Search found 156 matches

by wave46
Thu Jul 04, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What is next for Icelandair?
Replies: 80
Views: 12148

Re: What is next for Icelandair?

Maybe they'll look into the A320neo/A321XLR. It seems to be the next Reykjavik fish hauler by specs alone. A few used A330s to replace their aging 767s might be in order too. If the MAX debacle had happened later, FI would have been quite the jam with regards to capacity. Then again, they might be w...

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by wave46
Thu Jul 04, 2019 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flair Air chairman urges Canada to cap airport improvement fees
Replies: 25
Views: 2401

Re: Flair Air chairman urges Canada to cap airport improvement fees

Everyone wants everyone else to subsidize them. First rule of politics and business.

I say that the costs of airports should be borne by the users of those airports. The Airport Improvement Fee is the most transparent way of funding it, whereas taxpayer-funding is not very transparent at all.

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by wave46
Tue Jul 02, 2019 12:55 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: One-big-airport nations
Replies: 21
Views: 1250

Re: One-big-airport nations

Denmark is odd. It has one big hub (CPH) which is all the way at the edge of the country near the Swedish border. Due to it's location it's inconvenient for anyone outside Copenhagen. You have to cross the city to get to the airport. The airports outside CPH are much smaller, BLL only having a frac...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 27, 2019 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 308
Views: 49791

Re: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat

Blerg wrote:
So that leaves Canada with two major players, Air Canada and WestJet?


Sunwing Airlines is a competitor on sun routes. They focus more on complete vacation packages though.

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by wave46
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 308
Views: 49791

Re: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat

Bingo. This is far from a done deal. The impact on competition and pricing is huge. The chances of Transat remaining a separate, distinct brand with a distinct head office, a completely duplicated management team and infrastructure beyond about 24 months is somewhere between slim and none. It'll be...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 308
Views: 49791

Re: Air Canada to Buy Air Transat – Confirmed

I'm still not a fan of this deal due to the effects it will have on competition. Air Canada can promise to keep both separate for the regulators for a certain time, but as soon as they're past the required time, they'll fold their operations together. Why else would they buy an airline, if not to de...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to Acquire CRJ Program from Bombardier
Replies: 309
Views: 30462

Re: Updated: Mitsubishi finalising deal for acquisition of CRJ programme according to FlightGlobal

700 million for that and they don't even get the production facilities? Meh, sounds like a bad deal. What kind of IP are we talking about? The type certificate of an aircraft about to cease production? How to design and produce an aircraft that complies with worldwide aviation standards would be th...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to Acquire CRJ Program from Bombardier
Replies: 309
Views: 30462

Re: Updated: Mitsubishi finalising deal for acquisition of CRJ programme according to FlightGlobal

And MHI will not take over the CRJ production facilities. They will "hire" Bombardier to build and deliver the remaining backlog on their behalf (suggesting they will take no further CRJ orders). So what did they buy then? An empty shell, customer lists, warehouses, parts? Seems stupid to...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries to Acquire CRJ Program from Bombardier
Replies: 309
Views: 30462

Re: Updated: Mitsubishi finalising deal for acquisition of CRJ programme according to FlightGlobal

How many of us here are old enough to remember when the CRJ 50 seater debuted (remember the articles in ATW, and Airways mags)? And how it changed the aviation scene. And now the company that ushered in that era is leaving the not only the segment but market. The only inevitability in life is chang...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 20, 2019 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Effect of MAX Grounding on Airlines without 737NG (AC, FI)
Replies: 29
Views: 7746

Re: Effect of MAX Grounding on Airlines without 737NG (AC, FI)

I have always been an Airbus fan. Personally I hope deals are being worked in the background where Air Canada could say, "Hey Boeing, come pick up your trash, we're going with A320s after all". But ... they didn't ask me, and my scenario is very unlikely! ;) Could not agree more. AC is th...

