Search found 184 matches

by wave46
Fri Jan 10, 2020 1:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft and niches
Replies: 6
Views: 1628

Aircraft and niches

One of the most interesting things I've noticed as a recent trend in airliner development is that aircraft development is becoming so costly and complex as to eliminate any hope of niche aircraft succeeding profitably. This sort of homogenization is good from a cost perspective (if not from an AvGee...

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by wave46
Wed Jan 08, 2020 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Canadian Airports 2019 statistics
Replies: 207
Views: 31704

Re: Canadian Airports 2019 statistics

Here’s some YYT pax stats info at last: https://www.thetelegram.com/news/local/passenger-trafffic-down-at-st-johns-international-airport-in-2019-392352/ Through November they’re at 1,353,439 = -3.9%. Also, here is also finally YYT’s pax stats for the past several years thru Nov: https://i.postimg.c...

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by wave46
Tue Dec 24, 2019 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: DL retired MD-80/90s quickly
Replies: 1133
Views: 250028

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

Here's a question regarding the MD-80/-90 and Boeing 717. Since they're of the same airline family, what kind of interchangeability is there between them for parts? Obviously, things like engines are different, but what about the other nuts and bolts? Or are they so different despite being part of t...

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by wave46
Thu Dec 12, 2019 4:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada Announce Summer Seasonal YUL-BNA, YYC-BOS & More YVR-EWR
Replies: 119
Views: 11857

Re: Air Canada Announce Summer Seasonal YUL-BNA, YYC-BOS & More YVR-EWR

China's been heavily involved in Vancouver since the 80s. You can pretty much get a 1:1 correlation between Chinese money flowing into Canada and real estate prices soaring on their speculation. In fact Tshingua Group is still quietly fishing around for a small but capable international airline bas...

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by wave46
Thu Dec 12, 2019 4:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada Announce Summer Seasonal YUL-BNA, YYC-BOS & More YVR-EWR
Replies: 119
Views: 11857

Re: Air Canada Announce Summer Seasonal YUL-BNA, YYC-BOS & More YVR-EWR

Because AC paid off the Canadian feds to let them buy out all of their competition, repeatedly, while jacking up domestic prices ridiculously while flying into the U.S. and then on to the target Canadian city was cheaper... Like I said WestJet just doesn't ave the capital for an all-new fleet. Star...

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by wave46
Thu Dec 12, 2019 3:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada Announce Summer Seasonal YUL-BNA, YYC-BOS & More YVR-EWR
Replies: 119
Views: 11857

Re: Air Canada Announce Summer Seasonal YUL-BNA, YYC-BOS & More YVR-EWR

Maybe I just have low expectations, but I've always wondered about the hyperbole that surrounds these things. I've flown both AC and Westjet and found them comparable domestically. Given that there's only 2 major airlines in the country, I'm not surprised one of them is 'most hated' and the other is...

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by wave46
Wed Nov 20, 2019 4:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should the Commonwealth create a Common Aviation Area like the ECAA in Europe?
Replies: 40
Views: 3633

Re: Should the Commonwealth create a Common Aviation Area like the ECAA in Europe?

Aside from the Commonwealth bit, there's not tons these countries have in common. They're far apart. They don't necessarily trade much with each other. I can't see why BA, Qantas, Air India or Air New Zealand would want to operate domestic flights in Canada or vice-versa. I don't see where they'd ge...

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by wave46
Sun Nov 17, 2019 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 805
Views: 123545

Re: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2019

According to the latest WSJ survey, PHX ranks number #1 airport in the US. While these articles are subjective, I think they picked a fair choice of metrics to measure with. While PHX scores high for friendliest, and one of the fastest gate to runway scores, we are weak on International, and destin...

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by wave46
Mon Nov 11, 2019 2:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2019
Replies: 284
Views: 29187

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2019

I flew in from LAX on AA83 this morning. Very comfortable and well appointed 789; but only about 2/3 full (and mostly Americans actually). Is this roughly the loading we'd expect from a recently restarted seasonal service? It's only early November, so it's not quite peak travel season to NZ - espec...

