Search found 2846 matches

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by winginit
Sun May 17, 2020 11:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Predictions on Electoral College Results 2020
Replies: 89
Views: 3996

Re: Predictions on Electoral College Results 2020

Too early to even guess. Ask again in October when the unemployment numbers are out. If people are happy about the economy and getting back to work - Trump wins the states he won four years ago easily and picks up a couple states. People are unhappy and worries - several close states go to the Demo...

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by winginit
Fri May 15, 2020 9:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA planning layoffs but not AA, DL etc..?
Replies: 110
Views: 14958

Re: UA planning layoffs but not AA, DL etc..?

I’m not arguing that some stations personal might get cut, but they work for many different companies, so they are not being technically cut by Allegiant. So far Allegiant as an entity has not announced any lay offs, in any department. And just because allegiant is cutting some stations positions, ...

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by winginit
Fri May 15, 2020 7:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Highland Park Cafeteria in Dallas Permnantely Closed
Replies: 6
Views: 533

Re: Highland Park Cafeteria in Dallas Permnantely Closed

Just the beginning. Would not be at all surprised if by the end of this year we have close to 50% of all non national chain restaurants shutting their doors for good. My wife and I are making a point of supporting a couple of very good local restaurants during this time. Carryout isn't the same as ...

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by winginit
Fri May 15, 2020 6:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Burr out as Senate Intelligence Chair amid Insider Trading Probe
Replies: 10
Views: 468

Re: Burr out as Senate Intelligence Chair amid Insider Trading Probe

I keep hearing about Feinstein, but it seems she has everything on the up and up. Speaking of, I hardly see Feinstein anymore. Wonder how she’s doing? Yeah the Feinstein angle of all this turned out to be a non-starter. It turns out that while her husband did indeed move some money around the same ...

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by winginit
Fri May 15, 2020 6:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Highland Park Cafeteria in Dallas Permnantely Closed
Replies: 6
Views: 533

Re: Highland Park Cafeteria in Dallas Permnantely Closed

Just the beginning. Would not be at all surprised if by the end of this year we have close to 50% of all non national chain restaurants shutting their doors for good.

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by winginit
Fri May 15, 2020 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 747
Views: 117468

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

Yes but DL is going to eventually need to order a smaller narrow body replacement. Looking at the current fleet retirement projections, DL has no planned replacements for the MD-88s/90, 717s, and A320s most are 20+ years old and will need replacement soon. Might as well put orders in now to take ad...

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by winginit
Thu May 14, 2020 10:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 747
Views: 117468

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

That may be some reasons, but effectively it means the plan is to cede numerous long-haul markets for the long-term or pay a heavy price to retain them. Some plan that is. We can't forget that the only viable alternative for some 772 routes in the DL fleet is the currently smaller A359 fleet. The A...

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by winginit
Thu May 14, 2020 9:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 747
Views: 117468

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

The question on everyone's lips... can the A359 make it both ways from LAX-SYD with good cargo and passenger loads? If the answer is yes then a few people are going to be screaming into their pillows when it's announced. Sydney is payload restricted with an alternate on the A350. It usually is not ...

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by winginit
Thu May 14, 2020 9:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 747
Views: 117468

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

Delta seemingly confirming in pilot memo that SYD and JNB will stay: Let's just say that what's written in a pilot memo isn't always exactly what will happen. There's always pacifying language. We know from real-world data that DL's A359s aren't well suited for JNB-ATL. It could imply a switch to J...

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by winginit
Thu May 14, 2020 8:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What if more than one vaccine is proven to work?
Replies: 15
Views: 935

Re: What if more than one vaccine is proven to work?

einsteinboricua wrote:
rfields5421 wrote:
We would both prefer kids get vaccinated FIRST. There is no future is we make a mistake and the young become the most negatively impacted group.

I believe children (and teachers) should be the first to be vaccinated


Surely after medical professionals though no?

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by winginit
Thu May 14, 2020 8:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: California 25 race conceded
Replies: 39
Views: 1332

Re: California 25 race conceded

Your statement is comically false. As has been well documented and discussed, Lancaster, California's REPUBLICAN MAYOR requested the in-person voting location . He was backed by Lancaster's two State House Representatives, who are both REPUBLICANS. Lancaster is, as you might guess based on their re...

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by winginit
Thu May 14, 2020 8:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 747
Views: 117468

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

Very sad to see this. Retiring 777 also means DL has decided to permanently withdraw from SYD and JNB. DL will not have a capable aircraft to achieve any meaningful payload on these routes. Not necessarily. LAX-SYD is doable on the higher tonne A350. Like another poster mentioned, Delta can just re...

