Search found 603 matches

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by moa999
Sat Apr 27, 2019 1:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1816
Views: 195649

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

Problem is you can't restructure Jet properly unless you also restructure the industry (ie. Air India and it's continual losses).

I can't see why any foreign investor would invest in any Indian airline whilst AI exists as is, and Jet has its existing cost structure

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by moa999
Wed Apr 24, 2019 1:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019
Replies: 484
Views: 68560

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019

Would VA be able to get better EDTO for their 777s these days if they wanted to restart JNB?

From memory it quit the route in 2010/11.
And longer ETOPS approval for the type didn't come for later - eg. NZ has operating using ETOPS330 since 2015

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by moa999
Wed Apr 24, 2019 1:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1816
Views: 195649

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

In a normal world, there would have been a trading halt on Jet stock a long time ago. Why is trading Jet stock still possible in India? A stock market listed airline has suspended operations and the financial regulator thinks that trading should go on as usual? All depends on the market rules. Obvi...

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by moa999
Tue Apr 23, 2019 5:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019
Replies: 484
Views: 68560

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019

Can't see 380 on BNE- LAX, they need something to run the LAX-JFK shuttle that isn't an A380.

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by moa999
Sun Apr 21, 2019 12:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019
Replies: 484
Views: 68560

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019

the rumours of the 788 being moved to QF are true, and I personally remain skeptical. Could they work on domestic only? Replace the 767 on the golden triangle. Or is the refuelling slow too like the 330s was claimed to be? Joyce has previously said the economics don't work for 787s domestically htt...

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by moa999
Sun Apr 21, 2019 12:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019
Replies: 484
Views: 68560

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2019

Tend to agree zero chance of the 380s going to JQ. Anecdotally they struggle to fill the 787s outside of holiday periods. What Sunrise means for the A380s is interesting. Arguably 12 is too many once you have a fleet of Sunrise aircraft which will diminish the need for A380s on LHR and LAX routes. W...

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by moa999
Sat Apr 20, 2019 12:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: Shutdown
Replies: 1816
Views: 195649

Re: Jet Airways: Shutdown

Can't see it. It was saveable six months ago by keeping 80% of the fleet, pushing through the pay cuts that NG blocked and slimming management, as well as the new investor(s) and debt-equity conversion. Now it's too late. At best you might keep 20% of the fleet after all the resumptions. But then yo...

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by moa999
Fri Apr 19, 2019 1:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Package of new/used A380's pitched to BA was uncompetitive: Cruz
Replies: 173
Views: 31114

Re: Package of new/used A380's pitched to BA was uncompetitive: Cruz

9Patch wrote:
Arion640 wrote:

To be fair - EK are growing their fleet for a short period of time and BA will continue to hold theirs.

Didn't EK just cancel 39 A380s?
Yes but EK (and ANA with 2) still have a bunch of A380 deliveries left (it's a fairly lengthy supply chain)

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by moa999
Wed Apr 17, 2019 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Package of new/used A380's pitched to BA was uncompetitive: Cruz
Replies: 173
Views: 31114

Re: Package of new/used A380's pitched to BA was uncompetitive: Cruz

Depends what you're paying for it.
HiFly had almost nothing internal mods, engines presumably on power by hour deal..

Still waiting to understand their summer customer

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by moa999
Tue Apr 16, 2019 11:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

And VZG out of BNE replaced by VZH.

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by moa999
Tue Apr 16, 2019 10:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Package of new/used A380's pitched to BA was uncompetitive: Cruz
Replies: 173
Views: 31114

Re: Package of new/used A380's pitched to BA was uncompetitive: Cruz

While it may not have worked for BA... You'd think at some point it has to work for someone. Only so many A380s can be parted out before you have an oversupply of parts, and there isn't a massive amount of value in pure scrap. On a passenger aircraft, you should be able to buy it and refit cheaper t...

