Search found 128 matches

by EBT
Thu Sep 08, 2022 3:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321neo Second-Hand Market
Replies: 24
Views: 6395

Re: A321neo Second-Hand Market

Many leases are a lot shorter than that. Just looking at IndiGo that has started returning their A320neos after 6 year leases 12 years is the standard for a new aircraft in a sale-and-leaseback deal. In the late 2010s amid a market flushed with cash there were some outside-the-norm deals that were ...

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by EBT
Tue Sep 06, 2022 1:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 4 Corners investigates the shortfalls at Qantas
Replies: 45
Views: 7157

Re: 4 Corners investigates the shortfalls at Qantas

Well, which one is it--are the challenges recent, or are they owing to the pandemic? One can't have it both ways. A little from column A, a little from column B, wrapped up with some long-term plans to shed parts of the business which now look like a bad decision. Let's focus on the ground handling...

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by EBT
Mon Sep 05, 2022 6:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air India to lease in 30 aircraft (320/321/777LR)
Replies: 115
Views: 30835

Re: Air India to lease six aircraft as poor interiors delay flights to North America

I am sure Tata will negotiate very strongly, much more so than the old Air India, I suspect. Oh, negotiation wasn't a weak point of the old Air India when it came to aircraft purchases. From what I recall, AI got a great deal on the 68 Boeings (and IC on the 43 Airbuses) when they last placed their...

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by EBT
Fri Aug 19, 2022 3:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines’ Cargo Business
Replies: 2
Views: 665

Re: Airlines’ Cargo Business

Great questions, and overall it's a little complicated and nuanced, so let me explain a bit about the current dynamics of air cargo, as viewed from where I sit in Asia-Pacific. In most cases, the airlines' main target for cargo is forwarders and integrators who can accept, screen and consolidate car...

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by EBT
Mon Aug 15, 2022 3:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777-200ERs Keep Soldiering On
Replies: 122
Views: 26404

Re: 777-200ERs Keep Soldiering On

In what way is NZ regional for SQ? AKL/CHC are served by long haul configured aircraft and have always been bar the occasional sub where it is a shorter flight than say Europe or the US. WLG was a regional 772 via CBR and MEL for a while before it went to an A359LH. Or is it regional in terms of ho...

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by EBT
Mon Aug 15, 2022 12:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777-200ERs Keep Soldiering On
Replies: 122
Views: 26404

Re: 777-200ERs Keep Soldiering On

Were they leased because almost the entire fleet went on to fly elsewhere? SQ doesn't appear to hold on to passenger aircraft for their entire life similar to the ME3. SQ sold off quite a few to lessors as they transitioned them out of the fleet. Singapore allows for 12 year depreciation on aircraf...

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by EBT
Sun Jun 19, 2022 1:49 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: The future of QF vs VA?
Replies: 3
Views: 1166

Re: The future of QF vs VA?

Right, well a few things to unpack and rebut here. 1. Virgin is leaner and meaner than pre-administration, but so too is Qantas. They cut back a heap of staff that haven't been hired back, and QF has also effectively restarted its network from scratch and is now leaning it out pretty hard, at least ...

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by EBT
Fri May 06, 2022 12:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 Parts Shortage Claimed as Reason for Air Baltic B737 Wet Lease
Replies: 8
Views: 2540

Re: A220 Parts Shortage Claimed as Reason for Air Baltic B737 Wet Lease

I imagine that there are probably a confluence of factors going on here. It was odd to see AirBaltic say only a few weeks ago that the recovery in demand wasn't going as well as they hoped and that they would be wet-leasing out to other operators in the summer. My guess is that the supply chain issu...

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by EBT
Fri Apr 01, 2022 8:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Eviation Alice prototype prepares for maiden flight (pics)
Replies: 36
Views: 33986

Re: Eviation Alice prototype prepares for maiden flight (pics)

A lot of "public" charging stations charge as much as, or even more than, a tank of gas; they baited users to turn electric by having cheap or free charging stations and now start charging (pun intended) a lot. I expect that in most cases the airlines operating Alice or other electric air...

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by EBT
Wed Mar 23, 2022 6:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russian Aircraft Lease Return/Repo Thread
Replies: 183
Views: 52929

Re: Russian Aircraft Lease Return/Repo Thread

Creative solutions such as defeasance may be possible, but trying to dodge sanctions is a high-risk game at the best of times, especially if that bank has any operations that touch the US, UK or EU, or their associates payment systems. I used to work in Singapore for a UK based UK and US-listed comp...

