Search found 5289 matches

by LJ
Sun Aug 09, 2020 11:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.express.co.uk/news/world/1319426/eu-news-canada-trade-deal-cyprus-halloumi-ceta-italy-netherlands-spt/amp The source added Brussels needed to "handle the matter quickly and responsibly”. According to a report by POLITICO, EU officials in Brussels have been prep...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 29, 2020 8:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

The Guardian has an exclusive with Phil Hogan. According to him the negotiations have started to progress two weeks ago as the UK team seems to realise that time is running out (and get pressure from UK business groups). In addition, Hogan mentions that there may be an alternative should the UK not ...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 29, 2020 4:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

So far as I see, no FTA have been signed with Japan or New Zealand yet. Furthermore, there is no confirmation from either country and no indication what the terms will be. The one with Japan is upcoming https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/jul/29/uk-close-to-securing-post-brexit-continuity-tra...

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by LJ
Mon Jul 27, 2020 9:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

But in the meantime, I look forward to see if PWC future predictions come true https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/issues/economy/the-world-in-2050.html Doesn'l look good for the UK unless it somehow repairs its relationship with China... BTW good that the EU has far reaching trade agreements or is in talks ...

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by LJ
Sun Jul 26, 2020 5:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

But in the meantime, I look forward to see if PWC future predictions come true https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/issues/economy/the-world-in-2050.html Doesn'l look good for the UK unless it somehow repairs its relationship with China... BTW good that the EU has far reaching trade agreements or is in talks ...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 25, 2020 3:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

It seems like there is not much economic benefit in leaving the EU: I don't think any hard core Brexiteer will care. As long as they see themselves liberated from the EU and can claim they've taken back control, they're happy. Therefore costs are not relevant for them and they'll always agrue that ...

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by LJ
Fri Jul 24, 2020 7:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Files Lawsuit Against Boeing
Replies: 29
Views: 6972

Re: Norwegian Files Lawsuit Against Boeing

I just obtained a copy of this 79-page long complaint. My overall impression is that this is nothing unusual after reading many complaints, countersuits and alike. The goal is to maximize the amount of damages. One thing that surprised me though, but it makes sense: the Complaint does not mention c...

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by LJ
Fri Jul 24, 2020 5:13 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

The whole rationale for Brexit is encapsulated in this final few months of 'negotiations ". It's no surprise to me that the EU wants to preserve the more socialist and regulatory stance while the UK prefers a more market driven and competitive stance. It remains to be seen if the UK really wan...

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by LJ
Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:52 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

A no deal seems tobe very real as most UK papers run story about UK about to walk away... It has always been a very real possibility. Those who thought not didn't do their homework. You do see that the UK media prepares the UK for a no-deal and (depending on the newspaper) shift the blame to the EU...

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by LJ
Thu Jul 23, 2020 5:44 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

Question: has there ever been an argument used by the Brexiteers in their campaign which was actually 100% true. Yes, they'll have full control as of January 1st 2021. Whether you agree or not, the UK does get full control over themselves and it's the only promise they materialize. The only questio...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 22, 2020 7:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes?
Replies: 56
Views: 8502

Re: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes

I personally think there should be a rule where an airport has to have 8 flights to US operated by US carriers before it can be considered for preclearance. Otherwise, preclearance gives unfair advantages to foreign carriers. Like I know people that purpose fly to the US via YYZ because they don't ...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 22, 2020 4:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM New route to Riyad
Replies: 16
Views: 3897

Re: KLM New route to Riyad

Silly question, but will KL operates with aircraft painted in the regular livery, or must they adopt the Asia Brand in the same way the do for the PRC and RC with KLM Asia (removing the cross)?. The KLM logo is a crown, not a cross. The crown is removed entirely in the KLM Asia livery. BTW The Neth...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 22, 2020 6:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion
Replies: 354
Views: 65657

Re: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion

SFuel, equipment, and labor are the three greatest expenses for an airline. What AA should have done during this time is fix the inefficiencies and old ways that caused airlines to waste cash. The industry moved towards leasing aircraft to reduce the financial liability of ownership and reduce the ...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 21, 2020 9:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

I see the Dutch PM is becoming the modern day David Cameron. Likes the idea of the EU in its current form, but keeps Merkel and Macrons power trip from getting out of control. Good on him. There are elections in The Netherlands next year and he wants to keep his high approval ratings he got during ...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 18, 2020 8:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

Ah yes, those damn Remainers! It's all their fault. It's always their fault. You know what? You can always unilaterally ditch the WA. Who's stopping you? Just do it. See what happens. And don't forget to blame the Remainers! Well they certainly didn’t make it easy they certainly put more pressure o...