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by wave46
Sun Nov 10, 2019 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What are KLM 737 replacement options?
Replies: 508
Views: 53913

Re: KLM 737 replacement options, A321XLR inevitable?

Depends on when KLM wants new narrowbodies IMO. If they want them before 2025, advantage Boeing. Boeing will probably bend over backwards on pricing and delivery due to the MAX debacle. Airbus has less capacity to offer deals in the short-term - they're running full-tilt on deliveries as-is. If they...

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by wave46
Sun Nov 10, 2019 11:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interesting article on what regional airliners are reaching the chop shop
Replies: 27
Views: 6219

Re: Interesting article on what regional airliners are reaching the chop shop

How much market that is remains to be seen - it definitely seems to be a niche market these days. Short-haul travel (less than a couple of hundred nautical miles) by airplane is stagnant or in decline. Islands are the likely driver for large turboprops going forward - both in developed markets (e.g...

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by wave46
Sun Nov 10, 2019 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interesting article on what regional airliners are reaching the chop shop
Replies: 27
Views: 6219

Re: Interesting article on what regional airliners are reaching the chop shop

Thanks for posting. Good news for ATR and Embraer. Was it wrong from Bombardier to sell it's Q400 or would it be replaced with E175-E2 anyway? The Q400 was a dead man walking, so getting what little they could for it made sense. ATR will likely own much of the turboprop market for the near future. ...

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by wave46
Sun Nov 10, 2019 11:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Only 13yrs service now decomissioned VS A346
Replies: 76
Views: 15606

Re: Only 13yrs service now decomissioned VS A346

The efficiency aside, I wonder if the Trent 500's relative uniqueness factors into retirements. AFAIK, the A340-500/600 were the only airliners powered with that engine. Whereas the A340-300 was powered by the much more ubiquitous CFM56, so teardowns and rehabs would be cheaper, no? Anyway, I'm of t...

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by wave46
Wed Oct 30, 2019 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - October 2019
Replies: 353
Views: 75919

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - October 2019

Related question for NZ people: On my return flight, I have to connect in Auckland from a domestic Air New Zealand flight to an international one. The itinerary I've booked shows a 1:20 connection time. Will this be adequate? I know there is separate domestic and international terminals, so I'm wond...

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by wave46
Wed Oct 30, 2019 2:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - October 2019
Replies: 353
Views: 75919

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - October 2019

My problem is why charge people an additional tax just for entering the country?? That is like building a wall around the outside. They should issue access permits in more limited number per day like the Inca Trail, Angkor Wat or Gorilla Trekking in Rwanda. It should be user pays on the individual ...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 20, 2019 3:13 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: How many DC-3's are still operational?
Replies: 13
Views: 2305

Re: How many DC-3's are still operational?

The Canadian Warplane Heritage Museum in Hamilton, Ontario takes people for rides on their DC-3 for CAD80 per person. A Beech 18 as well for the same price. For the more daring they have a whole range of aircraft taking passengers for rides. From small, like a Tiger Moth, through things like a Mitc...

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by wave46
Wed Sep 18, 2019 4:08 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Yes/No Poll: Do You Like American Airlines?
Replies: 51
Views: 3817

Re: Yes/No Poll: Do You Like American Airlines?

Yes, American was fine.

The planes went up in the air and came down at the airport it was supposed to on-time.

That's all I paid for and what I received.

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by wave46
Wed Sep 18, 2019 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: LX A220 GTF IFSD on September 16th, 2019
Replies: 95
Views: 22533

Re: Potential that A220 is grounded following new engine issues ?

Is the A220 engine that different from the A320neo engine? I know they're different models of the engine. A grounding of all the P&W engines would be a logistical nightmare on top of the MAX grounding.

