Search found 2075 matches

by hivue
Sun Oct 06, 2019 8:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B17 Crash at BDL October 2nd, 2019
Replies: 165
Views: 41328

Re: B17 Crash at BDL October 2nd, 2019

mjgbtv wrote:
I got the impression from the FAA briefing that they had seen some video.


That was an NTSB press breifing a couple of days ago. They said they have airport CCTV showing the airplane impacting the deicing farm, which allowed them to time that event precisely.

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by hivue
Fri Oct 04, 2019 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 744834

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

ubeema wrote:
We shall see what FBI/DoJ come up with in Boeing/FAA probes. Burden of proof is still on Boeing


"FBI/DoJ" implies a criminal activity investigation. In criminal cases the burden of proof always lies with the prosecution.

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by hivue
Thu Oct 03, 2019 9:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B17 Crash at BDL October 2nd, 2019
Replies: 165
Views: 41328

Re: B17 Crash at BDL October 2nd, 2019

What do the experts say about the audio transcription (IF it is accurate as reported here)? Is it SOP for the controller to ask so many questions rather than facilitate an expedient return? Say what? Listening to the ATC recordings (assuming they were posted to the newspaper web site complete) the ...

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by hivue
Thu Oct 03, 2019 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 744834

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boeing-pushed-faa-to-arelax-737-max-certification-requirements-for-crew-alerts/ quote: Boeing’s state-of-the-art system Early in the development of the 737 MAX, Boeing considered equipping the flight deck with its state-of-the-art flight-crew a...

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by hivue
Thu Oct 03, 2019 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 744834

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

Sorry but statistically you're going to have to on 50% of the flights you fly on, whether you like it or not. Because that's how averages work. :roll: Sorry but that's how median works, not average. If the distribution can be biased -- by better selection processes, better training, a better pool o...

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by hivue
Tue Oct 01, 2019 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 744834

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

From an AP story -- " He [WN pilot union chairman for training] said the FAA is considering revising a half-dozen pilot checklists related to MCAS and flight-control computers, which he said would take at least 30 days ." https://www.yahoo.com/sports/southwest-pilots-see-february-march-224...

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by hivue
Sun Sep 29, 2019 11:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

You may want to also note NTSB's push back on the FAA's four second reaction time with 100% accuracy standard, and its desire to shift to the ill-defined "average pilot" standard instead, which is troubling because forty nine percent of pilots are below average. 49% of pilots are below th...

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by hivue
Wed Sep 25, 2019 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Does this mean that a software limit was added to MCAS to not allow the pilot to electrically trim out all of the MCAS input? IF that is the case, then the runaway stabilizer NNC as written would not work once the MCAS runaway progressed beyond a certain point. It's likely the runaway pitch trim NN...

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by hivue
Mon Sep 23, 2019 6:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

We have 2 opposite requirements (1)think before pushing random switches - which is a generic approach for complex systems. (2) 3 second response required by MCAS - response to high threat situation. If you see a lion, lion also sees you... Think about what works best in modern world. What works bes...

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by hivue
Fri Sep 20, 2019 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

One of the main points to control speed is elevator and trim. Speed is controlled with the thrust levers. The ET crew -- for whatever reason -- failed to use them. There has been a narrative growing on this thread amongst the large number of "crew apologists" (to be distinguished from the...

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by hivue
Thu Sep 19, 2019 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

but I wait to read the accident investigation reports. I read mist AAIB ones. The reports you refer to will not be coming from the AAIB (or the NTSB either). I realise that it will not be AAIB or NTSB - but if you read those you should understand how these things are written. I do read them and adm...

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by hivue
Thu Sep 19, 2019 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

StTim wrote:
but I wait to read the accident investigation reports.

I read mist AAIB ones.


The reports you refer to will not be coming from the AAIB (or the NTSB either).

