Search found 6415 matches

by seabosdca
Wed May 22, 2019 5:24 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why Didn't DL Order the MD-95 & Save Long Beach Assembly?
Replies: 15
Views: 3599

Re: Why Didn't DL Order the MD-95 & Save Long Beach Assembly?

No one has mentioned that MD tested DL's patience to the breaking point in the last years. First there was the MD-11 fiasco, where the type badly missed spec and had trouble operating some of the service Delta had planned specifically for it. Then there was the disastrous MD-90 EIS, plagued by const...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 22, 2019 12:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What Will Replace DL's 757-351?
Replies: 76
Views: 10538

Re: What Will Replace DL's 757-351?

As one or two others have pointed out, additional frequency only works up to a point. At airports like ATL, LAX, SFO, and SEA, DL doesn't have unlimited gate space to continue adding flights, especially at peak times. Given that these are some of the markets that see the most 753s today, DL's going...

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by seabosdca
Tue May 21, 2019 8:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What Will Replace DL's 757-351?
Replies: 76
Views: 10538

Re: What Will Replace DL's 757-351?

The larger 797 variant will be perfect if it is built in remotely the rumored form. It should cost about the same to operate as a 753, but have more revenue potential.

If no 797 is built, more frequencies on A321s and 739s will have to do the job.

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by seabosdca
Tue May 21, 2019 6:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

It seems Airbus marketing is boosting the weight message.. https://twitter.com/news_inflight/status/1130747090471149568 And of course they can't resist gilding the lily. The comparison is to the 316 t A350-1000, which doesn't have the same capability that is expected for the 777-8. They could have ...

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by seabosdca
Tue May 21, 2019 2:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

Those who think "all aircraft look the same" today really aren't looking very carefully. The 787, 777X, and A350 wings are all totally different, and all gorgeous works of art. So are the visible parts of modern widebody engines from nacelles to fan blades. As basic configurations have har...

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by seabosdca
Thu May 16, 2019 7:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

I don't think either manufacturer will have an incentive to develop the Sunrise airplane without at least 10 firm orders, so I really don't think there is any possibility of a split in Sunrise. In the (IMO unlikely) scenario of a split order, I think it would be about separating ULH and A380 replace...

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by seabosdca
Thu May 16, 2019 12:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can Singapore Airlines Start SIN-YVR With 787-10 or does it need A350-900 like SIN-SEA
Replies: 34
Views: 9841

Re: Can Singapore Airlines Start SIN-YVR With 787-10 or does it need A350-900 like YVR-SEA

It could fly the distance nonstop, but with payload restrictions severe enough that there is no chance the payload would be economic.

But this is all moot as SQ's 787-10 is configured for regional, not intercontinental, service. The A350-900 is the aircraft configured for this sort of route.

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by seabosdca
Wed May 15, 2019 6:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

We've heard often that for a widebody type 15-20 frames is the minimum to achieve economies of scale. That's why I don't think QF is well suited to operate A350 and 777X side by side, even as lots of bigger airlines are planning to do so. I agree that if medium-term A380 replacement (say, mid-2020s)...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 15, 2019 4:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Seattle is Vancouver's greatest threat to Trans-Pacific airport hub supremacy
Replies: 84
Views: 11839

Re: Seattle is Vancouver's greatest threat to Trans-Pacific airport hub supremacy

He doesn't know what he's talking about. It's a better part of 6 hours from downtown Portland to Vancouver. And that's without any major problems at the border. :checkmark: 4 hours from Portland to Vancouver would require felony-level driving and zero border wait, which I haven't seen in more than ...

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by seabosdca
Tue May 14, 2019 9:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Seattle is Vancouver's greatest threat to Trans-Pacific airport hub supremacy
Replies: 84
Views: 11839

Re: Seattle is Vancouver's greatest threat to Trans-Pacific airport hub supremacy

Bellingham was swamped with Canadians during the time a few years ago when the Canadian dollar was abnormally strong. Now, not so much anymore (and BLI has lost flights as a result). There's not much O&D bleed between SEA and YVR. By the time you take the border, traffic, and both airport locati...