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by wave46
Thu Jun 20, 2019 3:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 308
Views: 49791

Re: Air Canada in exclusive talks to buy Air Transat

6 days left. I'm waiting... Frankly, I would be a little surprised if this were not approved. I am sure Air Canada's legal team has done their homework and know what is likely and not likely to past muster. On the other had, it goes back to the speculation of intent. Does AC really want to merge th...

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by wave46
Wed Jun 19, 2019 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study
Replies: 147
Views: 21917

Re: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study

The value equation is different for EK as they are going to have to keep operating them, whereas for AF (and some other operators) there is an opportunity to eliminate the fleet entirely which has its own value benefits (and also a smaller number which may have a chance to be absorbed in the second...

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by wave46
Tue Jun 18, 2019 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study
Replies: 147
Views: 21917

Re: Air France delays A380 cabin refit; future of fleet under study

How on earth can new seats cost 50 million Euros per aircraft? Surely they could find suppliers that charge reasonable prices for this stuff. It's not as if most of these seats are even particularly comfortable or advanced. You might want to check out Swiss blog post detailing their recent A340 cab...

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by wave46
Fri Jun 14, 2019 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: YTZ 44 Slot Increase by 2023 According to 2018 Master Plan Draft
Replies: 44
Views: 4184

Re: YTZ 44 Slot Increase by 2023 According to 2018 Master Plan Draft

YYZ-YHZ is the obvious add. No one has mentioned it That would seem to be the most obvious one to me as well. I'm not sure the additional slots will really get used by either AC or Porter though. Porter seems to be bumping its head on viable destinations as they've tried a few US and Canadian desti...

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by wave46
Fri Mar 01, 2019 1:48 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: If you could rename any airport what would it be?
Replies: 43
Views: 3519

Re: If you could rename any airport what would it be?

Montreal-Trudeau airport back to Montreal-Dorval airport.

Montreal-Mirabel airport to Montreal-Trudeau.

That would be fitting.

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by wave46
Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 23601

25

I wonder, though, isn't the 787 more economical than the 757, especially the 757-300? Of course, capacity is a different concern. But I would think on some of the highest capacity routes, like from Seattle, the 787 could make sense. Isn't Icelandair in a pretty strong growth mode? In an absolute se...

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by wave46
Tue Feb 26, 2019 10:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO
Replies: 77
Views: 11853

Re: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO

Glad to hear about YVR-AKL for 2019/20 - was thinking about a trip to NZ next year! I'd rather transit YVR than LAX/SFO, so I'm quite pleased to hear about this change.

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by wave46
Mon Feb 25, 2019 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 23601

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Airbus will offer A330-800 on short term lease which can then be extended or swapped out for A321XLR depending on Icelandair's experiences/preferences. I'd say the running costs of an A330-800 would not be significantly greater (if greater at all) than a 757 at this point. Boeing can offer the 787 ...

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by wave46
Sun Feb 24, 2019 8:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 23601

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Explained like this (more range please but no more capacity, thank you) looks like a stalemate. I see it from a different perspective: 1. The 737 MAX carries less passengers than the 757s. (Not sure about cargo though, let's not forget about the fish). It's not the perfect plane for all their route...

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by wave46
Sun Feb 24, 2019 6:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 23601

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Well, if they want to keep their 737-MAXs for many many years and turn them into their workhouse it begs the question how many A321XLRs or Boeing's NMA will they really need? If it's a modest number, they can't expect Boeing to go out of the way to please them. I thought we were talking about a sig...

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by wave46
Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 23601

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

Whew. We seem to be looking at all sorts of contortions to keep FI an all-Boeing operation. What's driving it? The romance of the 757? A feeling that A321s can't work in FI's route structure? An assumption FI management are more interested in preserving the Boeing relationship than optimising their...

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by wave46
Sat Feb 23, 2019 8:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada and Jazz (Chorus) Extend Agreement to 2035
Replies: 69
Views: 9202

Re: Air Canada and Jazz (Chorus) Extend Agreement to 2035

So, the summary version (please correct me if I'm wrong): - Sky Regional: No change, still flies E175s - Air Georgian: contract terminated, B1900 & CRJ100 remains with them, CRJ200 moves to Jazz - Jazz: takes over Air Georgian CRJ200 routes; DH1 to be retired and replaced with refurbished DH3 - ...

