Search found 1165 matches

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by Erebus
Wed Jan 01, 2020 5:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737 MAX valuations
Replies: 38
Views: 5606

Re: B737 MAX valuations

You can still buy a zero hour, DC-3 (BT-67) today which left the factory floor 80 years ago. And it costs the same as a brand new aircraft from the competition. Not entirely sure what you meant by the latter part referring to the competition, but the price the market today would pay for a zero hour...

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by Erebus
Wed Jan 01, 2020 1:36 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Betelgeuse to go Supernova in Days or Decades?
Replies: 54
Views: 3582

Re: Betelgeuse to go Supernova in Days or Decades?

I'd like to see Betelgeuse go supernova at some point in my lifetime, but I don't think the recent activity means anything as an indication that it is about to die in the coming days or decades. It is interesting nevertheless as it is very well studied. There are a handful of other stars that also h...

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by Erebus
Wed Jan 01, 2020 1:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737 MAX valuations
Replies: 38
Views: 5606

Re: B737 MAX valuations

You can still buy a zero hour, DC-3 (BT-67) today which left the factory floor 80 years ago. And it costs the same as a brand new aircraft from the competition. Not entirely sure what you meant by the latter part referring to the competition, but the price the market today would pay for a zero hour...

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by Erebus
Fri Dec 13, 2019 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas picks A350-1000 as preferred platform for Project Sunrise; Final decision due March 2020
Replies: 1405
Views: 256892

Re: Updated: Qantas picks A350-1000 as preferred platform for Project Sunrise; Final decision due March 2020

350-1000 to Quantasmeans that they probably will order more 350 in the future together with 787. It will be interesting when Qantas wants something in between the B787-9 and the A35K. It can be filled perfectly with both the B787-10 and the A359. First we have to wait for the final decision about P...

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by Erebus
Tue Oct 29, 2019 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PW1100G geared turbofan accessory gearbox airworthiness directive
Replies: 11
Views: 2048

Re: Geared turbofan gearbox airworthiness directive

Please read the article. This is the accessory gearbox. Not the gearbox driving the fan. Issues with accessory gearboxes plague many engines. Pratt & Whitney says in a statement that it is working in coordination with Airbus, the regulatory authorities and airline customers “to incorporate upgr...

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by Erebus
Tue Oct 29, 2019 2:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PW1100G geared turbofan accessory gearbox airworthiness directive
Replies: 11
Views: 2048

Re: Geared turbofan gearbox airworthiness directive

Please read the article. This is the accessory gearbox. Not the gearbox driving the fan. Issues with accessory gearboxes plague many engines. Pratt & Whitney says in a statement that it is working in coordination with Airbus, the regulatory authorities and airline customers “to incorporate upgr...

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by Erebus
Tue Oct 29, 2019 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IndiGo places firm order for 300 A320neo family aircraft
Replies: 116
Views: 26491

Re: IndiGo places firm order for 300 A320neo family aircraft

Oh the irony, announcing this massive firm order on the same day as when Boeing goes for a congressional hearing on the MAX...

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by Erebus
Mon Oct 28, 2019 6:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement
Replies: 1049
Views: 152872

Re: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement

I was one of those who thought that Boeing might have been able to pull off the NMA business case but just barely, albeit a different timeline. But with Boeing getting hella burned by the MAX disaster, I don't think it would be wise for them to take on another risky project for now. They need to sho...

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by Erebus
Wed Oct 23, 2019 5:14 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Updated: US increases EU aircraft tariffs to 15%
Replies: 167
Views: 4710

Re: How could airbus get around the 10% WTO Tariffs?

That statement reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of how tariffs work and are paid. Tariffs are paid by the importer. That might be Delta, if Delta buys directly from Airbus SE. This is essentially punishing the US airlines instead of Airbus/EU. They are committed by contracts to buy them, now...

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by Erebus
Wed Oct 23, 2019 4:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing reports Q3 results - 787 production rate cut for 2 years, 77X to enter service early 2021
Replies: 63
Views: 15005

Re: Boeing reports Q3 results - 787 production rate cut for 2 years, 77X to enter service early 2021

StTim wrote:
Q3 2019 ($2,424m) Q3 2018 $4,559m

This is a net cash swing of $6,983m in one quarter!

That smarts!


Not successive quarters which is the more useful way to interpret things.

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by Erebus
Wed Oct 23, 2019 3:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing reports Q3 results - 787 production rate cut for 2 years, 77X to enter service early 2021
Replies: 63
Views: 15005

Re: Boeing reports Q3 results - 787 production rate cut for 2 years, 77X to enter service early 2021

Finally there's the idea that the US government would keep Boeing afloat since they are a major part of the US economy as well as the military industrial complex. There are too many people who would be hurt by Boeing going bankrupt for the US government to allow it to happen. Worst case is they wou...