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by moa999
Mon Apr 15, 2019 12:43 am
Forum: Trip Reports
Topic: JetStar Japan’s Shimojishima Inaugural flight March 2019
Replies: 8
Views: 4627

Re: JetStar Japan’s Shimojishima Inaugural flight March 2019

Great detailed report.

Love the look of the new airport - very modern, yet definitely Japanese with all the wood and detail.

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by moa999
Sat Apr 13, 2019 5:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

On 737 Internet looks like VXP out VXR in for Sydney

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by moa999
Fri Apr 12, 2019 3:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways Latest Developments Discussion Thread

Push what along?

I can't imagine anyone would be making a jet booking at present.

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by moa999
Thu Apr 11, 2019 2:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

If Jet fails, why will Naresh Goyal not have to go to jail , but Mallya has to go to jail when his airline failed? What separates the two cases? Businesses fail all the time (not generally this big) but it's not normally a criminal issue. Only when you add other elements like insolvent trading, fal...

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by moa999
Thu Apr 11, 2019 12:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

Sorry but not at all true. Debt is usually tied to assets while equity value is based on assets and a business' potential. Banks take haircuts on debt all the time. Haircuts are not common at all. Debt refinancing is not a haircut. The old debt is fully repaid. Btw - Enterprise Value (or company va...

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by moa999
Wed Apr 10, 2019 1:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

If the banks are being forced to take a haircut on debt to get the deal done, should mean equity is worthless - given it ranks behind debt.

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by moa999
Tue Apr 09, 2019 12:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

One can only imagine future leases to Indian Airlines are going to get more expensive (again)

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by moa999
Sun Apr 07, 2019 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Looks like EBF in for Internet and maintenance (possibly lengthy like EBE). Report on the Sydney Airport board from C Patters that EBG will be next and go in for refurb mid-May. Combined with OEBs expected end-April retirement that will be the end of the line for SkyBed Is and Rockwell Collins IFE i...

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by moa999
Sun Apr 07, 2019 11:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

In 180 days struggle to see if there will be a business left to save

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by moa999
Sun Apr 07, 2019 12:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

With almost all the planes grounded and fuel being switched on and off I can't imagine they are getting any forward bookings - just not worth the risk.

When the bookings dry up you are pretty much done.

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by moa999
Fri Apr 05, 2019 12:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways Updated: Operations suspended
Replies: 3319
Views: 389607

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

With seemingly cancellations everywhere you'd think Jets forward bookings have just dried up.
No cash coming in is and even bigger issue.

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by moa999
Thu Apr 04, 2019 10:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Claims that A350XWB is quieter than B787, but is it really?
Replies: 236
Views: 40366

Re: Airbus Claims that A350XWB is quieter than B787, but is it really?

If the manufacturers really cared about noise levels they'd fill in all the windows and replace with window strip TVs (like EKs fake window in its new F class centre seat). Would allow for a lot more sound and temperature proofing and I suspect make a plane a lot lighter and simpler and cheaper to c...

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by moa999
Wed Apr 03, 2019 12:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Thanks!

only 53 regos listed though
(Possibly one of VZH VZJ - both had some downtime in Feb - VZH 10-16Feb BNE, VZJ 12-20Feb SYD)

VZG currently in BNE, VXP in SYD.
(I'd also think VYZ should really be listed as a shadow 'VZM')

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by moa999
Wed Apr 03, 2019 2:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Possibly. Or they could just send it back empty. Latest AusBT article suggested that refurb won't start until July, so possibly just a repaint (or two) over June The first 8 were repainted by Emirates in DXB but I don't think a contract for the remaining 4 (OQE, OQH, OQI, OQJ) has been announced. Ot...

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by moa999
Mon Apr 01, 2019 8:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 747-400 Passenger Fleet Tracking/Retirements Thread 2019
Replies: 99
Views: 24885

Re: Boeing 747-400 Passenger Fleet Tracking/Retirements Thread 2019

Cointrin330 wrote:
Does anyone know when Qantas will retire VH-OEF, the oneworld logo 747-400ER?
The six ERs are scheduled to be retired between late 2019 and end 2020.

