Search found 5250 matches

by Francoflier
Thu Jul 02, 2020 3:20 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 407
Views: 21057

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Below was another interesting piece I came across suggesting that the virus may start to burn out at a 20% infection rate vs. the 60-70% rate often cited for achieving herd immunity. https://theconversation.com/coronavirus-could-it-be-burning-out-after-20-of-a-population-is-infected-141584 There's ...

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by Francoflier
Wed Jul 01, 2020 4:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 407
Views: 21057

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Here's another study, from Sweden, that seems to show that the disease is much more prevalent than thought, meaning more people are already somewhat immune to it: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53248660 The fact that people have been exposed to it already does not necessarily mean that they can't c...

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by Francoflier
Wed Jul 01, 2020 9:54 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Bicycle Bridge Proposed for New York City
Replies: 16
Views: 823

Re: Bicycle Bridge Proposed for New York City

That'd be pretty nice. Anything that encourages more bicycle and foot transportation is always welcome in a crowded city. $100 million is a bargain, although if it went ahead I doubt it would stick to that budget. Still, even if it ends up costing 3 times as much, it's a drop in the bucket for NYC's...

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by Francoflier
Tue Jun 30, 2020 11:51 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16313

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

10 of the hardest-hit postcode areas (36 Suburbs) in Melbourne's Northern & Western suburbs have been ordered back into lockdown for 4 weeks as of midnight tomorrow (Wednesday) in an attempt to control the second wave that is hitting Melbourne. The State Premier has said that police will be man...

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by Francoflier
Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:26 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Will Donald Trump get a second term?
Replies: 484
Views: 31564

Re: Will Donald Trump get a second term?

If he blows up Obamacare now, he will actively burn up his last potential path to victory. If he can't pull off a repeat of his 2016 upsets in PA and MI, there's no conceivable way to a majority that I can think of. It may just be a scorched-earth tactic. If he's gonna lose, he might as well create...

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by Francoflier
Mon Jun 29, 2020 6:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Texas (and Florida) to re-shut down partially
Replies: 60
Views: 3258

Re: Texas (and Florida) to re-shut down partially

NYC began locking down when daily new infections hit 3,000. FL had 8,500 yesterday and over 9,000 today but DeSantis seems to believe it will all go away magically by itself. The virus does go away by itself... just not magically. It goes through the population no matter what you do. All lockdowns ...

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by Francoflier
Mon Jun 29, 2020 1:53 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16313

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

As of this week, death counts in the US are still down week over week, continuing a trend since early May. The narrative of the news media that COVID-19 is increasing is not significantly supported by data. It is an emotional / commercial response by the news media to increase their revenue. It's a...

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by Francoflier
Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:55 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Seattle's "CHOP" Zone to be Dismantled
Replies: 75
Views: 3921

Re: Seattle's "CHOP" Zone to be Dismantled

First of all, this 'zone' should have never existed. I just hope that there will not be a violent clash to reclaim the zone. Maybe that's what it took for those dreamers to understand that this was not a valid proposition... at all. After all, by actively banning it, you just encourage more people ...

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by Francoflier
Fri Jun 19, 2020 2:07 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Facebook removes ads for violating policy on organized hate.
Replies: 74
Views: 2311

Re: Facebook removes ads for violating policy on organized hate.

Ironically, this just gives the ad more exposure than it ever would have gotten circulating among the angry Karens of Facebook...

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by Francoflier
Thu Jun 18, 2020 5:10 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Celestial Nav - Sextant Ports
Replies: 16
Views: 1974

Re: Celestial Nav - Sextant Ports

That was the original means of navigation for the SR-71. That was moving at 6 miles per second. Hmm... The SR-71 was flying nowhere near 6 miles per second. That's almost Earth's escape velocity. As for sextant, they are not taught or used in modern commercial aviation. I doubt even the best cockpi...

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by Francoflier
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: John Bolton Book Reveals Fractured White House Foreign Policy
Replies: 77
Views: 4438

Re: John Bolton Book Reveals Fractured White House Foreign Policy

It must be bad if even John Bolton couldn't handle the filthy garbage festering there. Honestly. Back when the World made a bit of sense, Bolton made Darth Vader look like a champion of peace and diplomacy... Today, he's the guy calling out the President for being a menace to the US and the World. ...

