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by williaminsd
Sat Sep 19, 2020 7:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

A sizable amount of demand is suppressed right now not because of fear of Covid on an airplane, its because the reasons for travel isn’t there. Border closures, governmental restrictions, corporate travel bans, mandatory WFH/WFA, all large scale events cancelled, etc. It’s not just irrational fear,...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Re: Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

I couldn't agree more. Your post is misleading, let those who read past headlines decide. Maybe you're just easily mislead... but at least you won't demand it get deleted from the site now, I hope. Welcome to Hawaii everyone! The Q after October 15th is still in place - it has been modified to allo...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Re: Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

jaybird wrote:
No resistance - I've lived in Waikiki since 1978. It's been all over the local news since it was announced yesterday. I understand what's happening.


Ok I get it. My apologies if i misunderstood.

Aloha...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Re: Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

Welcome to Hawaii if you get pretested or if you self-quarantine! I can't imagine not getting pre-tested and then having to quarantine during a vacation but some folks are doing it! If you read the article it clearly explains the process. Take test 72 hours before departing, if results negative or ...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Re: Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

And the first line in the article disagrees with you. The Q is still in place. One would hope we don't stop reading at headlines. You know this is just petty. Let people read the link and decide for themselves... I couldn't agree more. Your post is misleading, let those who read past headlines deci...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Re: Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

The Q is still in place - but you now have the option to do pre-arrival testing to avoid it. The San Francisco Chronicle website disagrees with you. The headline reads as follows: "Hawaii to lift COVID-19 quarantine for visitors starting October 15" My original post noted that it was effe...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Re: Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

The Q is still in place - but you now have the option to do pre-arrival testing to avoid it. The San Francisco Chronicle website disagrees with you. The headline reads as follows: "Hawaii to lift COVID-19 quarantine for visitors starting October 15" My original post noted that it was effe...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

https://www.sfgate.com/travel/amp/Hawai ... 574550.php
-->

Earlier post appears to have been deleted. Not sure why.

I'll just leave the link. Hope that works for everyone. Hawaii lifting its quarantine seems like something that would be of interest here...

https://www.sfgate.com/travel/amp/Hawai ... 574550.php

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Re: Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

Nicknuzzii wrote:
Bout time. Who would it be bad news for?


Owners of resorts in Cabo of course...

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 207
Views: 9139

Hawaii Lifts Quarantine...

https://www.sfgate.com/travel/amp/Hawai ... 574550.php
-->

State outlines process for visitors effective October 15. Testing required within 72 hours prior to boarding flight.

For most people, this is good news...

https://www.sfgate.com/travel/amp/Hawai ... 574550.php

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 18, 2020 12:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

Wouldn't they still have to comply with applicable federal regulations? I think the runway at SNA might play a role in your 777 scenario as well lol. JSX simply is operating a business as allowed under the law. There is nothing "shady" about it, nor is there any "stretching" of ...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 9:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

JSX is being treated equally by SNA which is the main requirement imposed by congress on airport actions, so long as any carrier operating scheduled charter service to or from SNA also has to use the main passenger and those they are not being held to an unfair competitive disadvantage airport auth...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 8:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

But we're not arguing that its illegal were arguing that what they are doing is very clearly not the intent of the regulations in question here and is those a loophole in the regulatory framework "Intent" plays no role here. This is why we have laws. If the action is so egregious, then ch...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 8:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

You are correct - I don't get to make the rules (well, this isn't a rule, it's a definition), and neither do you. That's why I deferred to the good folks at Oxford for that one. You may not like the definition, but that's what it is. If you don't understand what the generally accepted meaning of &q...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 8:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

And thanks ever so much for your "definition" of loophole, but you don't get to make those rules. You are correct - I don't get to make the rules (well, this isn't a rule, it's a definition), and neither do you. That's why I deferred to the good folks at Oxford for that one. You may not l...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 7:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

