Search found 12956 matches

by keesje
Sun Jul 07, 2019 6:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flyadeal cancels 737 max Commitment
Replies: 72
Views: 14843

Re: Flyadeal cancels 737 max order

Early slots for IAG :thumbsup:

Jump to post
by keesje
Sat Jul 06, 2019 9:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 896
Views: 130524

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Let's keep ignoring the EASA found Boeing 737 Max's Autopilot Has Problem. Maybe it 'll go away..

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 11:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America
Replies: 14
Views: 4029

Re: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America

Airbus is doing better with narrowbodies https://static.seattletimes.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/FIX-Airbus-Boeing2018-narrowbody-WEB-1020x678.jpg However, I don’t know why we are excluding the widebody market from the conversation. The whole concept of the NMA is to erase the divide between wid...

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15287

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

Airlines with a strong Atlantic focus, Intra Asia. Transpac without serious cargo next to passengers isn't a big market. Same as A333.

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America
Replies: 14
Views: 4029

Re: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America

Everybody knows better looking back. (To be honest, google shows looking ahead too..). Maybe Airbus spread their risk, 3 success types (A223, A320,A321), 3 engines, 5 FALs. Putting all your money on 1 type, 1 engine, 1 FAL sounds good from a economies of scale standpoint, but..

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

So much emphasis that the A350-1000 is out of the picture for EK, it is becoming suspicious. Emirates proved very flexible changing, cancelling firm orders. It’s the topic of this thread. No exceptions for the A350s I assume.

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Leeham had an analyzes where they mention the -8 is 14t lighter than the -9, around 167t. https://leehamnews.com/2019/02/07/boeings-777x-analyzed-part-3/ The 777-9 OEW we use is based on a 2016 article (~400.00 lbs) from Norris and Flottau who demonstrated close contacts / allignement with Boeing. A...

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 12:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

The 77W OEW is 167.8t. The 778 is 5m shorter than the 77W. At 2.3t/m, the 778 will be at least 11t less than the 77W before wings (going to composites should save weight), and engines (10% less thrust but about 3t more weight for both). 778 is derivate of 779 not 77W. 779 OEW 181t, 14t more then 77...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

778 OEW estimation is around 167 t and A35k is around 150t! On a photo from CX A35k there is label with OEW 148 900kg on the pedestal. Cheers The 77W OEW is 167.8t. The 778 is 5m shorter than the 77W. At 2.3t/m, the 778 will be at least 11t less than the 77W before wings (going to composites should...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 2:38 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: The Future of Boeing
Replies: 35
Views: 2350

Re: The Future of Boeing

Washington would strategically intervene. https://www.boeing.com/defense/#/products-services I expect more support from the Trump government over the next few years anyway. America First. Boeing is the US' biggest exporter, the US government is their biggest customer, supporter, R&D sponsor. htt...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 1:46 pm
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..
Replies: 27
Views: 2959

Re: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..

I think really no one likes those huge threads. Sometimes mods split a topic up early, e..g. Paris airshow. Maybe that is something to consider for 737 grounding etc. We constantly receive reports asking to combine topics into larger, general topic threads. More often than not, I err on the side of...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Middle East 3 Carriers are the Lifeline for 777-8/-9 Program

Let's be fair keejse and state facts as they are right now. And right now, Emirates has NO firm orders for any variance of the The a350 family of jets.Singapore, all Nippon, Lufthansa, none have the 1000 either. Doesn't matter that they can convert orders in the LH+Sq case. Etihhahds five planned 1...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 11:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Middle East 3 Carriers are the Lifeline for 777-8/-9 Program

Firm orders for Boeing 777X Lufthansa.........................20 Etihad Airways.................25 Cathay Pacific..................21 Emirates.........................150 Qatar Airways..................60 All Nippon Airways...........20 Unidentified customer......10 Singapore Airlines...........20 ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 10:35 am
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..
Replies: 27
Views: 2959

Re: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..

I think really no one likes those huge threads.
Sometimes mods split a topic up early, e..g. Paris airshow.
Maybe that is something to consider for 737 grounding etc.

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 8:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Middle East 3 Carriers are the Lifeline for 777-8/-9 Program

Firm orders for Boeing 777X Lufthansa.........................20 Etihad Airways.................25 Cathay Pacific..................21 Emirates.........................150 Qatar Airways..................60 All Nippon Airways...........20 Unidentified customer......10 Singapore Airlines...........20 B...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 03, 2019 8:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

AA has 340 A321s in service / on order. I wonder where they are going to use the 50 XLR's.

If Boeing waits until they have confirmation UA, DL ordered/ converted XLR's and SW passes on the MAX-7, they have waited too long, again.

