Search found 1389 matches

  • 1
  • 5
  • 6
  • 7
  • 8
  • 9
  • 28
by JayinKitsap
Thu Feb 21, 2019 4:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1229
Views: 166741

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Boeing has two projects that are great to test out the digital plane software and a 'mid-term" test of the designers. The MQ-25 was awarded 30 AUG 18, Boeing had a concept prototype that could taxi but not fly. Not big but very important to Boeing, it flies off carriers and gives an opening to ...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Tue Feb 19, 2019 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates' Business Model without the A380?
Replies: 107
Views: 16646

Re: Emirates' Business Model without the A380?

I believe that EK things the A380 is terrific, but there are limits to the fleet size. Over the last 5 years EK has received like 3 dozen as their growth has slowed. They are in a period where it hurts to take on new planes. Time to assess. Also, the uncertainty of 12 year old A380s is probably mak...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Tue Feb 19, 2019 7:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates' Business Model without the A380?
Replies: 107
Views: 16646

Re: Emirates' Business Model without the A380?

I believe that EK things the A380 is terrific, but there are limits to the fleet size. Over the last 5 years EK has received like 3 dozen as their growth has slowed. They are in a period where it hurts to take on new planes. Time to assess. Also, the uncertainty of 12 year old A380s is probably maki...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Tue Feb 19, 2019 3:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104895

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

What stuck out to me (which I had not realized before) was the stupendous amount of money spent around the world to upgrade airports to accommodate the beast. I knew it was a lot but the figures shown here are staggering. Absolutely. This alone makes the A 380 an embarrassment of monumental proport...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 18, 2019 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When will EK move to Maktoum ?
Replies: 21
Views: 5214

Re: When will EK move to Maktoum ?

DWC is a case where the initial plan was just too big. Had they shot for a 120 million pax terminal vs 200 million it is likely that the costs would have been 3/4 what they have to complete it. Instead they have a half finished really big airport.

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 18, 2019 3:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104895

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

The A380 launched 19 DEC 00, the B77W was launched on 29 FEB 00 so the big long range twin was already in the design space. On 14 NOV 05 Boeing launched the 748F anticipating 300 orders of both P and F. My point is that both manufacturers did not see the 77W being the tiger it became, but also the A...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 17, 2019 8:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO
Replies: 172
Views: 19958

Re: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO

We will know in a few weeks, March 29 is fast approaching. It could be like Y2K that really wasn't a problem, it could be the start of a new ice age, or somewhere in between. Trade per the WTO rules isn't bad, all trade between the US and the EU are per that as no Trade Agreements were ever settled ...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next
Replies: 46
Views: 8106

Re: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next

It seems like I am definitely in the minority on an NSA based on an 7W NMA and that it enters service before 2030. There are four big reasons I see this happening - Extra Premium Seats, Cargo Volume, production cost and development cost. I'm guessing that if Boeing does the tight light Ovalish 7W C...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:51 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019
Replies: 255
Views: 43559

Re: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019

Is there a list somewhere of the production and deliveries of the KC-46 (also P-8's) like other aircraft have. So far I know that 5 are delivered and I heard around Christmas that 10 were basically ready. I recall reading that there would be 4 in Jan (met), 4 in Feb, then 3 per month after that. LO...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 17, 2019 5:28 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019
Replies: 255
Views: 43559

Re: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019

Is there a list somewhere of the production and deliveries of the KC-46 (also P-8's) like other aircraft have. So far I know that 5 are delivered and I heard around Christmas that 10 were basically ready. I recall reading that there would be 4 in Jan (met), 4 in Feb, then 3 per month after that.

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 17, 2019 5:17 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: A400M Update Thread 2019
Replies: 189
Views: 26665

Re: A400M Update Thread 2019

Had the A400 used Pratt Canada's engine, they would have probably landed 20 orders from there and missed many years of costly delay. The program would be a lot healthier today too.