Wouldn't they still have to comply with applicable federal regulations? I think the runway at SNA might play a role in your 777 scenario as well lol. JSX simply is operating a business as allowed under the law. There is nothing "shady" about it, nor is there any "stretching" of ...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 5:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

well? Were another carrier to want to bypass TSA and operate remotely? SNA might be Hard pressed to tell them NO as they already did this for one carrier and what you can do for One? you CAN do for another. So what's tp prevent another carrier with maybe a twice a week 777 from operating remotely? ...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

A theme I mentioned up-thread is that we are actually at a point now for the foreseeable future, that there is more certainty now in people's lives than there has been at any point since March. For the most part people now have an idea what their personal situation, workplace situation, school/educ...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 17, 2020 3:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

No real drop off this week in volume, although WoW/YoY comparisons will likely show declines due to few people booking travel on Monday due to the holiday. As expected 0-15 day bookings declined WoW, as the holiday has passed https://i.imgur.com/cvZguya.png https://i.imgur.com/9PaBQDd.png https://i...

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by williaminsd
Wed Sep 16, 2020 2:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput


No, it's the lowest since 9/1/2020 @ 516,068, a little more than two weeks ago and also a Tuesday.
-->

2nd2none wrote:
Yesterdays TSA throughput number September 15 2020 : 522,383 That is the lowest throughput since July 4 2020 466,669?

https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput


No, it's the lowest since 9/1/2020 @ 516,068, a little more than two weeks ago and also a Tuesday.

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by williaminsd
Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL commits to no furloughs for F/As & ground employees
Replies: 106
Views: 11389

Re: DL commits to no furloughs for F/As & ground employees

Exactly. We're in a global pandemic that has cut revenues 70% and more. Sorry if you have to slum it in catering for awhile to keep a paycheck coming and benefits in effect. Has Delta said what the FA's assigned to the kitchen will be doing? Will they be taking over food preparation replacing the c...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL commits to no furloughs for F/As & ground employees
Replies: 106
Views: 11389

Re: DL commits to no furloughs for F/As & ground employees

Oh, this is going to be interesting... I guess if you shuffle them in to positions they don’t like and they quit, you can still claim that you didn’t furlough any... Exactly. We're in a global pandemic that has cut revenues 70% and more. Sorry if you have to slum it in catering for awhile to keep a...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 645
Views: 71008

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2020

Wouldn't call it "happy news" for SAN either, but nothing wrong with a little competition. Lack of competition makes people lazy. Lazy people don't try as hard. I want our airport team working their well-compensated @zzes off...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 15, 2020 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

https://www.adobe.com/content/dam/www/u ... x-2020.pdf


Ya love to see it!

Well, most of us do anyway...
-->

Midwestindy wrote:


Ya love to see it!

Well, most of us do anyway...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 15, 2020 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/15/2020:AI Adds DELEWR,Cuts DELORD;DL Adds Winter LAXRNO;EK Suspends MCO;FI/KL/UA Suspend Long Haul Routes
Replies: 31
Views: 6637

Re: OAG Changes 9/15/2020:AI Adds DELEWR,Cuts DELORD;DL Adds Winter LAXRNO;EK Suspends MCO;FI/KL/UA Suspend Long Haul Ro

I am noticing some increased love for RNO over the last month or so and the new LAX service on AA is yet another example. Nothing much reflected this year, but 2021 could be big for the airport. Also noted from the report... is Boutique (4B) pulling out of MCE completely? Maybe that's where the equi...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 15, 2020 5:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

Jet Suite Probably doesn't make that much for SNA that they would make special rules for them that they can't make for anybody else. They're an Air carrier and whether they're Part 135, Part 121 supplemental or Part 121 Domestic doesn't matter. What matters is? nobody is above the law. What JSX is ...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 15, 2020 4:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

It’s not what anyone thinks is the “.spirit” of the law or regulation, what matters is what’s written down, certified by the regulators and operated that matters. JSX meets all the regulations and operates within the FAA regulations. What you believe is the “spirit” of the law matters not and is ju...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 15, 2020 4:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021
Replies: 120
Views: 15114

Re: JSX Getting Kicked Out of SNA, Effective Jan 1 2021

135 is explicitly for non-scheduled and charter operations, their current business model relies on a legal loophole, and let's not call it anything else this is a corporate structure like Norwegian that might be in technical compliance but is certainly not complying with the spirit of the law. I wo...

