Search found 2448 matches

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by Pellegrine
Sun May 17, 2020 3:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion
Replies: 197
Views: 8861

Re: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion

BLM certainly doesn't represent all people, but for nearly a decade BLM has been the most visible and outspoken group when it comes to racism and police violence (justified or not). With that visibility comes responsibility, and in my opinion BLM has set back race relations ten years in this countr...

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by Pellegrine
Sun May 17, 2020 2:09 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion
Replies: 197
Views: 8861

Re: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion

Contrast to what happened in Kentucky. Police conducting a "no-knock" (all-stupid) warrant shot and killed a black EMT and locked up and DA charged her black boyfriend for attempted murder because he shot his gun thinking a home invasion was taking place. He's still caged. These white Geo...

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by Pellegrine
Sun May 17, 2020 1:03 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion
Replies: 197
Views: 8861

Re: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion

Contrast to what happened in Kentucky. Police conducting a "no-knock" (all-stupid) warrant shot and killed a black EMT and locked up and DA charged her black boyfriend for attempted murder because he shot his gun thinking a home invasion was taking place. He's still caged. These white Geor...

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by Pellegrine
Sun May 17, 2020 12:07 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

Yeah, I won't even respond to someone who thinks medicine doesn't go back and forth on best practices sometimes. Here's the fact check on that: https://www.statesman.com/news/20200429/fact-check-did-fauci-say-coronavirus-was-lsquonothing-to-worry-aboutrsquo You left out the qualifiers. Oh well, if C...

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by Pellegrine
Thu May 14, 2020 7:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

this may actually be the first time someone defends Trump ineptness with the argument "Americans are stupid"..... Because Americans won’t bow down to authority and behave like Koreans doesn’t make us stupid, more like we think for ourselves. The US, on the ground, shut down in many places...

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by Pellegrine
Thu May 14, 2020 6:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What’s the last big purchase you made?
Replies: 115
Views: 5752

Re: What’s the last big purchase you made?

I always wanted a big ass pair of diamond stud earrings, so I've been talking to a jeweler on Madison Ave. that I've done business with in the past. Looking at 15-20 carats each side. I redid my kitchen with Miele, Sub Zero, and Gaggeneau appliances last year, and I'm looking to move (stay in DC) a...

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by Pellegrine
Thu May 14, 2020 4:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What’s the last big purchase you made?
Replies: 115
Views: 5752

Re: What’s the last big purchase you made?

I always wanted a big ass pair of diamond stud earrings, so I've been talking to a jeweler on Madison Ave. that I've done business with in the past. Looking at 15-20 carats each side. I redid my kitchen with Miele, Sub Zero, and Gaggeneau appliances last year, and I'm looking to move (stay in DC) af...

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by Pellegrine
Thu May 14, 2020 4:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Time for the Airlines to start lobbying for a CARES act extension
Replies: 7
Views: 699

Re: Time for the Airlines to start lobbying for a CARES act extension

Let airlines go bankrupt. Shareholders should be wiped out. They'll just go into a packaged bankruptcy anyway, so everyone's not going to lose their jobs. There would be layoffs even if they didn't file. The federal government should also look into letting businesses and individuals delay debt payme...

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by Pellegrine
Thu May 14, 2020 4:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What if more than one vaccine is proven to work?
Replies: 15
Views: 936

Re: What if more than one vaccine is proven to work?

Actually, some people get multiple flu vaccines every year. One by manufacturer A and one by manufacturer B. Something like this could be requested by the patient, but probably wouldn't be initiated by a doctor.

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by Pellegrine
Tue May 12, 2020 6:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

Quantitative easing leads to lower interest rates which leads to more loans which leads to expanding economic activity. Until inflation takes hold and ravages the economy. The fears of that last time during the GFC did not come true. We could start with a $1trillion QE4. Doesn't mean that policy ca...

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by Pellegrine
Mon May 11, 2020 8:52 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

Jack Ryan season 2 gone bad? Say it isn't so...

