Search found 778 matches

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by TObound
Wed Sep 16, 2020 4:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Impact on airlines from growing corporate sustainability
Replies: 17
Views: 1654

Re: Impact on airlines from growing corporate sustainability

a fast growing list of companies globally are setting ambitious carbon reduction targets for themselves (and most importantly their full value chain This could use more discussion on this site. It is increasingly going to be a problem for the aviation industry. Solutions are difficult, not intracta...

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by TObound
Tue Sep 15, 2020 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020
Replies: 277
Views: 65006

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020

VV you first said "Any delivery shortfall means a deficit in their 2020 budget" and I then answered you on that - for 2020, not only for August. Since Covid (not only August), all OEMs are hurting. Indeed, cash preservation is now key for every players. I don't buy your pretention that A2...

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by TObound
Thu Sep 10, 2020 8:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest CEO Kelly - If Things Don’t Improve, This Just Can’t Continue”
Replies: 69
Views: 13919

Re: Southwest CEO Kelly - If Things Don’t Improve, This Just Can’t Continue”

He is right. At some point the country and it's leaders need to have common sense and realize that mask wearing, social distancing, closed offices, partial occupancy, etc.will do far more damage than COVID does. And this goes well beyond the airline industry. I see it in the technology sector. Unde...

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by TObound
Thu Sep 10, 2020 8:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The case for more aircraft production cuts/playing chicken
Replies: 172
Views: 14750

Re: The case for more aircraft production cuts/playing chicken

Flash forward to 2027. Virus long gone, record traffic numbers. Backlogs in the thousands but limited output means years to fulfill orders. Airbus and Boeing challenged by new manufacturers offering new, disruptive technologies into the 2030's. A & B: "back during Covid, we had government ...

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by TObound
Sat Sep 05, 2020 5:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 744
Views: 83180

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

There's also no reason to travel if everything is going to be closed when you get there. For example, why would I go to Vegas if all the bars, restaurants, and shows are closed? It has none of the energy and debauchery that one normally associates with Vegas. If I'm just going to sit in a seat and ...

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by TObound
Wed Aug 05, 2020 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet
Replies: 100
Views: 11668

Re: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet

The comments here are naive. The amount of people who think automation can't replace aircrew sounds like every other sector and job before they were automated out. Sure it may not happen soon. And it will be a process. But it is coming. The speed with which AI can analyze and make decisions, along ...

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by TObound
Wed Aug 05, 2020 5:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 69
Views: 13037

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020

I think this is decent news. The very fact that they are mentioning the 225 publicly says a lot. By 2025.... Production facilities will be up. Supply base will be sorted out. They will have comfortably ramped up production and delivered several hundred aircraft. PIPs will do a lot of the legwork til...

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by TObound
Thu Jul 30, 2020 12:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet
Replies: 100
Views: 11668

Re: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet

The comments here are naive. The amount of people who think automation can't replace aircrew sounds like every other sector and job before they were automated out. Sure it may not happen soon. And it will be a process. But it is coming. The speed with which AI can analyze and make decisions, along w...

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by TObound
Mon Jul 20, 2020 4:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55562

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

You "just a flu" people are the reason I'll be flying private if I go anywhere. Exactly this. The last person I want to beside on an airplane is the people who minimize this as "just the flu". And the entire reason the US is behind the rest of the developed world is specifically...

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by TObound
Mon Jun 15, 2020 9:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 39319

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

Most of this may appropriate as a critique of Boeing, but is totally irrelevant as to Airbus. The reminder is just bland, insipid, dewy-eyed straight-from-Business 101 boilerplate with no basis in current reality. The A22V may in the past have even been looked by BBD and Airbus. I would be very sur...

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by TObound
Wed Jun 10, 2020 6:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1461
Views: 4111

Re: Emirates wants to partner with a US3 airline.

What exactly does a US3 carrier get from helping customers bypass Europe, mostly on EK metal too? ANSWER: up to 50% of the revenue + more available O&D seats for Europe that both they and their Euro-partners can then sell, without purchasing larger metal. What's the value of that as demand rese...

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by TObound
Mon Jun 08, 2020 4:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1461
Views: 4111

Re: Emirates wants to partner with a US3 airline.

So EK wants one of the US3 to throw their European and Asian alliance partners under the bus? Not happening. Who says they have to? EK can codeshare on that carrier's every single N.American op, and that wouldn't affect the Euro's ability to do so. And as far as the US3 carrier, it can carve out lo...

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by TObound
Wed Jun 03, 2020 12:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1461
Views: 4111

Re: Emirates wants to partner with a US3 airline.

