Search found 3840 matches

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by StarAC17
Tue Sep 29, 2020 12:56 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: When was the first moment it really hit you how much COVID had hit the world?
Replies: 30
Views: 632

Re: When was the first moment it really hit you how much COVID had hit the world?

I knew on March 13th when the Canadian government announced that they advised against all international travel. The labeling of Covid19 being a pandemic on March 11th didn't seem a huge blow at the point. On the 13th schools were closed in Canada and a few days later most things were locked down. I ...

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by StarAC17
Sun Sep 27, 2020 10:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

During Thanksgiving in the United States and Christmas in both the United States and Europe, senior citizens will be getting together with families and I would not be surprised if they see a huge increase in COVID-19 cases and a huge increase in deaths and hospitalizations because of this. This mak...

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by StarAC17
Sun Sep 27, 2020 5:34 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

If you think that a piece of paper called the constitution separates people from savages, wait until Covid explodes. You can forget any form of economy, it will be the law of the jungle in no time. If you think that you can protect yourself with guns, think again. You think that the "bad guys&...

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by StarAC17
Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

Perhaps a little disingenuous. Maybe the poster could talk about the daily number of deaths, for which only India is higher but has almost 4x the population. Or the death rate, where Belgium and Spain (both hit very hard in the first wave) are the only developed countries with higher rates overall....

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by StarAC17
Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:14 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

Um those of us scientifically inclined have always been calling for pressing on with a functioning society - just with extra cleaning, attention to hygiene, and masks on everybody. Ya know, like Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, NZ, and even Italy have done. It seems that was asking too much of the freed...

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by StarAC17
Fri Sep 25, 2020 3:52 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

1% of US counties with 18.4% of the population accounted for 39% of the deaths from COVID. Hilariously, just about everyone of those counties are and have been run by Democrats in very blue states. Also, those counties account for a large percentage of black murders. If you think that’s incompetent...

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by StarAC17
Thu Sep 24, 2020 9:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Germany lying about Covid numbers?
Replies: 86
Views: 4603

Re: Germany lying about Covid numbers?

Although I have decided that posting here is a waste of time, let me tell you what Germany did different after 7 months of ground level work in the administration of a larger city. 1. Germany had more employees in the public health departments than most other countries and has increased the numbers...

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by StarAC17
Mon Sep 21, 2020 5:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do Republicans have the votes to confirm SCOTUS Justice in 2020?
Replies: 278
Views: 7805

Re: Do Repulicans have the votes to confirm SCOTUS Justice in 2020?

I also find it funny that we have all this battle over the nominee to the court before we even know who the nominee is going to be. I get why this issue is so political, but can we at least wait until we know who this woman is before we figure out if they should be seated or not? How about we wait ...

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by StarAC17
Mon Sep 21, 2020 5:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do Republicans have the votes to confirm SCOTUS Justice in 2020?
Replies: 278
Views: 7805

Re: Do Repulicans have the votes to confirm SCOTUS Justice in 2020?

I think the only correct answer to the question of the OP is ‘I don’t know.’ Two have already publicly said no. Only one more can vote no and the nomination pass, and there are probably a half dozen fence sitters. You need 4 GOP senators to say no. Yes I know. Please reread what I wrote. Two alread...

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by StarAC17
Mon Sep 21, 2020 5:01 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

I don't share this concern about HVAC. Any system that heats air will probably kill viruses as the air passes through it and the virus are instantaneously subjected to high temperatures. Air circulation also allows the virus to be spread out and thinned down. Most A/C units are fitted with filters....

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by StarAC17
Mon Sep 21, 2020 4:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do Republicans have the votes to confirm SCOTUS Justice in 2020?
Replies: 278
Views: 7805

Re: Do Repulicans have the votes to confirm SCOTUS Justice in 2020?

If Cruz wants to play that game, independents and Dems can remind him that all of the recent appointments of conservative SCOTUS justices are by presidents who lost the popular vote. Also Cryz should explain why 2016 victory for Trump should count for lame duck appointment when WH approval is stuck...

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by StarAC17
Mon Sep 21, 2020 4:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US CDC finally admit Aerosol Transmission is a main way for the Covid19 to spread
Replies: 17
Views: 1288

Re: US CDC finally admit Aerosol Transmission is a main way for the Wuhan Coronavirus to spread

I suggest you update the title before the discussion turns into a flamebait regarding the unnecessary "Wuhan" part I am trying to be specific that this is specifically about the coronavirus currently causing pandemic, instead of regular cold-causing generic coronaviruses or other coronavi...

