Search found 12913 matches

by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 382703

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

You don't find news on the 737MAX here anymore. You see it somewhere else. This all in one thread drowns everything.. It seems we might see more then just a software update here, also a hardware update. PR might have to update statements and FAQ's http://www.boeing.com/commercial/737max/737-max-upda...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 3:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

The problem is that Berlin itself and even more the region has very few company headquarters so it is lacking of corporate travel. The money is made in the FRA/MUC/DUS/HAM regions. I doubt that anybody can make money with Economy Class passengers without a decent Biz Class mix. We all remember what...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa Capital Markets Day - Changes to EW, SN, Update on Fleet Development
Replies: 91
Views: 12686

Re: Lufthansa Group - retirement of seven long haul types until 2025

If no one wants your used aircraft, rest value is zero, you better keep them for their economical life time.

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

I see AA, JetBlue, maybe others flying in XLR's & w'll see if LH's strategy will be fine tuned or nothing will change. Berlin has a large catchment area. Berlin it self has more than 30 million overnight stays by visitors per year of which 7.7 million overnight stays for conferences and convent...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old
Replies: 4
Views: 1256

Re: Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old

He was also on first flight of Caravelle 64 years ago (door opening) https://www.granger.com/wmpix/age/rue/0137074-CARAVELLE-2-jet-engines-caravel-made-a-22-minutes-first-fly-on-may-27-1955-Here-the-crew--Jean-Avril-Andre-Moynet-Pierre-Nadot-and-Roger-Beteille-Full-credit-AGIP---Rue-des-Archives--Gr...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

I think we'll definitely see the XLR in the Lufthansa group at some point, but I doubt it'll be in some larger fashion that some here are fantasizing about. Certainly not going to open up transatlantic from HAM or TXL as some here are dreaming. I see AA, JetBlue, maybe others flying in XLR's & ...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old
Replies: 4
Views: 1256

Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old

He was a French aeronautical engineer and is regarded as one of the founding fathers of the company. He also worked for Air France, Lufthansa, United, TWA and American Airlines. https://www.eturbonews.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/0a1a-312-1600x1318.jpg He decided - the "Airbus fuselage" ...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 12:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-lufthansa-planes-idUSKCN1TP1RP says: Very interesting take. Perhaps LH is trying to differentiate itself from LCCs who chose to use XLR on routes greater than four hours? Perhaps he's got a NMA briefing in his hands and wants to create a big splash like IAG just d...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 12:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-lufthansa-planes-idUSKCN1TP1RP says: “The new XLR could be used in our network. We look at it. But in my view it is a niche product ,” Spohr told investors at Lufthansa’s capital markets day in Frankfurt. He pointed out that it was not comfortable to spend more th...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Interestingly enough, LH's CEO just said the XLR is not a game changer and said it was not comfortable to spend more than four hours on a flight in a narrow-bodied aircraft ( ref: https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1425571 ). Seems he is reading from the NMA play book. I don't ...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 25, 2019 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

Don't you find weird that DY doesn't fly long haul from the second largest market in Europe? Good point. Maybe LH's untouchable status will change in the post-Merkel world, but I doubt it. You can bet that no government would ever try to mess with a company that is involved with more than 100,000 d...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 25, 2019 1:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

A direct flight Berlin - Washington, being capitals and stuff, wouldn't that be fantastic?

Image

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by keesje
Tue Jun 25, 2019 9:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

This is the most important part here ;) I think 2 different aircraft is two supply chains and FALs. Little magical advantages in using the same architecture, philosophy etc. apart it can save some time in non-recurring and certification. There's even the risk of a single point of failure for two pr...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 25, 2019 9:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

. You are correct that the production systems used for the NMA will roll into the NSA. That, in my opinion, is potentially Airbus's biggest challenge to counter - the new Boeing production system which was started with the 787, and being further developed with the NMA - and then expected to be fine...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 25, 2019 8:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

