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by evanb
Wed May 01, 2019 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

Nicknuzzii wrote:
If there blocked for seating then their blocked for sale.


They're blocked from being selected by passengers, not blocked for sale.

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by evanb
Wed May 01, 2019 3:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

It appears United is blocking 8 economy seats on this flight in rows 38 and 39. They're not blocking them from sale, just from seating. You'll notice that United block seats in rows 16, 38 and 39 on all long haul B789 flights, independent of destination (you'll find the same on LAX-SYD for example)...

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by evanb
Thu Apr 25, 2019 10:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?
Replies: 315
Views: 57560

Re: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?

Does/would your 359s have tire speed issues getting out of JNB on JNB-ATL? That's generally the limiting issue on long routes ex-JNB. The tire speed limit is not aircraft specific, but tire specific. Each tire is rated to a maximum speed. At higher air altitudes rotation speeds are higher and thus ...

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by evanb
Thu Apr 25, 2019 12:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can Uganda Airlines make profits?
Replies: 29
Views: 4654

Re: Can Uganda Airlines make profits?

Except the last one, which other domestic routes do you see attractive for a future global airline like Uganda Airlines? That's puzzling! A good idea to fly such near destinations and increase the cycles/fixed costs for a fledging company? Yeah, I was a little overly optimistic about the domestic r...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 24, 2019 5:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored?
Replies: 315
Views: 57560

Re: How come the DL A350 can't fly LAX-SYD it is rumored!?

The post you reference isolates Delta's range numbers, not Airbuses. I believe the reality is that DL mis-ordered their first A350s which has had limits on their implementation. They're still useful, but on shorter routes. I don't think DL made any mistake. Unlike some other carriers, DL didn't ord...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 23, 2019 4:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1170
Views: 217439

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2019

Asiana is suspending ICN-ORD as of October 29, 2019. Wonder if UA will take the opportunity and start ORD-ICN with a 787? I doubt it since they are short gates and don't have any 787s at ORD. Timing is interesting for UA. A few months back they increased capacity on SFO-ICN from daily to 11x weekly...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 23, 2019 3:27 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: How come Cathay Dragon doesn't fly to Bandar Seri Begawan Brunei?
Replies: 26
Views: 3442

Re: How come Cathay Dragon doesn't fly to Bandar Seri Begawan Brunei!?

Cathay Dragon/Cathay Pacific flies to every destination in South and Southeast Asia except Bandar Seri Begawan Brunei (BWN). Considering the Muslim country is in the US Visa Waiver Program (which is a surprise in itself), any news on CX/KA starting BWN!? Because it's a tiny country and market with ...

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by evanb
Mon Apr 22, 2019 1:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can Uganda Airlines make profits?
Replies: 29
Views: 4654

Re: Can Uganda Airlines make profits?

I don't think people on this website understand the purpose of airlines in developing countries, especially in Africa. They aren't necessarily out to make outright profits as an organisation, but to increase inbound tourism to the country and assist developing industries within the nation. So no, t...

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by evanb
Mon Apr 22, 2019 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can Uganda Airlines make profits?
Replies: 29
Views: 4654

Re: Can Uganda Airlines make profits?

Could Uganda Airlines make a profit with 4 CRJ900s flying short domestic and regional routes? I don't think it could make substantial profits, but it could be financially sustainable. Could Uganda Airlines make a profit with 2 A330-800neo flying medium to long haul routes? Not a chance. Flying to LG...

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by evanb
Sat Apr 20, 2019 1:54 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline operations question
Replies: 12
Views: 2155

Re: Airline operations question

Even if there are no slots or curfews very few people want to begin or end their flights at 2 am. I think India is about the only place in the world where it is common. That is likely dictated by the curfews of the airports on the other end of the flights and by the stage lengths of the flights. Ag...

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by evanb
Fri Apr 19, 2019 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Angola seeking US FAA CAT 1 rating to enable TAAG to start US services
Replies: 24
Views: 3378

Re: Angola seeking US FAA CAT 1 rating to enable TAAG to start US services

wedgetail737 wrote:
Doesn't TAAG have some 77L's as well. The LAD-IAH segment is an easy segment for a 777-200LR.


No, they have some of the last built B777-200ERs.

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by evanb
Fri Apr 19, 2019 10:21 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline operations question
Replies: 12
Views: 2155

Re: Airline operations question

At SAN, we have our departure curfew at 11:30 PM, which isn't lifted until 6:30 AM - and I have used the jet noise as an alarm clock on more than one occasion! However, we only lose out on three red-eye flights: SAN-MSP, SAN-DFW, and SAN-IAH. SAN-ORD is still run with these restrictions, arriving i...

