Search found 8488 matches

by PPVRA
Sun May 24, 2020 3:59 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 118
Views: 6962

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog ... t-covid-19
-->

Apparently melatonin may be able to help fight off the inflammation attack:

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog ... t-covid-19

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Wed May 20, 2020 2:20 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Is it possible that a treatment drug could be widely available to the public this summer? I know that a vaccine is most likely coming only in late 2020 or early 2021. But if there is a viable cure rolled out soon (during the next few months), many of the world's industries could reopen to a close t...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Mon May 18, 2020 8:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://harvardmagazine.com/2020/05/r-nought

Somewhat alarming headline but read on. It’s pretty good info for the layman.
-->

Good article that puts epidemiological modeling and the concepts of R0 and herd immunity into perspective.

https://harvardmagazine.com/2020/05/r-nought

Somewhat alarming headline but read on. It’s pretty good info for the layman.

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sun May 17, 2020 8:31 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: We need to reopen now!

Point 1/ Yes there are vast areas of the US where nobody has the virius, nobody knows anyone who has had it. The same can be said for where I live in Eastern Germany. Yes there are protests here, from the far left and far right. 2/ If every Govenment reacted properly to this, in a timey fashion the...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 16, 2020 1:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in Sweden in 2020, by age groups (as of May 15, 2020) https://www.statista.com/statistics/1107905/number-of-coronavirus-cases-in-sweden-by-age-groups/ A roughly even spread between those over 60 and under 60. Much better than Italy and Spain, where the majority...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Fri May 15, 2020 2:48 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Looks like in the US, the majority of confirmed cases are in people aged less than 65 years old. See "Cases by Age": https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html This keeps hospitalization and death rates lower, while building herd immunity in the younger popula...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Thu May 14, 2020 12:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Even developing countries with terrible economy and not much money manage to feed their populace during lock downs, sometimes by direct food drop off at the doorstep I’m not aware of such logistical endeavors, but it’s dubious it would work, especially in a developing country. If for no other reaso...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Thu May 14, 2020 12:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

funny how that works here without even stay at home orders, and without shuttering the economy, and most people still going to work every day. Of course we got masks and disinfectant everywhere, and distancing rules and what not, and didn´t have it spiral out of control in the first place..... If p...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Thu May 14, 2020 3:41 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Looks like Spain is actually estimating 5% of people already had the disease, not 10%. First of all, that is a depressingly low number of immunity given the high death toll they’ve had. A look through their numbers on their Wikipedia response page shows a very large percentage of cases (confirmed ca...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Wed May 13, 2020 5:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Spain’s population: 47 million

10% is 4.7 million

Spain Confirmed: 229,000

That’s 1 in 20 cases actually discovered.

For reference, GLOBAL confirmed cases: 4.3 million

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Wed May 13, 2020 5:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Here in spain they’ve tested a large group of people and the infection rate results look to be low, like less than 10%. So the talk of loads of people having it and not knowing it might not be true. According to what I’m reading, Spain has 229,000 confirmed cases. If just under 10% or so of Spain’s...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue May 12, 2020 10:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

South Korea’s Coronavirus Efforts Spark Privacy Concerns in Gay Community Responding to fresh outbreak, health officials have sought to track down thousands of Seoul nightclub patrons, many of whom fear being outed https://www.wsj.com/articles/south-koreas-coronavirus-efforts-spark-privacy-concerns-...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue May 12, 2020 2:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

The old embargo argument, while a legitimate argument, has always been wrong. And this is plainly obvious to everybody in Latin America now—just look at Venezuela. Everybody knows Venezuela descended into a economic and democratic disaster by pursuing Cuban-like policies WITHOUT ever being subjected...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue May 12, 2020 2:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

You know that infant mortality rates and maternal (first couple of months) mortality rates go hand in hand. Medical care in Cuba is second to none. Ask (experts) Americans, Britts, Russians and they all agree. Cuban medical care is as good as it can be. Everything else we can discuss and most of it...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 11:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

“Over the weekend, police in London said they were “losing the battle” in parks as hundreds of people ignored social distancing rules to enjoy the Bank Holiday weekend sunshine. Pictures on social media showed large groups of people sat on the grass eating pizza and drinking beer as the police looke...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 12:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

I just worrry that we will rush Phase 2 and be in even deeper trouble. I noticed today in the US as I went around that more people were out and about and there are more gatherings in driveways of people hanging out . Couple that with day cares reopening and people going back to work that probably d...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 12:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