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by StarAC17
Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:12 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Germany lying about Covid numbers?
Replies: 86
Views: 4603

Re: Germany lying about Covid numbers?

The arguments I've seen so far have been based on credibility of Germany vs. my credibility I've heard the phrase "a swing and a miss" but for the first time I have seen "a swing and a punch yourself in the face", this thread is brilliant! Occam's Razor, Germany looks like they ...

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by StarAC17
Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:11 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

Will everything non essential across the Northern Hemisphere be shutting down again in the fall when COVID-19 will be circulating alongside the seasonal flu at the same time? I also heard that a second wave of COVID-19 is anticipated at the same time. So, does anyone know if this will mean restaura...

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by StarAC17
Wed Sep 16, 2020 2:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

That hypothesis has been bandied about, but I have yet to see some of the basic immunology papers be translated into actual differences in clinical outcome. I'll point that all of us have been exposed to endemic human coronaviruses, which is why they are endemic. I'm not banking on cell-mediated im...

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by StarAC17
Tue Sep 15, 2020 3:25 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

We keep applying modeling of Covid based upon the flu. Every model before the summer said that covid would go to nothing and there would be a second wave this fall. All those models were wrong. We have no clue what the fall will look like, positive or negative. This virus isn’t the flu, and it does...

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by StarAC17
Tue Sep 15, 2020 1:42 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020
Replies: 197
Views: 8365

Re: Possibly of Everything Closing Down Across Northern Hemisphere in Fall 2020

Well protests are not mandatory I agree we need police reform but lets face it blacks kill each other at an insane rate but no one wants to go there. All mass gatherings are a risk per Dr Fauci you can't give a pass on one and not the other. Yes arresting a single person on a beach is a stupid rule...

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by StarAC17
Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Vaccine talk: solution or illusion?
Replies: 65
Views: 3167

Re: Vaccine talk: solution or illusion?

I wonder if this will be simply controlled with medications and not eradicated with vaccines? Like with HIV? I don't think we know enough about the virus yet. Not to mention people get it and may not know it early enough for a med to help. Also many won't get the vaccine. They better be working on ...

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by StarAC17
Wed Sep 09, 2020 4:31 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

What I can't quite understand is the level of sacrifice that some nations or areas will go through to avoid these sicknesses and deaths, which they don't seem to put to fight other sicknesses which create even more deaths. There is a logical fallacy to me that stems from the weird working of the hu...

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by StarAC17
Mon Sep 07, 2020 4:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Establishment Dems Smear Campaigns against Progressive Challengers
Replies: 18
Views: 1264

Re: Establishment Dems Smear Campaigns against Progressive Challengers

Of course, there is time at the Democratic party convention for Republicans (Kasich) and party 'centrists' to have significant amounts of time to speak live or uncensored recordings while Rep. AOC and others of the Progressive wing of the party but for Sen. Sanders, get minimal or no live participa...

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by StarAC17
Sun Sep 06, 2020 3:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

... many of the developing countries are going to get to herd immunity faster than those with the lockdowns. There will be a cost of more deaths and complications but more people will get it and recover achieving herd immunity much faster. The simple fact is the only way to fight through this Pande...

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by StarAC17
Sat Sep 05, 2020 6:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

You can generally assess any short term side effects with the current trials. Long term, absolutely not. Under the current restrictions it makes it very hard to test the effectiveness of a vaccine which hinders the pandemic ending. A standard phase 3 trial gives 50% the vaccine and 50% a placebo th...

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by StarAC17
Sat Sep 05, 2020 4:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Risks are regularly taken in developing medical treatments, are they not? If a company spends $1 billion this year developing and testing a drug, it does not limit its use to a small group of test subjects, observe the effects for decades then release it to the market when it can demonstrate the ab...

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by StarAC17
Mon Aug 31, 2020 6:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Permanent Unemployment Threats to the Economy
Replies: 43
Views: 1577

Re: Permanent Unemployment Threats to the Economy

So it needs to go down to zero and then you can reopen. Only New Zealand is doing this so far and they have been very successful. They will come out of this crisis stronger than any other country. Barring a vaccine this lasts until they open their borders without a 14 day quarantine. Someone could ...