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by evanb
Fri Apr 19, 2019 7:34 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline operations question
Replies: 12
Views: 2155

Re: Airline operations question

Very true, and that is also true for other slot-controlled airports. I meant to state that this is true for any kind of a long-distance route, but I will endeavor to be more clear next time. Agreed, and it's not just slot controlled airports. Many non-slot controlled airports have curfews, while ma...

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by evanb
Fri Apr 19, 2019 7:21 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline operations question
Replies: 12
Views: 2155

Re: Airline operations question

If the distances were shorter, you would see a "shuttle" like-approach to scheduling. However, even at JFK, there's the "evening rush hour" of trans-Atlantic departures, which arrive at their destination the next day. To depart earlier might mean an awkward arrival time at the d...

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by evanb
Fri Apr 19, 2019 7:07 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airline operations question
Replies: 12
Views: 2155

Re: Airline operations question

1) There is a very large market between the UK and South Africa. For example, 21,138 people with UK passports arrived at JNB alone in January 2019 (42,844 at JNB, CPT and DUR combined). That's an average of 681 people per day (1,382 for JNB, CPT and DUR combined) and doesn't even take into account n...

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by evanb
Thu Apr 18, 2019 6:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hainan 2x weekly Xi'An (XIY) to Los Angeles (LAX), how is secondary China profitable!?
Replies: 20
Views: 2763

Re: Hainan 2x weekly Xi'An (XIY) to Los Angeles (LAX), how is secondary China profitable!?

I was wondering how these secondary Chinese cities being connected to SEA/SFO/LAX are profitable on such low volume? They're very likely not profitable, and even with subsidies than many Chinese cities offer for these services, they're still not profitable. But they're also about building brand, pr...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 17, 2019 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Cape Town the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?
Replies: 40
Views: 6470

Re: Is Capetown the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?

Hmmm - by my napkin sketches, with a good headwind, you could get a full pax load into the UA 789 but maybe about 5000 lbs cargo after that? Do-able, I guess. Let's start with both EWR and CPT being at sea level, are not the hotest places around and ample runway length. That means they should get M...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 17, 2019 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Cape Town the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?
Replies: 40
Views: 6470

Re: Is Capetown the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?

Hmmm - by my napkin sketches, with a good headwind, you could get a full pax load into the UA 789 but maybe about 5000 lbs cargo after that? Do-able, I guess. Let's start with both EWR and CPT being at sea level, are not the hotest places around and ample runway length. That means they should get M...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 17, 2019 1:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Cape Town the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?
Replies: 40
Views: 6470

Re: Is Capetown the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?

I don't think UA is banking on getting much in the way of ex-CPT connections. This is more about getting ex-EWR connections on the US side - which are easy from a timing perspective with an 2030 departure and 0545 arrival. Now, the question is will they get them? Indeed, that is evident by their ar...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 17, 2019 1:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Cape Town the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?
Replies: 40
Views: 6470

Re: Is Capetown the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?

Africa is long, thin routes from the US, and the airports that are likely needing to be served already are. UA's Star partners on the African continent are Egyptair and South African Airways. SA has the daily nonstop on JFK-JNB and Egyptair flies from JFK to CAI and will soon start IAD-CAI as well....

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by evanb
Wed Apr 17, 2019 1:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Cape Town the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?
Replies: 40
Views: 6470

Re: Is Capetown the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?

SAA's main hub is in Johannesburg, Cape Town still has nonstops to the top domestic destinations. Durban, Port Elizabeth, Johannesburg are all connected. United will get some feed and onward connections from SAA, it's in all their interests. Hopefully we will see a Newark to J'burg nonstop too soon...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 17, 2019 12:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Cape Town the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?
Replies: 40
Views: 6470

Re: Is Capetown the beginning of a return to Africa for UA ?

Firstly, it's Cape Town, not Capetown. Secondly, a 3x weekly seasonal service on an ULH route is going to need every revenue boost it can get. For this they'll need traffic from both ends and they'll find that difficult without a sales and distribution presence in South Africa. You can't build that ...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 17, 2019 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

When you say "apron" to what are you specifically referring? I ask because I also flew on DL from ATL via DKR to CPT in 2009 and we were bused to an ersatz transit terminal where there were a couple of agents, seating area, refreshments, and CNN International playing on the overhead telev...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 11:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA 747SP in Houston 1983
Replies: 19
Views: 4259

Re: SAA 747SP in Houston 1983

Back on topic, didn't SAA around the same time serve MIA-GIG-JNB? So they would have had 3 US gateways, JFK, IAH, and MIA? I have no idea what exactly prompted SAA to fly to Houston, though my guess would have been that in the '82-'85 time frame Houston was booming from the oil business, and would ...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 5:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA 747SP in Houston 1983
Replies: 19
Views: 4259

