Search found 994 matches

by bob75013
Thu Sep 05, 2019 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Tim Clark: won't take new planes unless engines are truly ready
Replies: 284
Views: 45596

Re: Reuters: Tim Clark: won't take new planes unless engines are truly ready

But that is neither here nor there with regards to this discussion, what I see is that Tim Clark is using the problems engines OEMs are having as a negotiation tactic with Airbus and Boeing on their current and future orders. Sure, but he's not wrong when it comes to the impact that some of the rec...

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by bob75013
Wed Sep 04, 2019 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

"Boeing sticks by target for 737 MAX return" Story out today. Boeing continues to expect MAXs to be flying by early 4Q19. I suspect the company has had extensive and ongoing discussions with the FAA on the matter, So the expectation is likely based on more than just hopes and dreams. https...

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by bob75013
Tue Sep 03, 2019 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How will Hawaiian react to competition from Southwest?
Replies: 88
Views: 13132

Re: How will Hawaiian react to competition from Southwest?

Presumably Southwest will set up some schedules so that the same jet flies from Midway, Dallas Love Field and BWI on to a California city and straight on to Honolulu or Maui. Passengers will be attracted to the flights because they will be able to board and fall asleep in their chairs until they ar...

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by bob75013
Mon Sep 02, 2019 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is consolidation over in the US ?
Replies: 117
Views: 16378

Re: Is consolidation over in the US ?

A lot of the discussion has swiveled around the regionals or one of the smaller airlines. But we did see an approval of Sprint and T-Mobile in 3-4 player market, so why not a future merger amongst any pairing of AA, DL, WN and UA themselves to form the mother of all airlines?? possible in the event...

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by bob75013
Sun Sep 01, 2019 6:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is consolidation over in the US ?
Replies: 117
Views: 16378

Re: Is consolidation over in the US ?

When the US abolished the Sherman Act, the US ceased to be a free market economy. That is not an opinion, it's a definition of economics : the US3 oligopoly is influencing fares, the central condition of market economy, "atomicity of actors", is no more. Big players are influencing prices...

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by bob75013
Sat Aug 31, 2019 5:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Boeing Fears 737 Worker Exodus in Tightest Job Market in Decades By Julie Johnsson and Jeff Kearns August 29, 2019, 5:00 AM EDT In high demand, experienced engineers could switch industries Planemaker considers temporary closure of Max factory lines; https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2019...

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by bob75013
Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

As to the plane, first off, we know that AOA sensors are prone to failure at a relatively high rate. Secondly, regardless of what maintenance may or may not have done correctly, a mere faulty AOA sensor should never have been able to put the plane into danger. Boeing will always shoulder the blame ...

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by bob75013
Fri Aug 30, 2019 1:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Boeing Fears 737 Worker Exodus in Tightest Job Market in Decades By Julie Johnsson and Jeff Kearns August 29, 2019, 5:00 AM EDT In high demand, experienced engineers could switch industries Planemaker considers temporary closure of Max factory lines https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2019-...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 29, 2019 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder
Replies: 40
Views: 9702

Re: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder

At this time, CFM (whom LionAir ordered) is running late, but the whole A320 production is held. I'm not aware of Pratt failing to meet delivery schedule. So the answer is Airbus alone cannot meet LionAir's needs. With the MAX delivery suspended and the building is put down to 40 a month, CFM Inter...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit Airlines looking at larger aircraft from Boeing
Replies: 62
Views: 13055

Re: Spirit Airlines looking at larger aircraft from Boeing

SQ32 wrote:
I see a definite PR advantage when an airline can showcase her fleet without a single MAX.


You mean until there's an A320 incident????

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Indonesian government to force Indonesian airlines to switch to Boeing"
Replies: 69
Views: 15788

Re: "Indonesian government to force Indonesian airlines to switch to Boeing"

tigerzhong13 wrote:
What happens if ANOTHER fatal accident of 737 happens there? :smile:


You you mean MAXs? Nothing would happen since they're not flying.

