Search found 5423 matches

by SEPilot
Wed Aug 21, 2019 9:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today
Replies: 17
Views: 2582

Re: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today

If the MAX grounding is lifted this year, which I would expect, I believe that Boeing will weather it and the ensuing compensation payments without serious problems, because they were in such a strong financial position before. What it will affect is projects going forward, such as the NMA. I would ...

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by SEPilot
Wed Aug 21, 2019 8:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?
Replies: 135
Views: 15397

Re: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?

The first question is what holes exist in their lineup? None, really. And the next question is where do their offerings fall short of what Boeing has to offer? And that is where it gets interesting. The first obvious shortfall is the A330neo is obviously inferior to the 787, and the A350 is bigger ...

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by SEPilot
Wed Aug 21, 2019 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?
Replies: 135
Views: 15397

Re: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?

The first question is what holes exist in their lineup? None, really. And the next question is where do their offerings fall short of what Boeing has to offer? And that is where it gets interesting. The first obvious shortfall is the A330neo is obviously inferior to the 787, and the A350 is bigger a...

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by SEPilot
Tue Aug 20, 2019 12:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing delays 777-8X entry into service
Replies: 154
Views: 25397

Re: Boeing delays 777-8X entry into service

The only way the 778 can succeed against the A3510 is if the engines are enough better that they offset the increased empty weight that the 778 carries. From what Lightsaber has to say about it, that may very well happen. But if it doesn’t then the 778’s business case is pretty much nonexistent. Of ...

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by SEPilot
Mon Aug 19, 2019 7:35 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Are the B777-200/200ER/300 still in production?
Replies: 11
Views: 2408

Re: Are the B777-200/200ER/300 still in production?

My understanding is that Boeing stopped offering the -200ER, -200A, and -300 once the -300ER and -200LR production hit full swing. I heard that one airline, I believe it was DL, wanted some more -22ERs and Boeing quoted an outrageous price for them, more than for the LRs. That may have been part of ...

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by SEPilot
Mon Aug 19, 2019 7:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 trouble in the future
Replies: 31
Views: 8372

Re: 787 trouble in the future

Boeing may be ramping up production as a way to deal with the MAX crisis. That way they maintain cash flow while the income from the 737 is nearly completely cut off, and if necessary cut back later after the MAX is flying again. I also suspect that cost savings achieved when ramping production up t...

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by SEPilot
Sat Aug 17, 2019 2:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dornier 728 became A220?
Replies: 22
Views: 4208

Re: Dornier 728 became A220?

Airliner technology has become dominated by efficiency, and the most efficient arrangement of a tube with wings subsonic airliner that has been discovered so far is two engines hung on swept low mounted wings with a low mounted horizontal stabilizer. Therefore all of them are going to look similar. ...

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by SEPilot
Sat Aug 17, 2019 10:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MD-11 Freighters
Replies: 11
Views: 2570

Re: MD-11 Freighters

The MD-11 failed in the marketplace because it was inferior in many ways to its competitors, the 777 and A340. Only 200 were built. It was picked up by freight operators not for any particular ability to carry freight but because the airframes were cheap compared to the alternatives, and could be re...

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by SEPilot
Fri Aug 09, 2019 12:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166226

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

It's definitely a good looking aircraft. Can we expect the wing flex to more along the lines of the 787 now since the wings are carbon fiber? (Correct me if I'm wrong on that). The amount of wing flex is tied to several factors. But the most important ones are the strength to stiffness ratio of the...

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by SEPilot
Tue Aug 06, 2019 11:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues
Replies: 319
Views: 70026

Re: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues

The option of more than one engine is always nice, but is very costly. Two or three manufacturers must duplicate the development costs, and the airframe manufacturer has to design multiple interfaces and then get multiple engines certified. Then they have to split the market, which means that at lea...

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by SEPilot
Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues
Replies: 319
Views: 70026

Re: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues

Having been involved with new machine design most of my career, the hardest thing in engineering is estimating how much time designing something will take. And that is assuming that everything will work as planned. When things do NOT work exactly as planned then all bets are off. Trying to set a sch...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans
Replies: 131
Views: 23797

Re: Cathay Pacific future fleet/route plans

Since my international travel is at this point pretty much to the Philippines CX is my preferred way to get there (via JFK), with EVA being a close second choice. My brother is also married to a Filipina, and he lives in the Houston area. And for him CX is not an option. So Houston should be on the ...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jul 15, 2019 8:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Plus Ultra to acquire A340-600s
Replies: 17
Views: 6982

Re: Plus Ultra to acquire A340-600s

Taking on a fleet of obsolete aircraft that have four very expensive to maintain engines, and were pushed out of the marketplace by another aircraft that is itself on the verge of being obsolete because it was so much more efficient does not sound like a sure-fire road to success. I don’t care how c...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jul 15, 2019 11:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166226

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

RJMAZ wrote:
Enough thrust headroom for a 777-10

The 777-10 would only need more thrust if it had a higher MTOW, which I don’t believe the landing gear can accommodate. I believe it is at the absolute limit now. Increasing it will require more tires, and that will not be easy.

