Search found 2594 matches

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by alasizon
Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - April 2020
Replies: 542
Views: 99617

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - April 2020

With the massive drawdown of flights in the States, it sounds like loads of 10 to 30 passengers are pretty typical. Wouldn't the EMB-145 be the ideal aircraft to operate? Block out the one middle seat, she'll carry 34 passengers. She must have the lowest direct operating costs of any jet (fuel burn...

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by alasizon
Mon Apr 06, 2020 3:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airport construction projects question
Replies: 74
Views: 10716

Re: Airport construction projects question

Since most construction projects already have funding set aside (be it grants, bonds or otherwise already obtained money) they will continue as best as practical. It isn't exactly easy to just start and stop large scale infrastructure projects and try to pick up the pieces at a later date. Plus, man...

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by alasizon
Mon Apr 06, 2020 8:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25255

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

Crew scheduling is a breeze right now. You have 78,000 people on reserve. Crew scheduling right now is the worst and best, you either have plenty of reserves or you are spending your entire day reflowing everyone time and time again due to cancellations. That’s a 100x better than scheduling with le...

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by alasizon
Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25255

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

I still expect a large file next week again too. The airlines can't even keep up right now. Crazy times. Crew sceduling what a tough job right with so many cancellations day of too! Crew scheduling is a breeze right now. You have 78,000 people on reserve. Crew scheduling right now is the worst and ...

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by alasizon
Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25255

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

EA CO AS wrote:
The AS schedule load includes some interesting tag flights:

SEA-PIT-BWI
SEA-RDU-CHS
SEA-DFW-IAH
SEA-MSP-CMH
SEA-SBP-SBA
SEA-FCA-HLN


Slightly surprised there aren't more of these on the southbound California routes (i.e. PDX-SMF-STS) given the way the LF has plummeted.

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by alasizon
Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

Looks like the last Compass flight is 6047, departing LAX around 1PM to TUL. So sad. It was rough being on a conference call with them yesterday and hearing people saying goodbye to them and thanking them for their years of service. On the SOC front, they are a great group of folks and always seeme...

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by alasizon
Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25255

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

I'm surprised the AS changes weren't in the mix; they were loaded yesterday. At least the 4/10 to 4/30 schedule, anyway. You have to submit changes to OAG about a week in advance. So it would show up next week. Not exactly true, changes that are loaded Fri night/Sat morning show up all the time in ...

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by alasizon
Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

I have to wonder how many ERJ-140s will be permanently parked...as well as 50-seat flying at JFK, LGA, and PHL. Those former Compass E175s that flew out west could replace the CRJ2s and E140/E145s out east (a few routes had already been up-gauged to CRJ7 flying). The Compass birds are going to Envo...

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by alasizon
Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25255

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

AA seems to have an interim schedule for May 1 thru 7 then another change eff May 8. DFW holds up ok with many flights still running daily however most other hubs see flights that are except Tue/Wed/Sat. Markets like ABQ-DFW have no 738's or A321's and ELP-DFW and COS-DFW are all Eagle! FAT--you lu...

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by alasizon
Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

Are the -200s just stored or are they finished? I believe they are finished, unless the plans have changed recently, as the plan was to retire them in favor of the 700's and 900's. Or E170’s... Up until the COVID stuff started, Management at Republic finally said the first new 175s would be deliver...

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by alasizon
Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - April 2020
Replies: 542
Views: 99617

Re: AA Has More Departures Out Of EWR Than United Tomorrow

Actually crazy... https://twitter.com/RossFeinstein/status/1246592533523845123 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EUyz20NXsAUOldx?format=jpg&name=large With United reducing its schedule to 15 daily flights out of EWR, AA will have more scheduled flights than UA. AA originally had 22 scheduled flights ...

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by alasizon
Thu Apr 02, 2020 5:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Apr 1 FX14 77F made wrong turn flew towards hill after take off from HKG
Replies: 15
Views: 8414

Re: Apr 1 FX14 77F made wrong turn flew towards hill after take off from HKG

Relatively short flight and if the load was light, the 777 will climb pretty quickly, so 4700FT isn’t totally out of the ordinary for normal operations. I don't have official number of the load obviously, but given the loss of almost all belly cargo capacity, I would think these cargo flights are p...