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next
Replies: 46
Views: 8106

Re: Boeing Lineup Circa 2025 - Where do they go Next

I feel the 748F will land 20 to 25 more orders beyond its current book. Hopefully it picks up PIPS that go into the GEnX series. I hope production makes it to 2027 or so. The 767F and KC-46 will keep rumbling along, it should still be selling in 2025. If all goes well over 100 KC-46 frames still to ...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104895

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

Don't forget that most of the time when you spend billions for infrastructures, the money may be spent, but you are still paying for it for years or decades through re-payment of bonds or loans. How do you pay? By earning money from the landing rights of the aiplane that the infrastructure was buil...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104895

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

Don't forget that most of the time when you spend billions for infrastructures, the money may be spent, but you are still paying for it for years or decades through re-payment of bonds or loans. How do you pay? By earning money from the landing rights of the aiplane that the infrastructure was buil...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104895

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

IF Airbus had chosen to be more practical back at concept - possible 1 seat narrower on both decks, the - designed with a payload for range stretch, not more capability resulting in a peak efficient model (see 789 & -10 for a better model match up) at both sizes - it would still be in production...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 16, 2019 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Airbus accept any more A380 orders ?
Replies: 95
Views: 13558

Re: Will Airbus accept any more A380 orders ?

When GM closes the last line for a specific model, there are no more orders. The Chevy Cruz is no more. Same with Airplanes, certainly bigger ones. Occasionally some get resurrected - De Havilland Beaver and Twin Otter come to mind. Viking might even resurrect the Dash-8's now that they own the Q400...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 16, 2019 6:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 636
Views: 164897

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

Did they change any parts of the hull from Al to Al-Li in this update? I recall with all the tradeoffs of density, strength, E, etc it would save up to 10% of the weight of the skin. Edit: Found this article, but still haven't found whether parts of the skin were changed to Al-Li https://leehamnews....

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 16, 2019 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What’s happening with Alaska’s Airbus fleet?
Replies: 41
Views: 8942

Re: What’s happening with Alaska’s Airbus fleet?

Pre merger AS was into peak efficiency with the 737's, lots of long flights from SEA and PDX to Hawaii and Alaska as well as to Florida and Boston. This is a great test case to see how the A320 compares, as those leases expire will they replace them with the 737 or the A320. The A321 very likely can...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Fri Feb 15, 2019 7:07 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation to date?
Replies: 127
Views: 14198

Re: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation to date?

N328KF wrote:
JayinKitsap wrote:
Engineering marvel but financial disaster.
Engineering marvel, except that whole bit about needign both teams working on the same version of the CAD software.


I was trying to be polite on this day of mourning. :idea:

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Fri Feb 15, 2019 7:00 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation to date?
Replies: 127
Views: 14198

Re: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation to date?

All that really matters is whether Airbus can survive it, which they will. Now they have a lot of planning on how to ramp it down, what new work packages to get to suppliers to make up for the lost work and/or negotiate the termination costs. Ramp downs can be painful, as worker morale tends to tank...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing monopoly on the VLA market?
Replies: 94
Views: 10535

Re: Boeing monopoly on the VLA market?

Yes aviation is growing, the big change is smaller aircraft now have the useful range of a 747, for a period in the 90's it was the only one, with deliveries averaging around 40 per year, 2 years peaking at 70 per year. In the 90's the MD-11 peaked at 40 deliveries, averaged around 20. The A340 peak...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 880
Views: 138800

Re: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A350, Boeing 787 for 777-9

Well, with the A380 not in AB's lineup, they will be doing some things to adjust. Right now there is the A330, B787, A350, B777x competing in the WB sphere, with a fair amount of overlap. It will be interesting to watch how the market shapes out. A lot will depend on how the B777x comes out - just m...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Thu Feb 14, 2019 3:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates' Business Model without the A380?
Replies: 107
Views: 16646

Re: Emirates' Business Model without the A380?

It has really been only 5-6 years where EK had more than 50 A380's in their fleet, they seemed more formidable around the year 2010 when they only had a few. Over the next 10 to 12 years EK will migrate down to like 30 A380's in the fleet, covering their highest demand routes. I am sure that EK will...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Thu Feb 14, 2019 5:47 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: ICBM main body material
Replies: 4
Views: 1395

Re: ICBM main body material

The sub launched Trident D5 uses a fiberglass barrel, the interesting part is the nose cone, it is a 11 ply spruce plywood about 1/4" thick. Crazy. I had to look that up and confirm you weren't joking but pretty incredible! There is a spike at the top that extends up as it launches, creates a ...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:22 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: ICBM main body material
Replies: 4
Views: 1395

Re: ICBM main body material

The sub launched Trident D5 uses a fiberglass barrel, the interesting part is the nose cone, it is a 11 ply spruce plywood about 1/4" thick.

