Search found 12942 matches

by keesje
Mon Jul 15, 2019 12:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 14 new airplanes and derivatives see EIS through 2027. ??
Replies: 30
Views: 2829

Re: Leeham: 14 new airplanes and derivatives see EIS through 2027. ??

So what happened to the MAX-9 and the MAX version to seat 200 pax for FR, I don't think that is the same as the MAX-10 which is supposed to eventually replace the MAX 9. It seems MAX 9 entered service with United in 2018. The FR 200 pax seems marketing of the -8 with denser cabin. https://www.lucht...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 15, 2019 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 14 new airplanes and derivatives see EIS through 2027. ??
Replies: 30
Views: 2829

Leeham: 14 new airplanes and derivatives see EIS through 2027. ??

LeehamNews, one of the better (ignoring reader / advertiser satisfaction) knowledgeable aerospace news sites has a topic today. 14 new airplanes and derivatives see EIS through 2027 https://leehamnews.com/2019/07/15/13-new-airplanes-and-derivatives-see-eis-through-2027/#comments Now the thing is, it...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 15, 2019 10:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1057
Views: 146406

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

So airlines have spoken and it would be crazy to do a 7 abreast with more than 17" seats. Airbus marketing is just that, airlines care about performance and passengers care about price. The 17.2 "seat width is very good, and even more so on the 787 and 777-X combo due to the entirely new ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 15, 2019 6:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1057
Views: 146406

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

The weird thing with Boeing is how they keep spinning (wasting?) resources but releasing new aircraft that overlap so much with their previous products. This all started with the 767. The next one was a bit larger and had some more range - 777. The one after that they decided that they needed somet...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 15, 2019 12:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO
Replies: 133
Views: 19408

Re: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO

are you hinting that Airbus has moved away from of their founding principles? No :confused: I'm saying Willie (a 737 pilot) is in a weak negotiations position with Airbus & hates it. I think Airbus should congratulate IAG on the deal/ LOI. The MAX will be the most inspected aircraft of any airc...

Jump to post
by keesje
Sun Jul 14, 2019 11:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO
Replies: 133
Views: 19408

Re: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO

https://www.irishtimes.com/business/transport-and-tourism/iag-chief-says-frustration-with-airbus-a-factor-in-boeing-purchase-1.3955112 Listening to the IAG chief, to qualify this oder as a sign of confidence in the Boeing 737 MAX seems a bit far fetched. Willie (a 737 pilot) is in a weak negotiatio...

Jump to post
by keesje
Sat Jul 13, 2019 11:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1057
Views: 146406

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I think the 737-10 MAX and NMA / 797X combo will box up and down the A321. It's a good strategy and Boeing deserves better than the current position Why deserves Boeing better? Anyway it seems large airlines long term want a choice & competition when ordering aircraft. Examples are United and B...

Jump to post
by keesje
Sat Jul 13, 2019 8:11 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: A400M Update Thread 2019
Replies: 187
Views: 25183

Re: A400M Update Thread 2019

Maybe the PW had been a disaster. PW never built a prop engine of that size. We'll never know. The PW4000, PW8000 were problematic at the time.

Jump to post
by keesje
Sat Jul 13, 2019 11:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1057
Views: 146406

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 201

Keesje You made a mistake in you summary. Let me correct the first bullet for you Corrected version from the article - The program held its Gate 3 milestone review several weeks ago, stopping just short of bringing its proposal to the board of directors for its green-light, according to two people ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Sat Jul 13, 2019 1:39 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: A400M Update Thread 2019
Replies: 187
Views: 25183

Re: A400M Update Thread 2019

I couldn't resist. I thought Airbus software was perfect. In 2015 one A400M aircraft crashed in Spain during a test flight, killing four crew members. A software fault, since rectified, was found to be the cause of the crash. Imagine the A400M if it had used the Pratt Canada engines, could have sav...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 11, 2019 9:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

An A320Plus would be slightly ( 2 rows) bigger than 737-8, but still 3-4 rows shy of the A321. An A320Plus might bring in more money than an A320. And the first 1500 would be mostly conversions. It's about making more money while disrupting your competitors long term portfolio planning.

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 11, 2019 9:18 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Should Lockheed get back into commerical aircraft?
Replies: 50
Views: 6095

Re: Should Lockheed get back into commerical aircraft?

