Search found 1665 matches

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by DavidByrne
Thu May 28, 2020 7:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

Times have changed but I simply don’t accept that there won’t be 50% less international flying (in a years time). I beg to differ because the market will be a slow long recovery it won't bounce back straight away in a year. Foran was expecting it to take 2 years to get back and recently pointed out...

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by DavidByrne
Thu May 28, 2020 7:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68905

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

Across the Tasman, we in NZ fully expect eradication, and relatively soon. As of today we are down to just 8 active cases. Admittedly, without land borders, the job is so much easier. But when it comes to air travel to and from Australia, there’s no appetite here to open up to places where the virus...

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by DavidByrne
Sat May 23, 2020 11:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

Unclekoru wrote:
It looks like the cabin was reconfigured on a number of occasions (1969 and 1975 plus one other time that I have been unable to locate). I don't believe that the 5 abreast seating lasted too long.

IIRC the NAC 737-200 originally had a seating capacity of just 90 in 5-abreast configuration.

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by DavidByrne
Sat May 23, 2020 7:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

AT. Is also planning a link from New Lynn to the airport, it's written into their 2018 10-year plan. In 2018 it was proposed that this would start from next year, but given the covid-19 cost overruns and a much lower demand to and from the airport, it would not surprise me if it was delayed a little...

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by DavidByrne
Sat May 23, 2020 4:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

But it would probably face some sort of legal challenge (on what grounds I've no idea) from Skybus, who wouldn't just roll over and cede their patronage. More likely that Skybus will find survival tough and ask to be let in to the AT network, but even that seems less likely than keeping their indep...

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by DavidByrne
Sat May 23, 2020 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

Is there anything that would prevent AT from operating there own service to AKL? Or would that be in breach of some hand shake agreements ? Surely AT could extend 2 per hour of its Mount Eden Services onto the Domestic terminal, and probably get good loads. Not sure about the obstacles where you ma...

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by DavidByrne
Fri May 22, 2020 9:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

Then they aren’t making it simple to get to the airport, SkyBus still isn’t operating (hopefully an reason for them to have there contract axed). AKL isn’t doing any parking deals, Park and Ride is closed. The faster than New Zealand moves to Level 1 one, the better than chance of us still having a...

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by DavidByrne
Mon May 18, 2020 9:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 56450

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

Qantas has multiple routes where the 777LR has its peak advantage. Melbourne and Sydney are really tge only two cities that have multiple destinnations between 8000nm and 9000nm to take full advantage of the 777LR. With low fuel prices there is no disadvantages at all. Yet somehow the idiots in QF ...

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by DavidByrne
Sun May 17, 2020 9:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

It’s the same with the ferries. With one sailing a day, they’re sold out weeks in advance. How can Kiwis travel domestically and support tourism if there’s no seats, or at least at reasonable rates? I guess it depends on what you think are "reasonable" rates. IMO we have become used to un...

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by DavidByrne
Thu May 14, 2020 12:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68905

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

Am I the only one who thinks that it's completely fanciful for VA v2.0 to have a long haul network? Or that any of the potential bidders will seriously buy into the idea of a fleet of eight new 787s to operate it? Or that the chances of having both VA v2.0 AND and an expanded ZL both carve out a suc...

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by DavidByrne
Thu May 07, 2020 1:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Odd Qantas/Air N. Zealand DC8 flight in early 80s?
Replies: 26
Views: 4091

Re: Odd Qantas/Air N. Zealand DC8 flight in early 80s?

Didn't the Australian domestic carriers TN and AN also have flights to New Zealand at some point (I think the early 1980s), but which had to carry QF flight numbers, and only on odd routes, like HBA to WLG? I am sure I read that in Ansett: the Story of the Rise and Fall of Ansett by Stewart Wilson....

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by DavidByrne
Tue May 05, 2020 9:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wideroe dash8 STOL replacement: ATR S series?
Replies: 35
Views: 4161

Re: Wideroe dash8 STOL replacement: ATR S series?

IIRC I read Air NZ and ATR are collaborating on the development of a hybrid electric aircraft. Does anyone have any details of this?

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by DavidByrne
Tue May 05, 2020 9:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68905

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

What would need to be considered once going further than an Australia-New Zealand bubble is that everyone agrees. For example, if Australia and New Zealand is expanded to include Vanuatu, great. If Vanuatu want to also include Fiji but New Zealand doesn't, what happens then? Kick Vanuatu out? Tough...

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by DavidByrne
Tue May 05, 2020 7:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

South America generally looks like a pretty poor bet for the medium term. A combination of the virus, political instability (esp in the case of Brazil) and tanking economies to me suggests that NZ is better off deploying its resources elsewhere. I'm personally very sad about this but it is pretty we...