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by wave46
Sat Feb 23, 2019 7:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 23601

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

With the 737MAX coming into service, Icelandair now has the ability to move the 757s into lighter-duty service. The 737 can do the bulk of the routes, while the 757s can be saved for the routes they are needed for their legs. Sure, such strategy would "buy them some time", but how efficie...

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by wave46
Sat Feb 23, 2019 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement
Replies: 123
Views: 23601

Re: Icelandair negotiating with Boeing and Airbus for a 757 replacement

With the 737MAX coming into service, Icelandair now has the ability to move the 757s into lighter-duty service. The 737 can do the bulk of the routes, while the 757s can be saved for the routes they are needed for their legs. Based on speculation, the 797/MOM looks to be the right size and have the ...

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by wave46
Fri Feb 15, 2019 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes
Replies: 59
Views: 6266

Re: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes

You say quads have no future but we still have B-52s with 8 engines flying around since the 50s. They'll all have a purpose. True, but that's not because of any inherent advantages of 8 engines. It's more a case of 'they're paid for' and they don't accumulate enough flying hours to really justify a...

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by wave46
Fri Feb 15, 2019 5:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes
Replies: 59
Views: 6266

Re: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes

If fuel was contaminated, there is a chance that the engine would still run. Would you rather have 2 chances of it running or 4? Well, I've flown transatlantic on two-engine planes, so I judge the risk to be fairly low. I still maintain that outside of a freak event, a double failure of engines is ...

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by wave46
Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada Reports Q4 and 2018 Year-End Net Income
Replies: 19
Views: 3925

Re: Air Canada Reports Q4 and 2018 Year-End Net Income

EBITDAR is a silly measurement of profit. "Look at how much money I made before I had to account for expenses"

It's somewhat useful as an indicator for cash-flow purposes.

I suspect the 2017 numbers are inflated due to the sale-and-leaseback of some 787s.

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by wave46
Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes
Replies: 59
Views: 6266

Re: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes

Ziyulu wrote:
But if there was fuel contamination, it would be equally bad for a twin engine. At least with 4 engines, you have 4 options to restart versus 2.


Four engines offers no safety with contaminated fuel.

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by wave46
Fri Feb 15, 2019 3:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes
Replies: 59
Views: 6266

Re: Potential of future Quad Engine passenger planes

Will we ever go to single engine airplanes? That I can't answer, but who knows? wouldn't that be very unsafe? a single engine airliner would be done after a bit of damage to that single engine. dual engines are probably the absolute minimum because they provide some security in case one of them fai...

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by wave46
Fri Feb 15, 2019 3:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus aims to reach breakeven on A350 this year
Replies: 29
Views: 4799

Re: So Airbus is losing money on every a350 sold??

I guess Airbus admitted as much: "Airbus says it will “continue to improve the A350 programme’s performance” in order to reach break-even this year," https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/etihad-discussing-cancellation-of-42-a350s-455759/ Currently, yes. This is typical of a new airl...

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by wave46
Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cold Weather Cancellations in the US
Replies: 89
Views: 10705

Re: Cold Weather Cancellations in the US

It's even getting below the freezing temperature of the fuel. It's pretty seriously cold and will be below the temperatures the systems are designed to operate at. The windchill is but not the air temperature. Jet fuel freezes below -40°F/C air temperature. On an interesting side note, -40°F is the...

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by wave46
Sun Jan 20, 2019 2:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta MD-88/90 B-717 Fleet
Replies: 21
Views: 4633

Re: Delta MD-88/90 B-717 Fleet

MD88s are at ~83 and will be down to ~40 at end of 2019, and likely to be retired at end of 2020. As always subject to change. MD90 fleet is at ~42 active with ~23 in storage. In theory, some could return to service based on if they need the incremental capacity and economic environment. That remai...