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by alasizon
Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 193988

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

Whether even the newer AA 319s would be workable economically ( even if there would be no need(?) to block out seats ) for longer routes like EGE-MIA is another question. If there were no need to block seats, I don't see why a 319 would otherwise not be economically viable on a route like MIA-EGE. ...

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by alasizon
Wed Apr 01, 2020 7:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz
Replies: 245
Views: 44306

Re: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz

What aircraft could UA retire? Non ER 739s, will we see the 764s go? Or some of the 772s? I'd imagine it will be old 319/320. Same with the 764s, as other stated, the HD 772A are probably going to be the chopping block. I think the 320 are gone; not so sure about the 319 since UA will actively want...

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by alasizon
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - April 2020
Replies: 542
Views: 99617

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - April 2020

CAI-SLC is nothing close to the other flights though. It’s only 7,021 miles or around 14-15 hours of flight time. Whereby SLC is the stronghold and headquarters of the Mormons. So what's an Arab airline doing in the city? Are there Muslims on board who want to convert the Mormons to Islam? ;-)) Or ...

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by alasizon
Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 193988

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

Are there plans to have the internal mods, like Project Oasis/Kodiak, continue during this downtime? I feel like they could probably get it all done.... Or are they not spending on anything of the like for now? Name of the game right now is cash conservation. Mods cost money at the time of work so ...

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by alasizon
Tue Mar 31, 2020 5:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380790

Re: Delta plans to emerge a

How are you doing that math? For grant money, each air carrier can receive 100% of the salary, wage, and benefits expense incurred from April 1 through September 30, 2019. That should be more than enough to cover the required salary, wage, and benefit expenses for the same period of the current yea...

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by alasizon
Tue Mar 31, 2020 3:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380790

Re: Delta plans to emerge a

The way I understand the legislation was written is that you cannot release anyone that was on the payroll as of March 1st without just cause (attendance or performance), but that you may do anything allowed by the workgroup contract/work rules to reduce hours scheduled. Every carrier is scaling PT...

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by alasizon
Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380790

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

it's totally against the spirit of the grants. It's also quite confusing because it applies to merit employees as well, and all ground employees including corporate office staff. Where it's interesting to me legally is for salary employees who are entitled to full pay if any hours are worked in FLS...

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by alasizon
Tue Mar 31, 2020 12:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

PSA has received its fifteenth CR9 of the new batch. N615NN ferried YMX-DAY-CVG on 26 March 2020 for delivery. 69 x CR9 on property now at PSA. https://flightaware.com/live/flight/N615NN That’s all of the new CRJs for PSA. Too bad- AAG didn’t exercise the 15 options for us. No room in the scope cla...

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by alasizon
Mon Mar 30, 2020 6:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's PHX Hub in Jeopardy?
Replies: 198
Views: 27360

Re: AA's PHX Hub in Jeapordy?

I think Phoenix is a unique case. As a recent resident of PHX for 4 years, the economy there was booming. If we take a look at the socioeconomics of the region, I think it’s safe to assume Phoenix only looks better in the eyes of the consumer post-pandemic. The city has low taxes, large swaths of r...

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by alasizon
Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17239

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I guess my musing wonders what they believe to the strategy - protect nonexistent marketshare for trash yields and flights that bleed red or cut and run a limited schedule and save the cash on hand for the other end of this. If they can't cut people or wage rates (and they can't before 9/30/2020, i...

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by alasizon
Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17239

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I think PHX would be in big trouble right now in the normal world. I think people around the industry expected it to die in the next recession. OTOH, AZ is pretty low virus infection last I looked, so that could play a factor. Not denying PHX will look different on the back end of this, but it is i...

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by alasizon
Mon Mar 30, 2020 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 193988

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

I suppose part of the question is how much does it cost to retire them now, how much would it cost to make that decision in two months, and how much visibility do they have to the MAX return to service? Presumably retirement would involve work that costs $ and risks human contact, which would be be...

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by alasizon
Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

Compass is parking the AA-owned E175s at AVQ, the other Marana airport, with five already there; N206NN, N208AN, N210NN, N213NN, N218NN. A sixth is at BNA since the 16th for some type of maintenance. Where on earth at Marana are they parking them? There is not a lot of room there. No idea why they ...

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 7:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17239

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

enilria wrote:
We need to watch what happens in the October schedule...see above.

I would suspect the November schedule will be more telling domestically.

