Search found 115 matches

by majano
Sun Aug 18, 2019 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 370
Views: 58773

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

I think it is a big psychological win in general and particularly here on a.net for the presumed winner, Airbus. However, if we're all wrong about that, it'll be a psychological boomerang for Airbus. [/quote] I hardly ever agree with your opinions here, but you have hit the nail on the head with th...

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by majano
Sat Aug 17, 2019 7:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 758
Views: 131729

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Can you provide a quote or tell us the post number so we can see for ourselves, or did you make it up? Not sure if we remain on topic and I apologise to the mods if not. You stoked my curiosity and I also went back to have a look. His /her choice of words is over the top, but there are plenty of po...

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by majano
Fri Aug 16, 2019 9:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 758
Views: 131729

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

What a change in this thread in 72 hours. From A350 breathing its final breath under the unbeatable 777x and now everything only gloomy for the 777x. I went back and reviewed the posts from the last 72 hours and did not find where anyone said the A350 was breathing its final breath under the unbeat...

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by majano
Fri Aug 16, 2019 8:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 370
Views: 58773

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

The -800 would still be too heavy compared to the 787-9 even with the improvements. That probably is a faulty assessment. The heavier A359 seems to match or outperform the 789. at what? Not ULH fuel burn per hour with 220+ pax. Not on fly away price. What you guys say every day here is completely r...

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by majano
Fri Aug 16, 2019 10:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ural Airlines A321 VQ-BOZ 15 august 2019 Moscow emergency landing
Replies: 174
Views: 25511

Re: Ural Airlines A321 VQ-BOZ 15 August 2019 Moscow emergency landing

Bravo to everyone involved. Like others have stated, we know this would've been a mass casualty disaster in many if not most airports, surrounded by population and not this amazing corn. Watching the videos is surreal, it was a crash clearly, but the calmest crash I've seen. I am sure this not cove...

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by majano
Thu Aug 08, 2019 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2429
Views: 318536

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

arcticcruiser wrote:
This thread is turning into something totally beyond the grasp of a mere pilot. My take-away? Keep my tin foil hat firmly on. Don´t need more flips...

Not to mention a mere accountant... :D

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by majano
Thu Aug 08, 2019 5:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA increases IAD-ACC to daily nonstop A330
Replies: 15
Views: 3468

Re: SAA increases IAD-ACC to daily nonstop A330

From what I have been told, DSS has extremely high costs so I completely understand SA not wanting to transit passengers there. If costs are an issue, then SA would be very wise to stick to JNB-DSS-JNB (focus solely on the O&D) and send all IAD-bound passengers via ACC. They don't transit JNB-I...

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by majano
Mon Jul 29, 2019 6:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus airliners name conventions
Replies: 27
Views: 4410

Re: Airbus airliners name conventions

If I´m not wrong the A310 gets its name from A300 minus 10 , the amount of frames removed from the fuselage to make it shorter. And it became A310, kinda setting the path for future models, so the next model (not version) was naturally the A320, followed by A330 and A340. The A300 and 310 got sever...

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by majano
Fri Jul 26, 2019 3:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Q2 2019 US Carriers Financial Performance
Replies: 47
Views: 5812

Re: Q2 2019 US Carriers Financial Performance

Some folks have asked for a summary of the Q2 2019 financial performance of the various US carriers....here's a comparison across various financial and statistical metrics of AA, DL, UA, WN, AS, and B6: Before getting into the financials, here are some traffic/capacity figures to give you an idea o...

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by majano
Wed Jul 24, 2019 7:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch
Replies: 164
Views: 24930

Re: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch

Q2 2019 accounting considerations http://www.boeing.com/investors/accounting-considerations.page/ Deferred Production Cost: -1,060 billion dollar (down to 20,969 billion) Unamortized Tooling and Other Non-Recurring Cost : -0,178 billion dollar (down to 2,354 billion) Total Q2= 1,238 billion reducti...

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by majano
Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 128
Views: 13767

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

If I read between the lines, the 4,7BN is for the 2nd quarter (first quarter of grounding) only, and only represent what Boeing "think" they might stand to lose. Extend the grounding for another 2 (highly likely), 3 (probable) or 4 (unlikely but possible) quarters, and the picture may ver...

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by majano
Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2429
Views: 318536

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic ... un-459769/
-->

ArgentoSystems wrote:
10 is closer to reality. I'm shocked how eagerly markets eats whatever bs Boeing feeds them.

The cost up to so far is USD8.3bn as per Flightglobal. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/artic ... un-459769/

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by majano
Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 128
Views: 13767

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

If I read between the lines, the 4,7BN is for the 2nd quarter (first quarter of grounding) only, and only represent what Boeing "think" they might stand to lose. Extend the grounding for another 2 (highly likely), 3 (probable) or 4 (unlikely but possible) quarters, and the picture may ver...

