I would still have thought we would see MEL-SFO again. Maybe BNE before MEL? Not sure QF need 2 BNE-LAX flights everyday? Move a few a week back to SFO? QF is reducing BNE-LAX to once a daily only at the end of October. They had planned twice daily but that got quickly reduced. I think right now th...
Jump to postSYD has seen quite a few Air Canada flights in the last few days. 789s and 77Ws. The YYZ flights stopping in LAX westbound and nonstop eastbound. YVR flights remain nonstop as normal.
Jump to postCan somebody please make a list of the airlines currently still operating scheduled bookable international services into Australia besides QR? I was surprised to see Citilink operating DPS-PER the other morning. Try this list: https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/which-international-airlines-sti...
Jump to postPlease post a link to this news item thanks.
Jump to postExactly. Not another I heard it from “a pilot.” And if Thai Air Asia X is happy with the performance of the Brisbane route, they obviously have very low expectations. This route was due for the chopping block anyway. LCC’s do not make money with load factors less than 80%. Not one month of operation...
Jump to postThai Air Asia X has quietly pulled the pin on BNE-DMK. Services withdrawn (or suspended, not sure) from the 5th of April. This one I am not surprised. This flight was performing very poorly anyway. Even December, being a peak travel period, should have had better loads. LCCs need way better loads t...
Jump to postFirst numbers released indicating the impact of the slowdown.
SYD released its February 2020 passenger numbers today.
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200310/ ... hgwg7l.pdf
International down 16.8% and domestic down 4.8%.
If you actually read the QF press release it doesn’t say the bookings are “strong” it says they are “performing well.” “Performing well“ is a much more vague statement than “strong.”
Jump to postFR24 is currently showing VH-OEF flying MEL-SYD as QF1370.
It's not showing the destination but clearly its heading to SYD.
The business links to SYD and MEL though are in another league, for which PVG is a significant destination. That, along with larger Chinese diaspora populations, helps drive year round demand. Let's not pretend that the entire China-Australia market isn't highly seasonal. SYD-CAN is 2x A330 for mos...
Jump to postFor a startup route in its first month of operations that’s not a bad result. BNE-NRT is a well established route as you say so you would expect that. You can’t really compare the two. However for an airline in its third full month of operations (Thai Air Asia X) hovering around 50% now that’s very ...
Jump to postThe total growth of QF intl over the last few years not just the replacement of metal for metal. QF is performing well, VA is not.
Jump to postVA really didn't have a choice did they? They are probably really trying to find a way to turn their international operations around as they continue to bleed red ink. Do they allow QF to just continue to steam roll forward or do they try at a minimum to block that. So they throw in HND as a way to ...
Jump to postNormally a seat count is one direction only. In this case though if you look at the EK numbers that are being lost that has to be bi directional.
Jump to postSQ may not want to add capacity now that EK is pulling out. The additional capacity added was absorbed at under 70% so there is some yield management that can be worked instead of adding seats. Again adding a 5th daily would dump 220,000 additional seats assuming they added another regional A350.
Jump to postJust shows that the MEL-SIN and SYD-SIN markets can handle more competition.
In any event QF must think there’s too much capacity on this route as well.
[quote="ZK-NBT"]Sure EK are saying that there is "over capacity" on the route but like I said earlier they are the fifth freedom operator getting the lower yielding traffic and the cost for them to operate this tag is makes it unsustainable for them, SQ have done to EK what EK ha...
Jump to postEK reports they are dropping BNE-SIN due to significant losses on the route. Actions like this don’t normally indicate the capacity needs to be replaced. I agree. Most of their comments seem to indicate that the route is suffering from significant levels of overcapacity at this stage. Not a recipe ...
Jump to postEK reports they are dropping BNE-SIN due to significant losses on the route. Actions like this don’t normally indicate the capacity needs to be replaced.
Jump to postThe only reason I questioned it is the NH load day factor SYD-HND is well under 80%. Unless premium is selling out I can’t imagine doubling capacity on that route.
Jump to postQF may not see much merits in adding a new type (787) to the Jetstar Japan fleet especially when it's for only 2 aircraft. Jetstar Japan will be adding 3 x A321NEO LR's to its fleet so it'll be interesting to see from the Japan side where they use them to. I'd say that's why QF didn't invest into Z...
Jump to postAny airport at sea level anywhere in the world will always be at risk of storm surges during heavy storms (typhoons, hurricanes etc). The idea of a perfect storm creating 10 metre waves I suppose could happen but rarely does any emergency plan plan for the worst case scenario.
Jump to postDon’t forget the QF BNE-SFO/ORD flights are also replacing some of the LAX flights so it’s really only an additional 4 flights per week.
Jump to postOne thing is clear, VA does not have many cards to play with. Currently there is no replacement or expansion plan of long haul aircraft. Very few options to turn the international operations around. Assuming they do get awarded one of the slots, taking 17% of their A330 fleet to start a new route me...
Jump to postA decision still has to be made by the IASC. HND slots don't come up very often. It is perceived as the superior airport due to its location to central Tokyo compared to Narita. Perhaps VA was looking at NRT as the next intl destination and when the HND slots came up they maybe didn't see a choice. ...
Jump to postVA is not in expansion mode. They have no widebody aircraft on order. They have 6 A330s and 5 77Ws. In order for VA to have been working on any long haul expansion they would have to pull the aircraft off (an) existing route(s). They have been bleeding for years and are not in a strong position to c...
Jump to postAnd only just a couple of years ago most PER-East coast flights were all A330s. Now BNE-PER sees about one per day on QF and a couple per week only on VA. SYD/MEL-PER maybe about half the flights on VA and a majority of QF still on A330s.