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by DavidByrne
Sun May 03, 2020 3:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

I would expect by the end of 2021, and fleet of: - 789s - A320/321 - ATR 72-600S Maybe the owned 77W might be spared, if an option comes out to convert then to 777-300ER-BCF's Not sure why everyone is so keen to see the back of the Q300s. Seems logical to me that if there is a requirement to mainta...

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by DavidByrne
Sun May 03, 2020 3:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

ok this might sound a bit silly but here it goes. Have been reading a lot about VA & how it might be restarting but in a smaller form in 3 or 4 months. QF & JQ won't be able to handle pent up demand. Alliance can provide a few services with spare Fokkers, but surely NZ should look at sendin...

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by DavidByrne
Sun May 03, 2020 12:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 217
Views: 27882

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2020

I would totally support returning to government control and it would bring me back as an NZ customer. NZ is a key fundamental facet of our national and international infrastructure. In my opinion this is at odds with the airline's dual role as a revenue generating machine for shareholders. Sorry, b...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Apr 27, 2020 6:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/121295428/quarantine-and-contact-tracing-what-the-transtasman-bubble-might-look-like But in the latest update, Jactina is hinting that on the New Zealand side the 14 day isolation period would still apply! It will be a progressive loosening, not j...

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by DavidByrne
Sun Apr 26, 2020 5:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Australia needs to get its own states to allow people to travel between the two , before we if start to start about the idea of traveling to Australia again (if they let us back in this year). Then you would probably want to go oneway, as it likely New Zealand would still want to isolate you for 14...

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by DavidByrne
Sun Apr 26, 2020 1:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

NZ might not return to Bali for a while either with the Covid situation there: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/04/nations-plan-coronavirus-live-updates-200424232518547.html Hence my thoughts about the potential of NZ'S SYD-RAR route. In 2019, Australian arrivals were around 550 a week on averag...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Apr 25, 2020 2:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

I enjoy reading this thread but I'm sensing there is a high degree of optimism amongst some that things are going to return to normal sometime soon. I.just can't see it.There'll be flights ( and airlines ) that never come back. I agree. There’s a sense of unreality in what people are thinking and p...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Apr 22, 2020 6:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

I personally think they will start with LAX/SFO possibly 2 daily to LAX daily to SFO with 789s plus Whatever UA do to SFO and as demand grows maybe LAX drops back to 1 daily or 10 weekly with the 77W coming back then to allow a 3-5 weekly 789 to IAH to restart. I think that’s wildly optimistic. The...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Apr 18, 2020 11:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Just a query to the mods: in this current environment, where governments are desperately trying to find a way to save their respective airlines, isn't EVERYTHING right now about politics? Where ownership of VA in particular is being discussed and government-supported airlines from authoritarian sta...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Apr 18, 2020 10:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Just a query to the mods: in this current environment, where governments are desperately trying to find a way to save their respective airlines, isn't EVERYTHING right now about politics? Where ownership of VA in particular is being discussed and government-supported airlines from authoritarian stat...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Apr 18, 2020 3:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

I'm interested to understand why VA had no success with the ATR-72 as an aircraft. It's ideal for short-haul operations, and reportedly burns significantly less fuel than the Q400 (though is slower). NZ uses them highly successfully on many of its regional domestic operations on stage lengths up to ...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Apr 15, 2020 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Why is everyone being so quick to say they will pull the plug on EWR? I doubt that NZ will be quick to pull the plug on EWR altogether, not least because it obviously sees it as its flagship route (as NZ1 and 2). Having said that, it's almost certain to be delayed significantly. When capacity start...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Apr 14, 2020 9:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Could an Qantas / Virgin merger be on the cards? If it was the last option? . . . Surely it would be in the Australian governments favour to reduce job losses in the airline industry in Australia. How does a merger help either carrier? Yes, you could saddle QF-VA with the debts of both airlines, bu...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Apr 14, 2020 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Excellent analysis here from timtam. The one thing that appears to be missing from this discussion though is whether any "Vv2" would actually be a viable business in the long term, let alone the medium term. If the future prospects of global aviation are as bleak as many (including IATA) a...

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by DavidByrne
Sun Apr 12, 2020 1:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

TBH I don’t think quite a few airlines know what they are doing, however EK are being very optimistic with their overall schedule. I'd say they're just trying to save as much as money as they possible can but also preparing themselves for hitting the go button almost immediately if not slightly bef...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Apr 11, 2020 8:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Who knows? Perhaps Emirates even know what they're doing?

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by DavidByrne
Sat Apr 11, 2020 6:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Emirates latest updates Both DXB-AKL and DXB-SYD-CHC will return 1 Jun 20, both with A380's DXB-DPS-AKL cancelled till 1 Sep 20, previously was to return 1 Jul 20 Hmm, they say that now, but I will believe it when I see it. If we manage to eradicate Covid-19 here in Aotearoa/New Zealand , then I fo...

