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by moa999
Tue Sep 17, 2019 1:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Question more is where is the 330/789 coming from for the additional SYD-HND, and how many 744ERs will be staying into 2021 as a result.

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by moa999
Tue Sep 17, 2019 12:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Depends on how long the lease is.. it's certainly pretty old/tired looking last time I went through (not as bad as Auckland though)

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by moa999
Mon Sep 16, 2019 12:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 288
Views: 61825

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Looks like 332 VH-EBJ in for Internet install

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by moa999
Mon Sep 16, 2019 2:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Will see. Announcement says subject to funding and FIRB. I'd assumed FIRB meant an application by a foreign shareholder to increase their stake (and they've probably agreed to at least partially sub-underwrite any raising) If it was from cash and debt funding, I'd have thought they would have just s...

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by moa999
Sun Sep 15, 2019 1:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

And I'd think QF would pull more pax from VA versus FJ.
Seasonal route to make money for QF when lesser business domestic demand.

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by moa999
Sat Sep 14, 2019 6:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 288
Views: 61825

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

I think QF (like AA) has pretty much decided to go BYO Wifi IFE for Domestic, although we haven't seen a new domestic aircraft since 2014 (and the screens in those latter 737 are starting to look dated) The 2-class 717s got new seat covers, WiFi IFE and iPad mini in 2014/5 (but I think are now BYO)....

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by moa999
Wed Sep 11, 2019 12:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Virgin 330s came in 2012-14..
With a typical 12yr lease they've still got 5-7 years to run, so no short-term fix.
And I'm not sure if there is much demand to take over ceos nowadays

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by moa999
Tue Sep 10, 2019 2:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Well, Joyce has been a bit more cutthroat on locking Virgin out of some markets and defending the London-Perth gateway monopoly. Honestly I think VA will end up folding. The shareholders are too interested in buybacks rather than growth. Not in Qantas's interest to let Virgin fold as you'd undoubte...

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by moa999
Sun Sep 08, 2019 6:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted
Replies: 204
Views: 27590

Re: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted

London will remain a big profit centre due to the congestion. While direct ULH flights (like what Qantas has and has planned) will take some traffic (and mostly high margin traffic off EK) they will be limited in number and size and rely on having slots (QF has two existing and two it leases out) Wh...

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by moa999
Sun Sep 08, 2019 5:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted
Replies: 204
Views: 27590

Re: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted

Profit and cashflow are very different particularly in a growth phase where Capex >> Depreciation, ignoring all the other timing differences.

Mind you many other airlines are both profit and cashflow negative.

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by moa999
Thu Sep 05, 2019 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted
Replies: 204
Views: 27590

Re: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted

There is a reason that Burj Dubai became Burj Khalifa.
I agree Dubai has issues, and its oil money is running out.

But I don't see the sense for EY to move from AUH which is about to complete it's midfield terminal and has plenty of room for expansion.

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by moa999
Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Announced today internally to the Ops staff within the Qantas Campus ... The QF 747's are staying now until the 2021 .. I have no internal memo's or news articals to post as it was verbally communicated to the above staff, however I do trust my source. Maybe as a result of the two extra HND slots m...

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by moa999
Thu Sep 05, 2019 2:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

There is definitely some cap management going on.. but eventually everything needs to be replaced. And the narrowbody fleet in particular (last new 737 2014) is ageing, let alone the regional fleet. In calendar 2020 you've got the last 3 QF 787s on order, plus the start of Jetstars 18 321LRs (not XL...

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by moa999
Thu Sep 05, 2019 12:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Not a surprise. Was difficult to see how they could operate a typical 20/21 summer schedule when the forecast for 2020 fleet movements was -6 744ERs +3 787s

(ZNI/J/K all 2019 deliveries and would operate 19/20 summer)

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by moa999
Wed Sep 04, 2019 9:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Powerbank causes fire on China Eastern A320neo MU2809 NKG-XMN
Replies: 22
Views: 6151

Re: Powerbank causes fire on China Eastern A320neo MU2809 NKG-XMN

alm1 wrote:
has already banned charging using powerbanks on board. They say that during safety briefing but do not enforce much.


