Search found 147 matches

by Aceskywalker
Mon Jul 27, 2020 5:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why didn't Hawaiian wait for the A321LR/XLR?
Replies: 69
Views: 13995

Re: Why didn't Hawaiian wait for the A321LR/XLR?

In this new world of possibly permanently reduced demand for exotic destinations, HA should seriously consider replacing 787 orders with XLRs. The former is even larger than the A330-200s they own which sort of doesn’t make sense anymore. The XLR has the range to make the US East Coast and Northeast...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Jul 26, 2020 12:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why didn't Hawaiian wait for the A321LR/XLR?
Replies: 69
Views: 13995

Re: Why didn't Hawaiian wait for the A321LR/XLR?

I'm still scratching my head as to why HA ditched the A330neo type entirely instead of buying into the A339. It would have kept Hawaiian's simple pool of "interisland" and "overseas" cabin/flight crew versus the mess the 787-9 will bring.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sat Jul 25, 2020 11:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates CEO says no new widebodies will launch in years
Replies: 51
Views: 15044

Re: Emirates CEO says no new widebodies will launch in years

The internal pessimist believes that even the 787 and A350 will be too big to fly profitably for the next several years, with a very slow crawl back to 2019 baseline stretching through the end of the decade. The A321(XLR) and whatever long range narrowbody Boeing or whoever cooks up will become the ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed May 27, 2020 8:28 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020
Replies: 353
Views: 29865

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020

This weekend when the alternates are scheduled are forecasted for similar weather - scattered thunderstorms. Hopefully the weather man is wrong in this regard.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Mon May 25, 2020 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16667

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Turboprops are viewed unfavorably by the typical US flyer, which does have an influence on the airlines; only HA and AS remain as majors that fly their colors on propellor aircraft. There’s no good answer to the regional aircraft replacement question as RJs get older. E175-E2 is the best choice but ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Fri Apr 24, 2020 3:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X
Replies: 161
Views: 26888

Re: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X

If CX wants to rid itself of 777X orders and go for 787, here’s an idea: go away from Boeing and go for A330neo. It is a cheaper aircraft, a direct 1:1 replacement. Pilot pools will be unified with a A350/A330/A330N fleet. Go all Airbus CX it’s the smart thing to do.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Mon Apr 20, 2020 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 1961
Views: 342973

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

Quick history lesson: The quickest vaccine ever to be developed was the mumps vaccine. Development time: 4 years. So no, there probably won't be a COVID19 vaccine 'in a few months'. And even if by a miracle there would be vaccine by say December, it is going to take months if not years for those va...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Mon Apr 20, 2020 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 1961
Views: 342973

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

Could DL just cut their losses in Australia if VA goes under? That and continued depressed demand could lead the carrier to de-hub Los Angeles.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed Apr 15, 2020 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern California Airports Covid19 Thread
Replies: 37
Views: 5560

Re: Southern California Airports Covid19 Thread

Went spotting twice last week at Imperial Hill, from approx 7:30pm to 9:30pm. Though I realize it's anecdotal, on the first night, we counted an average span between departures (from any of the four runways) of 4min38sec, for both 2hr periods combined. If you don't count cargo-only ops off of 25L, ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed Apr 15, 2020 11:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 1961
Views: 342973

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

I don't see MSP and DTW both surviving as hubs after this is over. One is going to have to go unless they cut MSP-East Coast and reduce services to the South East in favor of DTW. Services DTW and W/SW would go too. Again with this website's perennial obsession. Every airline's hubs will be seeing ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Apr 14, 2020 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 1961
Views: 342973

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

This whole "will emerge a smaller airline" is bullshit. DL, UA, AA, were all making record profits. Why the hell would they not want to go back to those numbers? Travel will rebound. Plus, airlines HAVE to grow because their costs go up each year. Yes they may retire certain fleets now, b...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Apr 14, 2020 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 1961
Views: 342973

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

DL has been confirmed as the anonymous takeover of 10 A350s that LATAM dropped earlier this year. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-airbus-a350-idUSKCN21W1PU Thinking out loud - 30+ orders for A339 and now 20+ orders for A350. That's quite a lot of capacity for an airline that plans to be downsizin...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sat Apr 11, 2020 5:43 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Your List Of Discontinued Routes You Have Flown
Replies: 109
Views: 8447

Re: Your List Of Discontinued Routes You Have Flown

SNA - KOA / AQ
MNL - NRT / NW then DL

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sat Apr 04, 2020 1:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz
Replies: 245
Views: 44242

