Search found 1550 matches

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Apr 16, 2024 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Problem at Dubai just now?
Replies: 22
Views: 2742

Re: Problem at Dubai just now?

Woah, how much extra fuel are they carrying? They should divert to Muscat. Nothing can beat Mother Nature. An IndiGo flight in India recently made a diversion with barely (1-2 mins) any fuel left. Must have been a very harrowing experience for pax. What would have been a harrowing experience? Was t...

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by Waterbomber2
Sun Apr 14, 2024 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour : a350 ahead in IndiGo widebody race
Replies: 86
Views: 22982

Re: Rumour : a350 ahead in IndiGo widebody race

Why does Indigo bother with 77W leases for their DEL / BOM - IST flights ? It's easily doable with their own A321Neo's which they could then offer several flights spread out across the day on. Those flights operate in close partnership with TK. They are timed to take advantage of TK connections at ...

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by Waterbomber2
Sat Apr 13, 2024 8:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour : a350 ahead in IndiGo widebody race
Replies: 86
Views: 22982

Re: Rumour : a350 ahead in IndiGo widebody race

Check out this recent brokerage report on why they are bullish on 6E: https://images.assettype.com/bloombergquint/2024-03/7f430c2e-e99b-4a7d-9146-1cac36acee20/ICICI_Securities_IndiGo_Company_update.pdf they do expect the Book Value per share to double over next 2 years. another one: https://images....

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by Waterbomber2
Sat Apr 13, 2024 10:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour : a350 ahead in IndiGo widebody race
Replies: 86
Views: 22982

Re: Rumour : a350 ahead in IndiGo widebody race

Check out this recent brokerage report on why they are bullish on 6E: https://images.assettype.com/bloombergquint/2024-03/7f430c2e-e99b-4a7d-9146-1cac36acee20/ICICI_Securities_IndiGo_Company_update.pdf they do expect the Book Value per share to double over next 2 years. another one: https://images....

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Apr 12, 2024 10:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

The FAA puts it as follows "The reciprocal acceptance of imported articles is NOT an FAA TSO approval under 21.8(b).". In other words, the FAA recognises Brazilian issued type certificates within the FAA's jurisdiction, but they are not considered FAA issued type certificates. So third co...

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by Waterbomber2
Thu Apr 11, 2024 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

I can't find any EASA or FAA type certificate for the C-390. The C-390 may hold a type certificate issued by the Brazilian CAA, but it's not a EASA or FAA type certificate, the only globally recognised certifications. You didn´t find and never will. Source: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/...

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by Waterbomber2
Thu Apr 11, 2024 7:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

Embraer’s last clean sheet aircraft (the C-390) was civil certified in 2018. Their EVE evtol is aiming for certification in 2026, even though the prototype is only due to fly this year. If certifying a new aircraft is suddenly so much harder that you this it will be a “steep learning curve” for Emb...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Apr 10, 2024 11:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

Certification requirements have changed a lot since Embraer certified their last clean sheet aircraft. Where certification campaigns used to take a year and a half, 5 years has become the new norm. It will likely be a steep learning curve for Embraer when they try to certify their next clean sheet,...

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by Waterbomber2
Mon Apr 08, 2024 11:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

The requirement to build a new fuel infrastructure with cooling, pressure tanks and whatever at all airports served. The advantage here is that airlines could produce hydrogen themselves, cutting so many middle-men: -Oil exploration companies -Oil extraction companies -Royalties paid to governments...

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by Waterbomber2
Mon Apr 08, 2024 9:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

What airline would volunteer to use a fuel that is MUCH more expensive than the fuel it's competitors use? This goes not only for Hydrogen but for SAF as well. I think improving emissions is very important. But it will be done step by step over several aircraft and engine generations, not by any ov...

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by Waterbomber2
Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Windshear on A343 take off scare at Zurich
Replies: 53
Views: 9836

Re: Windshear on A343 take off scare at Zurich

You can see the aircraft is clearly not ready to fly when it was rotated and proceeded to trade speed for height with some help from ground effect, before trading it back and finally amassing enough energy to sustain a positive rate of climb without losing speed. So either the aircraft was rotated p...

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by Waterbomber2
Sat Apr 06, 2024 2:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's Next Aircraft Projects
Replies: 32
Views: 6186

Re: Embraer's Next Aircraft Projects

Bombardier widow, you love to disdain embraer, isn't it? Embraer has reached record market value in March, maybe this says something about "momentum" more than a random number od produced aircraft. The whole worldwide stock market has reached record market value in March, it doesn't prove...