Would have thought that it's when the power banks are under charge (either charging, or discharging) that they are at greatest risk.

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by moa999
Wed Sep 04, 2019 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Japan allocates Haneda international slots to 9 nations
Replies: 132
Views: 26248

Re: Updated: Japan allocates Haneda international slots to 9 nations

A380 is not authorized at HND. I thought the A380 could but there were rules surrounding times (off peak only) and ground space. An A380 did a test flight in 2010. Indeed this article suggests that Qantas has looked at it https://www.executivetraveller.com/qantas-eyes-airbus-a380-upgrade-for-sydney...

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by moa999
Tue Sep 03, 2019 10:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 350
Views: 35774

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

Not sure if there are any actual facts in that Horton article.

No doubt the Kangaroo route is tough but QF has a pretty powerful asset in its FF program and corporate contracts

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by moa999
Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted
Replies: 204
Views: 27590

Re: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted

Why would EY do it?

They've got a midfield extension that opens spoon and plenty of land for further expansion and runways at AUH.

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by moa999
Mon Sep 02, 2019 12:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 288
Views: 61825

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Did QF stopped their A380 maintenance at DXB? Most of the major A380 maintenance over past years has been with Lufthansa in MNL Manilla Emirates in DXB recently did the repaint for 8. Korean Air in BUS Busan has done 1 repaint and will do other 3 Seems as though Etihad in AUH has got the contract f...

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by moa999
Sat Aug 31, 2019 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Asia ordering 12 A330neo and 30 A321xlr instead of previously announced but not confirmed 34 A330neo's
Replies: 94
Views: 16227

Re: Updated: Air Asia ordering 12 A330neo and 30 A321xlr instead of previously announced but not confirmed 34 A330neo's

musman9853 wrote:
Considering how many LCCs operate 788s, I wonder why the a338 isn't as popular with them?
Only AAX and Cebu Pacific have been willing to put 3-3-3 into a 330.
At 2-4-2 versus a 3-3-3 787 is far more competitive.

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by moa999
Sat Aug 31, 2019 5:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Asia ordering 12 A330neo and 30 A321xlr instead of previously announced but not confirmed 34 A330neo's
Replies: 94
Views: 16227

Re: Updated: Air Asia ordering 12 A330neo and 30 A321xlr instead of previously announced but not confirmed 34 A330neo's

Separate companies (and stock market listings) and books but interrelated. AAX.MK is trading near 5-yr lows and has a MCap of only US$170m according to Bloomberg. Air Asia itself owns 14% and others entities associated with Tony another 17% By comparison the main company Air Asia Berhad 5099.MK is a...

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by moa999
Sat Aug 31, 2019 1:13 am
Forum: Trip Reports
Topic: QANTAS Domestic Business Class | BNE-SYD | B737-800 | Video Link
Replies: 2
Views: 1970

Re: QANTAS Domestic Business Class | BNE-SYD | B737-800 | Video Link

Nice review and video. Qantas 737 fleet consists of 75 aircraft delivered between 2002 and 2014 (so 5 to 17 years old). The latter 37 have seatback entertainment, of which about 20 have the new Sky Interior. The first 38 rely on the app. Mostly randomly distributed on routes although the seatback IF...

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by moa999
Sat Aug 31, 2019 12:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted
Replies: 204
Views: 27590

Re: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted

I don't see a need to keep A380s longer than expected. The local economy depends on the shear volume of people the A380s bring in. EK still has 10+ A380s to be delivered. Beyond that I do expect it to keep some aircraft beyond the typical 12 years.. as otherwise you'd be replacing with 777s which f...

