Search found 68 matches

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by MCTSET
Sun Aug 18, 2019 11:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 trouble in the future
Replies: 22
Views: 4792

787 trouble in the future

Reading the overview of this leeham article I realised that despite the huge 787 pick up in recent years and deliveries really gaining traction they only have a full book until 2021, that has surprised me. Do you think Boeing has increased the 787 rate too much in order the bring unit costs down but...

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by MCTSET
Sun Aug 18, 2019 10:21 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Full brakes or rudder
Replies: 10
Views: 386

Full brakes or rudder

For the pilots and engineers out the to give it a guess (pilots don’t try this). Imagine just after touchdown the pilot applied full left rudder on the left pedal and full brake on the right pedal, what direction will the aircraft turn too? My guess is that at higher speeds such as after touchdown t...

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by MCTSET
Sat Aug 17, 2019 12:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

It all seems to be going wrong at Norwegian the minute they recover from problem they are hit with another, and to be honest it is never really the fault of Norwegian but the fault of the aircraft they operate, this time with the incident at FCO, what will this lead too?

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by MCTSET
Fri Aug 16, 2019 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

with oil prices sitting at roughly $60, and real signs of an increase in the future, keeping costs low will this help airlines brave the winter and reduce this ever expected huge consolidation that is approaching Europe.

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by MCTSET
Wed Aug 14, 2019 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aigle Azur at risk of ceasing operations
Replies: 72
Views: 11924

Re: Aigle Azur at risk of ceasing operations

Guys I fly to Algeria a lot and prices are already really high with Aigle Azur in trouble if they fold will prices to Algeria increase significantly? Indeed, same demand less seats available. This Will be temporary until a new operator is operating those lucrative lines. Is this because Algeria is ...

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by MCTSET
Wed Aug 14, 2019 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aigle Azur at risk of ceasing operations
Replies: 72
Views: 11924

Re: Aigle Azur at risk of ceasing operations

Guys I fly to Algeria a lot and prices are already really high with Aigle Azur in trouble if they fold will prices to Algeria increase significantly?

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by MCTSET
Thu Jul 25, 2019 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

Interesting today wizz announced its Q1 results and (pretty solid) and said that they will be accelerating growth this year from 16% to 20%. This is quite a surprise to many of us as we are hearing and reading of this huge European overcapacity. Are they taking advantage of the MAX situation, or do ...

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by MCTSET
Fri Jul 12, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air Starts London Luton - Russia
Replies: 29
Views: 4171

Re: Wizz Air Starts London Luton - Russia

Is there a large Russian community in the London area? W6 seem to target this VFR traffic.

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by MCTSET
Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air Starts London Luton - Russia
Replies: 29
Views: 4171

Re: Wizz Air Starts London Luton - Russia

Nice expansion, interesting as it is under UK AOC, which means this flight is a non EU flight in the future.

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by MCTSET
Sun Jul 07, 2019 8:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air to open Krakow base with 12 new routes
Replies: 20
Views: 4183

Re: Wizz Air to open Krakow base with 12 new routes

Is KRK base performing well for W6 since they opened?

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by MCTSET
Thu Jul 04, 2019 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air Announces a New Round of Expansion at VIE
Replies: 25
Views: 4984

Re: Wizz Air Announces a New Round of Expansion at VIE

Blerg wrote:
I wonder if a route such as Dortmund-Memmingen could work for them.


Not really their market.

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by MCTSET
Wed Jul 03, 2019 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air Announces a New Round of Expansion at VIE
Replies: 25
Views: 4984

Re: Wizz Air Announces a New Round of Expansion at VIE

There´s an odd one out there ... VIE-BRE 5/7 with an A321 ??? Wonder if that is not a bit of an overkill despite the route not being served by any other carrier non-stop. My guess is that the airport is desperately trying to attract more customers since its passengers numbers have either stagnated ...

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by MCTSET
Sat Jun 29, 2019 7:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

Tbh W6 with the 321xlr can make a profit from routes too India from Vienna Budapest and others, if the price is right the plane will be full. I know full plane doesn’t mean profit but for LCCs load factor much more important than for FSC, more bums on seats the more food, bags, priority and other r...