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by williaminsd
Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sacramento (SMF) Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 20818

Re: Sacramento (SMF) Aviation Thread - 2020

Trk1 wrote:
Why is more better in the middle of a nationwide pandemic????


More of what? Lotsa stuff in that post. Going to need some specificity, assuming you actually want an answer...

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by williaminsd
Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sacramento (SMF) Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 20818

Re: Sacramento (SMF) Aviation Thread - 2020

During August 2020, SMF handled 423,340 total passengers, reflecting a decline of 64.3% yoy on a seat capacity decline of 47.1% yoy. On a month-over-month basis, August traffic rose 4.1% on a seat capacity decline of 1.6%. September 2020 seat capacity is projected to decline 11.9% versus August cap...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 10, 2020 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Well that was my point. This is unsustainable and this idea that because airlines are adding capacity that they are on the road to recovery is bunk. They are adding capacity because they've found they can fill planes with real cheap fares. Those fares aren't profitable but give airlines something t...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 10, 2020 6:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Yet the CEO of Southwest is very concerned the industry is going to collapse. Right now airlines are doing what they can to fill planes, thereby keeping expensive assets utilized and people, particularly pilots with high skills, employed. It's also about getting cash in the door. However, cheap bel...

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by williaminsd
Thu Sep 10, 2020 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

United came out with an 8-K on 9/9/20. It is not full of happy talk. The Company does not currently expect the recovery from COVID-19 to follow a linear path. As such, the Company’s actual flown capacity may differ materially from its currently scheduled capacity. The Company’s scheduled capacity f...

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by williaminsd
Wed Sep 09, 2020 2:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: UA plans EWR-JNB/OGG, IAD-ACC/LOS, ORD-DEL/KOA, SFO-BLR
Replies: 453
Views: 50691

Re: United New Route Announcement 9/9/2020

I have a lot of friends in network planning and other corporate positions at United who’ve recently lost their jobs due to covid. Something like 1/3 if their management positions gone. Pretty terrible timing for a vanity video like this to be produced While of course everyone can empathize with you...

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by williaminsd
Wed Sep 09, 2020 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

https://investor.alaskaair.com/static-files/0cc5ced8-109b-4d70-8548-fbab765b2793 AS lowering August cash burn guidance on increased ticket sales, $25M improvement vs. June & $50M improvement vs. July "August cash burn was approximately $80 million, which was lower than cash burn in July, p...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 08, 2020 8:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

At SAN right now. American is asking for volunteers to get bumped on #2671, an A321 to PHX.

So segment one for today and it's oversold. I'd call that a good sign on the Tuesday after Labor Day.

Middle seats are occupied too...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 08, 2020 6:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Yeah I don't want to get too excited about this either, but it is undoubtedly a move in the right (for most) direction. Some points of particular note are New York traffic being up to almost 25%. With the governor seemingly determined not to re-open the state until after the election, a 25% number ...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 08, 2020 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

I assume with cities that are experiencing social unrest as Seattle was they aren't exactly attractive to tourist. My brother lives outside of Portland and for years he and his wife would go into town every weekend for dinner. He and his wife (and all his neighbors) refuse to go into the city. Seat...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 08, 2020 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Avoid overanalyzing this, as it is only one week. I expect a some sort of retraction next week. https://i.imgur.com/FkIFqiU.png https://i.imgur.com/BxZJWoa.png https://i.imgur.com/u0hmBQQ.png https://www.kalibrilabs.com/industry-health https://www2.arccorp.com/about-us/newsroom/2020-news-releases/u...

