Search found 91 matches

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

You sure about that? https://www.faa.gov/regulations_policies/airworthiness_directives/search/?q=boeing+777 Every aircraft has issues. It's public record - choose your airframe of choice and run an AD report on it. Each one is a continuous stream of findings and fixes and improvements. This recent ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

It's not the item (the shim) that hasn't been tested by Boeing but the process to manufacture it. It looks like this process was sort of automated and not so much operator-dependent. It appears also that Boeing has relied on the fact that this process was supposed to produce conforming parts and th...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 3:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

The last plane that Boeing released that did not have issues was the 777. At some point in time, the board and management have to sit down and reflect as to whether or not they are doing right by their customers. The FAA that is sleeping on the job similarly keeps losing face with every issue that ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 1:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

As Boeing engineers comb through records to identity planes with possible flaws, the FAA already has learned what prompted one of the defects: The plane maker didn’t test how it produces shims, or material that fills gaps between barrel-shaped sections of the jets’ fuselages, to ensure they meet re...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 12:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

Wait, there are untested components on the 787? I get that it may not be a problem, but there are items on the 787 they declined to test before using them in production. This seems very serious. What else have they neglected to test before using it in production? I know Boeing is trying to downplay...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 8:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

As Boeing engineers comb through records to identity planes with possible flaws, the FAA already has learned what prompted one of the defects: The plane maker didn’t test how it produces shims, or material that fills gaps between barrel-shaped sections of the jets’ fuselages, to ensure they meet re...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 7:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

The last plane that Boeing released that did not have issues was the 777. At some point in time, the board and management have to sit down and reflect as to whether or not they are doing right by their customers. The FAA that is sleeping on the job similarly keeps losing face with every issue that ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Sep 09, 2020 6:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues
Replies: 179
Views: 37224

Re: Boeing Removes 8 x 787 From Service over Structural Issues

The last plane that Boeing released that did not have issues was the 777. At some point in time, the board and management have to sit down and reflect as to whether or not they are doing right by their customers. The FAA that is sleeping on the job similarly keeps losing face with every issue that c...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Sep 01, 2020 10:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations
Replies: 130
Views: 15525

Re: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations

The most competative option for delta would be to sub contract all flying to the connection carriers but that is explicitly not in delta pilots interest so yeah there is a balance between a healthy company and a good carrier to be maintained from a union perspective Let them take less money, let co...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Sep 01, 2020 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations
Replies: 130
Views: 15525

Re: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations

It's all business. Dollars and cents. The short answer is that organized employees will temper their reply to management's upcoming calls for sacrifice based on how the company spends its money. The longer answer is that the airline industry is a people-intensive business and tends to have highly o...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Sep 01, 2020 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations
Replies: 130
Views: 15525

Re: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations

Why on earth would a business, any business ever answer to employees how it invests its money? It's all business. Dollars and cents. The short answer is that organized employees will temper their reply to management's upcoming calls for sacrifice based on how the company spends its money. The longe...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Sep 01, 2020 12:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations
Replies: 130
Views: 15525

Re: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations

OK, let's look at it from the other perspective: If the doom of current crisis, when airlines are hit very hard, bleeding cash and likely would not turn profit for a few years, and with the bakrupcy being a distinct possibility - wouldn't you expect it to be wise for the board to advice against con...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Sep 01, 2020 6:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations
Replies: 130
Views: 15525

Re: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations

And unions have nothing to do with this Delta ALPA as well as other Delta employees' jobs are directly affected by these JV's. That's the point of this whole thread. Employees are also affected by reduced health of the company resulting from the loss of $4B. it is hard to blame anyone here Good cor...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Sep 01, 2020 5:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations
Replies: 130
Views: 15525

Re: Delta ALPA concerned over continued JV scope flying violations

I disagree. At the time the investments were made, they helped secure JV partners and fortify areas where DL was weak. I would agree with this. Each purchase was to further a strategic goal… Again I respect your views. But again I must disagree. For a serious businessperson, saying, “Oh, it’s strat...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon Aug 24, 2020 5:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Considers Closing 787 Production in WA
Replies: 160
Views: 24152

Re: Boeing Considers Closing 787 Production in WA

PAE is down to 2 777s and 3 767 a month after 747 shuts down (at 0.5 per month) and the 787 is consolidated to CHS. That is a lot of building to spread across 5 planes a month. That will put 777 (and 767) on death spiral and PAE will end up like LGB - unless they develop a new product to build in g...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 27907

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

Development money has to be recovered, at least that is the aim when they are designing a plane. Why else do you think there are program costs trying to estimate how many units need to be sold before a plane breaks even? Context is important. Jetport was responding to Zeke's notion that the 787 can...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 27907

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

Development money has to be recovered, at least that is the aim when they are designing a plane. Why else do you think there are program costs trying to estimate how many units need to be sold before a plane breaks even? How could any one company try and justify to its shareholders an investment ru...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 27907