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by Francoflier
Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:07 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Reparations
Replies: 96
Views: 4508

Re: Reparations

It is apparent that another piece of systematic racism in this country is the economic inequality and discrimination that blacks have faced. They have had to sacrifice so much economically for whites. What is the best way to set up reparations to Mitigate this form of systematic racism? Should it b...

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by Francoflier
Mon Jun 08, 2020 8:16 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: How will coronavirus impact the shift from air to rail travel?
Replies: 25
Views: 3047

Re: How will coronavirus impact the shift from air to rail travel?

This pandemic will do nothing to push people onto trains. You are as likely to catch a bug from a fellow pax on a train as you are to catch it on a plane. That some nations want to push for a greener economic recovery after Covid is another matter altogether, but not directly health related (well, n...

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by Francoflier
Mon Jun 08, 2020 3:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Minneapolis To Disband Police
Replies: 174
Views: 6607

Re: Minneapolis To Disband Police

That seems very ambitious... How about starting with overhauling the processes by which police officers are selected, vetted, trained and how they're accounted for, which is the reason we're in this mess in the first place? It will be an interesting social experiment in any case and I'm curious to s...

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by Francoflier
Sat Jun 06, 2020 2:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Racism in the World
Replies: 33
Views: 1496

Re: Racism in the World

There is definitely quite a lot of racism in Asia. It's even institutionalized in some places. China is pretty bad. The CCP is essentially embarked on a decades-long campaign of ethnic cleansing across the nation. Parts of the countries that are inhabited by minorities are slowly populated by han et...

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by Francoflier
Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:13 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: A Glimmer Of Hope
Replies: 4
Views: 471

Re: A Glimmer Of Hope

Quick drops in the value of anything - stock values, jobs, currencies, production, etc - are usually followed by a rebound after they hit 'rock bottom'. This is somewhat expected, although I don't know whether this is happening faster than initially thought. The real indicator will be how long it ta...

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by Francoflier
Fri Jun 05, 2020 4:14 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Tiananmen Square Massacre
Replies: 13
Views: 967

Re: Tiananmen Square Massacre

Our great 45th leader’s remarks about that day, praising the Chinese for putting down the demonstration: https://twitter.com/michikokakutani/status/709570919463780353?s=21 It's actually much worse than that. By being completely unable to manage the violent protests in the US and only threatening to...

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by Francoflier
Thu Jun 04, 2020 4:13 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Outrage...
Replies: 53
Views: 3576

Re: Outrage...

Seems FB is winning no fans in the current climate. It depends... If you ask me, Facebook is in it for the money, and nothing else. just like every other IT giant out there, no matter how militant they claim to be about anything. FB used to be the hip new social media platform that every kid was on...

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by Francoflier
Thu Jun 04, 2020 5:11 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020
Replies: 334
Views: 27854

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020

Another successful launch. These are becoming a bit routine. Except this one was significant in the sense that this was the first time SpaceX successfully completed a launch-to-land cycle for the 5th time with the same booster, after B1048's landing failure during Starlink-5. Hopefully B1049 will g...

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by Francoflier
Thu Jun 04, 2020 4:27 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Gen. Mattis Says POTUS is ‘Making a Mockery of the Constitution’
Replies: 75
Views: 3805

Re: Gen. Mattis Says POTUS is ‘Making a Mockery of the Constitution’

Okay, I have decided. For expertise on the American leadership, the US military, and its proper role... I think I know whom I should believe. If I ever want to know more about soybean markets, I might change my mind... :roll: The problem is that Trump is so far out outside the realm of common sense...

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by Francoflier
Sun May 31, 2020 2:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways cabin crew to wear hazmat suits
Replies: 58
Views: 11338

Re: Qatar Airways cabin crew to wear hazmat suits

What's so freaking complicated about wearing a mask, washing your hands and not touching your face? Covering your body from head to toe with PPE does little to protect you and sweet nothing to protect others without using it the proper way, which is pretty much impossible outside of a medical facili...

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by Francoflier
Sun May 31, 2020 5:38 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020
Replies: 334
Views: 27854

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020

Congrats to NASA and SpaceX, it was good to see some things are still going the right way in this World. The Wikipedia page for DM-2 mentions that NASA's estimate for the Loss Of Crew probability for the flight was (is) 1 in 276, and that the threshold for a manned space mission is set at 1 in 270.....

