A lot of excitement here over what is essentially one niche flight to BLR. Let's not forget DL has already ended SEA-HKG, SEA-SIN, and SEA-KIX is wobbly. It could be many many years before AA has even a handful of SEA-Asia flights.
Jump to postAS killed a fair number of marginal routes too during 2019- RDU BNA KOA ABQ
Jump to postThe demographics was said to be a broad mix of age, income, travel frequencies. I imagine the only thing unique from the norms about the survey is including Europeans who may be biased for Airbus against Boeing.
Jump to postMIflyer12 wrote:Link? Survey methodology and participant demographics?
Barclays is out with a research note downgrading Boeing. They cite a survey with these results: Willingness to fly on MAX After Grounding is Lifted: 19% Immediately 20% After a Few Months 23% After a Year or More 21% Never 17% Don't Know. I have a hard time believing this. I think the results would ...
Jump to postThere has to be a market for CLE-CVG and CLE-IND today, right?
Jump to postLate 2019 start is interesting. Realistic to get etops certification by then?
Jump to postWe know this already, right? The JFK Terminal 6 proposal is for 12 gates that all accomodate wide-bodies.
Jump to postMergers are not held onto as news for even a day. When you have a deal, you announce it right away to prevent news from leaking, because to have material news and not to report it violates securities laws, presuming you are public. There is no corporate action (anything involving buying another airl...
Jump to postI haven't followed- is there a consensus on the Europe long-term strategy particulars? Definitely A321neo? What about the cities targeted beyond the initial London? Will they be the 3rd 4th 5th carrier to large cities like MAD AMS CDG ZRH or will they go for being the only in some mid-tier markets (...
Jump to postThey have a lot more than 3 hubs- BNA HOU ATL PHX LAS OAK also are common airports you will see the reservation system offer up as 1 or 2-stop options.
Jump to postALK has orders for 30-40 of both 737 MAX 9 and A320/A321 (though mostly A320). The issue with A320 is it seats about 30 less than the MAX 9 (3 economy rows). The CEO hinted at the analyst meeting at maybe going to one fleet provider again in the long-term, a decision would be made in 2019.
Jump to postHalf of the A321s were leased from Air Lease (the guy who started ILFC) - it's their plnces- they will decide where to place them next.
Jump to postI hope that JetBlue will take advantage of this, and take the extra gates/capacity at KEF to make a small scissor hub. Can US airlines fly Europe to Europe? I thought they had to start or end in the US? Yes, just not within the same country. Though the thought that JetBlue "should take advanta...
Jump to postAntitrust will prevent any combination involving AA DL UA. WN has rarely felt an acquisition was smarter than expanding organically. The only sensical possibility is some combination of AS HA B6 to create a fifth large carrier. A combination of F9 NK G4 wouldnt be big enough at 300 aircraft to make ...
Jump to postThat looks like an aberration- doing a day of routes normally listed as A320/A319: SFO-PDX-DEN-PHX-SFO before resuming its normal ops doing transcon or overseas flights
Jump to post303dk wrote:jfklganyc wrote:You have to wonder how much longer AA can hang on to the hublet at JFK.
JFK BOS dropping down to .8 for June. Geez
Not sure why they that at all. Connections go to PHL and O/D to LGA
Its similar to the hub system used in Iceland by FI & WW- the westbound Atlantic flights leave at 1pm or after, so there is enough time in the morning to fly aircraft to Europe, fly connecting passengers back to DUB to make the Atlantic flights. Eastbound evening flights to continental Europe ha...
Jump to postMost would look at operating margins but then maybe get into whether it happens more on revenue per unit or cost. Last quarter the two were not that different DAL 9.8%, UAL 9.1%. I believe the reasons DAL has had higher margins the last few years has to do with RASM being higher than UAL, not so muc...
Jump to postI think UAL stock is a short right now. They have had good results but the overall PRASM environment is deteriorating near-term due to slowing economies in Europe and China (obviously) and maybe the U.S. I think UAL has had good contribution from the Gemini revenue mgmt system and been lucky in Asia...
Jump to postWhy would UA and B6 swap airports? If you were UA, would you want to tell all these NJ frequent flyers they have to go to JFK now? If you were B6, would you want to tell all these LI loyalists they have to go to EWR now? T5 at JFK has only 30 gates (UA uses over 80 at EWR) and does not fit any wideb...
Jump to postDL has higher PRASM than UA - UA will never catch DL unless it equals DL's PRASM of 106% of industry average (which DL likes to highlight on investor conference calls). Pretty hard to equal DL without those pretty unchallenged hubs DL has at ATL SLC DTW. Closest thing UA has is IAH but that is heavi...
Jump to postNo, any attempt to do Pacific flights at SEA (except for the longtime NRT flight (UA 875/876) given NRT was its own hub) would have cannibalized SFO & LAX. The idea that UA was the "default major carrier" is a farce given the existence of AS. Where did UA ever fly from SEA that was not...
Jump to postI don't think it makes sense that UA has better PRASM than DL & AA while it is the most aggressive with capacity expansion, so my theory is that they are getting a lot out of Gemini and are lucky with Asia doing better than other geographies (but that might not last with China slowing as it is).
Jump to postI've wondered why DL chooses to serve LAS-SAN LAS-SJC LAS-SNA
Jump to postIt was here in an August post: https://beatofhawaii.com/southwest-hawaii-inter-island/. I recalled wrong- the comment is the aircraft will come in one day from CA, do some interisland, then return to CA the next day. SO it is conceivable they schedule it for late morning or early afternoon departure...
