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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 15, 2020 2:34 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I think we should assume by now that EVERYONE in the Northern Hemisphere will get infected. They REAL question is: how many of those will need medical care? I'm not going down although a fight. Remember that it's highly likely those who recover will have permanent lung damage (the virus hasn't been...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 15, 2020 2:31 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: So, did God send Corona for punishment?
Replies: 69
Views: 3507

Re: So, did God send Corona for punishment?

God sent us crowns? The kind with precious jewels and metals or the kind used as a currency in some countries? And why didn't I get any? Does god hate me?

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 15, 2020 2:25 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Herd Mentality
Replies: 55
Views: 2525

Re: The Herd Mentality

Anyone who knows the word "hysterectomy" can make the connection. I suppose, that’s not a word found in Dutch language so I had to google that. Yeah, that's why I noted that it seems to be mostly people who do not speak English as a first language tend to use the word "hysteria"...

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by Jouhou
Sat Mar 14, 2020 11:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Herd Mentality
Replies: 55
Views: 2525

Re: The Herd Mentality

Can we not use a word that originated as a derogatory word used towards women? Granted, many in here don't speak English as a first language so I don't know if it's not a loan word in other languages but it's origins are in Latin and Greek. Don’t get your panties in a twist. Hysteria is a perfectly...

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by Jouhou
Sat Mar 14, 2020 9:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Herd Mentality
Replies: 55
Views: 2525

Re: The Herd Mentality

Let me take this opportunity to say I HATE the word "hysteria" because it has its origins in "women are crazy" stereotypes and the etymology of the word is a direct reference to the uterus. Can we not use a word that originated as a derogatory word used towards women? Granted, ma...

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by Jouhou
Sat Mar 14, 2020 9:32 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

@jouhou...here (an eastern member of EU) basic protective items and biocide solution are starting to dry up fast even in the hospitals and physician cabinets. Could you share knowledge resources for locally manufacturing them (biocides, surgical masks, maybe "N95 grade" masks) for readily...

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by Jouhou
Sat Mar 14, 2020 7:48 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Herd Mentality
Replies: 55
Views: 2525

Re: The Herd Mentality

Yeah, I expected this ever since it happened in Hong Kong, like a month ago. I bought some extra then to last through when the rush hit the US. It started in Hong Kong because they worried about shortages because of China switching production over to mask production. Then as a chain of viral inciden...

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by Jouhou
Sat Mar 14, 2020 7:19 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Ok, so I came to a realization today: this virus is moving WAY faster than anything any country has made pandemic plans for, and it's leaving senior leadership sort of paralyzed and disoriented and spending too much time making slow plans to a fast pandemic. Do not be afraid to take charge if the pe...

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by Jouhou
Fri Mar 13, 2020 11:02 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

A listener to UK radio rang the radio station to say he went to the supermarket just before it opened to get some shopping this morning. He said there were 500 people at the entrance doors. Once the doors were opened there was a mad rush to the toilet paper shelves - but no toilet paper! Is this a ...

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by Jouhou
Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:40 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: In the meantime.
Replies: 6
Views: 475

Re: In the meantime.

Well, I just spent my few hours of entertainment time reading about cytokines. I actually find the coronavirus and the immune response fascinating, because I'm weird and boring.

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by Jouhou
Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:37 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What should we do with our money in the market
Replies: 50
Views: 2152

Re: What should we do with our money in the market

So the $1,500 billion stimuli announced by Fed has failed to stabilize the market in any way. I am telling you, We are in a recession. Money has no value if there is there is no productivity. Likewise, when the world's biggest economies start shutting down their economies, even if they're taking tu...

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by Jouhou
Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:42 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2020-03-12/brazil-communications-secretary-who-met-trump-tests-positive-for-coronavirus-estado-de-spaulo Trump had close contact with an infected person in a time period when they were likely infectious. Kind of a big deal, there were already comments that...

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by Jouhou
Thu Mar 12, 2020 6:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2020-03-12/brazil-communications-secretary-who-met-trump-tests-positive-for-coronavirus-estado-de-spaulo Trump had close contact with an infected person in a time period when they were likely infectious. Kind of a big deal, there were already comments that...

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by Jouhou
Thu Mar 12, 2020 5:25 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2020-03-12/brazil-communications-secretary-who-met-trump-tests-positive-for-coronavirus-estado-de-spaulo Trump had close contact with an infected person in a time period when they were likely infectious. Kind of a big deal, there were already comments that ...

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by Jouhou
Thu Mar 12, 2020 4:20 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

The NBA has suspended the season after tonight’s games. The economic shockwave is going to be worse than the actual disease by the time this is all done. This is why at least half of pandemic planning focuses on mitigating economic damage. It's also why in the beginning the WHO kept going on about ...

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by Jouhou
Thu Mar 12, 2020 4:11 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What should we do with our money in the market
Replies: 50
Views: 2152

Re: What should we do with our money in the market

"Hold" is right, take no action until the dust settles. Also maybe spend money on physical goods if you haven't already, like the 2 weeks of supplies Americans were pretty much told to have on hand in case of a quarantine. Spaghettios will retain their value no matter what the markets are ...

