Search found 848 matches

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 21, 2019 8:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will UA order more 77W’s ?
Replies: 87
Views: 8695

Re: Will UA order more 77W’s ?

Yes I think it is very much possible they will take more 77W's. They can be especially useful at EWR where increasing frequency isn't possible. AA cancelled their A350's and I suspect UA will do the same. The 789 and 78J can replace the 772 fleet. UA can have both high density and premium heavy con...

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 21, 2019 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?
Replies: 169
Views: 20211

Re: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?

As to B): IAD is mid-Atlantic, not SE. For ease of reference: https://goo.gl/maps/VUnNcPTn5m62 RDU to FLL... via IAD? MSY to MCO .... via IAD? IAD is the closest hub. And so the best that UA can do without standing up a new hub somewhere. MSY to MCO would be via IAH unless . . UA did some point to ...

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 21, 2019 6:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?
Replies: 169
Views: 20211

Re: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?

As to B): IAD is mid-Atlantic, not SE. For ease of reference: https://goo.gl/maps/VUnNcPTn5m62 RDU to FLL... via IAD? MSY to MCO .... via IAD? IAD is the closest hub. And so the best that UA can do without standing up a new hub somewhere. MSY to MCO would be via IAH unless . . UA did some point to ...

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 21, 2019 6:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 350
Views: 52357

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

777-8 has engines that are 3000 lb heavier than the GE90-115. And larger, which affects the pylon. I am presuming Boeing found weight savings elsewhere. But this is a good tradeoff, as the GE9x is both 10% more fuel efficient than GE90-115, AND 10% less thrust (due to the wing). The 77W vs 77L diff...

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 21, 2019 4:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 350
Views: 52357

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Actually, A350-1000 to this day is a failure because of the low order numbers. But it's in a position where it have better edge compared to B777-8. It's a new technology. Commonality with the successful A350-900. Lower operating cost compared to B777-8. Lower purchasing price compared to B777-8. An...

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 21, 2019 12:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 350
Views: 52357

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Well the market is bigger than before, it's just that the capability of smaller widebodies are getting better to the point where a medium sized wide-body could have enough range for long-haul operations with high fuel efficiency and low operating cost. B777-8 is a failure, just like B777-200LR. B77...

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 21, 2019 12:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?
Replies: 169
Views: 20211

Re: Why can’t UAL close the revenue/ profit gap with DAL ?

One reason I can think of is its small domestic footprint compared to its rivals. Consider these things A. They don't have a megahub like an ATL/DFW B. They lack a true SE hub C. They are often in 3rd/4th place or lower compared to AA/DL/WN in airports outside of their hub markets D. They haven't f...

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by jagraham
Sun Jan 20, 2019 9:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 350
Views: 52357

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

If they make it, EK will buy it. Assuming no further A380 developments, it could also be an attractive A380 replacement for those operators who aren't still in love with the big beast. But it would really be too big, and likely too range-challenged, to be attractive to the big Far East operators wh...

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by jagraham
Sat Jan 19, 2019 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 604
Views: 85900

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

Can you explain how can 787-10 match range of 350-900 at 268 MTOW while have roughly same OEW and 14t less MTOW? OEW 300pax fuel MTOW 787-10 135t + 30t + 89t = 254t 350-900 135t + 30t + 103t = 268t according your logic A350 has 15% higher fuel burn!!! Are you seriuous? Even if you calculate 142t OE...

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by jagraham
Sat Jan 19, 2019 6:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 604
Views: 85900

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

Trip fuel is SFC x thrust. 78J with RRs has Trent 1000-TEN. 2% less than Trent XWB on SFC. But the Trent 1000-TEN is smaller - 76klbs vs 84klbs for Trent XWB. 10% less thrust. So 8% less trip fuel consumption everything else being equal. Of course, if the 78J is to grow, so must the engines. So by ...