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by seabosdca
Tue May 14, 2019 5:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 362
Views: 14354

Re: Boeing 777-8/-9 Grandfathering Certification, 777X or 7X7?

One of the things I have learned in my 68 years on this planet is that governments, by their very nature, are fundamentally incapable of competence. EVERYTHING is political and politicized. Hiring is almost never done on the basis of actual job skills, because you start with politicians who hire th...

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by seabosdca
Tue May 14, 2019 5:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar airways is drastically simplifying its fleet (plan)
Replies: 59
Views: 16106

Re: Qatar airways is drastically simplifying its fleet (plan)

You can't apply normal fleet planning ideas to QR. For as long as the current, well, disagreement between Qatar and essentially all of its Arabian Peninsula neighbors persists, there will be a geopolitical imperative for QR to continue ordering aircraft from both Airbus and Boeing at a rapid pace. N...

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by seabosdca
Tue May 14, 2019 4:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS Fleet Repaint Thread
Replies: 786
Views: 174511

Re: Alaska Airlines repaints Airbus fleet

So... a one-year-old aircraft with a brand-new interior and paint job looked immaculate? Shocking, if true.

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by seabosdca
Thu May 09, 2019 6:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

I don't find this conversation off topic at all, as it provides a nice window into one of the (many) categories of analysis QF will need to do in order to make an informed decision between A350 and 777X.

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by seabosdca
Wed May 08, 2019 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

Sharpen your pencils everyone, this is a high profile campaign that will be brutal. I would be shocked if QF isn't taking the opportunity to expand the bid to get the best A350 (various models) vs. 778/779/787 (various models possible). In other words, QF can cut the costs of fleet replacement due ...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 08, 2019 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair considers A321neo and possible all-Airbus fleet
Replies: 140
Views: 22899

Re: Icelandair considers A321neo and possible all-Airbus fleet

I still have doubts that they can hold on until 2025. Furthermore, even if they can this pre supposes that EIS of 2025 is guaranteed and that they are at the front of the queue. This sounds like a high risk strategy. This is where commercial terms can help. The risk associated with operating aging ...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 08, 2019 7:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair considers A321neo and possible all-Airbus fleet
Replies: 140
Views: 22899

Re: Icelandair considers A321neo and possible all-Airbus fleet

I said before I and I still think that this is heavy pressure being applied on Boeing about NMA. The A330 is too much airplane, and an all-A321 fleet would leave revenue on the table in some markets (although it would be very flexible). If the A321 were enough to optimize revenue, we would never hav...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 08, 2019 3:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 767: Fuselage size always limited profitability??
Replies: 85
Views: 10298

Re: Boeing 767: Fuselage size always limited profitability??

The 767 is what it is because of the available engines of the time. The first widebody twins had to be designed around the level of thrust available from 747 Classic/DC-10/L-1011 engines. An 8-abreast twin would have ended up as essentially a copy of the A300/A310, which were never able to develop t...

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by seabosdca
Tue May 07, 2019 6:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

The right outcome is far from obvious here and there is no "obvious choice." Anyone saying there is, IMO, has blinders on. These are two quite different products with different advantages. The differences encompass both the ULH-specific variant that has been proposed for Project Sunrise (A...

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by seabosdca
Mon May 06, 2019 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL, why no B77W?
Replies: 57
Views: 12557

Re: DL, why no B77W?

Motorhussy wrote:
Is the 77W still being offered?


They've sold a few so far in 2019, and I wouldn't think there would be any reason to quit offering them in the short term, while interior parts are still being made (there are still quite a few left on order). The 77F will be available for a while, too.

