Search found 106 matches

by crescent
Tue May 07, 2019 1:05 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: 44% say wont take MAX for a year?
Replies: 96
Views: 8020

Re: 44% say wont take MAX for a year?

The demographics was said to be a broad mix of age, income, travel frequencies. I imagine the only thing unique from the norms about the survey is including Europeans who may be biased for Airbus against Boeing.

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by crescent
Tue May 07, 2019 1:00 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: 44% say wont take MAX for a year?
Replies: 96
Views: 8020

Re: 44% say wont take MAX for a year?

MIflyer12 wrote:
Link? Survey methodology and participant demographics?


It was done by yougov with 1756 North American and European fliers. It's not a public poll; there won't be a link. You would need access to Barclays investment research.

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by crescent
Tue May 07, 2019 12:43 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: 44% say wont take MAX for a year?
Replies: 96
Views: 8020

44% say wont take MAX for a year?

Barclays is out with a research note downgrading Boeing. They cite a survey with these results: Willingness to fly on MAX After Grounding is Lifted: 19% Immediately 20% After a Few Months 23% After a Year or More 21% Never 17% Don't Know. I have a hard time believing this. I think the results would ...

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by crescent
Fri Apr 12, 2019 3:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CLE prior to UA hub closure
Replies: 32
Views: 4025

Re: CLE prior to UA hub closure

There has to be a market for CLE-CVG and CLE-IND today, right?

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by crescent
Tue Apr 09, 2019 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Jetblue Announces Flights to London from JFK and BOS from 2021
Replies: 947
Views: 142037

Re: Jetblue “Save the Date” All Hands - April 10

Late 2019 start is interesting. Realistic to get etops certification by then?

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by crescent
Tue Apr 09, 2019 4:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Interested in Widebodies if London is a Success
Replies: 106
Views: 23584

Re: JetBlue Interested in Widebodies if London is a Success

We know this already, right? The JFK Terminal 6 proposal is for 12 gates that all accomodate wide-bodies.

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by crescent
Sun Apr 07, 2019 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Jetblue Announces Flights to London from JFK and BOS from 2021
Replies: 947
Views: 142037

Re: Jetblue “Save the Date” All Hands - April 10

Mergers are not held onto as news for even a day. When you have a deal, you announce it right away to prevent news from leaking, because to have material news and not to report it violates securities laws, presuming you are public. There is no corporate action (anything involving buying another airl...

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by crescent
Fri Apr 05, 2019 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Jetblue Announces Flights to London from JFK and BOS from 2021
Replies: 947
Views: 142037

Re: Jetblue “Save the Date” All Hands - April 10

I haven't followed- is there a consensus on the Europe long-term strategy particulars? Definitely A321neo? What about the cities targeted beyond the initial London? Will they be the 3rd 4th 5th carrier to large cities like MAD AMS CDG ZRH or will they go for being the only in some mid-tier markets (...

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by crescent
Fri Apr 05, 2019 8:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Jetblue Announces Flights to London from JFK and BOS from 2021
Replies: 947
Views: 142037

Re: Jetblue “Save the Date” All Hands - April 10

They have a lot more than 3 hubs- BNA HOU ATL PHX LAS OAK also are common airports you will see the reservation system offer up as 1 or 2-stop options.

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by crescent
Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't Alaska Airlines ordered more A320NEOs and A321NEOS?
Replies: 46
Views: 8776

Re: Why hasn't Alaska Airlines ordered more A320NEOs and A321NEOS?

ALK has orders for 30-40 of both 737 MAX 9 and A320/A321 (though mostly A320). The issue with A320 is it seats about 30 less than the MAX 9 (3 economy rows). The CEO hinted at the analyst meeting at maybe going to one fleet provider again in the long-term, a decision would be made in 2019.

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by crescent
Fri Mar 29, 2019 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WOW Ceases Operations
Replies: 968
Views: 156695

Re: WOW Ceases Operations

Half of the A321s were leased from Air Lease (the guy who started ILFC) - it's their plnces- they will decide where to place them next.

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by crescent
Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WOW Ceases Operations
Replies: 968
Views: 156695

Re: WOW Ceases Operations

I hope that JetBlue will take advantage of this, and take the extra gates/capacity at KEF to make a small scissor hub. Can US airlines fly Europe to Europe? I thought they had to start or end in the US? Yes, just not within the same country. Though the thought that JetBlue "should take advanta...

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by crescent
Wed Mar 27, 2019 4:45 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Could the US eventualy end up with just 3 major flag carriers
Replies: 29
Views: 3941

Re: Could the US eventualy end up with just 3 major flag carriers

Antitrust will prevent any combination involving AA DL UA. WN has rarely felt an acquisition was smarter than expanding organically. The only sensical possibility is some combination of AS HA B6 to create a fifth large carrier. A combination of F9 NK G4 wouldnt be big enough at 300 aircraft to make ...