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by majano
Fri Jul 19, 2019 4:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 128
Views: 13767

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

gatibosgru wrote:
$5.6b actually doesn't sound that bad.

The article refers to USD5.6 plus a further USD 1.7 to be spread over future accounting periods. I am not challenging that it doesn't sound too bad, but just clarifying the actual cost announced.

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by majano
Mon Jul 15, 2019 8:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2429
Views: 318536

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Thank you for all these responses. If it is based on cost incurred, then I would agree that any cost "saved" due to the grounding has to be seen as a credit. Boeing is saving the airlines' money by preventing them from spending it on new aircraft! :rotfl: (Sorry, couldn't resist) Fair gam...

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by majano
Fri Jul 12, 2019 8:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2429
Views: 318536

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

If they can rent an airplane for 1/2 M a month, that is 24 airplanes x 3 months x 1/2 = 36 M per quarter, which is quite a bit less than 185 M per quarter. But maybe there are no airplanes to rent. Its actually not only the rent you can claim. Say you have to rent a 737-800 to replace the Max-8. It...

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by majano
Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2429
Views: 318536

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Firstly, I am not sure if this is the best thread to ask this question, but I think it is better than opening a separate thread. AA has a fleet of 24 737 MAX whilst Norwegian has a fleet of 18. AA says the MAX grounding cost it USD185 million in Q2 alone. https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/10/american-air...

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by majano
Thu Jul 11, 2019 2:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines posts better-than-expected June quarter results
Replies: 40
Views: 7118

Re: Delta Air Lines posts better-than-expected June quarter results

Revenue of $12.5 billion was up 6.5% year-over-year. Profit grew 39% to $1.4 billion and EPS grew 48% to $2.21. Adjusted EPS grew 32% to $2.35. Total unit revenue, adjusted, increased 3.8% and CASM grew 14%. Generated $5.2 billion of operating cash flow and $2.5 billion of free cash flow on a year-...

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by majano
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2429
Views: 318536

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Spotted this whilst having breakfast this morning. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48872395 The MAX is still appearing as headline news in national media … Rgds I read that article as well early this morning. The sense of loss these individuals and families are going through must be unimaginable.

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by majano
Mon Jul 01, 2019 3:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA Leasing A350
Replies: 130
Views: 25776

Re: SAA Leasing A350

Keep in mind that the A340-600 is roughly the size of an 77W. Leham made a comparison using LAX-PVG, that is the only one I know of that uses roughly the same assumptions to 77W to A35K to A359 77W 97,7 t 100 % 127,7 % 140,0 % A35K 76,5 t 78,3 % 100 % 109,6 % A359 69,8 t 71,4 % 91,2 % 100 % The A35...

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by majano
Thu Jun 27, 2019 2:11 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Media: Airbus to challenge IAG, Boeing deal for 200 MAX?
Replies: 124
Views: 16756

Re: Airbus seeks to break Boeing/AIG deal

Not sure why you are asking me this question. It is Walsh who spoke of spurring competition whilst penning an LOI with a single vendor without an RFP, not me. One could easily ask Mr. Walsh the same as the last time any IAG airline ordered a Boeing narrowbody was decades ago (737 Classic). Since th...

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by majano
Mon Jun 24, 2019 5:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 636
Views: 164952

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

mfranjic wrote:
Mario

Thank you. Always good to get some detail.

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by majano
Sat Jun 22, 2019 10:42 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Media: Airbus to challenge IAG, Boeing deal for 200 MAX?
Replies: 124
Views: 16756

Re: Airbus seeks to break Boeing/AIG deal

With all due respect, please read the comments attributed to Walsh in this "LOI". He specifically referred to the spurring of competition. Now, if you want to spur competition, you surely would not limit yourself to a single supplier before the "competition" even starts. With al...

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by majano
Fri Jun 21, 2019 1:21 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Media: Airbus to challenge IAG, Boeing deal for 200 MAX?
Replies: 124
Views: 16756

Re: Airbus seeks to break Boeing/IAG deal

With all due respect, please read the comments attributed to Walsh in this "LOI". He specifically referred to the spurring of competition. Now, if you want to spur competition, you surely would not limit yourself to a single supplier before the "competition" even starts. You are...

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by majano
Fri Jun 21, 2019 5:33 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Media: Airbus to challenge IAG, Boeing deal for 200 MAX?
Replies: 124
Views: 16756

Re: Airbus seeks to break Boeing/IAG deal

If IAG does not eventually firm this LoI, all it means is that they couldn't come to a final agreement that they were satisfied with. If it was just a ploy by Boeing to generate positive buzz for the MAX, why stop at IAG? Why not get LH and AF/KLM to place "phantom LoI's" as well? A 500+ ...