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by Erebus
Tue Oct 22, 2019 2:22 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil Rigs With Public Observation Decks
Replies: 15
Views: 5035

Re: Oil Rigs With Public Observation Decks

There's not much to see from above. But if you are diving enthusiast, there could be quite a lot to see under. Over time, some of these rigs develop really complex rich ecosystems in the middle of what's otherwise deep open water devoid of much life. https://www.afar.com/magazine/some-of-the-best-ne...

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by Erebus
Mon Oct 21, 2019 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas picks A350-1000 as preferred platform for Project Sunrise; Final decision due March 2020
Replies: 1405
Views: 256892

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

The A350-1000 is available now so delaying the start date makes no sense. Delivery slots might not be available until 2023. And if Qantas is waiting for an A350-1000 with an MTOW greater than 319,000kg, that is not yet available and needs to be certified, which could result in a 2023 availability. ...

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by Erebus
Mon Oct 21, 2019 12:10 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Geographic places often mispronounced
Replies: 70
Views: 12090

Re: Geographic places often mispronounced

Redd wrote:
Can't beat Poland for this.... lol


It would seem that the Polish have the most use for the letter "z".

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by Erebus
Mon Oct 21, 2019 12:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas picks A350-1000 as preferred platform for Project Sunrise; Final decision due March 2020
Replies: 1405
Views: 256892

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

travelhound wrote:
All this research and testing sounds a little "Clockwork Orange" to me!


Not unless they played a bit of the old Ludwig van during the flight.

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by Erebus
Sun Oct 20, 2019 3:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 746329

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

I see why you think of this in a bombshell, but the text just confirms the accusations of a WaPo article months ago saying the same things about Boeing not telling FAA about the MCAS changes, but at the time the story was attributed to unnamed sources. In essence many have treated this as a part of...

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by Erebus
Fri Oct 18, 2019 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 746329

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

This is bad, No matter where you look, the news coming out just gets worse. Is this the end of the 737, or are we still going to run with "making a safe plane safer"? In the world we live in, with the expectations we have for economic growth, and how much of that expectation relies on the...

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by Erebus
Thu Oct 17, 2019 5:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 540
Views: 127038

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

1) We know the A350-1000 in Project Sunrise configuration will not be anywhere near 375 passengers, so that payload-range statement is irrelevant. Of course. What I was getting out of that is they are not yet willing to divulge the configurations of their PS offer, but putting in those numbers ther...

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by Erebus
Thu Oct 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 540
Views: 127038

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

https://runwaygirlnetwork.com/2019/10/16/airbus-plans-upgraded-but-non-ulr-a350-1000-for-project-sunrise/ Apparently the Airbus proposal for the Sunrise is A350-1000, but non-ULR. 375-seat, 8700nm. A350-1000ULR may not actually become reality. No chance. Again another fake rumour from a questionabl...

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by Erebus
Wed Oct 16, 2019 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 746329

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

As I've pointed out elsewhere, its both misleading and irrelevant. Misleading in that the bolt group arrangement means its impossible to install the vane in such a way as to provide an erroneous AoA - exception being failure of the electronics behind the vane. Irrelevant in that a bird striking the...

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by Erebus
Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RR UltraFan Timing: "Back End Of The Next Decade" Delays A350neo?
Replies: 43
Views: 9654

Re: RR UltraFan Timing: "Back End Of The Next Decade" Delays A350neo?

Seems the timing is shifting from the ~2025 date featured in our last thread, https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1415467 There's been a lot of progress on the UltraFan but it is evident now that it isn't enough to make it to 2025. Especially given today's scrutiny on regulatory...

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by Erebus
Mon Oct 14, 2019 8:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 FSA as 737 replacement gaining ground.
Replies: 73
Views: 23339

Re: Boeing 797 FSA as 737 replacement gaining ground.

The C-series was the future/only option for BBD to continue to be a player in the commercial market. Gibberish is if you thought BBD was in a position to continue with the CSeries by themselves. They were in no position to continue with that and going bust would have still reduced the number of opt...

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by Erebus
Mon Oct 14, 2019 2:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 FSA as 737 replacement gaining ground.
Replies: 73
Views: 23339

Re: Boeing 797 FSA as 737 replacement gaining ground.

(b) Boeing Brazil on hold (due to Euro regulators), despite their swift approval of course of Airbus’ acquisition for a dollar of the A220 a couple years ago. Airbus isn't taking over control of Bombardier. Boeing is taking over control of Embraer. If Boeing just bought the E2 programme, that would...

