Search found 887 matches

by lutfi
Mon Oct 08, 2018 1:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus , just stretch the A320NEO a few rows, 200 seats.
Replies: 91
Views: 16629

Re: Airbus , just stretch the A320NEO a few rows, 200 seats.

Don't see the point (for Airbus) How many incremental sales vs investment? The 737-7 is a differnt case - it just wasn't selling in the original size.

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by lutfi
Tue Oct 02, 2018 1:41 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Anyone know any airline graduate schemes where you don't need a 2:1 degree to get onto it?
Replies: 8
Views: 2978

Re: Anyone know any airline graduate schemes where you don't need a 2:1 degree to get onto it?

Probably best to try and 'work your way up' rather than a grad training scheme. Get a job as cabin crew/ ground staff and then apply internally for vacancies

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by lutfi
Mon Oct 01, 2018 6:04 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: China - how do slots work?
Replies: 10
Views: 1772

Re: China - how do slots work?

Well, it isn't actually a law, it is slot co-ordination policy. :)

Slot rules do permit swaps between airlines and within airlines. Technically, assigning a slot to a new flight isn't a swap. But in practise it is allowed.

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by lutfi
Mon Oct 01, 2018 5:00 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: China - how do slots work?
Replies: 10
Views: 1772

Re: China - how do slots work?

1. No. You also need the traffic rights and slot the other end. If those are there, fine.. Source? So - say CA had the rights to fly PEK - PER, and slots at PER, could it decide to drop a flight ex-PEK to somewhere else, say 2x weekly to HKG or SYD, and start a 2x weekly PEK - PER service, or would...

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by lutfi
Mon Oct 01, 2018 12:47 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: China - how do slots work?
Replies: 10
Views: 1772

Re: China - how do slots work?

1. No. You also need the traffic rights and slot the other end. If those are there, fine 2. Slots are landing and take off times. They are different from route authorities/ traffic rights. Will there be new slots ar Daxing? Yes. Will this mean more traffic rights/ routes for airlines other than CA? ...

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by lutfi
Thu Sep 27, 2018 2:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indian Aviation Thread - 2018 (2)
Replies: 2425
Views: 170600

Re: Indian Aviation Thread - 2018 (2)

Price of ATF touches Rs 77,000 in Delhi - an all time high. A bloodbath awaits Indian aviation. Additionally, ATF will attract 5% import duty (up from 0%) from tonight. The move which hiked import duties on 19 items was supposed to target non-essential imports to address widening CAD. Whether the i...

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by lutfi
Thu Sep 27, 2018 2:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Intellectual Property Theft in Aviation
Replies: 12
Views: 2146

Re: Intellectual Property Theft in Aviation

HEICO have been reverse engineering parts for years...

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by lutfi
Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 33235

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

Given the consolidation going on in some markets and slot constraints in others, a 270 seat widebody priced like a narrowbody could be very popular Absolutely, and this is the crux of the issue. Can Boeing & the OEM make money from such an aircraft, or are they better off with current line up? ...

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by lutfi
Fri Aug 10, 2018 9:59 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: British Airways deboards Indian family over ‘crying’ of 3-year-old child
Replies: 97
Views: 9022

Re: British Airways deboards Indian family over ‘crying’ of 3-year-old child

Why are they writing to the Indian minister for civil aviation for a flight that occured London-Berlin? About as useful as writing to the Japanese MOT about a flight from Chicago to Los Angeles!

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by lutfi
Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indian Aviation Thread - 2018 (2)
Replies: 2425
Views: 170600

Re: Indian Aviation Thread - 2018 (2)

.Binayak - what about the domestic market in India makes you think it will be different for FSC vs LCC than almost everywhere else? So you are saying that our FSCs should stop all their extra perks and become LCCs.. Yes even in India domestic, FSCs and LCCs compete for price. I agree there. But tha...

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by lutfi
Tue Aug 07, 2018 5:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indian Aviation Thread - 2018 (2)
Replies: 2425
Views: 170600

Re: Indian Aviation Thread - 2018 (2)

Inon fuel cask has began reducing, I think with the exception of 6E everyone is trying to cut non-fuel CASK. Also, it is not reasonable to compare CASK of a 189 seat all Y BoB frame with 150+ seater including 12 J, with complimentary meal/snack and FFP. That's the point . But no use of explaining t...

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by lutfi
Mon Aug 06, 2018 5:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 - Two VERY Different Views of the Future
Replies: 217
Views: 30653

Re: A380 - Two VERY Different Views of the Future

By not serving food in domestic flights, charging for bags, adding more seats in rows, cutting all perks & whatever makes a flight pleasurable, the US3 have lowered themselves beyond belief & lowered their standards to near LCCs while charging more (like Finnair) & people opinion is ref...