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by StarAC17
Mon Aug 31, 2020 3:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

KFTG wrote: Moderna vaccine appears to be effective https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/26/moderna ... ients.html Woah woah woah, let's hang on for a second. The Moderna vaccine candidate appears to trigger an antibody response in the elderly. That is promising, given that an antibody response to this vac...

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by StarAC17
Sun Aug 30, 2020 5:27 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Brazil and U.S. numbers going down have probably more to do with political manipulation of the data rather than a slowing epidemic. Brazil and the US have done nothing spectacular that would explain a reduction of pace of new cases. If anything, cases should be accelerating. The U.S. is probably se...

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by StarAC17
Sun Aug 30, 2020 5:07 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Correct me if I'm wrong, but if immunity disappears overtime wouldn't it make more sense to let the healthy part of the population develop immunity as fast as possible? If we apply protective measures to young and old equally we delay the point of herd immunity and we expose those who are at risk f...

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by StarAC17
Fri Aug 28, 2020 7:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

So in that case, the difference between Sweden and the USA isn't mask policies at all - it's being able to show some basic civic responsibility by making a small number of really quite trivial changes to one's daily routine. Which I'm sure the people going on about the "COVID-19 industrial com...

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by StarAC17
Tue Aug 25, 2020 5:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

“The COVID-19 industrial complex“ This would have been long gone by now had people originally taken it seriously and listened to the experts. However, people like you tend to undermine and reject expert advice. There is no Covid19 industrial complex, however, there is a large group of people active...

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by StarAC17
Tue Aug 18, 2020 7:35 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

looking at the last days development it looks like the fall in Europe will be interesting. https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=swe&areas=dnk&areas=deu&areas=esp&areas=fra&areas=nld&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillio...

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by StarAC17
Mon Aug 17, 2020 5:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump considering pardon for Snowden
Replies: 47
Views: 2029

Re: Trump considering pardon for Snowden

He should be. He is an American hero whose methods were less than perfect. I'd consider pardoning him too if he wasn't the worst kind of hypocrite there possibly is, one who betrays his country arguing against state espionage against its own citizens but then runs to China and eventually Russia to h...

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by StarAC17
Tue Aug 11, 2020 7:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

We as a society need to ACCEPT that COVID-19 is here to stay. his virus is obviously not going anyway, the cat has long left the bag. So what we as a society must do is to learn to LIVE with it. We need to go back to the OLD normal; we need to OPEN TF UP and UNCANCEL everything! Let’s end this soci...

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by StarAC17
Mon Aug 10, 2020 5:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

We are facing the greatest threat to our country since the Great Depression or even from the Civil War from the mix of the deadly Covid-19 pandemic, an economic Depression, 20%+ true unemployment, a million businesses destroyed, a severely divided country, a grossly incompetent President and a Cong...

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by StarAC17
Wed Aug 05, 2020 4:04 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

You can't really conclude anything from these super telephoto photos. They might actually have been properly socially distanced. Correct, you need an Arial shot of the beach to see if they are actually distanced. This is one of the things that you can blame the media for which creates fear or shami...

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by StarAC17
Mon Aug 03, 2020 7:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Complete nonsense, absolute nonsense. There is still a free media here, public debate is robust and people can still communicate freely. This was brought on by idiots who would not grasp how serious the situation was and continued to try and do irresponsible things. Don’t go run parties, don’t try ...

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by StarAC17
Sun Aug 02, 2020 2:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

I understand all safety concerns regarding a vaccine, but at this point in time I feel like it would be the smartest to way to just go ahead and start vaccinating people. Just don’t start with the so called risk groups, start with the young crowd who are the most affected ones at this time in most ...

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by StarAC17
Tue Jul 28, 2020 4:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

I think Sweden and New Zealand both made scientifically rational decisions based on the limited scientific evidence at the time and an evaluation of their countries resources at the time and both countries have consistently pursued strategies consistent with that evaluation. NZ was woefully medical...

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by StarAC17
Mon Jul 27, 2020 4:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Baseball COVID outbreak
Replies: 30
Views: 1342

Re: Baseball COVID outbreak

Not surprising, when it comes to sports team, once one person got it, it will spread like wildfire. I mean, those locker rooms had long been petri dishes even before COVID-19. NBA is doing it right. A small number of teams all living in a "bubble" so travel is eliminated. MLB is not. Play...