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by Waterbomber2
Thu Apr 04, 2024 4:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's Next Aircraft Projects
Replies: 32
Views: 6186

Re: Embraer's Next Aircraft Projects

While certainly it has been a slow start, it should be remembered that they’re now up against a bigger competitor who is willing to accept a $5Million loss on every A220 sold. In this situation it’s impressive that they’re apparently selling E2s above cost price and Embraer is making a profit. I do...

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Apr 02, 2024 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

Like others, I am sceptical of the suitability of hydrogen as a fuel for anything other than short range aviation - the practical challenges are obvious and no-one has yet mentioned the materials embrittlement issues caused by both the hydrogen itself and the use of cryogenic temperatures. If billi...

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

I'd be a lot more excited if they simply go on and build a new narrow body airliner to rival the MAX and Neos or maybe a solid performing mid sized aircraft which the market lacks. The current duopoly don't do anything but lazily slap new engines on decades old airframes. Boeing is not capable of a...

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by Waterbomber2
Mon Apr 01, 2024 3:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

They should work with Embraer, they have the experience to certify commercial aircraft. And by "working with" I mean a real joint-venture, not poaching Brazilian engineers. Certification requirements have changed a lot since Embraer certified their last clean sheet aircraft. Where certifi...

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by Waterbomber2
Sun Mar 31, 2024 4:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

I'd be a lot more excited if they simply go on and build a new narrow body airliner to rival the MAX and Neos or maybe a solid performing mid sized aircraft which the market lacks. The current duopoly don't do anything but lazily slap new engines on decades old airframes. Boeing is not capable of a...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 29, 2024 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

I would like to answer some points. -A hydrogen ecosystem won't be simple and will have its cost. Jet Fuel as we know it is also the result of a very sophisticated supply system. Oil pumped out in the middle of the desert or offshore platforms built on the ocean, carried to ports, then in tankers ov...

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by Waterbomber2
Thu Mar 28, 2024 8:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

I think that MHI realised that the whole market changed during Covid and is moving away from sub-100 seat RJ's. They did not have the competence and know-how to certify the model. They didn't listen to what the engineers brought in from abroad, including the former Embraer ones, had to say. And, no...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Mar 27, 2024 10:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reports EK A6-EDM damaged on ground in DME
Replies: 79
Views: 18593

Re: Reports EK A6-EDM damaged on ground in DME

A few points: -You don't need any export license or any special approvals to carry AOG parts. You just send them out with the next flight together with engineers. The parts never actually enter Russia, they don't pass customs, they stay on the tarmac and then fly back as part of the aircraft. Otherw...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Mar 27, 2024 6:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing
Replies: 67
Views: 11522

Re: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing

Great timing: https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1492321 "Japan To Unveil Next-generation Passenger Plane Project". Planning to do something and actually doing it are two entirely different things. Japan failed badly to produce a conventional regional jet after spendi...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Mar 27, 2024 5:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

The MRJ's fate was sealed by Covid. The whole US RJ market was remodelled then and there. Big names like Expressjet and Trans State vanished overnight. I think that MHI realised that the whole market changed during Covid and is moving away from sub-100 seat RJ's. It's hard to compete when bigger mai...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Mar 27, 2024 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane
Replies: 83
Views: 18025

Re: Japan to unveil next generation passenger plane

That's a big bet, but if hydrogen does take off (which is far from sure) they will only have Airbus as competition as other parties are not planning hydrogen planes. Embraer is also planning hydrogen aircraft: https://embraercommercialaviationsustainability.com/concepts/ It remains to be seen wheth...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Mar 27, 2024 9:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing
Replies: 67
Views: 11522

Re: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing

Great timing: https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1492321 "Japan To Unveil Next-generation Passenger Plane Project". Like I said, the real struggle for Airbus will be staying relevant in the face of new competition in the new energy aircraft market. There is no room for...

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Mar 26, 2024 3:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing
Replies: 67
Views: 11522

Re: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing

It's not just about volume anyway. Rather than ramping up production quickly, with all the risks that entails, a slow increase while keeping good profit margins makes far more sense. The A320 has been steadily ramping up, excluding the pandemic years. 2010: 34/mo 2014: 42/mo 2016: 45/mo 2019: 60/mo...

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Mar 26, 2024 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing
Replies: 67
Views: 11522

Re: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing

It's not just about volume anyway. Rather than ramping up production quickly, with all the risks that entails, a slow increase while keeping good profit margins makes far more sense. Not when you have backlogs that prevent you from squeezing in new sales. I don't think that you can call a 15-year r...