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by majano
Thu Jun 06, 2019 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What does the Rumored 6T MTOW Increase for the 787-10 Mean for the A359?
Replies: 161
Views: 23800

Re: What does the Rumored 6T MTOW Increase for the 787-10 Mean for the A359?

Where are these links and quotes from media reports to demonstrate the existence of such news ? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/boeing-secures-order-8-dreamliners-120412947.html The order needs shareholder approval, due in September. I take it you did not actually read / understand what Zeke was ref...

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by majano
Mon Jun 03, 2019 11:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1492
Views: 271577

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

Bricktop wrote:
Alan Joyce poked his head out and saw his shadow, which means 3 more months of a.net tea-leaf reading. ;)

This is the quote of the day in my book. Well done Sir! :D

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by majano
Fri May 31, 2019 6:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus 50 Years Celebration - 5 things Airbus got right and 5 it did not
Replies: 83
Views: 12544

Re: Airbus 50 Years Celebration - 5 things Airbus got right and 5 it did not

This is spot on imho. Although I would extend it to include the entire A340 family which only sold 377 copies while the 777 has sold 1593 to date. Total domination. As for Boeing they ceded the middle of the market to Airbus and sat at least two decades too long on a 737 technology that was begun i...

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by majano
Wed May 29, 2019 8:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Paris Airshow 2019, Expectations, Gossip, Announcements
Replies: 361
Views: 66886

Re: Paris Airshow 2019, Expectations, Gossibs, Announcements

I think there will be an announcement for an LOI for an unidentified customer. The type of aircraft that they will order will be decided on in a later stage. This deal will be for 5 to 50 planes and when firmed up will be delivered between 2027 and 2035. :D If I were to put money on any of the pred...

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by majano
Wed May 29, 2019 7:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus 50 Years Celebration - 5 things Airbus got right and 5 it did not
Replies: 83
Views: 12544

Re: Airbus 50 Years Celebration - 5 things Airbus got right and 5 it did not

Another early mistake was in reducing the fuselage diameter of the A300 in panicked response to a dip in passenger numbers. Originally it was wider than the 777! It turned-out that the fall-off was short-term, but Airbus was stuck with the narrower fuselage all the way to the A340-600. The A330 / 3...

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by majano
Tue May 28, 2019 4:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus 50 Years Celebration - 5 things Airbus got right and 5 it did not
Replies: 83
Views: 12544

Airbus 50 Years Celebration - 5 things Airbus got right and 5 it did not

Good day, This is my first attempt at starting a discussion on this forum, although I have been active for a few months now. I have run a search using the phrase "Airbus 50 Years Celebration" with no hits, but I would not mind if the mods removed the topic if there is a discussion ongoing ...

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by majano
Thu May 23, 2019 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 636
Views: 164952

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

The initial 777 roll out to first flight was a little over 2 months. From Wikipedia: "On April 9, 1994, the first 777, line number WA001, was rolled out in a series of 15 ceremonies held during the day to accommodate the 100,000 invited guests.[52] The first flight took place on June 12, 1994&...

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by majano
Wed May 22, 2019 7:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 636
Views: 164952

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

Shouldn’t first flight have happened by now?! I have followed this thread and the roll-out thread religiously. The most repeated yet unanswered question has been when is the first flight date. There was a date of 13 April mentioned, but I could get people out of a job by mentioning it. The aircraft...

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by majano
Thu May 16, 2019 4:54 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 787 vs A350 range
Replies: 384
Views: 74687

Re: 787 vs A350 range

Hey guys, today I came across this video on the YouTube. Ethiopian 602 flight from Addis Ababa to Dubai. Allow me to share with you fuel page screen shot and a link to the video. Maybe you will find it useful and it may act as another real world data on the fuel consumption. https://i.imgur.com/wDl...

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by majano
Thu May 16, 2019 2:19 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 787 vs A350 range
Replies: 384
Views: 74687

Re: 787 vs A350 range

Could you reference the data for the A359 fuel burn with a load of 25T? From two samples for the latest airframes(difficult to find more as the payload carried is usually much higher than 25t) - 5.6t/hr over 13.5 hours. Thanks, this helps. With this information, I can only conclude that the 5T diff...

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by majano
Thu May 16, 2019 5:40 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 787 vs A350 range
Replies: 384
Views: 74687

Re: 787 vs A350 range

40 T payload is indeed on the high side for ULR flights. If anyone’s interested, here’s trip fuel burn data for [email protected] 25T payload, which is more or less what QF9/10 carries. Incidentally, 25T is also where the 789 becomes fuel volume limited. At higher ranges/lower payloads it will run out of fuel v...