Re: SAA 747SP in Houston 1983

Well you know more than me since you've actually been to the place. I do know that EK713/EK714 gets into Harare at 4:50 pm then spends just 90 minutes on the ground before going right back to Lusaka at 6:30 pm. That's a pretty quick turnaround, and I wouldn't be surprised if it's in place so that t...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAA 747SP in Houston 1983
Replies: 19
Views: 4259

Re: SAA 747SP in Houston 1983

Now QF, BA, LH and other western airlines won't even touch Zim, it's just too unsafe there for flight crews to stay overnight. I'm calling this out as bollocks. While Zimbabwe is in terrible shape and most airlines are not flying there because of the economic conditions and foreign currency shortag...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

With UA going into CPT and DL flying into JNB, do you think this will spur AA and their MIA-CPT route? Do they still have that place holder from the old SAA codeshare? Would it even be worth them looking into? TLV comes to mind, DL and UA are doing very well on the flights yet AA has yet to jump in...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 3:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

DL flew ALT-DKR-CPT with 767s. Delta only flew the flight from June 2009 through September 2009. https://www.ajc.com/business/delta-trims-overseas-routes-including-cape-town-flights/f9D65LpGl3vb1D5IB7LC5O/ The article is slightly incorrect. DL flew JFK-DKR-CPT on the B763 and ATL-DKR-JNB on the B76...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 12:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

DL could make a phone call to Airbus with cheque in hand, and have its current A350s uprated to 277T tomorrow, if it wanted. Its deferred deliveries will be capable of 280T, if desired. Indeed, it's a choice that DL have made, specifically because they have the B77L. But they're also unlikely to up...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 1:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

South African Airways flies JNB-JFK, which obviously has to rely on O&D alone to sustain the route, which obviously is enough. Perhaps it is a matter of enough Star Alliance card holders in the American northeast driving extra demand during the Southern African summer that has brought this rout...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 12:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

simpv21 wrote:
Wow great add for UA, and not the first US-Africa route I was expecting UA to add.

I saw that they codeshare already on SA's JFK-JNB route, but what about their relationship on other connections in South Africa/Southern Africa?


The arrival time in CPT will limit connections to JNB only.

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 12:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

DL has the 77L and A359, if we forget about the 77L and just focus on the A359 that aircraft is just as capable and fuel efficient as the 789. And I think DL already has some interesting routes to Africa. From what we've been told by other on airliner.net, DL have lower MTOW rates A350-900s. This m...

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by evanb
Tue Apr 16, 2019 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Launches EWR/CPT
Replies: 107
Views: 22090

Re: UA Launches EWR/CPT

South African Airways flies JNB-JFK, which obviously has to rely on O&D alone to sustain the route, which obviously is enough. Perhaps it is a matter of enough Star Alliance card holders in the American northeast driving extra demand during the Southern African summer that has brought this rout...

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by evanb
Mon Apr 15, 2019 12:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern African & Indian Ocean Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 297
Views: 51604

Re: Southern African & Indian Ocean Aviation Thread - 2019

737max8 wrote:
Looking to visit CPT from May 2-6. Is this quiet time for tourism or will flights be busy?


May is the quietest month for international arrivals in Cape Town and the weather will still be decent. I think you'll have a great time!

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by evanb
Fri Apr 12, 2019 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: London Stansted aims to secure flights to 25 long haul destinations over the next 5 years
Replies: 76
Views: 12730

Re: London Stansted aims to secure flights to 25 long haul destinations over the next 5 years

That should do it. But simply because they would apply for slots at LHR, and would not find any slot pair suitable for their services. They they would head to LGW and again request for slots for their services.... and again would not find any suitable for their services. New entrants get preferenti...

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by evanb
Fri Apr 12, 2019 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Peace orders up to 30 E195-E2s
Replies: 17
Views: 4081

Re: Air Peace orders up to 30 E195-E2s

How are these guys doing financially? 20 orders orders of brand-new planes requires some capital. You sure do grossly under-estimate Nigerian businesses . Check out Nigerian banks . You will be amazed . Nigerian banks are generally more dynamic than others in the region but it doesn't overcome the ...

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by evanb
Thu Apr 11, 2019 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK and London
Replies: 65
Views: 10738

Re: EK and London

Emirates seem to be very keen on expanding their operations in the UK. I often think about how they get the slots so quickly whereas other airlines have difficulties in getting slots. If I am not mistaken, CX wanted a 6th daily rotation for LHR-HKG but couldn't get the slot so they went for LGW. PR...

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by evanb
Wed Apr 10, 2019 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ASKY to launch Johannesburg
Replies: 9
Views: 2043

Re: ASKY to launch Johannesburg

Three very good markets to enter, LOS with the demand, LBV and DLA with also some demand but dropped recently due to SAA's restructuring. LFW is just a bonus and anything more connecting from there, although then it already involves 3 stops. - Rwandair also operates daily with a 02:55 am departure ...