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by lutfi
Thu Aug 02, 2018 1:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 786
Views: 64428

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

This is an Air India thread: Lightsaber So why are we comparing with 6E, or how great 6E is, time and again. Do FSCs and ULCCs calculate CASK and RASK same way? Is buy-on-board expense included in CASK? Listening to the call ancillary revenue including in-flight sales and cargo revenue is included ...

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by lutfi
Wed Aug 01, 2018 6:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 786
Views: 64428

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

Seems clear Indian aviation is in for a rough time (again) commercially. Didn't Jet pay salaries late earlier this year? Will be interesting what happens to Vistara & alliances. They are trying to fill the full service/ high quality niche - I am skeptical it exists domestically though - if you l...

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by lutfi
Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?
Replies: 786
Views: 64428

Re: Air India Privatization, by June-Failed sale. What next?

6E has no working capital debt, which is good and the honeymoon will continue as long as it doesn't need working capital debt. That is a sign of a well run business which is precisely the point. And the honeymoon period has run for more than a decade. And if you understand financial ratios, IndiGo ...

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by lutfi
Fri Jul 27, 2018 4:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should the government regulate minimum seating space
Replies: 130
Views: 5943

Re: Should the government regulate minimum seating space

Yes, the market dynamics fail & individual uninformed passengers have to be protected against huge airlines with their proffesionals that take advantage here. Regulation is required, like on the highway, in air traffic and on privacy. Real seat space, width (incl. Armrest, aisle), lavatory rate...

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by lutfi
Fri Jul 27, 2018 4:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should the government regulate minimum seating space
Replies: 130
Views: 5943

Re: Should the government regulate minimum seating space

Should the government mandate maximum size too? Surely it is a disgrace that airlines have beds in First Class when they could fit maybe 6-9 economy seats that those of us that are not rich can afford!!!! (PS, being sarcastic)

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by lutfi
Fri Jul 13, 2018 3:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money
Replies: 49
Views: 18161

Re: HNA and A330 delivery problems.. no money

Engine OEMs have seen a large power increase vs 20-30 years ago. Growth of single source for engine choices, and it is now rare for a new engine not to be PBTH, and controlled by the OEM for the entire lifecycle.

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by lutfi
Thu Jul 05, 2018 4:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore-Vancouver: “Skyscanner Unserved Route of the Week”
Replies: 21
Views: 3732

Re: Singapore-Vancouver: “Skyscanner Unserved Route of the Week”

Yep - 30,000 is pretty small, would need to aggregate a lot more traffic from India/ Indonesia to make it work. And SIN-YVR non stop would need to be premium heavy - and it isn't a premium market in the same way SFO/JFK are for SQ. AC runs "high density' B777 out of YVR to HKG to make the econo...

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by lutfi
Wed Jun 27, 2018 2:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing looking at 777F conversion program (again)
Replies: 28
Views: 4416

Re: Boeing looking at 777F conversion program (again)

Theoretically, the cost of the conversion and mod could make a BCF uneconomic vs a new freighter even at a feed stock cost of zero... Not sure what that number would be - 50-60m USD? As an aside, would it ever be possible to convert a passenger B787? Can't imagine cutting a large cargo door into a C...

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by lutfi
Thu May 31, 2018 5:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX: "Never say never" for LCC business, learning from strength of LCC
Replies: 75
Views: 6904

Re: CX: "Never say never" for LCC business, learning from strength of LCC

Indonesian LCC did fly between HK & Indonesia for a while but stopped

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by lutfi
Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The 777 retirement and scrapping thread - 2018
Replies: 294
Views: 80291

Re: The 777 retirement and scrapping thread - 2018

Sooner787 wrote:
I'm wondering how many of these stored 777's will get short term work covering for the RR
powered 787's that are currently grounded?


None - no-ones going to pull an old 777 out, put it through checks, and re-register it for that.

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by lutfi
Tue Apr 10, 2018 1:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which are the most underserved or unserved routes from India?
Replies: 164
Views: 13929

Re: Which are the most underserved or unserved routes from India?

basically anything to Pakistan

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by lutfi
Fri Apr 06, 2018 1:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ANC seeks interest for an MRO
Replies: 9
Views: 1718

Re: ANC seeks interest for an MRO

Won't the weather/ light situation in the winter also be an issue?

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by lutfi
Wed Mar 28, 2018 1:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can we discuss the IAM?
Replies: 36
Views: 3569

Re: Can we discuss the IAM?

If you want better conditions, vote yes. Collective bargaining (or the threat of it) will improve your bargaining power with the airline. Most evidence shows that unionised industries/ companies have better T&C than non unionised. Obviously this can come at a cost (to the company) of lower profi...