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by MCTSET
Fri Jun 28, 2019 9:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rest of the UK Thread - 2019
Replies: 101
Views: 15130

Re: Rest of the UK Thread - 2019

When a LCC like wizz cuts a route or base like Prague, it’s more likely that the cost has changed than the revenue/demand. For example PRG for wizz was a pretty small base, and demand was solid, it was just the cost of PRG went up since they started operating therefore margins get narrower, may stil...

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by MCTSET
Fri Jun 28, 2019 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

Tbh W6 with the 321xlr can make a profit from routes too India from Vienna Budapest and others, if the price is right the plane will be full. I know full plane doesn’t mean profit but for LCCs load factor much more important than for FSC, more bums on seats the more food, bags, priority and other ru...

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by MCTSET
Fri Jun 28, 2019 7:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

I think Eurowings core market is too small for the capacity it has inherited. They were meant to be the LCC for west Germany such as Dusseldorf and cologne, but they was too much capacity, so they set up multiple bases with different AOCs to try and fill these seats by flying to different places in ...

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by MCTSET
Fri Jun 28, 2019 7:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rest of the UK Thread - 2019
Replies: 101
Views: 15130

Re: Rest of the UK Thread - 2019

Wizz Air will start a new 2x weekly flight between Birmingham (BHX) and Poznan (POZ) from 16 September 2019 - https://twitter.com/SeanM1997/status/1143809309316407297 Looks like BHX has become cheaper for wizz. They had a few flights but BHX cost too much. With Flybe downsizing, and Thomas cook on ...

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by MCTSET
Wed Jun 19, 2019 5:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Paris Air Show 2019: Boeing News and Orders Thread
Replies: 310
Views: 87234

Re: Paris Air Show 2019: Boeing News and Orders Thread

Why are guys debating which airline IAG place their MAX’s. they may have got such a good price that they can just lease them out to airlines in Asia and Africa that need them for a decent margin. I think this is the strategy of indigo partners airlines, buy big and fill where needed, if not lease th...

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 18, 2019 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 755
Views: 130659

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Lots of people talking about picking up the 789, but is there any production slots available midterm.

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 18, 2019 12:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus a330-900 460 seats
Replies: 75
Views: 11258

Re: Airbus a330-900 460 seats

A330-900neo at a cheap price is the new CASM king. A steep discount or lease rate with 460 seats and those new big engines, nothing will be able to compete.

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 18, 2019 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Paris Air Show 2019: Airbus News and Orders Thread
Replies: 475
Views: 124512

Re: Paris Air Show 2019: Airbus News and Orders Thread

Now it’s starting to pick up. I remember this happening at another air show for airbus can quite remember which one where the first few days were slow and the last 2 they picked up a few mammoth orders at the end.

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by MCTSET
Mon Jun 17, 2019 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Paris AIr Show 2019: Other Manufacturers and Engine News and Orders Thread
Replies: 163
Views: 26633

Re: Paris AIr Show 2019: Other Manufacturers and Engine News and Orders Thread

IndiGo has chosen CFM LEAP 1A to power the remaining 280 aircraft of the neo family. The order was confirmed at the PAS today. The first 150 aircraft are powered by the PW GTF engines. Split engine OEM to keep them competeting. I’m guessing any extra orders will be negotiated with both providers, b...

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by MCTSET
Thu Jun 13, 2019 8:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

Sorry my typo. I meant to write consolidation. But it is inevitable that there will be a few large groups in Europe just like in US. Small independent airlines just can’t compete in this industry. The US can't be used as the precedent for everything. What they did over there was crazy, such consoli...

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by MCTSET
Wed Jun 12, 2019 4:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

Eurowings has no bases in central europe..Only Germany,Austria and Palma Mallorca..Wizzair has bases in CE Europe and the Baltics,Balkans,VIE n LTN Eurowings has also a base in Kosovo of all places: https://newscloud.eurowings.com/en/press-releases/2019/q2/eurowings-opens-new-base-in-pristina.html ...