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by majano
Tue May 07, 2019 9:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1492
Views: 271577

Re: Airbus and Boeing meet Qantas Project Sunrise challenge, RFP to be completed by end of 2019

Huh? The A350 proposed by Airbus to Qantas for Project Sunrise is a highly modified version and doesn’t exist yet. BA’s A350s don’t/won’t have these modifications, therefore cannot operate nonstop LHR <> SYD. Am I missing something? It is me that is missing a few things 1) how highly modified of an...

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by majano
Mon May 06, 2019 11:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 636
Views: 164952

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

777Jet wrote:
July 7?

I see what you did there.... :highfive:

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by majano
Fri Apr 26, 2019 7:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch
Replies: 164
Views: 24930

Re: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch

If it is not too much of an ask and you have the time, would you please provide a computation, similar to the two provided for Q3 '18 and Q4 '18. That would make the information easier to follow and comparable. Here's an image of the data, taken from the website and edited in Excel. https://www.boe...

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by majano
Thu Apr 25, 2019 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch
Replies: 164
Views: 24930

Re: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch

Link still works for me, but it's not too mobile friendly (I posted from my phone on my train ride back home yesterday) It's the standard Boeing accounting considerations page that hasn't changed in years, it's an easy find through Google. Here's an image of the data, taken from the website and edi...

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by majano
Thu Apr 25, 2019 6:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch
Replies: 164
Views: 24930

Re: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch

Link still works for me, but it's not too mobile friendly (I posted from my phone on my train ride back home yesterday) It's the standard Boeing accounting considerations page that hasn't changed in years, it's an easy find through Google. So I only did a quick calculation, but the total reduction ...

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by majano
Thu Apr 04, 2019 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 718377

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

I've seen it mentioned more than once that although the Ethiopiain Pilots did follow the Boeing procedures to save the plane - they didn't follow all of them Yet for the past two weeks I've also read that all they needed to do was flick a switch and the plane would be safe I'm confused? The way it ...

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by majano
Thu Apr 04, 2019 5:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 718377

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

Per WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/articles/pilots-take-aim-at-instructions-for-boeing-737-max-11554347116) "Preliminary findings from the second crash, which occurred last month in Ethiopia, are expected to stoke criticism from pilots that Boeing and U.S. regulators fell short in highlighting steps...

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by majano
Wed Apr 03, 2019 6:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 716114

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

WSJ has been briefed on the preliminary ET302 report, not great for Boeing as pilots did initially follow the new Boeing MCAS drill but they still couldn't get the plane to clmb so they flipped the electric trim motor back on and the rest is history The pilots on Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 initi...

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by majano
Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 716114

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

The BBC is reporting that the preliminary ET accident report is stating that MCAS was activated. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47745191 ... and the MAX is still grounded, so maybe we should discuss this in the ET thread instead? Would you rather suggest that the mods close this thread and onl...

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by majano
Fri Mar 29, 2019 10:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Has Boeing Been So Reluctant To Build A New Narrowbody?
Replies: 127
Views: 16932

Re: Why Has Boeing Been So Reluctant To Build A New Narrowbody?

The Boeing plan to replace the 737 with a cleansheet design was disrupted by events of the time (including the AA A320 order). It had nothing to do with beancounters. So who made the decision to develop an interim 737 variant? The executives, based on the financial projections prepared by the beanc...

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by majano
Fri Mar 29, 2019 6:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Has Boeing Been So Reluctant To Build A New Narrowbody?
Replies: 127
Views: 16932

Re: Why Has Boeing Been So Reluctant To Build A New Narrowbody?

The beancounters and the management had ordered the engineers to milk the old cow as long as possible. Most likely under the pressure of certain shareholders. Applying just minimal investments for maximal SHORT-TERM profits is a widely spread approach. Not true at all. Boeing wanted a new narrowbod...

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by majano
Tue Mar 26, 2019 1:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 716114

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

People tend to be binary with statements like "Boeing made no mistakes, it's all the pilots" or "The 737 MAX is a flawed kludge, it should be scrapped". Unfortunately for binary thinkers, reality is almost always somewhere in the middle. IMHO: 1 - Boeing royally F'd up MCAS, per...

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by majano
Sat Mar 23, 2019 7:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 716114

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

People tend to be binary with statements like "Boeing made no mistakes, it's all the pilots" or "The 737 MAX is a flawed kludge, it should be scrapped". Unfortunately for binary thinkers, reality is almost always somewhere in the middle. IMHO: 1 - Boeing royally F'd up MCAS, per...

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by majano
Wed Mar 20, 2019 12:02 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Boeing's FOD problem
Replies: 16
Views: 3013

Re: Boeing's FOD problem

For those who say with authority that FOD problems are prevalent across the industry, could they cite reliable sources discussing such occurrences or cases. My understanding of the OP's remarks is that the USAF FOD incidents were not isolated events . So, instead of just painting every aircraft make...

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