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by moa999
Mon Apr 01, 2019 6:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia New Livery and logo
Replies: 1
Views: 1088

Re: AirAsia New Livery and logo

Scan the QR code and you'll see the 1 April reference

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by moa999
Sun Mar 31, 2019 12:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 601
Views: 77141

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019

Is there a consensus view on this issue? Or are views as divided as QF and the airport? Your above suggests you're of tje same view as Perth Airport? Doubt anyone (at least willing to comment on the issue) on this forum knows the issues fully. Not sure about the $ cost that's building up, but I sus...

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by moa999
Thu Mar 28, 2019 1:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas PER-LHR marks 1 year of operation, route exceeds expectations
Replies: 47
Views: 8711

Re: Qantas PER-LHR marks 1 year of operation, route exceeds expectations

Oh... This implies a fleet replan to occur with project sunrise. Either A or B could win in my opinion. I'm betting A380 replacement with either A350-1000 or 779. QF isn't spending big $s refurbing the A380s to pension them off (given there is no secondary market) and they own them all. They'll fly...

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by moa999
Wed Mar 27, 2019 3:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HiFly A380 Operations Thread - 2019
Replies: 97
Views: 34494

Re: HiFly A380 Operations Thread - 2019

Coming towards the end of March and still nothing about the Summer customer

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by moa999
Thu Mar 21, 2019 6:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 601
Views: 77141

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019

With the chopping and changing of routes and the lack of growth - I'd say doing OK but possibly a few too many widebody aircraft. Could definitely see a smaller 788 fleet of say 6-8 supplemented by 10-12 international configured 321neos With the balance of the 321neos going into domestic all economy...

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by moa999
Wed Mar 20, 2019 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang
Replies: 3187
Views: 600355

Re: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang

Same as why MH didn't select the full Inmarsat tracking subscription. Apart from the fact that *many* airlines did not order that, this system adds nothing to safe operation of the airplane. Or do you suggest that MH370 passengers would still be alive if the system had been installed? Not at all su...

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by moa999
Wed Mar 20, 2019 1:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 601
Views: 77141

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019

I think the reporting comes down to accounting standards which is along the line of a sensible split that provides information to investors and generally is about 3-4 amongst mostnASX companies - to bore yourself to sleep Google - AASB 8 Operating Setments Two of the Jetstars's (Japan and Vietnam/Pa...

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by moa999
Tue Mar 19, 2019 6:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

One-off A380 QF5 SYD-SIN-LHR scheduled for May26.

No obvious return.
Possible positioning flight for first refurb

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by moa999
Tue Mar 19, 2019 12:23 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Man vs machine; are we ready to replace pilots completely?
Replies: 80
Views: 5463

Re: Man vs machine; are we ready to replace pilots completely?

We are getting there with trains, albeit generally only on greenfield dedicated track, there haven't been many conversions from driven to driverless. Cars are coming along, but a truly integrated system is a long way off. Planes are far more complex again and the danger of getting it wrong more ampl...

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by moa999
Mon Mar 18, 2019 11:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang
Replies: 3187
Views: 600355

Re: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang

Same as why MH didn't select the full Inmarsat tracking subscription.

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by moa999
Mon Mar 18, 2019 12:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 601
Views: 77141

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019

While the lack of additional investment in JQs 788s including not basing any aircraft in Singapore would suggest they aren't meeting return hurdles, I can't see QF being able to add 11 788s to its fleet profitably, particularly with Sunrise aircraft also adding to the fleet. Also of note in the regi...

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by moa999
Sat Mar 16, 2019 9:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LA officials break ground on LAX people mover
Replies: 72
Views: 12763

Re: LA officials break ground on LAX people mover

Exactly - it's not that different to an electric articulated bus. The advantage over a train is it can have multiple stops at the airport (given how spread out the terminals are) and is effectively at street level rather than multiple stories underground like a train would likely be. For LAX I think...

