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by ucdtim17
Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 5+ Hour delays into SFO
Replies: 95
Views: 17502

Re: 5+ Hour delays into SFO

SFO is one of the best airports IMO to fly out of. Delays are minimal and only bad a few weeks out of the year. It's like saying DL or AA should move their JFK ops to IAD or DCA....not much different. You have a very high bar for what you consider problematic delays. There are few airports that hav...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Jan 07, 2019 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 5+ Hour delays into SFO
Replies: 95
Views: 17502

Re: 5+ Hour delays into SFO

What goes into the calculation that produces the delay number? Many flights operate at or close to on time (especially long haul, transcons), and many cancel; there aren't many 10 hour delays to counterbalance the on times to get to a 5 hour average. Do they assign a number for the cancellations to ...

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by ucdtim17
Sat Jan 05, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 49
Views: 6302

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2019

Fun day at SFO today. There have been departures and arrivals on both the 19s and 10s. Peak gust of 52 so far.

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by ucdtim17
Fri Dec 28, 2018 9:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Iberia at SFO
Replies: 12
Views: 1949

Re: Iberia at SFO

SCQ83 wrote:
In addition Spain-California has seen recently a boom. A couple of years ago there was only MAD-LAX on Iberia. Now there are 6 routes (MAD-LAX on IB/DY, MAD-SFO on IB, BCN-LAX on DY and BCN-SFO on Level/DY) and BCN-LAX on Level that was recently dropped.


DY is BCN-OAK, not SFO

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by ucdtim17
Tue Dec 18, 2018 9:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO
Replies: 77
Views: 10594

Re: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO

reality wrote:
I also notice that when you book a flight from Oakland, it says San Francisco-Oakland and does not say OAK during the reservation process.


Shows up as "San Francisco-Oakland (OAK)" for me right now

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by ucdtim17
Tue Dec 18, 2018 5:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8659

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/12/17/ ... lso-jumps/

The difference between having one growing airline (WN) and two (WN, AS)
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Not clear from the numbers in the article but SJC thinks they'll pass OAK in overall passenger numbers this year https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/12/17/ ... lso-jumps/

The difference between having one growing airline (WN) and two (WN, AS)

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by ucdtim17
Sun Dec 16, 2018 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United starting Stockton-LAX service in 2019?
Replies: 53
Views: 7686

Re: United starting Stockton-LAX service in 2019?

As I just posted on the OAG thread and will add here for discussion. Per Travelocity, the schedule will be: UA 5120 dep SCK 7:41am arr LAX 9:10am UA 5032 dep SCK 3:00pm arr LAX 4:29pm UA 5056 dep LAX 1:00pm arr SCK 2:22pm UA 5097 dep LAX 5:10pm arr SCK 6:32pm A long overnight time at SCK. Time for ...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Dec 14, 2018 12:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8659

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

SJC keeps lagging somehow. (Mostly because of limited connection options ?) After Reno and American taking away their focus, I think SJC should work more closely with SW/AS for domestic expansion. They've both been expanding like crazy for years at SJC. Perhaps there is further expansion to come, b...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Dec 05, 2018 11:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Italy announces LAX & SFO
Replies: 53
Views: 9752

Re: Air Italy announces LAX & SFO

janders wrote:
Cool.

Is Norwegian doing Milan-LA/SF next year? Their 2018 summer flights got canceled as part of the need to trim schedule for the RR engine repairs.


3x weekly FCO-OAK next summer

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by ucdtim17
Thu Nov 29, 2018 12:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO
Replies: 77
Views: 10594

Re: Norwegian Exiting OAK for SFO

Bummer, OAK just recently upgraded their international arrivals building able to accommodate a high volume of passengers. Might be the time to find another European carrier and potential Asian routes that could serve OAK in the future. Who else do you think would try? Negotiations are underway, the...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 28, 2018 8:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO
Replies: 77
Views: 10594

Re: Norwegian Exiting OAK for SFO

Do you believe this is a right move taking into account Norwegian's situation? I assume SFO is way more expensive to operate in. Do they have poor yields just because they fly to OAK instead SFO? Competition, although not exactly on the SFO-LGW corridor, still up to 5 daily SFO-LHR is going to be h...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 28, 2018 8:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO
Replies: 77
Views: 10594

Re: Norwegian Exiting OAK for SFO

DY just made a terrible mistake to go to SFO and I will punish them as I have flown OAK to LGA R/T 15 times and let us hope other airlines fill their void. Perhaps after they see their customers routinely delayed they might come to their senses. I was planning to buy a CDG-OAK return (outbound is a...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 28, 2018 2:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO
Replies: 77
Views: 10594

Re: Norwegian Exiting OAK for SFO

Perhaps the title of the thread should be updated to reflect the fact that just LGW is moving to SFO (for now)?