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by wave46
Wed Sep 18, 2019 3:21 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Future 747-8 orders?
Replies: 35
Views: 6574

Re: Future 747-8 orders?

I could see a few more top off orders from current 747-8F customers, and I imagine Boeing could be doing the last call to those airlines before announcing the end of production. At 6 aircraft produced per year, Boeing doesn't need to sell very many freighters to keep production going for a long tim...

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by wave46
Sat Sep 14, 2019 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: DL retired MD-80/90s quickly
Replies: 1133
Views: 250028

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

We've seen this before, no? Once the L-1011 starting being retired, it seemed like it was gone overnight. Same with the 727, IIRC. The effect is more pronounced with small subtypes like the MD-90 as the limiting factor tends to be components supply drying up and lack of scrapped aircraft to support ...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Market Surpression within Markets
Replies: 79
Views: 7421

Re: Market Surpression within Markets

If an airline loses money with 300 passengers daily at $170 a pop, what is the logical decision?

a. Continue losing money.
b. Increase fares
c. Decrease number of flights
d. A mix of b & c

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 3:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Canadian Airports 2019 statistics
Replies: 207
Views: 31704

Re: Canadian Airports 2019 statistics

Between the HST/GST/QST, AIF's, airport rent and various other taxes/fees Canadians are absolutely being hosed. The Federal public service is strangling consumers with more and more taxes while providing less and less services in return. Imagine how much higher the traffic figures would be if the f...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MD90 vs B737 Max
Replies: 50
Views: 9946

Re: MD90 vs B737 Max

If Boeing had only known that its path to riches was to keep the MD-80, MD-90, MD-11, 707, 717, 727 and 757 in production when they discontinued them years (and decades) ago. I mean, airlines loved them at the time, so why not? The MD-90 will be gone in a few years. Cool airplane, absolutely. A 1967...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: fleet simplifications in the future
Replies: 4
Views: 826

Re: fleet simplifications in the future

During the last decade the airlines have reduced the number of aircraft models, simplifying from 1 to 2 models in narrowbody aircraft, 1 or 2 widebody aircraft, possible proposals: The MAX debacle showed the risks of oversimplifying for large airlines though. If the MAX grounding had happened 5 yea...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 2:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAS 737-600 Retirement
Replies: 74
Views: 13885

Re: SAS 737-600 Retirement

Got to ride in a WestJet 737-600 a couple of years ago. I don't think they'll be holding onto them for too much longer - it looked fairly tired. I'm guessing they'll keep the -600s going until the MAX is back in service, but I can't imagine they'll be there much longer than that. The -600 always ha...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 12:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAS 737-600 Retirement
Replies: 74
Views: 13885

Re: SAS 737-600 Retirement

Got to ride in a WestJet 737-600 a couple of years ago. I don't think they'll be holding onto them for too much longer - it looked fairly tired. I'm guessing they'll keep the -600s going until the MAX is back in service, but I can't imagine they'll be there much longer than that. The -600 always had...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Narrow Body Longhaul development thread
Replies: 125
Views: 15827

Re: Narrow Body Longhaul development thread

...incremental game-changer.... I'm not trying to be excessively pedantic, but isn't this kind of a contradiction in terms? There's so much usage of the term 'game-changer' to effectively become meaningless. A 'game-changer' is an aircraft that revolutionizes travel - the 707 and 747 being fairly o...

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by wave46
Fri Sep 13, 2019 12:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will anyone pick up AA’s retired MD80’s ?
Replies: 50
Views: 11762

Re: Will anyone pick up AA’s retired MD80’s ?

Aside from a few niche operators, I don't see much of a future for these aircraft. As the aircraft is progressively retired, manufacturers of the spares that kept this aircraft flying have exited the business. That makes spares expensive as they're effectively custom-built pieces. Sure, you can sour...

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by wave46
Thu Jul 04, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What is next for Icelandair?
Replies: 80
Views: 13388

Re: What is next for Icelandair?