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by seabosdca
Mon May 06, 2019 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1333
Views: 230377

Re: Airbus and Boeing meet Qantas Project Sunrise challenge, RFP to be completed by end of 2019

Boy, this thread seems to have attracted the fanboys. I think Qantas is very conservative in fleet planning. My personal guess is that 20-25 A359 will be added to replace the above fleet. And then add 10 or so B777-8 for Project sunrise and to replace the VLAs. If Qantas is to order 15 A35K for proj...

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by seabosdca
Sat May 04, 2019 6:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russia's Utair in trouble
Replies: 23
Views: 6958

Re: Russia's Utair in trouble

All of this is entirely consistent with the strongman's apparent desire to recreate the conditions of the Soviet Union.

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by seabosdca
Fri May 03, 2019 8:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Update on PAE (Everett) Commercial Passenger Service
Replies: 233
Views: 34151

Re: Update on PAE (Everett) Commercial Passenger Service

BoeingGuy wrote:
Anecdotally, I’ve heard that many of the AS PAE flights are going out fairly full. Is that correct?


Also anecdotal, but I understand the same thing, and that for many (not all) flights AS is commanding pretty good fares.

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by seabosdca
Fri May 03, 2019 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing NMA planning - Will Airbus just sitting on their hands?
Replies: 91
Views: 14238

Re: Boeing NMA planning - Will Airbus just sitting on their hands?

I strongly doubt the MAX situation has changed Boeing's 797 strategy. But I'm sure it has changed the public-relations approach. Boeing is not in a position to crow about anything, either publicly or to external partners, until the MAX is back in the air. And because I don't think Boeing's approach ...

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by seabosdca
Fri May 03, 2019 7:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL, why no B77W?
Replies: 57
Views: 12557

Re: DL, why no B77W?

Acquiring a few 77W as 744 replacements would have been easy enough, but the green eyeshades decided that the airline could make more money with A350s. That's pretty much it. I'm sure the flexibility of smaller aircraft played a part in that calculation, but I'm also sure that attractive pricing fro...

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by seabosdca
Fri May 03, 2019 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Update on PAE (Everett) Commercial Passenger Service
Replies: 233
Views: 34151

Re: Update on PAE (Everett) Commercial Passenger Service

dc10lover wrote:
This is what I thought. Probably never see Airbus & Boeing jets at PAE.


I doubt UA will have the volume. But AS is a different story. If I had to bet, I'd bet on a 738 or two at PAE, sooner rather than later.

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by seabosdca
Thu May 02, 2019 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QR to withdraw its A346 fleet
Replies: 38
Views: 11891

Re: QR to withdraw its A346 fleet

Perhaps the best widebody ever in terms of passenger experience. A shame that it couldn't remain competitive. We can blame two things: 1) excessive airframe weight (largely thanks to stretching this cross section a bit farther than it should have gone) and 2) the orphan engines, which became expensi...

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by seabosdca
Thu May 02, 2019 7:42 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: MD88/MD90/B712 Love/Hate Relationship
Replies: 73
Views: 6952

Re: MD88/MD90/B712 Love/Hate Relationship

The pressurization system can easily keep up with the sort of tiny leak that would allow a bit of rain into the pilots' laps. It's the same sort of leak that used to result in the disgusting tar/nicotine streaks all over the outside of aircraft back when stinky death tubes were allowed on board.

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by seabosdca
Thu May 02, 2019 9:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: JAL takes delivery of its 1st Airbus (A350)
Replies: 164
Views: 3590

Re: JAL announces first A350 route

Evelop Air a359 is configured for single class 432 passengeres, this must makes the a359 a 10 hour aircraft then..... Compared to a typical long-haul configuration of ~275 passengers, the 432-passenger configuration would knock off somewhere between 2.5 and 3 hours of range. It's still easily a 13-...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 01, 2019 10:07 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: MD88/MD90/B712 Love/Hate Relationship
Replies: 73
Views: 6952