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by moa999
Fri Aug 30, 2019 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Asia ordering 12 A330neo and 30 A321xlr instead of previously announced but not confirmed 34 A330neo's
Replies: 94
Views: 16227

Re: Updated: Air Asia ordering 12 A330neo and 30 A321xlr instead of previously announced but not confirmed 34 A330neo's

zkojq wrote:
Air Asia has multiple operations: Malaysia, India, Indonesia, Philippines and Japan. They don't have to all be operated by Air Asia Malaysia.
.

Only Malaysia and Thailand have long-haul (or X divisions)

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by moa999
Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Asia ordering 12 A330neo and 30 A321xlr instead of previously announced but not confirmed 34 A330neo's
Replies: 94
Views: 16227

Re: AirAsia to firm up A330neos + A321xlr order/conversion

astuteman wrote:
Original order for 66 x A330NEO unchanged.
New order changed from 34 x A330NEO to 12 x A330NEO plus 30 x A321XLR


Still 78 330neos for an airline that presently has 35 330s (24 AAX + 11 TAAX) and is seemingly struggling to find additional profitable routes seems a lot.

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by moa999
Thu Aug 29, 2019 2:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

They paid to use the "Virgin" brand when they I wonder if we will see another airline start domestic operations whilst the Virgin Group are weak... similar to what Virgin did with Ansett? Im sure they'd have to pay to use any Virgin branding.. whether they can get out of the contract alto...

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by moa999
Wed Aug 28, 2019 5:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 320
Views: 47502

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

It's only a couple of hours longer than the existing 787 flights so pax experience is fairly easy to judge (though seats will be a little wider). It's the crew fatigue stuff they need to demonstrate to CASA, but again they have lots of data from the 787s. It's undoubtedly more for publicity/media.. ...

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by moa999
Wed Aug 28, 2019 2:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

Agreed - and looks like QF was right to not give Borghetti the top job! Wonder where he will pop up next?. At the time both AJ and JB were appointed, one would have though Borghetti had the easiest job. Take a low cost airline upmarket and expand market share. He's expanded, but seemingly grown cos...

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by moa999
Wed Aug 28, 2019 1:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

Also VAH has way too much cash, (1.7 Billion), I wonder if they can repurchase some shares to reduce the complex board structure, yet it will significantly draw up the D/E ratio. ? There's cash and real cash. For a start it offsets the massive amount of debt (not far behind QAN for a much small ope...

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by moa999
Tue Aug 27, 2019 10:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 320
Views: 47502

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

Ozair wrote:
If the A380 disappears from the QF fleet by 2025-28 they will have been a worthwhile investment.


With the current investment on c-checks and a full refurb of the your deck (new lounge, J and PE and refresh of F and Y, I'd see flying until 2028-30 as more likely.

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by moa999
Tue Aug 27, 2019 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?
Replies: 230
Views: 25347

Re: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?

ewt340 wrote:
B787-8 have kill A330-800neo. Airbus need to reclaim the 250 seats market that are dominated by A330-200 back in the day.


321XLR pushes into this territory.
And possible 322 for shorter seatcount.. just don't see the $s in the gap for Airbus.

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by moa999
Tue Aug 27, 2019 7:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/82jlet5by54y ... VNwsa?dl=0
Very selective angles.

The main livery is Atlas Air, including the blue engines.
-->

CraigAnderson wrote:
QF images of its new B747-8F are at https://www.dropbox.com/sh/82jlet5by54y ... VNwsa?dl=0
Very selective angles.

The main livery is Atlas Air, including the blue engines.

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by moa999
Tue Aug 27, 2019 5:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

We probably see a bit of a decision point in the next couple of years as the leased 777 comes up for renewal (at a guess 2021). The other four 777s are owned. The 330s are younger being leased from 2012-14. Reportedly not a great second hand market for the 777s and P2F conversions not cheap due to s...

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by moa999
Mon Aug 26, 2019 12:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 427
Views: 78678

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

Wouldn't believe the Seatguru figures - the QF 330 and 787 are near identical (I'd suspect the 332 figures are from the old 2-2-2 SkyBed MkI, all of which have now been refurbed) It's not just Qantas going 1-2-1 This article gives a good overview of the various designs and the large number of airlin...