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

... 3. We really need to stop thinking about what airlines will replace their legacy fleet with. History has shown us that it is not such a simple question to answer. There will be operators that will want to replace some or all of their older aircraft with something that has the same type rating, ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat Aug 22, 2020 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 27907

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

There is not a single wide body in the world that is not struggling. Some gold standard airlines ordered the A380, and where is it? Some of the strongest airlines have ordered the 777X, and that program is in trouble even before a single unit has been delivered. The 787-9, A330Neo and A350-900 are ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 27907

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

Covid is not the issues. Leahy started orders for 33neo with JUNK rated airlines. The writing was on the walls from the starts. There is not a single wide body in the world that is not struggling. Some gold standard airlines ordered the A380, and where is it? Some of the strongest airlines have ord...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 27907

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

I do not understand why the debate is now about 787 development and production cost. I think this thread started because LeehamNews wrote a story about the bleak future of the A330neo. Do people agree with LeehamNews' analysis? I think that's the most important aspect we need to discuss here. As fa...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat Aug 22, 2020 11:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 27907

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

Your definition of sunk costs is incorrect. The reason the A380 ceased production is there were no new orders, not because of sunk costs. That is FALSE. The sunk costs are there no matter what. "AND" versus "OR": "Plants need sunlight AND water" is not the same as &quo...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet
Replies: 100
Views: 11648

Re: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet

Not every industry is a race to the bottom. Consumer tech is always getting better and cheaper. Not worse and cheaper (compare a TV or a cell phone from now to 1985). Restaurants (at least where I live) are not getting worse, cars are getting better, grocery stores have a lot more selection and hig...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Jul 29, 2020 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet
Replies: 100
Views: 11648

Re: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet

TVNWZ wrote:
The Air Force is already precision flying every day with nobody in the craft.
They do not have to worry about what passengers think.

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed Jul 29, 2020 3:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet
Replies: 100
Views: 11648

Re: Airbus completes testing of self flying jet

2 people for a machine carrying 200+ lives is too expensive for airline industry huh? Even today, Airlines barely get any sympathies from the general public due to charging for petty things. This will cause a complete mistrust between people and airlines. If every industry was not a race to the bot...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

I think your post is well considered but seems to be taking an all or nothing approach. I don't think anyone is arguing hubs will disappear. As I wrote above the argument was about where the growth would happen, not if hubs would disappear. 1) I don't think prices from smaller airports will always ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Fri Jul 10, 2020 9:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Truly bypassing large hubs is not going to be something that happens regardless of what plane is built. There are way too many moving parts that will always work against that. 1. If the aim is to connect a smaller airport, that does not have enough demand to sustain competition, then prices from the...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 156
Views: 32310

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

Germany and other carriers don’t have the same traffic rights because its carriers were never interested in flying to those African destinations, not because African countries want to limit European air connections. The mere suggestion is bizarre: most African countries have no local carrier flying...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Jun 30, 2020 2:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CARES Act Aid Extension for Airlines
Replies: 86
Views: 12563

Re: CARES Act Aid Extension for Airlines

HST are going to be more modern than regular trains and tend to have similar air systems to planes (for high speed the train cabin is actually pressurized), whereas regular trains will have the benefit of more room and windows. It'll be far more detrimental to planes and buses than trains. Furtherm...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Jun 30, 2020 4:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CARES Act Aid Extension for Airlines
Replies: 86
Views: 12563

Re: CARES Act Aid Extension for Airlines

Globally, there will be a significant shift from air to rail, so it probably won't be a 'recovery' in much of Europe and Asia. Not going to happen when virus spreads faster in a train carriage than in a plane. You certainly don't have much clue on how air circulates in a train carriage especially H...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Fri Jun 19, 2020 11:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA could make up to 12,000 employees redundant
Replies: 347
Views: 68845

Re: BA could make up to 12,000 employees redundant

Whether people would like to acknowledge it or not, what we now have is a function of supply and demand. Airlines have historically been forced to pay more for pilots to keep them because they would have easily left for greener pastures. It was not hard to hear of airlines spending money to train pi...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus threatens to sue airlines
Replies: 104
Views: 20307

Re: Airbus threatens to sue airlines

There are very many ways of communicating a message if partners are not willing to talk. This message from Airbus is not meant for public participation as some may think, but it is a call to airlines that are not picking up the phone that there are different ways of accomplishing business if there a...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat Jun 06, 2020 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus threatens to sue airlines
Replies: 104
Views: 20307

Re: Airbus threatens to sue airlines

The problem with that is, at least for non public airlines, they are in a position to tell Airbus (or Boeing for that matter), back off or we will never buy another aircraft from you, the question is, is any manufacturer willing to take that risk ? Is the manufacturer willing to take that risk for ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 11, 2020 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the A330neo ever become as successful as its predecessors?
Replies: 199
Views: 24836

Re: Will the A330neo ever become as successful as its predecessors?

