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by JohanTally
Mon Apr 15, 2024 4:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024
Replies: 142
Views: 25523

Re: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024

But you would have your A35K or 78X in 2026. If the first 777X arrives in 2026 how long will the ramp up take? Will there even be 50 in service before 2030? At this point the 777X is not going to be solving any capacity crunch. And there is nothing stopping Airbus adding a A352K at any point I beli...

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by JohanTally
Mon Apr 15, 2024 1:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024
Replies: 142
Views: 25523

Re: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024

Considering the backlogs of those models I'm not so sure that would help much. The industry seems to need the production capacity of the 777X as well. At the moment anyway. True , you are probably not getting an a35K or 78X before 2026 anyway and we are talking about a reduction in capacity of over...

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by JohanTally
Sun Apr 14, 2024 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Charlotte Aviation - 2024
Replies: 151
Views: 13929

Re: Charlotte Aviation - 2024

Apparently the Burger King in the atrium has been closed since early February due to another fire. That’s 2 fires in less than 2 years. The last fire closed it for nearly a year. Maybe it’s time for something else in that space? You can always go to Concourse E for a subpar flame broiled whopper. F...

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by JohanTally
Sun Apr 14, 2024 6:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024
Replies: 142
Views: 25523

Re: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024

If I remember correctly, there were reports that Tim Clark wanted to see how the B779 performed in the DXB summer? I am sure Tim Clark wants to verify 77X performance, but Noshow was right. They need to build up certification flight hours/establish basic airworthiness before one test model can be s...

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by JohanTally
Sun Apr 14, 2024 1:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024
Replies: 142
Views: 25523

Re: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024

Why are the FAA and Boeing unable to communicate what the issues pending are that prevent TIA? During the MAX fiasco Boeing was "mandated" by the FAA to "hold their piece in the public domain", so the proper question is why does the FAA believe that the public should know nothin...

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by JohanTally
Sat Apr 13, 2024 4:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024
Replies: 142
Views: 25523

Re: Boeing 777X Testing / Production - 2024

Why are the FAA and Boeing unable to communicate what the issues pending are that prevent TIA? During the MAX fiasco Boeing was "mandated" by the FAA to "hold their piece in the public domain", so the proper question is why does the FAA believe that the public should know nothin...

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by JohanTally
Thu Apr 11, 2024 5:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion - 2024
Replies: 115
Views: 14904

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion - 2024

Good news: Piedmont just picked up a bunch of new planes Bad news: They're not going to fly Seems Envoy just dumped a bunch of their parked E145s on Piedmont's door. Not all of them, but a fair share. Makes sense for PDT to be looking after them instead of Envoy. Piedmont has stated the goal of ope...

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by JohanTally
Thu Apr 11, 2024 3:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Charlotte Aviation - 2024
Replies: 151
Views: 13929

Re: Charlotte Aviation - 2024

Has construction on Concourse E disrupted any of the employee break rooms? I travel a lot through CLT, especially E, and in recent months have noticed a large number of personnel taking their breaks in the gate areas. It only adds to the feeling of desperation in the building. None of the E break r...

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by JohanTally
Thu Apr 11, 2024 1:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?
Replies: 27
Views: 4929

Re: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?

Have you been living under a rock? I would say nearly a third of all GTF powered aircraft sitting idle is a reliability issue if I'm not mistaken. P&W may claim they have a >99% dispatch rate but it's closer to 70% right now if we're being honest. [ If an airplane is pulled out of service for 3...

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by JohanTally
Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?
Replies: 27
Views: 4929

Re: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?

What are those supposed reliability issues plaguing the GTF? Could you please elaborate on them? Have you been living under a rock? I would say nearly a third of all GTF powered aircraft sitting idle is a reliability issue if I'm not mistaken. Around three in every 10 jets powered by Pratt & Wh...

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by JohanTally
Wed Apr 10, 2024 10:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?
Replies: 27
Views: 4929

Re: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?

