Search found 31 matches

by Etika
Tue Jul 07, 2020 12:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 705
Views: 49981

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

coordinated vaccination program to vaccinate everyone within the time it "lasts" minus 4 weeks, everyone that doesn´t get the shot has to quarantine for however man weeks are deemed appropriate during that time frame. best regards Thomas I think I'm following, but that brings me to anothe...

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by Etika
Tue Jul 07, 2020 11:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Who had the most advanced / effective submarines in WW2?
Replies: 55
Views: 3297

Re: Who had the most advanced / effective submarines in WW2?

Especially when considering most effective types, there is one additional factor not mentioned: turnaround time. Submarine campaign against merchant shipping is very much a battle of attrition where the number of tubes on station is critical for results. That means that the time a boat would spend o...

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by Etika
Tue Jun 23, 2020 6:52 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 17071

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

Sweden has successfully flattened the curve. And their case fatality rates are coming down: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/coronavirus-cfr?time=2020-03-07..&country=SWE~NOR~DNK (Compare Sweden, Denmark and Norway) New daily deaths and new daily hospitalizations are way down from a month or ...

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by Etika
Tue Jun 23, 2020 6:50 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 17071

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

The spikes in Florida in Texas are being reported, what I am struggling to find are the numbers for hospital admissions, is there supposed to be a correlation of infected to admitted to death to recovered? If the current spikes are due to increased testing, do we have to wait 2 weeks to see the eff...

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by Etika
Tue Jun 23, 2020 6:47 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 17071

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

Has a herd immunity strategy worked anywhere yet? Sweden has successfully flattened the curve. And their case fatality rates are coming down: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/coronavirus-cfr?time=2020-03-07..&country=SWE~NOR~DNK (Compare Sweden, Denmark and Norway) New daily deaths and new da...

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by Etika
Wed May 20, 2020 6:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways News and Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 493
Views: 28306

Re: Qatar Airways cabin crew to wear hazmat suits

In all of those pictures the staff are wearing surgical masks. Those masks will not stop the virus. It makes all of the rest of the equipment utterly useless as the main route for infection (breath) is practically unprotected considering the times the staff are spending in the plane. If this was tru...

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by Etika
Wed May 20, 2020 1:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion - 2020
Replies: 1064
Views: 176469

Re: DY Financial Discussion - 2020

I'm pretty sure the lessors will unload the shares as soon as they find someone to take them for a reasonable price (where "reasonable" is up to the companies). From the point of view of those companies, that share is liability and potential problem for conducting their core business.

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by Etika
Mon Apr 27, 2020 6:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion - 2020
Replies: 1064
Views: 176469

Re: Norwegian Puts 4 Subsidiaries Into Bankruptcy

The problem is that not allowing Norwegian to fail will get them little to nothing for a long time. Norwegian warned that the rescue package likely is not enough by itself and it is also attempting to raise money by issuing new shares. Which will, even at the best case, dilute the former-debtor-curr...

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by Etika
Wed Apr 22, 2020 8:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 68577

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Sweden givernment now considers that 1/3 of population in stocjholm regions has been infected. That was based on a report by Swedish Health Agency that was quickly withdrawn: https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidnikel/2020/04/22/sweden-health-agency-withdraws-controversial-coronavirus-report/ The numb...

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by Etika
Tue Apr 21, 2020 7:48 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 68577

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

The medicine touted by Trump as a good treatment seems to have slight problem: persons treated with it have died more often than without it: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/21/malaria-drug-virginia-coronavirus-study-198590 Researchers analyzed medical records of 368 male veterans hospitalized ...

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by Etika
Tue Apr 21, 2020 10:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion - 2020
Replies: 1064
Views: 176469

Re: Norwegian Puts 4 Subsidiaries Into Bankruptcy

I have hard time seeing Norwegian getting the debtors to agree to convert to equity after this. These moves (including the ending of the agreement with OSM Aviation) means that about 2/3 of Norwegian's pilots are out. Even if the company somehow survives, it will be down to 1/3 of what it was and re...

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by Etika
Tue Apr 14, 2020 12:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 68577

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

then you need to wait it out like everyone else, and work on some hobbies, home/car repair, or career advancement options. Wait until when exactly? 12 to 18 months for a vaccine ? wasn't the point of staying home is not to overwhelm the health facilities? now that it did not happen, what exactly ar...

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by Etika
Tue Apr 07, 2020 8:13 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 68577

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Well, that text has one important point missing: What was the specificity of the test. With 99% specificity, 70% sensitivity, and 2.7% positive rate, that would still mean true prevalence of only about 2.4%. A bit over one third of those positives would be false positives even with specificity of 99...

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by Etika
Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 68577

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Is there any validity to the rumors that the UK's plan A was herd immunity and lock down is an afterthought? I think that was plan A for many countries. Then the hospitals became overwhelmed and plan A went out the door. This is still the plan in Sweden and Iceland IIRC. They have not gone into ful...

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by Etika
Wed Apr 01, 2020 10:54 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 68577

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

The corona will be over when 60% + of the population in one region has got it or there is an efficient vaccine available. this is too infectious for 60% to be enough. Not really. The approximate amount of people that need to have immunity for the epidemic to die down is 1 - 1/R0. 60% immunity corre...