There I have now my doubts to this "story". If I just verify the UA fleet and the UA orders... They are flying A320 ceo and A319 ceo and seems to be happy with them. They have even bought additional used A320 ceo and A319 ceo from other airlines, most of them still in delivery. They are n...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24678

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

I think the XLR might prove a game changer for LH Group in that we will see competing airlines directly connecting their Atlantic hubs with places like Berlin, Hamburg, Stuttgart, Dusseldorf, Dresden, Cologne. The LH hubs in FRA and MUC are not convenient located for traffic to/ from Berlin, Hamburg...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 11:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

A twin aisle NMA is not a path to NSA, no matter how much you wish it to be so. Most definitely Boeing will do it no matter how much you don't wish it to be so. :roll: Any new 130-200 seat NB would have to be real lean, mean, quiet, flexible and cheap. CASM unbeatable under 3 hours. Hard to combine...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 10:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

I have heard from my source that they anticipated the A321XLR and are not worried about it. Cold day in hell before they would admit. We heard the same on the NEO, Boeing wasn't worried Airbus was just catching up on the NG. In reality they underestimated and were panicking / rushing the MAX. They ...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Euro 3-3 has mostly convertable 3-3 2-2 business class. So you can optimize the cabin per flight. LH used to have 3-3 to 2-3 convertables. But now mostly 3-3 to 2-2, moving armrest, inbetween table and more pitch.

Image

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 3:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Guess which large 757, 767 operator, NMA promotor and recent A321 operator will jump on the XLR train next. http://www.gcmap.com/map?P=HNL,+HAM,+Lin,+RIO,+SCL,+Bud,+CMN,+EZE,+OSL,+OPO&R=3500nm%40ATL,4700nm%40ATL%0d%0a&MS=wls2&MC=OPO&MR=1800&MX=720x360&PM=* 3500NM & 4700NM...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 1:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

SYD to SIN, HKG, BKK, KUL, SGN, FUK, KIX, TYO, all seem within easy reach for the XLR. More interestingly, perhaps, secondary destinations all over southeast Asia become within reach of MEL and SYD on a narrowbody airplane for the first time. Interesting times. Also defensively. E.g. Guangzhou, Chi...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 12:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 382703

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Look on how the Lionair crash was handled. - the media was succesfully put on a track (pilot, Lionair operational record, aircraft airworthy) - any disruptive conclusions moved out a year (let's not speculate, but wait for the final investigation report (late 2019) - Boeing got away with it, stock r...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 12:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

I see an A322 based on the XLR, same MTOW, trading capacity for range. A 3700NM+ range would still be extremely usefull for a 250 seat (single class) aircraft. why would it sacrifice range when it has wings better suited for its size and more efficient engines? I think there will be both a regular ...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 552
Views: 92252

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

I think we see a fleet rationalization. EK needs the 777-9, but maybe not 100 anytime soon, the 777-8 seems a red herring now they commited to the A350 with its proven much leaner ULR capabilities. https://i2.wp.com/alphaaviator.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/wzf7UExyDwWK6frB_Airbus_A350_900_Emirate...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:35 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?
Replies: 45
Views: 5788

Re: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?

Yes the way to show you don't want an aircraft is to keep increasing the order. Started at 25 and now it stands at 45.. Not quite. They had 25 A359-1000 on order but decided to go with the 787-10 instead. Instead of simply deferring the 359-1000, they stuck an agreement with Airbus to change the or...

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 10:54 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?
Replies: 45
Views: 5788

Re: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?

I think replacing the 772ER by a 787s you end up giving payload in the growing Asian markets. And the 777X is is very nice but top heavy & unproven.

They'll probably order A223 and A321XLR regardless. Like AA, Jetblue, Delta, Frontier etc.

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 10:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

The biggest business threat to the NMA will be the next step after the 321XLR: the 322XLR. I think it's highly likely we'll see a ~240pax 5000+nm 321XLR derivative with optimised wings and new generation engines similar to the 797, around the same 2026/2027 timeframe. It will take the lower half of...