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by Francoflier
Fri May 29, 2020 3:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: China ends Hong Kong's autonomy
Replies: 90
Views: 4789

Re: China ends Hong Kong's autonomy

While this is not good news, it is easy to overdramatize this and get overly emotional. You could argue that most of HK has belonged to China since 1899, only leased to Britain for 99 years. Back then, I doubt anyone who signed this agreement worried about what would happen then, since they were all...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 27, 2020 1:42 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020
Replies: 334
Views: 27854

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2020

How's the weather holding up in Florida? The forecast looks a bit average, and I saw they had storms passing over the facility a couple of hours ago with more on the way it seems...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 27, 2020 1:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

I'm talking about the overall number of infections since the start, not the number of cases detected at any given time. So far, taking the total number of tests and positives from the start, we still are at 5% or more for Germany, 6+ for Italy and the UK, around 8 for Spain, over 10% for the US, etc...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 27, 2020 1:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

What? Again, who is saying that 99% of tests come back negative? Where does that 99% figure come from? How do you infer that there are no more infected people than those already detected? In countries like Germany, so far, around 5% of tests done have been positive. In Spain and Italy, it's closer t...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 27, 2020 9:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nordwind A321 Rough Landing in Antayla
Replies: 41
Views: 11551

Re: Nordwind A321 Rough Landing in Antayla

Was looking through AV Herald and came across this incident. What struck me was that is came down with about +2.65G, above limits. 2,65G is quite a lot, but does anyone here know what the limit is for this bird? And to ask the obvious question: did it buff out? :D The problem is that the nose gear ...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 27, 2020 3:18 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

So... almost 99 of 100 symptomatic pople are now testing negative apparently? By far most people testing negative where asymptomatic.... that is what contact tracing is: testing each and every asymptomatic person an infected person had contact with. They are obviously not a cross section of the gen...

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by Francoflier
Tue May 26, 2020 9:03 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

it isn´t. It is a rather obvious statistical fact. We can discuss how large "some" exactly is, but assuming none of those asymptomatic people where found in tests is so ridiculous it borders on insane. While it is evident that asymptomatic cases were found among testing, it doesn't change...

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by Francoflier
Tue May 26, 2020 7:09 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Well, so much for Hydroxychloroquine: https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-52803180 It might actually make things worse... Is anyone really surprised? I wonder if Trump is still taking it. Only some of those asymptomatic people are not in the statistics. That is an assumption on your behalf. The trut...

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by Francoflier
Fri May 22, 2020 10:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PIA A320 (flight PK8303) crashes in Karachi
Replies: 730
Views: 154239

Re: PIA A320 crash in Karachi

Weather appears to be pretty mild.

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by Francoflier
Thu May 21, 2020 4:35 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://twitter.com/maria_rendon97/status/1262389337506881536?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1262389337506881536&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fs9e.github.io%2Fiframe%2F2%2Ftwitter.min.html%231262389337506881536 These scenes are likely playing out all over the country... It looks l...

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by Francoflier
Thu May 21, 2020 11:13 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

I'm not sure it has been posted on this thread yet, but Rystad Energy published and regularly updates a global COVID-19 report. While it was mostly commissioned by Oil companies for strategic purposes, it is freely available to download and is quite interesting. Of particular note is their estimatio...

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by Francoflier
Tue May 19, 2020 5:14 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Government reform: firing of officials
Replies: 50
Views: 1972

Re: Government reform: firing of officials

All I know is: It's hard being honest and having any sort of integrity working for this administration...

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by Francoflier
Mon May 18, 2020 3:46 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: United Launch Alliance - Tests, Launches, News, Developments
Replies: 128
Views: 18160

Re: United Launch Alliance - Tests, Launches, News, Developments

Atlas V launched US Air or Space Force’s X-37B spaceplane. Can’t confirm the prograM has been transferred to the Space Force officially or not. Media outlets divided in that point. Errrrrday’s coverage here: http://youtu.be/NIfyAd06lII It is amazing how slowly it left the pad. It had to have been a...

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by Francoflier
Fri May 15, 2020 3:04 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Hong Kong appears to see very positive results when treating patients with ex-patients antibody-rich plasma: https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/health-environment/article/3084440/coronavirus-call-hong-kong-covid-19-survivors Previously, researchers in the territory seemed to have managed positive r...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 13, 2020 4:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

I think focusing on case count alone is going to make your hair fall out..particularly when it's so dependent on the ubiquity and frequency of testing and the fact that half of cases will go under the radar. It's hospitalizations and deaths that are more informative. COVID will, of course, continue...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 13, 2020 3:32 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Fauci is testifying that opening the economy will result in needless deaths, and right now there are many rural hotspots occurring where the local authorities are flouting federal and state guidelines. With all due respect, that is not at all what Fauci is saying. He cautioned against reopening too...