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by bob75013
Tue Aug 27, 2019 1:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

There's been no announcment about the grounding being lifted, but when Boeing does things like this, IT IS telling eveyone that the grounding will soon be lifted: "Citing three anonymous sources, Reuters revealed that Boeing is planning to raise its MAX monthly output by five units to 47 jets i...

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by bob75013
Mon Aug 26, 2019 8:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Absolute nonsense. The manual trim wheel should be a back up under any circumstances . What the MCAS disaster showed us is, that you can not predict when you will need that backup and under what circumstances. Absolute nonsense. Aviation standards do not require a back up for "any circumstance...

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by bob75013
Mon Aug 26, 2019 8:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of AA hub at PHX
Replies: 103
Views: 12553

Re: Future of AA hub at PHX

DLASFlyer wrote:
Phoenix is the fastest growing large metro in the nation.



DFW is gaining 150k a year. Does Phoenix beat that?

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by bob75013
Mon Aug 26, 2019 11:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America
Replies: 31
Views: 9135

Re: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America

cargil48 wrote:


Regarding the MAX8 problems, I see only one solution to solve the problem AND to regain confidence from the market: .


Tell that to IAG and other customers that will likely order hundreds of them after the grounding is lifted.

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by bob75013
Sun Aug 25, 2019 8:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What is Boeing’s overall commercial game plan?
Replies: 131
Views: 19348

Re: What is Boeing’s overall commercial game plan?

I'm not an expert, but I would think, that Boeing's plan for near future is to avoid paying compensations to all airlines suffering from MAX grounding. I flew LO few weeks back and had a word with flight attendant about the LO company and plans etc. It seems that LO will struggle to get compensatio...

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by bob75013
Sun Aug 25, 2019 1:06 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: B744 Global Supertanker - Any avionics modifications?
Replies: 4
Views: 2315

Re: B744 Global Supertanker - Any avionics modifications?

Could you imagine what an A380 ultra xl super duper tanker could do?

:-)

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by bob75013
Fri Aug 23, 2019 10:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

lhrnue wrote:
Is there somewhere a summary/progress report of the re-certification progress?


Ah, no -- becasue the aircraft was not de certified.

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 22, 2019 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Costly fix required on all GP7200s entering US
Replies: 25
Views: 5433

Dozens of Airbus A380s face urgent checks after cracked part dug from icel

Investigators probing an engine explosion on an Air France A380 in 2017 are studying a possible manufacturing flaw in a recently salvaged cracked part in a move likely to trigger urgent checks on dozens of Airbus superjumbos, people familiar with the matter said. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclu...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 22, 2019 4:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Boeing is sure taking actions that indicate that it thinks the grounding order will be lifted shortly. 1) Yesterday it was the announcment that it will hire 200 temp techs to get the parked/recent builds ready to fly. 2) Today the announcment that it will increase Max production rates to 52/month in...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 22, 2019 4:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today
Replies: 28
Views: 4646

Re: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today

And Boeing share are up ANOTHER $14 today. For those of you who were poo pooing yesterday's $10, how doyou feel about $24 in two days? I bet I know why it's up too. Boeing's kicking MAX production rates back to 52/month stating in February. Anybody think it would do that if it had any doubts about t...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 21, 2019 6:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today
Replies: 28
Views: 4646

Re: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today

WayexTDI wrote:
Being up $10 means nothing in itself. As the stock currently trades for around $340, it's up by a little less than 3%; good sign, but nothing spectacular.


Up 3% is up 300% of the amount that the DOW index is up. Boeing is part of that index, so it would be up far less sans Boeing.

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 21, 2019 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN ending ATL-BOS
Replies: 66
Views: 9200

Re: WN ending ATL-BOS

lightsaber wrote:
WN is short of aircraft. I fully expect marginal routes to be cut.

Lightsaber



Yup. By EOY probably 70 MAXs plus those 19 leased 700's that will be getting UA paint jobs.