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by MCTSET
Wed Jun 12, 2019 7:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

With low oil prices this summer Norwegian have to make something out of it, or investors will completely loose hope, I am definitely supporting Norwegian as the collapse of an airline its size will be devestating to the industry, and take time to recover.

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

Wizzair, EasyJet, Vueling and Ryanair will be fine in future. Level isn’t really an airline and relatively small so I’d assume they will be ok as well. Eurowings on the other hand never made any money, neither did Germanwings really. So I wouldn’t be surprised if they will shrink or being integrate...

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

Not sure you will consider Pegasus as an European LCC, but they definitely have a strong presence in Europe, Central Asia and Middle East. Future wise, I feel that they are very well positioned. I agree but how much growth can it put out from one hub. Must be great for Istanbul however, a people dr...

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 10:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

When I think of volotea I think they are quite fragile, yes their business model of niche leisure rotes works well in a solid economy in the good season, but when their is a down turn and people stop spending, these small routes will be more sensitive than big city pairings.

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 9:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

I also think that Austrian will be the first to crack in Vienna. They will probably drop routes where there is too much LCC presence. They must be shock, in 18 months they went from king of the castle to under siege by a swarm of LCC’s. won’t look good on Lufthansa reports.

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 9:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

VIE will be very important, the reason why there is so much expansion at VIE is because the airport is offering a rebate of €540 euros per 100 pax, and it increases for more pax flow in the airport, this is for based airlines btw. Lauda is interesting but again the market seems so full for Central ...

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 9:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

W6 I'm concerned for. They couldn't make PRG work, which should almost have been their 'bread and butter' kind of base. Expansion wise there's not a lot of Europe left for them, without facing the wrath of existing airlines. Realistically I'm struggling to see where they open significant new bases,...

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 8:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

Re: European LCC

VIE will be very important, the reason why there is so much expansion at VIE is because the airport is offering a rebate of €540 euros per 100 pax, and it increases for more pax flow in the airport, this is for based airlines btw. Lauda is interesting but again the market seems so full for Central E...

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 8:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LEVEL load factor drops to 82.6% from 90.9% in May YoY
Replies: 18
Views: 4183

Re: LEVEL load factor drops to 82.6% from 90.9% in May YoY

VIE is going to be the cheapest European destination this Europe I can’t wait.

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by MCTSET
Tue Jun 11, 2019 8:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European LCC
Replies: 103
Views: 11845

European LCC

There is a lot of talk of overcapacity in Europe and airlines stepping on each other’s toes, so I have a question for you guys who do think is the best suited long term for survival, and after that profit. I have my opinion but what are your thoughts. 1. Ryanair. Lowest cost base, extensive fleet wi...

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by MCTSET
Sat Jun 01, 2019 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 150
Views: 43802

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

I posted this on the Ceo thread but no answer but how much does it cost to retrofit starlets on a320s, and is there a significant benefit in fuel burn The answer for the retrofit: it depends on the MSN# of the frame. All frames from about MSN3500 are retrofittable, with additional work on the wing ...

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by MCTSET
Mon May 27, 2019 7:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 150
Views: 43802

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

I posted this on the Ceo thread but no answer but how much does it cost to retrofit starlets on a320s, and is there a significant benefit in fuel burn

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by MCTSET
Mon May 27, 2019 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 150
Views: 43802

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Guys I have a question I was looking AIB production list and I spotted MSN 8932 an indigo 320neo performing its 8th test flight. 8 flights seems to be a large amount, is there a reason why? Are you talking about this site: https://aibfamily.flights? The guy who runs it has something called an "...

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by MCTSET
Mon May 27, 2019 6:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: GRQ supervisory board: move military flights from EIN to GRQ
Replies: 18
Views: 1974

Re: GRQ supervisory board: move military flights from EIN to GRQ

Is moving military flights from EIN to GRQ consistent with the capabilities one would expect of the Dutch military ? I can think of at least one country that is not friendly to the Netherlands and has the capacity to send military aircraft armed with weapons to or even into Dutch airspace - Yes, be...

