Search found 2541 matches

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 1:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I'm really sorry for the noob question, I actually am keeping up with this thread and have read probably 95%+ of the posts, but please help me understand. I'm talking with an ex-pat friend of mine in Thailand (young, healthy American) and he's saying that the coronavirus virus is mostly hype. The c...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 1:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 2020-2021 flu vaccine
Replies: 5
Views: 369

Re: 2020-2021 flu vaccine

I wonder if/when we can expect a Coronavirus vaccine. Would be it administered together with the annual flu vaccine in some sort of "vaccine cocktail"? I doubt it, unless we have a coronavirus vaccine where targeted proteins are spliced onto a flu virus and the existing vaccine infrastruc...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 01, 2020 8:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 2020-2021 flu vaccine
Replies: 5
Views: 369

Re: 2020-2021 flu vaccine

Also, to lightsaber whenever he strolls into this thread, you were right, there was a new H1N1 introduced into circulation. The differences are subtle enough to not show up as different in antigenic characterization tests in cdc data but still not be inhibited enough by vaccine induced antibodies to...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 01, 2020 7:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 2020-2021 flu vaccine
Replies: 5
Views: 369

Re: 2020-2021 flu vaccine

I wonder if/when we can expect a Coronavirus vaccine. Would be it administered together with the annual flu vaccine in some sort of "vaccine cocktail"? I doubt it, unless we have a coronavirus vaccine where targeted proteins are spliced onto a flu virus and the existing vaccine infrastruc...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 01, 2020 7:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 2020-2021 flu vaccine
Replies: 5
Views: 369

2020-2021 flu vaccine

So, in the novel coronavirus thread I observed some confusion on how the composition of the flu vaccine is selected. Well, the WHO just selected the composition for the 2020-2021 northern hemisphere vaccine so I invite you all to read the report and see how the composition is actually selected. http...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 01, 2020 7:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

It is worse than SARS in terms of how it can't be contained because of people being contagious before overt symptoms are present. SARS was contained because obvious symptoms appeared before a person could spread it.

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 01, 2020 6:40 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I'm really sorry for the noob question, I actually am keeping up with this thread and have read probably 95%+ of the posts, but please help me understand. I'm talking with an ex-pat friend of mine in Thailand (young, healthy American) and he's saying that the coronavirus virus is mostly hype. The c...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 01, 2020 9:25 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

The flu also only makes you sick for a week.

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 01, 2020 1:31 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Is there any historical pandemic that has similar transmission and mortality rates as the Coronavirus? The Spanish Flu. And at the time our understanding and ability to fight flu viruses was about on par with our capabilities now with coronaviruses, so it's a fair comparison. I think this has a muc...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 8:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

You know, I just realized. Trump just changed how this disease will manifest in the US. By politicizing this in this unpredictable way, he's going to make the sparsely populated church going red states the worst hit. Meanwhile Blue states will be taking the most action to prevent it. If he left it ...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 11:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

You know, I just realized. Trump just changed how this disease will manifest in the US. By politicizing this in this unpredictable way, he's going to make the sparsely populated church going red states the worst hit. Meanwhile Blue states will be taking the most action to prevent it. If he left it a...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 9:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1387
Views: 211688

Re: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread

It has been known, print media and print journalism has been on the decline at least in the US for the last decade if not longer. Is the Corona virus a last gasp for some brand versions of print media to survive another week, month, quarter, or year basically? Will we also be seeing inflight airlin...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 8:38 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chin ... 0M2BI?il=0

More evidence of community spread in US. At least we are testing now.
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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chin ... 0M2BI?il=0

More evidence of community spread in US. At least we are testing now.

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 8:33 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Early nominee for the year's Darwin Award
Replies: 30
Views: 1619

Re: Early nominee for the year's Darwin Award

I was genuinely surprised this didn't happen sooner. Before he did it the first time there were already jokes about darwin awards.

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 8:25 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

What would be the cost of the warehousing needed?. Also a lot of products have set shelf lives. Items like respiratory PPE have shelf lives but they're far longer than things like medicines... It would not have been that expensive to maintain a pandemic stockpile of these things. Especially for gov...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 7:54 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

We were no longer able to order N95 for our lab. No doubt all bought up by some histrionic. I settled for a dozen N99 masks. Not as comfortable, but you have to do something. We can hardly shutdown our lab because of some unrelated hysteria. Anyhow, I told HR and Purchasing to just buy everything t...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 7:48 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7068

Re: Dow tops 28000

I love re-reading my prescient posts, especially when they are. I can't say I predicted a new Black Plague but it's just another emergency we are woefully unprepared to fight with money. Deficits scorching red, debt even worse..but hey, Don's got his golf game going and Don Jr. is tracking baby ele...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 5:33 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7068

Re: Dow tops 28000

I love re-reading my prescient posts, especially when they are. I can't say I predicted a new Black Plague but it's just another emergency we are woefully unprepared to fight with money. Deficits scorching red, debt even worse..but hey, Don's got his golf game going and Don Jr. is tracking baby ele...