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by crescent
Mon Mar 25, 2019 5:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 728
Views: 93877

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2019

That looks like an aberration- doing a day of routes normally listed as A320/A319: SFO-PDX-DEN-PHX-SFO before resuming its normal ops doing transcon or overseas flights

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by crescent
Sun Mar 10, 2019 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/10/2019:Y4 New Routes;WN HNL-KOA/OGG;VC Trims;ET Adds ABJ-IAD;DL Ends DTW-GRU
Replies: 83
Views: 12082

Re: OAG Changes 3/10/2019:Y4 New Routes;WN HNL-KOA/OGG;VC Trims;ET Adds ABJ-IAD;DL Ends DTW-GRU

303dk wrote:
jfklganyc wrote:
You have to wonder how much longer AA can hang on to the hublet at JFK.

JFK BOS dropping down to .8 for June. Geez

Not sure why they that at all. Connections go to PHL and O/D to LGA


It's to feed the overseas JFK flights to Europe and LatAm

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by crescent
Tue Jan 29, 2019 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Do EI planes overnight anywhere in continental Europe?
Replies: 24
Views: 6801

Re: Do EI planes overnight anywhere in continental Europe?

Its similar to the hub system used in Iceland by FI & WW- the westbound Atlantic flights leave at 1pm or after, so there is enough time in the morning to fly aircraft to Europe, fly connecting passengers back to DUB to make the Atlantic flights. Eastbound evening flights to continental Europe ha...

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by crescent
Tue Jan 22, 2019 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?
Replies: 169
Views: 20268

Re: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?

Most would look at operating margins but then maybe get into whether it happens more on revenue per unit or cost. Last quarter the two were not that different DAL 9.8%, UAL 9.1%. I believe the reasons DAL has had higher margins the last few years has to do with RASM being higher than UAL, not so muc...

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by crescent
Tue Jan 22, 2019 4:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 2071
Views: 363198

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

I think UAL stock is a short right now. They have had good results but the overall PRASM environment is deteriorating near-term due to slowing economies in Europe and China (obviously) and maybe the U.S. I think UAL has had good contribution from the Gemini revenue mgmt system and been lucky in Asia...

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by crescent
Tue Jan 22, 2019 4:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would it be better if United shifted their Newark Hub to JFK?
Replies: 104
Views: 15202

Re: Would it be better if United shifted their Newark Hub to JFK?

Why would UA and B6 swap airports? If you were UA, would you want to tell all these NJ frequent flyers they have to go to JFK now? If you were B6, would you want to tell all these LI loyalists they have to go to EWR now? T5 at JFK has only 30 gates (UA uses over 80 at EWR) and does not fit any wideb...

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by crescent
Tue Jan 22, 2019 4:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?
Replies: 169
Views: 20268

Re: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?

DL has higher PRASM than UA - UA will never catch DL unless it equals DL's PRASM of 106% of industry average (which DL likes to highlight on investor conference calls). Pretty hard to equal DL without those pretty unchallenged hubs DL has at ATL SLC DTW. Closest thing UA has is IAH but that is heavi...

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by crescent
Tue Jan 22, 2019 4:12 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Could UA have built up SEA into a hub?
Replies: 18
Views: 4182

Re: Could UA have built up SEA into a hub?

No, any attempt to do Pacific flights at SEA (except for the longtime NRT flight (UA 875/876) given NRT was its own hub) would have cannibalized SFO & LAX. The idea that UA was the "default major carrier" is a farce given the existence of AS. Where did UA ever fly from SEA that was not...

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by crescent
Mon Jan 21, 2019 9:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?
Replies: 169
Views: 20268

Re: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?

I don't think it makes sense that UA has better PRASM than DL & AA while it is the most aggressive with capacity expansion, so my theory is that they are getting a lot out of Gemini and are lucky with Asia doing better than other geographies (but that might not last with China slowing as it is).

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by crescent
Thu Jan 10, 2019 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 653
Views: 82920

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

I've wondered why DL chooses to serve LAS-SAN LAS-SJC LAS-SNA

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by crescent
Wed Jan 09, 2019 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 653
Views: 82920

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

It was here in an August post: https://beatofhawaii.com/southwest-hawaii-inter-island/. I recalled wrong- the comment is the aircraft will come in one day from CA, do some interisland, then return to CA the next day. SO it is conceivable they schedule it for late morning or early afternoon departure...

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by crescent
Wed Jan 09, 2019 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 653
Views: 82920

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

Source please? This is the most detailed info I've seen anywhere regarding WN's upcoming HI schedules and it does differ from past rumors about what we might see in SAN. I'll try to find it- I think it was in a brokerage report on LUV stock. I suspect it was in a report someone wrote when WN announ...

