Search found 5735 matches

by SEPilot
Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.
Replies: 49
Views: 7454

Re: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.

Since a total of 79 744s and 20 763s have been converted. Say what now? There are at least 90 763 conversions being: (1) operated for Amazon by all carriers; and (2) leased by CAM for operation by others and/or for others (e.g. Cargojet, Amerijet, Aloha, NAC, UPS, and ABX-for-DHL). So that doesn't ...

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by SEPilot
Fri Sep 10, 2021 11:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.
Replies: 49
Views: 7454

Re: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.

Since a total of 79 744s and 20 763s have been converted I wonder at all of these rosy predictions for massive demand for converted 777s. The only scenario I see for that demand to materialize is if passenger traffic does not rebound, raising demand for dedicated freighters and creating a big surplu...

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by SEPilot
Mon Aug 30, 2021 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 22900

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

The A330 is in the unfortunate place of competing directly with the 787. The NEO was launched with the belief that Boeing would be unable to 1) ramp up production sufficiently to meet demand and 2) bring manufacturing costs down to the level of the A330. Unfortunately for Airbus, in between Airbus l...

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by SEPilot
Sun Aug 08, 2021 1:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes
Replies: 145
Views: 16139

Re: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes

Engineers, programmers, or whatever you call them, are human. So are executives. All humans make mistakes. In this case the main mistake was not thinking through the full consequences of a failure. As an engineer and pilot myself, I could not initially understand why these two crashes occurred, esp...

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by SEPilot
Wed Aug 04, 2021 5:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes
Replies: 145
Views: 16139

Re: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes

They did not cover it up after the first crash, they issued a bulletin to all operators outlining the problem and said they were working on a fix. They issued precise instructions on how to deal with a failure. The Ethiopian crew had this bulletin; why they crashed anyway is something I do not unde...

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by SEPilot
Wed Aug 04, 2021 4:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes
Replies: 145
Views: 16139

Re: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes

Engineers, programmers, or whatever you call them, are human. So are executives. All humans make mistakes. In this case the main mistake was not thinking through the full consequences of a failure. As an engineer and pilot myself, I could not initially understand why these two crashes occurred, esp...

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by SEPilot
Wed Aug 04, 2021 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes
Replies: 145
Views: 16139

Re: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes

But they ultimately approved the processes (or lack thereof) that allowed said bad code to go unaddressed and ultimately undetected both by regulators and (especially by) operators, with lethal consequences. Let me restate your argument "Regardless of who is at fault, the captain always bears ...

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by SEPilot
Wed Aug 04, 2021 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes
Replies: 145
Views: 16139

Re: Call to cancel DPA with Boeing on 737MAX Crashes

Engineers, programmers, or whatever you call them, are human. So are executives. All humans make mistakes. In this case the main mistake was not thinking through the full consequences of a failure. As an engineer and pilot myself, I could not initially understand why these two crashes occurred, espe...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jul 30, 2021 5:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221443

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Launching without any orders looks like a desperate and probably foolish act to me. It certainly opens the door to losing a boatload of money. Dedicated freighters have never been big sellers, and it does not appear that that is going to change in the near future. The lack of demand for new freighte...

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by SEPilot
Sun Jul 25, 2021 9:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "CO2 Emissions Would Fall 34% If Every Fleet Was As Young As Wizz Air’s"
Replies: 61
Views: 5604

Re: "CO2 Emissions Would Fall 34% If Every Fleet Was As Young As Wizz Air’s"

CO2 is not a pollutant, it does not cause global warming; it is a trace gas absolutely essential to life, and we need more of it, not less, for a healthy planet. Consider: the historical range of CO2 concentrations extracted from ice cores is from 0.02% to 0.44%. The range that will support life is...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jul 23, 2021 9:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "CO2 Emissions Would Fall 34% If Every Fleet Was As Young As Wizz Air’s"
Replies: 61
Views: 5604

Re: "CO2 Emissions Would Fall 34% If Every Fleet Was As Young As Wizz Air’s"

CO2 is not a pollutant, it does not cause global warming; it is a trace gas absolutely essential to life, and we need more of it, not less, for a healthy planet. Consider: the historical range of CO2 concentrations extracted from ice cores is from 0.02% to 0.44%. The range that will support life is ...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jul 06, 2021 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 669
Views: 145865

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

Ah, the "Airbus is a government funded job creation scheme" thing eh? You know my posting history well enough to know it was not that, but on reflection, it was a statement that I should not have put forward and thank you for calling me out on it. *shame* And unfortunately, "hiding t...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jul 05, 2021 5:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: 737 Freighter ditches in water off HNL
Replies: 371
Views: 88720

Re: 737 Cargo in water at HNL

We ask as a "when you have time available" for these very damn relevant bits of information - doesn't take more than a few seconds to inform us. Every crew know they will be asked this in an emergency. The crew flying are not the only people scrambling to save lives when the sh1t hits the...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 28, 2021 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 669
Views: 145865

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

The problem is that the government by itself has zero expertise in airliner design. And engineering schools don’t either. The only ones who really do are those that have actually done it. And now their is only one source of such people in the US, and that is Boeing. I was a machine tool designer for...