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by Pellegrine
Mon May 11, 2020 8:49 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

They can mark up accounts at the Fed all they want, it doesn’t GROW the economy. Money is the representation of the economy, no economy, no money. Quantitative easing leads to lower interest rates which leads to more loans which leads to expanding economic activity. Until inflation takes hold and r...

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by Pellegrine
Mon May 11, 2020 8:47 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion
Replies: 197
Views: 8861

Re: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion

It's a modern day lynching.

Also, the Glynn County, GA DA needs to be locked and charged with obstructing justice. She sat on her hands because the father-murderer used to work for her office as an investigator. Lock her ass up and charge her!

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by Pellegrine
Thu May 07, 2020 5:51 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

Yeah, screw the savers and retirees who put their entire, or a portion of their, savings into government bonds assuming a retirement. Do you truly believe money grows on trees? Actually, it kind of does. Former Fed. Chair Ben Bernanke says pretty much so right after 7:50: https://www.youtube.com/wa...

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by Pellegrine
Wed May 06, 2020 9:25 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

It’s all just integers on a screen anyway. The finance mavens can reset the debt clock to 0 whenever the G20 decide that’s best for everyone. Yeah, screw the savers and retirees who put their entire, or a portion of their, savings into government bonds assuming a retirement. Do you truly believe mo...

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by Pellegrine
Tue May 05, 2020 5:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

In the final analysis, they will find that Sweden had just as compassionate an approach as the US (probably more compassionate), but theirs was guided by evidence, instead of superstition and fear, which has great effect in the US The virus will go through the US causing the same amount of damage a...

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by Pellegrine
Tue May 05, 2020 1:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

Trump wants interest rates to go to 0 or below anyway,. This coming from the guy who complained that the Fed needed to raise rates because it kept rates low to help Obama... Sometimes I think Katy Perry's Hot N Cold foreshadowed Trump's presidency. I know you know that he doesn't know what he's doi...

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by Pellegrine
Tue May 05, 2020 1:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars
Replies: 46
Views: 2318

Re: Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars

Coronavirus: US to borrow record $3tn as spending soars The US has said it wants to borrow a record $3tn (£2.4tn) in the second quarter, as coronavirus-related rescue packages blow up the budget. The sum is more than five times the previous quarterly record, set at the height of the 2008 financial ...

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by Pellegrine
Mon May 04, 2020 10:08 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil and the Economy
Replies: 32
Views: 1498

Re: Oil and the Economy

I've invested in 6 fracked oil/gas projects in the past 5 years, so that's my experience. Nice royalties and even better tax benefits in the US. I've never seen any profitable numbers below $30, so I think the $30-50 figure is a decent range. Actually, oil may spike in spring of 2021. With almost ev...

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by Pellegrine
Mon May 04, 2020 9:45 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Warren Buffet cuts his loses
Replies: 27
Views: 2199

Re: Warren Buffet cuts his loses

As to why Buffett is so cash heavy, a lot of people saw a bear market coming late last year, but we had novel coronavirus instead.

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 27, 2020 1:57 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 10 Year Anniversary of Deepwater Horizon Explosion and Oil Spill
Replies: 7
Views: 590

Re: 10 Year Anniversary of Deepwater Horizon Explosion and Oil Spill

Truthfully, a lot. ( Deep water sites are still fricken expensive) Honestly, didn't matter ( Fracking rules the day) . It's been said by some supermajors that some fracking Capex will now go to Deepwater FWIW. I don't know why. Fracking is still cheaper than Deep-water exploration/ Probably Trump's...

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 27, 2020 1:44 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 10 Year Anniversary of Deepwater Horizon Explosion and Oil Spill
Replies: 7
Views: 590

Re: 10 Year Anniversary of Deepwater Horizon Explosion and Oil Spill

Well that thread brought back some memories....Like when the site actually had a functioning comment section :) Anyway lots of lessons learned, and boy was I wrong about finite resources...in the near term. It turned out fracking was the way of the future, and look where we went this week. negative...

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by Pellegrine
Wed Apr 22, 2020 11:24 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Relevance of the WHO post Covid-19
Replies: 69
Views: 2411

Re: Relevance of the WHO post Covid-19

The WHO does extremely important work in developing countries, and no one can deny that. Whether they care is up to them. I'm willing to bet a lot of money that most of these people criticizing the work of the WHO come from the US and they have no idea what they do around the world. WHO cannot stop...

