Search found 17654 matches

by lightsaber
Fri Jul 12, 2019 5:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022
Replies: 102
Views: 13257

Re: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022

MHO only. I see the 717s staying until at least 2026-27 (they're great small short range airplanes), and a top up A220 order, including launch of the A220-500, within 18 months from today. I think the 717s will last longer, but the timeframe depends on lease terms and A220 costs. My back of the env...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022
Replies: 102
Views: 13257

Re: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022

Thank god. I hope the 717 follows soon after. Also, is there a future A220 top off order in the future? MHO only. I see the 717s staying until at least 2026-27 (they're great small short range airplanes), and a top up A220 order, including launch of the A220-500, within 18 months from today. I thin...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022
Replies: 102
Views: 13257

Re: Delta announces MD-90 retirement deadline - end 2022

It's still safe to put money down that the MD-90s will be gone sooner than 2022 (as we've seen before, DL plays it hush-hush about things less than flattering to investors). Already today it's an expensive subfleet. Dragging it out makes no sense economically. I too suspect they will be retired ear...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Atlanta Mayor OK's Smoking Ban at ATL
Replies: 189
Views: 13688

Re: Atlanta Mayor OK's Smoking Ban at ATL

micstatic wrote:
It’s time.

My thoughts too.

Better to put in seats, play areas (kids), a doggie relief station, or retail.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Wed Jul 10, 2019 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates looking into Iceland service
Replies: 23
Views: 6689

Re: Emirates looking into Iceland service

I guess for Asian business/tourism this makes some sense. But not a route I would bet to succeed.

IST is more economical and better located for future growth to/from Africa (I know, low demand, but there should be future demand to invest in Africa).

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 09, 2019 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France to charge aviation tax
Replies: 125
Views: 11630

Re: France to charge aviation tax

Taxes only increase. The ME3/TK say thank you.

The cost of something tends to be expressed as fuel consumed to make it happen.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 09, 2019 6:16 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: US3 and the 777X, only a matter of time?
Replies: 27
Views: 5101

Re: US3 and the 777X, only a matter of time?

Yes, long term the 777X should find a home with both UA and AA . Problem is both airlines have newly new 77W's on property, so it could be another decade before we see any 777x's in service with those carriers Long term, I agree. It all depends on the cost per passenger. The lower the cost, the eas...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 09, 2019 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's going to happen after the 787/a350 orderbooks are completed?
Replies: 32
Views: 5342

Re: What's going to happen after the 787/a350 orderbooks are completed?

PiPs will keep these selling. 787 is undergoing : a cost reduction PIP (manufacturing) a commonality PiP (788). a weight reduction PiP A MTOW PiP Future PiPs:. GE is ready for CMC introduction (in GE9x) A350 is undergoing A cost reduction PiP Weight reduction PiP (Titanium replacing Aluminum due to ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 09, 2019 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH A380s: Parity between FRA and MUC
Replies: 25
Views: 5475

Re: LH A380s: Parity between FRA and MUC

Hypothetical A380 order?!? You do realize LH is downsizing the quantity of A380s? At this point the question is how long after 779 EIS are the A380s viable? Every extra seat sells, on average, for less than the prior seat (or else fire the yield management team). So larger aircraft must have a signi...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 09, 2019 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer
Replies: 247
Views: 43468

Re: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer

Remember that LCY is expanding, more ramps, taxiways, and terminal. The A220 can also fly direct from LCY to JFK. Have a look at the details of the expansion. https://www.londoncityairport.com/corporate/airport-development/what-does-cadp-propose and the current airport plan http://www.ead.eurocontr...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 09, 2019 1:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Benefits from MAX Groundings
Replies: 16
Views: 4397

Re: Delta Benefits from MAX Groundings

http://m.atwonline.com/airlines/analyst-delta-sees-revenue-capacity-gains-max-grounding “Delta has benefited from customer spillover from competitors and partners being impacted by the grounding of the aircraft,” Becker wrote. “Despite Delta’s higher growth, underlying industry capacity growth rema...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 09, 2019 1:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777 Retirement/Scrapping Thread - 2019
Replies: 107
Views: 25579

Re: 777 Retirement/Scrapping Thread - 2019

Emirates A6-ECB left DXB on 3rd July. It was the last of the oldest group of EKs 2-class 77Ws. There are still plenty of old 77Ws left in their fleet. Almost all of them are 3-class ones, on lease from GECAS. I wonder how much time is left, the oldest was delivered in March 2005. Presumably leases ...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer
Replies: 247
Views: 43468