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 21, 2019 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today
Replies: 28
Views: 4646

Re: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today

Preumaby people are taking the announced addition of temporary workers as an indication that MAXs will soon fly. There have to be over 200 new MAXs out there just waiting to be delivered. I expect a $30-$50 jump in share price the day the FAA says that MAX grounding has been lifted. Yes, but that i...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 21, 2019 4:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today
Replies: 28
Views: 4646

Boeing Share Price up Almost $10 Today

Preumaby people are taking the announced addition of temporary workers as an indication that MAXs will soon fly. There have to be over 200 new MAXs out there just waiting to be delivered.

I expect a $30-$50 jump in share price the day the FAA says that MAX grounding has been lifted.

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by bob75013
Tue Aug 20, 2019 10:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

After a million posts, and a thousand of them still writing that it was the pilots‘ fault/error... I want to ask them to find one (american if you want) pilot, who would agree to take seat in the cockpit, right after take off when a dozen of lights started to blink. If you found just one pilot hone...

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by bob75013
Mon Aug 19, 2019 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

We had two Lion MAXs. One crashed. One survivded the same situation that caused the other to crash. Edit add: What's the difference between the two? Answer: What the fight crew did or did not do. Wny should that not be part of the discussion? How can you say it should not be part of the discussion ...

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by bob75013
Mon Aug 19, 2019 1:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I'm sorry, I've totally lost you there. ... You guys are going through a lot of word flexing trying to convince yourself that MCAS is a minor thing, and that if we had competent pilots, it would not be needed. I'm not buying that, and neither do the FAA and EASA (rightfully). Everyone including Boe...

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by bob75013
Sun Aug 18, 2019 2:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

The MAX grounding is a short-term event. If the long-term economics of the MAX make sense for WN, and if Boeing can effectively address the cause of the grounding, then there's no reason to pivot away from the MAX. Dropping the MAX because of this grounding is akin to closing the station at DEN due...

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by bob75013
Sat Aug 17, 2019 12:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 606
Views: 103141

Re: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Why would the city of Dallas care if WN served DFW and DAL? What is the leverage? The City owns and is ultimately responsible for the well-being of Love Field - Southwest's shifting of capacity out of DAL could certainly create a ripple effect. Sure, DL would take a couple of gates and add capacity...

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by bob75013
Fri Aug 16, 2019 10:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?
Replies: 395
Views: 54249

Re: Any leaks, ideas, or otherwise: What is Airbus' next clean-sheet aircraft?

The A320 is "future-proof" because it represents THE pinnacle of NB aircraft design, and will still be in production until flying becomes unfeasible due to GHG emissions. ...not exactly sure what that means. On the one hand, you say the A320, EIS in 1988, still represents the "THE pi...

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by bob75013
Fri Aug 16, 2019 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/canadas- ... 48366.html
-->

Well it appears that at least one airline doesn't expect MAXs to fly anytime soon

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/canadas- ... 48366.html

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by bob75013
Fri Aug 16, 2019 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 606
Views: 103141

Re: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

So DAL is staying at 195 departures. It's just a reshuffling of the deck. There will be added frequencies to many DAL markets. I'm sure WN would love to have frequencies to AMA, LBB, AUS, SAT, HOU, LIT, OKC, TUL, ELP, MAF and others at the level they were duing Wright Amendment days. Planes were fu...

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by bob75013
Fri Aug 16, 2019 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

What would they do with 250 seat airplanes? Remeber the good old days when people sai "What would WN do with a 175 seat plane?" Well at DAL, it would be quite useful in burying AA. Going from 150 seats to 175 is no where close to going to 250 seats from 175. Could Southwest order a few, f...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 10:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

Anyone remember back in the day when SW was rumored to be looking at a twin aisle aircraft? Those were the days... I think it was around 2005. Boeing was pushing the 787-3 with them in mind... more pax, less fuss. Same routes... WN is more likely to get a twin aisle 797 rather than a single aisle A...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 10:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

Given that Gary Kelly said this: Speaking at a chamber of commerce event in Dallas, Kelly said Southwest has no plans to abandon the 737 Max. In fact, he said it will purchase "hundreds" more 737 Max aircraft. https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/southwest-airlines-just-made-a-truly-stunnin...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 10:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