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by ucdtim17
Fri Nov 09, 2018 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 92204

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

So is PDX-BOS a no-go for 2019 then? Their only other summer seasonal transcon out of BOS was SMF, and that one is loaded into the 2019 schedule. Also, SEA-ANC was loaded into the schedule, while PDX-ANC was not. Is that one gone too? They also do BOS-OAK; not currently loaded as of schedule end Ju...

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by ucdtim17
Sun Nov 04, 2018 10:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 92204

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

JFK-OAK is higher loads at higher fares than JFK-PDX, no? they do better on LGB-PDX than LGB-OAK. And also, BOS-PDX in summer time is normally profitable. No competition on LGB-PDX while they're going up against WN on LGB-OAK. Maybe they'll leave JFK-OAK but not because they're doing worse than the...

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by ucdtim17
Sun Nov 04, 2018 3:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 92204

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

I would wait for their next schedule extension before commenting on this. If you look at the number i posted earlier, PDX is actually not at the bottom of routes of JFK or BOS. Based on numbers, they will cut stations like RNO, ABQ and OAK before PDX. JFK-OAK is higher loads at higher fares than JF...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Oct 31, 2018 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sun Country JFK-LAS?
Replies: 92
Views: 4192

Re: Sun Country adds BOS-LAS, JFK-LAS, LAX-LAS, SFO-LAS

But the majority of those flights aren't daily, and most travelers to LAS leave from SFO. Just barely "most": OAK (509k) + SJC (435k) = 944k annual passengers to LAS, while SFO is 996k. Major regional markets have much more parity between the airports than transcons and international dest...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Oct 31, 2018 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA Dehub SJC?
Replies: 43
Views: 7410

Re: Why did AA Dehub SJC?

With the recession, I remember Crandall saying AMR would not be investing in the airline much going forward. It wasn't providing the returns of the other subsidiaries (especially SABRE). The other problem had is that AA went all in with the MD80 as their domestic aircraft. The MD80 had a lot great ...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Oct 30, 2018 8:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 92204

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

So is PDX-BOS a no-go for 2019 then? Their only other summer seasonal transcon out of BOS was SMF, and that one is loaded into the 2019 schedule. Also, SEA-ANC was loaded into the schedule, while PDX-ANC was not. Is that one gone too? They also do BOS-OAK; not currently loaded as of schedule end Ju...

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by ucdtim17
Sat Oct 27, 2018 8:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/21/2018: AS;DL Ends JFK-SNA;UA
Replies: 72
Views: 12408

Re: OAG Changes 10/21/2018: AS;DL Ends JFK-SNA;UA

The fares were much lower on JFK-LGB, and relatively high on JFK-SNA. AA killed JFK-LGB because, in part, JFK-LGB was stealing passengers from JFK-SNA. AA dumped capacity at low fares on both routes, and they had zero strategic interest in operating either of them. Both routes were cancelled once i...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 22, 2018 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian Flight 37 emergency laning OAK
Replies: 9
Views: 3119

Re: Hawaiian Flight 37 emergency laning OAK

https://flightaware.com/live/flight/HAL37

Is there maintenance they can do at OAK they can't do at SAN?


OAK routing is ~200 miles shorter.


Looks like it's now scheduled to depart shortly to OGG
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SFOtoORD wrote:
ucdtim17 wrote:
Went out a bit before turning north - https://flightaware.com/live/flight/HAL37

Is there maintenance they can do at OAK they can't do at SAN?


OAK routing is ~200 miles shorter.


Looks like it's now scheduled to depart shortly to OGG

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 22, 2018 8:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian Flight 37 emergency laning OAK
Replies: 9
Views: 3119

Re: Hawaiian Flight 37 emergency laning OAK

https://flightaware.com/live/flight/HAL37

Is there maintenance they can do at OAK they can't do at SAN?
-->

Went out a bit before turning north - https://flightaware.com/live/flight/HAL37

Is there maintenance they can do at OAK they can't do at SAN?