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by jagraham
Fri Jan 18, 2019 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 604
Views: 85900

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

Last night Flightaware showed United running a 787-10 on SFO-FRA. That's even longer than SFO-AMS that AMS plans to run it on. It seems like it has more legs than any of us expected airlines to use it on. I am starting to see what others here see...... a couple years, a bit of a spec bump, and the ...

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by jagraham
Thu Jan 17, 2019 10:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 604
Views: 85900

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

What makes you believe A350 capability will be static? Or, why would 787 capability improve (much) more than A350? A350 certainly will not remain static. I should have written that differently. Perhaps, " we will see 787 approach existing A350 capabilities" The 787 started out with slight...

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by jagraham
Thu Jan 17, 2019 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM Starts 787-10 on AMS-SFO Route. But I thought the 787-10 Had No Range?
Replies: 134
Views: 35048

Re: KLM Starts 787-10 on AMS-SFO Route. But I thought the 787-10 Had No Range?

The 77W and E can only do 5500 or so with a full payload yet are deployed on routes longer than this all the time. Full payload isn't necessary to deploy a plane on a route. How common is full payload? Rare. We regularly take the 777-200ER to EZE and the 77W to SIN, both 6000nm+, and comfortably do...

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by jagraham
Wed Jan 16, 2019 8:03 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019
Replies: 214
Views: 37593

Re: KC-46 Production and Delivery Thread 2019

For one, the USAF might just buy every available second hand 767 out there and scrap them for spare parts to keep the KC-46's running. They did the same thing to keep the KC-135's running as well; buy out every available Boeing 707 and use them as parts donors. That would suggest USAF, DoD and Cong...

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by jagraham
Tue Jan 15, 2019 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 604
Views: 85900

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

The 78J has the same advantage over the A359 as the A359 has over the 77E - smaller engines. That is why the A359 with engines about 7% SFC better than say, RR Trent 892s, has more than 15% less fuel burn. The Trent 1000 - TEN is newer than the Trent XWB as the 1000 - TEN is a direct shrink of the X...

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by jagraham
Fri Jan 11, 2019 6:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 498
Views: 137350

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

Oke, thanks jagraham! Does anyone also know how high the GE9X has been run up to (e.g. the GE90-115b was run up to 127k lb/f)? What about the dates for static testing... haven't heard anything about that yet. The static testing is a must before the first flight anyway, but what will be covered thro...

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by jagraham
Fri Jan 11, 2019 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 498
Views: 137350

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

Oke, thanks jagraham! Does anyone also know how high the GE9X has been run up to (e.g. the GE90-115b was run up to 127k lb/f)? What about the dates for static testing... haven't heard anything about that yet. The static testing is a must before the first flight anyway, but what will be covered thro...

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by jagraham
Fri Jan 11, 2019 1:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 498
Views: 137350

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

So the 777x is maxed out on pavement loading with the 6 wheel bogeys at 351 tonnes (same MTOW as the -300ER) right? If airlines really wanted an MTOW bump would it be feasible for Boeing to introduce something like an 8 wheel truck with two wheels added over the center wheels (in a 2-4-2 wheel conf...

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by jagraham
Thu Jan 10, 2019 1:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 976
Views: 135991

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Engine thrust.Yup 52 klbs does sound like an awful lot of thrust for the specs of the 797 so far given.Equally it's going to be more than the 35 klbs of a GTF on an A321LR for instance.Experts will perhaps know the answer.But something doesn't seem right. My "lunch break" excel work sugge...

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by jagraham
Mon Jan 07, 2019 6:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 5+ Hour delays into SFO
Replies: 95
Views: 17462

Re: 5+ Hour delays into SFO

DOT Ranking of Major Airport On-Time Arrival Performance Year-to-date through October 2018 Rank Jan 1 - October 31, 2018 % 1 Honolulu, HI (HNL) 88.32 2 Salt Lake City, UT (SLC) 85.65 3 Atlanta, GA (ATL) 84.07 4 Detroit, MI (DTW) 83.84 5 Minneapolis/St. Paul, MN (MSP) 83.81 6 Portland, OR (PDX) 83.2...

