Search found 4763 matches

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 15, 2020 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

There will likely be a gradual decline between now and the end of August, but the “fall off a cliff” numbers likely won’t show up until after Labor Day. After that? Anyone’s guess as to what happens I don’t think it’s “anyone’s guess.” We all know what’s coming. What's coming is what we saw in Apri...

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 15, 2020 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ravn Alaska closing its doors?
Replies: 160
Views: 23045

Re: Ravn Alaska closing its doors?

https://www.newravn.com/

Any Silicon Valley fans here? New new RAVN.
-->

https://www.newravn.com/

Any Silicon Valley fans here? New new RAVN.

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 15, 2020 4:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

There will likely be a gradual decline between now and the end of August, but the “fall off a cliff” numbers likely won’t show up until after Labor Day. After that? Anyone’s guess as to what happens I don’t think it’s “anyone’s guess.” We all know what’s coming. I’m not so sure. Ppl aren’t working ...

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 15, 2020 6:56 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Are there scheduled flights to Bagram Air Base
Replies: 4
Views: 1278

Re: Are there scheduled flights to Bagram Air Base

UA857 wrote:
32andBelow wrote:
Military and charters only.


How frequent are those flights?

As needed... it’s a war

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 15, 2020 6:03 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Are there scheduled flights to Bagram Air Base
Replies: 4
Views: 1278

Re: Are there scheduled flights to Bagram Air Base

Military and charters only.

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaii reopening delayed until Sep. 1
Replies: 49
Views: 6865

Re: Hawaii reopening delayed until Sep. 1

They can but there are very limited windows and usually at least one location has to participate at a time well outside business hours. The time difference between HI and CA is pretty reasonable and I can easily see people being willing to work from 0600 to 1400 from home for a West Coast-based com...

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by 32andBelow
Tue Jul 14, 2020 7:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaii reopening delayed until Sep. 1
Replies: 49
Views: 6865

Re: Hawaii reopening delayed until Sep. 1

AA747123 wrote:
IMHO I dont see Hawaii opening until a vaccine is available. It is just too out of control now.

Alaska has and they are doing testing at the airport. The cases have gone up but it’s not out of control.

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by 32andBelow
Tue Jul 14, 2020 7:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - July 2020
Replies: 93
Views: 8194

Re: Airlines practicing social distancing in their cabins

Your chances of getting infected on a packed flight are close to 100% when departing out of a place with confirmed infections of 1% of population like most of the USA. 1% of population confirmed = 10% of population infected = someone in your half row or the half rows in front or behind you is infec...

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by 32andBelow
Tue Jul 14, 2020 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mesa Air Group to operate 737s for DHL
Replies: 31
Views: 5678

Re: Mesa Air Group to operate 737s for DHL

Would a current Mesa pilot be able to bid into those birds? Like if I’m flying CRJs for Mesa with Eagle branding and if I was the highest seniority FO/Captain in the company and really wanted to live in Cincinnati. Could I bid the FO/captain spot and Mesa Train me? If you read the attached press re...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 13, 2020 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

We'll probably continue to climb up at a similar pace for the next 4 weeks or so. The biggest wildcard is going to be what does the trend look like in September and beyond. With schools returning either in-person or virtual, and people getting the summer vacation fix in, what does the personal and ...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 13, 2020 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

keithvh2001 wrote:
32andBelow wrote:
So we matched the holiday weekend.


About the same percent changes (in terms of a comparison vs. 7 days before) as the weekend after Memorial Day.

Obviously, the absolute numbers are higher now vs. late May.

The growth may be slowing but we certainly haven’t seen a pull back. 800k for next weekend

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 13, 2020 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

KlimaBXsst wrote:
Does the FAA Break this down by region by any chance? I would love to see how New York as a whole is doing against California as a whole in terms of enolanements.

This is from the TSA

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 13, 2020 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Transatlantic flights between US and UK in the Post Covid-19
Replies: 13
Views: 3224

Re: Transatlantic flights between US and UK in the Post Covid-19

We are, by no means, in a post-COVID-19 era. We are right in the middle of COVID-19. Predicting passenger traffic and route performance is almost impossible. My prediction, however, is that the winter season will be a total disaster for aviation - as border restrictions won't be lifted that easily....