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by MCTSET
Sun May 26, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320ceo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 61
Views: 12265

Re: Airbus A320ceo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Guys how much would a sharklets cost to retrofit on a 320. And is their a large benefit

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by MCTSET
Sun May 26, 2019 9:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: GRQ supervisory board: move military flights from EIN to GRQ
Replies: 18
Views: 1974

Re: GRQ supervisory board: move military flights from EIN to GRQ

My point is that you can send the military to different runways in remote areas in their home country, but the military has a function beyond that of just reserving airspace for burning fuel. If the Dutch air force is moved according to the desires of LCCs, can they still provide the security prese...

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by MCTSET
Sun May 26, 2019 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: GRQ supervisory board: move military flights from EIN to GRQ
Replies: 18
Views: 1974

Re: GRQ supervisory board: move military flights from EIN to GRQ

So what is the possibility of this move happening?

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by MCTSET
Sun May 26, 2019 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 150
Views: 43802

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Guys I have a question I was looking AIB production list and I spotted MSN 8932 an indigo 320neo performing its 8th test flight. 8 flights seems to be a large amount, is there a reason why?

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by MCTSET
Fri May 24, 2019 3:29 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Airlines on the edge
Replies: 32
Views: 4040

Re: Airlines on the edge

While Alitalia is struggling hard, Air Italy is not doing so well either, considering their recent history of short-lived routes, and their in-flux fleet plans. I'd be surprised if they'll still be around in their current form within the next three years; in fact, it's not implausible that Alitalit...

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by MCTSET
Fri May 24, 2019 3:25 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Airlines on the edge
Replies: 32
Views: 4040

Re: Airlines on the edge

paullam wrote:
The moment the Italian government decides to stop funding Alitalia they’ll be gone.


So they won’t be gone.

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by MCTSET
Thu May 23, 2019 11:56 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Airlines on the edge
Replies: 32
Views: 4040

Re: Airlines on the edge

I guess an obligatory Norwegian would be a good guess I think Norwegian short haul is more likely to call quits than the long haul division. Europe is over cry with Norwegian competing for low cost passengers against lower costing airlines, they are just enable to complete on a cost basis against R...

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by MCTSET
Thu May 23, 2019 11:44 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Airlines on the edge
Replies: 32
Views: 4040

Airlines on the edge

I know this thread may be quite a disheartening thread to some but I this is the reality of the airline business. I am curious to hear your thoughts on which airlines are likely next to go out of business, I think the toughest market right now is Europe, while this summer might give some respite to ...

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by MCTSET
Tue May 21, 2019 11:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL AND UA load factor question
Replies: 6
Views: 1308

DL AND UA load factor question

This might be a stupid question but after looking at popular flights in the US the majority of the time out of the majors united is the cheapest option, (obviously spirit is cheapest). So being that united is pricing it’s economy flights the lowest I would expect them to have the highest load factor...

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by MCTSET
Fri May 17, 2019 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thomas Cook Airlines Selling Discussion Thread
Replies: 272
Views: 40482

Re: Thomas Cook Airlines Selling Discussion Thread

I don’t think a merger with wizz is the right decision. One is a ULCC that flies to Eastern Europe with mainly VFR traffic and a small and increasing city break market. The other is a holiday/leisure operator. They are 2 markets and don’t really overlap. The only real value TCUK has too wizz is slo...

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by MCTSET
Fri May 17, 2019 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thomas Cook Airlines Selling Discussion Thread
Replies: 272
Views: 40482

Re: Thomas Cook Airlines Selling Discussion Thread

I don’t think a merger with wizz is the right decision. One is a ULCC that flies to Eastern Europe with mainly VFR traffic and a small and increasing city break market. The other is a holiday/leisure operator. They are 2 markets and don’t really overlap. The only real value TCUK has too wizz is slot...

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by MCTSET
Fri May 10, 2019 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Turkish Aviation May 2019
Replies: 171
Views: 20316

Re: Turkish Aviation May 2019

ist2014 wrote:
If economy goes well in Turkey, TK can lease or buy some 330neo to replace aging 332s, they are always open to

sweet deals, but same applies for additional 787s and 350s, but i am not sure about demand in the next years


Demand for what. TK flights/connections or overall global aviation market.

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