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by SEPilot
Sat Jul 13, 2019 3:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: American Airlines To Introduce Free WiFi
Replies: 54
Views: 7898

Re: Rumor: American Airlines To Introduce Free WiFi

Ultimately it will become cheaper to provide free WiFi and power ports and eliminate all other forms of inflight entertainment. I suspect that point is not far off.

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by SEPilot
Sat Jul 13, 2019 3:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO
Replies: 151
Views: 23109

Re: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO

When the herd goes all in one direction, there often is great opportunity in going against the flow. I am completely confident that WW got the deal of a lifetime. He knows, as do all reasonable observers, that the MAX WILL be cleared and go on to be a very successful airliner. He made a very smart m...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jul 12, 2019 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022
Replies: 102
Views: 13272

Re: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022

Are they still bringing the BR715 in house as well? I'm sure that will be an additional consideration on how long the 717 last. It has been done in ATL for two years now. I don't see that as a reason to keep the 717 after the MD88/90 are gone. We need the shop space for more profitable engines(GTF)...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jul 12, 2019 12:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jeffrey Epstein’s aircraft
Replies: 26
Views: 7533

Re: Jeffrey Epstein’s aircraft

This article notes that Epstein's lawyers informed the court that he only has one jet now. One was sold in June 2019, no mention of the 3rd. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-07-11/epstein-sold-lolita-express-weeks-arrest-court-document The 727 was the “Lolita Express”, and from the above posts i...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jul 11, 2019 12:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Just how interested was Qantas in the Concorde?
Replies: 17
Views: 4585

Re: Just how interested was Qantas in the Concorde?

I don’t think Concorde had enough range to be useful for Qantas, which probably is why they didn’t buy it. It could barely cross the Atlantic. Also, they would have had huge problems with sonic booms flying to Europe, as it is mostly over land. And it didn’t have the range to cross the Pacific.

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by SEPilot
Thu Jul 11, 2019 12:47 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Should Lockheed get back into commerical aircraft?
Replies: 50
Views: 6182

Re: SHOULD LOCKHEED GET BACK INTO COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT?

It would be prohibitively expensive for any company to enter the commercial airliner business at this point. If you figure that the 787 cost Boeing around $25 billion to get to market, it would probably cost a newcomer about twice that to get a new airliner flying. And then they would have to sell i...

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by SEPilot
Wed Jul 10, 2019 11:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9467

Re: A351 Lite

I started a thread a while ago asking if the A350 was offering too much range. And the anemic sales of the A350-1000 was one of the things that inspired it. Note that EK had ordered a bunch of them when it was first announced as a simple stretch of the A359. Then Airbus decided to modify it and give...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How did Airlines Fill up Large Widebodies in the Old days?
Replies: 119
Views: 23164

Re: How did Airlines Fill up Large Widebodies in the Old days?

Short answer is that in many cases they didn’t. When the 747 came out almost all airlines rushed to order it, and then when they had them many airlines dumped them as quickly as they could. Most of the airlines that kept them did so because they needed the range, not the capacity. Now that they have...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?
Replies: 52
Views: 9286

Re: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?

Just taking an existing aircraft design and scaling it does not really save any money. All the parts still have to be detailed, all the calculations and tests still done, and all the tooling designed and built. And since many characteristics affecting airliners are not linear, you would end up with ...

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by SEPilot
Sun Jul 07, 2019 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Passenger is ordered to pay 172G for causing early landing while drunk
Replies: 37
Views: 10396

Re: Passenger is ordered to pay 172G for causing early landing while drunk

Agree with the judge for passing the losses of the company on the the guy that caused it. However sometimes I don't understand the reason some PIC's take the decision to divert due to an unruly passenger after he has been contained . The article does mention that U.S. service members did restrain t...

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by SEPilot
Sun Jul 07, 2019 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flyadeal cancels 737 max Commitment
Replies: 72
Views: 14904

Re: Flyadeal cancels 737 max order

Narrow bodies are selling much faster at this point than both manufacturers working at capacity can fulfill. This situation is likely to continue for some time. Boeing WILL get the MAX back in the air, and the status will return to quo. Availability will continue to be an issue for airlines that are...