I was under the impression fuel burn wasn't that far apart. However reliability is important as aircraft cost money if they are aog. Maybe as demand for cfm is higher getting a good price and delivery slot was difficult . However for a small airline like icelandair poor reliability could be disastr...

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by JohanTally
Wed Apr 10, 2024 9:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?
Replies: 27
Views: 4929

Re: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?

If problems continue to arise I wonder if the GTF etops rating could be reduced similar to what happened to RR on the 787. HA has already been forced to ground aircraft for much longer than expected with the metal powder issue and any etops restrictions would render their fleet useless. https://bea...

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by JohanTally
Wed Apr 10, 2024 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?
Replies: 27
Views: 4929

Re: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?

If problems continue to arise I wonder if the GTF etops rating could be reduced similar to what happened to RR on the 787. HA has already been forced to ground aircraft for much longer than expected with the metal powder issue and any etops restrictions would render their fleet useless. https://beat...

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by JohanTally
Wed Apr 10, 2024 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FOD penetrates the fuselage of a UX787 in SDQ
Replies: 11
Views: 4590

Re: FOD penetrates the fuselage of a UX787 in SDO

Kikko19 wrote:
Alu would have performed better?

This fairing would be composite on most commercial jets and not 787 specific

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by JohanTally
Tue Apr 09, 2024 6:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?
Replies: 27
Views: 4929

Re: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?

On paper, the fuel burn advantage of the GTF should add a few hundred NM of range to their A321XLRs. Additionally, Iceland's location means that most routes in their network don't take them very far from land, so if the FAA/EASA were to revoke or downgrade ETOPS on the GTF, they wouldn't be affecte...

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by JohanTally
Tue Apr 09, 2024 5:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?
Replies: 27
Views: 4929

Re: Why did icelandair choose pratt and Witney over cfm?

On paper, the fuel burn advantage of the GTF should add a few hundred NM of range to their A321XLRs. Additionally, Iceland's location means that most routes in their network don't take them very far from land, so if the FAA/EASA were to revoke or downgrade ETOPS on the GTF, they wouldn't be affecte...

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by JohanTally
Mon Apr 08, 2024 2:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet - 2024
Replies: 310
Views: 37676

Re: American Airlines Fleet - 2024

TequilaPilot wrote:
Any news about 789s next batch?

I haven't heard anything specific but I believe 1191 is in final assembly and 5 of the next 20 or so 787s on the production line are going to AA. If the 5/month 787 rate holds the first five will have moved to the flight line before September.

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by JohanTally
Thu Apr 04, 2024 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Fate of Condor 757-300s?
Replies: 35
Views: 8040

Re: Fate of Condor 757-300s?

Could they be converted to freighters for use by FedEx or other operators of 757 ? Could also be used by UA as a stopgap to deal with the delayed deliveries of 737MAX or A320's ? No because such a limited production aircraft would make a terrible candidate unless DL and UA simultaneously retired th...

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by JohanTally
Wed Mar 27, 2024 7:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet - 2024
Replies: 310
Views: 37676

Re: American Airlines Fleet - 2024

How is it that AA has only THREE like this? That seems bizarre to me. And thanks for the answer above about the VA birds. They are nearly identical to all the LUS A321CEOs but I believe they may have been used as a testbed to see if that design is quieter. I've seen a few other airlines with a hand...

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by JohanTally
Wed Mar 27, 2024 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet - 2024
Replies: 310
Views: 37676

Re: American Airlines Fleet - 2024

No way that N193UW is still in PIT for MX following the damage at LAX. My guess is they need her engines and have just parked her for the time being. 6 months out of service so far. N193-N195UW have a slightly different exhaust section on their CFMs. They have triangular cuts at the back of the eng...

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by JohanTally
Tue Mar 26, 2024 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet - 2024
Replies: 310
Views: 37676

Re: American Airlines Fleet - 2024

No way that N193UW is still in PIT for MX following the damage at LAX. My guess is they need her engines and have just parked her for the time being. 6 months out of service so far. N193-N195UW have a slightly different exhaust section on their CFMs. They have triangular cuts at the back of the eng...