Sure. Costa Rica (twice GDP per capita as Cuba), Puerto Rico (4 times), Uruguay (3 times) and Chile (twice again). Do you understand what punching above their weight means now? Even focusing on a single metric doesn't make much of a dent of their claim to have a system with developed country outcom...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 2:45 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

They have half of Brazil's rate and a third of that of the Dominican republic. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_maternal_mortality_ratio Again, they punch way above their weight. A few other Latin American counties right around And even ahead of Cuba’s numbers in that list. Sure...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 2:43 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

See, for example, how well Cuba does on infant mortality rates. Everybody likes looking at infant mortality rates. Now, apparently they don’t put anywhere near as much effort on their maternal mortality rates.... You know that infant mortality rates and maternal (first couple of months) mortality r...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sun May 10, 2020 7:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://www.apple.com/covid19/mobility
-->

Apple’s version of location/quarantine data:

https://www.apple.com/covid19/mobility

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sun May 10, 2020 2:54 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://youtu.be/x8J9CvgB1AE
-->

Great interview with Sweden’s Dr. Anders Tegnell:

https://youtu.be/x8J9CvgB1AE

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 11:29 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

With the relaxed social distancing guidelines across most of the states, the US will be under close watch for the next two weeks. As will every other country. This isn't just a US thing. All round the world leaders are tripping over each other not to be the last to relax their lockdowns. That would...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 10:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

Cuba punches way above their weight in whatever health-related indicator you want to choose. They're a massive outlier on a world where every other country correlates health outcomes with GDP. Compare for example with the Dominican republic. Same climate, same region, similar GDP and population siz...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 7:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

I’m not a fan of the Bible thumpers either, but they do a lot of actually helpful things, too.

For one, lookup Samaritan’s Purse and the field hospital they set up in Italy (and another in NY) and the highly qualified staff of American and Canadian doctors they sent.

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 7:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

This is from the year 2000, but it has been a similar story recently in Brazil: “ The test was actually revised twice. After more than 90 percent of the immigrant doctors failed the modified exam when they first took it last May, the state rewrote it again and translated it into Spanish. Again, more...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 7:07 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

RIO DE JANEIRO — In a rare act of collective defiance, scores of Cuban doctors working overseas to make money for their families and their country are suing to break ranks with the Cuban government, demanding to be released from what one judge called a “form of slave labor.” https://www.nytimes.com/...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 6:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

Cuba has also shrewdly used 'medical diplomacy' for a long time, including in this Covid crisis. Really, at the end of the Cold War, when the economic lifeline from the USSR was fraying, then severed, the US had a great opportunity to mend fences, entirely. If Castro wanted. Not to come in and take...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 6:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

See, for example, how well Cuba does on infant mortality rates. Everybody likes looking at infant mortality rates. Now, apparently they don’t put anywhere near as much effort on their maternal mortality rates.... Cuba punches way above their weight in whatever health-related indicator you want to c...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 5:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

See, for example, how well Cuba does on infant mortality rates. Everybody likes looking at infant mortality rates.

Now, apparently they don’t put anywhere near as much effort on their maternal mortality rates....

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 4:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2864

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

Given the sheer ignorance of some on here, small wonder you got in the mire so badly and not just in Latin America, SE Asia too. Chavez went off the deep end true, however that was after a botched US backed coup. For people in Chile, Sept 11th is a day when things turned dark and 1000's would die, ...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 3:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 India Lockdown Thread
Replies: 266
Views: 14921

Re: Coronavirus India lockdown thread

Reason I ask is because flu season in warm places tends to happen around the wet season (summer not winter). I had a second post on here describing this, I don’t know why it was deleted? Anyways, looks like India has some time still until monsoon season to prepare for a possible increase in hospital...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Sat May 09, 2020 12:09 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 India Lockdown Thread
Replies: 266
Views: 14921

Re: Coronavirus India lockdown thread

How’s the monsoon season going to affect India in this pandemic?

I imagine people gathering indoors to stay away from the rain... kinda like winter. Doesn’t seem like a good thing.

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Fri May 08, 2020 11:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-52360452


Friend of mine in Austria got a hair cut earlier this week.
-->

Denmark opened hair dressers two weeks ago, apparently.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-52360452


Friend of mine in Austria got a hair cut earlier this week.