So EK wants one of the US3 to throw their European and Asian alliance partners under the bus? Not happening.

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by TObound
Fri May 22, 2020 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada Warms To A321LR After Cancelling 737 MAXs:
Replies: 27
Views: 11016

Re: Air Canada Warms To A321LR After Cancelling 737 MAXs:

As Rouge gets folded into Transat, I hope we see rationalization. The 7M8s are perfect for LCC ops. And the 321s and 321LRs are perfect for mainline AC.

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by TObound
Fri May 22, 2020 5:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada Warms To A321LR After Cancelling 737 MAXs:
Replies: 27
Views: 11016

Re: Air Canada Warms To A321LR After Cancelling 737 MAXs:

Have Air Canada actually cancelled their Maxes? Never understood why they went backwards from the (wider, more modern) A320 family to the Max, especially because it is a new typerating for them, not like AA or WN or most carriers who placed big Max orders. Greed and $$$. Plenty of companies choose ...

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by TObound
Tue Apr 28, 2020 12:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus CEO: "“We’re bleeding cash; may threaten existence of company"
Replies: 190
Views: 31269

Re: Airbus CEO: "“We’re bleeding cash; may threaten existence of company"

IMO, they will cut jobs first in the non-core production countries, such as the UK and US and might get a Bailout through a simple capital increase, with shares isued to Germany, France and Spain. As France and Germany own 11% each and Spain owns 4% of Airbus, it is likely that they would want to i...

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by TObound
Sun Apr 19, 2020 10:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses
Replies: 434
Views: 36646

Re: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses

Which comes to one of my initial questions for this topic. Could a Boeing Embraer joint venture influence embraer jet sales on the u.s. market? No. I'm guessing you're not American. There seems to be this weird projection from non-Americans that American carriers are automatically biased towards Bo...

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by TObound
Mon Apr 13, 2020 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 69
Views: 13037

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020

@lightsaber

How many of these campaigns do you think are still active with the Covid crisis? I would think pretty much all of them are off for at least a year.

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by TObound
Sun Apr 12, 2020 12:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 69
Views: 13037

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020

At this point, I think the most important thing for airbus do in North America is to make sure delta and JetBlue don’t defer any of their orders. Aside from that, the start time of breeze is also in doubt. If you have two solid North American Airlines operating it, then a220 will do well here long ...

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by TObound
Sat Apr 11, 2020 6:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses
Replies: 434
Views: 36646

Re: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses

I'd expect AC to E2 to replace their 175s that they have KV operating for them. Only carrier in North America whose scope clause is on seats and not seat AND weight. I can't see it. They'll be replaced with Q400s eventually. Can you really see a Q doing YYZ-ORD/ATL/MSY/DFW/AUS/IAH? No. I can see th...

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 6:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate
Replies: 120
Views: 13987

Re: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate

"Chief Executive Guillaume Faury told reporters this week that Airbus would “hibernate” new investments to save cash." That doesn't bode well for the A220 production 'ramp up' Airbus is in cash conservation mode. The post above yours notes that the A321 work at Toulouse is on hold, a much...

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 4:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirBaltic going all Airbus A220 - smaller carrier
Replies: 83
Views: 13406

Re: AirBaltic going all Airbus A220 - smaller carrier

I don't get it..Why would they accelerate the retirement of the Q400s, when post-virus traffic worldwide will face a huge slump and it will take a couple or more years to get back to things the way they were? I mean, now more than ever they're gonna need smaller a/c that are fast and economical..Th...

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 4:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirBaltic going all Airbus A220 - smaller carrier
Replies: 83
Views: 13406

Re: AirBaltic going all Airbus A220 - smaller carrier

This is a bit harsh. Even for you! If you have the funding, keeping the more efficient aircraft is clearly the better long term strategy. And it's great for them that they have a backer who works let them have a more long term view. As opposed to say American carriers spending $40B on share buyback...

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 1:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirBaltic going all Airbus A220 - smaller carrier
Replies: 83
Views: 13406

Re: AirBaltic going all Airbus A220 - smaller carrier

The thread didn't make much sense to me at first. Why keep expensive aircraft with big payments in a time of crisis, why not fall back to older paid for aircraft till you have a feel for the recovery. Then I read: The airline's primary shareholder is the Latvian state, which holds 80.05% of the sto...