Re: MD88/MD90/B712 Love/Hate Relationship

The 717 has a ton of thrust, so it gets off the ground very quickly. But the wing is the original DC-9-30 wing and is a bit undersized by today's standards, so up higher where the engines aren't developing as much thrust it isn't a particularly good climber. In general, thrust makes for fun takeoffs...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 01, 2019 12:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific's Airbus A350-1000s and upcoming Boeing 777-9Xs
Replies: 62
Views: 16000

Re: Cathay Pacific's Airbus A350-1000s and upcoming Boeing 777-9Xs

Both 778 and 779 are more expensive to buy than the A35K. So you buy the 779 if you want the extra pax revenu the larger/longer cabin offers on the A35K. You buy the 778 if you really, really, really need the extra lift. By the way, that is why airbus is getting ready to put new, more efficient eng...

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by seabosdca
Wed May 01, 2019 12:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Delta A330neo Rolls Out Of Paintshop
Replies: 104
Views: 32658

Re: First Delta A330neo Rolls Out Of Paintshop

Those wing extensions and big fans... so pretty.

That raccoon mask... so dreadful.

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by seabosdca
Tue Apr 30, 2019 11:03 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Buying a ticket to an unknown destination and airline sends you where they want.
Replies: 21
Views: 3094

Re: Buying a ticket to an unknown destination and airline sends you where they want.

In this era of limited hotel supply in many places, you better hope you can find a place to stay!

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by seabosdca
Tue Apr 30, 2019 10:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tim Clark: Emirates is planning its network without the A380
Replies: 78
Views: 19265

Re: Tim Clark: Emirates is planning its network without the A380

So this likely means we are going to see A380s returned steadily over the 2020s, and retreating slowly into the most heavily slot-constrained routes. Given that those are also the most premium routes (for the most part), I will admit to more than a bit of curiosity about how EK will approach the iss...

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by seabosdca
Mon Apr 29, 2019 10:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: JAL takes delivery of its 1st Airbus (A350)
Replies: 164
Views: 3590

Re: JAL announces first A350 route

That red winglet is just outstanding. That's the best-looking A350 to date.

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by seabosdca
Mon Apr 29, 2019 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?
Replies: 314
Views: 55236

Re: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?

It's the other way around. You can't disprove expected performance (ACAPS) with a few single data points. It is like saying climate change is false because today's and two weeks ago's temperature was 5 degree below average. This is right. ACAPS documents are never identical to the real world, but i...

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by seabosdca
Fri Apr 26, 2019 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 747 Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 117
Views: 29265

Re: 747 Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

Any recent activity for LN 1435 (Lufthansa NTU)? I know there had been speculation that it would be used for testing in connection with the VC-25B program.

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by seabosdca
Fri Apr 26, 2019 4:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Widebody Thread - 2019
Replies: 729
Views: 143014

Re: Delta Widebody Thread - 2019

NWADTWE16 wrote:
Everything I hear internally is that Delta has zero plans to buy any Boeing planes in the near future so they are likely playing with pricing to get better costs on A321LR XLR and A359/1000


I'm sure a few pilots and miscellaneous middle managers are better informed about Delta's plans than the CEO.

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by seabosdca
Thu Apr 25, 2019 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Widebody Thread - 2019
Replies: 729
Views: 143014

Re: Delta Widebody Thread - 2019

Bastian has made clear on a million occasions that he's constantly talking to Boeing about the 7 9 7. Something will have to go badly wrong for Delta not to be a 797 launch customer, whenever the launch may be. On the other hand, a 7 8 7 order would be a shock at this exact moment. Delta already has...

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by seabosdca
Thu Apr 25, 2019 5:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2019 Orders
Replies: 182
Views: 52297

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2019 Orders

Sounds like a pretty decent opportunity for Boeing to turn Aeroflot's moribund 787 order into some good news for the MAX.

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by seabosdca
Thu Apr 25, 2019 4:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS’s Airbus network post VX
Replies: 85
Views: 10814

Re: AS’s Airbus network post VX

All I'm saying is that, while AS has (imo) the best FA's and best customer service in the industry, I think their management is squandering the advantages they do have. If you move to the West Coast and aren't familiar with Alaska -- what compels you to book with them over Delta, United, or Southwe...

