Search found 1020 matches

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 24, 2020 1:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

I think LI 2020 is done for before it even starts. If they actually do get started the profitable routes will have been taken. Its also unlikely these once profitable routes will still be profitable in this environment. Unlike days of old no Caribbean government has the funding to prop up a Liat. T...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 2020 Q2 results
Replies: 56
Views: 11543

Re: AA Q2 results

Their throwing caution to the wind attitude is coming back to bite them. DL and UA have been much more proactive about matching demand to supply in order to control cash burn. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4359563-american-airlines-managements-risk-taking-raises-bankruptcy-risk You realize that ...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 23, 2020 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 2020 Q2 results
Replies: 56
Views: 11543

Re: AA Q2 results

Their average cash burn for Q2 seems high IMO @ $55M. IIRC, it was $40M for DL and $30M for UA.

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 23, 2020 12:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston
Replies: 26
Views: 3822

Re: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston

I wish them good luck, just seems like the wrong time to be launching a new route, especially as the official opening of TnT's borders hasn't even been announced. August 14th seems very optimistic. Just like their optimistic Kingston to Miami flights that have been cancelled numerous times over the...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 10:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston
Replies: 26
Views: 3822

Re: Caribbean Airlines Applies For Houston

Re the corporate demand between IAH and GEO, yes there is as oil was recently discovered in significant quantities in GEO and now there’s a strong nascent oil industry there. How that competes with AA’s daily one stop connecting opportunity remains to be seen. On the POS route, there’s significant V...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 10:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes?
Replies: 56
Views: 8586

Re: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes

I'm fine with Canada as the US carriers get the benefit of their 30 flights day ex-YYZ arriving as domestic flights. I'm.againt something like AUH or SNN which basically get no use from US carriers. Because it gives benefits to US citizerns who are travelling and US citizens are much more important...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes?
Replies: 56
Views: 8586

Re: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes

I personally think there should be a rule where an airport has to have 8 flights to US operated by US carriers before it can be considered for preclearance. Otherwise, preclearance gives unfair advantages to foreign carriers. Like I know people that purpose fly to the US via YYZ because they don't ...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 22, 2020 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes?
Replies: 56
Views: 8586

Re: BRU Getting US Pre-Clearance - Possible New Routes

Could the thread title be edited to add a ? after the word routes? The way it’s written now makes it seem as if they are getting a preclearance and possible new routes. On topic, I think there likely won’t be any new routes in the short term (for obvious reasons). Medium term, I don’t see the attrac...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 21, 2020 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

https://268today.com/business/liat-shareholders-reach-agreement-to-sell-3-planes-airline-could-fly-again-in-90-days/ Seems like the Governments of St Vincent and Barbados have agreed tosell their LIAT shares to Antigua fro 1 dollar each. Antigua has indicated they would sell the three ATRs owned an...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 20, 2020 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

The Bahamas is banning American tourists effective July 22 https://thepointsguy.com/news/americans-banned-bahamas-coronavirus/ I’ve heard this is being considered in SVD as well. Obviously with only 1-2 fights from the USA per week, it will have less impact there if implemented. Update: A better lin...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 19, 2020 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Just glad we are getting some real data points from somewhere. It is hard to believe ANYTHING in media anymore. ? What media are you using? Maybe it's time to switch to different ones? The regional newspapers and national broadcast company I am using in the Netherlands are perfectly trustworthy. Fo...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 19, 2020 4:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: South Florida Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 157
Views: 13745

Re: South Florida Aviation Thread - 2020

Caribbean Airlines plans to resume six times weekly Kingston-Miami service with 737-800 from July 21, 2020 Resume? Isn’t KIN-MIA a new route for BW? Pre-pandemic they only operated POS-MIA. I don’t think BW/JM have operated KIN-MIA on a regular basis since 2009. They operated it briefly within the ...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 19, 2020 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

BW restarts ops to SVD and GND out of BGI on July 22.