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by wave46
Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier aims for decision on loss-making CRJ program
Replies: 59
Views: 10233

Re: Bombardier aims for decision on loss-making CRJ program

Ah, the CRJ. Stuck in no-man's land. Bombardier's precarious financial state doesn't help either. I'm not sure if ATR or Airbus could make a case for purchasing it. It probably is too limited to invest more in - a clean sheet design would be more optimal. The question then becomes: How can a clean-s...

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by wave46
Wed Jan 16, 2019 11:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: High Capacity Domestic Low Cost
Replies: 18
Views: 3170

Re: High Capacity Domestic Low Cost

There are problems with even 400+ passengers on a widebody aircraft: - the aircraft has more structural weight per passenger than a 737/A320 due to it being optimized for another mission (i.e. long-haul), which means more fuel consumption per passenger. Since you'll be using it short-haul, you'll be...

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by wave46
Tue Jan 15, 2019 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cargojet Airways fleet update
Replies: 65
Views: 9923

Re: Cargojet Airways fleet update

Good to hear! (literally) I love about 6 kms north of YHM in the Dundas Valley .... I love hearing three JT8s every now and then. (And four Merlins, but that's a whole other thread!) I've heard those Merlins on the ground in-person at YHM. What a glorious sound when they do a run-up. Just awesome. ...

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by wave46
Tue Jan 15, 2019 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The first Airbus A320 to break the 30-year in service mark
Replies: 81
Views: 18594

Re: The first Airbus A320 to break the 30-year in service mark

So how come AF & NH retired their A320-200s after about 20 to 24 years in service, while LH & AC keep going? LH has a tendency to keep their fleet modern, so why did they not replace their old A320s with new CEOs or NEOs? The old Braniff A320-231s inherited by HP-US-AA were retired the past...

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by wave46
Fri Jan 11, 2019 6:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The first Airbus A320 to break the 30-year in service mark
Replies: 81
Views: 18594

Re: A first Airbus A320 broke through the 30-year into service mark

The feeling among "experts" (like us) was that this "disposable French airplane would never last as long as a Boeing". Indeed! I read a very old topic on airliners.net some times ago. Almost all posters were saying that A300 and A320 were built to serve around 20 years, at a max...

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by wave46
Fri Jan 11, 2019 6:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The first Airbus A320 to break the 30-year in service mark
Replies: 81
Views: 18594

Re: A first Airbus A320 broke through the 30-year into service mark

I am old enough to remember when A320s started replacing 727-200s. The feeling among "experts" (like us) was that this "disposable French airplane would never last as long as a Boeing". Air Canada's first A320 will hit 30 years old at the end of this year ... the 727-200s it rep...

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by wave46
Wed Jan 09, 2019 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: An unfair comparison II - DC-7 vs. CV-880 vs. A220-100
Replies: 24
Views: 4068

Re: An unfair comparison II - DC-7 vs. CV-880 vs. A220-100

Thanks, that's a very interesting exercise. Some people may question the use of it, but I think it's a good and funny way to put things into perspective. That CV880 fuel burn is really frightening :shock: I wonder how this would compare in absolute terms with a modern large widebody like, let's say...

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by wave46
Mon Jan 07, 2019 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 'We've just grown too big, too fast:' - WestJet's CEO
Replies: 98
Views: 23937

Re: 'We've just grown too big, too fast:' - WestJet's CEO

While I don't disagree with you overall, in all fairness to Canada, there are few places around the world that don't see seasonal variation. Even the highest of the high yield destinations like JFK and LAX see considerable reductions. Main Canadian hubs also don't see excessive seasonality, YYZ for...

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by wave46
Fri Jan 04, 2019 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 'We've just grown too big, too fast:' - WestJet's CEO
Replies: 98
Views: 23937

Re: 'We've just grown too big, too fast:' - WestJet's CEO

I think the biggest question Westjet faces is: What does it want to be? Does it want to be Canadian Airlines 2.0 or Southwest North? Or some sort of hybrid? I think management must provide a clear statement of intent and that's difficult when there's been a big management shakeup in recent time. Res...