Re: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer

Sorry..... I’ve missed something here.. What exactly do BACF need an BCS1/3 at LCY for...? The JFK will almost certainly stop when cross rail opens in 12 months or so. The Ejets already fit well into LCY. And are capable of pretty much all BACF needs. The BCS1 is a squeeze.... The Max is replacing ...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 08, 2019 4:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Airbus and Boeing Market Forecasts
Replies: 29
Views: 3155

Re: New Airbus and Boeing Market Forecasts

How does the above discussion comfort us in term of believing their forecast TODAY ? What if it is still a propaganda or "sales job"? Why should we believe them today when they have been voluntarily or involuntarily misinformed us during almost twenty years? Spoken like a man who's never ...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 08, 2019 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Airbus and Boeing Market Forecasts
Replies: 29
Views: 3155

Re: New Airbus and Boeing Market Forecasts

Businesses move when a metropolitan area lacks transportation. What facinates me more is that Boeing is predicting a major stimulation of the widebody market with the NMA. What interests me is effectively predicting more hub bypass again than Airbus. I think both are avoiding VLA terminology. Techni...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 08, 2019 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer
Replies: 247
Views: 43468

Re: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer

Yes, the total orders for E2 are not stellar today, ....... ....and I insist that too many people underestimate the role E-Jet E2 will play in the future. When do you expect that to happen? Tomorrow? Next week? Next year? 2028 maybe? Gesendet von meinem SM-G950F mit Tapatalk I don't know when it wi...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 08, 2019 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer
Replies: 247
Views: 43468

Re: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer

Larger varients will be a bit of an issue. Any British Airways flying, anywhere in the UK, in aircraft purchased or leased with 100 seats or more, will be flown by mainline BA pilots. Removing seats from an aircraft normally fitted with 100+ seats will not qualify (hence why the A318 is flown by ma...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 08, 2019 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer
Replies: 247
Views: 43468

Re: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer

So if the A220 can reach JFK with 42 seats.... With how many seats can the E2 reach JFK with. I think we have our answer. It would be convenient to have one pilot pool for LCY. I see this as a gateway order. Either the E2 wins or the A220. Whichever way it goes, I expect IAG to order more of the sa...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta adds JFK - IAH
Replies: 36
Views: 7352

Re: Delta adds JFK - IAH

Be interesting to see how/if UA retaliates... not really sure what's left for them to do: hopping back on ATL-LAX would be financial suicide, against DL widebodies + NK and WN. There’s nothing to retaliate against for UA. UA doesn’t fly to JFK and two 220s is hardly going to cut into the service th...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 10:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 438
Views: 69601

Re: GE to finance first 9 Moxie aircraft

GECAS actually finances a wide range of aircraft with non-GE engines nowadays, including a healthy amount of IAE-powered A320 family aircraft. Sure, they support their own product, but first and foremost they act as a bank taking bets on which aircraft they think have a long-term future in the mark...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 9:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer
Replies: 247
Views: 43468

Re: IAG deciding between A220 and Embraer E2 for BA Cityflyer

So if the A220 can reach JFK with 42 seats.... With how many seats can the E2 reach JFK with. I think we have our answer. It would be convenient to have one pilot pool for LCY. I see this as a gateway order. Either the E2 wins or the A220. Whichever way it goes, I expect IAG to order more of the sa...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 6:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 438
Views: 69601

Re: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread

The more I think about Moxie, the more I think it will succeed. The current airline apps I use (DL, Jet Blue) aren't very useful compared to what I see (yes, I'm an adult who plays games, either emulate the better ones or get out of the way). From Bloomberg, GE Capital Aviation Services to supply fi...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 5:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1788
Views: 185738

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

Does EK have room in the bilateral to add a wide body flight to Calicut? I thought it was maxed out from the DXB side. Or are they expected to move one of their other flights to CCJ? No more room. They will have to shift an EK/FZ frequency from elsewhere. Or gain an Indian partner. What are fares l...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15398

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

The QF A333's are in the 16-17 year old age bracket and as such will be up for replacement in the very near future. I suspect a 787-10 order will come with project sunrise decision, regardless on who wins the order. We will just have to agree to disagree until the announcment. I still think the B78...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 3:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 501
Views: 119889

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

Folks, we redirected all A220 talk at LCY to another thread as it was derailing this thread. This is the production/delivery thread. Per user requests we try to limit posts to that. Please post pictures, information about flight tests, production facility enhancements, delivery of components/shipset...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 07, 2019 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Most and Least expensive US airports by CPE (cost per enplanement)
Replies: 30
Views: 5375

Re: Most and Least expensive US airports by CPE (cost per enplanement)

Wow, those numbers help explain DL at ATL.