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 193988

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

Boof02671 wrote:
And some of the 757s and all the 190s


Officially the 190s are just listed as parked I believe. My understanding is the pilots have not been given the option to transfer to another equipment type which would be required if the fleet was actually fully labeled as retired.

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 6:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 193988

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

Looks like AA sent another five B737-800s to ROW for retirement. I believe they have 77 of the 1999-2001 vintage -800s, of which they have retired 22 in the last week. They are also storing planes at ROS, doesn’t necessarily mean they are being retired. True, my statements are mere speculation...ab...

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 6:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17239

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I guess my musing wonders what they believe to the strategy - protect nonexistent marketshare for trash yields and flights that bleed red or cut and run a limited schedule and save the cash on hand for the other end of this. If they can't cut people or wage rates (and they can't before 9/30/2020, i...

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 5:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA A321NEO PHX-HNL
Replies: 12
Views: 3415

Re: AA A321NEO PHX-HNL

Flights had been running full even in the winter but there was definitely less cargo and the flight benefits from a high child count. PHX-LIH was still on the 757 due to the distance though so it shall be interesting to see what happens there.

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 5:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17239

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

Many of AA's April cuts still show a fraction which is what will run from Apr 1-6. The schedule change is Apr 7, markets like ABQ-LAX, ELP-LAX, SAF-PHX, ROW-PHX, and I'm sure many many others, loose all AA service. All these markets show service returning in May however AA has already announced tha...

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 5:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Drake's Private 767-200 New Livery
Replies: 60
Views: 15248

Re: Drake's Private 767-200 New Livery

I don't believe this aircraft has ever seen airline service. In addition I'm pretty sure it has been, or was tanked thus giving it 22 hours range. Not sure why this would be refered to as a "cargo jet" as I don't see a cargo door? Cargojet is the airline that owns the frame. They are a Ca...

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 4:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

Most of regional drawdown will be more or less equal across the board with the E140/E145 getting hit harder since most of those flights are in much smaller markets where the demand is gone. Some of the mainline frequencies will be dropping down to Regional as well so you'll still see a large number...

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Drake's Private 767-200 New Livery
Replies: 60
Views: 15248

Re: Drake's Private 767-200 New Livery

Dominion301 wrote:
Interesting that it carries a US registration.

The plane is technically owned by Elan Express (part 125) which is US based. Cargojet provides the pilots from what I recall of the arrangement.

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by alasizon
Sun Mar 29, 2020 2:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz
Replies: 245
Views: 44306

Re: United will be a smaller carrier - Munoz

Where will UA will put all of their 77Ws and 78Js that were based out of SFO that were used for Europe and Asia? Based on AA parking some PHL/CLT-based A330s at PIT, I wouldn't be surprised if UA ends up parking their 77W/78J fleet at smaller outstations such as MCI. My reasoning is that PIT has a ...

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by alasizon
Sat Mar 28, 2020 11:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

So, we know that the LAX Eagle cuts are pretty much entirely the 20 175s that were operated by Compass. And it looks as though the bulk of the NYC area Eagle cuts will be a massive reduction of Envoy 140 flying in that area. Is it possible to piece together the reductions, shifts and realignments f...

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by alasizon
Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 998
Views: 175985

Re: Envoy Reactivating ERJ-140

Five more E140s ferried ABI to MZJ today; 818, 824, 830, 835, 836. 829 still delayed at SJT. These coming into service or storage? Storage. ABI is where they would have stayed if they were going to be getting used for the foreseeable future. Very surprised they are using MZJ though and not IGM whic...

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by alasizon
Thu Mar 26, 2020 3:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Eastern A330 Combi
Replies: 29
Views: 6808

Re: China Eastern A330 Combi

As long as the cargo is restrained and the resulting load from an accident less than the max G load of the seats it would be crashing into, I see no reason why CAAC wouldn't allow this on a temporary basis. That being said, I suspect the cargo is free loaded onto a pallet inside the aircraft and the...

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by alasizon
Wed Mar 25, 2020 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The new domestic service standard: just water. DL now onboard.
Replies: 207
Views: 28271

Re: The new domestic service standard: just water. DL now onboard.

Bottle water is not any cheaper than soda anyway. So there really isn’t much of a cost savings by just going to water. And even though the alcohol is going away for now, you can bet Delta won’t pass up the future opportunity to sell drinks in coach once the virus situation ends. The cost of water v...