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by Jouhou
Thu Mar 12, 2020 4:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7065

Re: Dow tops 28000

Calling it now, market will crash tomorrow and this will be the first time we see all 3 circuit breakers hit and market closes. ...yes. Just, yes. Not touching this market until june or later at this point. Good idea. Trump worked hard to sell his Strongest Economy argument tonight, but with Europe...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 10, 2020 5:13 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7065

Re: Dow tops 28000

I agree but if he comes out and sets off a panic the folks here will be clamoring for his resignation. He is trying to keep things stable. Meanwhile bernie came out today saying he would have kept all the borders open and not enacted xenophobic policies banning travel. The way to prevent panic is b...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 10, 2020 4:14 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7065

Re: Dow tops 28000

Instead of UA stock I got some Carnival stock. Maybe they're not at the bottom, maybe they are, but they surely will go up a good amount sometime in the mid future. Surely!. Funny I was just talking to my advisor about buying up CCL... as they have shareholder perks for cruising. However he said he...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 10, 2020 3:35 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7065

Re: Dow tops 28000

European stock markets have entered bear market territory, is it because their politicians? their administrators also failed? https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/09/european-markets-plunge-as-coronavirus-spreads-further-and-oil-slumps.html Or European markets beholden to the US administration actions too?...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 10, 2020 2:41 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7065

Re: Dow tops 28000

So you think that airlines canceling, hotels canceling, supply chains being disrupted etc, is Trump's fault? the world economy is going to take a hit off from this virus. No mater if it was HRC in charge or Biden. Claim the rallies, own the falls. He is, at the very least, indirectly responsible. A...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 09, 2020 7:24 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7849

Re: Oil price crash

I read an article that Russia is actually the culprit, and wants to hurt the US through hurting shale oil. The shale oil boom is largely over because the infrastructure is in place and the prices are low. The advantage the US and Canada now have is we know its there and ready to ramp up whenever we...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 09, 2020 2:49 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18oVRrHj3c183mHmq3m89_163yuYltLNlOmPerQ18E8w/htmlview?sle=true# By state, positive, negative, pending, and total tests, and some other breakdowns. What is apparent is that New York isn't testing enough and is headed for catastrophe. More than half the tests ar...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 09, 2020 2:25 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18oVRrHj3c183mHmq3m89_163yuYltLNlOmPerQ18E8w/htmlview?sle=true# By state, positive, negative, pending, and total tests, and some other breakdowns. Not currently up to date, but with the pace of the news flow that's expected. I know MA is at 28 confirmed and IA...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 09, 2020 2:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7849

Re: Oil price crash

Well Trump wanted oil, gas and other products to help with the trade balance issue, so there is that. But otherwise not very dependent, however I don't see how many shale oil companies will not go bankrupt very quickly if this lasts. Right, a lot of them will go under with sustained prices under $3...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 09, 2020 1:26 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oil price crash
Replies: 223
Views: 7849

Re: Oil price crash

Curently WTI trading at below 33 USD / barrel down from 48 USD last Wednesday: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/crude%20oil%20-%20electronic In this environment, Russia is doing the US a favor with cheap oil, at least on the consumer side. However, with the Covid19 fears, the economy is...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183319

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

Well, in a bit of good news for the airlines, oil prices are TANKING, down 30% in one shot. This is more Saudi pissed off at Russia for not agreeing to cuts in production as well as Coronavirus fears. We are talking oil at $30. Astonishing drop. It won't save the industry, but this might make airli...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Btw people, if you're in a high risk group, invest in both a thermometer (which you might already have) and pulse oximeter for both monitoring yourself for illness and reassuring yourself you don't have the virus. A drop in blood oxygen has been noted in those with mild symptoms right before they de...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 08, 2020 11:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I do think it's important to remind those who are worried about this virus is that the best way to protect yourself is to protect others. If you have a stockpile of disinfectants and hand sanitizer but others around you don't, it's best to share.

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 08, 2020 10:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Sorry, but what is going on in some countries? As example, there are now 19 death cases in US but only a low number of confirmed cases. I am here in Germany and in Germany, there are now 840 confirmed cases. Many of these, especially young children, have no symptoms or light cold like symptoms, man...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 08, 2020 8:57 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I thought I heard somewhere that an extremely aggressive immune response was actually part of the reason for succumbing to the viral infection? Cytokine storm. Except it should be noted this is an aggressive immune response with excessive inflammation that occurs because the original immune respons...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 08, 2020 8:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Sorry, but what is going on in some countries? As example, there are now 19 death cases in US but only a low number of confirmed cases. I am here in Germany and in Germany, there are now 840 confirmed cases. Many of these, especially young children, have no symptoms or light cold like symptoms, man...