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 9:05 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?
Replies: 45
Views: 5788

Re: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?

Continental honored the 1997 contract with Boeing not to buy Airbus for 20 years. United launched the 777 in the early nineties. Most will be replaced by A350s?

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Southern eyes world domination and puts Oneworld plans aside
Replies: 25
Views: 6202

Re: China Southern eyes world domination and puts Oneworld plans aside

I think the World Domination" is dreamed by someone to feed latent developing China fobia.

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 3:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

I have seen nothing but hope and visions to make believe a twin aisle could come close to NB OEW / efficiency for the same seat capacity. No breakthroughs in sight IMO.

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 12:06 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: 6 abreast A220 seating - Channel Airways style
Replies: 34
Views: 3023

Re: 6 abreast A220 seating - Channel Airways style

I looked at staggered 6 abreast a while ago, to make it a 150 seater, when the A220-300 was named still C130.

https://s191.photobucket.com/user/keesje_pics/media/CSeriesC130150seater.jpg.html?t=1217779572

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 10:30 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Operational Weak Spots of the Airbus A321NEO/LR/XLR Discussion Thread
Replies: 92
Views: 34619

Re: Operational Weak Spots of the Airbus A321NEO/LR.

1) One problem I do see, that was not raised here is the MTOW of 97 tonnes with two wheel bogies, which will probably not allow this aircraft to have the short runway performance that the 757 had. I was wondering if Airbus would re-activate the 4 wheel bogie for this option as they had for the earl...

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by keesje
Sun Jun 23, 2019 9:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321LR Versus XLR
Replies: 93
Views: 14719

Re: A321LR Versus XLR

What could be really interesting is that low-cost airlines could increase their footprints and their networks might start to overlap. I did notice that Air Arabia is now flying to Kuala Lumpur with their first new A320LR (a 7.5 hour flight) and the XLR will increase this even more. This could be a ...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 21, 2019 9:47 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Sukhoi SU-57
Replies: 120
Views: 21502

Re: Sukhoi SU-57

The Su-57 looks a bit more elegant, maybe because it doesn't need the huge tail surfaces.

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by keesje
Fri Jun 21, 2019 7:55 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Operational Weak Spots of the Airbus A321NEO/LR/XLR Discussion Thread
Replies: 92
Views: 34619

Re: Operational Weak Spots of the Airbus A321NEO/LR Discussion Thread

Has any sketch / drawing / cutaway been published on the new A321XLR fuel tank configuration?

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by keesje
Fri Jun 21, 2019 7:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

I see a 15-20t gap between same seat capacity A321-A322 version and the discussed NMA' configurations. And I have not seen anything that motivates me from lowering that gap. No materials, structures or space use step changes. SUV's are not for efficiency. https://07185918574543712684.googlegroups.co...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 21, 2019 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 33806

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

Airbus better address costs quickly.. They should be able to do it as they were able to get A330 costs down dramatically. But until then Boeing will continue to win the battle.. The 787 and A350 are very close performance wise so cost is going to be the deciding factor in most RFPs. Airbus sold 900...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 21, 2019 10:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45335

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

I think People are still thinking the NMA is a lot bigger than it actually will be. I think it will be a 7W Ovalish (Half a big Circle on top of 1/3 of a bigger circle) cross section where the Nose/Cross Section is reused on NSA - something like an 160-165W" x 185-190"H Cross section. I r...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 21, 2019 8:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321LR Versus XLR
Replies: 93
Views: 14719

Re: A321LR Versus XLR

It seems the XLR is, apart from more range, implementing improvements valuable for any A321. To make money on the capabilities, Airbus will probably create paper versions for different MTOW's again. A lower MTOW / engine requirements improves time on wing / MRO costs if you never fly them longer the...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 19, 2019 8:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Paris Air Show 2019: Boeing News and Orders Thread
Replies: 310
Views: 86851

Re: Paris Air Show 2019: Boeing News and Orders Thread

They may have got such a good price that they can just lease them out to airlines in Asia and Africa that need them for a decent margin. I think this is the strategy of indigo partners airlines, buy big and fill where needed, if not lease them out. Another debate is that why do IAG need to place th...