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by DavidByrne
Fri Apr 10, 2020 3:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Right now there is 1 QF737 airborne in all of Australia Which should indicate the VA shutdown is as much an industry issue (QF shutdown anyone?), and not just VA is screwed. There simply is no demand, so why fly planes with no pax. The question is not whether the VA shutdown means the carrier won't...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Apr 09, 2020 1:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Isn't there in any event a medium term plan to centralise most ATC with "virtual" control towers?

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by DavidByrne
Thu Apr 09, 2020 1:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

A recent report by CAPA (no giggles please) in defence of keeping VA alive has been roasted: https://www.anthonyklan.com/aviation Anthony Klan is like a dog with a bone on this. And good on him. There are a few too many supposedly 'independent' sources which are often quoted in the media and seen b...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Speaking of airports with two sealed runways even Hokitika has two. Come on Auckland pull your socks up you are being upstaged by the little guy!!! Neither CHC nor HKK have a second runway because of traffic, but because of crosswind operations. To compare those with the AKL situation is like compa...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

... acting during the downturn rather than waiting until the market has returned in 5-10 years and we in the same dilemma we were in Dec-Feb. Even if the above points don't actually eventuate, there's an unprecedented amount of uncertainty, so it's reasonable for AIAL to have halted the second runw...

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by DavidByrne
Fri Apr 03, 2020 4:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 117232

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Interesting the article seems to completely ignore the existence of COVID-19 and assumes all will be normal operations in 2021. Geoffrey Thomas doesn't post here under the username VV does he? It's clear that many aviation commentators are not at all tuned to the economics, politics or human psycho...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Apr 02, 2020 11:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

It's an hard one - if we we're to test crew/passengers are every single flight normally can you image the amount of virus that people would be testing positive for daily? I would say normally 1000s of people a day would be arriving in to New Zealand with some form of sickness, e.g. how many times h...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Worrying news for air pax and crew: eight cabin crew and deadheading pilots on an AC transatlantic flight tested positive for Covid-19. This despite cabin crew wearing gloves and washing hands frequently and minimising interactions with passengers. We’ve already heard about NZ crew also affected; if...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 10:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 56450

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

Realistically, we’re not going to see much in the way of international air travel in the next 3 months, minimum. At best, we may see some recovery start in 4 to 6 months. But this will be determined by both the management of viral infections as well as the global economy. People out of work and ban...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 9:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

committing to large scale projects or investments at the bottom of the wave is high risk but also the time where you can get the best value for money This is the absolute nub of the issue: will businesses (ANY businesses) have the appetite and financial leverage to persuade lenders to give them mon...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 12:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39397

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Not splitting hairs, CHC-SIN as one example is part of the 30% and other carriers may(??) return. Also 30% can be measured many many different ways. Borrowing while interest rates are extremely low and construction costs are also low is also a very wise which means a great time to build. C'mon, you...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 56450

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

Do you expect the situation to remain the same in 2023? Who can tell? I can’t, you can’t. No responsible business is going to make commitments for several years in the future until the future is considerably more certain. Besides PS will be the absolute last thing on the QF board’s mind right now. ...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 56450

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

VV wrote:
So, what prevents them for ordering it now?

If you’re still asking that question you must have your head in the sand. Read today’s announcement by NZ and then think about what QF’s equivalent statement will look like.

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 4:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41545

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

[NZ has, after all, just handed them a likely more than 30% cushion in terms of traffic. 30% doesn't mean a 30% decrease in AKL movements That 30% is 30% of the overall airline and just one airline for AIAL OK, OK then, if we are going to split hairs: NZ has just handed them a “substantial” cushion...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 2:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41545

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

NZ6 wrote:
Based on some outcomes being suggested, it does beg the question why only 30% reduction is needed. There seems to be a real conflict there somewhere.

Foran said that it would be "at least" a 30% reduction. You might be surprised to know that I thought it would be less than that!

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by DavidByrne
Tue Mar 31, 2020 1:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41545

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

I think we all agree that there wont be cash avaliable for a purchase of any part of Auckland airport by public entities. well have to borrow quite a fair bit as it stands and the publics appetite to borrow for purchasing the airport, I dont see. BUT the government dont need to purchase anything. T...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Mar 30, 2020 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41545

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

And as for a second runway at AKL - that's now pie-in-the-sky for the foreseeable future. AIAL will have many more pressing concerns for a good number of years (like how to balance the books) than worrying about mega-dollar investments. And don't hold your breath for a new terminal either: that wil...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Mar 30, 2020 10:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41545

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

That is a real shame but not to be unexpected with the current situation. It's gonna get very crowded soon on the ramp at Christchurch with already 8 320s parked up on the post apron and 5 more 77Es coming down the deep freeze area won't be big enough to accommodate them all. I'm hearing gates will...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Mar 30, 2020 10:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41545

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

It's not that you've been saying these things.... it's to the extent you've been saying them. You're rightly or wrongly expressing an absolute worst possible case scenario. Hey I don't mean to upset people by offering negative scenarios. I just call it the way I see it, just as everyone else does o...

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