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by winginit
Wed May 13, 2020 9:47 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Netflix Hollywood
Replies: 14
Views: 1316

Re: Netflix Hollywood

Aaron747 wrote:
Have not seen it. Netflix is out of Los Gatos, so the series title is quite cheeky.


They are but they really aren't. Their Hollywood office is just as big (and possibly bigger if you include their studio?) as Los Gatos.

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by winginit
Wed May 13, 2020 9:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: California 25 race conceded
Replies: 39
Views: 1332

Re: California 25 race conceded

The governor in California said the election was to be mail by vote. But then it became clear there were more registered Republicans sending ballots, then they decided to open up voting locations for this in heavily democrat areas, what was the idea of vote by mail then? to prevent people getting C...

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by winginit
Wed May 13, 2020 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,
Replies: 308
Views: 41553

Re: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,

No, the government cannot run things well. The military is host full of inefficiencies, in the Air Force you have the F-35, which is late and over budget, the F-22 which was over budget, the B-2 which was over budget, the B-52 which hasn't had an adequate replacement, the B-1 which was over budget....

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by winginit
Wed May 13, 2020 9:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,
Replies: 308
Views: 41553

Re: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,

20.5 million people filed for unemployment in April w/o any major airline layoffs. Right... because no carrier who took a dime of grant money from the government is allowed to lay anyone off until October 1st. United has already said that those who are being laid off will be notified end of July an...

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by winginit
Wed May 13, 2020 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,
Replies: 308
Views: 41553

Re: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,

A guarantee of disaster. Government is fundamentally incapable of efficiency; name one thing ANY government runs well. And the ONLY force that leads to efficiency is competition. Ah yes, because government run SQ and EK are just known globally for being total shite airlines. Those airlines are put ...

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by winginit
Wed May 13, 2020 4:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did UA have a monopoly at EWR?
Replies: 80
Views: 10162

Re: Why did UA have a monopoly at EWR?

EWR was such a backwater in the 1970's that EA was the largest carrier there while it was their THIRD priority among NY area airports. TW had a few "leftover" flights pre-deregulation from EWR as did UA. I could be wrong but AA who was a major player competing with EA & TW at JFK and ...

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by winginit
Wed May 13, 2020 2:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA planning layoffs but not AA, DL etc..?
Replies: 110
Views: 14958

Re: UA planning layoffs but not AA, DL etc..?

United is being honorable and running their business professionally. Announcing layoffs with no severance definitely fosters widespread angst amongst employees. As you may know, voluntary departures in the meantime are offered a little something. This forces a game theory exercise on the workforce ...

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by winginit
Tue May 12, 2020 4:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,
Replies: 308
Views: 41553

Re: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,

I think you're right that Delta will have to write down a lot of assets on their balance sheet after this is all over and definitely rethink their international strategy depending on who's left, and in what way, at the end of this pandemic. But... their strength domestically (independent of their i...

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by winginit
Tue May 12, 2020 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,
Replies: 308
Views: 41553

Re: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,

In endless pursuit of efficiency, one is most optimal? Late stage capitalism? Bring back regulation? Given environmental concerns, not unfathomable anymore? Merge the 3 airlines and then have the government run it. A guarantee of disaster. Government is fundamentally incapable of efficiency; name o...

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by winginit
Tue May 12, 2020 5:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,
Replies: 308
Views: 41553

Re: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,

How on earth do people expect low-cost airlines to survive when full service airlines can't even survive? Because in an economic downturn, people can still afford a low-cost ticket I would say. Because in this particular predicament your cash + unencumbered asset to cash burn ratio is all that matt...

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by winginit
Tue May 12, 2020 1:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,
Replies: 308
Views: 41553

Re: Boeing CEO: A major US airline likely will go out of business this year,

I mean, he can’t just come out and say AA is so far up to its eyes in debt that they will be out of business by the end of the year ... he’s gotta keep it in generalities. I thought it would be AA. I wasn’t sure for a while You know I never thought we'd see another carving of the cooked pig like we...

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by winginit
Mon May 11, 2020 3:12 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion
Replies: 197
Views: 8859

Re: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion

What’s really sad is GA has made tattoo parlors essential while the grand jury process has been sitting on its ass for three months on this - no thanks to the apparently conflicted DA. These two need to be on trial for murder pronto. They have just been arrested for murder. It won't go to trial, th...

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by winginit
Fri May 08, 2020 7:57 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion
Replies: 197
Views: 8859

Re: Ahmaud Arbery Shooting Discussion

What’s really sad is GA has made tattoo parlors essential while the grand jury process has been sitting on its ass for three months on this - no thanks to the apparently conflicted DA. These two need to be on trial for murder pronto. They have just been arrested for murder. It won't go to trial, th...