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by Pellegrine
Wed Apr 22, 2020 10:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Relevance of the WHO post Covid-19
Replies: 69
Views: 2411

Re: Relevance of the WHO post Covid-19

The WHO does extremely important work in developing countries, and no one can deny that. Whether they care is up to them. I'm willing to bet a lot of money that most of these people criticizing the work of the WHO come from the US and they have no idea what they do around the world. WHO cannot stop ...

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by Pellegrine
Wed Apr 22, 2020 7:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: WTI Oil price goes negative

Another thing to remember re. the price of finished petroleum products is that refineries source crude from all around the world. The only negative prices were/are for some US and Mexican blends. Prices from the Middle East, Russia, and Canada are still from $10 to around (or over) Brent price.

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 20, 2020 6:23 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: Oil price crash

Around -$10.25 for WTI May contract (-155%) right now.

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 20, 2020 6:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: Oil price crash

I actually saw a tick right at $0.00, it may go negative.

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 20, 2020 5:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: Oil price crash

https://www.wsj.com/articles/flood-of-s ... 1587119400
-->

Saudi has 40 million barrels in 20 VLCCs en route to the Gulf of Mexico due in port throughout May. I saw a tick go to $0.99. It will be interesting to see June and July contracts.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/flood-of-s ... 1587119400

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 20, 2020 5:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: Oil price crash

$2.69 and dropping.

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 20, 2020 5:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: Oil price crash

Interestingly I just reviewed a prospectus from a small energy company in West Texas looking for investment from accredited investors for a private placement deal. They weren't making money on this project below $35/bbl. A lot of these small oil companies will go bankrupt and have their assets bough...

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 20, 2020 4:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: Oil price crash

Whoa it just broke 5

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 20, 2020 4:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7762

Re: Oil price crash

$5.18

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by Pellegrine
Thu Apr 16, 2020 11:41 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

I tend to agree. There is a cognitive / media bias against tolerating 20 deaths right now, even if it saves 2,000 deaths later. Coronavirus is a significant public health threat, but we tolerate significant public health threats (obesity, alcohol, traffic) constantly. These can all be reduced if we...

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by Pellegrine
Thu Apr 16, 2020 10:01 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Probably not a good idea to use the Swedish approach. Norway has a similar population density and is faring much better. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVWbPLzXsAcClPy?format=jpg&name=small Your suggestion is epidemiologically inadequate because we don't know exactly who is vulnerable or at risk. ...

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by Pellegrine
Thu Apr 16, 2020 8:59 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

I do have a question for those who are proponents of keeping the economy closed indefinitely or until cases hit a certain metric, what happens when hospital systems go under from lack of revenue? Here in Arizona, we are currently furloughing healthcare workers and support services at practically ev...

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by Pellegrine
Thu Apr 16, 2020 8:57 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Nope, you have to plant the right mutations in the right amount of wild animals, with the right geographical distribution, otherwise it being man made is detectable. I guess you missed that I wrote "other versions of the virus", not "the virus". Best regards Thomas Have western ...

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by Pellegrine
Wed Apr 15, 2020 5:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Personal Rant
Replies: 10
Views: 899

Re: Personal Rant

My condolences. You and your granddaughter might find some solace in articles that have been written by women who miscarried in this pandemic.

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by Pellegrine
Wed Apr 15, 2020 5:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: How the Economy Recovers and We Get Back to Work
Replies: 173
Views: 10095

Re: How the Economy Recovers and We Get Back to Work

I'm glad I don't have to subscribe to anyone's BS. I miss restaurants more than a lot of people...I was used to going out for dinner 5 days a week at fine dining places, I have plenty of bartender/server friends who used to serve me, but... I'mma let the first wind of that second wave hit yall, whil...

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by Pellegrine
Wed Apr 15, 2020 5:11 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

IMO, it's time to move the UN to Paris or Geneva. The US has shown too much disrespect in recent years. This WHO withdrawal of funding is the last straw in my book.