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 13, 2020 2:01 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: CO2 footprint Turboprop vs Jet
Replies: 8
Views: 1494

Re: CO2 footprint Turboprop vs Jet

If you are interested in this topic you should look up fuel burn per hour in cruise.

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 13, 2020 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

So we matched the holiday weekend.

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by 32andBelow
Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The status of Ultra low-cost carriers
Replies: 55
Views: 7285

Re: The status of Ultra low-cost carriers

You need to know that a lot is sold on top as an extra. From checked bags to manual check in. Also you need to respect the sharp carry on dimensions and boarding times. Know the fine print and you can fly very cheap. As many legacy airlines have quietly eroded their comfort down to the same levels ...

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by 32andBelow
Sat Jul 11, 2020 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Several of my customers are having difficulty filling open positions. Some claim that people don’t want to come back to work because they make more on unemployment than at their office. One of my customers I’m friends with, so I needle him and say “well you ought to pay more then.” Now, that’s a si...

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by 32andBelow
Sat Jul 11, 2020 12:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet
Replies: 504
Views: 91068

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

All true, yet hard to reconcile with the 60%+ by December comment that some have raised above. On this page we have figures suggesting ~1600 pilots were let go with a large percentage current or future A380 pilots, and ~325 A380 flight crew are left . They have 110 A380 so flying 60% would be 66 fr...

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by 32andBelow
Fri Jul 10, 2020 10:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

jetmatt777 wrote:
Definitely feels like we are hitting the peak. Wonder if this will be the new baseline for a while, meaning that the total number of people traveling right now are the only ones able or willing to? Wonder if it will plateau or begin declining?

Only down slightly after one of the biggest holidays

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by 32andBelow
Fri Jul 10, 2020 7:07 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Idea - AA/AS Aircraft Trade
Replies: 10
Views: 2642

Re: Idea - AA/AS Aircraft Trade

I don’t think Alaska wants that many max8s. If they can convert them to 9s then maybe

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by 32andBelow
Fri Jul 10, 2020 5:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ravn Alaska closing its doors?
Replies: 160
Views: 23045

Re: Ravn Alaska closing its doors?

So this is whacky. Apparently float shuttle is seaport and the current ceo of ravn is involved. TMZ level information but that’s what I’ve heard.

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by 32andBelow
Thu Jul 09, 2020 10:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet
Replies: 504
Views: 91068

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

This article, posted just a few hours ago, goes quite contrary to the sentiment in this thread. Even 60 to 70% is 70 to 80 aircraft flying again by December. This thread is based on rumors, nothing more. It's clear Emirates is working hard on returning the A380's to service. by firing all the a380 ...

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by 32andBelow
Thu Jul 09, 2020 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 330
Views: 39588

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Why are so many people even going to Florida. I thought it was a winter place

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by 32andBelow
Thu Jul 09, 2020 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet
Replies: 504
Views: 91068

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

P2P is greatly exaggerated. Most 787 and 350 are connecting hubs. IMHO P2P growth will come from NB Yah you connect to a major hub in your country then you can fly to the destination country. You don’t need to go to Dubai. i think the hub-to-hub, hub-to-point, and point-to-point models all have mer...

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by 32andBelow
Thu Jul 09, 2020 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet
Replies: 504
Views: 91068

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Emirates going to be in a world of hurt. I expect P2P on 787 and 350 to be the way forward. P2P is greatly exaggerated. Most 787 and 350 are connecting hubs. IMHO P2P growth will come from NB Yah you connect to a major hub in your country then you can fly to the destination country. You don’t need ...

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by 32andBelow
Thu Jul 09, 2020 3:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet
Replies: 504
Views: 91068

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Emirates going to be in a world of hurt. I expect P2P on 787 and 350 to be the way forward.

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 08, 2020 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000
Replies: 13
Views: 3193

Re: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000

That is true, but I don't believe these are grossly inflated numbers just to scare people (employees into taking leave, Congress into more $Billion grants). If the actual numbers effective Oct 1 are notably less, then great. I’d be surprised if delta lays off as many pilots as they said. This looks...

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 08, 2020 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000
Replies: 13
Views: 3193

Re: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000

You can’t lay-off an employee you didn’t warn but you can warn an employee you don’t lay off. As I expected major airlines appear to be trying to keep as many pilots as possible. That is true, but I don't believe these are grossly inflated numbers just to scare people (employees into taking leave, ...