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by keesje
Sun Jun 16, 2019 10:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Paris Airshow 2019, Expectations, Gossip, Announcements
Replies: 361
Views: 66532

Re: Paris Airshow 2019, Expectations, Gossip, Announcements

The 321 was already outselling Boeing by far. They were in no need to rush things as they were making plenty of money. the a320 leads the nb market, but only by like 8%. why not hit boeing while they're down and further the lead? Are you referring to the A320neo family as a whole as I calculate rou...

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by keesje
Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Paris Airshow 2019, Expectations, Gossip, Announcements
Replies: 361
Views: 66532

Re: Paris Airshow 2019, Expectations, Gossip, Announcements

The list of airlines that could buy/convert to A321XLR keeps growing,
It could be more than 3-4. Mentioned are:
- Airasia
- Jetblue
- AA
- MEA
- United
- IAG
- Indigo
- Azul
- Air Malta
- LEVEL
- Lufthansa Group
- Icelandair
- Wizz Air
I remember A spread NEO's out over the week

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by keesje
Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 286
Views: 56722

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Everybody needs to remember that while Boeing really can't talk about its strategy until the MAX is back in the air, it doesn't have to stop executing on the strategy. We don't know what is happening with NMA. Everything that has been used as evidence in this thread, including the articles, is spec...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 14, 2019 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Boeing Brasil let the E175-E2 just fall off the table?
Replies: 58
Views: 8526

Re: Will Boeing Brasil let the E175-E2 just fall off the table?

Most OE's publicly stand solidly behind their long term strategy moving forward, until the moment they changed it. I believe Boeing Brasil / Embraer can retain their healthy marketshare US domestic, but not with the E175-E2 Like MHI on the MRJ70 and Boeing with the 737-7, they probably need to adjus...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 14, 2019 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 286
Views: 56722

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Nothing new really. We have known about Boeing’s dilemma for over a decade now. We are still waiting for Boeing’s move. Everything changed. - 737 lost marketshare since MAX launch - 737-7 & 737-9 had to be upgraded to keep customers - Airbus bought A220 & started selling, working toward 14/...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 14, 2019 10:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 286
Views: 56722

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Pressure is building on Boeing to come with a credible NB strategy for the next 10-15 yrs, according to Bloomberg. The 737MAX will do just fine until 2030- and -the 5000 MAX backlog is solid- are disputed assumptions at this stage. The cat-and-mouse game over jets to be rolled out during the next de...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Boeing Brasil let the E175-E2 just fall off the table?
Replies: 58
Views: 8526

Will Boeing Brasil let the E175-E2 just fall off the table?

It seems Boeing Brasil has some choices to make on their <100 regional portfolio / market strategy. :arrow: 40% of regional aircraft demand is in the America's :arrow: E175 has been succesfull with US regionals in recent years :arrow: E175-E2 doesn't meet scope clause MTOW for 76 passengers restrict...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 14, 2019 6:42 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sarah Huckabee Sanders to resign; return to Arkansas for possible governor's run
Replies: 71
Views: 3166

Re: Sarah Huckabee Sanders to resign; return to Arkansa for possible governor's run

A person can only take so much humiliation from having to try to defend the indefensible. She tried her best and was a nasty as she had to be to try to defend trump but I think she may have had about enough of looking like a complete lying fool. It also could have been that after trumps horrific co...

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by keesje
Thu Jun 13, 2019 11:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 286
Views: 56722

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Aisle seats produce revenue if people pay a direct premium for them. People may indirectly pay for 2-2-2, just like they pay for free bags, by choosing a consistent preferred product versus a competitor. Also, there are indirect saved costs from turnaround times, customer relaxation, crew relaxatio...

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by keesje
Thu Jun 13, 2019 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1327
Views: 228127

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

2 years later, well that should hardly make a difference for QF :slaphappy:

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