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by ucdtim17
Thu Oct 18, 2018 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nonstop to Italy from SFO
Replies: 35
Views: 5287

Re: Nonstop to Italy from SFO

OAK-FCO is seasonal but not just summer; it's suspended Nov 1 - Mar 31.

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by ucdtim17
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 92204

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

I was having a great Nelson HA HA day until I read THAT. If you know something......speak up ! :psst: JetBlue publicly said more daylight transcons (which are not included this time around) I also think SRQ is important to the BOS market (it sure doesnt do great out of NY if the upguaging/downguagi...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Oct 09, 2018 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 884
Views: 92204

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

Still no official word on anything re cuts?

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 08, 2018 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66909

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

SFO-PHX did well? Let's pump the brakes a little bit. This is from Q1 CityPair Dist CarrierBoard AvgFare NSFare ConnFare % NS SeatPerFlight LF AvgAsm PRASM SFOPHX 651 AA 103191 175.88 175.56 230.98 99.42% 174.3 67.19% 117.96 0.1812 SFOPHX 651 AS 18872 118.73 118.77 104.97 99.67% 177.4 70.47% 83.70 ...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Oct 03, 2018 9:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion At SFO
Replies: 33
Views: 8237

Re: Expansion At SFO

There is a slow, but steady shift of attitude around development in the Bay Area. It won’t change overnight but I suspect there will be an opportunity to build a runway down the road. Whether or not that is true, it's just unnecessary. There's no reason to build more on the bay when further growth ...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Oct 03, 2018 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion At SFO
Replies: 33
Views: 8237

Re: Expansion At SFO

San Francisco with a runway? Good luck with that proposal.... There is a slow, but steady shift of attitude around development in the Bay Area. It won’t change overnight but I suspect there will be an opportunity to build a runway down the road. Whether or not that is true, it's just unnecessary. T...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Oct 02, 2018 3:54 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?
Replies: 29
Views: 4365

Re: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?

Initially you try to change the context of your initial assertion, then you stand behind it. You’re claiming that the high cost of living indirectly contributes to higher than average wages, but that’s simply not true; the Los Angeles MSA is nowhere near the top of the list in terms of median salar...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 01, 2018 11:10 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?
Replies: 29
Views: 4365

Re: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?

That’s a fallacy; markets set wages at the level necessary to attract qualified help - they don’t care or consider cost of living, individuals do. What does that mean if not exactly what I said? "And along with that, the salaries that companies have to pay so their employees can afford to live...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 01, 2018 9:32 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?
Replies: 29
Views: 4365

Re: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?

Coastal California and Western Washington are very pro-business. The problem is the high cost of living, based largely on very expensive housing, which makes the area less appealing to lower wage job earners. And along with that, the salaries that companies have to pay so their employees can afford...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 01, 2018 8:48 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?
Replies: 29
Views: 4365

Re: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?

Coastal California and Western Washington are very pro-business. The problem is the high cost of living, based largely on very expensive housing, which makes the area less appealing to lower wage job earners. And along with that, the salaries that companies have to pay so their employees can afford...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 01, 2018 8:26 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?
Replies: 29
Views: 4365

Re: Will Boeing Build Planes in Long Beach Again?

As a “Boeing guy”; I’d have thought the idea of LGB continuing its heritage of aviation a good thing. Too bad California is so anti-business that it won’t happen. GF Anti business? You do realize if California were its own country it would have the 6th-7th largest GDP in the world. :shock: Actually...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 01, 2018 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Alaska de-hub SFO and LAX?
Replies: 82
Views: 10317

Re: Will Alaska debub SFO&LAX?

LAX is just too huge of a market for AS to completely "de-hub". All sizable US carriers operates some form of a large focus city or hub in LA, and for AS to bail on that market would be bad, even from a PR perspective. SFO will likely reduce, simple because the market isn't as big and UA ...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Oct 01, 2018 3:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Alaska de-hub SFO and LAX?
Replies: 82
Views: 10317

Re: Will Alaska debub SFO&LAX?