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by LJ
Thu Jul 16, 2020 5:06 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

A very inter sting article: https://tamebay.com/2020/07/amazon-fba-brexit-bombshell-efn-and-pan-european-fba-ends-for-uk.html I guess in January I will get way less advertising from amazon.co.uk :) To be honest, this is one of the reasons why I'm against Brexit (and contrary to some Brits, Brexit d...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Files Lawsuit Against Boeing
Replies: 29
Views: 6972

Re: Norwegian Files Lawsuit Against Boeing

Hmm - If Norwegian do survive do you think that relations with Boeing are going to be tainted for a long time? It's difficult to say, I think this was expected by many in the business. I don't think Boeing is in the position to pick and choose at this point. Clearly Boeing needs to sell airplanes m...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 9:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 258
Views: 60578

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

To be fair to Boeing, the cancellations for the MAX are still not any great drama as % of the total order book. Let us calculate a little bit.... 31-May-2020: Total number of orders: 4232 MAX . Since end of 2018, in the last year 2019 and this year 2020, they have already had losses. So end of 2018...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 5:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 258
Views: 60578

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

The full MAX cancellations for June Mainly leasing companies. Romania's Blue Air was the only identified airline that cancelled it's full order. Aviation Capital Group: -5 Avolon: -3 Blue Air: -6 BOC Aviation Limited: -22 CIT Aerospace LLC: -14 Unidentified: -10 Thus 3 of the 27 are listed as cance...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 12:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

bennett123 wrote:
I wonder what this will do for trade talks with China?


Probably not that much anymore as the UK already made that worse when it announced it may be handiing out passports to 3mn citizens of Hong Kong.

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 12:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

I very much doubt that the lorry parks will be ready for 01/01/21, when you factor all that needs to be built. The Chineses working 24/24 7d/7 might be able to do so but it is the only country that could. AFAIK only Kent needs to be open and the remainder between 01-01-2021 and 31-07-2021 as they'r...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 10:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

Seems that "Project Fear" wasn't far of the truth regarding cost of Brexit for UK firms. https://www.politico.eu/article/brexit-britain-takes-shape-paperwork-red-tape-bureaucracy/ https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-customs-centres-kent-lorry-park-eu-exit-ashford-a9616486...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 8:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France KLM - Master Thread
Replies: 321
Views: 49646

Re: Air France KLM - Master Thread

I am certain the unions will cooperate with reducing costs, as they have done before. But they want the normal way of negotiations between company and employees, not a set reduction in pay because a politician thinks it helps him get votes next elections. The big mistake the unions make is that the...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 6:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets
Replies: 109
Views: 13437

Re: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets

This thread has nothing to do with retail sale of tickets. It’s about corporate supply contracts. Airlines that have supply contracts for fuel are still paying for that fuel if they use it or not. Yet corporate supply contracts may be different than fuel supply contracts. Our company (large financi...

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by LJ
Mon Jul 13, 2020 8:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

The problem with your numbers 90% is theoretical it is assuming the economy would have moved in a certain way you can’t miss what you never had. But one estimate that the government has actully spent on Brexit is 4.4 billion pounds by Andrew MacAskill from Reuters March 5th via the NAO so you can c...

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by LJ
Sun Jul 12, 2020 7:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

The UK will spend GBP 705mn to boost its borders. One can argue that it's a little bit late (IT projects usually take a few years to deliver and infrastructure isn't built overnight) https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-53375713 Meanwhile the UK seems to revert on decreasing the number of immigrants...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Manston Airport to re-open
Replies: 33
Views: 4854

Re: Manston Airport to re-open

With the right marketing and a little blue sky thinking Manston could Be a nice little Freeport right on the doorstep of EU;imho it’s immediate competition is really Ostend . Please explain why Ostend is a competitor. As a Freeport site build onsite clearance facilities to both the EU and UK market...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 2:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

Gotta love the "Get ready for Brexit" campaign. Wasn't Brexit done months ago and even the word "Brexit" supposedly banned to be used in Downing Street ?? :mischievous: You've to agree that it will save a lot of money as they don't have to rewrite every leaflet, internet page, p...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 11:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

And the cost of Brexit keeps rising........ One begins to wonder when it will hit the GBP350mn mark (I cannot imagine that an emergency purchase is cheap, neither is hiring contractors who have to start ASAP). Anyway, the owner of the land must be very pleased to have such a customer. https://www.th...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 8:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets
Replies: 109
Views: 13437

Re: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets

I think those of you in support of this are thinking like angry consumers and not informed airline enthusiasts. You guys do understand that this model would not allow for the very cheap ULCC flights to work, right? If a flight sells out 2 months out, but day of, 40 people decide not to go and pay n...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 7:52 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 457
Views: 18201

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

An interesting document emerged from the EU, it is only 34 pages, but it is a very interesting read and puts it in black and white yet again what actually will happen en the consequences of choices made by the UK and how the EU is planning to contain the worst of the consequences. ] Didn't you link...

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by LJ
Fri Jul 10, 2020 10:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 258
Views: 60578

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

Canceling MAX orders will become more difficult once the aircraft is re-certified and Boeing can restart deliveries. That means we might see many more cancellations between now and mid-September, unless customers opt for deferral. More difficult, yes. But it will be far from over. They cannot deliv...