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by JohanTally
Tue Mar 26, 2024 6:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet - 2024
Replies: 310
Views: 37676

Re: American Airlines Fleet - 2024

A321N N922VA just ferried ROW-SAL today. https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/N922VA OK so I know AA and others have MX done in SAL, but what was it doing at ROW? I thought all these ex-VA 321neo's were at GSO or someplace? It was temporary storage until service was available at a maintenanc...

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by JohanTally
Wed Mar 20, 2024 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Charlotte Aviation - 2024
Replies: 151
Views: 13929

Re: Charlotte Aviation - 2024

The first section of E-Concourse is replacing the carpet with Terrazo flooring between E32 and E36. Also the main restroom between E8 and E20 has been undergoing renovations for a few weeks now. While these improvements are just Band-Aids they should slightly lift the E concourse experience.

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by JohanTally
Sun Mar 17, 2024 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production - 2024
Replies: 90
Views: 18290

Re: Boeing 737MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production - 2024

1 year for inlet fix is 4/2025. But you all have sources that substantiate that being another 20 to 38 months beyond that? At this point with Boeing assuming the worst case scenario for timelines hasn't even been sufficient in the last 5 years. Hopefully they would have everything else buttoned up ...

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by JohanTally
Sat Mar 16, 2024 10:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production - 2024
Replies: 90
Views: 18290

Re: Boeing 737MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production - 2024

With a little bit of extra delay we are looking at an EIS in 2027… No, itll be more mid 2028 onwards. 1 year for inlet fix is 4/2025. But you all have sources that substantiate that being another 20 to 38 months beyond that? At this point with Boeing assuming the worst case scenario for timelines h...

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by JohanTally
Wed Mar 13, 2024 6:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's Fleet home bases
Replies: 52
Views: 5824

Re: AA's Fleet home bases

There is a subfleet of LUS A319s that are EOW equipped as well. The LAA A319s primarily rotate through CLT to operate EYW/STT/SXM where their performance is needed over the LUS A319. All US A320s that were from US East as well as those that were delivered after the HP merger are also EOW but have m...

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by JohanTally
Tue Mar 12, 2024 3:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's Fleet home bases
Replies: 52
Views: 5824

Re: AA's Fleet home bases

Now they can rotate around domestically but the extended overwater routes out of CLT and MIA need the LAA birds. There is a subfleet of LUS A319s that are EOW equipped as well. The LAA A319s primarily rotate through CLT to operate EYW/STT/SXM where their performance is needed over the LUS A319. All...

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by JohanTally
Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's Fleet home bases
Replies: 52
Views: 5824

Re: AA's Fleet home bases

Miamiairport wrote:
The Airbuses pretty much go everywhere. There seems to be some segregation between the LAA and LUS319s. I don't I've ever seen a LAA 319 doing the LGA/DCA/BOS runs and CLT, PHL, and PHX tend to be more LUS 319s.

The LAA 319s seem to rotate through CLT quite frequently.

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by JohanTally
Mon Mar 11, 2024 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft
Replies: 260
Views: 30370

Re: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft

The 175's will be divided up between Piedmont and Envoy. None of the non-wholly owned contract airlines, from what I have been told, are going to receive any of them. You are correct that they are to be placed at the wholly owned carriers. 50 or so going to Piedmont would make sense but also some c...

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by JohanTally
Sun Mar 10, 2024 3:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft
Replies: 260
Views: 30370

Re: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft

Internal communication indicates that the E175s will be used in retiring the E145s by the end of the decade. This opens the door for the the E175 at Piedmont or consolidation among wholly owned regionals. I'd imagine unless Envoy is immune to the pilot shortage or has no trouble hiring pilots the 1...

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by JohanTally
Sat Mar 09, 2024 11:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Former Global Crossing Chief to start Florida based A220 airline: Air Flo
Replies: 62
Views: 8764

Re: Former Global Crossing Chief to start Florida based A220 airline: Air Flo

Has anyone leased the 12 ex-MS A220s that Azorra bought?