Re: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz

Is anyone bullish on LAX and/or IAD if the “smaller carrier emerges” theory continues? I know those two topics have been beaten to death over the years but the hub consolidation theory many are discussing seems to leave those two without a clear purpose beyond an AA @ JFK tailored presence. LAX is ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LAX Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 47
Views: 8553

Re: LAX Aviation Thread - 2020

LAX is a huge market, but its split and its expensive to operate in; the US3 + WN have stations that are much more cheaper to operate in. The chance for LAX being dehubbed is very much a possibility; possibly being a focus city or a simple outstation, with TATL, TPAC, and Latin American services bei...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed Apr 01, 2020 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic seeks restructuring; files for BK in US Court
Replies: 1455
Views: 175744

Re: Virgin Atlantic facing collapse

Just my personal feelings, but I don't think it's right for all airlines to come out of this crisis unscathed. Could VS transition to a charter only operation? It is no longer appropriate for it so serve legacy routes with the highest costs. With VS's new shiny, but very expensive fleet, unlikely t...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's PHX Hub in Jeopardy?
Replies: 198
Views: 27288

Re: AA's PHX Hub in Jeapordy?

LAX is too competitive and too expensive to ever be a true hub for any airline. While the Los Angeles market is large, its primarily O&D and market share domestically is brutally split between all of the majors save F9 and G4. International is a bloodbath. Expect further drawbacks from all airli...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 31, 2020 6:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - April 2020
Replies: 542
Views: 99375

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - April 2020

Thinking out loud (and for selfish reasons) but I wonder how long will it take for the industry to recover at a jobs level? The notion of a pilot shortage existing at all is optimistic at best, pure marketing by schools, airlines and “influencers” at worst. And airlines downsizing will make that a d...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Mar 29, 2020 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL closing NRT. Suspends NRT-SIN, Announces ICN-MNL
Replies: 361
Views: 82144

Re: DL closing NRT. Suspends NRT-SIN, Announces ICN-MNL

End of an era, but DL is more than correct in realizing that it has no future in the Japanese market aside from the O&D from its major hubs and Hawaii and as such move towards HND a more premium and convenient airport for business and tourism alike. Its future belongs in Seoul and KE taking on D...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Fri Mar 27, 2020 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 336933

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

CC-BBF (one of the 787-8s) is in the air supposedly making its way back to SCL per FR24 as LAN111. Still find it strange with the amount of idle LATAM widebodies at LAX, especially the Brazilian registered 77Ws which are not a usual visitor. And that they all came from GRU which has no normal schedu...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Fri Mar 27, 2020 9:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 336933

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

So an update on my question earlier in the thread - it wasn't a glitch, Interjet ferried a total of four Airbuses to Chino, California (CNO) via Tuscon today, along with a couple others to Goodyear. I don't think I've ever heard of passenger jets being stored at CNO before - I'd at least expect SBD...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 24, 2020 11:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 336933

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

For better or worse those restrictions aren’t going to stay in place or be extended. There’s major pushback from all sorts of places, of which can be appropriately discussed elsewhere. I worry that the lifting/expiration on said restrictions will send a false message of “everything is alright” and t...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 24, 2020 10:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B787-900 or B787_9
Replies: 12
Views: 1952

Re: B787-900 or B787_9

Must be airline specific internal designations.

Officially all Boeing aircraft after a certain point in time no longer have designators beyond the type and specific model. Customer codes are gone, and Boeing never did engine type/rating specific codes like Airbus ie A350-941.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Mar 22, 2020 11:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 336933

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

CaliAtenza wrote:
Will US domestic passenger flights be grounded?


I doubt it. That is a lever that everyone who can pull it is highly reluctant to do so. Frequencies and routes will get downgauged and eventually cut as demand will continue to crater.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Mar 22, 2020 9:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 336933

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

https://apnews.com/9a9267e5e23aa5cd66b1 ... WestRegion


This is gonna hit HA hard. Wouldn’t be surprised if deferring those 787s will be on the table.
-->

Akwagon wrote:
Mandatory 14 day quarantine for ALL flights coming into Hawaii...

https://apnews.com/9a9267e5e23aa5cd66b1 ... WestRegion


This is gonna hit HA hard. Wouldn’t be surprised if deferring those 787s will be on the table.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 1961
Views: 342973