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by hivue
Thu Sep 19, 2019 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

They should not even mention the pilots, who are unable to defend themselves from any blame. I say lets go one better. Let's make this retroactive. Change all previous official accident reports concluding that some form of pilot error was involved where the crew did not survive to eliminate any ref...

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by hivue
Sun Sep 15, 2019 8:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I really wonder, why the FAA did not insist on test flights with the MCAS switched off too. Schrödingers 737 cat: If you don't look the cat is still alive. When the MAX starts flying again everybody, their brother, and his dog will be watching and the waveform collapses. Boeing has been burned very...

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by hivue
Thu Sep 12, 2019 6:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I believe Boeing would be better off not betting on a staggered RTS but in waiting for full global RTS and approval by not just the FAA but also EASA, CAAC and others for the max. That would show the world that safety comes before profit and that they've learnt from this horrible mistake. Reality l...

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by hivue
Thu Sep 12, 2019 6:35 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: What is VFR?
Replies: 40
Views: 5998

Re: What is VFR?

In the airline industry, VFR as visiting friends and relatives is probably actually used more than visual flight rules since there is far more discussion over market forces, routes and traffic levels than there is over actual clear-day operating conditions. How many airline operations are done Visu...

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by hivue
Wed Sep 11, 2019 10:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I imagine EASA will be flying MCAS-off stall test points to inform their opinion. Why would they do this? The aerodynamic stall characteristics of the MAX were determined during the original flight test campaign. MCAS would not have had any effect on that. Or, if MCAS (1.0 or 2.0) does somehow alte...

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by hivue
Wed Sep 11, 2019 10:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Convair CV-440 Freighter Crash at TOL
Replies: 60
Views: 14182

Re: Cargo Plane Crash at TOL

Parts carriers for the auto industry, always a dodgy deal. What makes you say that? Just curious? Well, when I flew checks we lost 4 planes and pilots in 3 years. Guys in the check flying business thought auto parts was a cutthroat, marginal operation. I’ve seen operators that still in the business...

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by hivue
Tue Sep 10, 2019 8:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

no read the EASA documents are already postet here in that thread its written word by word "... has a tendency to pitch up..." and "... has a tendency to stall at about 16% (or 16 degree) AoA ..." That document also calls MCAS an Anti-Stall system. It's like EASA developed it's ...

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by hivue
Tue Sep 10, 2019 5:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 372966

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

You do not use every tiny bit of structure capabilities in routine operation. This is something called "safety margin" - to account for imperfections, wear, statistical variation etc. Correct. My post was about certification, though. Based on some replies it sounds like the airplane will ...

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by hivue
Tue Sep 10, 2019 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 372966

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

asdf wrote:
a fail @ 99% of the 150% load is simply bad luck


I would think the question is what does the airplane have to ultimately be certified to -- the 100% or the 150%? I would guess the 100%. However, I believe, e.g., flutter testing needs to be done to well beyond Mmo/Vmo, all the way to design limit.

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by hivue
Fri Sep 06, 2019 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I agree that the two main aviation authorities - FAA and EASA - should stand in unison when it comes to these things. But I think there was a break of trust between them after the 737 MAX saga. Which is understandable. The FAA will not wait too long for other sovereign aviation authorities to agree...

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by hivue
Thu Sep 05, 2019 4:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

But at the same time no "silly walks" about stick feedback preventing the pilot from flying the plane. I am no pilot or aeronautical engineer, but my understanding is that stick force requirements are in the regulations so that pilots can recognize a seriously out of trim situation and fi...

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by hivue
Mon Aug 19, 2019 10:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Okay… about pilot training, here’s my question to all poster here. Was it reasonable for Boeing to design MCAS v1 as it did, with the justification that the pilots should know how to save the plane? " Well, it seemed like a good idea at the time ." anon. Yes, it was reasonable. The proble...