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Wed Feb 13, 2019 8:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104895

Re: [Rumor] Airbus to announce end of A380 production

Leeham saying tomorrow's the day. https://leehamnews.com/2019/02/13/a380-program-termination-expected-tomorrow/ :( Since Leeham tends to highlight the sales opportunities of Airbus products and are HQ'd in Toulouse, I expect this means the A380 production death warrent has been signed. It is a ques...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 636
Views: 164897

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

They may have been either skeleton crew or closed the last few days, huge snow event. Moderate snow at best...but in a place that has no snow plows for roads and drivers that can’t drive in it. Sorry, always laugh at descriptions of snow events on the west coast or down south as someone from the Mi...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 636
Views: 164897

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

They may have been either skeleton crew or closed the last few days, huge snow event.

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Tue Feb 12, 2019 7:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 880
Views: 138800

Re: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A350, Boeing 787 for 777-9

EK has 100+ A380's already in its fleet, 30+ on order with RR engines on contract, that is before considering the 20+16 order that RR has not signed onto. I have not seen anything specific but it seems EK and RR are less than thrilled with the higher maintenance on the Trent 900's. Could EK be compa...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Tue Feb 12, 2019 1:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 747-8 Currently Cash Positive?
Replies: 163
Views: 20336

Re: 747-8 Currently Cash Positive?

They have a backlog of 24, so 4 years at 6/yr. If no new orders are booked by mid 2020, it will likely stop. Orders placed indicate Boeing is more ahead building more than not. Possibly they are aware of a 20 unit order out there, freighters do keep selling.

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 11, 2019 9:28 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: F-35 news thread
Replies: 1172
Views: 127160

Re: F-35 news thread

I read that LM is not adverse to the F-15X as the near term need is high for fighters, something like 500 less F-35 deliveries by today than expected a decade ago. It allows some units to stay capable as other change over to the F-35. By being in the USAF inventory it makes export sales easier as it...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 11, 2019 9:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1229
Views: 166741

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

If you have 4000 nm routes with demand for heavy cargo, Boeing's got a plane for that: the 787. There are some routes (think South America-North America during northern winter) where there is ample revenue potential from cargo to justify a heavy widebody. But there are many more routes where the fu...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 11, 2019 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 880
Views: 138800

Re: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A350, Boeing 787 for 777-9

Airbus says the A330ceo beats the A330neo and the A350 on fuel burn per seat up to 2 hours. Then the A330neo is best between 2 and 4 hours. Somewhere before the 5th hour the A350 becomes best and gets better as the stage length gets longer. The middle east to MAN is 7 hours. The A350 beats the A330...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 11, 2019 7:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1229
Views: 166741

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Not offering global AKH, PKC compatibility on the Boeing 797 would sound like seriously bad idea. Downplaying the capability over the last 20 years, because they simply could not offer it, seems understandable. Denying it for the next 40 years would seem highly irresponsible towards many of their b...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: No A380 for KLM?
Replies: 51
Views: 12288

Re: No A380 for KLM?

There was the linkup KLM-NW for like forever, can't remember if they divorced before or at the altar when they merged with Delta. NW was always "we can make the MD's last a few more years". They were not usually early adopters, it was shocking when NW did order the 787 (Later DL went anoth...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Mon Feb 11, 2019 12:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 217
Views: 37623

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

I suspect on the 380 the upper fuse section over the wings has enough axial stress that Al or AL-LI was the better choice. GLARE is better than aluminium in highly stressed areas, even more so when stressed more in one direction than another... One of the problems the Germans had to deal with was t...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:13 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Future engine improvements
Replies: 32
Views: 3317

Re: Future engine improvements

I came across this very good article about the GE90. Actual data in a number of areas. http://www.team.aero/images/aviation_data_insert/Owners_OperatorsGuide_777.pdf The efficiency improvements require higher temperatures, higher material strengths, newer ceramic and non-metal items, and other items...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 10, 2019 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1229
Views: 166741