Do we have DTW, DFW, IAH, and DEN?

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 06, 2019 8:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1788
Views: 185738

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

I just learnt that since IBC is a law ratified by the parliament and the Cape Town Treaty bill is yet to be passed as a law, the former will take precedence in case of conflict between the two. Tough luck lessors. Ouch. They will write future leases accordingly. They will also review how secured ot...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 06, 2019 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Klax and surrounding airfields in regards to earthquakes.
Replies: 28
Views: 3953

Re: Klax and surrounding airfields in regards to earthquakes.

Bradin wrote:
WALmsp wrote:
Quake downgraded from 7.1 to 6.9.


Earthquake was upgraded back to 7.1 by USGS.

That is odd. Normally downgrades stick.

All my family is safe.

Any press releases from airports?

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 06, 2019 12:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15398

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

Has it been offically confirmed that the 787-10 has gotten this range bump?? I can find no statement from Boeing that this so. We know “The 787-10 is longer and even more fuel efficient. However, the game changer for us has been that by working closely with Boeing, we've ensured the 787-10 will mee...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 06, 2019 4:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Klax and surrounding airfields in regards to earthquakes.
Replies: 28
Views: 3953

Re: Klax and surrounding airfields in regards to earthquakes.

I'm on vacation in Santa Barbara. This one was definitely noticeable. A door on the store I was in swung closed and there was a profound sense of vertigo. But if I'd been on a plane on the ground, I would have just assumed that it was luggage being loaded or something. This one was exciting, but no...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 06, 2019 4:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Klax and surrounding airfields in regards to earthquakes.
Replies: 28
Views: 3953

Re: Klax and surrounding airfields in regards to earthquakes.

It was minor by the coast. But the aftershocks keep coming. Scary earthquakes, you want to stay away from Southern California. :stirthepot: The quake is far east and not near any commercial airport. The closest one... Still far enough away to not be impacted. Ridgecrest is being hit by the big ones,...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15398

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

musman9853 wrote:
AA is almost certainly going to buy more 787s, but not anytime I don't think considering they ordered 50 last year. but in a few years as the 777s start to age I could definitely see a 78J order

I expect AA to order in small batches here and there.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EASA: Check for cracks in A380 outer rear spar.
Replies: 21
Views: 5785

Re: EASA: Check for cracks in A380 outer rear spar.

Affected are: Hi Fly Malta MSN006 Air France 2x msn033 & 040 Emirates 9x Qantas 6x Singapore Airlines 8x (already phased out 5) And Lufthansa MSN038 Is 038 being sold back to Airbus by LH? Is 033 and 040 already scheduled to go back to Airbus by AF? This could force a decision at QF on A380 rep...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15398

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

Airlines with a strong Atlantic focus, Intra Asia. Transpac without serious cargo next to passengers isn't a big market. Same as A333. With the range increase, add 1. US West coast to EU (with cargo). 2. US Northwest to North Asia (ok, only UA) 3. India to EU and Asia Thinking about this, SQ should...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15398

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

It all depends on how much the rumored empty weight reduction and MTOW really is. My opinion is the payload range curve needs expansion: 1. Empty weight reduction increase kg for kg payload at all ranges. 2. MTOW weight increase adds payload above 4500nm. 3. Thrust bump. Stretches always have poor ...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1788
Views: 185738

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

If the Indian legal system is not to be trusted to keep to their agreements, it isn't the GoI who determines the rules. . Actually, now the NCLAT will decide on the issue of de-registration, not the Government, nor the regular courts, not even the DGCA which is the "authority" for de-regi...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 8:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 9 mos. after leaving it, Avianca returns to the Honduran domestic market
Replies: 14
Views: 2732

Re: 9 mos. after leaving it, Avianca returns to the Honduran domestic market

Folks, often side topics break out of mega threads to allow small group discussion. If you see a post violating forum rules, flag the post.