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by lutfi
Tue Mar 20, 2018 3:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The 787-10s role in Singapore Airlines
Replies: 22
Views: 6637

Re: The 787-10s role in Singapore Airlines

Looking forward to this. The 78X is a great choice for intra-Asian flying. Quite the looker, as well. Not as a passenger in the back. I much prefer the A330 2-4-2 to 787 3-3-3. I normally fly as a couple, and getting the window/ aisle seat combo on an A330 is a winner. On a 777 3-3-3 we either have...

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by lutfi
Thu Feb 08, 2018 5:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines 787-10 configuration revealed, first routes SIN-BKK, KUL and KIX
Replies: 28
Views: 10429

Re: Singapore Airlines 787-10 configuration revealed, first route SIN-KIX

301 EY seats presumably means 9 abreast - same as Scoot?

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by lutfi
Tue Feb 06, 2018 5:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas let one of 15 787 options expire, confirms 18 A321LR aircraft
Replies: 65
Views: 17568

Re: Qantas Group let one of 15 787 options expire, mulls A321neo

Surprising, given how good the deal they supposedly got on the options

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by lutfi
Tue Feb 06, 2018 5:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Feasibility of airlines operating into 2 airports in same metro area.
Replies: 84
Views: 8823

Re: Feasibility of airlines operating into 2 airports in same metro area.

Many airlines fly to both HND and NRT, and PVG & SHA. OSA & ITM is another one (but ITM just domestic) Also - ORY & CDG. LIN & MIL, MOW has 3 airports. JKT has CGK & HLM. Bangkok has BKK & DMG. It is more a question of why some major cities only have one airport... (e.g. SYD/...

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by lutfi
Fri Jan 26, 2018 9:26 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Southwest trying to get rid of bugs in reservations
Replies: 32
Views: 6638

Re: Southwest trying to get rid of bugs in reservations

There's a big problem for all airlines with bots (on the websites) I guess that SWA is probably aggressive in blocking overseas IP that have a high 'look to book' ratio

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by lutfi
Tue Jan 23, 2018 8:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why A-380 doesn’t sell in more densely populated countries?
Replies: 86
Views: 9582

Re: Why A-380 doesn’t sell in more densely populated countries?

I lived in japan for a while. No contest HSR wins.
- much less annoying end to end journey
- journey time is more productive
- OTP is much better
- frequency is much better, you can "go show" (turn up & buy ticket)
- legroom is better
- eki bento!

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by lutfi
Tue Jan 16, 2018 8:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American's Problem: Management is Out of Touch With Customers
Replies: 154
Views: 20091

Re: American's Problem: Management is Out of Touch With Customers

For example:

SQ pax 1.8m in DEC, 2.4% growth
Scoot 877k pax, +8% growth

So Scoot adding 70k pax vs SQ 40k pax.

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by lutfi
Tue Jan 16, 2018 3:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American's Problem: Management is Out of Touch With Customers
Replies: 154
Views: 20091

Re: American's Problem: Management is Out of Touch With Customers

I don't have the time to read the whole thread. I guess it's not important anyway... The point is that it's not only AA. So I don't blame them. It's all airlines worldwide (perhaps except the Japanese ones and SQ). It's a race to the bottom with no limit, no bottom in sight. It will keep going on. ...

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by lutfi
Tue Jan 16, 2018 2:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters:Airbus ready to phase out A380 if fails to win Emirates deal
Replies: 695
Views: 90139

Re: Reuters:Airbus ready to phase out A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

Few comments: For passenger growth, moving from A320 to A321 & 738 to 737-10 will have much more impact than A380 being availlable for sale or not. Also, expect more LCC long haul. Scoot have 375 seats in their B787-9 for flying SIN-BER/ATH etc. That's an extra 100 or so seats capacity right the...

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by lutfi
Fri Jan 12, 2018 2:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DELTA announces 2017 profit $5.5 Billion USD
Replies: 62
Views: 12779

Re: DELTA announces 2017 profit $5.5 Billion USD

klm617 wrote:
Since Delta is so profitable and pating themselves on the back may they can shelf those $60 bag fees they are planing to implement on international travelers.


One of the reasons why they are so profitable is that they are good at working out what people will/ will not pay for.

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by lutfi
Tue Jan 09, 2018 1:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chinese airlines supplanting ME3 as the competitive LH concern for other airlines.
Replies: 74
Views: 11708

Re: Chinese airlines supplanting ME3 as the competitive LH concern for other airlines.

One of my relatives flew UK-NZ on CZ in business for same/ less than BA/ NZ/ QF wanted for Premium Economy. Lie flat seats on all sectors, CAN transit was fine. He was very happy (he is tall) The size of the market means that they will focus on O&D traffic first, then 6th freedom. But as their d...

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by lutfi
Mon Jan 08, 2018 1:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Upcoming Boeing 777X operators
Replies: 73
Views: 13967

Re: Upcoming Boeing 777X operators

It's going to be what, 30 or so seats more than a 777-300 or A35K? CX bought both as 779 will have better payload to the East Coast, can't imagine 8% or so more seats is worth a new fleet type CX replacement looks to be: A340 & some A330 by A359. Three class B773ER by A35K, Four class B773ER by ...