Maybe they'll look into the A320neo/A321XLR. It seems to be the next Reykjavik fish hauler by specs alone. A few used A330s to replace their aging 767s might be in order too. If the MAX debacle had happened later, FI would have been quite the jam with regards to capacity. Then again, they might be w...

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by wave46
Thu Jul 04, 2019 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flair Air chairman urges Canada to cap airport improvement fees
Replies: 25
Views: 2653

Re: Flair Air chairman urges Canada to cap airport improvement fees

Everyone wants everyone else to subsidize them. First rule of politics and business.

I say that the costs of airports should be borne by the users of those airports. The Airport Improvement Fee is the most transparent way of funding it, whereas taxpayer-funding is not very transparent at all.

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by wave46
Tue Jul 02, 2019 12:55 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: One-big-airport nations
Replies: 21
Views: 1690

Re: One-big-airport nations

Denmark is odd. It has one big hub (CPH) which is all the way at the edge of the country near the Swedish border. Due to it's location it's inconvenient for anyone outside Copenhagen. You have to cross the city to get to the airport. The airports outside CPH are much smaller, BLL only having a frac...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 27, 2019 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 390
Views: 72150

Re: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat

Blerg wrote:
So that leaves Canada with two major players, Air Canada and WestJet?


Sunwing Airlines is a competitor on sun routes. They focus more on complete vacation packages though.

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by wave46
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 390
Views: 72150

Re: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat

Bingo. This is far from a done deal. The impact on competition and pricing is huge. The chances of Transat remaining a separate, distinct brand with a distinct head office, a completely duplicated management team and infrastructure beyond about 24 months is somewhere between slim and none. It'll be...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 390
Views: 72150

Re: Air Canada to Buy Air Transat – Confirmed

I'm still not a fan of this deal due to the effects it will have on competition. Air Canada can promise to keep both separate for the regulators for a certain time, but as soon as they're past the required time, they'll fold their operations together. Why else would they buy an airline, if not to de...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to Acquire CRJ Program from Bombardier
Replies: 332
Views: 50585

Re: Updated: Mitsubishi finalising deal for acquisition of CRJ programme according to FlightGlobal

700 million for that and they don't even get the production facilities? Meh, sounds like a bad deal. What kind of IP are we talking about? The type certificate of an aircraft about to cease production? How to design and produce an aircraft that complies with worldwide aviation standards would be th...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to Acquire CRJ Program from Bombardier
Replies: 332
Views: 50585

Re: Updated: Mitsubishi finalising deal for acquisition of CRJ programme according to FlightGlobal

And MHI will not take over the CRJ production facilities. They will "hire" Bombardier to build and deliver the remaining backlog on their behalf (suggesting they will take no further CRJ orders). So what did they buy then? An empty shell, customer lists, warehouses, parts? Seems stupid to...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to Acquire CRJ Program from Bombardier
Replies: 332
Views: 50585

Re: Updated: Mitsubishi finalising deal for acquisition of CRJ programme according to FlightGlobal

How many of us here are old enough to remember when the CRJ 50 seater debuted (remember the articles in ATW, and Airways mags)? And how it changed the aviation scene. And now the company that ushered in that era is leaving the not only the segment but market. The only inevitability in life is chang...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 20, 2019 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Effect of MAX Grounding on Airlines without 737NG (AC, FI)
Replies: 41
Views: 11140

Re: Effect of MAX Grounding on Airlines without 737NG (AC, FI)

I have always been an Airbus fan. Personally I hope deals are being worked in the background where Air Canada could say, "Hey Boeing, come pick up your trash, we're going with A320s after all". But ... they didn't ask me, and my scenario is very unlikely! ;) Could not agree more. AC is th...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 20, 2019 3:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 390
Views: 72150

Re: Air Canada in exclusive talks to buy Air Transat

6 days left. I'm waiting... Frankly, I would be a little surprised if this were not approved. I am sure Air Canada's legal team has done their homework and know what is likely and not likely to past muster. On the other had, it goes back to the speculation of intent. Does AC really want to merge th...