They could have bought the CSeries but didn't..

They would have to buy in, they have a few FAA TC's, but the existing civil infrastructure is a bit rusty..

Image

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 11, 2019 7:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Your rant ignores the rumored A320.5. Such a plane, when paired with the A220-500 and the A321 XLR seems possible to me. It fills the gap. The low fuel consumption of the GTF totally changes the mission profile of the 320 imho and makes it more 319ish, ie, too big and too heavy for 149 seat markets...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 10, 2019 11:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

How about mostly nothing. Few changes and no clean sheet model sounds likely. I agree with this. I think the only aircraft that might see the light of day is the A322. This is the response to the Boeing 797. The A350 might have new engines by 2028 maybe not in service but in development. I doubt th...

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 10, 2019 7:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Innitiation of :
- A220-500 (tons lighter than the ailing 737-7/A319s)
- A320 Plus (a few rows more than 737-8)
- A322 NEO (250 seats, ~4000NM, simple stretch, A321 XLR MTOW)
would trigger Boeing responds.

Jump to post
by keesje
Wed Jul 10, 2019 1:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WSJ: Airbus Poised to Overtake Boeing as Biggest Plane Maker
Replies: 22
Views: 6414

Re: WSJ: Airbus Poised to Overtake Boeing as Biggest Plane Maker

Who cares, it’s free cash flow that really matters. Or EBIT, market capitalization, marketshare, forward looking deliveries, capital employed ratio, CSAR, whatever needs to be invented to confuse stockholders / the public enough to feel everything will be fine.

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Official: Dutch government buys a 737BBJ as Fokker 70 replacement
Replies: 70
Views: 17007

Re: Official: Dutch government buys a 737BBJ as Fokker 70 replacement

They did't dare to do a real bed. I would have done that for the PM on long flights.

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

An A320.5 I only see happening as response to a Boeing NSA. Maybe if Easyjet, AF/KL, BA and LH say they need a 200 seat A320 replacement to hop around Europe. But not not the 101t, 235 seat, 4700NM, premium priced one. Nor the same A320 they bought 30 years ago with micro lavatories And it has to f...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

An A320.5 I only see happening as response to a Boeing NSA. Maybe if Easyjet, AF/KL, BA and LH say they need a 200 seat A320 replacement to hop around Europe. But not not the 101t, 235 seat, 4700NM, premium priced one. Nor the same A320 they bought 30 years ago with micro lavatories And it has to f...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?
Replies: 52
Views: 9216

Re: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?

It would have to involve a new wingbox, new wings, new engines, new landing gear. Those diemensioned for the current 250 MTOW. Theoretically it could cut OEW by around ~30t. Still heavier than a 763, but in the same ballpark. https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-HGcSLIBZz_c/WVt9xt8yqzI/AAAAAAAABKU/d5...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?
Replies: 52
Views: 9216

Re: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?

It would have to involve a new wingbox, new wings, new engines, new landing gear. Those diemensioned for the current 250 MTOW. Theoretically it could cut OEW by around ~30t. Still heavier than a 763, but in the same ballpark. https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-HGcSLIBZz_c/WVt9xt8yqzI/AAAAAAAABKU/d5m...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM 747-400ERF loses flap during approach
Replies: 34
Views: 7765

Re: KLM 747-400ERF loses flap during approach

Image

Dirt, I assume.

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:03 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why didn’t Delta order the 737 MAX?
Replies: 54
Views: 6304

Re: Why didn’t Delta order the 737 MAX?

It would be interesting if Delta asks Boeing & GE/CFM if they can get 50 additional 900ER's from next year. Opportunistically, to replace old A320s, 738s, MD88s, MD90s, 75s, 76s in the mix, growth. :arrow: Keep Airbus honest, support Boeing cash flow. http://www.businesstraveller.com/files/News-...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 8:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM 747-400ERF loses flap during approach
Replies: 34
Views: 7765

Re: KLM 747-400ERF loses flap during approach

Dutchy wrote:
Not a good day for KLM, in the meantime at Schiphol, a KLM 738 crashed into an A319 of Easyjet during a pushback.


We don't know yet if that was accidentally.