No. The reason is not "not good enough", but "it came too late". Too late that the 787 was being to slay on the market. I am not so sure about that - the A330ceo sold very well even after the B787 was launched and continued to sell even after the first ones were delivered. One c...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat May 09, 2020 2:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

1) For some this pandemic may be remembered in a negative way, for others it may be remembered in a positive way. Some people may find this to be a turning point where they found family life was much more important than they realized and business travel was much more of a burden than they realized....

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by Gremlinzzzz
Fri May 08, 2020 5:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

That is an exaggeration if I've ever heard one. No one is saying it is an eternal substitute for face to face meetings but I am sure it will reduce the amount of travel for face to face meetings going forward tremendously. A large percentage of the workforce that once were travel candidates now has...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Fri May 08, 2020 4:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

Curious about the statement in this article 'Had the natural laws of supply and demand survival of the fittest worked, I think we would have seen the culling of many airlines'. the overtones of which imply that Emirates would not have been at risk as one of those airlines. It was however announced ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Wed May 06, 2020 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

As you can see with LGW (although much smaller than LHR), HUBS can actually suffer if demand is not there. Maybe the US will be more impervious given that loads of cities where, in Europe for example, you would normally drive/take a train to, a flight is the best available option. But otherwise... ...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

The phrase, "for every application" has a big implied assumption. That is "for the socioeconomic condition of the given time and place." The recent popularity of new, fuel efficient planes may make sense only when the fuel is expensive and the capital cost is low. Also, in terms...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

How many XLR's are there in the market? How many routes can you cover? Could you go Hong Kong to London? Chinese east coast to Western Europe? Europe to South East Asia? West Africa into Asia? How many schedules would you run? How would you adapt in several years time when traffic is back? Why woul...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 11:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

Assuming traffic is down by considerable amount, most airlines will be charging reasonable fares i.e., not heavily discounted, and every other seat has to be kept empty, it will open up lot of P2P routes. What will be A321XLR range with every middle seat unoccupied, 77W cannot compete. Super Hubs a...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 10:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

Dubai has long since reached a stage where it will remain relevant as a regional trade center. It isn't going away. There will always be a need for air transport to and from Dubai. That said, I believe it will shrink, both the airline and the city. For Emirates, I see a smaller future where connect...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 8:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines cash reserves
Replies: 48
Views: 10328

Re: Airlines cash reserves

It takes 3 parties to make a business run: management, employees, and shareholders. Shareholders absolutely need to be compensated in such a capital intensive business that makes low profits compared to other industries. If you want those lounges, new airplanes, and fancy technology you have to bri...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 3:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines cash reserves
Replies: 48
Views: 10328

Re: Airlines cash reserves

We aren't talking about a rainy day - the airlines were plenty prepared for a rainy day. They, and no business, can be expected to have cash on hand to run the company with no revenue for months on end. This is a Category 5 hurricane, not a rainy day. What have they done last few decades? They have...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 3:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines cash reserves
Replies: 48
Views: 10328

Re: Airlines cash reserves

Such a basic concept for people to believe investor funded companies should just stash away billions - this is not personal finance. Even on the non-traded privately held company level I can say my company probably returns 85% of our excess cash flow back to investors, closer to 90% if you back out...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Mon May 04, 2020 3:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

I never wanted to say that you can do every kind of business without meeting in person. Just that in many fields where it was said to be impossible to work without travel, people suddenly realized in the last months that they can still do quite a lot of business using video-conference. I think that...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sun May 03, 2020 2:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing raises $25B in new Debt sale
Replies: 61
Views: 6877

Re: Boeing raises $25B in new Debt sale

You cannot use cash to pay for early production losses. Those are paper losses and you can't use cash to cover paper/accounting losses, there is no one to pay the cash to. ... they could not have used cash to cover early production losses, since they are just paper/balance sheet losses. Boeing thin...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sun May 03, 2020 1:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

There are tests that are carried out when it comes to traveling to certain countries, some are not even contagious e.g. STD's or yellow fever, the latter one would need to get a vaccine on. A few years ago, someone traveled to Africa and got typhoid, brought it to the US, infected some people befor...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat May 02, 2020 1:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

There are tests that are carried out when it comes to traveling to certain countries, some are not even contagious e.g. STD's or yellow fever, the latter one would need to get a vaccine on. A few years ago, someone traveled to Africa and got typhoid, brought it to the US, infected some people befor...

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by Gremlinzzzz
Sat May 02, 2020 4:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1402
Views: 2830

Re: EK's possible future?

The political dimension is missing. Emirates used to absorb the growth. European airlines didn't like and lobbied, but they could carry on. Until demand is back to normal I see three scenarios once traffic picks up again: a) both European airlines and Emirates fly half empty. Tickets will be so cos...

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