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Mar 26, 2024 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing
Replies: 67
Views: 11522

Re: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing

It's not just about volume anyway. Rather than ramping up production quickly, with all the risks that entails, a slow increase while keeping good profit margins makes far more sense. In this neck of the woods, the pandemic has ripped through the ranks of senior, long term, experienced subject matte...

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Mar 26, 2024 9:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing
Replies: 67
Views: 11522

Re: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing

If anything , Airbus people should have worked harder to ramp up the production on all their lines and kept the A380 line alive. They are dragging their feet too much, what is taking them so long to ramp up A220, A330neo, A350 production? Boeing is a sitting duck waiting for Airbus to finish it off...

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by Waterbomber2
Tue Mar 26, 2024 12:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing
Replies: 67
Views: 11522

Re: Airbus CFO: We're not happy with the issues at Boeing

Airbus is laughing straight to the bank. They snapped up the CSeries from right under their noses, then saw Boeing botch the Embraer tie-up, then the quality problems that were really already in the makes as far back as when those Al Jazeera whistleblower documentaries were made, was it in 2011, the...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: JAL orders 21 x A350 and 10 x 787
Replies: 84
Views: 17036

Re: Updated: JAL orders 21 x A350 and 10 x 787

Well I wasn't too far off with my below predictions, though I expected more B787's than A350's. I guess that JL's happy with the domestic A359's and that they're going to do a midlife swap at some point, ie instead of swapping out the domestic A359's with the B787's from my prediction, they're going...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing and Airbus in discussions with Spirit Aerosystems About Buying Spirit or Parts of it
Replies: 137
Views: 18246

Re: Boeing and Airbus in discussions with Spirit Aerosystems About Buying Spirit or Parts of it

If you think about it, it doesn't really make financial sense to transport major aerostructures around. The supply chains are outdated and stem from an era where different companies were in charge of different bits. It's cheaper to move the tools and know-how once and for all than having to move big...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Mar 06, 2024 5:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian orders 8 777-9, options for 12 more
Replies: 56
Views: 8778

Re: Ethiopian orders 8 777-9, options for 12 more

I think that ET is losing it. The B779 is big for their needs and totally unnecessary additional type. It adds nothing positive to a B787/A350 fleet. A few used A380's would have served them well for LHR. You say the 779 is big for their needs and a totally unnecessary type then suggest they operat...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Mar 06, 2024 10:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian orders 8 777-9, options for 12 more
Replies: 56
Views: 8778

Re: Ethiopian orders 8 777-9, options for 12 more

I think that ET is losing it.
The B779 is big for their needs and totally unnecessary additional type.
It adds nothing positive to a B787/A350 fleet.

A few used A380's would have served them well for LHR.

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 01, 2024 11:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The hydrogen A380 concept discussion
Replies: 37
Views: 4130

Re: The hydrogen A380 concept discussion

Fuel cells are exceeding 80% thermodinamic efficiency. Waste heat from fuel cells can be used to heat the cabin as opposed to tapping into bleed air or generating the heat electrically. Burning the hydrogen is not more efficient. Fuel cells are becoming lighter and so too are electric motors. https:...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 01, 2024 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The hydrogen A380 concept discussion
Replies: 37
Views: 4130

Re: The hydrogen A380 concept discussion

It is a heck of a lot more practical to use the hydrogen produced under these scenarios to mix with natural gas and feed it to the thousands of natural gas power plants. That can be accomplished today and reduces fossil fuel consumption without the need for extensive re-engineering like is required...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 01, 2024 11:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The hydrogen A380 concept discussion
Replies: 37
Views: 4130

Re: The hydrogen A380 concept discussion

While this is an interesting topic to do research on, I doubt it will be some future fuel for the mass market. This is because airports globally would need most expensive new tank and storage systems. They won't do it. Still, there might be future ways to store hydrogen in a different, more comfort...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 01, 2024 10:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The hydrogen A380 concept discussion
Replies: 37
Views: 4130

The hydrogen A380 concept discussion

During peak generation, wind turbines and solar generators are being stopped due to grid overloads, just when the generators are at their peak potential. Green projects are being delayed up to 10 years due to lack of grid capacity. More and more projects are underway to divert this energy to generat...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Mar 01, 2024 10:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated
Replies: 257
Views: 38895

Re: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated

The B787-10 is a very capable aircraft for TATL and trips up to 10 hours, which is already proper longhaul. But don't believe everything you see in the brochures and their payload-range charts, they tend to be overstretched, ie ideal conditions, no winds, direct routings, new engines, no water in t...