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 03, 2019 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

I am of the view that whatever replaces the A388 will need to be bigger than a 779X but weigh a lot less and be substantially cheaper to operate than the A388. I do think the 777 has probably come to the end of its design potential now with the 8/9X and there is fairly limited scope for growth and ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 03, 2019 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

[ I sense a bit of the same approach with the NMA as in 2011. Then all focus was at 787 issues, now at MAX issues. Maybe nobody can say the NMA business case stinks, after all the effort put into it? Bad for your position? Just sing along? Market punches might be required to get Kevin & Mark no...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 03, 2019 9:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

oh and stumbled across this on my travels: https://leehamnews.com/2010/12/10/737ng-vs-a320neo-an-interesting-chess-game/ Interesting to see how the opinion aged. December 2010, Boeing was ultimately self confident. That lasted until June, here the same Albaugh at the Paris Airshow 2011: https://you...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 03, 2019 6:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Inbetween the E195 (<132 seats) and your NSA-8 (>180 seats) there would the core of the NB market, maybe 15.000 aircraft in the next 20 years. https://theblogbyjavier.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/boeingcmoinfographic2018.png?w=627&h=481 I think Boeing needs to offer something weighing ~40t empty...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 03, 2019 12:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

90+% of 737 flights are under 1000nm. In 10 years time an electric aircraft will easily be designed to fly that distance. Designing a cleansheet short haul aircraft today that isn't electric would be extreme short term thinking. Imagine a new car company starting up today that wasn't fully electric...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 11:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Inbetween the E195 (<132 seats) and your NSA-8 (>180 seats) there would the core of the NB market, maybe 15.000 aircraft in the next 20 years. https://theblogbyjavier.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/boeingcmoinfographic2018.png?w=627&h=481 I think Boeing needs to offer something weighing ~40t empty,...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 9:29 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US Army Blackhawk Replacement Program
Replies: 22
Views: 4523

Re: US Army Blackhawk Replacement Program

I see great VTOL variants, push rotors. I wonder what happens if they are 2,3x as expensive to buy and operate as a conventional Blackhawk kind of configuration..

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 9:17 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: IAF Jaguar Aircraft Jettisoned Fuel Tanks upon Bird Strike on Take Off
Replies: 17
Views: 1563

Re: IAF Jaguar Aircraft Jettisoned Fuel Tanks upon Bird Strike on Take Off

The Jaguar was obviously heavy at take-off, has a small wing & 1 engine out obviously is no fun in this situation. He had a short time slot to decide on dropping the load on the field & took the best, procedural decision.

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 8:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Emirates got 10 777LR's in the past. After operating them and reviewing ROI, that might be a reason to introduce 777-8s, or a reason to not take the 777-8s after all. When EK ordered the 777L, there where no 787s and A350s as proven, much lighter alternatives. Who wants a small, expensive orphan fle...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

I think the two-frame idea has merit, but 3-4 variants of each is too much. Two lengths of each should be sufficient. Use common systems and even subassemblies to the extent possible. If Boeing can find the resources do this, I think they've got a compelling plan for several decades. 6Y NSA - 737 s...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 287
Views: 57107

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

A thought (or idea) from someone who knows very little but understands some of the hurdles- from everything I’ve read here. Two different- but not extremely different aircraft frames are needed from Boeing (maybe Airbus too) a new NMA and ultimately a new NSA. ROUGHLY each type of aircraft are offe...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 2:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Unless breaking world range records is a company strategy, the 777-8 is more a risk than an asset. They already hold the record with the 777-200LR so... If Emirates takes their A350-900s as a HGW variant, the added value / business case for the 777-8 seem a tough one. Not really when you consider w...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 8:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

777-8 orders - Emirates : 35 - Qatar : 10 - Ethihad :8 That's it, nobody else over the last (booming) 5 years. If you have A359s on order, SQ flies 20 hour flights with them. QF does PER-LHR with a 787-9, what the usp? Unless breaking world range records is a company strategy, the 777-8 is more a ri...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 6:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Well Boeing says they look if the 777-8 still makes sense. That must be based on somethin, EK? Hard to ignore.

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 02, 2019 6:35 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: The Inflight Movies on Flights that Crashed
Replies: 44
Views: 6913

Re: The Inflight Movies on Flights that Crashed

I always wondered about MH370. All passenger seats & overhead displays had the standard moving map display and all could have seen they were flying the wrong direction, for hours. Or that it was turned off, also raising questions. Specially when they were flying low. And hundreds of people had s...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 01, 2019 11:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

I would assume the 777-8 is on the way out with Emirates, maybe all together. Too heavy & expensive for EK long routes like LAX. 787-9s, A350’s can do the job at (significant) lower costs, risks Smith said that Boeing is “looking at the timing and demand for the 777-8. the next variant, to see ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 01, 2019 10:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98598

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

I would assume the 777-8 is on the way out with Emirates, maybe all together. Too heavy & expensive for EK long routes like LAX. 787-9s, A350’s can do the job at (significant) lower costs, risks Smith said that Boeing is “looking at the timing and demand for the 777-8. the next variant, to see i...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 01, 2019 3:13 pm
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..
Replies: 27
Views: 2959

Re: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..