4x weekly (Mon, Tue, Fri, Sat) BGI-SVD-GND-BGI
2x weekly (Sun, Wed) BGI-GND-SVD-BGI

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 17, 2020 11:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

BW is restarting ops to ANU from July 25 with 2w (Sa, Sun) service KIN-ANU-BGI-ANU-KIN.

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 17, 2020 11:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1951
Views: 245373

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

Could we see added Tokyo as a result of this new partnership? Probably not, since they would need a HND slot (they could go NRT but I think theyve more or less consolidated into HND) and JAL already serves the route multiple times daily (JV I think). Maybe, but doubtful.[/quote] I don’t think TYO i...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 416
Views: 51106

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

Correct me if I am wrong, but with these partnerships AA+B6/AS will now be the largest carrier in NYC, BOS, LAX, SEA, South Florida, Dallas, DC, PHX, & CLT? Right, I think you are 100% right about this part. These deals help AA by making them more relevant in rest of the country where they are ...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 416
Views: 51106

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

I don’t see why AA people are viewing this as good news. It seems more to me like AA is giving up on competing in NYC on its own and is willing to outsource (not entirely obviously) domestic to B6 while it brings international to the table. It did the same with AS where it realized it could not bui...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 416
Views: 51106

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

I don’t see why AA people are viewing this as good news. It seems more to me like AA is giving up on competing in NYC on its own and is willing to outsource (not entirely obviously) domestic to B6 while it brings international to the table. It did the same with AS where it realized it could not buil...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 416
Views: 51106

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

Sounds like AA is trying to take on DL in Seattle, Boston and New York It sounds more like AA is weak on the West Coast and needed a partner to help them so went with AS who is strong domestically while AA brings international flights to the table. And the same occurred in NYC where AA has been str...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 15, 2020 9:34 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: AA/AS Merger Potential - What would it look like?
Replies: 10
Views: 1384

Re: AA/AS Merger Potential - What would it look like?

Best of luck getting a merger approved that makes the largest airline in the world even larger.

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 14, 2020 7:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

That's another very good point. A BGI base may not even be necessary based on the number of flights, how they are scheduled/routed, etc. Having a focus city in BGI doesn't necessarily mean that BW must have a crew base there. POS has been a focus city for LI for years and LI has never had a crew ba...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 14, 2020 6:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Yes. Jamaicans and Trinidadians as they have a base in Kingston and a base in Trinidad. Good luck ignoring the unions. We've seen how that has gone in the past with pilots calling in sick as a form of industrial dispute. The airline doesn't need a labor dispute on its hands, and neither do their re...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 14, 2020 6:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

A Caricom airline operating BGI-ANU or BGI-GEO or BGI-KIN should not be required to staff services with Trinidadian nationals. I know Caricom is many moons behind where it should be integration-wise... but if the TTALPA can dictate that only TnT nationals can fly for BW we have some big problems. T...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 14, 2020 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14773

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

Unfortunately, I think you are right. I’m not sure how you can only reduce 20% labor cost when you are facing a 90% revenue reduction. Even 20% on 50% revenue reduction, which seems optimistic in the near term, doesn’t seem to compute Does "revenue" equate to sales-minus-refunds ? If so, ...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

So is this all speculation or are we certain there is a clause prohibiting hiring non Trinidad and Tobago people. What is the situation with the Jamaican operations? I assume those are staffed with some Jamaican nationals at least. If they open a base in BGI, does not mean these new routes are excl...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 13, 2020 10:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

The idea that the TTAPLA could dictate how the company operates in Barbados <, particularly with a potential shortage of flight crew, is pretty abhorrent. Why would they be given any authority in the matter? In broader terms, this approach to solving these issues as individual island governments is...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 12, 2020 8:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Would TTALPA agree to having foreign contract workers again? I seem to remember this causing a stink in the past. I understand it's Caricom, but the union would obviously prefer to have local Trinidadian crews sourced first. I don't see LI crew getting hired by BW unless a permanent base is set up ...

