Search found 135 matches

by Dmoney
Tue Jun 02, 2020 9:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Invest in Airbus or Boeing
Replies: 27
Views: 2558

Re: Invest in Airbus or Boeing

I think Boeing is undervalued currently. Really? The current stock price is almost the same as in 2016. I think the company is worse off than at the moment in time, so I think the stock price should reflect that. Boeing has great competitive moats and smart people, I'm sure it'll make buckets of ca...

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by Dmoney
Tue Jun 02, 2020 8:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 200
Views: 51649

Re: Updated :Norwegian Bankruptcy

No moral hazard on airline ownership issue -- with you so far. No question: shareholders made a bet, shareholders lost, shareholders got (nearly) wiped out. Creditors took a haircut. No doubt it's fair. Moral hazard is rampant with sale of advance bookings, for flights that will not operate. Now, t...

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by Dmoney
Mon Jun 01, 2020 11:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 200
Views: 51649

Re: Updated :Norwegian Bankruptcy

People here are amazingly ignorant about finance. There is no moral hazard here. The owners of the company, equity, have lost everything and been diluted down to 5% and then they've recapitalized the business and the debt holders have taken a huge write down and a majority share in a debt/equity sw...

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by Dmoney
Sun May 31, 2020 11:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

IN the event you haven't been reading? American, USAir and AM west as now part of AMERICAN Have ALL been in CH-11. A second CH-11 if not absolutely Necessary? would render them possibly out of business. And you expect them to do that and force in the E2 for American Eagle? No, just I said before, U...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 11:52 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: The future of inflight showers
Replies: 22
Views: 3033

Re: The future of inflight showers

I think showers do matter those who pay full price for first class. You aren't hanging around in the lounge like a peasant, they come pick you up, you go through special security and then plane waits for you. Then you've a hotel room on the plane with whatever you need. Of less interest to the loose...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 11:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

90 min is will get you from any bumtown USA place to a local hub... Pay the workers proper wages. That's all I'm saying. Or, you know, you could not pay them at all. Do legacies really need to serve every bumtown? Isn't 2x weekly to Florida on Spirit enough service? Passengers could just drive to a...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 11:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Regionals fly feeder routes and bypass routes. If I understand it correctly, the scope clause basically allows the mayors to outsource the smaller aircraft. The mayors start with roughly 100seat aircraft, the routes that don't sustain this are subcontracted to regional airlines. As passenger direct...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 11:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

This is a lie. I've fallen asleep on a Q400 numerous times. I'd prefer it a 10 abreast 777 aft the engines. Ear plugs? Fillings? What are you talking about? A US airlines this shit? I agree that Q400 is acceptable in terms of noise or vibration. I always fly with earphones/earplugs in so it's not a...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Are you able to read? Im arguing that bankruptcy is catastrophic and not something you do. Bkmbr is arguing it's not a big deal. He thinks management can just go through chapter 11 and the company springs forth reborn. I'm arguing that's wrong and stupid. No, I'm saying that bankruptcy is an option...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 11:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the A330neo ever become as successful as its predecessors?
Replies: 199
Views: 24623

Re: Will the A330neo ever become as successful as its predecessors?

Does anyone know if the 330neo will have a wider fuselage than the 332 or 333? Will it have 2-4-2 seating? The same externally and internally. For some reason, probably cost, Airbus did not implement the wider internal width to be achieved by "sculpting" proposed for the A350 Mk 1 on the ...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 10:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

No, the bankruptcy is just another possible business decision just like any other, if the benefits for filing for bankruptcy are greater than the inherent costs (such as increasing rates on interest on loa ans) absolutely nothing prevents the administrator from doing so, in fact it is precisely wha...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 29, 2020 10:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

You don't seem to understand the point at all. Yes, bankruptcy is useful for the company but it's catastrophic for the owners and therefore a last last last resort. Management works for the owners, not the suppliers or workers or anyone else. You only declare bankruptcy when you've absolutely no ch...

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by Dmoney
Thu May 28, 2020 10:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

The problem in the US is not just de technical capabilities of the turboprops. In the US market turboprops have a long standing bad reputation among the customers and some operators and a lot of people are afraid to fly on them because of the alleged "poor reputation" that turboprops deve...

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by Dmoney
Thu May 28, 2020 10:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

This is dramatically understating it. Management works for the owners and the owners loose everything in bankruptcy. If management could have avoided bankruptcy but didn't then they've left themselves open to being personally sued for everything they are worth. Hope your professional insurance hold...

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by Dmoney
Thu May 28, 2020 4:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I believe the main point of contention is, there's any possible viable (technical and economical) to have an aircraft able to keep the scope clauses in the long run? From the point of view of the manufacturers apparently is hard (maybe impossible) to develop a 76 passenger new generation of airplan...

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by Dmoney
Thu May 28, 2020 7:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

It's kinda funny we have a thread where we're allegedly discussing how we might get a new scope compliant aircraft, but have lots of posts of people arguing if scope is or is not going away. Seems to be a major disconnect. It also seems the ones who are most confident scope is not going away ever a...