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by hivue
Fri Aug 16, 2019 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ural Airlines A321 VQ-BOZ 15 august 2019 Moscow emergency landing
Replies: 191
Views: 35622

Re: Ural Airlines A321 VQ-BOZ 15 august 2019 Moscow emergency landing

tu204 wrote:
(with a buzz)


Heard an ex-A320 pilot on the web speculate that it was the RAT.

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by hivue
Fri Aug 09, 2019 12:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

kalvado wrote:
MAX demonstrated a worst fear of FBW approach


The MAX is not a FBW airplane. If it were, we would not be having this discussion.

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by hivue
Thu Aug 08, 2019 6:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I almost thought I could fly the thing. I am good at turning nobs. You just about could. Engage LNAV and VNAV right after gear up, get no curve balls thrown at you by ATC en route, no unpredicted weather, an airplane and a runway equipped for auto-land, someone to point to the right knobs and just ...

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by hivue
Tue Aug 06, 2019 6:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

It is truly remarkable that there is zero official info coming from Boeing on that new issue from June. The only thing that came from Boeing is that "new issue has been identified by FAA" and "it will be fixed in September". Why can't they elaborate just a little bit so that the...

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by hivue
Mon Aug 05, 2019 1:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I still don't quite understand the reason for the "stick lightening," though I believe the issue has to do with an FAR specifying that in certain situations stick forces must increase with increasing airspeed, something like 1 lb per 6 kts increase or something like that. The MAX apparent...

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by hivue
Fri Aug 02, 2019 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

par13del wrote:
Ever thought we could be grateful the 737 was not full FBW, this would be it, imagine rewriting that much code for deployment and testing in 3 months.


The 737 isn't even a little bit FBW.

And if the MAX was FBW we wouldn't even be having this discussion.

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by hivue
Tue Jul 30, 2019 8:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

par13del wrote:
planecane wrote:
they also have a requirement to ensure that failures are contained right?


I doubt if there is any regulation which requires that. In many cases it would be physically impossible to contain a turbine rotor that has come apart.

See post 1148 above.

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by hivue
Tue Jul 30, 2019 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN Practices Sustainable?
Replies: 148
Views: 18752

Re: WN Practices Sustainable?

WN Practices Sustainable?

Their practice of flying only 737s may not be -- certainly not in the long run.

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by hivue
Mon Jul 29, 2019 9:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

NYT suggests that Boeing management is pressuring engineers to keep costs low to keep the stock price high, presumably because management bonuses are often stock grants or options. Management remuneration (not just bonuses) often is heavily influenced by stock price period. If the (major, at any ra...

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by hivue
Thu Jul 25, 2019 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

So building MAX simulators is also on hold by the FAA? There is no "building" of anything that is "on hold" by the FAA. MAXs are still being built at a rate of 40 or so per month (at least until Q4). Sim builders can build as many MAX sims as they want. Of course, they'll have t...

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by hivue
Fri Jul 19, 2019 4:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Unverified: Fiji Airways skips 737 MAX quality inspections.
Replies: 118
Views: 21606

Re: Unverified: Fiji Airways skips 737 MAX quality inspections.

blueglacier737 wrote:
I'm a mechanic on the 737 MAX final assembly in Renton, Washington.


Are "mechanics" used on the FAL? Is that the official term for aircraft assemblers? If not, what would they be using their "mechanic" skills to fix? The tooling?

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by hivue
Wed Jul 17, 2019 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

For those predicting financial doom for Boeing or wondering why its stock price has held up as well as it has -- https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-much-boeing-stock-worth-if-737-max-never-flies-again-51563305527?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo EDIT: This link may work better -- https://finance.yahoo...

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by hivue
Tue Jul 16, 2019 10:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Until the final repot on the ET crash, I won't categorize it as "bad luck." You've missed my point entirely. The two crashes definitely were not due to "bad luck." The bad luck enters due to the two crashes occurring so close to each other and under virtually identical circumsta...