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 8:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France - KLM no 737 MAX / A320 NEO orders
Replies: 165
Views: 37558

Re: Air France - KLM no 737 MAX / A320 NEO orders

The E195 order is for KLM Cityhopper, it will not be used to replace the 737-700. This was confirmed by KLM to the cabin crew union who were logically woried that work would be transferred from KLM to KLM Cityhopper. The Flightglobal is correct in their statement that KLM has looked at the E195 for...

Jump to post
by keesje
Tue Jul 09, 2019 7:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France - KLM no 737 MAX / A320 NEO orders
Replies: 165
Views: 37558

Re: Air France - KLM no 737 MAX / A320 NEO orders

It seems the KLM E195-E2 order is mainly focussed on replacing the KLM 737-700 fleet.. they already started withdrawing some -700s. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/paris-klm-joins-e2-customer-list-459202/ KLM entered strategic cooperation on MRO with Embraer years ago. From 737-700 to E19...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 10:00 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Chengdu J-20 potential DPRK export?
Replies: 8
Views: 1287

Re: Chengdu J-20 potential DPRK export?

China wouldn't give heavily used Su-27SKs to NK, let along the best aircraft in PLAAF inventory. The North Koreans won't be stupid enough to ask, they know they can't man and maintain a fifth gen stealth fighter. The J-31 (or more accurately the FC-31) is indeed available for export but so far we h...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Then do a 220-500 (180 seats single class) with a new A350 based Cockpit as well. Then port the cockpit to A220-100/300. They then have a nice 5W, 7W, 9W lineup all with common Cockpit/Type rating. Some of the biggest compliments I hear about the A220 is the cockpit. Perhaps Airbus might want to co...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 8:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Consider me skeptical that there will even be an A360 in 2028 much less one being built at 15 planes per month. Agree, it should be in final concept definition clise to launch. That isn't happening as far as I know ;) On a A320.5, I ve been pushing that since 2007 :old: Years later I found out a si...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7002

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Wouldn't there be A330 NEO's using the higher MTOW like a A339F and A330 NEO MRTT? I can see A330 being produced for/ in China until they have a C929 ready.. An inbetween aircraft of passenger capacity similar to A300/A310 could also by a narrower body, to save weight and ease production. 1.5 Aisle ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 854
Views: 123427

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

It think redundancy requirements of the FBW concept let to Intel and Motorallo bases systems, each seperately programmed, that could each "fly" the aircraft if one messed up & warm the pilots if the systems disagree. Together with flight enveloppe protection, the 1988 A320 still seems ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 1:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?
Replies: 52
Views: 9216

Re: Could the 787 be scaled to create the 797?

The 787-8/9/10 appear to be the perfect aircraft. Is it possible to shrink the exact same design to create the 797, in record time to replace the MAX? A scaled down 787 would be 40-50% smaller, with new engines and gear. All other components being scaled down to size, except doors and windows. The ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 11:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 854
Views: 123427

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

It seems to me that the FAA just trusted Boeing to get things right and now that they're actually looking at the aircraft properly they're finding all kinds of problems. Let's hope they don't find anything else. Boeing lobbied congress to get the goals of FAA more clearly towards supporting the nat...

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 10:32 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Chengdu J-20 potential DPRK export?
Replies: 8
Views: 1287

Re: Chengdu J-20 potential DPRK export?

I guess the focus will be on getting a few hundred in service and integration stand off ASM's, not exports.

Image

Jump to post
by keesje
Mon Jul 08, 2019 6:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 854
Views: 123427

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

It's puzzling that Boeing's proposed fix is to use multiple processors instead of a higher throughput processor. If 2 cores isn't enough, use 4 cores, or 6 cores, or 8 cores, or 10 cores. Multiple CPUs add overhead. For redundancy, a second x-core processor, rather than four, 2-core processors. 737...

Jump to post
by keesje
Sun Jul 07, 2019 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flyadeal cancels 737 max Commitment
Replies: 72
Views: 14840

Re: Flyadeal cancels 737 max order

Is a letter of intent to buy 200 planes a firm order? It certainly was treated like it was a couple of weeks ago? Just saying ...... Well, it seems someone knew Flyadel was not going to firm the letter of intent and grab the opportunity. Perhaps IAG's letter of intent is somehow related to Flyadeal...