Anyone remember back in the day when SW was rumored to be looking at a twin aisle aircraft? Those were the days... I think it was around 2005. Boeing was pushing the 787-3 with them in mind... more pax, less fuss. Same routes... WN is more likely to get a twin aisle 797 rather than a single aisle A...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 606
Views: 103141

Re: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

So DAL is staying at 195 departures. It's just a reshuffling of the deck. There will be added frequencies to many DAL markets. I'm sure WN would love to have frequencies to AMA, LBB, AUS, SAT, HOU, LIT, OKC, TUL, ELP, MAF and others at the level they were duing Wright Amendment days. Planes were fu...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

Given that Gary Kelly said this: Speaking at a chamber of commerce event in Dallas, Kelly said Southwest has no plans to abandon the 737 Max. In fact, he said it will purchase "hundreds" more 737 Max aircraft. https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/southwest-airlines-just-made-a-truly-stunning...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 8:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 606
Views: 103141

Re: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

OKC is just a big shock to me. I worked for WN at DAL as a supervisor and all the OKC flights were usually 2/3 full and heavy on business travelers. DAL just got its throat cut with this schedule, damn. Over 86% of the passengers on the WN DAL-OKC nonstops were connecting to other destinations in 2...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

What if this had happened a few years down the road when Southwest had a couple hundred MAXes in the fleet instead of the 30 or so they have now? Southwest needs another fleet type to mitigate risk. If you look at their 10K, there it is clear as day in the risk factors section – reliance on a singl...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 4:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 606
Views: 103141

Re: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

They must really be pulling a decent amount of aircraft from the mainland, which is an odd strategy given their fleet situation https://www.southwest.com/hawaii/ https://i.imgur.com/8U5SF8F.jpg Why is it an odd strategy?. Lower 48 travel is dead from 1/3 thru spring break. Travel to Hawaii isn't.

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

The risk of being held hostage to one model, one company or one externality is so high that in retrospect it is appalling that big airlines like SW, FR, FZ, U2 still confuse simple with simplistic maths, business is never that simple. With such fleet sizes, diversification is marginally more expens...

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by bob75013
Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets
Replies: 204
Views: 37328

Re: Southwest, a stalwart Boeing 737 MAX customer, eyes other jets

They can wait because they already own enough 150 seaters. Just because an A220 is more efficient doesn't mean it is worth buying one to replace an already paid for 737-700 that still has a decade or more of service left in it. They have over 500 -700s. Even if the retire them 1 for 1 with MAX8 del...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 14, 2019 9:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 675534

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Lawsuits are beginning to materialize. https://www.the-star.co.ke/business/kenya/2019-08-14-a-kenyan-family-joins-1-billion-case-against-boeing/ I believe the Warsaw Convention, as ammended, applies to ET as it was an interntional flight. Thus damages for those unfortunate souls will not come anywh...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 14, 2019 7:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder
Replies: 40
Views: 9702

Re: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder

Rumor is the US embassy stepped in and did a lot of talking with Lion Air and the Indonesian government to save the order. If Lion Air had their way the Boeing contract would have been canceled already, at this point Lion Air seeing as they can’t cancel just want to get as much out of it as they ca...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 14, 2019 3:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder
Replies: 40
Views: 9702

Re: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder

Yeah, no. The clue is in the very first line of the article... And if Boeing offers what it thinks is a reasonable deal and Lion wants more, and Boeing says "NO." What will Lion do? Cancel the deal? -- I don't think so. Where will it get the planes it "urgently" needs? Centainly...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 14, 2019 2:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder
Replies: 40
Views: 9702

Re: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder

Looks like the firm that operated the first MAX to crash seems to have enough confidence in the model to want more of them. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-lion-air-urgently-requires-113845840.html Yeah, no. The clue is in the very first line of the article... Needs to be satisfied with Boeing neg...

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by bob75013
Wed Aug 14, 2019 2:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder
Replies: 40
Views: 9702

Re: Lion Air 'urgently requires' more 737 MAX jets to support growth - co-founder

Looks like the firm that operated the first MAX to crash seems to have enough confidence in the model to want more of them. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-lion-air-urgently-requires-113845840.html That's not what he says. He said the low-cost airline, which had previously threatened to cancel its...

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