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by JohanTally
Fri Mar 08, 2024 3:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United flight loses main wheel departing SFO
Replies: 79
Views: 13383

Re: United flight loses main wheel departing SFO

How exactly does this happen? The 777 wheel seems to have about 20 "lug nuts" (for lack of the technical term) attaching the wheel to the main landing gear. Does it break at the main gear itself? I wish United would start agressively retiring the PW 777-200 fleet. I recently flew one from...

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by JohanTally
Fri Mar 08, 2024 1:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United flight loses main wheel departing SFO
Replies: 79
Views: 13383

Re: United flight loses main wheel departing SFO

How exactly does this happen? The 777 wheel seems to have about 20 "lug nuts" (for lack of the technical term) attaching the wheel to the main landing gear. Does it break at the main gear itself? I wish United would start agressively retiring the PW 777-200 fleet. I recently flew one from...

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by JohanTally
Wed Mar 06, 2024 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft
Replies: 260
Views: 30370

Re: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft

Internal communication indicates that the E175s will be used in retiring the E145s by the end of the decade. This opens the door for the the E175 at Piedmont or consolidation among wholly owned regionals. I'd imagine unless Envoy is immune to the pilot shortage or has no trouble hiring pilots the 1...

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by JohanTally
Wed Mar 06, 2024 12:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft
Replies: 260
Views: 30370

Re: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft

Internal communication indicates that the E175s will be used in retiring the E145s by the end of the decade. This opens the door for the the E175 at Piedmont or consolidation among wholly owned regionals.

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by JohanTally
Tue Mar 05, 2024 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian orders 8 777-9, options for 12 more
Replies: 56
Views: 8778

Re: Ethiopian orders 8 777-9, options for 12 more

PS Where did you get the “excellent hot&high performance” numbers from? Are the large wings or the powerful GE9X engines not convincing enough? From what I heard both the wings and engines are holding back B777X from entering into production. First GE is not able to industrially produce the GE9...

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by JohanTally
Tue Mar 05, 2024 2:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft
Replies: 260
Views: 30370

Re: AA orders 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10 and 90 Embraer E175 aircraft

I think the biggest takeaway of today's order is that (at least on the mainline side of things), this is 100% an expansion order. Not replacements. There will be a replacement order for the early gen 737-800's, A319's, A320s, and 777-200ER announced later this decade. Many people were expecting tha...

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by JohanTally
Mon Mar 04, 2024 8:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Pilots' Union investigating combining seniority list with regionals
Replies: 76
Views: 10259

Re: AA Pilots' Union investigating combining seniority list with regionals

All of the 65-76 seat aircraft would likely add seats which would help offset any potential higher operating costs. CR9s and E175s would likely have about 82 seats. It would also allow for an E175-E2 order which has room for another row of seats. A few years ago I rode on a brand new Eurowings (Luf...

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by JohanTally
Tue Feb 27, 2024 4:41 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why does the B77W have so much thrust?
Replies: 49
Views: 8757

Re: Why does the B77W have such much trust?

Long story short, the massive engines compensate for the undersized wings. Is that reason why the 777X has less thrust (110 vs 115) due to the larger wing? Would it be possible to increase the 779s thrust to around 115 to match the performance of the 77W? The GE9X holds the world record for most po...

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by JohanTally
Sun Feb 11, 2024 1:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated
Replies: 257
Views: 38895

Re: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated

[ And then really BA too. You will see a lot of 787-10 flying to east coast and midwest USA and Caribbean destinations where the 777-200 currently serves. And to the West Coast as well. BA 48/49 SEA-LHR-SEA switches to the 787-10 in mid-March. 9-10 hours. I'm on it in May and June, in J. Looking fo...