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by jagraham
Fri Jan 04, 2019 8:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LaGuardia Perimeter Rule
Replies: 79
Views: 12217

Re: LaGuardia Perimeter Rule

Boeing doesn't claim any 767 can use a 7000-ft runway at MTOW. A paragraph on the DCA rule, from the old Wikipedia article Originally the airport had no perimeter rule; from 1954 to 1960, airlines scheduled nonstop flights to California on piston-engine airliners.[40][41] Scheduled jet airliners we...

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by jagraham
Fri Jan 04, 2019 7:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LaGuardia Perimeter Rule
Replies: 79
Views: 12217

Re: LaGuardia Departure Limits

timz wrote:
jagraham wrote:
both 757s and particularly 767-300s were designed to lift their MTOW from a 7000 ft sea level runway.

Then they didn't live up to the design.


They did just fine design wise. The perimeter rule is what stopped them from being used that way.

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by jagraham
Fri Jan 04, 2019 1:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 350
Views: 52357

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

The 77X has 326 orders and only Ethiad's 25 are shaky. Until the 787, 300 secure orders to start a widebody program was pretty good. The end-of-line 77W campaign, with low prices and PIPs, took out a lot of airlines which would be candidates for 77X. But I believe the 77X can deliver on its numbers...

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by jagraham
Thu Jan 03, 2019 11:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 350
Views: 52357

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

The 77X has 326 orders and only Ethiad's 25 are shaky. Until the 787, 300 secure orders to start a widebody program was pretty good. The end-of-line 77W campaign, with low prices and PIPs, took out a lot of airlines which would be candidates for 77X. But I believe the 77X can deliver on its numbers,...

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by jagraham
Thu Jan 03, 2019 9:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LaGuardia Perimeter Rule
Replies: 79
Views: 12217

Re: LaGuardia Departure Limits

Yes, but I highly doubt the 321s can fly LGA-LAX/SFO without a penalty. LGA's runways are too short. 738's would do just fine on these routes, and especially the MAX. In theory, yes...but DL and UA fly internationally-configured planes on NYC-LAX/SFO (UA uses 752s, 772s, and 788/781s with an occasi...

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by jagraham
Thu Jan 03, 2019 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 976
Views: 135991

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

In the end many things are still undefined, like range. 4500nm sounds nice, but what does it mean - 4500nm with full payload, typical payload, passengers and bags only 3 class? This adds question like capacity. How much space is available when you go with a full payload of passengers and bags. We k...

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by jagraham
Mon Dec 31, 2018 6:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How is the A350 performing for DL
Replies: 261
Views: 55123

Re: How is the A350 performing for DL

Or they could just get 280t A350s... no need for 77Ls. :checkmark: I also mentioned that the 77L doesn’t have this problem. While burning $$$$s more fuel. I have heard this as well from DL internals that the plane isn't living up to expectations and Airbus claims that were made to get the contracts...

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by jagraham
Mon Dec 31, 2018 5:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How is the A350 performing for DL
Replies: 261
Views: 55123

Re: How is the A350 performing for DL

My friend works for DL in the ATL flight planning/dispatch department and he say’s his department is disappointed in the A350 payload ability with it being frequently weight restricted. He tells me that on flights such as DTW-PVG/PEK it often can’t take a full load of passengers and cargo. So if th...

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by jagraham
Mon Dec 31, 2018 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How is the A350 performing for DL
Replies: 261
Views: 55123

Re: How is the A350 performing for DL

My friend works for DL in the ATL flight planning/dispatch department and he say’s his department is disappointed in the A350 payload ability with it being frequently weight restricted. He tells me that on flights such as DTW-PVG/PEK it often can’t take a full load of passengers and cargo. So if th...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 29, 2018 9:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would a B-52 passenger variant have been possible?
Replies: 95
Views: 13900

Re: Would a B-52 passenger variant have been possible?