Jump to postSource please? This is the most detailed info I've seen anywhere regarding WN's upcoming HI schedules and it does differ from past rumors about what we might see in SAN. I'll try to find it- I think it was in a brokerage report on LUV stock. I suspect it was in a report someone wrote when WN announ...
Jump to postWN is likely going to be offering connections to AUS, MDW, DAL, DEN, HOU, MCI, LAS, PHX, and SAT from Hawaii through SAN by Summer 2019. No it won't. All the Hawaii flights will depart CA in the morning, then go interisland, then return to CA around 1-2pm. There is no sane way to schedule flights w...
Jump to postI feel JetBlue is setting itself up for an acquisition. I don't believe its going to be with Alaska. Which one would be more likely in your opinion, DL or UA? Neither- it would be AA. DL or UA would have serious antitrust problems in the NYC market (and SEA with DL). B6 has essentially gained much ...
Jump to postAS shareholders would be quite happy to be dragged in for a fat premium on the stock, esp. if it happens with margins improved with the promised synergies of the VX merger. AS is already having problems expanding organically and profitably in CA; once the integration with VX has squeezed every profi...
Jump to postSomeone wrote on the AS thread that AS would move from Terminal 1 to Terminal 2 East and get 7 gates there. Is this possible? Are there 7 open gates anywhere in T2?
Jump to postDoes anyone have a sense where ASM growth after this year comes from? I don't mean beyond 4-7 years, because that is obvious (overseas) but I don't see where they expand profitability in the U.S. 5% ASM growth or more in 2020-2021. More Florida to points south? JFK/BOS/LGB are tapped out. Or are the...
Jump to postI am assuming this popularity has a lot to do with AY's long-term plans in Asia- they already fly to CAN, CKG, NKG, HKG, PEK, PVG, XIY on the mainland- Finland must have to grant equal rights to Chinese carriers and it took a while for a Chinese carrier to find it worthwhile.
Jump to postAS flight from Boston to LA diverted to Buffalo. LOTS of people on social media not happy. The crew and pilots left ....and no one had a clue what was going on. Buffalo airport was closed for the most part. Not a good look for AS. This sounds like a fun 24+ hours. Using fr24 data: Original flight A...
Jump to postWell if AS had only 1 PDX-ORD and 1 PDX-MKE per day, I would make it 2 & 0 too.
Jump to post> Does BDL really need so many flights to Denver?
Well, it tells you why DEN is UA's most profitable hub- there is a lot of money in connections / flow traffic.
The governor is on his way out; he has nothing to do.
Jump to postI'd still be surprised AS does this given its recent retrenching, but this article from last week talks up SEA too, along with JAX. http://www.hartfordbusiness.com/article/20181212/NEWS01/181219969 The Connecticut Airport Authority (CAA), the quasi-public agency that oversees Bradley, has been pursu...
Jump to postF9 flew BDL to MKE and DEN until 2011 and 2008, respectively. Would this count as a new carrier? I don't believe it is AS, so I will go with F9 to either MIA, RDU, or ATL.
Jump to postThe way UA scheduled SFO-MIA was not optimized for connections- 830a departure from SFO caught connectors from Hawaii but not most of the Asia flights (only exception TPE). A 550p departure from MIA has no feed entering it and connects to nothing but the ANZ flights arriving in SF after 9pm. I think...
Jump to postAS has dropped numerous routes in the last 12-18 months from SFO.... someone else can list them. If you say it is up since the acquisition was announced, it is because of the acquisition itself or measured from a different point.
Jump to postThis is more of a comment on UA's strategy being hub only. They dont think it's worth shunting SJC local customers to NH's NRT hub but NH does, and so does DL in doing routes like PDX-AMS and IND-CDG.
Jump to postUnless F9 or NK show up with a focus city, I would look for this growth to decline sharply in 2019. This isn't an SMF-specific comment, but airlines all had declining operating margins in 2018 and are not going to push capacity as aggressively from here on.
Jump to postWhat do you think? They are dropping to 11 aircraft, so in the summer during the European evenings they might have 4 in Europe (to TFS / CDG / AMS / STN), 1 held back, then 6 in the US- BOS BWI YYZ YUL YVR EWR - there won't be any room for any of these experimental routes they launched in 2018.
Jump to postThe girl sitting next to me said that WW absolutely preferred to delay flights and wait for connecting passengers than risk having to put anyone in pricey Icelandic accommodations. Still, paying just $290 to fly from Barcelona to LA in mid-August Well, sure, to LAX, the WW aircraft sits there for 2...
Jump to postThe departure at 1000 matches their departure times between 1000-1100 to BOS MIA EWR; TP has a few flights from southern Europe arriving in LIS between 700-800a, so they are trying to build some flow traffic.
Jump to postNot on this map, which the aa.com site links to: http://aa.fltmaps.com/en That dot is clearly part of the WS partnership, but there should be tons of other dots then north of the border.
Jump to postAs another example, MCI has 1x to SEA, 1x PDX, 2x MKE, only 4x to STL (surprising), 1x AUS, 1x TPA. The destinations to which MCI has 4x or more are neighboring states or to their 'hubs' like BNA DEN LAS PHX DAL MDW.
Jump to postNo one was going to take TP to IAD to connect to a B6 flight to JFK or BOS. Maybe when B6 flew IAD-FLL & IAD-MCO, but it has been years since they dropped those flights.
Jump to postThe fr24 data shows it dropped from flight level 340 to 300 shortly before changing direction and heading for EDI, so that sort of supports a turbulence event.
Jump to post