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by winginit
Thu May 07, 2020 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Q1 2020 earnings report
Replies: 29
Views: 4259

Re: JetBlue Q1 2020 earnings report

tphuang wrote:
That's a small advantage airlines like AA/UA/B6/NK has against airlines that do a lot more fuel hedging like WN/AS/DL.


DL does not engage in any fuel hedging at present.

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by winginit
Wed May 06, 2020 9:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for the airlines to restart advertising
Replies: 114
Views: 10444

Re: Time for the airlines to restart advertising

Slowly but surely, around the world airline traffic will start coming back These are very difficult times, the need for all possible measures to mitigate the spread of CV19 is paramount I see airlines taking all kinds of precautions to provide the ‘cleanest’ possible environment and encourage passe...

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by winginit
Wed May 06, 2020 9:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Biden's follies
Replies: 384
Views: 17632

Re: Biden's follies

this is a big deal is because with this wing of the Republican Party now having some influence in the Democratic Party, coupled with the Progressive Wing's unwillingness to fight and stand up to the NeoLiberal/establishment wing of the party, what you end up with in the Democratic Party is basicall...

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by winginit
Tue May 05, 2020 9:12 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Biden's follies
Replies: 384
Views: 17632

Re: Biden's follies

Based on the new standard Democrats came up with during the Kavanaugh hearings, Biden must now proove he is innocent and he is to be presumed guilty until or unless that happens. Is that the new standard? Because Kavanaugh sure as hell didn't prove he was innocent so not sure how you square that. T...

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by winginit
Tue May 05, 2020 9:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Should November US election be canceled?
Replies: 133
Views: 3620

Re: Should November election be canceled?

With the current COVID19 pandemic not letting up, and it certainly wont be over by November, should the November Presidential Election be canceled? I don't think during a national crisis is the time to have a change in leadership. We need to maintain stable excellence in leadership with expertise i...

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by winginit
Mon May 04, 2020 11:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The 1918 Spanish Flu
Replies: 13
Views: 1323

Re: The 1918 Spanish Flu

The curve isn’t vastly different than the rest of the EU. Fewer per capita deaths than most of the large EU nations. They have an export driven economy, so effected by others. I mean... I think I might consider it vastly different given it is one of the very few EU nation curves that's going up... ...

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by winginit
Mon May 04, 2020 10:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The 1918 Spanish Flu
Replies: 13
Views: 1323

Re: The 1918 Spanish Flu

With the coronavirus currently taking place, I am wondering how life went during the 1918 Spanish Flu. How was learning in schools done for example, because doing so electronically was not an option back then obviously and many schools were closed for a while. Also, how was testing and social dista...

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by winginit
Mon May 04, 2020 10:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Boyd Group Intl. suggests that US airports sue China's CCP
Replies: 94
Views: 4905

Re: Boyd Group Intl. suggests that US airports sue China's CCP

Maybe you should head your own advice? Virus seemingly around in the USA as early as 1915, mutated in the US: https://academic.oup.com/view-large/figure/131384891/eoz001f1.tif Chinese workers ruled out as cause: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1726490115002610?via%3Dihub (And sin...

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by winginit
Mon May 04, 2020 10:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Biden's follies
Replies: 384
Views: 17632

Re: Biden's follies

Is that the new standard? Because Kavanaugh sure as hell didn't prove he was innocent so not sure how you square that. I thought the real standard, not the made up one was, innocent till proven guilty, why should he prove his innocence, its the task of the accuser to prove her accusations. Do you r...

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by winginit
Mon May 04, 2020 10:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil and the Economy
Replies: 32
Views: 1498

Re: Oil and the Economy

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/072215/can-fracking-survive-60-barrel.asp So 50 to explore new wells. 30 to continue existing wells. Both well above where Oil stands today. Exactly what I was looking for. Thank you. I was hoping Okie would chime in with a more nuanced answer, but I ...

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by winginit
Mon May 04, 2020 4:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Biden's follies
Replies: 384
Views: 17632

Re: Biden's follies

Based on the new standard Democrats came up with during the Kavanaugh hearings, Biden must now proove he is innocent and he is to be presumed guilty until or unless that happens. Is that the new standard? Because Kavanaugh sure as hell didn't prove he was innocent so not sure how you square that. T...