Jump to post
by keesje
Sun Jul 07, 2019 6:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flyadeal cancels 737 max Commitment
Replies: 72
Views: 14840

Re: Flyadeal cancels 737 max order

Early slots for IAG :thumbsup:

Jump to post
by keesje
Sat Jul 06, 2019 9:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 854
Views: 123427

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Let's keep ignoring the EASA found Boeing 737 Max's Autopilot Has Problem. Maybe it 'll go away..

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 11:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America
Replies: 14
Views: 4029

Re: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America

Airbus is doing better with narrowbodies https://static.seattletimes.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/FIX-Airbus-Boeing2018-narrowbody-WEB-1020x678.jpg However, I don’t know why we are excluding the widebody market from the conversation. The whole concept of the NMA is to erase the divide between wid...

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner
Replies: 90
Views: 15283

Re: Future operators of Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

Airlines with a strong Atlantic focus, Intra Asia. Transpac without serious cargo next to passengers isn't a big market. Same as A333.

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America
Replies: 14
Views: 4029

Re: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America

Everybody knows better looking back. (To be honest, google shows looking ahead too..). Maybe Airbus spread their risk, 3 success types (A223, A320,A321), 3 engines, 5 FALs. Putting all your money on 1 type, 1 engine, 1 FAL sounds good from a economies of scale standpoint, but..

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98507

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

So much emphasis that the A350-1000 is out of the picture for EK, it is becoming suspicious. Emirates proved very flexible changing, cancelling firm orders. It’s the topic of this thread. No exceptions for the A350s I assume.

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 9:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98507

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Leeham had an analyzes where they mention the -8 is 14t lighter than the -9, around 167t. https://leehamnews.com/2019/02/07/boeings-777x-analyzed-part-3/ The 777-9 OEW we use is based on a 2016 article (~400.00 lbs) from Norris and Flottau who demonstrated close contacts / allignement with Boeing. A...

Jump to post
by keesje
Fri Jul 05, 2019 12:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98507

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

The 77W OEW is 167.8t. The 778 is 5m shorter than the 77W. At 2.3t/m, the 778 will be at least 11t less than the 77W before wings (going to composites should save weight), and engines (10% less thrust but about 3t more weight for both). 778 is derivate of 779 not 77W. 779 OEW 181t, 14t more then 77...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98507

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

778 OEW estimation is around 167 t and A35k is around 150t! On a photo from CX A35k there is label with OEW 148 900kg on the pedestal. Cheers The 77W OEW is 167.8t. The 778 is 5m shorter than the 77W. At 2.3t/m, the 778 will be at least 11t less than the 77W before wings (going to composites should...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 2:38 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: The Future of Boeing
Replies: 35
Views: 2347

Re: The Future of Boeing

Washington would strategically intervene. https://www.boeing.com/defense/#/products-services I expect more support from the Trump government over the next few years anyway. America First. Boeing is the US' biggest exporter, the US government is their biggest customer, supporter, R&D sponsor. htt...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 1:46 pm
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..
Replies: 27
Views: 2942

Re: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..

I think really no one likes those huge threads. Sometimes mods split a topic up early, e..g. Paris airshow. Maybe that is something to consider for 737 grounding etc. We constantly receive reports asking to combine topics into larger, general topic threads. More often than not, I err on the side of...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98507

Re: Middle East 3 Carriers are the Lifeline for 777-8/-9 Program

Let's be fair keejse and state facts as they are right now. And right now, Emirates has NO firm orders for any variance of the The a350 family of jets.Singapore, all Nippon, Lufthansa, none have the 1000 either. Doesn't matter that they can convert orders in the LH+Sq case. Etihhahds five planned 1...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 11:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 587
Views: 98507

Re: Middle East 3 Carriers are the Lifeline for 777-8/-9 Program

Firm orders for Boeing 777X Lufthansa.........................20 Etihad Airways.................25 Cathay Pacific..................21 Emirates.........................150 Qatar Airways..................60 All Nippon Airways...........20 Unidentified customer......10 Singapore Airlines...........20 ...

Jump to post
by keesje
Thu Jul 04, 2019 10:35 am
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..
Replies: 27
Views: 2942

Re: Throwing all subtopics on a big, chaotic heap with x00.000 views, 1000 posts . Centralizing..

I think really no one likes those huge threads.
Sometimes mods split a topic up early, e..g. Paris airshow.
Maybe that is something to consider for 737 grounding etc.

Jump to post