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by williaminsd
Tue Sep 08, 2020 5:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Avoid overanalyzing this, as it is only one week. I expect a some sort of retraction next week. https://i.imgur.com/FkIFqiU.png https://i.imgur.com/BxZJWoa.png https://i.imgur.com/u0hmBQQ.png https://www.kalibrilabs.com/industry-health https://www2.arccorp.com/about-us/newsroom/2020-news-releases/u...

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by williaminsd
Mon Sep 07, 2020 12:11 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Simpleflying, thepointsguy, and onemileatatime; are these reliable websites?
Replies: 47
Views: 3187

Re: Simpleflying, thepointsguy, and onemileatatime; are these reliable websites?

"Reliable" for what lol? Most news these days focuses on bias confirmation, not information gathering and distribution. Our establishment media is now trusted by an astonishingly low number as shown at link below. It also shows that 86% see bias in the press and this was BEFORE the COVID f...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 11:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Volaris rapid recovery in the age of COVID
Replies: 8
Views: 1887

Re: Volaris rapid recovery in the age of COVID

It's quite a Simple story. There's no reference to revenue. There's no reference to profit. (Carrying passengers at garbage fares is no task. Any fools can do it.) It does mention they burned through cash 1Q-2Q. It does mention they're evaluating need for more capital, which suggests they don't exp...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 10:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Not trying to be Debbie downer here but trying to insert some realism to the conversation. So far, most of the "realism" supports the optimists. >40% without benefit of NYC and Hawaii is an absolutely strong number, holiday or not. Looking ahead, Thanksgiving is going to be a challenge as...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 8:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Volaris rapid recovery in the age of COVID
Replies: 8
Views: 1887

Re: Volaris rapid recovery in the age of COVID

Mexico's low-cost carrier seeing a rapid return of passengers while adding new routes or returning to old ones monthly. It's quite a story... https://simpleflying.com/volaris-mexico-v-shape-recovery/amp/ It's quite a Simple story. There's no reference to revenue. There's no reference to profit. (Ca...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Not trying to be Debbie downer here but trying to insert some realism to the conversation. So far, most of the "realism" supports the optimists. >40% without benefit of NYC and Hawaii is an absolutely strong number, holiday or not. Looking ahead, Thanksgiving is going to be a challenge as...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 12:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

What great news! We may see 1,000,000 through-put by Thanksgiving after all. 900,000 in September is beyond what most of us thought possible, and this is even with pax count drivers like NYC and Hawaii still all but closed down by their state governments. Hard to believe that just a few months ago,...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 4:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

What great news! We may see 1,000,000 through-put by Thanksgiving after all. 900,000 in September is beyond what most of us thought possible, and this is even with pax count drivers like NYC and Hawaii still all but closed down by their state governments. Hard to believe that just a few months ago,...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 3:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

What great news! We may see 1,000,000 through-put by Thanksgiving after all. 900,000 in September is beyond what most of us thought possible, and this is even with pax count drivers like NYC and Hawaii still all but closed down by their state governments. Hard to believe that just a few months ago, ...

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by williaminsd
Sun Sep 06, 2020 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Volaris rapid recovery in the age of COVID
Replies: 8
Views: 1887

Volaris rapid recovery in the age of COVID

https://simpleflying.com/volaris-mexico ... overy/amp/
-->

Mexico's low-cost carrier seeing a rapid return of passengers while adding new routes or returning to old ones monthly. It's quite a story...

https://simpleflying.com/volaris-mexico ... overy/amp/

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by williaminsd
Fri Sep 04, 2020 2:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 737
Views: 82185

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

There is a very big chance the 900,000 mark will be passed today yesterday numbers were 877,698 (Sep. 4 2020). https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput As one of the nearly 878,000 passengers yesterday, which is 41% of last year's record count, I can tell you there are some reasons for ...

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