I’d like to re-visit the 747/707 bomber idea. First, you would want to put a bulkhead behind the cockpit as there is little need to pressurize the bomb bay. Next, you would need to figure out a location for a bay door. Tossing them out one or more existing cargo doors would be fraught with problems...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 29, 2018 7:43 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Derating engines and SFC
Replies: 31
Views: 2311

Re: Derating engines and SFC

With regards to less than 100% thrust, the work done by a jet turbine is described by a modified Carnot cycle. The work is the area under the curve, where the curve describes the pressure and temperature changes. When a jet turbine is run at less than 100% thrust, both the pressure and temperature d...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 29, 2018 2:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Electric planes: the state of the art
Replies: 259
Views: 17451

Re: Electric planes: the state of the art

There is another approach - the Solar Impulse approach. If a combination of efficient thrust generation, high lift / low drag, and large area for solar panels (satellite >40% efficiency type), can provide about half the power for a plane to get to 250 knots with a reasonable payload, it works. The S...

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by jagraham
Thu Dec 27, 2018 1:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JAL 8941/42
Replies: 17
Views: 3704

Re: JAL 8941/42

And then there is the value of their parts . . .

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by jagraham
Tue Dec 25, 2018 3:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus announcing A321XLR
Replies: 399
Views: 68817

Re: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm

I am reading an expansion of the centerbox tank. But the math says they have to not use ACTs at all to save the weight needed to hold even 4.5t of fuel more than the total for the A321LR and stay within 101t. Which suggests that after they reclaim any unused space in the wheel wells and the wing gl...

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by jagraham
Mon Dec 24, 2018 5:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus announcing A321XLR
Replies: 399
Views: 68817

Re: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm

An A321 with ACT's without bulkloading seems practical when the front hold is bulk loaded. In the rear hold the ACT's are basically removeable AKH's. I have seen no info on the new fueltank . I wonder if they will look at expanding the centerbox tank capacity just in front of it. Using some of the ...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 6:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Sharklets
Replies: 51
Views: 10548

Re: A350 Sharklets

The winglet needs to be considered as part of the overall aerodynamic design. The newer A350s have a change to the wing twist and that change included a change to the winglet. Different aircraft have different requirements- it was was worth it for Boeing to fit the raked wingtips to the 777 because...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Sharklets
Replies: 51
Views: 10548

Re: A350 Sharklets

Links please https://worldwide.espacenet.com/publicationDetails/inpadoc?CC=US&NR=5348253A&KC=A&FT=D&ND=3&date=19940920&DB=worldwide.espacenet.com&locale=en_EP# to witt: Code Expl.: + REEXAMINATION CERTIFICATE FIRST REEXAMINATION FURTHER INFORMATION : CLAIM 1 IS CANCELLED...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 5:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus announcing A321XLR
Replies: 399
Views: 68817

Re: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm

The A321LR must be hand loaded as it is; the A321XLR cannot take up any more lower deck space without reducing the passenger count. . Why? 7x LD3-45 easily take the baggage of 200 pax, let alone a probably more realistic 160-180 pax, no matter how sloppy they are packed.... Best regards Thomas Leeh...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321NEO engine shuts off in flight
Replies: 49
Views: 12989

Re: A321NEO engine shuts off in flight

I think fighter jet engines are probably stressed differently in combat when compared to civil airliners that operate 10 or more hours per day. Besides, PW has to balance the performance of civil engines with making them at an economic cost. The design and engineering optimisations might be differe...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 5:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321NEO engine shuts off in flight
Replies: 49
Views: 12989

Re: A321NEO engine shuts off in flight

We have to wait for the investigations, but the incidents so far did not involve the gear. The gear seems to be bulletproof Honestly... At this stage, it almost seems that's the only thing they bothered to design properly on this engine. They'll work all the kinks out eventually but man, this is pa...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 3:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321NEO engine shuts off in flight
Replies: 49
Views: 12989