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by SEPilot
Sat Jun 26, 2021 4:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737 with new wing, landing gear potential
Replies: 88
Views: 18712

Re: 737 with new wing, landing gear potential

The problems with a clean sheet design are 1) the massive amount of money required and 2) the disruption to production while Boeing workers learn to build it and then ramp production up to the 50+ per month that will be needed to meet demand. It is very easy for armchair CEOs to say that the 737 has...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 18, 2021 8:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737 with new wing, landing gear potential
Replies: 88
Views: 18712

Re: 737 with new wing, landing gear potential

The point of staying with the 737 is to keep as much as possible, in this case the fuselage, the same not so much for certification (after the MAX fiasco grandfathering will be intensely scrutinized and will be little different from a new design) as for manufacturing and assembly. Boeing is going to...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 18, 2021 4:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737 with new wing, landing gear potential
Replies: 88
Views: 18712

737 with new wing, landing gear potential

Yes, the 737 is over 50 years old. But the time and money to make a clean-sheet new plane does not seem to be there, and may never be because airlines cannot endure a multi-year period of low production that a new design would almost certainly entail. The A320 is newer but still old technology, and ...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 18, 2021 10:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Fate of N777UA?
Replies: 20
Views: 7372

Re: Fate of N777UA?

Flight museums are expensive to set up and operate, and rarely bring in enough revenue to sustain themselves. With the entire airline industry still in an existential crisis I do not see where such money will come from for a long time to come. Armchair CEOs are very good at spending money that they ...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 17, 2021 6:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 65
Views: 12017

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

I have felt from the beginning of EK’s rise that their business plan was unsustainable long term. I did not know what would bring it down, but a fleet consisting of only the largest and third largest airliners available left no flexibility in case of a downturn. And we have now had a downturn far wo...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jun 15, 2021 12:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2021 deliveries
Replies: 102
Views: 25829

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2021 deliveries

My take on the situation is that at this point airlines in general are only taking planes that Airbus and Boeing are insisting they take. The fact that Boeing is delivering far fewer (and quite a few of the ones they do deliver are military) says to me that they are stronger financially and more wil...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement
Replies: 144
Views: 16144

Re: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement

Imagine possible investor day PowerPoint: "We're happy with 40%." "We're no longer the clear market leader." "Our narrow body product is losing market share" "All the best of 1968" "We're not an airplane manufacturer, we're a tech company. 1960s tech.&qu...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jun 15, 2021 8:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement
Replies: 144
Views: 16144

Re: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement

Here are some economic realities. The fact that the 737 continues to sell in large numbers means that it fulfills the needs of many customers, and Boeing is making money building them. The fact that the basic design is over 50 years old is completely irrelevant. The fact that the A320 is newer and ...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 14, 2021 6:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement
Replies: 144
Views: 16144

Re: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement

Here are some economic realities. The fact that the 737 continues to sell in large numbers means that it fulfills the needs of many customers, and Boeing is making money building them. The fact that the basic design is over 50 years old is completely irrelevant. The fact that the A320 is newer and i...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 11, 2021 8:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus focus is on evolving existing jet models, CEO says
Replies: 129
Views: 18307

Re: Airbus focus is on evolving existing jet models, CEO says

With the astronomical cost of a new design and the lack of new technology that will improve efficiency enough to make that investment worthwhile, plus the current sudden and unexpected lack of demand, this is only an acknowledgment of reality. Boeing has not said this, but it is going to be the case...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 11, 2021 7:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221443

Re: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers

I don't think it is a good time to launch a freighter now, as with all the pandemic-ad-hoc-entered-service freighter in the market, when passenger travel volume resume and wodebody passenger aircraft reenter service, the freight capacity is going to exceed needed level. You bring a plane to market ...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221443

Re: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers

It seems that the only freighters from Airbus that have seen much success are the A300 and A310, and I suspect most of them were conversions. I find the lack of success for the A330F puzzling; the A330 trounced the 767 in the passenger market, but the 767-300F has eaten the A330’s lunch. And while i...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Passenger converted bomber aircraft in civilian service - Stories, facts, interiors?
Replies: 92
Views: 14278

Re: Passenger converted bomber aircraft in civilian service - Stories, facts, interiors?