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by StarAC17
Sun Jul 26, 2020 6:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

When we know that past coronavirus vaccines have failed, putting all of our eggs in the vaccine basket doesn't seem to be the best strategy. Slow the spread, rather than stop it, should be the most conservative strategy. Just in case the vaccines don't work out. I am hopeful that history will not r...

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by StarAC17
Sun Jul 26, 2020 6:12 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

When we know that past coronavirus vaccines have failed, putting all of our eggs in the vaccine basket doesn't seem to be the best strategy. Slow the spread, rather than stop it, should be the most conservative strategy. Just in case the vaccines don't work out. I am hopeful that history will not r...

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by StarAC17
Thu Jul 23, 2020 8:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

If you go by loose infection numbers (10x reported), a max of just over 10% of the US has been exposed. When we start sending kids to schools, we are creating more interactions that will wildly spread it. Masks and social distancing can only work for so long, and when you are bringing kids together...

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by StarAC17
Wed Jul 15, 2020 2:35 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Why is COVID-19 immunity measured based on antibody levels ?
Replies: 3
Views: 427

Re: Why is COVID-19 immunity measured based on antibody levels ?

Just now, NBC Nightly News stated that antibody levels of individuals who already contracted Coronavirus did not last for very long. On average, most people lost sufficient levels of antibodies 3 weeks after infection. They claimed that this meant that catching it does not provide long term immunit...

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by StarAC17
Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:47 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Why aren't we seeing more cases in Africa? Is it a function of less testing? Probably yes for the total cases. I would reckon a lot of the cases are probably quite mild in Africa and there probably have not been not a lot of deaths that would scream Covid related. Africa has some natural advantages...

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by StarAC17
Mon Jul 13, 2020 3:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Finally...a nuanced and in-depth piece about some of the recent antibody studies that delves into cell-mediated immunity and what it all means for a vaccine: https://news.yahoo.com/research-coalescing-around-idea-coronavirus-194200542.html This is from DocLighting in the Covid19 vaccine thread and ...

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by StarAC17
Wed Jul 08, 2020 4:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

According to a study I saw on spanish TV the herd immunity is not possible as the immunity seems to vane after a few weeks..... Antibodies may vane but there are other ways the immune system works, you lose antibodies for many past infections that the body will remember if they encounter it again. ...

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by StarAC17
Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: (Possible) Assassination Attempt Against Trudeau
Replies: 8
Views: 724

Re: (Possible) Assassination Attempt Against Trudeau

Covid19 is accelerating in the US (not sure how bad in DC but many of Trump's people have got it) and he runs the risk of contracting it himself. Wasn't his wife already infected with the virus? I seem to remember that he did quarantine with her at home because of that. She was and he isolated then...

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by StarAC17
Tue Jul 07, 2020 6:57 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: (Possible) Assassination Attempt Against Trudeau
Replies: 8
Views: 724

Re: (Possible) Assassination Attempt Against Trudeau

This comes as the PMs popularity has been increasing over the last few weeks (in all places by except AB and SK) however he still remains very unpopular among some (and, based on my own observation, tends to generate a deeply visceral response from some - the comment sections on The Post Millennial...

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by StarAC17
Tue Jul 07, 2020 3:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

According to a study I saw on spanish TV the herd immunity is not possible as the immunity seems to vane after a few weeks..... Antibodies may vane but there are other ways the immune system works, you lose antibodies for many past infections that the body will remember if they encounter it again. ...

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by StarAC17
Mon Jul 06, 2020 4:28 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Is the surge of coronavirus cases in the United States a good opportunity to test treatment candidates?
Replies: 3
Views: 466

Re: Is the surge of coronavirus cases in the United States a good opportunity to test treatment candidates?

The problem with antiviral drugs is that you must first prove innocuity. The one that has been tentatively approved, remdesivir, has been in development for many years, so that was already done (well, not all will agree that it's actually innocuous). Also I believe that you have to administer and a...

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by StarAC17
Mon Jul 06, 2020 4:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 704
Views: 42565

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

The only advantage with younger people getting sick is that with T-cells and immune against the sickness the spread of corona in society will slow down and decrease the chance of older and weak getting sick. This is the definition of Herd Immunity and with many people immune the virus has trouble s...

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