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by EBT
Wed Mar 23, 2022 2:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta in talks to purchase 100 737MAX-10's
Replies: 343
Views: 88847

Re: Delta in talks to purchase 100 737MAX-10's

There's no need to send them into retirement with green time on them. There certainly are narrowbody aircraft with worse CASM in the DL mainline fleet. True, but consider that it's a good time to be selling 757s with significant green time as they will get a premium over their book value when they ...

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by EBT
Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russian Aircraft Lease Return/Repo Thread
Replies: 183
Views: 52929

Re: Russian Aircraft Lease Return/Repo Thread

So... is Russia basically admitting their attempts at commercial aircraft aren't as good as Boeing and Airbus? I would think for national pride and trying to show their aircraft are superior to Western-built aircraft they would reactivate any Tupolev, Ilyushin, and Antonov (from the USSR days) that...

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by EBT
Tue Feb 22, 2022 8:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 767 N101DA/N740AX First flight 40 years ago today
Replies: 29
Views: 5885

Re: Boeing 767 N101DA/N740AX First flight 40 years ago today

BoeingGuy wrote:
UPS757Pilot wrote:
And the first ones had flight engineer stations, United and Air New Zealand if I remember correctly.


It was Ansett that had the 767s with the Flight Engineer stations.

That's right, and only due to union requirements. They were later converted (back) to two pilot operations at great expense.

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by EBT
Tue Feb 22, 2022 7:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas A330 Replacement
Replies: 151
Views: 26643

Re: Qantas A330 Replacement

All of the posts suggesting that QF take on the JQ 788s have some merit. Back around the mid-2000s the thinking was that JQ would upgrade to 789s, pass the 788s back to Qantas that would keep them in their dense config (335 seats) and then run them on the transcon and some international routes, effe...

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by EBT
Mon Feb 14, 2022 12:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Garuda News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 240
Views: 66528

Re: Updated: Garuda forced into Court debt restructuring process

After all their plans to downsize and restructuring during the pandemic. It's surprising that they keep their leased A330 and B777 around (most of them are currently parked in storage btw), instead of terminating their lease and pay the penalty instead. Because the last time I checked, the amount o...

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by EBT
Fri Feb 04, 2022 4:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantaslink Dash 8 replacement?
Replies: 30
Views: 7207

Re: Qantaslink Dash 8 replacement?

Th Q400/Q300/Q200 at QantasLink ain't broke, so why fix it? There was an interior refresh that commenced a few years ago on the fleet so there's plenty of life left in the aircraft from a customer perspective. As has been pointed out, the Q200s serve as a bit of a niche, and the Q300s are a perfect ...

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by EBT
Thu Feb 03, 2022 4:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Credit Ratings - U.S. carriers by Fitch
Replies: 62
Views: 8999

Re: Credit Ratings - U.S. carriers by Fitch

Finance markets are related to the dynamics of supply and demand. If there is a lot of money looking for a home and interest rates are low, then that money will flow into assets that offer higher returns than just sitting in the bank. Where the ratings come in is in determining how much of a premium...

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by EBT
Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair - happy with the MAX but not with Boeing.
Replies: 44
Views: 11005

Re: Ryanair - happy with the MAX but not with Boeing.

They got blocked reselling their almost new airplanes on the second hand market for cheap. Now they have to respect a certain limit set by Boeing. Doesn't sound right to me. Ryanair, like many airlines, does a number of sale-and-leasebacks on delivery, then shuffles them out once the 12 year term o...

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by EBT
Tue Jan 25, 2022 8:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Eviation Alice prototype prepares for maiden flight (pics)
Replies: 36
Views: 33986

Re: Eviation Alice prototype prepares for maiden flight (pics)

Cape Air has a large provisional order for this aircraft, but I just don't know how they're going to make the economics work for short commuter hops. This aircraft, with its advanced fly by wire controls, all composite fuselage, pressurization and unique powerplants, will no doubt be more expensive...

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by EBT
Mon Jan 24, 2022 12:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JAL Group forms cargo JV; to operate A321P2F
Replies: 19
Views: 3943

Re: JAL Group forms cargo JV; to operate A321P2F

JAL don't operate any A320-series aircraft in their mainline or regional fleets so don't have the pilots, while Jetstar does. Jetstar is also connected with Qantas who was a A321 passenger to freighter launch customer Interesting I wonder if we could see the relationship expanded to tap into QF gro...