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 08, 2020 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000
Replies: 13
Views: 3193

Re: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000

You can’t lay-off an employee you didn’t warn but you can warn an employee you don’t lay off. As I expected major airlines appear to be trying to keep as many pilots as possible.

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 08, 2020 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: El Al temporarily ceases ops
Replies: 37
Views: 15631

Re: ELAL temporarily ceases ops

[twoid][/twoid] Would aircraft like the A321LR or A321XLR be a good fit for El Al for thinner routes? Probably would be unlikely to happen based on their aircraft order history. I think I'm right in saying El Al is the only flag carrier (excluding the never ending startup flag carriers in Africa) ne...

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 08, 2020 7:11 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: AA goes after credit card churners in DOT complaint proceeding
Replies: 21
Views: 1787

Re: AA goes after credit card churners in DOT complaint proceeding

How can you open a credit card with a fake name? You’d need a stolen identity to go with it. The credit cards were opened with the real names. AAdvantage accounts are what were opened with fake names, for the sole purpose of getting credit card offer mailers sent to each fake AAdvantage member. The...

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 08, 2020 6:19 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: AA goes after credit card churners in DOT complaint proceeding
Replies: 21
Views: 1787

Re: AA goes after credit card churners in DOT complaint proceeding

What did they do that was illegals? Not illegal, but violated the AA terms & conditions for their mileage program. They gamed the system to get more bonus miles (MILLIONS OF THEM) from multiple credit card sign-ups (sign up, spend, close after bonus, repeat) than they were allowed to have by AA...

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by 32andBelow
Wed Jul 08, 2020 4:56 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: AA goes after credit card churners in DOT complaint proceeding
Replies: 21
Views: 1787

Re: AA goes after credit card churners in DOT complaint proceeding

What did they do that was illegals?

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by 32andBelow
Tue Jul 07, 2020 10:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

On the other hand... who is going to drive from Chicago to Florida when you can book flight tickets for less than 50 USD return? Wow, someone read a post I wrote! :D To be fair, that was written a while ago at least in COVID-19 terms. There's a good amount of truth to what you posted and I'm sure t...

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by 32andBelow
Tue Jul 07, 2020 6:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Frankfurt airport: what happened to it on Google Maps?
Replies: 38
Views: 5652

Re: Why No Planes on Satellite Images???

Google algo tries to remove all vehicles to get an “empty” world picture. And also most google pictures are taken from airplanes not sats

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by 32andBelow
Tue Jul 07, 2020 2:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Except that we are going into lockdowns again more or less in TX, AZ, and FL. Things are getting worse, not better. That’s a statistical fact, although yes it will eventually get better. While you may have 50% of the US population willing to fly, airlines need business travel to come back and it’s ...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 06, 2020 11:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: El Al temporarily ceases ops
Replies: 37
Views: 15631

Re: ELAL temporarily ceases ops

It is a bit odd ElAl isn't trying that but I guess they know what they are capable of right now. Good for UA I guess daily EWR-TLV is being complimented by a three times a week SFO-TLV. I bet they restart it quickly with the bailout. I can’t see the government wants their flag carrier off this part...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 06, 2020 11:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

They are not relevant, new cases are because they may result in US domestic lockdowns and less need for flights. I could be wrong - but I doubt we’re going to see any more lockdowns in the US. Would be nice if everybody wore masks, but the truth is people are over it, plain and simple. Closing bars...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 06, 2020 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

For what it's worth, I drove by LAX on Sunday 6/28 at about 8p. I know there's a lot of talk about flights being trimmed later at night, but it took me five minutes to drive the horseshoe in the arrivals level and three minutes on departures. Rental car busses were largely empty. More people than w...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 06, 2020 8:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: El Al temporarily ceases ops
Replies: 37
Views: 15631

Re: ELAL temporarily ceases ops

It’s crazy that they aren’t even doing a 3x weekly TLVJFK to keep the link going. It is a bit odd ElAl isn't trying that but I guess they know what they are capable of right now. Good for UA I guess daily EWR-TLV is being complimented by a three times a week SFO-TLV. I bet they restart it quickly w...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 06, 2020 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