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by Jouhou
Sat Feb 29, 2020 5:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Ewwwwwwwww, the political thread got merged with this one and now we have political trolling in here, great. I was happy keeping my disgust at politicians separate. To keep it less directly political, let me say one of the KEY components of dealing with a pandemic threat is to allow public health au...

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by Jouhou
Fri Feb 28, 2020 7:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-51680560 Per report on BBC, an Iranian healthcare source stated that the nCoV death toll in the country is 210 instead of 34 that are officially reported. The 210 number won't surprise me - things are bad in Iran and probably even they don't know how bad things truly ...

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by Jouhou
Fri Feb 28, 2020 7:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Pence could have an appropriate role as head of the coronavirus task force. The existing head of CDC and NIH (and other health agencies) continues in charge, Pence ensures that the necessary coordination with the military, State Department, Commerce, FAA etc, state and other local government agenci...

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by Jouhou
Fri Feb 28, 2020 6:25 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Partisanship complicates US coronavirus reactions

Apparently today he declared you must go through him if you are a government official to release info cuz he is worried the info will mess up the markets This is the real terrifying news here, all info must first be cleared by Pence. They're imposing a damn intentional information vacuum on us PRC ...

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by Jouhou
Thu Feb 27, 2020 6:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

The only thing that seems to be consistently out here in US is surgical mask. Can't help that most of US stock of those are made in China... I concurred with hand sanitizer - I could have bought a box load of them from supermarket yesterday. Same with disinfecting wipes. The Italian outbreak IMHO i...

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by Jouhou
Thu Feb 27, 2020 11:18 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Australian PM has ordered authorities to plan for a major outbreak. We've been lucky so far, there were a few cases last month with some Chinese tourists, but most cases have been people already in quarantine after evacuation from Hubei & the Diamond Princess. https://www.theage.com.au/politics...

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by Jouhou
Thu Feb 27, 2020 10:31 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Finished watching. My first thoughts, of all organizations present surprisingly it seems China has been the most receptive to implementing suggestions. At the time, not too many months ago, they did not have a system of rapidly sharing the genetic information of novel pathogens. A few months later w...

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by Jouhou
Thu Feb 27, 2020 8:45 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

So, I've been watching this, I'm not done yet as it's 3 1/2 hours of dry stuff. Event 201, a pandemic response exercise to a SARS-like coronavirus starting in South America with a higher fatality rate but slower spread than this virus. The exercise was done just last year. http://www.centerforhealth...

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by Jouhou
Thu Feb 27, 2020 7:19 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I suspect it's already too late. We now have a suspected case of community transmission in the USA. That means there are many more infected who are unawares. And they are infecting others. The response by the chinese has really endangered the whole world. Authoritarian regimes always find a way to ...

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by Jouhou
Thu Feb 27, 2020 5:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I wrote a day or two ago that I was glad the Trump administration takes this seriously. Well, after the press conference today, I'm not impressed. There might be people in the administration as well as the CDC and other governmental organizations that do take it seriously, but Trump was just repeat...

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by Jouhou
Wed Feb 26, 2020 6:54 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/25/trump-officials-defend-coronavirus-request-117329 Apparently Trump is worried about this impacting his re-election chances. So I thought we'd get strong actions to make us safe. Nope. He's doing the opposite. Pretending everything is fine. Officials lying to ...

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by Jouhou
Wed Feb 26, 2020 6:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I agree with the fatality rate being incorrect. I use resolved cases. It has been 9% fairly consistently. You can not do that with resolved cases. After infection the average death might occur 1 week later, the average recovery might occur 3 weeks later. I have been told that their calculation uses...

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 9:39 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=coYw-eVU0Ks 不都合をなかったことにすればより被害は拡大し、第二の武漢になる if we treat an inconvenience as if it doesn't exist, the damage will increase, and result in a second Wuhan 経済止めない+パニック起こさないってなると政府ができる事なんて限られる個人で頑張るしかない avoiding stopping the economic + avoiding panic. If it is coming down...

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 7:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Recent video out of Wuhan. It's unsettling. https://youtu.be/x07uSrTQdNg Edit: also I don't know if they're screaming for bad reasons but it's freakier than earlier videos of a more muted yelling of encouraging slogans across the city. As someone who dabbles in effects processors for musical instru...

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 6:45 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders
Replies: 53
Views: 1910

Re: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders

I was more pointing towards Romania and bulgaria, but whatevs. A similar story to Ukraine and Georgia, except that younger part of their workforce is in Western Europe. But those also can be sanctioned. Does Romania even have an economy to sanction? Plus, like I said, targeting the money moved arou...

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 6:24 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders
Replies: 53
Views: 1910

Re: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders

Also Russian trolls don't have to be in Russia. They're too cheap, they outsource to eastern europe. OK... In order for a country to be an outsourcing destination, this country must be substantially poorer than the source countries. As it's known lately, the poorest countries in Eastern Europe are ...