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by Etika
Tue Mar 31, 2020 10:47 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 168614

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

The way I see it is that governments are making policy decisions based on insufficient data. I have not heard of a government conducting - large-scale (say 10,000) random tests for infection to determine how many are infected - large-scale (say 10,000) random tests for past infection to determine h...

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by Etika
Mon Mar 30, 2020 3:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 168614

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

21 more dead from Coronavirus in Stockholm today. Total 146 dead. That is far higher than in neighbouring countries: Sweden: 146 dead Norway: 32 dead Denmark: 77 dead Finland: 13 dead The number of deceased is a better marker of overall spread in the population than the confirmed case numbers. Yes,...

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by Etika
Mon Mar 30, 2020 3:29 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 168614

Re: Is Total Lock Down The Answer To Killing Corona Virus?

That's called preparation, so that what's occurring in Europe doesn't happen in the US. It appears we have been preparing very well considering we have a 1.+ death rate, whereas in Europe is 6 or 7 times that. According to 'El Pais' from Spain, Europe is not even counting the dead from COVID-19 cor...

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by Etika
Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 168614

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreaks

My sister lives in California, she is exhibiting typical covid-19 symptoms since last 3 days...cough, temp is up n down, fatigue. She has a baby 6 months old, she rang her doctors, they took her details and rang back with series of questionnaire... apparently told her 'negative' and test is not req...

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by Etika
Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 168614

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

This action might buy time if it were combined with aggressive action to identify, contain, and isolate existing outbreaks. However, with internal response being lackluster, it is not going to help one bit. In fact, the pattern of cases suggests that there might already being a lot of internal comm...

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by Etika
Thu Mar 12, 2020 1:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 168614

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

This action might buy time if it were combined with aggressive action to identify, contain, and isolate existing outbreaks. However, with internal response being lackluster, it is not going to help one bit. In fact, the pattern of cases suggests that there might already being a lot of internal commu...

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by Etika
Fri Feb 28, 2020 1:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1387
Views: 213432

Re: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread

We are seeing cancellations of multiple meetings and conferences on short notice across Europe on our company's field - and not only in the most affected areas. And talking with friends from other fields, it appears to be happening in other industries, too. At this rate, airlines are soon going to n...

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by Etika
Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair CEO claims that Norwegian will go bankrupt
Replies: 62
Views: 13735

Re: Ryanair CEO claims that Norwegian will go bankrupt

He’s right, but in the meantime he is exposing himself to a big fat lawsuit there as well. That would be extremely poor idea by Norwegian. I doubt O'Leary would be intimidated by a lawsuit. In fact, I would expect him to relish the idea of taking Norwegian on in court. And the defense would likely ...

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by Etika
Mon May 27, 2019 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 423303

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Criminal liability is extremely hard to prove in cases like this. It would require that actions of a specific individual were linked to the outcome of the accident, and that it is shown that the person in question knew or should have known that his actions would place people in jeopardy. It is relat...

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by Etika
Fri Apr 05, 2019 9:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5479
Views: 759071

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

To everyone who is saying that the pilots should have reduced throttle based on the unreliable airspeed procedures: theynwere physically unable to follow that procedure. The 75 % throttle is only half of it. The other half is to trim 4 degrees nose up. As they were unable to trim nose up, they were...

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by Etika
Fri Apr 05, 2019 8:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5479
Views: 759071

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

To everyone who is saying that the pilots should have reduced throttle based on the unreliable airspeed procedures: theynwere physically unable to follow that procedure. The 75 % throttle is only half of it. The other half is to trim 4 degrees nose up. As they were unable to trim nose up, they were ...

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by Etika
Thu Apr 04, 2019 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5479
Views: 759071

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

Condolences to the families of all involved: Here is my understanding of what happened. 1) The pilots correctly cut out electric trim controls; at which point they could manually fly the aircraft in a somewhat stable configuration, and apparently were doing so with difficulties. 2) Key difficulty i...

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by Etika
Wed Apr 03, 2019 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6476
Views: 763916

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

Leeham in co operation with MentourPilot paints a picture of what might have happened http://leehamnews.com/2019/04/03/et302-used-the-cut-out-switches-to-stop-mcas/#more-29790 And that was a 737NG sim? Also, video is now unavailable. Can't access that video either from my location (Netherlands). Wh...

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by Etika
Fri Mar 15, 2019 6:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6476
Views: 763916

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

If it is proven that these two accidents are not the fault of the airplane but crew training issues can AA and WN go back and sue the US government for not allowing them to operate a perfectly safe aircraft. Absolutely not. The safety regulator is immune from prosecution. (Unless the USA is even mo...

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by Etika
Thu Mar 14, 2019 8:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6476
Views: 763916

Re: Should airline regulators consider grounding B737 MAX series

As far as I'm aware, Boeing could sue worldwide regulators, in case it's proven the two accidents in question aren't to be caused nor prevented by Boeing, btw. This kind of thinking is a common misconception, but it simply isn't true, especially in European legal systems. In most jurisdictions, cou...

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by Etika
Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6476
Views: 763916

Re: Should airline regulators consider grounding B737 MAX series

So sick of all of this drama. To be clear, there are 3 separate failures going on here: 1. The FAA has failed to mandate that the 737-MAX be grounded in the interest of protecting the flying public until such time as the MCAS software fix is in place on all 737-MAX aircraft. 2. BOEING has failed to...

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