On the original topic of converted bombers, there is an old James Garner-Natalie Wood movie, Cash McCall (1960), that featured a B-25 converted into an executive plane.

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Passenger converted bomber aircraft in civilian service - Stories, facts, interiors?
Replies: 92
Views: 14278

Re: Passenger converted bomber aircraft in civilian service - Stories, facts, interiors?

Most Boeing narrowbodies have the fuselage of the 707, which shares a common ancestor with the KC-135. It wasn't converted, but the two families are pretty close. The KC135 fuselage is narrower than the 707, and can only fit 5 abreast instead of 6. That's what he said! They share a "common anc...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo
Replies: 925
Views: 158892

Re: United Airlines in advanced talks on purchasing 100-150 737MAX

Wow amazing! The MAX really needs the public confidence boost and this will help it. I really hope this includes the MAX 9. That variant has been struggling from day 1. The MAX9 really is obsoleted by the MAX10, which is only slightly larger but I believe has better runway performance. I would expe...

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by SEPilot
Wed Jun 09, 2021 4:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights where same journey could be made by train in under 2,5 hours
Replies: 330
Views: 40075

Re: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights where same journey could be made by train in under 2,5 hours

This is just silly. Let economics and convenience play their part. For most people a short flight actually takes more time than going by surface transportation, be it car, train, or bus. Getting to the airport early enough for checking, boarding, and then disembarking, retrieving baggage, and gettin...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 07, 2021 12:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30
Replies: 129
Views: 21033

Re: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30

Interesting that both Boeing and Airbus seem to be going for a custom length for their widebody freight offerings, intermediate between the pax lengths offered in the same families. Why not? Changing length is easy, and it has to go through certification anyway, so making it the same length saves l...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 07, 2021 10:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Delta's 757s are their biggest liability"
Replies: 100
Views: 21823

Re: "Delta's 757s are their biggest liability"

You can buy a lot of fuel (and maintenance) for the payment on a new airplane. Delta has been more reluctant than most other airlines to buy shiny new planes, frequently buying used and then keeping them for a LOOONG time. In times of uncertainty (which is really all the time) this is a smart strate...

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by SEPilot
Mon Jun 07, 2021 9:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30
Replies: 129
Views: 21033

Re: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30

Why did QR sell off their A330Fs but retain a substantial fleet of 777Fs? The fact that they did that, along with AABs comments about Airbus, regardless of what they were based on, seems to give a substantial edge to Boeing for this deal.

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by SEPilot
Sun Jun 06, 2021 12:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United orders supersonic planes from Boom (was: Big United Announcement Coming Up?)
Replies: 460
Views: 64816

Re: United orders supersonic planes from Boom (was: Big United Announcement Coming Up?)

The physics of supersonic flight haven’t changed. And the physics dictate the economics. At the end it cost around $12,000 for a round trip fare crossing the Atlantic on Concorde, as opposed to maybe $3,000 first class. And the end result was that both BA and AF were unable to find enough paying cus...

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by SEPilot
Fri Jun 04, 2021 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30
Replies: 129
Views: 21033

Re: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30

It is way too soon to declare the 777X a failure. Nobody expects it to be the runaway success that the 77W was, but it still has a chance to achieve decent results. It will have the best per seat economics available, and it is not that much bigger than its alternatives. The pandemic has thrown the e...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 03, 2021 8:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30
Replies: 129
Views: 21033

Re: Boeing offers 777X Freighter to QR. Eyeing Order for 30

I never believed that Boeing was going to make the old 777F alongside the 777X for long. Different wing, engines, cockpit, and so much more. While the 77F will likely get more orders now that it is the biggest freighter available those orders will not be enough to make a separate line viable.

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 03, 2021 5:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: QR finds surface coating cracks in early build A350
Replies: 301
Views: 37852

Re: Bloomberg: Qatar Airways Is in a Mystery Spat with Airbus

Much like STC at EK. This is standard business practice for these guys. You can almost feel the collective eye roll in Toulouse. The problem for Airbus (and Boeing) is that their list of potential customers is limited . And some of them are a pain in the butt. But their money is still good. So the ...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 03, 2021 12:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: QR finds surface coating cracks in early build A350
Replies: 301
Views: 37852

Re: Bloomberg: Qatar Airways Is in a Mystery Spat with Airbus

Much like STC at EK. This is standard business practice for these guys. You can almost feel the collective eye roll in Toulouse. The problem for Airbus (and Boeing) is that their list of potential customers is limited. And some of them are a pain in the butt. But their money is still good. So the b...