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 6:09 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://youtu.be/x07uSrTQdNg

Edit: also I don't know if they're screaming for bad reasons but it's freakier than earlier videos of a more muted yelling of encouraging slogans across the city.
-->

Recent video out of Wuhan. It's unsettling.

https://youtu.be/x07uSrTQdNg

Edit: also I don't know if they're screaming for bad reasons but it's freakier than earlier videos of a more muted yelling of encouraging slogans across the city.

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 5:57 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders
Replies: 53
Views: 1910

Re: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders

Isolationism was what the world did before ww2. Globalism happened in the aftermath to prevent that from happening again.

Also Russian trolls don't have to be in Russia. They're too cheap, they outsource to eastern europe.

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 2:02 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

CDC has issued a level 3 warning for South Korea. How long until we see the US carriers axing flights there as well? And how long until Japan is on that list? This is looking worse and worse for the industry on the daily This is why I'm urging everyone do their part in improving hygiene and disinfe...

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 1:38 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Trump is asking Congress for billions to mitigate the virus, including vaccine funding. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-administration-expected-congress-for-1b-to-combat-coronavirus That is good news. The threat is being taken very seriously by the Trump administration. $2.5 billion ($1.25 b...

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by Jouhou
Tue Feb 25, 2020 1:33 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders
Replies: 53
Views: 1910

Re: U.S. Officials - Russia is trying to help Bernie Sanders

I don't think you get it, it's not about blaming Russia it's about punishing Russia so they don't gain from this. Because that's how the Russian government works, they only understand cruelty. I am looking at actual response to what they call “meddling”. Mueller investigation hasn’t found any proof...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 11:47 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I am absolutely certain that what's happening in Iran is not an insane case fatality rate but instead a failure to identify the sick. There's probably thousands unidentified right now. I've read that at least around 85% of cases result in anywhere between no symptoms at all and very mild symptoms (...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 11:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

What also seems unclear is what the 2% mortality rate encompasses. Is it mostly the elderly that die, or those that already have a compromised health, or is it completely random? I expect it to be disproportionately nasty for older people like SARS. It was dangerous enough to be scary for anyone 45...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 11:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1387
Views: 211688

Re: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread

So, knowing many avoid non-av around here a PSA for those with stakes in the airline industry: https://boston.cbslocal.com/2020/02/13/more-handwashing-in-aiports-global-disease-spread-70-study-coronavirus/ Airport authorities have the most control over this, but everyone has an opportunity to improv...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 9:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

On topic, I guess our markets in the U.S. haven't tanked because people think the U.S. won't have issues with this virus? They're going to be disappointed. And Dow Futures is down ~800 points (~3%) as of my post right now... It's still only 12 confirmed, but you know their reporting is going to be ...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 10:41 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.prnewswire.co.uk/news-releases/survey-finds-that-77-percent-of-people-are-concerned-about-the-coronavirus-outbreak-and-50-percent-have-changed-hygiene-behaviours-804154176.html Interesting infographic. I'm glad people are washing their hands more and using sanitizers, but why are so few ...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 9:52 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

50 have died from the new Coronavirus this month in the city of Qom according to the Iranian government. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-coronavirus-death-toll-in-iranian-city-of-qom-is-at-50-news-agency/ It's still only 12 confirmed, but you know their reporting is going to be as tru...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 8:49 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health/fear-of-coronavirus-pandemic-grows-but-china-eases-curbs-as-new-infections-fall-idUSKCN20I02V?il=0 Well, at least most of China is easing up its restrictions so a lot of the supply chain disruptions will be partially remedied. Hubei is still in lockdow...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 8:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-who/who-says-no-longer-uses-pandemic-category-but-virus-still-emergency-idUSKCN20I0N8?il=0 Apparently the WHO doesn't declare pandemics anymore. Oh, what exactly do they do then? They can't even name the virus/disease something decent. Glad I donate to...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 8:15 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

When you're a 5'4" grown male with an A320-200 birth year you're viewed as a 15 year old by interviewers. I even overheard one guy say "kid with lots of facial hair" at a friend's birthday party last summer. Actually, what am I saying - 15 year olds look more developed than I am at 3...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 7:44 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

If this thing is going to kill me eventually why not quicken the process. Why would it kill you? If that year is your birth year there's an astronomically small chance of that happening. Also economic pain that everyone is collectively having to go through is also not that bad. I felt like a champ ...

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by Jouhou
Mon Feb 24, 2020 7:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164499

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

well, I finally found out where the passenger from the cruise ship went and where they did not go. https://www.al.com/news/2020/02/coronavirus-evacuees-may-not-come-to-alabama-gov-ivey-says-anniston-fema-facility-a-back-up.html for Pete's sake why did they split them up. Now they are in three state...

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