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by moa999
Mon Aug 26, 2019 6:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 427
Views: 78678

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

Let's just consider widebodies given this thread. The main difference between 2-2-2 and 1-2-1 is all aisle access - so the pax doesn't have to step over someone to go to the bathroom, or be served across someone. 1-2-1 provides more privacy (although some designs provide couples pairings in the cent...

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by moa999
Sun Aug 25, 2019 11:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

VH-OJU retirement flight on 13 Oct 2019 with another points plane SYD-LAX flight.

Bookings close 2 Sep

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by moa999
Sun Aug 25, 2019 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

Only the 8 domestic configured aircraft (EBA-EBL) are getting WiFi at this point, and in any event the NBN satellite they connect to only covers the Australian mainland. Qantas has said they are waiting for the three ViaSat3 Ka satellites to launch.. these won't be operable until 2022/23 but will de...

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by moa999
Sat Aug 24, 2019 11:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: maintenance mishap causes extensive damage to an Emirates Airbus A380
Replies: 73
Views: 19245

Re: maintenance mishap causes extensive damage to an Emirates Airbus A380

lightsaber wrote:
EK:. We need to order the following doors: L1, L5 and a set of flaps for the A380 and new wing Leading edges.
Airbus: what?!?


Think they'd be used to it. Accidents happen.
Qantas recently got a big parts delivery at LAX - a new leading edge for VH-OQA after plane v truck incident

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by moa999
Sat Aug 24, 2019 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 427
Views: 78678

Re: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

Latest business being 1-2-1 layout? Sorry but the industry standard is still 2-2-2. The A350 ULR is one generation too early. If I were Joyce I'd either go with the 777-8 or wait until Airbus gets the A350 NEO flying and vie to be the launch customer. . A 1-2-1 stagger is definitely become the stan...

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by moa999
Thu Aug 22, 2019 12:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

But they are getting 321XLRs which could fly some of their current 787 routes.

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by moa999
Thu Aug 22, 2019 10:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 320
Views: 47502

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

Very smart.
Give them a good deal on the 777-9, which can then replace 380s down the line as more suitable aircraft become available.

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by moa999
Thu Aug 22, 2019 8:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 320
Views: 47502

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

Surely though it wouldn't be that hard to extrapolate from the existing 787 routes (even if they have to put the crew in a room for a few hours at the end of the flight).

But Qantas likes to get it's free publicity

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by moa999
Thu Aug 22, 2019 3:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 65972

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

Nope they've got 6 on order. 3 for delivery 2019, another 3 in 2020.

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by moa999
Thu Aug 22, 2019 12:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 320
Views: 47502

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

It's not really an announcement. They did LHR-SYD on a 747 delivery 30 years ago, so it's a piece of cake for the 789 But... this is an announcement? They're announcing that they'll test SYD/JFK-LHR on a 787 before revenue flights begin? No they are doing research on impacts of long haul flight. Th...

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by moa999
Thu Aug 22, 2019 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 320
Views: 47502

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

It's not really an announcement. They did LHR-SYD on a 747 delivery 30 years ago, so it's a piece of cake for the 789

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by moa999
Wed Aug 21, 2019 6:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?
Replies: 230
Views: 25347

Re: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?

count me out on an airplane that doesn't have physical windows that cannot be opened. .. Talk about claustrophobic [emoji38] No different to a typical overnight flight where the FAs ensure all the shutters are down, or set automatically to dark on the 787. Didn't say it would be popular with passen...

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by moa999
Wed Aug 21, 2019 3:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CAN, SZX gain renewed impetus to challenge HKG as air hub in Pearl River Delta
Replies: 26
Views: 4000

Re: CAN, SZX gain renewed impetus to challenge HKG as air hub in Pearl River Delta

As someone who is willing to connect in China, I know a lot of people wary of connecting in China and would pay high premium to connect at HKG. But that can change pretty quickly. Despite improvements with the TWOVs etc there are still issues with it that put people off. And the transit experience ...

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