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by wave46
Wed Jun 19, 2019 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study
Replies: 147
Views: 23488

Re: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study

The value equation is different for EK as they are going to have to keep operating them, whereas for AF (and some other operators) there is an opportunity to eliminate the fleet entirely which has its own value benefits (and also a smaller number which may have a chance to be absorbed in the second...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 18, 2019 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study
Replies: 147
Views: 23488

Re: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study

How on earth can new seats cost 50 million Euros per aircraft? Surely they could find suppliers that charge reasonable prices for this stuff. It's not as if most of these seats are even particularly comfortable or advanced. You might want to check out Swiss blog post detailing their recent A340 cab...

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by wave46
Fri Jun 14, 2019 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: YTZ 44 Slot Increase by 2023 According to 2018 Master Plan Draft
Replies: 44
Views: 4819

Re: YTZ 44 Slot Increase by 2023 According to 2018 Master Plan Draft

YYZ-YHZ is the obvious add. No one has mentioned it That would seem to be the most obvious one to me as well. I'm not sure the additional slots will really get used by either AC or Porter though. Porter seems to be bumping its head on viable destinations as they've tried a few US and Canadian desti...

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by wave46
Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:48 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: If you could rename any airport what would it be?
Replies: 43
Views: 3929

Re: If you could rename any airport what would it be?

Montreal-Trudeau airport back to Montreal-Dorval airport.

Montreal-Mirabel airport to Montreal-Trudeau.

That would be fitting.

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by wave46
Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 24319

25

I wonder, though, isn't the 787 more economical than the 757, especially the 757-300? Of course, capacity is a different concern. But I would think on some of the highest capacity routes, like from Seattle, the 787 could make sense. Isn't Icelandair in a pretty strong growth mode? In an absolute se...

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by wave46
Tue Feb 26, 2019 10:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO
Replies: 77
Views: 12975

Re: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO

Glad to hear about YVR-AKL for 2019/20 - was thinking about a trip to NZ next year! I'd rather transit YVR than LAX/SFO, so I'm quite pleased to hear about this change.

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by wave46
Mon Feb 25, 2019 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 24319

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Airbus will offer A330-800 on short term lease which can then be extended or swapped out for A321XLR depending on Icelandair's experiences/preferences. I'd say the running costs of an A330-800 would not be significantly greater (if greater at all) than a 757 at this point. Boeing can offer the 787 ...

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by wave46
Sun Feb 24, 2019 8:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 24319

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Explained like this (more range please but no more capacity, thank you) looks like a stalemate. I see it from a different perspective: 1. The 737 MAX carries less passengers than the 757s. (Not sure about cargo though, let's not forget about the fish). It's not the perfect plane for all their route...

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by wave46
Sun Feb 24, 2019 6:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 24319

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Well, if they want to keep their 737-MAXs for many many years and turn them into their workhouse it begs the question how many A321XLRs or Boeing's NMA will they really need? If it's a modest number, they can't expect Boeing to go out of the way to please them. I thought we were talking about a sig...

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by wave46
Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 24319

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Whew. We seem to be looking at all sorts of contortions to keep FI an all-Boeing operation. What's driving it? The romance of the 757? A feeling that A321s can't work in FI's route structure? An assumption FI management are more interested in preserving the Boeing relationship than optimising their...

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by wave46
Sat Feb 23, 2019 8:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada and Jazz (Chorus) Extend Agreement to 2035
Replies: 71
Views: 9738

Re: Air Canada and Jazz (Chorus) Extend Agreement to 2035

So, the summary version (please correct me if I'm wrong): - Sky Regional: No change, still flies E175s - Air Georgian: contract terminated, B1900 & CRJ100 remains with them, CRJ200 moves to Jazz - Jazz: takes over Air Georgian CRJ200 routes; DH1 to be retired and replaced with refurbished DH3 - ...

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