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by lutfi
Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters:Airbus ready to phase out A380 if fails to win Emirates deal
Replies: 695
Views: 90139

Re: Reuters:Airbus ready to phase out A380 if fails to win Emirates deal

Airport congestion is a matter of short-haul narrowbody ops; there are dozens of solutions to that problem before you start flying A380's domestically. For A380's to become the congestion solution, we'd need a fantastical level of traffic. At that level it's cheaper to build new airports than to fo...

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by lutfi
Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator
Replies: 353
Views: 118723

Re: First Airbus A380 parked amid search for new operator

[list=][/list] Excuse my ignorance but how often does an aircraft require to be fully rewired in it's operational lifetime ? And I don't mean the peculiarities of early entry A380's. Wiring is "on condition". You would basically never expect to replace the "operational" airframe ...

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by lutfi
Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft
Replies: 47
Views: 13261

Re: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft

No - they operated following narrowbodies:

DC3
DC4
DC6 (I think)
Electra
Convair 880
B707

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by lutfi
Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft
Replies: 47
Views: 13261

Re: Cathay Pacific to acquire 32 A321neo aircraft

No mention of engine choice yet
..
CX press release adds:
- delivery from 2020
- replacement & growth for current 8 A321 & 15 A320

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by lutfi
Thu Apr 13, 2017 12:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why BA have never ordered the A330
Replies: 26
Views: 10094

Re: Why BA have never ordered the A330

IAG though has plenty of them...

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by lutfi
Mon Apr 10, 2017 6:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates returning 747Fs to leasors and thoughts on air freight
Replies: 41
Views: 9339

Re: Emirates returning 747Fs to leasors and thoughts on air freight

Cathay Pacific's 2016 results saw cargo pricing (yield) drop 16%. So even if pricing is stabilising, it is at a very low level. The big question is - are EK still flying the B777F because they own them (so flying them is better than not flying them)? I.e. if the B777F had also been on easy to return...

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by lutfi
Thu Jan 12, 2017 2:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leahy: A322 Not Needed, "We Own This (MOM) Market"
Replies: 98
Views: 16620

Re: Leahy: A322 Not Needed, "We Own This (MOM) Market"

The A321 owns the market until something better comes along. The A321NEO is as best optimized for the 2 hour mission. 'As best' as a modern CFRP wing would be lighter and folding wingtips would allow a more efficient aspect ratio and new wings have better underside laminar flow. There is a MoM oppo...

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by lutfi
Thu Jan 12, 2017 2:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787-9 <-> Airbus A330-900 Competition
Replies: 656
Views: 112564

Re: Boeing 787-9 <-> Airbus A330-900 Competition

A clear advandtage of the 78-9 over the A330-900 seems to be, airlines / leasing companies have engine choice. http://airinsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/2015-02-19_8-05-32-580x289.jpg source: https://airinsight.com/ Specially: GE/GECAS choice. http://cdn-www.airliners.net/photos/airliners/8/...

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by lutfi
Thu Dec 15, 2016 7:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Chinese Airlines Flooding World with Super-Cheap Airfares"
Replies: 31
Views: 5784

Re: "Chinese Airlines Flooding World with Super-Cheap Airfares"

Actually, Chinese airlines safety records are as good as mainline US or European carriers. CAAC (Chinese FAA) are very safety conscious

China Airlines had some issues a few years back, but they are Taiwanese, here we are talking about Mainland carriers

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by lutfi
Thu Dec 15, 2016 5:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Chinese Airlines Flooding World with Super-Cheap Airfares"
Replies: 31
Views: 5784

Re: "Chinese Airlines Flooding World with Super-Cheap Airfares"

Yep, my nephew got a flight LON-AKL on CZ business class same price as BA/NZ/QF Premium Economy. As he is 6 foot 3, he was very happy

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by lutfi
Thu Oct 13, 2016 10:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Fall 2016
Replies: 68
Views: 25764

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Fall 2016

Both CA, KE and atleast 1 VIP frame have done sale/lease backs With dire future for the model, I would not want to be an airline holding the asset in another decade. Might as well collateralize it today while a new airframe than take risk on the asset value down the road. As long as there is a conv...

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by lutfi
Fri Sep 16, 2016 1:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SQ A380 Decision Based On Demand
Replies: 290
Views: 50421

Re: SQ A380 Decision Based On Demand

. I suspect the plane would represent an excellent opportunity for any airline willing to purchase it for $100 million. Even with this aircraft being an early build the revenue opportunity would be almost double that of a 787. That would cover a lot of bespoke maintenance. So, from an investor pers...

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