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by JohanTally
Sat Feb 10, 2024 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated
Replies: 257
Views: 38895

Re: Is the 787-10 failure or underestimated

Is there any chance we could see AA replace their 772 fleet with 787-10? Its nearly 50 airplanes, very similar in size, and AA for the most part doesn't need the 772's range (S America and Europe) That seems like a real possibility and at some point it will likely be the primary aircraft used on LH...

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by JohanTally
Fri Feb 09, 2024 5:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub
Replies: 481
Views: 58912

Re: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub

It's not that could happen overnight but many southeast airports have plenty of space for growth although not necessarily FL airports. In addition to RDU you have GSO, GSP, and CAE that lots of room for growth and have the benefit of geography and low landing fees. A hub in GSO, GSP or CAE is laugh...

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by JohanTally
Fri Feb 09, 2024 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub
Replies: 481
Views: 58912

Re: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub

UA has 550 planes over 20 years old. The orders will largely serve as replacements for the existing fleet, replacements for RJ's and to grow existing hubs. ORD and SFO are still way down from pre-COVID and IAD has plenty of room for growth. Opening up a hub in a secondary city or anywhere in Florid...

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by JohanTally
Fri Feb 09, 2024 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub
Replies: 481
Views: 58912

Re: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub

UA is not opening up a new hub - this entire rumor is hogwash. The days of legacy carriers operating hubs in secondary cities is long over. UA has over 700 aircraft on order and no SE hub. If a new hub were created by any of the legacies it would likely be UA in the southeast. UA has 550 planes ove...

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by JohanTally
Fri Feb 09, 2024 3:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub
Replies: 481
Views: 58912

Re: Rumors of Possible New United (UA) Hub

usflyer msp wrote:
UA is not opening up a new hub - this entire rumor is hogwash. The days of legacy carriers operating hubs in secondary cities is long over.

UA has over 700 aircraft on order and no SE hub. If a new hub were created by any of the legacies it would likely be UA in the southeast.

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by JohanTally
Fri Feb 09, 2024 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rolls Royce hampering Airbus sales?
Replies: 250
Views: 50911

Re: Rolls Royce hampering Airbus sales?

I’ve realised something. Most of the airlines that are having issues with Rolls pricing have been scarred by the Trent 1000. Which is why sometimes you see some airlines not complaining and some complaining. Those that are complaining have been scarred by the T1000 and probably want the compensatio...

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by JohanTally
Fri Feb 09, 2024 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai Airways orders 45(+35 options) 787s
Replies: 36
Views: 7628

Thai Airways orders 45(+35 options) 787s

Thai Airways has ordered 45 787s with another 35 options. The order is already reflected in Boeings order book and a formal announcement will happen this month. The deal will be announced this month, and is already reflected in Boeing's (BA) order backlog as 45 planes with an undisclosed customer, R...

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by JohanTally
Thu Feb 08, 2024 1:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Looking for Potential Delivery Spots for United
Replies: 400
Views: 70550

Re: Airbus Looking for Potential Delivery Spots for United

If United is in such a need of aircraft, would they consider A220 as a potential candidate to replace their ageing fleet of A319ceos and B737-700s? With production ramp-up, A220s could start arriving in ~ 4 years. And I am aware of commonality, or lack of it, a new type, a new subfleet etc. Let's n...

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by JohanTally
Mon Feb 05, 2024 3:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New quality glitch to delay some Boeing 737 MAX deliveries
Replies: 54
Views: 9208

Re: New quality glitch to delay some Boeing 737 MAX deliveries

Honestly, I think it's time to pull the type. It will cause massive upheaval, but Boeing can either develop a new type and do it the right way or they can go bankrupt and cede the entire market to Airbus. But I would have done this back in 2019. And if we had, Boeing might be most of the way to a N...

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by JohanTally
Sun Feb 04, 2024 12:53 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: DL Asia-ATL flying more southern than others
Replies: 12
Views: 2341

Re: DL Asia-ATL flying more southern than others

ILikeTrains wrote:
As of today there is a honking tailwind over the pacific in the area flown by those Delta jets.

I guess it's common this time of year because over the last week most DL flights have stayed South and made great time.

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