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by SEPilot
Thu Jun 03, 2021 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 669
Views: 145865

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

Boeing knows exactly how a flight test program works. What might not work anymore is grandfathering in the scale hoped for. So just do a "full" test program. Shouldn't this work? What are those critical areas? What cannot be used without grandfathering? Are aviation authorities the ones &...

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by SEPilot
Wed Jun 02, 2021 1:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2021 orders
Replies: 199
Views: 49403

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2021 orders

Airbus April https://www.airbus.com/aircraft/market/orders-deliveries.html new orders Delta: 25x A321neo Avolon: 14x A320neo Avolon: 8x A321neo Private: 1x A319neo Cancellations: A320neo: 16x A321neo: 6x Net total 2021 so far: -35 Thanks for the figures. Glad to see the light at the end of the tunn...

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by SEPilot
Tue Jun 01, 2021 10:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 669
Views: 145865

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

It is easier to understand if you consider that the "no information" claim is coming from the CEO of an airline under duress and with a history of using the media for his own purposes. A claim easy to counter with providing information. Why should they? Those in the know know. No other B7...

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by SEPilot
Sat May 29, 2021 11:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 669
Views: 145865

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

Any indication on how well, performance wise, the 779 is doing? I have heard absolutely nothing concrete except for the bluster from STC about EK refusing delivery unless it meets contract specifications. Does this imply that it is falling short, or is it just noise because EK does not want them any...

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by SEPilot
Wed May 26, 2021 12:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tri-wing concept claims to cut fuel consumption by 70%
Replies: 80
Views: 15510

Re: Tri-wing concept claims to cut fuel consumption by 70%

All current airliners are all low winged, twin engined, conventional tailed monoplanes with engines under the wings for a reason. That is structurally and aerodynamically the most efficient layout, at lest for a tube with wings. A BWB would undoubtedly be more efficient, but that is the only concep...

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by SEPilot
Sun May 23, 2021 2:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tri-wing concept claims to cut fuel consumption by 70%
Replies: 80
Views: 15510

Re: Tri-wing concept claims to cut fuel consumption by 70%

All current airliners are all low winged, twin engined, conventional tailed monoplanes with engines under the wings for a reason. That is structurally and aerodynamically the most efficient layout, at lest for a tube with wings. A BWB would undoubtedly be more efficient, but that is the only concept...

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by SEPilot
Thu May 06, 2021 2:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: PAL Philippine Airlines files for Bankruptcy Protection
Replies: 53
Views: 11876

Re: PAL Philippine Airlines to file for Chapter 11

Not surprising. They have always seemed to me to be on shaky financial ground, and COVID has been very hard on all airlines. And the Philippines seem to have been extremely harsh (unnecessarily so) with their lockdown rules. I have flown PAL when I have been in the Philippines only because the alter...

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by SEPilot
Mon Apr 12, 2021 4:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane
Replies: 2225
Views: 244863

Re: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane

Here’s the problem with building a new airliner. It takes a ludicrous amount of money and an excessive amount of time to do so, and it is very difficult to come up with enough improvements to make the venture financially worthwhile. With only two players it makes the situation a little easier, but y...

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by SEPilot
Sun Apr 11, 2021 10:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 747 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021
Replies: 189
Views: 60343

Re: Boeing 747 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021

Still hard to believe that the last 747 will be completed after the last A380, despite the A380 being newer and bigger. I made a bet with Keesje when the A380 was entering service that the last A380 would be built before the last 747. And the reason I believed that was because of 747F sales. It loo...

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by SEPilot
Thu Apr 08, 2021 6:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Exclusive- Airbus floating concept for A380 combi
Replies: 96
Views: 13235

Re: Exclusive- Airbus floating concept for A380 combi

I don't see a combi making any sense. The only thing might be some A380P2F (freighter) for express cargo companies. Like those early customers of the factory built A380F. If you can get a young used aircraft with -say 20 years- life left for almost nothing (otherwise they part them out already) the...

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by SEPilot
Fri Apr 02, 2021 5:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Are Delta's 777LRs going to FedEx?
Replies: 69
Views: 15079

Re: DELTA 777LR’s to FED EX????

Anything is possible if you throw enough money at it. It might be possible under the conversion developed for the 77W. They are essentially the same plane. Just the length is different.

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by SEPilot
Thu Apr 01, 2021 4:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SCOOP: Boeing 757NG launch imminent with Delta and Icelandair
Replies: 32
Views: 5737

Re: SCOOP: Boeing 757NG launch imminent with Delta and Icelandair

And the pilots will be pigs, so that yes, pigs will fly.

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