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 10, 2020 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city
Replies: 329
Views: 35584

Re: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city

Funny take from Crankyflier “This is stupid,” Snyder told TPG on Thursday. “It’s smart that they’re finally leaving Long Beach. However, instead they’ve decided to go into one of the most competitive airports in the world on routes where they’ll really add little value and I don’t see how this work...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 08, 2020 11:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

I heard the Antigua PM has asked Liat staff to accept s 30% pay cut and to give a response by Friday. Honestly I think he is being a bit irrational with the BGI government no longer being able to support LI its days are numbered. The airlines willing to take up the slack should suffice. Travel numb...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jul 08, 2020 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

I heard the Antigua PM has asked Liat staff to accept s 30% pay cut and to give a response by Friday. Honestly I think he is being a bit irrational with the BGI government no longer being able to support LI its days are numbered. The airlines willing to take up the slack should suffice. Travel numb...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 06, 2020 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55563

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

https://www.newsbreakapp.com/n/0PWjQ870 ... 9Q49Q&s=i0
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Miami Dade (MIA) county just shut down gyms, restaurants, Airbnb again. As normally happens, I expect Broward (FLL) and Palm Beach (PBI) counties to follow suit. This is going to put a major dent in any expected uptick in travel.

https://www.newsbreakapp.com/n/0PWjQ870 ... 9Q49Q&s=i0

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 06, 2020 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Gaston Browne is in a fight for his political life. He made numerous promises to the employees at LI for them to consider pay cuts and other concessions to keep the airline flying. Now he is in a bind and is blaming everyone for not getting his employment project back up running. The fact remains t...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jul 06, 2020 2:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

A rift has emerged between Mia Mottley and Gaston Browne. Mottley appears unconcerned about LIAT's failure and is looking to six airlines, namely SVG Air, One Caribbean, Caribbean Airlines, InterCaribbean, Silver Airways and Air Antilles, to provide regional flights although no details are availabl...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 05, 2020 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Royal Air Maroc to sell 20 aircraft
Replies: 61
Views: 14140

Re: Royal Air Maroc to sell 20 aircraft

I never thought BOS did well enough to come back. It was nearly always a 788 and loads were horrendous. With these cuts, BOS would probably go up to a 789, which seems way too optimistic. One can know they are going to need to give up some long-haul routes and/or frequencies (or have some magic in ...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jul 05, 2020 5:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Royal Air Maroc to sell 20 aircraft
Replies: 61
Views: 14140

Re: Royal Air Maroc to sell 20 aircraft

Article link: https://www-moroccoworldnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.moroccoworldnews.com/2020/07/307614/ram-plans-to-discharge-30-of-its-personnel-liquidate-20-planes/amp/ Summary: i. RAM to sell off 20 aircraft including 4 E90s, 4 B788s, and 12 B737NGs. ii. Post CV-19 fleet to consist of 4 B...

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by Brickell305
Fri Jul 03, 2020 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

As of now the PM of ANU and the PM of SVD seem to be fighting. ANU has no money (not in either the public nor private sectors) but insists that any replacement be based on that island. If not he threatens to pull ANU out of the OECS and CARICOM. His claim is that the only export that ANU has with t...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jamaican Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 43
Views: 6064

Re: Jamaican Aviation Thread - 2020

BW has announced its plan to restart service. They will initially begin with Jamaica with daily flights from KIN to JFK, a weekly KIN-YYZ flight and a twice weekly KIN-BGI. There’s also mention of (re)starting KIN-MIA daily. No mention of FLL. They also plan to resume regional flights to ANU & B...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jun 29, 2020 5:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

BW has announced its plan to restart service. They will initially begin with Jamaica with daily flights from KIN to JFK, a weekly KIN-YYZ flight and a twice weekly KIN-BGI. There’s also mention of (re)starting KIN-MIA daily. No mention of FLL. They also plan to resume regional flights to ANU & B...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jun 29, 2020 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

I wonder if BW would be interested in acquiring them and integrating them into their operations. a) BW already has ATRs on order. b) To fly them where? Demand is going to decrease, not increase. I’m fairly certain that they regret ordering the ones that are on their way. Demand will decrease but no...