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by hivue
Tue Jul 16, 2019 9:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I totally agree, my point is that the pain of the Max grounding is bad, but imagine if it was 1,500 planes or 20% of the current in service fleet, that would be a disaster for aviation. not shure if they would have grounded it then .... Right. Hours/cycles would be a better measure, but these two c...

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by hivue
Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines extends 737 Max flight cancellations through November 2019
Replies: 58
Views: 10068

Re: American Airlines extends 737 Max flight cancellations through November 2019

The thread title is incorrect. It's through October... plus a couple of days in November.

The situation is bad enough without any exaggeration.

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by hivue
Thu Jul 11, 2019 10:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

The cost of the eventual fix and the compensation payments must have wiped out any profit Boeing could hope to make on these birds. I'm going to go waaaaaaaaay out on a limb ( :D ) and predict that the MAX eventually will end up just as much a cash cow for Boeing as its ancestors have been. Boeing ...

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by hivue
Wed Jul 10, 2019 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Boeing should add a safety mechanism to the 737 MAX that will disable MCAS if the plane is descending too quickly in order to avoid another tragedy similar to JT 610 or ET 302. This safety mechanism should be designed at safety level A (catastrophic failure condition), and this safety mechanism sho...

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by hivue
Tue Jul 09, 2019 6:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Without reading through 8 million posts, how hard would it be for Boeing to convert the already built or nearly built MAXs to NGs should the MAX program be cancelled or severely postponed?... then market them to airlines with existing MAX orders at further discounts. Boeing likely would end up with...

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by hivue
Thu Jul 04, 2019 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I'm shocked that they are still building 40 frames a month in Renton. It shows loyalty to their workers but at some point they'll have to stop. Loyalty to their workers likely has little to do with it. Boeing's stock has remained relatively stable (give the circumstances) but, per what I've heard o...

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by hivue
Wed Jul 03, 2019 9:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I don't know. To me this argument sounds like "the purpose of a wall switch is to provide current to the light bulb, not to turn the light on". That argument would be valid except for the fact there are real stall prevention systems -- systems that actually prevent the pilot from stalling...

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by hivue
Wed Jul 03, 2019 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

It appears that some people still believe Boeing without hard data at hand. I (along with a number of others) have been making the "MCAS is not stall prevention" point often in these threads. But if I'm wrong and MCAS is a Boeing alpha prot/alph floor equivalent, minus the FBW, I will gen...

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by hivue
Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

If you hit a strong microburst in a bad weather approach you might be toast without MACS. Imagine you are on approach, before flaps are down at around 5000ft agl and you are hit by a strong microburst. Autopilot is immediately off and when you realized what happened you are 3500ft agl descending. Y...

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by hivue
Tue Jul 02, 2019 8:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ten dead after King Air crashes shortly after takeoff
Replies: 71
Views: 19309

Re: Ten dead after King Air crashes shortly after takeoff

I have a question for those with the expertise to answer it: Exactly how do-able is safe recovery from a failure of the critical engine at precisely the most critical instant of takeoff in a King Air 350 being properly operated, heavily (not over-) loaded, in benign weather? Should any fully qualifi...

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by hivue
Mon Jul 01, 2019 10:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Personally, I would like to see the test run again with line Max pilots not FAA Pilots. It's not beyond the scope for this to have been an attempt to "see we are being tough" by the FAA. I would not put this past them given their current quandary. There is simply too much of a disconnect ...

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by hivue
Mon Jul 01, 2019 10:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

In other words, if Boeing had bitten the bullet of the additional training costs associated with the pilot training that would have been required by the different handling characteristics of an NG and a MAX without MCAS, the MAX would still have been a highly fuel efficient plane and attractive to ...

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by hivue
Mon Jul 01, 2019 5:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 670033

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Sorry, you cant say the deign isn't the design. Except you just did! Relax. The poster I quoted was trying to provide the summary of "known facts" that a previous poster had requested for part 1 this new thread. I was just trying to clean up the "known facts" part in the interes...

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