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by Pellegrine
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Question about King Mswati III International Airport
Replies: 10
Views: 2196

Re: Question about King Mswati III International Airport

DLPMMM wrote:
For those who don’t know, the country was formerly known as Swaziland. First I heard of this new name, but I only go to Africa every few years.

Name change to Eswatini was 2018.


Wow, I wasn't aware either, and I try to keep up with Southern Africa.

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 06, 2020 4:35 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)
Replies: 32
Views: 5304

Re: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)

In one case I can remember, it was AMS-SIN, so we had a tailwind and we climbed to 450 and we were actually picking up about 30 knots less tailwind and our fuel burn was essentially the same at 410. So, in this case, it was a combination of both the Trop and the decreasing effect of the Jet Stream....

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by Pellegrine
Mon Apr 06, 2020 4:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First flight for LN1000 787
Replies: 20
Views: 5540

Re: First flight for LN1000 787

Will it even be delivered on time due to everything going on?

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by Pellegrine
Sun Apr 05, 2020 8:56 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)
Replies: 32
Views: 5304

Re: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)

It depends on many factors. Normally, 410 will be the max as there isn't much savings going to 450 and the fuel used in the climb is more than you would save for the cruise at 450. But IIRC, you'd need to be down to around 200,000KGS to get up that high. Have been at 450 a few times, to avoid CBs o...

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by Pellegrine
Sun Apr 05, 2020 7:50 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)
Replies: 32
Views: 5304

Re: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)

At what gross weight can the 744 reach FL450? It depends on many factors. Normally, 410 will be the max as there isn't much savings going to 450 and the fuel used in the climb is more than you would save for the cruise at 450. But IIRC, you'd need to be down to around 200,000KGS to get up that high...

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by Pellegrine
Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:13 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)
Replies: 32
Views: 5304

Re: Service Ceiling Difference between A350-900 and -1000 (and 787-8/9 and -10)

If my feeble memory is correct you need to add 100 feet to each limit. It has to do with the autopilot in VNAV. It maintains a "soft" altitude rather than a "hard" altitude. The 100' is a buffer for the soft mode. Yes, for B744 I know that it is FL451, but I was not sure if 100 ...

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by Pellegrine
Tue Mar 31, 2020 8:00 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163061

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I was going to post some links to different studies, but all this arguing took the wind out of my sails. I just wish people understood how bad this is for some people and would stop being so selfish. People are out here trying to save your life and you are criticizing them. If people knew about what...

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by Pellegrine
Sun Mar 29, 2020 12:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163061

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Why is there such little talk about remdesivir? So far it seems to be the only sure thing that is working. It's been around since 2014 and the US government has invested tons of money into the drug. The pharmaceutical company needs to be ordered to either immediately ramp up production or temporari...

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by Pellegrine
Sun Mar 29, 2020 8:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163061

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Does anyone know of someone (perhaps a relative or friend) who has recently contracted COVID-19 and is hospitalized? No personally, but I've had about 8 people I know in the DMV area contact me with the same symptoms of early COVID. Infrequent-intermittent dry cough, sore throat, fatigue... And DC ...

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by Pellegrine
Sun Mar 29, 2020 7:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163061

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.clinicaltrialsarena.com/ana ... cov-drugs/

I'm most excited about the antivirals, some of the HIV drugs, and drugs that help assuage the cytokine storm syndrome in severe/critical patients.
-->

Here's something about vaccines/drugs in the pipeline for treatment:

https://www.clinicaltrialsarena.com/ana ... cov-drugs/

I'm most excited about the antivirals, some of the HIV drugs, and drugs that help assuage the cytokine storm syndrome in severe/critical patients.

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by Pellegrine
Sun Mar 29, 2020 5:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Drake's Private 767-200 New Livery
Replies: 60
Views: 15154

Re: Drake's Private 767-200 New Livery

FlyHossD wrote:
Given current world events, this strikes me as "tone-deaf." And I'm not talking about rap music either.
'



Eh. People need some escapism right now. Besides, having this jet painted supports the workers that did it too.

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