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by EBT
Fri Jan 21, 2022 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Northern Pacific Airways discussion thread
Replies: 490
Views: 81593

Re: Northern Pacific Airways discussion thread

I could imagine that assuming the concept works out that the 757s operating into Asia could be replaced with A330-200s. They would offer deeper connectivity, opens up the cargo market, and they're likely to remain pretty cheap in the near term. The 757s (or a narrowbody replacement) could then be us...

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by EBT
Fri Dec 17, 2021 1:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas selects A320neo and A220 families for narrowbody fleet replacement
Replies: 507
Views: 111739

Re: Updated: Qantas selects A320neo and A220 families for narrowbody fleet replacement

With the QF order revolving around the long range A321XLR and smaller A220, it looks like the 737NG will remain as the mainstay of the domestic fleet well into the future. . Around half the 738 fleet is 10 years old or younger. 20 years is very normal before retirement at QF. Yes, the initial order...

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by EBT
Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines Signs 7 A350F LOI With 5 options
Replies: 51
Views: 11296

Re: Singapore Airlines Signs 7 A350F LOI With 5 options

I find the number of frames they have ordered is interesting - on firm orders it is a one-for-one swap for the 744Fs. The implication is that, at this stage, SQ doesn't expect that cargo will become a more important part of its future than it already is. And they should know - SQ Cargo had to weathe...

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by EBT
Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia Ends Partnership with Delta and Enters into New Partnership with United
Replies: 92
Views: 16954

Re: Virgin Australia Ends Partnership with Delta and Enters into New Partnership with United

You're wrong about how these "subsidies" work - there is no paying for the lease or charter as that would be horrendously expensive. They are usually cooperative marketing funds used to drive inbound demand, often matched on a dollar-for-dollar basis. The government through its tourism bo...

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by EBT
Wed Dec 15, 2021 8:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia Ends Partnership with Delta and Enters into New Partnership with United
Replies: 92
Views: 16954

Re: Virgin Australia Ends Partnership with Delta and Enters into New Partnership with United

UA currently doesn't fly to BNE on their own metal and is unlikely to do so in the short term (domestic codeshare on VA will suffice for now). Although BNE/Queensland is the other 'loser' (apart from DL) in the new UA/VA codeshare, there is also a chance that the Queensland State Government may ste...

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by EBT
Thu Dec 09, 2021 2:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nordic Aviation, World's Largest Lessor of Regional Aircraft, To File Bankruptcy
Replies: 7
Views: 1857

Re: Nordic Aviation, World's Largest Lessor of Regional Aircraft, To File Bankruptcy

NAC have been essentially in a restructuring since the start of the pandemic. They filed for a restructuring in Ireland where their largest base of operations is, and have gone through a couple of CEOs in the process. Some of their newest investors who bought in at the top of the market said no to t...

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by EBT
Wed Dec 08, 2021 1:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: 3wk delay: High Court to liquidate SpiceJet in 14 days
Replies: 49
Views: 12218

Re: High Court threatens to liquidate SpiceJet in 14 days

Well, this is interesting. I knew SpiceJet was losing money, but not that money was this tight. Anyone have a link to recent financial performance? That would be bad news for the MAX. Spice jet is Boeing's largest customer in India having a standing order for 205 frames. With Jet not flying, this w...

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by EBT
Mon Dec 06, 2021 6:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines Group News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 354
Views: 66171

Re: Scoot launches SIN-BKK-LGW

Still thinking what make them launching route to the UK from Thailand instead of their hub SIN, maybe to avoid overlapping with the direct SQ route? But interesting route, Let's see how much effect on direct TG route and ME3 BKK-LHR route with stopover. It's a whole another level of service though ...

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by EBT
Fri Nov 19, 2021 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: America West aircraft in Australia 1989?
Replies: 7
Views: 2283

Re: American West aircraft in Australia 1989?

The aircraft were brought in and operated as strike-breakers amid a massive dispute with pilots, amid a number of others and even using Royal Australian Air Force aircraft and crew. The dispute was only resolved by a mass resignation of pilots, many of whom were effectively black-listed for a number...