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 1:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate
Replies: 120
Views: 13987

Re: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate

They are not crazy at Airbus or Boeing to develop these planes. A318, A342, A345, 736, 764ER, 77L, 748i.......... They are derivatives. Relatively cheaper to develop. And in most cases help secure larger orders. Magnificent as the A380 was. Maybe that is one we can say was "crazy to develop&qu...

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate
Replies: 120
Views: 13987

Re: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate

fcogafa wrote:
"Chief Executive Guillaume Faury told reporters this week that Airbus would “hibernate” new investments to save cash."

That doesn't bode well for the A220 production 'ramp up'


That ramp is not a "new" investment. And they have a partner in that program.

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 range and A223LR
Replies: 40
Views: 7366

Re: A220 range and A223LR

Thanks, makes sense. So, basically, current A220-300 is 145 pax max; if you want 160 pax, you need to wait for Airbus to certify it. Hard to justify an A220-300LR when A320/A321LR/XLRs are mass produced. Interestingly 160 seats doesn't look like a good idea on the A220-300. You have to pay for stru...

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 4:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses
Replies: 434
Views: 36646

Re: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses

CriticalPoint wrote:
aemoreira1981 wrote:
Eventually the E175s will need to be replaced. What will be available to replace them?


How about the E2 flown by mainline?


Or a Q400. I suspect that the aversion to prop flying would change very quickly if some of these smaller towns weren't given a choice.

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 4:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses
Replies: 434
Views: 36646

Re: Embraer hopes E175-E2 jet efficiency helps modify scope clauses

txkf2010 wrote:
I'd expect AC to E2 to replace their 175s that they have KV operating for them. Only carrier in North America whose scope clause is on seats and not seat AND weight.


I can't see it. They'll be replaced with Q400s eventually.

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by TObound
Fri Apr 10, 2020 1:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020
Replies: 277
Views: 65006

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020

Smaller aircraft are going to be more valuable going forward. The A220 program has a shot at gaining new customers going forward. Airbus shouldn't really be reducing the ramp at all. Get to 15/mo by 2024/2025. There's a solid share for marketshare grab while maintaining profitability. I do not thin...

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by TObound
Wed Apr 08, 2020 3:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1461
Views: 4111

Re: Emirates seeking loans on top of government bailout

The sooner the Al-Maktoums cut a deal with the Al-Nahyans, the better the deal they will get. Also, centralizing at DWC is the only way to free up all that real estate at DXB to help them get rich again. I'm not sure this would really be a smart move: real estate was already in trouble before that ...

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by TObound
Wed Apr 08, 2020 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 155835

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

Will this happen or will the NMA be postponed till the economic climate will turn again? I have a feeling that the current and especially the near future will be very harsh for airlines, think post 9-11 combined with Sars and the downturn of 2008. I think the NMA has an even better case going forwa...

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by TObound
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 155835

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

In a world where passenger numbers are dropping, smaller frames are valuable. Airbus' buyout of the CSeries looks even more attractive. And if they have any capital left, pursuing the 225 to gain a real edge on Boeing makes sense. They just have wait till the Max is flying again so as not to spook ...

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by TObound
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1461
Views: 4111

Re: Emirates seeking loans on top of government bailout

EK bankrolls Dubai. Despite everyone thinking it's the other way around, EK is a profit centre for the Government of Dubai. And more importantly an economic enabler and multiplier that brings tourists, investors and commerce through the city. Dubai will never be in a position to substantially bail ...

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by TObound
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1461
Views: 4111

Re: Emirates seeking loans on top of government bailout

EK bankrolls Dubai. Despite everyone thinking it's the other way around, EK is a profit centre for the Government of Dubai. And more importantly an economic enabler and multiplier that brings tourists, investors and commerce through the city. Dubai will never be in a position to substantially bail ...

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by TObound
Mon Apr 06, 2020 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1461
Views: 4111

Re: Emirates seeking loans on top of government bailout

EK bankrolls Dubai. Despite everyone thinking it's the other way around, EK is a profit centre for the Government of Dubai. And more importantly an economic enabler and multiplier that brings tourists, investors and commerce through the city. Dubai will never be in a position to substantially bail o...

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by TObound
Mon Apr 06, 2020 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020
Replies: 277
Views: 65006

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020

Smaller aircraft are going to be more valuable going forward. The A220 program has a shot at gaining new customers going forward. Airbus shouldn't really be reducing the ramp at all. Get to 15/mo by 2024/2025. There's a solid share for marketshare grab while maintaining profitability.