Re: A321NEO engine shuts off in flight

We have to wait for the investigations, but the incidents so far did not involve the gear. The gear seems to be bulletproof. There have been several seal problems, but seals should be manageable. Pratt builds fighter engines including the ones for the F22 and F35 (the most powerful fighter engine), ...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 8:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters/Norwegian Media: DY at Risk of Collapse
Replies: 184
Views: 37527

Re: Reuters/Norwegian Media: DY at Risk of Collapse

Norwegian has issues. But its demise has been predicted for some time . . Daniel Roeska, analyst at Bernstein, said: “If you’re a holder, you need to sell. If you can short the stock, short the stock.” A second analyst, who did not want to be named, is blunter: Norwegian could “go bust in the autumn...

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by jagraham
Sun Dec 23, 2018 2:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters/Norwegian Media: DY at Risk of Collapse
Replies: 184
Views: 37527

Re: Reuters/Norwegian Media: DY at Risk of Collapse

But he works for Forbes. And the Economist. And is a business editor for BBC. The writer should be able to distinguish between a technical breach and an event which would cause seizure of planes in particular. The article says Analyst Martin Stenshall at Danske Bank thinks Norwegian will violate the...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL announces DTW-HNL
Replies: 123
Views: 19838

Re: DL announces DTW-HNL

Calling it seasonal is a stretch regarding SFO-HNL on DL...they are flying it from now until January 2nd to take advantage of the Bays annual exodus to Hawaii for Christmas. I believe this is the first year DL has tried it... They have been running it since January 2010. It used to be year round an...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus announcing A321XLR
Replies: 399
Views: 68817

Re: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm

Wiederlang has this been confirmed? Of course space could be used a bit better, but I don't expect miracles. Will some of the wheel bay space be used? Or in expansion in front of the center wing tank? Any new fuel tank needs structural integrity & safety margins too. https://encrypted-tbn0.gsta...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 22, 2018 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First 717 Being Scrapped
Replies: 42
Views: 16874

Re: First 717 Being Scrapped

:checkmark: Parton my ignorance but don’t a lot of the airframe parts and engines need paperwork for last maintenance and hours flown? What happens with parts is they are sent to overhaul, are essentially zero timed and are sold with an FAA 8130-3 AIRWORTHINESS APPROVAL TAG from an FAA approved Repa...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 22, 2018 9:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Sharklets
Replies: 51
Views: 10548

Re: A350 Sharklets

Settled in Aviation Partners favor in 2017. After a lot of filings and refilings. It did take a decade. After Airbus officially collaborated with Aviation Partners for 5 years. https://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/news/2018/05/23/airbus-aviation-partners-sharklet-wingtip-dispute.html The relevant pa...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 22, 2018 9:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Sharklets
Replies: 51
Views: 10548

Re: A350 Sharklets

Settled in Aviation Partners favor in 2017. After a lot of filings and refilings. It did take a decade. After Airbus officially collaborated with Aviation Partners for 5 years. https://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/news/2018/05/23/airbus-aviation-partners-sharklet-wingtip-dispute.html The relevant pa...

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL announces DTW-HNL
Replies: 123
Views: 19838

Re: DL announces DTW-HNL

777Mech wrote:
jagraham wrote:
Amchi757300 wrote:

Since when does DL operate SFO --> Hawaii direct flights at any point in the year? Have I been missing these seasonal flights?


DL 1041 is flying SFO to HNL right now. It's DL836 in the evening (625pm departure) for Sat and Sun


836 is an HNL-ATL flight..


Sorry, DL 826

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by jagraham
Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL announces DTW-HNL
Replies: 123
Views: 19838

Re: DL announces DTW-HNL

Since when does DL operate SFO --> Hawaii direct flights at any point in the year? Have I been missing these seasonal flights? DL 1041 is flying SFO to HNL right now. It's DL836 in the evening (625pm departure) for Sat and Sun Calling it seasonal is a stretch regarding SFO-HNL on DL...they are flyi...

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