Here's one I don't get. A thread was started on a possible restart of Jet Airways, but it was shut down and posters were referred over to the Jet Airways shutdown megathread. Why? I can understand why all the 737MAX crash topics were merged into one when it just happened and a new topic was being s...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 01, 2019 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: G-XWBA - First A350 for British Airways
Replies: 86
Views: 17023

Re: G-XWBA - First A350 for British Airways

Club World https://www.headforpoints.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/BA-A350-1-400x225.jpg My guess is that they wanted a nice clean/lean/sophisticated look and it ended up very sterile. I had to read it twice because I thought it was "Cube", because it looked like a row of office cubicles...

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jun 28, 2019 8:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has grandfathering been taken too far?
Replies: 362
Views: 14378

Re: Has grandfathering been taken too far?

Blame Wall Street for the 360 deaths if you want. ..... What you are proposing could be disastrous. What, fire Dennis and replace him with another Harry? Let’s use some common sense here, not emotion. It's a different topic but you might be right. Boeing has been one of the most popular, proud US s...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat
Replies: 308
Views: 49863

Re: Air Canada to Buy Air Transat – Confirmed

Maybe Air Canada wanted just to prevent Onex buying Transat, rebrand to start something serious.

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jun 27, 2019 11:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24774

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

I have to wonder if "game changer" is really dependent on where your airline's bread and butter is. For a company like B6, with lots to gain from the XLR due to what it can achieve from JFK, BOS, and FLL that they don't already offer, it probably is a game changer for them. For a company ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jun 27, 2019 9:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 383462

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

What nobody (including the press) dares to discuss, order cancellations. Garuda has already cancelled its order. Other airlines such as Lion Air, Kenya Airways, Vietjet Airlines, Azerbaijan Airlines, Flydubai and Icelandair are also playing with the idea of doing the same and maybe even be switching...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jun 27, 2019 8:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 383462

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

I think for these flight control, stabelizing, trimming systems on the MAX, the pilots must take care for a lot of the redundancy. They have a lot to monitor, (de) activate systems, manually intervene. Little system redundancy in some areas. During emergency situations that's adds up to the workload...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jun 27, 2019 8:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 353
Views: 96325

Re: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

This is the production thread so I hope I am allowed to ask my question here (instead of asking in the grounding-thread): Is there any information on the financial impacts of the fact that they are producing 737‘s but have no revenues from deliveries? I am not sure about the interim payments during...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jun 27, 2019 7:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 353
Views: 96325

Re: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

About 180 new MAX aircraft completed since the grounding I assume. Immediately airlines started negotiating on extending leases for their current fleets. https://leehamnews.com/2019/06/27/lessors-airlines-seek-1-year-lease-extensions-in-max-groundings/ I assume we might see some re-entries into serv...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24774

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

Lufthansa was the airline that wanted to be able to do anywhere in Germany to New York with a narrow-body. What do you base this statement on? I recall a statement that the A321LR didn't have enough range for such a route so they weren't going to consider it, but didn't recall them saying they woul...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 383462

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

You don't find news on the 737MAX here anymore. You see it somewhere else. This all in one thread drowns everything.. It seems we might see more then just a software update here, also a hardware update. PR might have to update statements and FAQ's http://www.boeing.com/commercial/737max/737-max-upda...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 3:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24774

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

The problem is that Berlin itself and even more the region has very few company headquarters so it is lacking of corporate travel. The money is made in the FRA/MUC/DUS/HAM regions. I doubt that anybody can make money with Economy Class passengers without a decent Biz Class mix. We all remember what...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa Capital Markets Day - Changes to EW, SN, Update on Fleet Development
Replies: 91
Views: 12731

Re: Lufthansa Group - retirement of seven long haul types until 2025

If no one wants your used aircraft, rest value is zero, you better keep them for their economical life time.

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24774

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

I see AA, JetBlue, maybe others flying in XLR's & w'll see if LH's strategy will be fine tuned or nothing will change. Berlin has a large catchment area. Berlin it self has more than 30 million overnight stays by visitors per year of which 7.7 million overnight stays for conferences and convent...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old
Replies: 4
Views: 1260

Re: Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old

He was also on first flight of Caravelle 64 years ago (door opening) https://www.granger.com/wmpix/age/rue/0137074-CARAVELLE-2-jet-engines-caravel-made-a-22-minutes-first-fly-on-may-27-1955-Here-the-crew--Jean-Avril-Andre-Moynet-Pierre-Nadot-and-Roger-Beteille-Full-credit-AGIP---Rue-des-Archives--Gr...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24774

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

I think we'll definitely see the XLR in the Lufthansa group at some point, but I doubt it'll be in some larger fashion that some here are fantasizing about. Certainly not going to open up transatlantic from HAM or TXL as some here are dreaming. I see AA, JetBlue, maybe others flying in XLR's & ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old
Replies: 4
Views: 1260

Airbus' Roger Béteille passes away 97 yrs old

He was a French aeronautical engineer and is regarded as one of the founding fathers of the company. He also worked for Air France, Lufthansa, United, TWA and American Airlines. https://www.eturbonews.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/0a1a-312-1600x1318.jpg He decided - the "Airbus fuselage" ...

Jump to post