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by EBT
Tue Oct 26, 2021 2:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas selects A320neo and A220 families for narrowbody fleet replacement
Replies: 507
Views: 111739

Re: Qantas to officially issue tender on narrowbody fleet replacement in coming days

My guess is Qantas will order B737MAX to replace the current B738 fleet. Qantas will also make a deal with Airbus, by reconstruct JetStar orders. JetStar will get few A339 (although highly unlikely unless Qantas has plans for its B787s), reduced number of A321 and A320s. The compensate part from th...

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by EBT
Tue Oct 26, 2021 1:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33580

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

I dont see why Airbus should tread carefully here. Airbus is not an airline and isnt as affected by Covid as airlines or lessors, simply because they can smooth out production. Should they adjust according to short term demand as much as lessors would do? Sucks to be in the wrong business at this t...

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by EBT
Tue Oct 19, 2021 1:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 496
Views: 98417

Re: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive

The rest of the creditors really ought to tell AAX to go pound sand -- not out of spite, but because the precedent is horrible if they don't. The shareholders aren't completely wiped out, which they ought to be in any restructuring which expects the creditors to take the most pain. The restructured...

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by EBT
Fri Oct 08, 2021 1:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ATR72 improvements coming soon?
Replies: 40
Views: 6475

Re: ATR72 improvements coming soon?

I don't see any revolutionary changes coming to ATR, and the statements are vague enough that it gives them a lot of wiggle room to choose some areas for incremental change, or not pursue others. The Freighter and STOL variants have been in the works for years, so nothing particularly new there. The...

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by EBT
Mon Oct 04, 2021 7:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas selects A320neo and A220 families for narrowbody fleet replacement
Replies: 507
Views: 111739

Re: Qantas to officially issue tender on narrowbody fleet replacement in coming days

I think the Fokkers and 717 were preferred for being less vunerable for FOD from the inland runways used. Replacing them with E2s, NEO or MAX wouldnt really address that challenge. Can't they find young CRJ900s until E3s become available? FOD really isn't an issue for most runways in WA, most mines...

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by EBT
Fri Oct 01, 2021 8:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: British Aerospace ATP
Replies: 32
Views: 5904

Re: British Aerospace ATP

- did BAe produce white-tails and were really unable to find takers? Or did they want to avoind long-term support for the new variant, for whatever reason. Choice #1. I don’t think they really actively marketed those white tails, I’m not sure they were all even fully completed. One important piece ...

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by EBT
Tue Aug 24, 2021 2:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What Goods are Shipped by Air
Replies: 63
Views: 9813

Re: What Goods are Shipped by Air

The economics of belly cargo (used to) make for some interesting things going by air. I'm in Australia and at one point I was in a business importing solar panels. Thanks to the cheap belly rates, the premium to have those shipped by air in small amounts was not much more than going by sea, and a he...

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by EBT
Mon Jun 28, 2021 3:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LCC's carrying cargo
Replies: 28
Views: 4361

Re: LCC's carrying cargo

Outside of the USA it is one of those areas that some LCCs have tapped in recent times, but it does add a layer of complexity their operations, so the uptake varies. Where there is a larger airlines behind them that has a cargo division, ie Jetstar and Scoot, then their cargo capacity tends to get h...

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by EBT
Tue Jun 01, 2021 3:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japanese airlines Air Do and Solaseed Air reported to merge in 2022
Replies: 26
Views: 5216

Re: Japanese airlines Air Do and Solaseed Air reported to merge in 2022

The TV news here in Japan put a LOT of stress on the fact that this is NOT a merger. The news said they were forming a holding company and also used the expression「業務提携」which in English is "business alliance" or "business partnership". The reason they do NOT want to merge is tha...

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by EBT
Tue May 25, 2021 3:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A Question About the A330 Freighter: Why A330-200F vs. A330-300F
Replies: 13
Views: 3309

Re: A Question About the A330 Freighter: Why A330-200P2F vs. A330-300P2F

Aren't those integrators the higher volume customers? If the A333F would have been placed in higher numbers at less customers than the A332F, then it would have still been a win for Airbus. That is assuming that the big package operators were even looking for a new aircraft. FedEx and UPS both have...