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by LJ
Fri Jul 10, 2020 7:48 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

This will probably dismissed as "Project Fear", but the British Retail Consortium has calculated that a no-deal Brexit will increase prices of ordinary items like school uniforms, beef, staplers and drinking glasses substantially. Then again, it seems that the UK government cares, thus why...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 08, 2020 2:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

It seems that the UK is learning from the EU in how to deal with small trading partners in fish. UK's distant waters fishing fleet wants to leverage UKs position as net importer of fish from Norway, Iceland, Greenland and the Faroes in order to gain access to their fishing grounds....As such they se...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 08, 2020 8:04 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Seems that the EU is willing to compromise regarding fisheries. However, it will be interesting to see if the UK will accept the offer as this is not entirely what the UK wants. Judging by the replies by Brexiteers under the article, probably not. https://www.yahoo.com/news/eu-willing-allow-uk-break...

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by LJ
Mon Jul 06, 2020 11:08 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

The EU has been warning banks and investment firms for four years now. Banks etc. have been making plans. It is still legal for individuals and companies to use London. I suspect even last minute plans will allow time for those services which need to be moved to do so and give them a few more month...

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by LJ
Mon Jul 06, 2020 6:00 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

The EU has been warning banks and investment firms for four years now. Banks etc. have been making plans. It is still legal for individuals and companies to use London. I suspect even last minute plans will allow time for those services which need to be moved to do so and give them a few more month...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 5:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Olddog wrote:
And if the visa costs could stop boozed brits flocking with ryanair, it could be a bonus....


Indeed, COVID-19 was a blessing for some living in the city centre of Amsterdam, but no UK bachelor parties in Amsterdam will also be a positive side effect of Brexit.

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 4:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Exactly. While individual countries (Spain, Greece, etc.) might be more reliant on UK tourism, for the EU as a whole it's the other way around. Not really, UK outbound tourism to the EU was 72.4mn whereas it received from the EU 24.8mn tourists in 2019. https://www.statista.com/statistics/290518/an...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 8:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

One begins to wonder if there will one area where both the EU and UK can agree on.....It's also clear that whilst the UK wants to negotiate agreement by agreement, the EU wants an agreement for the whole package at once.Telling is Barnier's comment "But let us have no illusions: the UK will pro...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 7:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Winter 2020
Replies: 95
Views: 18927

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Winter 2020

Unfortunately, I think the leasing companies are in trouble as you note. I'm not sure what demand will be or more precisely how the recovery curve will be. Their troubles may depend on how much they can earn with the sale-and-leaseback market. BOC Aviation seems to be able to get some deals from ai...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 6:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 258
Views: 60578

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

With the covid, maybe the Boeing lose half max orders? Airlines don't need it, can't pay for, no services and lots of parked jets now for future usings. . An airline doesn't need to be able to pay for it as it can lease it. What BOC Aviation is saying (according to the Reuters article), is that air...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 258
Views: 60578

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

BOC Aviation cancels 30 MAX. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-boc-aviation-boeing-orders/hong-kongs-boc-aviation-cancels-30-boeing-737-max-aircraft-orders-idUSKBN2412PB#:~:text=June%2030%20%28Reuters%29%20%2D%20Hong,737%20MAX%20aircrafts%2C%20it%20added (Reuters) - Hong Kong’s BOC Aviation (2588....

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 5:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

One of the 2 I talk about was surprised that as from January next year, he can no longer move to another EU country for work and called it unfair because this would hinder his carreer prospects within the multinational he works for, which was the reason he took on a job offer on the continent with ...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 2:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 90471

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

I found an interesting twitter thread that gave an interesting insight into the mind of three brexitvoters. They seem to think that the point of Brexit was to stop people going to the UK, not to stop them going to France. In short: Brits vote for Brexit. Brits find out that Brexit will affect them ...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 156
Views: 31761

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

Moreover many traffic rights to Africa that do exist are unused because Africa is still very much an underdeveloped continent with little economic appeal. Little economic appeal to whom? Why do KLM, Air France, Emirates and Turkish have (pre-COVID-19 such a large presence in Africa if it has "...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 7:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Air Cancels Orders For 92 737 MAXs and 5 787s
Replies: 126
Views: 23723

Re: Norwegian Air Cancels Orders For 92 737 MAXs and 5 787s

It's doubly surprising that "only" 300ish MAX's have been cancelled, overall. It's much more than "300ish". At the end of 2018, Boeing had total MAX sales of 5,005. At the end of May this year, the total was 4,619. The loss of Norwegian's 92 will take MAX to over 400 cancellatio...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 7:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 156
Views: 31761

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

I would actually agree with the proposal to turn re-brand the airline as "Eurowings" and have it serve as a primarily low cost airline with flights to Africa and the UK/Scandinavia. It could directly compete with KLM and AMS. A premium product could be used on flights to Africa. Furthermo...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 6:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 258
Views: 60578

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

Already mentioned in another thread, Norwegian cancels its remaining 92 MAX and 5 787s

https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1448369

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