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Fri May 08, 2020 10:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Europe is also opening up. Also slowly.

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Fri May 08, 2020 6:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/f ... le/2763188
-->

“In Lombardy, the precrisis total ICU capacity was approximately 720 beds (2.9% of total hospital beds at a total of 74 hospitals); these ICUs usually have 85% to 90% occupancy during the winter months.”

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/f ... le/2763188

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Thu May 07, 2020 9:29 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion
Replies: 197
Views: 8861

Re: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion

Seems like a clear cut case. The explanations don’t make any sense, at least from what I’ve seen. Really sad all around.

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Thu May 07, 2020 2:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: No open borders for New Zealand anytime soon
Replies: 52
Views: 2187

Re: No open borders for New Zealand anytime soon

No better timing to remain isolated from the world than your local flu season. Lucky timing there.

The question for the northern hemisphere is whether it’s such a great idea to remain in lockdown for 6 months prior to the start of the next flu season.

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Wed May 06, 2020 6:40 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://youtu.be/vrL9QKGQrWk
-->

Very interesting interview with Prof. Hendrik Streeck, from the University of Bonn. Interview covers case fatality rate in a German county, lockdowns, and his long run outlook for this disease.

https://youtu.be/vrL9QKGQrWk

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue May 05, 2020 10:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

MY SPECULATION about Sweden: The virus is likely spreading fast among the younger, less vulnerable population. The old and frail and are protected. This means they have high rates of contagion with low death rates, because the virus is not spreading quickly among those likely to die. This was not t...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue May 05, 2020 8:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

MY SPECULATION about Sweden: The virus is likely spreading fast among the younger, less vulnerable population. The old and frail and are protected. This means they have high rates of contagion with low death rates, because the virus is not spreading quickly among those likely to die. This was not t...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue May 05, 2020 8:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23925

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

MY SPECULATION about Sweden: The virus is likely spreading fast among the younger, less vulnerable population. The old and frail are protected. This means they have high rates of contagion with low death rates, because the virus is not spreading quickly among those likely to die. This was not the ca...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

I suppose I don't what graphic you are referring to, but in Sweden, deaths per 1 million in population is currently at 233. The number can only go up, it cannot go down. That is not deaths per 1 million tests, that is deaths per 1 million population. By contract, Denmark's is 75 deaths per 1 millio...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

It makes no sense to divide deaths per population when it comes to a disease that not every person in that population has yet contracted. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case_fatality_rate FYI it’s not deaths per million total tests, it’s only the confirmed positive tests that count. Things is, it do...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

I see it stepping up each week, with yesterday being the exception. Higher lows, and higher highs each week. It will remain to be seen as the trending cases is still going higher in Sweden Hospitalizations show a clear decline as does new daily deaths. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 9:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Looking at daily new cases: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/ It shows that weekly cycle, with a record amount of new cases every friday (excep for April 17th). If this was to show new cases on a weekly basis, a sharp increase would be clearly visible. They did report very f...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:56 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

We all know how fractions work, but in this case, the denominator is simply the population of Sweden. How is that 'accumulating' at 500-600 per day. I promise you 500-600 people a day are not moving to Sweden in the middle of a pandemic. The only number in the fraction that can go up is the numerat...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:48 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

I looked at daily variation, it does jump around a bit, but it’s been roughly the same variation for most of April. The chart showing total cases also rises linearly and mostly steadily. Similar story with ICU hospitalizations, except those actually show a small drop recently. Edit: the hospitaliza...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 8:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Also, how can there be a drop in the deaths per million? Are people going to come back to life? Are millions of people going to move to Sweden to dilute the numbers? Total deaths won’t decrease. But deaths/millions can by changes in the numerator and denominator. The denominator is accumulating num...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 7:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Actually, Sweden is looking great. Overall new cases are stable, but ICU hospitalization are decreasing and so are new daily deaths. They have successfully flattened the curve without closing up shop. This all means it's probably just a matter of time before the chart you posted sees a drop in deat...

Jump to post
by PPVRA
Tue Apr 28, 2020 7:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66565

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Actually, Sweden is looking great. Overall new cases are stable, but ICU hospitalization are decreasing and so are new daily deaths. They have successfully flattened the curve without closing up shop. This all means it's probably just a matter of time before the chart you posted sees a drop in deat...

Jump to post

Go to advanced search