The capacity almost doubled from June to July. So a lot of the fares have been rock bottom to stimulate demand. Look at NK right now out of EWR, every route they are on are pricing below $20 O/W and UA/F9/B6 are all matching that fares. Starting this week, all of UA/AA capacity additions for July g...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 06, 2020 5:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55030

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Latest numbers: July 2 2020: 764,761 2,088,760 36.61% July 3 2020: 718,988 2,184,253 32.92% July 4 2020: 466,669 2,345,846 19.89% July 5 2020: 732,123 2,795,369 26.19% These numbers make it glaringly clear that things are not recovering quickly. AS's release today shows that the yield for what the ...

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by 32andBelow
Mon Jul 06, 2020 5:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: El Al temporarily ceases ops
Replies: 37
Views: 15631

Re: ELAL temporarily ceases ops

It’s crazy that they aren’t even doing a 3x weekly TLVJFK to keep the link going.

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by 32andBelow
Sun Jul 05, 2020 9:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FedEx and it’s airborne ‘sweep’ aircraft
Replies: 37
Views: 11043

Re: FedEx and it’s airborne ‘sweep’ aircraft

It looks like 1311 only operates on Thursdays now instead of MO-TH like it did for years. Most of the sweeper flights that we have been getting lately have been coming out of LBB. I don't think that the flight FX out of LBB is a true sweeper flight, though. It just happens to have the excess capaci...

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by 32andBelow
Sun Jul 05, 2020 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/5/2020:LongHaul Carnage;AA Cuts Intl 2021;AS Adds in RDM;DL Out MEX-MSP,DTW-SJU,JFK-KIN;CUN Loses Routes
Replies: 59
Views: 12955

Re: OAG Changes 7/5/2020:LongHaul Carnage;AA Cuts Intl 2021;AS Adds in RDM;DL Out MEX-MSP,DTW-SJU,JFK-KIN;CUN Loses Rout

AS LAX-RDM MAR 1.0>2[1.0] APR 1.0>2[1.0] MAY 1.0>2[1.0] AS RDM-SFO MAR 1.0>2[0.4] APR 1.0>2[1.0] MAY 1.0>2[0.9] **AS RDM-SJC MAR 0>1.0[0] APR 0>1.0[0] MAY 0>1.0[0] Three new flights is a lot of extra lift for an airport the size of RDM! There was one summer where AS flew 737-900's between SEA and R...

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by 32andBelow
Sun Jul 05, 2020 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Has Cancelled 97 Flights So Far Today??
Replies: 43
Views: 9313

Re: Frontier Has Cancelled 97 Flights So Far Today??

Maybe.......do YOU know how many are out on leave? Do you know how many got vacation swaps approved? Do you know how many were allowed to bid unused vacation? Back in March and April the airlines were scrambling to get people to leave right now. A lot of things you don’t normally see with regards t...

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by 32andBelow
Sun Jul 05, 2020 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Has Cancelled 97 Flights So Far Today??
Replies: 43
Views: 9313

Re: Frontier Has Cancelled 97 Flights So Far Today??

Do you know how many are out on leave? In March/April/May several airlines offered thousands of pilots multi month leaves. If it’s true that Frontier didn’t offer premium pay then that’s their fault. Premium pay would have gotten the active pilots off the side line. It’s impossible to believe you w...

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by 32andBelow
Sun Jul 05, 2020 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Has Cancelled 97 Flights So Far Today??
Replies: 43
Views: 9313

Re: Frontier Has Cancelled 97 Flights So Far Today??

Demanding someone's head on a pike every time there is an issue is ridiculous. Step one is always to figure out exactly why the problem occurred. I've worked for companies where everyone has followed procedure to a "T" and there have still been significant issues. Those situations require...

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by 32andBelow
Sun Jul 05, 2020 6:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321 or 737-8 right size post covid?
Replies: 29
Views: 5039

Re: A321 or 737-8 right size post covid?

Rarely do I see 737s at 410. Most are 330-370 along with the a320s. I will say I can’t remember an a320 at 410 but I have seen 737s at 400 and 410 A320/321 ceiling is 390. Some 319 ACJ's are 410. All models of the 737NG/MAX are certified for 110,000 cycles and 125,000 hours going up to 41,000 ft. T...

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