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by Brickell305
Mon Jun 29, 2020 2:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

LIAT to be liquidated and a new airline formed. “What I’m hoping that we do not have going forward with the new entity, is any squabble over the location of the headquarters,” - PM Gaston Browne https://barbadostoday.bb/2020/06/27/from-all-indication-liat-will-be-liquidated-pm-browne/ I wonder if B...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jun 28, 2020 4:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Best of luck to all of LI’s staff and creditors. It will be interesting to see the new airline that emerges and their route structure going forward. I think it remains to be seen whether a smaller LI will have the critical mass to be viable. I also anticipate a major political struggle to secure a h...

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by Brickell305
Sat Jun 27, 2020 1:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1516
Views: 194610

Re: Major Expansion B6 at EWR and JFK

I think the tristate announcement was really disastrous for airlines this week. Not that the quarantines themselves have any meat, but now people perceive it to be dangerous going to Florida/Texas/Arizona. My guess is all the JFK stuff goes ahead as planned. I think a few EWR routes still get launc...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jun 25, 2020 8:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Strong rumours suggest a possible closure and rebirth of LIAT. Lets be clear here, if it does happen, it was NOT as a result of COVID-19. The governments are simply seizing an opportunity and not wasting a good pandemic. https://268today.com/business/liat-shareholders-to-collapse-airline-unconfirme...

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by Brickell305
Thu Jun 25, 2020 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

ANU has seen its COVID 19 cases increase by 150% to 65 since its reopening. Charles “Max” Fernandez, Minister of Tourism of Antigua and Barbuda, confirmed that since opening Antigua’s airport to commercial traffic on June 4, there has been no confirmed cases of COVID-19 from arriving visitors. He c...

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by Brickell305
Tue Jun 23, 2020 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1951
Views: 245373

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

AA offers a ton of connectivity to FL through CLT. Yes but does a business traveler or high end traveler want to deal with a connection on what would be a 3 hour flight, particularly from delay prone NYC airports (granted reduced flying during COVID-19 has lessen that problem). Over the years FL ha...

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by Brickell305
Sun Jun 14, 2020 1:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

https://antiguaobserver.com/liat-to-ext ... re-months/

LI has extended temporary layoffs for another three months. As of now, I don’t believe there is an official restart date for scheduled passenger service.
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https://antiguaobserver.com/liat-to-ext ... re-months/

LI has extended temporary layoffs for another three months. As of now, I don’t believe there is an official restart date for scheduled passenger service.

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by Brickell305
Thu Jun 04, 2020 1:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1951
Views: 245373

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

Not sure why AA can't open ACs beyond just the hubs, or at least have an opening schedule announced. For obvious reasons it's impossible to enforce social distancing at the gate areas so why should it be enforced within airline lounges. Now AA could limit admittance to only paid members and OW flyi...

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by Brickell305
Wed Jun 03, 2020 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LGW has 21 departing passengers in 1 day
Replies: 9
Views: 6023

Re: LGW has 21 departing passengers in 1 day

Leej wrote:
BA will return pretty smart I'm sure - already showing Caribbean flights 01 July (ANU) - I know that can all change of course.

BA has already relayed to tourism officials there that it intends to restart from LHR.

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by Brickell305
Tue Jun 02, 2020 7:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 775
Views: 73727

Re: Caribbean Aviation Thread - 2020

Antigua will receive its first scheduled international flight for 10 weeks on 4 June from MIA on an AA 738. About 75% of the passengers will be nationals with a few tourists. There doesn't seem to be a flight the next day but there will be a daily flight from 6 June. Some of the protocols include: ...

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