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by SEPilot
Sun Jun 30, 2019 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing falsified records for a 787 sold to AC
Replies: 92
Views: 26076

Re: Boeing falsified records for a 787 sold to AC

Get a grip! AC found a fuel leak, reported it to Boeing. If Boeing were as bad as most are implying they would have fixed it as a warranty repair, and kept the cause and any investigation under wraps. Instead they investigated, found the malfeasance, and SELF REPORTED IT TO THE FAA. What do you want...

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by SEPilot
Sun Jun 30, 2019 6:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has SWA started retiring their early NG’s?
Replies: 1
Views: 935

Re: Has SWA started retiring their early NG’s?

If it is due for heavy maintenance they have no choice. Or it could have a problem that takes time to fix.

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 29, 2019 7:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa Cargo considers retiring all MD-11s in 2020
Replies: 41
Views: 8160

Re: Lufthansa Cargo considers retiring all MD-11s in 2020

Naa, these birds were probably maintained impeccably, and as of last month I already saw one LH bird at the western global hangar in SHV. They'll get picked up and used for quite a while. Probably by Western Global or a third world operator. It doesn’t really matter how well they are maintained if ...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:52 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Boeing 767-longest running commercial airliner without a major upgrade?
Replies: 10
Views: 1887

Re: Boeing 767-longest running commercial airliner without a major upgrade?

Lets see: 767-200 to 767-200ER 767-300 to 767-300ER 767-400 The ER's had major changes to meet specs & the 400 was the lat model. That makes 4 major upgrades of the models. Yes, they are improvements, but not major upgrades requiring a complete new type designation like going from the 737-300 t...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Boeing 767-longest running commercial airliner without a major upgrade?
Replies: 10
Views: 1887

Re: Boeing 767-longest running commercial airliner without a major upgrade?

It occurred to me that the 767 has been in continuous production since 1982, and has not received a major upgrade as in a new model designation in all that time. And seeing as it is still selling as a freighter it does not look like its run is going to end any time soon. It seems to be the most pop...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 29, 2019 7:30 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Boeing 767-longest running commercial airliner without a major upgrade?
Replies: 10
Views: 1887

Boeing 767-longest running commercial airliner without a major upgrade?

It occurred to me that the 767 has been in continuous production since 1982, and has not received a major upgrade as in a new model designation in all that time. And seeing as it is still selling as a freighter it does not look like its run is going to end any time soon. It seems to be the most popu...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 29, 2019 7:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa Cargo considers retiring all MD-11s in 2020
Replies: 41
Views: 8160

Re: Lufthansa Cargo considers retiring all MD-11s in 2020

The MD-11 is on its way out everywhere. Support will be getting more and more expensive, and I doubt that Boeing is interested in helping any operators prolong their life. I strongly suspect that all the ones flying today are flying for their last operator. Naa, these birds were probably maintained...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 29, 2019 1:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa Cargo considers retiring all MD-11s in 2020
Replies: 41
Views: 8160

Re: Lufthansa Cargo considers retiring all MD-11s in 2020

The MD-11 is on its way out everywhere. Support will be getting more and more expensive, and I doubt that Boeing is interested in helping any operators prolong their life. I strongly suspect that all the ones flying today are flying for their last operator.

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 28, 2019 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Inference: BA may acquire 6 x A380 ex-LH
Replies: 56
Views: 17656

Re: Inference: BA may acquire 6 x A380 ex-LH

Seeing as the entire worldwide fleet of second owner A380s consists of one aircraft, any deal above scrap price at this point appears to be a good one. So WW rejected Airbus’s first offer; Airbus is going to be stuck with six ex-LH birds soon, and wants to get rid of them, obviously. EK is obviously...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 28, 2019 12:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34071

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

Nevertheless, when speaking of a “widy body price war”, could it be that Schöllhorn refers to the BA Request for Proposals they lost against Boeing? I would say: Boeing won: HA, AA, BA (incl. 777x) Airbus won: AirAsia, EK, DL Split: LH group All evidence I see suggests a brutal price war among prod...

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by SEPilot
Wed Jun 26, 2019 3:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34071

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

There is clearly benefit in having parts manufactured in different places, but transportation costs have to be weighed. It costs very little to ship a box of bolts, a computer module, or other small items. But as the size of the component rises so does the transportation cost. When you are dealing w...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jun 25, 2019 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues
Replies: 319
Views: 70026

Re: Rumour: 777X First Flight Likely Delayed Due GE9X Issues

Couldn't they just slap the GE90x to the 77F and call it a day ? Certification for cargo aircraft with a new engine should be easier and faster I would think. The 77F still uses the old wing. I’m sure Boeing wants to discontinue it more than they want to abandon the GE90. If the 778 gets canceled I...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jun 25, 2019 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues
Replies: 319
Views: 70026

Re: Rumour: 777X First Flight Likely Delayed Due GE9X Issues

I now would not be surprised if the 777-8 is shelved I still sorta would... mostly due to the implications for a future freighter, and also depends on what QF does. Couldn't they just slap the GE90x to the 77F and call it a day ? Certification for cargo aircraft with a new engine should be easier a...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 22, 2019 9:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How much range is too much?
Replies: 30
Views: 5190

Re: How much range is too much?