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

One can argue that LAX is already not a hub for DL or any airline, rather a focus city that feels like a hub because of the sheer size of Los Angeles and the large O&D demand. It is impossible for LAX to be to a carrier like SFO to UA, ATL to DL, DFW to AA, etc. Regardless, LAX is a place where ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 17, 2020 10:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Corona virus Bailout Bill (US)
Replies: 145
Views: 8122

Re: Corona virus Bailout Bill

EU261-like consumer protection rules and further protections for workers should be a condition for accepting any money from the government. Otherwise, airlines can ask for money from the government in the form of loans they have to pay back, or use shares in the company as collateral. The practices ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed Mar 11, 2020 10:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 432
Views: 60110

Re: Boeing in Crisis

The US government won't allow Boeing to collapse plain and simple - the company is too vital to the US manufacturing sector and employs enough people directly and indirectly to populate a large suburban city. Intervention if things get really bad is inevitable - cash injections, tax breaks, or even ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 10, 2020 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 182743

Re: DL COVID-19 Schedule Reduction Announced

FWIW, per the DL website on March 10, the following regions are seeing these reductions: Pacific down 65%, Trans-Atlantic down 15 -20%, domestic down 10-15%, Latin [America?] down 5%. The following are posted reductions in service: SOUTH KOREA • Service between Minneapolis/St. Paul and Seoul-Incheo...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 10, 2020 3:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft
Replies: 280
Views: 72594

Re: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft

WN could follow the model of WestJet and Ryanair and create offshoot companies. Such an offshoot could bring in economical planes like A220 and implement ULCC tactics that go against their supposed ethos. Like others have said WN is pretty much a legacy in disguise and their big pros like free bagg...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Tue Mar 10, 2020 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft
Replies: 280
Views: 72594

Re: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft

WN could follow the model of WestJet and Ryanair and create offshoot companies. Such an offshoot could bring in economical planes like A220 and implement ULCC tactics that go against their supposed ethos. Like others have said WN is pretty much a legacy in disguise and their big pros like free bagga...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Mon Mar 09, 2020 5:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA is acquiring a flight school
Replies: 60
Views: 11236

Re: UA is acquiring a flight school

How soon will United pull the plug on this flight school. Welcome to the wonderful world of aviation fellows. It takes the better part of 2 years, often times more than that to get an eligible person off the street and into the right seat of a regional. Even with it being brought in house (the exte...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Mar 08, 2020 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PIT Update Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 478
Views: 81118

Re: PIT Update Discussion Thread - 2020

Almost all of these cuts are Corona related, even if indirectly. Every company has basically instituted a travel ban. Business travel is not going to be a thing for a while. I'd imagine lesser hubs like PHX are probably going to be the most hurt in this. I get the distinct impression that WN droppi...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sat Mar 07, 2020 2:29 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Can Alaska Airlines Operate a flight from Anchorage to Hong Kong via Shanghai (either airport)?
Replies: 17
Views: 2102

Re: Can Alaska Airlines Operate a flight from Anchorage to Hong Kong via Shanghai (either airport)?

AS has no orders for A321XLR. And them setting up Trans-Pacific flights would be a great way to light money on fire.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sat Mar 07, 2020 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Use it or lose it?
Replies: 35
Views: 7276

Re: Use it or lose it?

The rules are very clear - 80% utilization for a slot pair over the year or the airline forfeits it. No exceptions. That's why these ghost flights are happening. And the merits of making an exception in extraordinary circumstances like this versus regulators putting their foot down and refusing any ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Mon Mar 02, 2020 11:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Announces SEA-LHR For 2021
Replies: 128
Views: 16874

Re: Delta Announces SEA-LHR For 2021

I think this is another indication Delta is serious about overtaking Alaska to become the number one carrier in Seattle full stop. Which isn't going to happen I’d argue that DL will overtake AS in the PNW. Like what it did to AA in JFK. DL has a massive operation that can subsidize growing SEA into...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Mon Mar 02, 2020 4:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Announces SEA-LHR For 2021
Replies: 128
Views: 16874

Re: Delta Announces SEA-LHR For 2021

DL is matching AA/AS tit for tat at SEA. Not sustainable for all parties long term. SEA is gonna see a capacity glut to LON, which is good for the flyers bad for the companies. I expect Norwegian to tap out and draw down its LGW flight. And DL is big enough and cash filled enough to take on the AA/B...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Thu Feb 27, 2020 7:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Helvetic Airways is enthusiastic by the efficiency of the E190-E2
Replies: 22
Views: 3048

Re: Helvetic Airways is enthusiastic by the efficiency of the E190-E2

Glad to see E2 operators being happy with the jet, which should assuage some doubts about the program. It’s a shame that Embraer couldn’t make the E2 scope compliant for the US market. I doubt that mainline carriers will pay mainline salaries for E2 pilots.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Thu Feb 27, 2020 5:01 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: US airports, off international grid, for connections?
Replies: 7
Views: 1426

Re: US airports, off international grid, for connections?