AS would have to be really dumb to shrink and give up gates that it paid so much for. However, I also don't see them expanding further at SFO after UA hurt them on so many new routes they tried to add. This may be the key point for AS at SFO - the UA fortress hub. AS is basically a full service car...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Sep 27, 2018 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reno/Tahoe to Europe
Replies: 38
Views: 4015

Re: Reno/Tahoe to Europe

For example, Yosemite NP is closer to RNO than it is to SFO. Not really. If your destination is the valley, right now (with Tioga Pass open) google says 4:38 from Reno and 4:20 from SFO (with commute traffic). In winter, you can technically get to the eastern gate of the park but the pass will be c...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Sep 25, 2018 10:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8659

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

I know OAK was planning on having remote stands and buses to avoid backups on international arrivals; does anyone know if those are in use now? Without Level and BA next summer, hopefully everything is a little smoother.

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by ucdtim17
Tue Sep 18, 2018 5:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 613
Views: 76087

Re: Southwest Airlines Network Thread 2018

https://crankyflier.com/2018/09/18/an-u ... aii-plans/

Still plan to sell tickets this year but no actual news on start date.
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Update from CF: https://crankyflier.com/2018/09/18/an-u ... aii-plans/

Still plan to sell tickets this year but no actual news on start date.

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by ucdtim17
Fri Aug 31, 2018 11:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66909

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

Heilpython89 wrote:
As for SFO Southwest had that route year round, but they made it seasonally last year I believe, they didn't give a reason.


It was inherited from AirTran. It was kind of an odd duck as the only route they flew at SFO that they didn't serve at OAK. Not surprising it didn't last.

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by ucdtim17
Fri Aug 31, 2018 6:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2018 NCAA Football Charters
Replies: 167
Views: 16515

Re: 2018 NCAA Football Charters

https://flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL ... /KRDU/KOAK
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Looks like UNC took a DL 753 RDU-OAK for their game at Cal. I noticed it fly over last night on the way to MSP. Not a plane that is regularly scheduled at OAK. https://flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL ... /KRDU/KOAK

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by ucdtim17
Thu Aug 30, 2018 9:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How are AS focus cities doing with expansion
Replies: 38
Views: 3911

Re: How are AS focus cities doing with expansion

My guess is that eventually, AS will max out – space-wise -- at SAN & SJC before they run out of new destinations and routes to add. (Not anytime soon however.) bb Seems like SJC is planning to add space for both AS and WN. SAN may be a different story. Frankly with SFO fog situation and the po...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Aug 30, 2018 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines adds SEA-CMH (from March 7, 2019)
Replies: 106
Views: 8178

Re: Alaska Airlines adds SEA-CMH (from March 1, 2019)

Decent connections are possible to/from CMH if originating from PDX, SFO, LAX, ANC and others. It won't be only P2P on this route. Any 'subsidy' is likely a marketing budget in Columbus to herald the new route...pretty standard offering from the new airport/community on an unserved market. There ar...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Aug 29, 2018 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines adds SEA-CMH (from March 7, 2019)
Replies: 106
Views: 8178

Re: Alaska Airlines adds SEA-CMH (from March 1, 2019)

Decent connections are possible to/from CMH if originating from PDX, SFO, LAX, ANC and others. It won't be only P2P on this route. Any 'subsidy' is likely a marketing budget in Columbus to herald the new route...pretty standard offering from the new airport/community on an unserved market. There ar...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66909

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

I hope that wasn't the extent of the new market announcements

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by ucdtim17
Tue Aug 28, 2018 4:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66909

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

Which is how I know that AS is not going to do it. For better or worse, AS is very methodical and incremental in their approach. Every step this management team makes is very predictable and seems very small. Sometimes the steps seem frustratingly small. That has indeed generally been their approac...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Aug 27, 2018 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New airline, two new destinations for SBA
Replies: 60
Views: 7946

Re: New airline, two new destinations for SBA

Nice to see another Bay Area-SBA option aside from the exorbitantly priced and frequently delayed/cancelled SFO-SBA UA service

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by ucdtim17
Mon Aug 27, 2018 4:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66909

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

I know AS has a much longer term strategy at SFO, this was well thought out with plans for a decade or better in view when the merge was completed. AS is not going anywher at SFO & in a few years, we'll see a stronger AS presence there. I was in SFO a couple of weeks ago and was impressed by th...

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by ucdtim17
Sat Aug 25, 2018 7:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66909

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

I think that AS should try to go head to head on West Coast service out of Oakland with SWA. Without actually checking it seems to me that in the old days of PSA and AirCal there was a lot more service out of OAK than there is now. Not to mention a great number of the North-South routing that SWA i...

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