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by wave46
Thu Jan 03, 2019 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 'We've just grown too big, too fast:' - WestJet's CEO
Replies: 98
Views: 23937

Re: 'We've just grown too big, too fast:' - WestJet's CEO

I have always questioned WS strategy on eastern Canada, particularly with YYZ vs YUL. To me, a similar comparison is comparing the operations of DL vs AA in the USA Midwest. Just like ORD is the largest market and true international gateway in the Midwest, so is YYZ in eastern Canada. And both have...

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by wave46
Thu Jan 03, 2019 2:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Toronto Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 245
Views: 35035

Re: Toronto Aviation Thread - 2019

Was running some back of the napkin calculations, next summer will see over 500K additional seats spread across numerous increases (AF, LH, etc) along side AC adding 29 planes, most of which will pass through pretty frequently. Look for ~ 53 million total pax next year barring anything crazy. How m...

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by wave46
Mon Dec 31, 2018 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Departures in the middle of the night
Replies: 88
Views: 13904

Re: Departures in the middle of the night

I would also have thought that 24 hour operations is a very efficient use of aurcraft It would be; it's the other factors that make it somewhat marginal. 1. Curfews at airports. Without being able to take off and land, you're up a creek with no paddle. 2. Demand. Running a few flights at night migh...

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by wave46
Wed Dec 19, 2018 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 Longer term Impact on Airbus Strategy, the Canadian Connection
Replies: 66
Views: 9436

Re: A220 Longer term Impact on Airbus Strategy, the Canadian Connection

Another nice thing about Mobile is employees can be shifted to or from the A320 line as needed. That's the ticket, along with lower salaries and work rules. Automakers have moved towards flex plants as technology has improved. One plant produces multiple types automobiles, tailoring output to deman...

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by wave46
Wed Dec 19, 2018 8:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 Longer term Impact on Airbus Strategy, the Canadian Connection
Replies: 66
Views: 9436

Re: A220 Longer term Impact on Airbus Strategy, the Canadian Connection

Production of 120 per year in a few years, 350-400 in backlog, airlines having to wait for 10 yrs. Man, this is getting wild.. Luckily for them the aircraft seems ok, there's little competition & Airbus is well financed, so they have time to ramp up... Orders are nice. Backlog is nice. More mon...

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by wave46
Sat Dec 15, 2018 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Transat drops YUL-TLV
Replies: 17
Views: 3830

Re: Air Transat drops YUL-TLV

AC starting service on the route at the same time surely didn't help matters. Another battle won by AC. Will be interesting to see what route TS will start or upgauge because of this. Q3 2018 saw a revenue loss and operating loss. Not a good sign, considering it's supposed to be the best performing...

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by wave46
Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will DL get rid of 50 seat RJ's entirely?
Replies: 112
Views: 16121

Re: Will DL get rid of 50 seat RJ's entirely?

It is also those scary spinny thingies on the wings my sister doesn't like. Most of my medical doctor relatives, who are also Uber double platinum frequent flyers just won't get on Turboprops. Heck, I have maybe 20 relatives who won't unless I am on board (as if my aerospace engineering matters as ...

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by wave46
Wed Dec 12, 2018 2:39 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: What would have made the MD11 safer?
Replies: 127
Views: 12784

Re: What would have made the MD11 safer?

So, the MD-11 was the 1st gen Chevrolet Corvair of the airliner world.

If you knew the handling characteristics of the vehicle, it was acceptable. However, being unaware and lacking care could result in very serious consequences.

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by wave46
Sun Dec 09, 2018 6:01 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: What airplane is the Edsel of airplanes?
Replies: 24
Views: 1752

Re: What airplane is the Edsel of airplanes?

So most people know that Ford's Edsel was supposed to the the "car of the future" and had a bunch of hype, but once revealed it failed badly. What commercial airplane would be the Edsel of commercial aviation? The Edsel - despite the hype - was just another ordinary Detroit car by the sta...

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