Jump to postFrom where i sit the decision for Virgin and the HND slot should revolve around the ability of VA to sustain the route over the longer term. I'd suggest this is an opportunistic play from VA to capitalise on the 2020 Olympic games where demand will peak for a very short period of time. If we consid...
Jump to postCan IASC give a slot on a fixed term basis? Perhaps allocate both to QF now and in 2 years have a review process which may end up in VA getting one? But in two years would it be fair to then take one away from QF and give it to VA. If VA has not met the submission deadline I would say too bad. If m...
Jump to postAren’t we jumping ahead here.
It’s World Routes 2019 that starts in Adelaide today.
QF has to do something with their 4 789s based in BNE. Yes, I’m aware an agreement was signed by both parties. Whatever subsidies QF receives from this agreement is unknown. My point again is, yes QF has to do something with those 4 aircraft, but above and beyond that I wouldn’t expect much more. An...
Jump to postQF is launching BNE-SFO and BNE-ORD. At the same time QF will reduce BNE-LAX to daily only. BNE-USA will increase to twice daily. There is only so much more capacity a smaller city like BNE can take. With a lack of a large premium market I don’t honestly think there will be too much more added out ...
Jump to postQF is launching BNE-SFO and BNE-ORD. At the same time QF will reduce BNE-LAX to daily only. BNE-USA will increase to twice daily. There is only so much more capacity a smaller city like BNE can take. With a lack of a large premium market I don’t honestly think there will be too much more added out o...
Jump to postWow.
Were they so hard done by that they suffered mental anguish and required compensation.
Ok, if that’s the law in Canada, fair enough but how is it possible that somebody has suffered undue hardship to warrant such a payout?
Not a surprise QF MEL-SYD made the list. The route is flown but 738 and 330 most week days every 15-30mins. I think it will be the perfect route for a 797. If it wasn’t for their reliability I’m sure QF would have kept their 763 - with 36J and 210Y running every 30mins. They great for short haul- b...
Jump to postI would assume the A380s will be phased out like most airlines seem to be doing or wanting to do.
Jump to postI checked on sabre and SYD-LAX-JFK is not a same plane service see below FLIGHT DATE SEGMENT DPTR ARVL MLS EQP ELPD MILES SMD 1 QF 11 4AUG SYD LAX 935A 620A LR 388 13.45 7495 N DEP-TERMINAL 1 INTERNATIONAL ARR-TOM BRADLEY INTL TERM LAX JFK 820A 440P B 789 5.20 2458 N DEP-TOM BRADLEY INTL TERM ARR-T...
Jump to postDoes anyone know how MEL-YVR is going. It had been at 4 weekly for a while now. Is this due to a shortage of aircraft at AC? . As far as I can remember AC's MEL-YVR has always been 4x weekly - if not 3. It has never been more than 4x weekly. With MAX grounding it wouldn't help either. Michael No. I...
Jump to postAnd AC SYD-YVR is usually on their 77Ls. AC uses different aircraft for each of their Australia flights: 77Ls to SYD, 789s to MEL and 788s to BNE. YVR-AKL will also be on a 788. Perhaps SYD-YVR on QF will become year-round with the next round of deliveries. Does anyone know how MEL-YVR is going. It...
Jump to postAnd AC SYD-YVR is usually on their 77Ls.
AC uses different aircraft for each of their Australia flights:
77Ls to SYD, 789s to MEL and 788s to BNE. YVR-AKL will also be on a 788.
Perhaps SYD-YVR on QF will become year-round with the next round of deliveries.
Good news for BNE as they have been fairly light on flights to China. These will help offset the loss of PEK flights on CA.
Meanwhile CZ will bring the A380 back to SYD this summer on one of its three daily flights to CAN.
ZK-NBT wrote:https://www.routesonline.com/news/38/airlineroute/285156/fiji-airways-discontinues-adelaide-service-in-late-july-2019/
FJ to end ADL from late July.
Speaking of... looks like ADL-NAN is all over Source: https://twitter.com/Airlineroute/status/1145078284775878657 Will be a shame for ADL, but probably not surprising given FJ's ongoing issues with the 737MAX. Im sure this is only temporary until the Max issue is resolved. Potentially, though the r...
Jump to postWhat have they been using to ADL? Can an NG 737 make NAN-ADL without heavy weight restrictions. Yes, using the 737-800's with a few blanked out seats. This is what FJ used on the ADL route before they had the MAX. Speaking of... looks like ADL-NAN is all over Fiji Airways in recent weeks adjusted N...
Jump to postIf VA were smart they'd launch SFO or LAS or SEA or another gateway into the USA. Really? How would this make VA smart? Flying 777s to these places would be a disaster in my opinion. Therefore I’d suggest they would be smart not launching anything further to the US. If they can barely make LAX work...
Jump to postMalindo already upgauging the new SYD service before it even launches. Will still launch with 738s on 14 August but effective 27 October upgauging to 737-900ER. https://www.routesonline.com/news/38/airlineroute/285140/malindo-air-nw19-sydney-aircraft-changes/ OD171 KUL1700 – 2010DPS2110 – 0615+1SYD ...
Jump to postDoha-Brisbane? Not necessarily super large cities, but a route QR is fighting to start and up there as the biggest hole in their network. And they don't fly there due too the terrible relations between Qatar and Australia? It's just a matter of allowable frequencies between the two countries. The Q...
Jump to postEVA Air flight attendants have gone on strike. All BR flights have been cancelled through 30 June so far. Not all of them, the number of staff on strike is probably 1/3 of their entire FA group and apparently flights cancelled are reflected. I still see a lot of regional and majority of their NA ne...
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