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by TObound
Thu Apr 02, 2020 7:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 155835

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

In a world where passenger numbers are dropping, smaller frames are valuable. Airbus' buyout of the CSeries looks even more attractive. And if they have any capital left, pursuing the 225 to gain a real edge on Boeing makes sense. They just have wait till the Max is flying again so as not to spook B...

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by TObound
Tue Mar 24, 2020 1:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337656

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

My handle is MRYapproach because I live right under the approach to Monterey airport in California. But I also live under the "approaches" from SoCal to SFO and from Asia to LAX. So everything from CRJs to A380s passes overhead multiple times per hour. Normally into SFO every few minutes....

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by TObound
Sun Mar 22, 2020 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?
Replies: 181
Views: 33963

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

There's a lot of talk of AC ditching the 737 MAX after the crisis. Why would that be the case? I can't see it. They need to replace all the aging Airbii narrowbodies. And the coming in TS narrowbodies don't provide enough. Also, who would take the MAX birds they already have (and have waiting for de...

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by TObound
Sun Mar 22, 2020 7:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020
Replies: 277
Views: 65006

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020

Are Mirabel and Mobile still running or are they shut down?

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by TObound
Sun Mar 22, 2020 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 155835

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

I wonder if "social distancing" as a norm will impact airplane design and eventually make 17" wide seats unfavourable in the West. There will some change in how people think about this crisis beyond the present. And I am really curious to see if that impacts airplane design at all.

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by TObound
Sun Mar 22, 2020 7:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM considers A321 order
Replies: 271
Views: 50994

Re: KLM considers A321 order

I don’t think we’ll see a new order in the near future with all the trouble surrounding the corona virus. KL is probably happy they don’t have many planes on order. Disagree. Airlines getting bailouts will move quickly to grab production slots. It gives them even larger advantages over cash strappe...

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by TObound
Sun Mar 22, 2020 7:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 432
Views: 60267

Re: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020

Economists have been warning for years. And there's been growing alarm over the debt bubble. But everyone was happy to ignore it because everyone was partaking. It's not just Boeing. Consumers are loaded up with debt. Governments are loaded up with debt. And here's some news about record corporate d...

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by TObound
Wed Feb 19, 2020 8:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 69
Views: 13037

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaigns Discussion Thread - 2020

600 on the net order list: 95 A220-100 and 505 A220-300 shame they won't make any money on most if not all of those shame they won't make any money on most if not all of those because of...? Source? Gesendet von meinem SM-G950F mit Tapatalk As I understand the program won't turn cash positive until...

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by TObound
Tue Feb 18, 2020 12:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?
Replies: 161
Views: 18332

Re: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?

the only way Delta can counter almost guaranteed success of Breeze is to get a lot more A220s. The advantages of 2ndary airports are no congestion meaning they can offer more frequencies with A220s than with B738s/A320-21 VA in Australia, have a problem in that they don't have enough B777-300ers to...

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by TObound
Tue Feb 18, 2020 12:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?
Replies: 161
Views: 18332

Re: What types will Delta order/option for delivery in 2023/2024?

I may be the odd opinion here. I don't think every gap has to be filled. The marginal cost off going from a 320 to 321 makes it pointless to operate the 321. It's even worse if looking at adding another newish type like the Max. The only way I see the gap getting filled is with a 225 they can keep u...

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by TObound
Mon Feb 17, 2020 6:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada receives first a220
Replies: 58
Views: 13528

Re: Air Canada receives first a220

I am really curious how customers react to the 220 at AC given their rather dense Y cabin config and the olympic level of flexibility needed to contort yourself into one of the rear lavs..... The 19” wide economy seats are very popular (the centre seat is even wider!). Pitch at 30”-32” is now indus...

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by TObound
Mon Feb 17, 2020 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UPDATED: Bombardier Sells Remaining Stake in A220 Program
Replies: 249
Views: 33226

Re: UPDATED: Bombardier Sells Remaining Stake in A220 Program

Just a side note here; now comfirmed that Alstom intends to acquire BBD's rail business - which would be valued at US$8.2B in this transaction. That should considerably lower BBD's debt, and secure the future of its business jet division as a result. Excellent news! http://www.globenewswire.com/new...

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by TObound
Mon Feb 17, 2020 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UPDATED: Bombardier Sells Remaining Stake in A220 Program
Replies: 249
Views: 33226

Re: WSJ: Airbus in Advanced Talks to Acquire Bombardier Stake in A220 Program

Actually we have a better source, Airbus itself: That’s what I would say after I just got the steal of the century. Downplay the future outlook while you know that you will be cashing much sooner. Underpromise and overdeliver. They have nothing to gain by touting that they got an steal and are expe...

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