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by Waterbomber2
Wed Feb 28, 2024 8:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated
Replies: 257
Views: 38895

Re: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated

As said many times, the B787-10's best days lay ahead. Boeing just need to get B787 production back to 10 frames a month and keep chugging planes out as fast as they can. You can't really directly compare an A359 to a B789 in terms of fuel burn. A B789 is an 8-abreast aircraft for long haul (even th...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Feb 09, 2024 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus ramps up work on clean sheet A320 successor
Replies: 73
Views: 14881

Re: Airbus ramps up work on clean sheet A320 successor

Liquid hydrogen is a pain to work with. Look at the boil off from a LH2 rocket fuel tank sitting on the launch pad. For "climate neutral propulsion," which I argue is not necessary for aviation due to the miniscule proportion of emissions that come from aviation, some type of synthetic hy...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Feb 09, 2024 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus ramps up work on clean sheet A320 successor
Replies: 73
Views: 14881

Re: Airbus ramps up work on clean sheet A320 successor

posturing to get a panicked Boeing to commit to "something suboptimal" would be great for Airbus. Airbus has zero interest in Boeing developing something suboptimal. What Airbus needs to achieve is that Boeings next airplane uses the same liquid hydrogen infrastructure as the Airbus hydro...

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by Waterbomber2
Mon Feb 05, 2024 11:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New quality glitch to delay some Boeing 737 MAX deliveries
Replies: 54
Views: 9208

Re: New quality glitch to delay some Boeing 737 MAX deliveries

Without wanting to be conflictive, Boeing is too big to fail or to be held accountable for anything. Boeing will get away with anything without as much as a scar. The only thing that can hurt them is customer orders, but with Airbus unable to capitalize on Boeing's issues, customers will keep orderi...

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by Waterbomber2
Mon Jan 22, 2024 1:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JAL A350 Regional Question
Replies: 20
Views: 5472

Re: JAL A350 Regional Question

The real reason JAL went for the A350 is because they were unhappy with Boeing after their Dreamliners were delayed for 4 years and Boeing was probably taking them for granted seeing that JL never really operated Airbus aircraft. In addition; Airbus probably gave them a deal they couldn't refuse. JA...

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by Waterbomber2
Sun Jan 14, 2024 9:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH discovers tail cracks in 2 x A321Fs
Replies: 40
Views: 13668

Re: LH discovers tail cracks in 2 x A321Fs

This is why MSG-3 exists. Carry-out inspections, report findings, fine-tune inspection cycles. If something part of the conversion is showing low reliability, redesign and modify the STC for future conversions, carry out the MOD on existing conversions. Nothing failed so the system worked. Aircraft ...

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by Waterbomber2
Mon Jan 08, 2024 2:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX, FAA temporarily grounds 737MAX9 for inspections
Replies: 3147
Views: 417666

Re: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX, FAA temporarily grounds 737MAX9 for inspections

Perhaps the requirements need to be changed It should be easy to retrofit a bigger memory card or what digital media they use. I assume it is not an analog or digital tape any longer. This is aviation. It will take years and cost millions and pilots will still wipe it to avoid embarrassing themselv...

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by Waterbomber2
Sat Jan 06, 2024 10:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX, FAA temporarily grounds 737MAX9 for inspections
Replies: 3147
Views: 417666

Re: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX

What happens to max9 aircraft away from AS maintenance centers ....so they get ferried back for inspection or will AS need to fly inspectors to the plane. Most if not ALL airlines have relationships with other airlines and or maintenance contractors that can perform the checks at outstations. In mo...

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by Waterbomber2
Sat Jan 06, 2024 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX, FAA temporarily grounds 737MAX9 for inspections
Replies: 3147
Views: 417666

Re: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX

The EAD is quite unspecific except for the grounding part.
It doesn't tell what engineers should be looking for during the inspections, normally this would have very specific instructions.

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by Waterbomber2
Sat Jan 06, 2024 9:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX, FAA temporarily grounds 737MAX9 for inspections
Replies: 3147
Views: 417666

Re: AS1282 PDX-ONT decompression event, returned to PDX

Wow the seat cover and the head rest were sucked out, together with the head rest of the seat in front and the tray table behind the seat. That's seriously explosive. It looks like it happened at FL160. I think that the plug door will shed light on what happened, they're probably loooking for it as ...

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by Waterbomber2
Fri Jan 05, 2024 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan Airlines A350 collides with aircraft at HND
Replies: 1206
Views: 199341

Re: Japan Airlines A350 collides with aircraft at HND

In any real world situation, there are people who are disabled and have impediments from walking fast, let alone getting up from their chair. Further, some people may have anxieties (medically diagnosed or not) that can be disabling. I wonder how evacuation certifications take this into considerati...

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