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by moa999
Fri Mar 15, 2019 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Garuda to keep 737MAX order, add 787s in agreement with Boeing
Replies: 162
Views: 43057

Re: Garuda may cancel remaining orders of 737 MAX

I’m talking about what potential passengers can afford to buy, not operating costs.


Yes. But airlines aren't in the business of losing money.
If fuel prices go up and governments cap the maximum fares, there aren't many other levers left

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by moa999
Fri Mar 15, 2019 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Garuda to keep 737MAX order, add 787s in agreement with Boeing
Replies: 162
Views: 43057

Re: Garuda may cancel remaining orders of 737 MAX

quote="Polot"] you need to look at standards of living/average wages too. $113 is a lot more money for your typical Indonesian .[/quote] Cost of operating a flight though is mostly in USD. Aircraft purchase/rental Fuel. Yes pilot/FA/Mgmt costs might be a little less in Indonesia, but it do...

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by moa999
Fri Mar 15, 2019 11:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Garuda to keep 737MAX order, add 787s in agreement with Boeing
Replies: 162
Views: 43057

Re: Garuda may cancel remaining orders of 737 MAX

you need to look at standards of living/average wages too. $113 is a lot more money for your typical Indonesian . Cost of operating a flight though is mostly in USD. Aircraft purchase/rental Fuel. Yes pilot/FA/Mgmt costs might be a little less in Indonesia, but it doesn't substantially change the o...

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by moa999
Fri Mar 15, 2019 9:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery released
Replies: 1797
Views: 369702

Re: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery coming in April

lostsound wrote:
Just preparing y'all for the inevitable:
Image


Just needs a "Spirit of the Americas" tagline, much like WestJet copied Qantas

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by moa999
Fri Mar 15, 2019 9:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Current inflight internet rollout (different to WiFi IFE) is to the 75 737s and 10 332s only. Uses the domestic only NBN SkyMuster Ka band satellites (so no service over Australian bight or Tasman Sea) Qantas has reportedly signed a deal with ViaSat for its new Gen 3 satellites for global coverage (...

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by moa999
Fri Mar 15, 2019 8:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

You'd hope so given its been 2.5 months.

Real question is what's in next
EBD - mentioned upthread, although it's already got a hump
EBG - the last one left with SkyBed I
EBM/N - last two International config conversions

Nothing with EBP off to paint.

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by moa999
Thu Mar 14, 2019 11:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Pair of flight tests for EBE today as QF6114.

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by moa999
Thu Mar 14, 2019 3:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery released
Replies: 1797
Views: 369702

Re: United Airlines "Evolution" to Globe Livery coming in April

Or a purple splotch, like LHs tiny yellow square.
Or an accent like QFs silver stripe

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by moa999
Sat Mar 09, 2019 8:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 601
Views: 77141

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019

If take the continuous disclosure requirements of the ASX over any attention seeking vlogger.

When a decision is made and contract signed it will be announced.

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by moa999
Sat Mar 09, 2019 4:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 601
Views: 77141

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019

SeaEagle8 wrote:
Oh ok. Sorry mixed that up with something else maybe. Not sure if Malindo would have the aircraft to go nonstop to KUL. That would be one hell of a long flight on a single aisle if they did!


3000 miles seems to be the limit for 737-900ER flights.

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by moa999
Sat Mar 09, 2019 1:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019
Replies: 323
Views: 70582

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread - 2019

Any update on EBE which had been in BNE a fortnight longer than estimates above?

And/or a retirement date for OEB?

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by moa999
Sat Mar 09, 2019 1:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019
Replies: 601
Views: 77141

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2019

A lot of Malindo OD fifth freedom flights then.

Yet Perth is the only one served by an actual Indonesian based aircraft with Batik ID.

And no actual Lion Air JT aircraft - internationally it seems to mostly serve China, along with Malaysia, Singapore and Saudi Arabia

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