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by Dmoney
Thu May 28, 2020 7:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I’ve had weight restrictions on 45 minute hops from JFK - IAD. I doubt airline ops centers in the US would allow any turboprop to take off in irrops until the situation is cleared at both stations. Let’s not forget you’re dealing with: ATC Flow control Gate returns for fuel Gate returns to remove b...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 11:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Read GalaxyFlyers post. Not only weather conditions but ATC flow control delays also play into the equation. Turboprops are also notorious for weight restrictions. Weather it’s passenger capacity or passenger bags loaded on the aircraft. Turboprops are a pain to deal with during irrops conditions t...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 11:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I'd really like to see an updated survey on this, rather than just a repeat of a.net lore that keeps getting asserted as fact. The 70s and 80s was 40 years ago now, and the public has a short memory. Like I mentioned, I flew Silver's ATR42-600 the other day, and it was a quieter, more comfortable r...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 11:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I appreciate you agreeing I was correct. Only time will prove whether your assumptions of how companies, consumers, unions, pilots and manufacturers will behave in the next quarter century are right or not. Based on everything we've seen in the aviation market for the past 30 years I have a hard ti...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 9:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Those dumb passengers are the ones who pays to fly, and they are not willing to pay to fly on a turboprops. We've established they are willing. Thanks for playing though. If someone isn't making a scope compliant RJ they will take turboprops instead. Apparently my crystal ball is not just as powerf...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 9:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

It’s like buying a car, you have the cheap base model, afterwards you can start adding additional extras. Most regional airlines operate a simple base model aircraft. Certified for Cat I maybe Cat II approach. Regional airlines don’t usually equip their aircraft with all of the luxury bells and whi...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 6:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

They can either fly an old scope compliant RJ or a turboprop. Any passengers are dumb. Those dumb passengers are the ones who pays to fly, and they are not willing to pay to fly on a turboprops. We've established they are willing. Thanks for playing though. If someone isn't making a scope compliant...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 6:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I guess old RJ’s will keep on flying. Q-200 gone Q-300 gone Q-400 gone Commutair and Expressjet E-145’s are getting repainted. CRJ-700/550 CRJ-900/705 E-175SC experiments to skirt scope clause rules American and United are already well familiar with props and chose to get rid of them anyway. With a...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 3:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

ATR could push up speed, ceiling and capacity on the ATR's a bit. New suitable engines were under development. They have been discussing for a decade, little competition and -600 success made them shy of the investment I guess. The american passenger never really accepted the Q400, why they would a...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 3:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

ATR could push up speed, ceiling and capacity on the ATR's a bit. New suitable engines were under development. They have been discussing for a decade, little competition and -600 success made them shy of the investment I guess. https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-KnONqj0AlKg/WZWn8oaCOMI/AAAAAAAACwk/...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

This seems to be a popular discussion lately and I’ll reiterate it from a 121 pilot perspective. Regional jets are now flying mainline routes at a fraction of the cost and this severely limits career movement of regional pilots (Republic routinely flies DCA-CLT, HUB to HUB. Usually only one flight ...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 11:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 200
Views: 51649

Re: Updated :Norwegian Bankruptcy

People here are amazingly ignorant about finance. There is no moral hazard here. The owners of the company, equity, have lost everything and been diluted down to 5% and then they've recapitalized the business and the debt holders have taken a huge write down and a majority share in a debt/equity swa...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 11:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

This seems to be a popular discussion lately and I’ll reiterate it from a 121 pilot perspective. Regional jets are now flying mainline routes at a fraction of the cost and this severely limits career movement of regional pilots (Republic routinely flies DCA-CLT, HUB to HUB. Usually only one flight ...

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by Dmoney
Wed May 27, 2020 7:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

The companies and customers also loss in the end. The E2 is a significant improvement over the E1 and no company will get any of this advantage based on arbitrary created limit. Apart from the 175E2, there is no other product capable of serving this market at least in the next decade (and yes, I do...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 11:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Of course the ATR 72 stands a chance. The other planes aren't scope compliant so it's either a turboprop or mainline. That's the base case. The million dollar question is that the customer will agree to have the ERJs replaced by ATRs and still fly with them. After 20+ years getting used to fly on R...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 9:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

This isn't something to be proud of it's pathetic. The super rich aren't our friends. I'm not trying to screw over other workers. I recognize the world we live in but I'm not calling for pilots to take huge paycuts so that corporations can make more money. That wouldn't be rational. There are plent...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

How beaten down are Americans that their natural reaction is to want to beat down fellow workers wages so that a corporation can make more money. Because that's exactly what those calling for scope to change are doing. Welcome to the real life of finance in the 21st Century, pull your chair up to t...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 8:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Has anyone provided a rational to build a new plane? I can't see one. The ATR-72 will continue to sell. The RJ will continue to disappear unless someone goes back to making scope compliant planes. With live in an energy abundant age. Renewable energy is getting dirt cheap and oil will remain cheap. ...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 8:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