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by seabosdca
Thu Apr 25, 2019 4:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS’s Airbus network post VX
Replies: 85
Views: 10814

Re: AS’s Airbus network post VX

Let's get real about lie-flats. There are only two domestic markets in the US that can comfortably support them: NYC-LAX and NYC-SFO. Other transcon markets (including anywhere from WAS, BOS, SEA, or SAN) are marginal with lie-flats and much better suited to a traditional domestic F product. And AS ...

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by seabosdca
Thu Apr 25, 2019 1:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery released
Replies: 1781
Views: 356592

Re: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery released

Much better in daylight! I hope they decide to accept the small fuel burn penalty associated with painting the 787 engines.

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by seabosdca
Thu Apr 25, 2019 12:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?
Replies: 314
Views: 55236

Re: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored!?

I conceded that the range of DL 275t is around 6800nm (with full pax), which is about 7825 miles. This agrees with the range on DL's website, 8000 miles. What is the problem? I am arguing that an 8000 miles of still-air range is not enough to fly LAX-SYD in real world, unless with some seats blocke...

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by seabosdca
Wed Apr 24, 2019 8:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?
Replies: 314
Views: 55236

Re: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored!?

Again, just to clear up all doubt and misinformation: With the 275 t uprate, the A350 can carry a full passenger load with zero issues on any route in the Delta network except JNB-ATL. It doesn't have the cargo hauling ability above 5500 nm that the 77L does, but that would not have come as a surpri...

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by seabosdca
Wed Apr 24, 2019 5:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russia planning to build IL96-500T to transport oversized cargo
Replies: 9
Views: 2726

Re: Russia planning to build IL96-500T to transport oversized cargo

So they are going to take a 90 t midsize freighter, powered by four 757-class engines, and have it replace a 150 t high-wing heavy lifter? Good luck with that. The replacement for the An-124 on most missions is the 747-8, which at least has comparable payload, although not comparable loading capabil...

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by seabosdca
Wed Apr 24, 2019 4:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery released
Replies: 1781
Views: 356592

Re: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery released

Not particularly inspiring but not offensive either. Which makes it an appropriate update to the old globe livery, which was exactly the same when introduced but has gotten stale.

Looking forward to seeing this on a new A350.

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by seabosdca
Tue Apr 23, 2019 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?
Replies: 314
Views: 55236

Re: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored!?

Delta ordered its A350s with 268 t MTOW, which cuts something like 550 nm off the plane's range. That turned out to be penny wise and pound foolish, so Delta upgraded to 275 t MTOW, the maximum on the first 12 aircraft (the 13th and later builds will be capable of 280 t MTOW). At 275 t the A350 can ...

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by seabosdca
Tue Apr 23, 2019 10:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific's Airbus A350-1000s and upcoming Boeing 777-9Xs
Replies: 62
Views: 16000

Re: Cathay Pacific's Airbus A350-1000s and upcoming Boeing 777-9Xs

Well Boeing planes usually have better payload/range than Airbus ones. If Zeke can answer, I read here that Delta is pissed their A350-900XWB with 306 seats can't fly full payload LAX-SYD (which is shorter than HKG-IAD) due to south-bound headwinds. This is even after DL upped all their A350's to 2...

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by seabosdca
Tue Apr 23, 2019 4:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific's Airbus A350-1000s and upcoming Boeing 777-9Xs
Replies: 62
Views: 16000

Re: Cathay Pacific's Airbus A350-1000s and upcoming Boeing 777-9Xs

The question of 77W replacement is an interesting one because of timing. The bulk of 77W replacements will happen starting in the mid-2020s. With the versions currently on the market, the competition would mostly be about whether airlines want to grow capacity a bit or stay the same. In that environ...

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