Please continue discussion on topic.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 8:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15398

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

It all depends on how much the rumored empty weight reduction and MTOW really is. My opinion is the payload range curve needs expansion: 1. Empty weight reduction increase kg for kg payload at all ranges. 2. MTOW weight increase adds payload above 4500nm. 3. Thrust bump. Stretches always have poor h...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 751
Views: 129333

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

So much emphasis that the A350-1000 is out of the picture for EK, it is becoming suspicious. Emirates proved very flexible changing, cancelling firm orders. It’s the topic of this thread. No exceptions for the A350s I assume. This I heartily agree with. Emirates will do what is best for themselves....

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1788
Views: 185738

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

Jet Airways Fleet Update (Entire Fleet) Update 6 737-900 (4/6) VT-JGD - 33740 - Stored (Still Registered to Jet Airways) I assume this aircraft is owned by Jet Airways. If not, the lessor should go to "IQ Jail" for letting it get caught in India's notorious legal process. If India really ...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EASA: Check for cracks in A380 outer rear spar.
Replies: 21
Views: 5785

Re: EASA: Check for cracks in A380 outer rear spar.

The first 25 have another reason to become orphans. Bummer, but not a huge deal.

All aircraft manufacturers can expect tougher terms on the first 18 to 30 months of production though.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 3:53 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: A220 on Transatlantic Routes
Replies: 13
Views: 3510

Re: A220 on Transatlantic Routes

The new A220 MTOW increase, in particular the -300, would allow for a centerline tank in a lower density configuration. I hope for A220 TATL, but it looks like the last chance is an IAG A318 replacement. If the -300 becomes LCY certified, that would be an excellent fit. Same mission (LCY-Ireland-JFK...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 05, 2019 3:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America
Replies: 14
Views: 4050

Re: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America

The flaw your theory is this statement: “Airbus would be free to ramp up production” They aren’t unless they are willing to invest tens of billions in new production facilities for narrowbody aircraft for something that may well be temporary. I don’t think a.netters really understand the complexiti...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 04, 2019 11:42 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A320 spaceflex differences
Replies: 7
Views: 3172

Re: A320 spaceflex differences

Another question. I was on a VX/AS spaceflex bird which had ADA capable lavs, with the wall between the 2 being able to open. The B6 Phase 1 bird I was on last week didn't. So....what exactly is the question. Isn't there supposed to be an ADA lav? What is the requirement? I believe the ADA lav is m...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 04, 2019 11:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 11091

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

Its especially sad when they do so while spinning "facts" to fit their narrative. I had no idea that MSP and DTW had higher margins now than 10-15 years ago. Sarcasm intended. Of course they have higher margins because Delta. That's kinda what we were talking about....Delta's ability to c...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 04, 2019 9:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1788
Views: 185738

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

. So every month the GoI holds the aircraft penslizes the leasing company over $200,000. They won't have much patience for that. Not with extended MAX groundings pushing up rates and the expectation rates will droo shortly after the floor of MAXes return to service as hundreds of efficient aircraft...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 04, 2019 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 751
Views: 129333

Re: Middle East 3 Carriers are the Lifeline for 777-8/-9 Program

The Etihad order is almost certainly reduced from 25 to 6. OTOH that A350 order by Emirates is firm even if it isnt 100% finalised. There might still be a A380 order in the books formally, but the order has been changed over. It will likely be finalised after they have a new deal in place with Boei...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 04, 2019 3:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PY to replace A340 with B777
Replies: 45
Views: 11187

Re: PY to replace A340 with B777

Not meaning to judge/take sides here in A vs B, but isn't the 359 a better suit for them? Doesn't it have more cargo than the 78J (which I assume is the one they're planning to order, as it has basically the same capacity)? The 777 will look absolutely fabulous in PY livery. I hope they do somethin...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 04, 2019 3:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1788
Views: 185738

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

Aircraft which have so far been placed with Vistara or SpiceJet Vistara 6 Average Age = 5.9 Y SpiceJet 26 Average Age = 11.2 Y Lightsaber and others: What is the ballpark monthly lease rate on a B 737-800 aircraft that is 6 years and 11 years? After how many years does a B 737-800 have to go for ma...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 04, 2019 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1788
Views: 185738

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

This Jet Airways aircraft lease pits Indian bankruptcy code against international ones https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/companies/this-jet-airways-aircraft-lease-pits-indian-bankruptcy-code-against-international-ones-4160151.html If India refuses to follow Cape Town, they do so at the per...

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