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I see the 797 as being like 4" wider than the 767, that fits with a 7ab cabin but the 767 has been equipped in a cattle class 8ab. Adding 4" would give an extra 1/2" per seat. enough for a cramped 16" seat arrangement. But that width allows most airlines to use a 7ab at least in...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 10, 2019 7:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 217
Views: 37623

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

GLARE is a good material, with some great properties, Aluminum skins sandwiching even a foam would be excellent for leading edges to address bird strikes and similar impacts. It still requires mounting using fasteners and is primarily for single direction curve panels. It is reported to have great p...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 10, 2019 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1229
Views: 166741

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I see the 797 as being like 4" wider than the 767, that fits with a 7ab cabin but the 767 has been equipped in a cattle class 8ab. Adding 4" would give an extra 1/2" per seat. enough for a cramped 16" seat arrangement. But that width allows most airlines to use a 7ab at least in ...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 217
Views: 37623

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

And soon there will be a 77W P2F that will be terrific package freighters, but also needing floor beam strengthening.

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 09, 2019 4:48 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: What are the city pairs that the anticipated NMA will open up?
Replies: 15
Views: 4194

Re: What are the city pairs that the anticipated NMA will open up?

4200 nm from HNL has all of North America except NY and New England, Guam, Japan, Korea, New Zealand, and Coastal China. 4200 nm from BOS has Alaska, North America, half of South America, and all of Europe 4200 nm from DXB - All of Europe, Asia, and Africa. 4200 nm from KIX - All of Asia and Austral...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 09, 2019 4:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 217
Views: 37623

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

I see the A380 as having had the stars lined up against it. First, and most important, Airbus really, really, REALLY wanted to build it so they could snatch some sort of title from Boeing. And that mindset led to several strategic errors in addition to a lack of realism about what the demand for it...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Sat Feb 09, 2019 3:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1229
Views: 166741

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Dunno if this has been discussed yet but I’m guessing that the 797 BBJ prospects would be good? Widebody BBJs are a pretty niche business. You get a lot of companies that get useful function out of the narrowbody airliner-based business jets for transporting teams or shuttling people between office...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Fri Feb 08, 2019 6:36 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019
Replies: 255
Views: 43559

Re: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019

I realize that the KC-10 looks like an “easy kill” because of the service’s need to reduce budgets by operating fewer types of aircraft, and its parts availability. The shame is that the KC-10 really is the ideal tanker as it has the capability to take-off, travel 2-3 hours to an on-station area, r...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 217
Views: 37623

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

This was true in a sense as high-value O&D business traffic drove the Sonic Cruiser philosophy, however most of those origin and destination airports were airline hubs. And when that traffic started to evaporate after 9/11 and SARS, Boeing had to pivot and went with efficiency (7E7 / 787). They...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier launch new 50 seater CRJ550 based on CRJ700
Replies: 113
Views: 26536

Re: Bombardier launch new 50 seater

If there is a market for this then there is a market for a Q450 from Longview who acquired the rights to the Q400. . Per memory, exactly 2 Q-400 Combis have sold. Unless I am forgetting an East coast airline (I don't pay as much attention to them), AS is the only major US airline that subs out to a...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 217
Views: 37623

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

Besides, what would Airbus do with the A380 hall while it waits for the Resurrection Tour to begin in a decade. Make a Museum out of it?

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Fri Feb 08, 2019 12:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog
Replies: 166
Views: 32163

Re: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog

I mean I am not sure what more innovation we will have in recent years. The A380 was an economic disaster, but an engineering marvel because of exactly what made it such a marvel. The real flaw was in the area of product definition, significantly when the choice was made to "bake in" a st...

Jump to post
by JayinKitsap
Thu Feb 07, 2019 4:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1229
Views: 166741

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I'm really concern with the lack of range on the larger model. It seems like it's gonna ended up like B757-300 or B767-400ER. Looking at the range capability, it doesn't seems like Boeing actually make a replacement for the successful B767-300ER. The smaller version would have decent range of 5,000...

Jump to post
  • 1
  • 5
  • 6
  • 7
  • 8
  • 9
  • 28