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by Erebus
Fri Oct 11, 2019 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737NG Pickle fork issue
Replies: 565
Views: 139659

Re: 737NG Pickle fork issue

BlackLion213 wrote:
They differ from other legacy Boeing aircraft as they pointed upward as the others are pointed downward.


I'm having a bit of a difficulty imagining this. Could you illustrate this better?

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by Erebus
Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What do you do for work?
Replies: 108
Views: 20433

Re: What do you do for work?

fr8mech wrote:
I wait for airplanes to break, in a chronic fashion.


What are your thoughts on manufacturers striving to make new generation aircraft more reliable and with lower maintenance requirements?

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by Erebus
Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737NG Pickle fork issue
Replies: 565
Views: 139659

Re: 737NG Pickle fork issue

Are these pickle forks used on other Boeing n/b, such as the 757 - or I guess anything that has winglets, 767 included? Are they being checked too? This is from a 787. If I'm not mistaken, I think those extensions at the corners are the "pickle forks" or at least do the same job. Maybe so...

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by Erebus
Tue Oct 08, 2019 11:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Pilots Association Sues Boeing Re: 737MAX
Replies: 85
Views: 13204

Re: Southwest Pilots Association Sues Boeing Re: 737MAX

Didn't Gary Kelly say that Southwest will be sharing compensation from Boeing with the employees? If it has got to this point of a lawsuit, does it mean that the SWAPA deems the compensation offered insufficient? Very unusual, regardless.

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by Erebus
Fri Oct 04, 2019 2:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 746329

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

This is taking the proportions of a scandal, akin to VW's dieselgate. If I were Muellenberg, I would order to stop producing MAXes and start producing B738NG's again. The B738NG may not be as competitive but at least it is a well proven design and many airlines will accept to switch back to it at t...

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by Erebus
Thu Sep 26, 2019 7:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Nobel Prize in Sports?
Replies: 7
Views: 1052

Re: Nobel Prize in Sports?

There is the Laureus World Sports Awards for this kind of thing.

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by Erebus
Thu Sep 26, 2019 5:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is SK negligible in Asia, whereas AY has a number of Asian routes?
Replies: 37
Views: 7860

Re: Why is SK negligible in Asia, whereas AY has a number of Asian routes?

As far as Japan goes, I think it is also about the fish. I saw this documentary where they show how important Japan is as a market for fresh fish and sushi. It showed an AY plane being loaded with fresh salmon. Basically, it went from the water to a table in Japan in less than 2 days.

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by Erebus
Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can a pilot fly another airline's aircraft in an emergency?
Replies: 94
Views: 19533

Re: Can a pilot fly another airline's aircraft in an emergency?

Yeah they can, but it might be an entirely different kind of flying, altogether.

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by Erebus
Fri Sep 20, 2019 11:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways Reports $632 Million Loss
Replies: 84
Views: 20735

Re: Qatar Airways Reports $632 Million Loss

AF022 wrote:
Didn't i read on another thread that QR is investing in TAAG?
Like others have said above, what is their investment strategy? It seems to be investing in airlines that can't be turned around.


That sounds like Etihad.

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by Erebus
Wed Sep 18, 2019 12:55 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Super Earth K2-18b
Replies: 45
Views: 2896

Re: Super Earth K2-18b

It seems that most of the Earth-like worlds discovered so far are orbiting close to their host stars and are presumed to be tidally locked. That's mostly a consequence of our observation method being mainly orbital transit. Planets with wider orbit, and therefore not tidally locked, must have an or...

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by Erebus
Sat Sep 14, 2019 9:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenyan lawmaker wants to ban flatulence on airplanes
Replies: 57
Views: 10349

Re: Kenyan lawmaker wants to ban flatulence on airplanes

Uncontrolled flatulence? It is the fish dinner.

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by Erebus
Thu Sep 12, 2019 11:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing, Boom Supersonic or ??? looking to open a big factory in British Columbia
Replies: 29
Views: 5458

Re: Boeing, Boom Supersonic or ??? looking to open a big factory in British Columbia

Sorry, but what are these for numbers? 7.000 jobs for 125 million $? To sew seat covers by hand for the passenger seats? A small FAL alone (for 5 jets/month narrowbody) will cost something around 300 to 500 million and will give jobs for 400 staff. A big full production FAL for 10 jets/month (narro...

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by Erebus
Thu Sep 12, 2019 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing, Boom Supersonic or ??? looking to open a big factory in British Columbia
Replies: 29
Views: 5458

Re: Boeing, Boom Supersonic or ??? looking to open a big factory in British Columbia

Is Boom selling enough aircraft to keep 10,000 people employed? Yeah I wondered how an Aircraft maker can open up a facility in a completely new location and employ that many people quickly. Look at Airbus's Mobile facility for example: built at a cost of around $600 million and said to employ up t...