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by crescent
Wed Jan 09, 2019 5:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 653
Views: 82920

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

WN is likely going to be offering connections to AUS, MDW, DAL, DEN, HOU, MCI, LAS, PHX, and SAT from Hawaii through SAN by Summer 2019. No it won't. All the Hawaii flights will depart CA in the morning, then go interisland, then return to CA around 1-2pm. There is no sane way to schedule flights w...

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by crescent
Wed Jan 09, 2019 5:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue does it need to be saved from its management?
Replies: 250
Views: 28228

Re: JetBlue does it need to be saved from its management?

I feel JetBlue is setting itself up for an acquisition. I don't believe its going to be with Alaska. Which one would be more likely in your opinion, DL or UA? Neither- it would be AA. DL or UA would have serious antitrust problems in the NYC market (and SEA with DL). B6 has essentially gained much ...

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by crescent
Wed Jan 09, 2019 5:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue does it need to be saved from its management?
Replies: 250
Views: 28228

Re: JetBlue does it need to be saved from its management?

AS shareholders would be quite happy to be dragged in for a fat premium on the stock, esp. if it happens with margins improved with the promised synergies of the VX merger. AS is already having problems expanding organically and profitably in CA; once the integration with VX has squeezed every profi...

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by crescent
Wed Jan 09, 2019 4:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 653
Views: 82920

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

Someone wrote on the AS thread that AS would move from Terminal 1 to Terminal 2 East and get 7 gates there. Is this possible? Are there 7 open gates anywhere in T2?

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by crescent
Wed Jan 09, 2019 4:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue does it need to be saved from its management?
Replies: 250
Views: 28228

Re: JetBlue does it need to be saved from its management?

Does anyone have a sense where ASM growth after this year comes from? I don't mean beyond 4-7 years, because that is obvious (overseas) but I don't see where they expand profitability in the U.S. 5% ASM growth or more in 2020-2021. More Florida to points south? JFK/BOS/LGB are tapped out. Or are the...

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by crescent
Tue Jan 08, 2019 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Helsinki in vogue: Tibet Airlines to fly to HEL from Lhasa via Jinan in April, followed by CZ/HO from CAN/PVG later
Replies: 57
Views: 10097

Re: Helsinki in vogue: Tibet Airlines to fly to HEL from Lhasa via Jinan in April, followed by CZ/HO from CAN/PVG later

I am assuming this popularity has a lot to do with AY's long-term plans in Asia- they already fly to CAN, CKG, NKG, HKG, PEK, PVG, XIY on the mainland- Finland must have to grant equal rights to Chinese carriers and it took a while for a Chinese carrier to find it worthwhile.

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by crescent
Mon Jan 07, 2019 3:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 97
Views: 12317

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread - 2019

AS flight from Boston to LA diverted to Buffalo. LOTS of people on social media not happy. The crew and pilots left ....and no one had a clue what was going on. Buffalo airport was closed for the most part. Not a good look for AS. This sounds like a fun 24+ hours. Using fr24 data: Original flight A...

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by crescent
Sun Dec 23, 2018 2:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 12/23/2018:9X Adds PBI-TPA;AA Drops AMA-PHX;AS Drops MKE-PDX;DL Adds BOS-CLE
Replies: 80
Views: 11858

Re: OAG Changes 12/23/2018:9X Adds PBI-TPA;AA Drops AMA-PHX;AS Drops MKE-PDX;DL Adds BOS-CLE

Well if AS had only 1 PDX-ORD and 1 PDX-MKE per day, I would make it 2 & 0 too.

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by crescent
Tue Dec 18, 2018 2:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18
Replies: 76
Views: 10115

Re: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18

> Does BDL really need so many flights to Denver?

Well, it tells you why DEN is UA's most profitable hub- there is a lot of money in connections / flow traffic.

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by crescent
Tue Dec 18, 2018 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18
Replies: 76
Views: 10115

Re: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18

The governor is on his way out; he has nothing to do.

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by crescent
Tue Dec 18, 2018 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18
Replies: 76
Views: 10115

Re: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18

I'd still be surprised AS does this given its recent retrenching, but this article from last week talks up SEA too, along with JAX. http://www.hartfordbusiness.com/article/20181212/NEWS01/181219969 The Connecticut Airport Authority (CAA), the quasi-public agency that oversees Bradley, has been pursu...

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by crescent
Tue Dec 18, 2018 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18
Replies: 76
Views: 10115

Re: BDL - new airline announcement 12/18

F9 flew BDL to MKE and DEN until 2011 and 2008, respectively. Would this count as a new carrier? I don't believe it is AS, so I will go with F9 to either MIA, RDU, or ATL.