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by evanb
Mon Apr 08, 2019 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK and London
Replies: 65
Views: 10738

Re: EK and London

That's very informative- thank you. If I can remember, CX only used to serve LHR 3x daily and acquired QF and NZ slots when they ended LHR-HKG-AKL and MEL (QF). Some additional anecdotes. Many of the US3 have acquired slots on the open market. SQ acquired slots for an additional flight a few years ...

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by evanb
Mon Apr 08, 2019 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK and London
Replies: 65
Views: 10738

Re: EK and London

Don't forget Akbar Al Baker is part of Heathrow board of directors. Also, the head of active investments of QIA (Qatari Investment Authority) is also part of the same board. Not bad for such a small country. I realize the post was about EK, but QR is much smaller and has a lot of slots too. That ma...

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by evanb
Mon Apr 08, 2019 6:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EK and London
Replies: 65
Views: 10738

Re: EK and London

The same way all other foreign airlines have. Their first slots were probably grandfathered; they may have picked up some slots set aside for new entrants; they pick up odd slots from time to time in the open allocation system; and they acquired them from other airlines for cash considerations. LHR ...

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by evanb
Mon Apr 08, 2019 1:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: West African Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 249
Views: 31810

Re: West African Aviation Thread - 2019

Not West African but don't you think that KQ should order the E-jet? It'd be perfect for their domestic and regional routes. You'd think since they already operate 15 E190s, but they're still young (between 5 and 8 years old). I think the critical factor when it comes to replacement will be hot and...

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by evanb
Fri Apr 05, 2019 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IB drops JNB (again), remains 3x/w in SJU during the winter, 10x/w LIM year-round
Replies: 12
Views: 3235

Re: IB drops JNB (again), remains 3x/w in SJU during the winter, 10x/w LIM year-round

a350lover wrote:
TAP had just announced plans to serve JNB as well.


Have they? They've just announced an expansion of their codeshare with SAA via MPM.

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by evanb
Fri Apr 05, 2019 4:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IB drops JNB (again), remains 3x/w in SJU during the winter, 10x/w LIM year-round
Replies: 12
Views: 3235

Re: IB drops JNB (again), remains 3x/w in SJU during the winter, 10x/w LIM year-round

Pretty weak decision and typical of IAG tbh. Why stay and fight to build a route when you can cut it instead? IAG are the second biggest foreign carrier in South Africa and know the market. They've dropped JNB relatively shortly after starting LHR-DUR and adding additional capacity to LHR-JNB. Mayb...

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by evanb
Thu Apr 04, 2019 4:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: West African Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 249
Views: 31810

Re: West African Aviation Thread - 2019

I'll guess the AWA plan to fly Accra-London will be in partnership with SAA. They already partner on the IAD-ACC flight There have been rumors of SAA 5th freedom on Accra-London for a while. They seem to be doing nicely with their 5th freedoms from Accra, to Abidjan and DC. They just recently incre...

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by evanb
Thu Apr 04, 2019 4:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern African & Indian Ocean Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 297
Views: 51604

Re: Southern African & Indian Ocean Aviation Thread - 2019

mr02 wrote:
Does anybody know anything or heard anything about the new alliance between SAA,Air Mauritius,Rwandair and Kenya Airways?


Nothing. It was nothing more than rhetoric and speculation in the first place.

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by evanb
Sun Mar 31, 2019 11:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: West African Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 249
Views: 31810

Re: West African aviation thread - 2019

AntonioMartin wrote:
Does SAA have fifth between Ghana and the USA?


Yes, between ACC and IAD, as well as ACC-ABJ-ACC.

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by evanb
Fri Mar 29, 2019 10:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenya Airways to consider Airbus models
Replies: 62
Views: 15535

Re: Kenya Airways to consider Airbus models

Always wondered why their costs are so high! Financing costs have significantly reduced post restructuring but they just can't seem to be able to address the other costs Studying their financials over the years I've always been astounded by their labour costs. They employ a lot of people, way more ...

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by evanb
Fri Mar 22, 2019 12:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kenya Airways to consider Airbus models
Replies: 62
Views: 15535

Re: Kenya Airways to consider Airbus models

What they need to take account is during the off-season. Would they be able to fill B787-9? Usually full and always full is 2 different thing. Their load factors across the board is around 72.3% in 2017. I don't think using larger aircraft would be a good idea. And even then, full means nothing. Wh...

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by evanb
Fri Mar 22, 2019 12:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southern African & Indian Ocean Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 297
Views: 51604

Re: Southern African & Indian Ocean Aviation Thread - 2019

I actually had a 340-600 on my JNB-CPT leg, was good for a 2 hour hop, and then 320 coming back before connecting to JFK. Before my flight out of CPT there was a 330, then 340-200(300) then my 320 so good mix. Defintiely a A340-300. The -200s have been out of the fleet since 2011/2012. Fuel savings...

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