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by Erebus
Wed Sep 11, 2019 11:59 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: List price / Discount / Aircraft sale
Replies: 5
Views: 1478

Re: List price / Discount / Aircraft sale

I believe Airbus has said that it is no longer going to use list prices.

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by Erebus
Wed Sep 11, 2019 11:16 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: In Flight Shutdown Rate 2019
Replies: 6
Views: 1836

Re: In Flight Shutdown Rate 2019

I get a daily email from Aeroinside listing all accidents incidents the day before. I have noticed that every day, pretty much, there is an engine failure on a Jet. I wonder if anyone knows where one can see a listing of IFSD incidents over time, and certainly in the last year. My impression is tha...

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by Erebus
Wed Sep 11, 2019 7:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 373601

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

I'll be curious to know how exactly Airbus passed the A380 wing test by analysis. I can think of two ways. 1. They end up beefing up the structure with the data they already have to the point that it can be guaranteed to pass a hypothetical re-test. 2. Simply lower the final loads. Can it be someth...

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by Erebus
Wed Sep 11, 2019 7:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 373601

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

This thread describes how the fix for the A380 wing ultimate load test failure was certified by analysis not a re-test. It seems that option may be open to Boeing as well, if the static test frame is too damaged to reuse. I would presume Boeing's statement about this not being thought to be a major...

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by Erebus
Tue Sep 10, 2019 5:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 373601

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

Has Boeing completed fatigue testing of this frame? If not, any word on how far along they are?

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by Erebus
Tue Sep 10, 2019 1:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: High altitude, high speed bird strikes
Replies: 18
Views: 4117

Re: High altitude, high speed bird strikes

This comes up here now and again, usually after a notable birdstrike incident ... this is interesting reading: https://www.historynet.com/when-birds-strike.htm The record for the highest bird strike is 37,000 feet, in an incident on November 29, 1973, during a commercial flight over Abijan, Ivory C...

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by Erebus
Mon Sep 09, 2019 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 671977

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Which is very sad. Because if CAAC discovers a problem other guys overlooked, they better be heard. If they do find an issue overlooked by the others, it would most definitely be welcome. But I do wonder if CAAC can really be as stringent in applying safety standards as the other authorities. What ...

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by Erebus
Mon Sep 09, 2019 4:31 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Telescoping Control Columns
Replies: 68
Views: 6266

Re: Telescoping Control Columns

for example, i have no problem to use car with "autopilot" feature in the near future, but i will never buy car that is designed in a way, that steering wheel is not moving when computer controls it. no way, bad design Autopilot computer also controls acceleration and braking. Would you t...

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by Erebus
Sun Sep 08, 2019 10:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 373601

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

Which is the more difficult problem to solve, wing structure or a cargo door latch/structure? "wings not coming off" has been mastered earlier than "doors not blowing out" afair. While I'd prefer no failures, a cargo door failure is preferable to a wing failure. In theory, yes I...

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by Erebus
Sun Sep 08, 2019 1:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 671977

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

My personal interpretation of their statement: "design errors with safety related systems are not even possible with the EASA review process". Yeah, in your interpretation, you're way over-blowing this out of proportion. Nobody in the world is expecting a 100% error free review. It isn't ...

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by Erebus
Sat Sep 07, 2019 4:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 373601

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

If first flight of the 777-9 takes place in January 2020, is it possible that it can be certified by December 2020? how would it work. Is it possible to "ramp up" the flight testing schedule? I really want to see this aircraft in the sky! very beautiful Considering today's incident, I hop...

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by Erebus
Fri Sep 06, 2019 4:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 4380
Views: 671977

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

seahawk wrote:
Nobody is helped by leading authorities mistrusting each other.


Nobody is helped if the industry abuses each others' trust (or be allowed to). We are where we are with the MAX exactly because of this.

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by Erebus
Fri Sep 06, 2019 11:47 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Body modifications
Replies: 66
Views: 4770

Re: Body modifications

Bigger isn't always better. With that in mind, I suppose I could have that certain part of me reduced in size so that it didn't befuddle every woman I have met. I mean to say, if I had the end chopped off so that it left just the normal 12 inches that would be enough for most, wouldn't it? :liar: I...

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by Erebus
Fri Sep 06, 2019 3:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Robocalls
Replies: 34
Views: 3147

Re: Robocalls

Is this a predominantly US problem? I've only experienced it when I got a sim card in the US, not anywhere else (and I've used dozens of sim cards/phone numbers over the years in various countries without ever getting these). I don't know how bad it is in the US. But maybe it is catching on in Cana...

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