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by alasizon
Wed Mar 25, 2020 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 193988

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

So just to summarize what's happening in the last few days, would it be fair to predict that AA mainline will emerge with only the following? A319/20/21 CEO & NEO B738/M A333 B788/9 B772/3 It really depends on how and when things recover. I suspect the whole A330 fleet will remain (both 332s an...

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by alasizon
Sat Mar 21, 2020 1:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380790

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

If anyone pulls back LAX of the US3 I see United more likely than Delta. Interesting. Isnt UA committed to T9? How would they back out of that? As for T9, I don't have the specifics on it, or what the agreement states, but everything is negotiable... LAWA and UA are still in negotiations. Meetings ...

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by alasizon
Sat Mar 21, 2020 12:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337610

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

Another major fallout from this crises will include the suspension of all construction and capital improvements at airports for the foreseeable future. That would mean projects like the replacement or major renovations of terminals will be indefinitely delayed, current projects partially unfinished...

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by alasizon
Sat Mar 21, 2020 1:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380790

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

The actual article itself has very little meat, just a lot of fluff. Yes, DL will come out smaller temporarily but there is no real way of saying how long. I think retreating 20-25% in SEA is a must in order to preserve the better yielding connecting opportunities from ATL, MSP & SLC. A decline ...

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by alasizon
Fri Mar 20, 2020 5:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Cargo Discussion Thread (Cargo Operators and Passenger Airlines Operating Cargo Only Flights)
Replies: 512
Views: 63728

Re: Will airlines operate cargo only fleets again?

Not in the conventional sense. Now that being said, if a regional carrier could figure out a way to operate cargo RJs, I could see the majors being willing to sell space on those to Amazon/FDX/UPS and increase their mail haulage. 5X and FX are only going to buy space domestically if it is dedicated...

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by alasizon
Fri Mar 20, 2020 1:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Cargo Discussion Thread (Cargo Operators and Passenger Airlines Operating Cargo Only Flights)
Replies: 512
Views: 63728

Re: Will airlines operate cargo only fleets again?

Delta, I believe used the term “retiring” in reference to some of their 767s, in their press release. But I could be wrong And, yes, AA is definitely retiring them. The question wasn’t only geared towards United, rather all of the major pax airlines. And even if they do get parked, they will inevit...

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by alasizon
Fri Mar 20, 2020 12:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337610

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

32andBelow wrote:
Some are saying JFK is the next one.


JFK is the next what?

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by alasizon
Fri Mar 20, 2020 12:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Cargo Discussion Thread (Cargo Operators and Passenger Airlines Operating Cargo Only Flights)
Replies: 512
Views: 63728

Re: Will airlines operate cargo only fleets again?

With the impending retirement of passenger 767s, the majors would just have to convert them to freighter ops. Boom, there’s the cargo airline. No new aircraft acquisition required. Retirements? I thought the UA and DL 763s are only being temporarily parked. AA is the one who wants them out entirely...

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by alasizon
Thu Mar 19, 2020 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Cargo Discussion Thread (Cargo Operators and Passenger Airlines Operating Cargo Only Flights)
Replies: 512
Views: 63728

Re: Will airlines operate cargo only fleets again?

Not in the conventional sense. Now that being said, if a regional carrier could figure out a way to operate cargo RJs, I could see the majors being willing to sell space on those to Amazon/FDX/UPS and increase their mail haulage.

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by alasizon
Thu Mar 19, 2020 9:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Speculation: American Airlines might file bankruptcy again
Replies: 310
Views: 64301

Re: Speculation: American Airlines might file bankruptcy again

AA needs to drastically cut domestic capacity right now. There are a lot of airplanes flying around empty and in many cases totally unnecessary. I live in Tampa, and following this weekend when the majority of Spring Break visitors will be exiting, AA is still running a full schedule at very low lo...

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by alasizon
Thu Mar 19, 2020 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Compass Airlines Shutting Down
Replies: 59
Views: 12674

Re: Compass Airlines Shutting Down

I don't understand this set up, how is it even profitable for these airlines to operate flights for major carriers? I mean airline margins are already razor thin. How do they make it in the end? Since the major airline is taking all the risk, the costs are paid for the capacity regardless of what h...

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