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by Francoflier
Tue May 12, 2020 3:31 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

The Flu is the Flu, but at the same time. While we are practicing Social distancing we are also hammering down on the spread of the Flu. I will assert, that for the next year or so, the Flu numbers are going to be way down. Getting the vaccine may be a good idea, but it will not be tantamount this ...

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by Francoflier
Mon May 11, 2020 6:18 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

This virus is likely going to be with us for a long time to come. We're going to have to learn to live with it at some point. An effective vaccine is still very much an if. We flattened the curve. Now time to figure out how to live with it. Exactly. Lockdowns have worked where they were implemented...

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by Francoflier
Thu May 07, 2020 3:23 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Europe's coronavirus outbreak may not have originated from Wuhan
Replies: 45
Views: 2174

Re: Europe's coronavirus outbreak may not have originated from Wuhan

Is that a serious question? A theory has to explain all existing data it could in principle explain. That's why new data often leads to new ideas being explored and tested, and, if the data is correct, the old theory having been falsified. Best regards Thomas Yes it is a serious question. Where is ...

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by Francoflier
Thu May 07, 2020 3:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Europe's coronavirus outbreak may not have originated from Wuhan
Replies: 45
Views: 2174

Re: Europe's coronavirus outbreak may not have originated from Wuhan

The studies can only rely on Chinese official data regarding the virus, and you trust those at your own risk. Given China's initial management of the disease and their obvious attempts to try and keep it under wraps at first, it's more than just a possibility that this thing was circulating there we...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 06, 2020 3:47 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: No open borders for New Zealand anytime soon
Replies: 52
Views: 2181

Re: Jacinda Ardern, economy destroyer

Mass panic and paranoia is clouding judgement and leading to extreme decisions. There may be a lot more progressive approaches to tackling the issue. Mandatory testing on arrival, or even departure, twice if necessary, may go a long way in catching most imported cases. Travelers could bear the cost ...

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by Francoflier
Wed May 06, 2020 1:32 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Three Russian doctors mysteriously fall from hospital windows
Replies: 29
Views: 1522

Re: Three Russian doctors mysteriously fall from hospital windows

Does Putin think the world is stupid, or does he just not care about appearing civilized anymore? He's gotten away with worse before. There's no one out there anymore to call him out on it anyway. China, while being less blatant and heavy-handed, essentially uses the same methods, and the current U...

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by Francoflier
Tue May 05, 2020 2:20 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Or, we can say since the US, UK, Spain, France, and Italy are popular tourist destinations for the Chinese that the virus got spread more heavily in those countries before any lockdown or measures were taken? You cannot say that about the Scandinavian countries. Plus, the population density makes a...

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by Francoflier
Mon May 04, 2020 1:54 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Sweden has taken a worse hit but might get a less bad second wave. If we live we all see the truth ;-) That is, assuming herd immunity is responsible for the lower R. If this is the case, then it’ll be very interesting to see the studies that explain why so many Swedes could get infected with such ...

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by Francoflier
Sun May 03, 2020 3:55 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23869

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Never in the history of the earth have we ever stopped the clock for a virus. Never. Much less for a virus that only kills such a small percentage of the population, those with underlying illness and mostly one age group. A writing professor I had once told me to be careful with phrases like "...

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by Francoflier
Thu Apr 30, 2020 3:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 118
Views: 6932

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

frmrCapCadet wrote:
how would we know we were in the first 48 hours of COVID-29


:scared: Please. One of these things per decade is largely enough, thank you....

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by Francoflier
Wed Apr 29, 2020 2:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid 19 and alcohol consumption
Replies: 31
Views: 1705

Re: Covid 19 and alcohol consumption

I spoke with a retired person who worked in pharmaceutical research. She isn't concerned about the virus and mentioned that serious cases in young age may be related to increased alcohol consumption. She's wrong. I mean, alcohol consumption isn't the most salubrious activity, but 58,000 Americans d...

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by Francoflier
Tue Apr 28, 2020 2:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66462

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

But NYC is probably the worst hit place on the planet. You’re likely right. The worst place impacted in the world has a sub .5% death rate. Worse then flu? Yes. Bubonic plague? No. Interesting thing is, the apocalyptic scenario that was expected of the US did not materialize, despite many here expe...

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