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by Jouhou
Sun Mar 08, 2020 8:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

nowhere near 3% YET. From Chinese experience, condition worsens after 10 days, so we don't know YET. It won't be anywhere near 3%. The number of reported cases is only a fraction of ther actual number of cases. Most countries only test people with symptoms, and even then they don't test all of them...

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by Jouhou
Fri Mar 06, 2020 8:02 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Anyone ever experience those last few seconds before a head on collision when you're a passenger and not the driver? Where you can see what's about to happen but the driver isn't reacting properly and you feel completely powerless? That's how I've felt the last couple of days. The U.S. reacted too s...

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by Jouhou
Thu Mar 05, 2020 9:40 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Because it got into a nursing home, the absolute worst place for this virus. It's a bunch of people of the highest possible risk group all crowded together into a shared space. Our confirmed case count nationally is also well over 27. However most (is it all?) of the deaths are from that same nursi...

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by Jouhou
Wed Mar 04, 2020 11:25 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I wanted to take a moment to thank the many contributors to this thread. I have been able to form some useful opinions based on the many pieces of data provided. I've been reading through all the posts over the past week. And so far, it has been theoretical -- what do we do if / when, etc. What sho...

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by Jouhou
Wed Mar 04, 2020 10:52 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Why is the death rate in that US state (Washington I believe), so high?? 27 cases and 9 deaths? That's appalling for a rich nation. The virus has now reached the Southern Come with one case each in Argentina and Chile respectively. This is important because while everyone has until now been talking...

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by Jouhou
Wed Mar 04, 2020 9:28 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7065

Re: Dow tops 28000

If the Republican administration has made the economy so strong, they can withstand a half point or even full point rate increases by the fed. If the Republican administration is so confident in the American work force (where are the REAL unemployment numbers, BTW??? Remember that line when Obama w...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 03, 2020 6:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I thought Norway has one of the best healthcare systems in the world, this guy was a doctor, imagine someone who isn't. One thing this crisis is exposing is the myths that all healthcare systems except the US are better. Turns out no system is perfect. You and casinterest seem to be under the impre...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 03, 2020 5:48 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7065

Re: Dow tops 28000

Expect the markets to be unstable and make random sharp downward turns until bad news in regards to the virus stops coming. The bad news translates to supply chain disruptions, employees unable to work, and consumers not buying (both because they aren't going out and because the supply chain disrupt...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 03, 2020 5:27 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Well, time for an ArchGuy1 style post :). Jumbo Floating Restaurant, an iconic seafood restaurant in Hong Kong, is "closing until further notice" with all employees there being laid off. The owner cited nCoV and the resulting reduced demand (as people are definitely dining out a lot less,...

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by Jouhou
Tue Mar 03, 2020 5:12 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

You and casinterest seem to be under the impression that there is a cheap, readily available and reliable test for this, but that's not the case (yet). https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/02/health/coronavirus-testing-cdc.html True, too expensive for 'the model of healthcare of the world' Norway. Thank...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 10:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Maybe a silly question, but if we've been able to re-create nCov in lab conditions (as already happened in Australia & other jurisdictions apparently), could we not subject it to UV light and high temperatures to see how it reacts under lab conditions? If other coronaviruses weaken in the summe...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 9:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Maybe a silly question, but if we've been able to re-create nCov in lab conditions (as already happened in Australia & other jurisdictions apparently), could we not subject it to UV light and high temperates to see how it reacts under lab conditions? If other coronaviruses weaken in the summer,...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 9:04 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I am not sold that more than a miniscule number of people under 45 or so has gotten severe cases/has died from this...I believe the tiny percent of deaths in those under that age have been smokers or ones with Type I/II diabetes or undergoing cancer treatments. They documented one young British man...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 8:45 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

With the flu we all have some immunity. Healthy people sometimes die from the flu, but it's extremely rare, and usually because they haven't bothered going to the hospital even though they were in bad shape. With coronavirus healthy people are also mostly OK, but more get severe cases than with the...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:27 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

So, there was a mad rush on hand sanitizer this weekend so if anyone is looking for any in the US: for pretty scents ulta beauty and bath and body works still have them in stock. For unscented varieties it appears both home depot and lowes have them in stock (because those are about the last places ...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 3:07 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

With many factories in China closed, fashion companies are having to shift their supply chain to other countries, and this will cause a production strain for the Fall/Winter 2020-2021 fashion season, creating potential shortages of Fall/Winter clothes. While Spring/Summer 2020 shouldn't see much im...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 3:02 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Great info. I certainly will defer to you on these matters, I am but an aerospace engineer. Still, it seems to me that the community spread of this virus must indicate that the asymptomatic cases are far more widespread than is currently believed. I'll allow for the mixed bag of info we get out of ...

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by Jouhou
Mon Mar 02, 2020 2:32 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 164432

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Jouhou, what makes you think it is worse than the seasonal flu? Is it the mortality rate vs recovery rate? What if many more people are getting it than we know of who show n9 more symptoms than the seasonal flu? I think it may have been more global than previously thought due to its incubation peri...

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