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by EBT
Mon May 24, 2021 1:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A Question About the A330 Freighter: Why A330-200F vs. A330-300F
Replies: 13
Views: 3309

Re: A Question About the A330 Freighter: Why A330-200P2F vs. A330-300P2F

The A333F would have worse payload/range capability than A332F when it comes to general cargo density. The only beneficiary of the A333 freighter is likely integrators where volume matters more than weight. Aren't those integrators the higher volume customers? If the A333F would have been placed in...

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by EBT
Wed May 19, 2021 3:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021
Replies: 55
Views: 23287

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021

Thanks for posting! Always one of my favorite threads to read. Do you know if prices are dynamic now because there are relatively few transactions compared to a pre-COVID period, is it uncertainty, or something else? Like any market, there are any number of factors. On some types, the pricing may r...

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by EBT
Mon Apr 19, 2021 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas expects A380 fleet to return
Replies: 71
Views: 16396

Re: Qantas expects A380 fleet to return

Australian PM said today he is in no hurry to open up the country for visitors anytime soon. That statement doesn't bode well for QF and their A380 return plans. Doesn't bode well? Why do you think that? It's not as if the borders will be closed until 2023-2024.... I think its entirely possible tha...

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by EBT
Fri Apr 16, 2021 2:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas expects A380 fleet to return
Replies: 71
Views: 16396

Re: Qantas expects A380 fleet to return

If the current high demand for domestic leisure travel is any indication then international leisure at least should recover quickly once borders reopen. Not everyone is that interested in a domestic holiday. Personally I intend to do some domestic this year but not anywhere as much as if I could tr...

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by EBT
Mon Apr 12, 2021 7:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: India's TruJet plans massive expansion.
Replies: 33
Views: 5333

Re: India's TruJet plans massive expansion.

What would be the reasoning behind buying two similar models? Wouldn't one standardized fleet make a lot more sense? I can't come up with one. I guess it gives you pricing power in the future, but as we've seen with Southwest, Ryanair and Indigo, that's clearly not worth as much as a single fleet. ...

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by EBT
Mon Apr 12, 2021 5:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Vietjet Air is preparing for A330 operation
Replies: 107
Views: 30687

Re: [Rumor] Vietjet Air is planning for A330 operation

Many unofficial sources "confirmed" that the airframes will be delivered to VJ in June. Until this moment there is still no official confirmation nor information from neither VJC, AAX nor any lessors. Besides that, the real quantity of airframes engaged in this deal is still a mystery. I ...

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by EBT
Wed Mar 24, 2021 7:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas 738 replacement competition
Replies: 196
Views: 28082

Re: Qantas 738 replacement competition

Another factor QF have had in the past with the 737 is workplace injury compensation for baggage loaders, either from lost days at work or compensation awards. One of the reasons JQ uses containers. When I worked at JQ, I was told that the reason they went with containers for the A320s is that due ...

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by EBT
Fri Mar 05, 2021 6:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian Air delays 787 deliveries
Replies: 58
Views: 18668

Re: Hawaiian Air delays 787 deliveries

That looks really nice. But not being delivered until September 2022 seems like any awfully long time to sit around. instead of keeping it in storage, cant boeing sell this aircraft now to someone else, and produce the hawaiian 787 closer to the delivery time? probably a stupid question although no...

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by EBT
Thu Feb 25, 2021 5:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF posts $1.1b half-year loss.
Replies: 18
Views: 2485

Re: QF posts $1.1b half-year loss.

This is a prime sign that you can't always split international and domestic as if it were two damn airlines. The mantra "Qantas Intl is loss making, domestic is the cash machine" is a too easy description. How much of domestic traffic was because of international travel (either a direct c...

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by EBT
Fri Jan 29, 2021 12:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PC-24 grass strip landing in Tasmania [video]
Replies: 11
Views: 2880

Re: PC-24 grass strip landing in Tasmania [video]

Definitely cool, but this is just a normal day for RFDS who also operate PC-24s into tiny unimproved grass and dirt strips year round. Not quite yet. I spoke with the chief pilot of RFDS Western Operations when they took their first PC-24, and he said that they were only planning to use them into t...

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by EBT
Thu Oct 29, 2020 3:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320 Family P2F News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 336
Views: 90836

Re: First A321P2F enters into service with Qantas for Australia Post

Regarding LD3-45, massively used in Europe and Asia. The automatic cargo loading systems can be easily installed on every A321 not having them. For e.g. Fedex is might be a consideration, because they are compatible with their new SkyCourier and ATR72-F fleets. LC Jetstar is already using them, so ...

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