This topic has a personal aspect for me. I am married to a Filipina, and through her have met a large number of people from the Philippines living in our rural area, far more than I ever realized were here. And of course all of them have family in the Philippines, and want to visit them and have the...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 22, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How much range is too much?
Replies: 30
Views: 5190

How much range is too much?

As airliner efficiency has improved, practical range has increased. There have also been three models built that were specifically designed to push range beyond what were then the practical limits, the 747SP, the A345, and the 77L. None of them sold well, but the 77L was used as the basis for the su...

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by SEPilot
Sun Jun 16, 2019 12:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 758
Views: 131887

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

The health of the 777X program does not depend on EK, it depends on GE. If Lightsaber’s observations about the GE9X pan out, and it beats expectations as much as the GE90-115 did, then the 777X will do very well. Not as well as the 77W, because that one had essentially no competition on long haul ro...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 03, 2019 10:37 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Should Airports Stop Building for 380 sized Aircraft?
Replies: 56
Views: 7388

Re: Should Airports Stop Building for 380 sized Aircraft?

Airports generally have very limited space for gates, taxiways, and runways. It looks highly unlikely that anything larger than the 779 is going to be built in the foreseeable future, and if it is, it likely will have folding wingtips as well. A380 capable gates take more space than 779 capable ones...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 03, 2019 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates to Retire A380s by Mid 2030s
Replies: 31
Views: 7703

Re: Emirates to Retire A380s by Mid 2030s

I think that one of the issues for EK is that they factored in a good second-hand value for the aircraft as they rolled them over for newer aircraft. That value is expected to be much lower now that that production is ending, and the A380 isn't a good prospect for conversion to a freighter. Airline...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 03, 2019 12:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates to Retire A380s by Mid 2030s
Replies: 31
Views: 7703

Re: Emirates to Retire A380s by Mid 2030s

I think that one of the issues for EK is that they factored in a good second-hand value for the aircraft as they rolled them over for newer aircraft. That value is expected to be much lower now that that production is ending, and the A380 isn't a good prospect for conversion to a freighter. Airline...

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by SEPilot
Wed May 29, 2019 3:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?
Replies: 35
Views: 9143

Re: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?

I wouldn't of thought it was that bad of an aircraft since its still operating to this day (even though they are slowly being phased out). Who would want to pilot such an aircraft if they thought they were going to die in the process, compared to newer aircraft (except the 737 MAX). No pilot thinks...

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by SEPilot
Tue May 28, 2019 11:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?
Replies: 35
Views: 9143

Re: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?

Several MD-11s and one DC-10 (UA232) have done it. Not to quibble, but UA 232 was not a hard landing -> broken wing spar -> roll, it literally cartwheeled across the field due to loss of control because of the hydraulic routing issue. Someone posted in the tech ops thread (I think) that an essentia...

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by SEPilot
Tue May 28, 2019 10:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?
Replies: 35
Views: 9143

Re: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?

MD-11s have been flying nearly 30 years. The safety data speak for themselves. Yes, it does. The MD-11 has by far the worst safety record of any large airliner introduced since the mid 80s with the exception of the MAX. http://www.airsafe.com/events/models/rate_mod.htm The 737 is a large airliner n...

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by SEPilot
Tue May 28, 2019 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 43095

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Well, a few more successes like the A380 and Airbus will be gone, just like the A380.

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by SEPilot
Tue May 28, 2019 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?
Replies: 35
Views: 9143

Re: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?

http://www.airsafe.com/events/models/rate_mod.htm
-->

MIflyer12 wrote:
MD-11s have been flying nearly 30 years. The safety data speak for themselves.

Yes, it does. The MD-11 has by far the worst safety record of any large airliner introduced since the mid 80s with the exception of the MAX.
http://www.airsafe.com/events/models/rate_mod.htm

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by SEPilot
Tue May 28, 2019 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?
Replies: 35
Views: 9143

Re: Is the MD11 a dodgy aircraft?

What went wrong with the DC-10 and DC-11 was that Douglas was bought out by McDonnell, who had never built a commercial airliner and had no idea how to do it. All of the others had learned by experience that the FAA safety requirements were just the starting point; you designed an airliner to be as ...

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