cedar
Fri Apr 17, 2020 7:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

Shai has given this update to staff today: "Virgin Atlantic has weathered many storms since 1984, but Covid-19 has proven quite different to anything we’ve experienced before. The impact on our business has been extreme: before the crisis, our Velocity plan was well on track. Our business was ...

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by Cedar
Wed Apr 15, 2020 4:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EWR feeling the effects of Covid-19
Replies: 49
Views: 7581

Re: EWR feeling the effects of Covid-19

VS closing down EWR & LH dropping a flight is hardly the demise of EWR. JFK has lost flights as well. As for VS - although the station was closed during COVID-19, the actual reason was VS claiming it was loss making. I think this was in the works for a while, they wanted to focus on JFK as it i...

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by Cedar
Wed Apr 15, 2020 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EWR feeling the effects of Covid-19
Replies: 49
Views: 7581

Re: EWR feeling the effects of Covid-19

VS closing down EWR & LH dropping a flight is hardly the demise of EWR. JFK has lost flights as well. As for VS - although the station was closed during COVID-19, the actual reason was VS claiming it was loss making. I think this was in the works for a while, they wanted to focus on JFK as it is...

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by Cedar
Mon Apr 13, 2020 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

I think everyone needs to understand what the UK gov't is seeing - injecting money into VS would mean 49% of that money being for or helping DL, which is a US based company (I'm not saying the money gets transferred to DL - just that it supports DL operation as half of VS belongs to DL). Before VS ...

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by Cedar
Mon Apr 13, 2020 2:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

He did, and my guess is that he won't let VS collapse. Virgin founder Richard Branson giving $250 million to help employees https://www.wesh.com/article/virgin-founder-richard-branson-giving-dollar250-million-to-help-employees/31905226 I just want to clarify a few misconceptions here: 1.) The injec...

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by Cedar
Sat Apr 11, 2020 9:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183641

Re: Virgin Atlantic needs government support?

on financial consideration, it's not the best idea to save VS either. At some point, U2 will be in trouble. At a further point down the line, BA and FR will be in trouble. Are you going to save every airline? I would say you save the ones that were profitable before this and can pay you back. VS wa...

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by Cedar
Tue Apr 07, 2020 4:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Edited EWR Photo On Google Earth Shows Just 2 Planes At The Gates
Replies: 28
Views: 6055

Re: VERY Recent EWR Photo On Google Earth Shows Just 2 Planes At The Gates

This is truly stunning. All gates at the airport are empty except for two: https://www.google.com/maps/place/Newark+Liberty+International+Airport/@40.6955523,-74.1765798,246a,35y,316.66h,47.99t/data=!3m1!1e3!4m5!3m4!1s0x0:0xb3f3b437c5d7f286!8m2!3d40.6895314!4d-74.1744624 You should change the topic...

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by Cedar
Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz
Replies: 245
Views: 44309

Re: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz

EWR used to be the mst expensive airport to operate from in NY area (not sure in the nation) - but over the past few years they have done extensive work to reduce that. Especially after UA applied the pressure on PANYNJ & it became public news in major news outlets. In my opinion, I saw no real...

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by Cedar
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz
Replies: 245
Views: 44309

Re: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz

I would actually think this would present an opportunity to rebuild the network in the direction they were going pre COVID. That is shifting connections to IAD. ULCC's aren't in any better position to expand and the FAA has already indicated it likely won't fill all of Southwest's former schedule. ...

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by Cedar
Mon Mar 30, 2020 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz
Replies: 245
Views: 44309

Re: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz

I'm thinking business travel will be especially slow to return to pre-COVID-19 levels. United's biggest competitors are no longer AA, DL, BA, etc. -- they're Zoom, WebEx, Blackboard Collab, and a host of other SaaS tech offerings allowing businesses to successfully operate without the hassles of ai...

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by Cedar
Sat Mar 28, 2020 2:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Norm? - UAL has averaged 80 flts. in the air 3/27
Replies: 17
Views: 3626

Re: New Norm? - UAL has averaged 80 flts. in the air 3/27

Very sad times for the friendly skies! Seems like AA, DL, and WN are doing much better than UA! I loved United Airlines and hope they survive, but things seem to be worse there than others. Let's hope they can make it!!! I would not say UA is doing worse than AA, DL or WN is....although don't get m...

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by Cedar
Tue Mar 24, 2020 2:26 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Corona virus Bailout Bill (US)
Replies: 145
Views: 8161

Re: Corona virus Bailout Bill (US)

Cash grants for the airlines would be OK with me only if they were to be purposed for payroll and immediate needs like securing mothballing facilities. I don't think that airlines can be trusted to purpose them for payroll or any specific urgent needs. For instance, how can you guarantee that airli...

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