The companies and customers also loss in the end. The E2 is a significant improvement over the E1 and no company will get any of this advantage based on arbitrary created limit. Apart from the 175E2, there is no other product capable of serving this market at least in the next decade (and yes, I do...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 8:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I believe in the same thing but the last time I said it out loud here I almost got beaten by unionists who believe that companies will prefer to please their employees than their shareholders. But you know how A.net is a strange place, here a second hand 767 is always a better option than an A330ne...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 8:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Passport weighs 2,000# more PER engine, it’s a high altitude, Mach .90, low cycle design when a RJ needs a lightweight, low-ish altitude, M.78, high cycle engine. Try again. Engine mass is not a linear function of thrust. The Passport was designed for a very specific application. Now could some of ...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 7:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

The weight increase eats away engine fuel efficiency gains. That's why I think designing within current scope clauses will result in a more efficient plane than the E175-E2 or the M90. Currently there is hardly demand for passenger flights, thus a huge aircraft surplus. But in a couple of years dem...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 7:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I have a very hard time believing scope requirements will not be changing with re-negotiations post-COVID restructuring. The E2-175 will end up as a regional jet. Pilots union saw last time that jets for jobs does not work and that allowing better regional jets just keeps mainline on the street lon...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 7:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I have a very hard time believing scope requirements will not be changing with re-negotiations post-COVID restructuring. The E2-175 will end up as a regional jet. I believe in the same thing but the last time I said it out loud here I almost got beaten by unionists who believe that companies will p...

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by Dmoney
Tue May 26, 2020 12:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16542

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

Other than people here being aerosexuals why would anyone design a new plane? The ATR 72 is cheap and capable of all regional flights. Regional flying is there to provide important air links. Either take a modern turboprop or don't fly at all. Mainline aircraft do everything above. There is nothing ...

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by Dmoney
Sun May 24, 2020 10:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3539

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

Plus if you don't make your payments on your loans I just apply in London to have you wound up and take my assets. I mean I'm not gonna but I can. That unfortunately is the attitude of many financiers, and disproportionately from the USA, and increasingly the EU, who in tough times, can seem like f...

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by Dmoney
Sat May 23, 2020 11:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3539

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

Plus if you don't make your payments on your loans I just apply in London to have you wound up and take my assets. I mean I'm not gonna but I can.

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by Dmoney
Sat May 23, 2020 11:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3539

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

They seem to be in much better shape than expected. With $7 Bn in cash, assuming a cash burn similar to Delta for the whole group ($50 Mn / day), they can withstand 4 to 5 months of shutdowns. The cash burn for the group is likely to be lower than Delta due to significantly lower labor costs (EK is...

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by Dmoney
Sat May 23, 2020 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777 - 25 years in commercial service
Replies: 147
Views: 14208

Re: 777 - 25 years in commercial service

It was the airlines decision to go from 9x to 10x. Which Boeing fundamentally enabled through design. It's a miserable passenger experience on a 777 and it's not on a A330. I generally have no interest on what plane I fly but I check for long haul and if it's a 777 I take a look to see if there is ...

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by Dmoney
Sat May 23, 2020 5:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777 - 25 years in commercial service
Replies: 147
Views: 14208

Re: 777 - 25 years in commercial service

How can you blame Boeing for making a product their customers (the airlines) want? It's great for Boeing. Shite for passengers. You can just make a nice profitable efficient plane which isn't optimized for a miserable passenger experience. That's all. It was the airlines decision to go from 9x to 1...

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by Dmoney
Sat May 23, 2020 8:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777 - 25 years in commercial service
Replies: 147
Views: 14208

Re: 777 - 25 years in commercial service

But it's not like Airbus has never promoted 9 A/B on the A330. https://runwaygirlnetwork.com/2018/11/06/airbus-touts-a330-800-paxex-advantage-but-jet-may-land-with-9-abreast/ Except nobody fly's them. Or almost nobody, I don't personally care about Cebu Pacific. It's an edge case to me. But in my e...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 22, 2020 11:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777 - 25 years in commercial service
Replies: 147
Views: 14208

Re: 777 - 25 years in commercial service

A330 and A350 are built so that 8&9 abreast is the only reasonable layout and perfectly fine. But it's not like Airbus has never promoted 9 A/B on the A330. https://runwaygirlnetwork.com/2018/11/06/airbus-touts-a330-800-paxex-advantage-but-jet-may-land-with-9-abreast/ Except nobody fly's them. ...

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by Dmoney
Fri May 22, 2020 11:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777 - 25 years in commercial service
Replies: 147
Views: 14208

Re: 777 - 25 years in commercial service

A330 and A350 are built so that 8&9 abreast is the only reasonable layout and perfectly fine. But it's not like Airbus has never promoted 9 A/B on the A330. https://runwaygirlnetwork.com/2018/11/06/airbus-touts-a330-800-paxex-advantage-but-jet-may-land-with-9-abreast/ Except nobody fly's them. ...

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by Dmoney
Thu May 21, 2020 11:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FT: Investors bet AA will file for BK
Replies: 304
Views: 54108

Re: FT: Investors bet AA will file for BK

I mean you can't just screw the creditors. They own the company when your equity is all gone. You can just make the case that they are better off taking what you have on offer vs liquidation and get the judge onside. Norwegian is a good example. Aercap wankers just up the road are now the biggest sh...

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