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by winginit
Sat May 02, 2020 2:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United announces Q1 2020 Results
Replies: 26
Views: 4763

Re: United announces Q1 2020 Results

How is it that Delta lost $534 million in Q1 and United lost $1.7bn and AA $2.2bn. Are they that better run? Im not a financial analyst and Kirby did explain this during the town hall the difference between UA's $1.7 billion and then the adjusted $639 million. Don't kill me if I don't explain this ...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 6:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Biden's follies
Replies: 384
Views: 17632

Re: Biden's follies

I am willing to bet Cuomo has already been the plan and he wants it so if Biden either has a medial episode or these allegations have proof watch out! Newsom or Cuomo have been the two I’ve thought of. Newsom might be too left though and risk some of the rust belt not voting for him You need Ohio t...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 6:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil and the Economy
Replies: 32
Views: 1498

Re: Oil and the Economy

The article acknowledge that there is a cost price of USD 40 for some wells. Therefore, the range is USD 40 - 90, whereby the article states that capital investment and additional cost to production are higher for shale oil than conventional oil. Thus whilst the actual cost price of running a shale...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 5:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil and the Economy
Replies: 32
Views: 1498

Re: Oil and the Economy

You must have heard that a long time ago - now it's profitable at $35 - the fracking technology has greatly improved over the last 5-10 years - the biggest problem in west Texas has been the lack of pipeline capacity to move the volumes to the refiners... Again I cited my August 2019 source that ba...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 3:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Reports First-Quarter 2020 Financial Results
Replies: 67
Views: 9466

Re: AA Reports First-Quarter 2020 Financial Results

This could be a game changer if its successful. If it is, bookings should return in the fall (still at lower levels): https://www.businessinsider.com/oxford-vaccine-human-trial-early-results-mid-june-jenner-institute-2020-4 Sorry but no. As has been widely discussed in other threads, even for a vac...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 12:42 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66552

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

In this forum many people told me, that the US was going to be worse hit because it lacked the same social safety net Europe has, and did not have universal healthcare. You are misunderstanding this argument. No-one is claiming the the virus will be more or less deadly due to a strong social safety...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Reports First-Quarter 2020 Financial Results
Replies: 67
Views: 9466

Re: AA Reports First-Quarter 2020 Financial Results

This could be a game changer if its successful. If it is, bookings should return in the fall (still at lower levels): https://www.businessinsider.com/oxford-vaccine-human-trial-early-results-mid-june-jenner-institute-2020-4 Sorry but no. As has been widely discussed in other threads, even for a vac...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 12:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil and the Economy
Replies: 32
Views: 1498

Re: Oil and the Economy

last I heard fracking needed the price of oil at something to the tune of $70 per barrel to be profitable You must have heard that a long time ago - now it's profitable at $35 - the fracking technology has greatly improved over the last 5-10 years - the biggest problem in west Texas has been the la...

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by winginit
Fri May 01, 2020 12:13 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66552

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

This is true, but Europe flattened the curve 2 weeks before us. Flattening the curve does not mean 'ending all cases'. It means there will be a slow decline in the number of new cases. Our peak was very high and a slow decline still means lots of new cases. Likely more than Europe, who's decline in...

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by winginit
Thu Apr 30, 2020 7:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66552

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

I don't think median age can be a statistic to compare. Considering, for example I live in Florida, known to be the mecca for those who retire. The median age in Florida is 42, and the death per capita is 62, whereas NY's median age is 38.2 and the death per capita 1,212. Many things need to be exa...

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by winginit
Thu Apr 30, 2020 7:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66552

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

I think that's one of the only things to feel good about Europe now. Considering Europe has done rather worse than the US with this COVID situation, the lacks of beds and ventilators in Italy, France and Spain, and also deaths per capita are way much higher than the US when compared to Europe as a ...

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by winginit
Thu Apr 30, 2020 7:01 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Biden's follies
Replies: 384
Views: 17632

Re: Biden's follies

Vote for Biden means China goes back to growing while US is going back to being more dependent. I mean... surely you know that regardless of who is President of the United States pure population and middle-class trends cement the fact that China will continue to grow and will eventually surpass the...

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by winginit
Thu Apr 30, 2020 6:45 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66552

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

The US murder rate is 5-10x that of Europe. If you want to compare Europe to the US there are other measures as well. March was the first month in 18 years that there wasn't a school shooting in the US. Scores dying all the time in the US from murders. And then let's talk medical bankruptcies. For ...

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by winginit
Thu Apr 30, 2020 6:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Biden's follies
Replies: 384
Views: 17632

Re: Biden's follies

Don't get me wrong, you are absolutely right. They can do that. BUT if you are talking about difference between elections in 2012 and 2020 you simply have to acknowledge that another set of very powerful factors joined the table. There's just no comparison and it is easy to see why liberal / progre...

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