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by crescent
Mon Dec 17, 2018 4:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 12/16/2018:AS Drops ATL-PDX;DL Drops ASE-LAX, Adds MEX-MSP;UA Dops SFO-MIA, Adds SFO-YYZ
Replies: 67
Views: 10712

Re: OAG Changes 12/16/2018:AS Drops ATL-PDX;DL Drops ASE-LAX, Adds MEX-MSP;UA Dops SFO-MIA, Adds SFO-YYZ

The way UA scheduled SFO-MIA was not optimized for connections- 830a departure from SFO caught connectors from Hawaii but not most of the Asia flights (only exception TPE). A 550p departure from MIA has no feed entering it and connects to nothing but the ANZ flights arriving in SF after 9pm. I think...

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by crescent
Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8660

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

AS has dropped numerous routes in the last 12-18 months from SFO.... someone else can list them. If you say it is up since the acquisition was announced, it is because of the acquisition itself or measured from a different point.

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by crescent
Sun Dec 16, 2018 4:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8660

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

This is more of a comment on UA's strategy being hub only. They dont think it's worth shunting SJC local customers to NH's NRT hub but NH does, and so does DL in doing routes like PDX-AMS and IND-CDG.

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by crescent
Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SMF Roaring Out of the Gate in 2018
Replies: 219
Views: 29593

Re: SMF Roaring Out of the Gate in 2018

Unless F9 or NK show up with a focus city, I would look for this growth to decline sharply in 2019. This isn't an SMF-specific comment, but airlines all had declining operating margins in 2018 and are not going to push capacity as aggressively from here on.

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by crescent
Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Source: Wow to End Los Angeles and DEL/SFO/YVR/MCO in January 2019
Replies: 66
Views: 10314

Re: Suspended WW routes due to current de-fleet

What do you think? They are dropping to 11 aircraft, so in the summer during the European evenings they might have 4 in Europe (to TFS / CDG / AMS / STN), 1 held back, then 6 in the US- BOS BWI YYZ YUL YVR EWR - there won't be any room for any of these experimental routes they launched in 2018.

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by crescent
Thu Dec 13, 2018 10:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WOW Ceases Operations
Replies: 968
Views: 156695

Re: WOW Financial Discussion Thread

The girl sitting next to me said that WW absolutely preferred to delay flights and wait for connecting passengers than risk having to put anyone in pricey Icelandic accommodations. Still, paying just $290 to fly from Barcelona to LA in mid-August Well, sure, to LAX, the WW aircraft sits there for 2...

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by crescent
Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TP announces LIS-SFO
Replies: 42
Views: 2124

Re: TP announces LIS-SFO

The departure at 1000 matches their departure times between 1000-1100 to BOS MIA EWR; TP has a few flights from southern Europe arriving in LIS between 700-800a, so they are trying to build some flow traffic.

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by crescent
Tue Dec 04, 2018 12:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NYC to PEI (YYG)
Replies: 20
Views: 2438

Re: NYC to PEI (YYG)

http://aa.fltmaps.com/en That dot is clearly part of the WS partnership, but there should be tons of other dots then north of the border.
-->

Not on this map, which the aa.com site links to: http://aa.fltmaps.com/en That dot is clearly part of the WS partnership, but there should be tons of other dots then north of the border.

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by crescent
Fri Nov 30, 2018 4:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why WN Gave It's PAE Slots to AS?
Replies: 54
Views: 7249

Re: Why WN Gave It's PAE Slots to AS?

As another example, MCI has 1x to SEA, 1x PDX, 2x MKE, only 4x to STL (surprising), 1x AUS, 1x TPA. The destinations to which MCI has 4x or more are neighboring states or to their 'hubs' like BNA DEN LAS PHX DAL MDW.

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by crescent
Thu Nov 29, 2018 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TP newest US Destination is IAD
Replies: 31
Views: 4666

Re: TP newest US Destination is....

No one was going to take TP to IAD to connect to a B6 flight to JFK or BOS. Maybe when B6 flew IAD-FLL & IAD-MCO, but it has been years since they dropped those flights.

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by crescent
Sat Nov 24, 2018 11:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA21 Today (11/24)
Replies: 9
Views: 4412

Re: UA21 Today (11/24)

The fr24 data shows it dropped from flight level 340 to 300 shortly before changing direction and heading for EDI, so that sort of supports a turbulence event.

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by crescent
Sat Nov 24, 2018 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit BDL base?
Replies: 24
Views: 4192

Re: Spirit BDL base?

BOS is a growing and high-yielding market. BDL is neither. Hartford continues to lose jobs to NYC & BOS.

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by crescent
Fri Nov 23, 2018 2:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is SFO int'l terminal expandable?
Replies: 27
Views: 5094

Re: Is SFO int'l terminal expandable?

Envrironmentalists have long screamed to stop a building of more land into San Francisco Bay to widen the distance between 28L and 28R to allow SFO to land more aircraft per hour.

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