DEN and LAS come to mind as large airports that have the least intercontinental service.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?
Replies: 161
Views: 18263

Re: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?

Why would DL consider the 787 when A330NEOs and even CEOs are available? The NEO is cheaper, has established pools of pilots, mechanics, and parts, and is more readily available. There are very few routes where the extra reach afforded by the 787 matters - examples being LAX-SYD, ATL-ICN/HND/JNB - ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft
Replies: 280
Views: 72594

Re: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft

Southwest doesn't need Jetblue, unless they really want a JFK and LGB hub since those slots are limited. You never know, if Kelly and the gang decide to change course. Airtran wasn't really necessary either. But it would be wise to look into Airbus, because we don't know if the MAX will be successf...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Sat Feb 22, 2020 5:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?
Replies: 161
Views: 18263

Re: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?

787 and 737 MAX are out of the question for DL without substantial discounts that would potentially attract the wrong kind of attention (the kind of deals that would be accused of being "dumping" in international trade if DL & Boeing didn't paint the same flag on their aircraft). Why w...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Fri Feb 21, 2020 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft
Replies: 280
Views: 72594

Re: Southwest CEO given green light by Board to look at other aircraft

WN should aggressively pursue Airbus aircraft. While they’re at it, they can help weather the MAX storm by implementing cost cutting measures like reduce free bags to one.

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed Feb 12, 2020 11:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA is acquiring a flight school
Replies: 60
Views: 11236

Re: UA is acquiring a flight school

Just about every single new-hire FO in EASA land has around 250 hours TT before strapping themselves into the sharp end of a 737 or A320. Statistically speaking, then, it makes absolutely sod-all difference and just goes to prove the FAA 1500 hour rule is nothing but window dressing. LH and KL have...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Mon Feb 10, 2020 6:26 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Will supersonic flights ever make a comeback?
Replies: 11
Views: 1258

Re: Will supersonic flights ever make a comeback?

First and foremost - its all about money. Supersonic travel is expensive. It making a comeback will require the convergence of enough routes where a demand exists, enough people who will pay the premium, and technology that makes it cost effective. So far, that hasn't happened. If anything, haven't ...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Thu Feb 06, 2020 7:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA is acquiring a flight school
Replies: 60
Views: 11236

Re: UA is acquiring a flight school

A fair point raised by others, and I withdraw my argument. But I rest my case that the personal commitment and the strains being a commercial pilot can place on one's relations are much higher than your typical worker. And that for various reasons, without intervention, less and less young people ar...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Thu Feb 06, 2020 1:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA is acquiring a flight school
Replies: 60
Views: 11236

Re: UA is acquiring a flight school

I still question the realism of the so called “pilot shortage” that every airline and flight school in the USA is blathering on about. Other fields like healthcare have so called shortages in the amount of qualified doctors and nurses, but realistically the openings are only for bottom of the barre...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Thu Feb 06, 2020 12:04 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Worth it being a pilot?
Replies: 30
Views: 2838

Re: Worth it being a pilot?

No way. Piloting as a way to make money is dying, to be one of the first victims of the wave of automation that will kill jobs. It will be around the same time when driving to make money (trucking, ride share apps) will go extinct. Even if it isn’t, I very much am wary of jobs that are dependent upo...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed Feb 05, 2020 8:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA is acquiring a flight school
Replies: 60
Views: 11236

Re: UA is acquiring a flight school

I still question the realism of the so called “pilot shortage” that every airline and flight school in the USA is blathering on about. Other fields like healthcare have so called shortages in the amount of qualified doctors and nurses, but realistically the openings are only for bottom of the barrel...

Jump to post
by Aceskywalker
Wed Feb 05, 2020 4:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta 767-300ER stored?
Replies: 50
Views: 13241

Re: Delta 767-300ER stored?

DL has made no inclinations to bring on expensive 787s. Aging 767s will be replaced with a possible mixture of A321(XLR)s, used A332/333, A339, A338 if discounts can be had. The least profitable routes will be axed or shifted to joint ventures with AF/KLM, KE, VS, and LATAM. The NMA is wishful thin...

Jump to post