Search found 106 matches

by crescent
Thu Nov 22, 2018 4:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS Announces long awaited PAE flights on sale now, WN transfers slots to AS
Replies: 145
Views: 20215

Re: AS Announces long awaited PAE flights on sale now, WN transfers slots to AS

No more new continental US airports for WN- they would rather use their brand to grab closer-in higher-yield passengers now rather than invest in near-term losses / build at an outer airport. And maybe WN and AS struck a deal where WN gets the DAL slot or the already-negotiated LGA slots in exchange...

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by crescent
Thu Nov 22, 2018 4:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA ending PHl-IAD express service.
Replies: 15
Views: 3859

Re: UA ending PHl-IAD express service.

Agreed. When UA says it wants to use IAD as a connecting hub, it means to cities you cannot get between with one flight only, UA or any other airline- the IND-IAD-ORF types for example.

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by crescent
Mon Nov 19, 2018 2:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS Announces long awaited PAE flights on sale now, WN transfers slots to AS
Replies: 145
Views: 20215

Re: AS Announces long awaited PAE flights on sale now, WN transfers slots to AS

I had forgotten that when WN announced CVG back in 2017 they had told analysts it would "very likely" be the last dot on their destination map in the Lower 48. Now recalling that, I have to think asking for some flights from PAE was mostly a leverage point to get AS to give up some DAL slo...

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by crescent
Mon Nov 19, 2018 1:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why B6 doesn’t fly NYC-DCA?
Replies: 33
Views: 5182

Re: Why B6 doesn’t fly NYC-DCA?

In order to run LGA-BOS, B6 stopped some LGA-Florida flights and moved them to EWR. B6 simply has more frequent flyers in BOS it could leverage than fighting AA & DL in DCA.

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by crescent
Tue Nov 13, 2018 12:21 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Will BA offer HNL service?
Replies: 56
Views: 8695

Re: Will BA offer HNL service?

LHR-NYC-HNL don't work. There isn't a flight earlier enough from LHR to catch the 3 dailies from NYC that leave at 830a-1030a

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by crescent
Sun Nov 11, 2018 2:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Astana incident caused by inverted aileron control
Replies: 149
Views: 4341

Re: Air Astana EMB 190 Squawking 7700 currently on an erratic flight over Lisbon asking permission to ditch in ocean

What is the deal with this plane? It's last flight on fr24 shows MSQ-LIS over a month ago.

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by crescent
Fri Nov 09, 2018 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How hub-centric are the big Western airlines?
Replies: 10
Views: 1942

Re: How hub-centric are the big Western airlines?

UA does not, but DL has some P2P routes from cities that are focus cities-lite or lower- PDX IND MKE PIT. AA only has some legacy regional routes out of BOS that get whittled down every year as B6 & DL chase them out.

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by crescent
Mon Nov 05, 2018 4:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WOW Ceases Operations
Replies: 964
Views: 154647

Re: Icelandair taking over WOW

Looks like a distressed sale on the part of WW to me. Simplistic way of looking at it but WW had 20 aircraft, more than 1/2 of FI's 35 but will only get 5% of FI's equity. Overexpansion and rising fuel prices were going to do WW in on liquidity- Skuli chose to sell instead of going it alone and look...

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by crescent
Mon Nov 05, 2018 12:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Salt Lake City (SLC) & LCCs
Replies: 35
Views: 3419

Re: Salt Lake City (SLC) & LCCs

All these comments make sense in a vacuum, but the LCCs have built-up far smaller cities (O&D heavy or not) than SLC- like SAT TUL TTN and the LCCs have entered plenty of more profitable fortress hubs than SLC is to DL like DFW ATL PHL IAH. They have had no problem being the 3rd or 4th carrier o...

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by crescent
Sat Nov 03, 2018 10:36 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Denver: Future International Flights
Replies: 26
Views: 5583

Re: Denver: Future International Flights

Watching Sichuan try CTU-BOS, it struck me why someone/anyone didn't try PEK-DEN or PVG-DEN first. Certainly makes sense for CA to do it for the UA connections.

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by crescent
Sat Nov 03, 2018 10:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Salt Lake City (SLC) & LCCs
Replies: 35
Views: 3419

Salt Lake City (SLC) & LCCs

Is there any reason the LCC boom has largely avoided SLC? Something about the landing fees or airport/runway capacity? Only F9 flies there from usually other focus cities. I always thought this was the last sensical place for AS to expand geographically, having tapped over its history Russia, Califo...

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by crescent
Sat Nov 03, 2018 9:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why don't the US3 fly to other London airports?
Replies: 51
Views: 6658

Re: Why don't the US3 fly to other London airports?

US carriers except AA all flew to LGW when LHR was strictly slot-controlled. They all went to LHR when it opened up and haven't gone back to LGW since, and a large reason besides yields is the lack of alliance connections at LGW.

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by crescent
Mon Oct 29, 2018 8:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang
Replies: 3188
Views: 594261

Re: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangal Pinang

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... -data-show

In a stall, is a drop of 15,000 feet per minute typical?
-->

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... -data-show

In a stall, is a drop of 15,000 feet per minute typical?

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by crescent
Mon Oct 29, 2018 5:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/28/2018:F9 Drops GSP-LAS/MCO,SAT-CVG/RDU,PIT-MCO/SAN,AUS-SJC,BNA-TTN,MCI-RDU;UA Adds FAI-SFO
Replies: 97
Views: 11486

Re: OAG Changes 10/28/2018:F9 Drops GSP-LAS/MCO,SAT-CVG/RDU,PIT-MCO/SAN,AUS-SJC,BNA-TTN,MCI-RDU;UA Adds FAI-SFO

BOS-SEA is a huge bloodbath. DL won't put D1 on here, because the market simply can't support it. A year ago, both DL and AS had average fare that ws close to $300 and now both are around $250. On the subject, of IAD-SEA, I actually don't think the numbers are bad. The LF is a little lower for DL, ...

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by crescent
Mon Oct 29, 2018 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA Dehub SJC?
Replies: 43
Views: 7397

I slightly misstated that. AA was a strong #2 of all carriers at SFO specifically and were eventually passed by VX and now AS. I’d guess that DL is probably bigger now. How much of a presence did AA really ever have at SFO at its peak? I've heard it described as a focus city at one point, though th...

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by crescent
Mon Oct 29, 2018 4:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH closing SJC
Replies: 120
Views: 20123

Re: LH closing SJC

No one doubts these (SJC PHX PDX) are marginal routes in the first place - they do not exist in a static environment- when oil prices or the economy change and stop cooperating, then these are the first to have a profit problem and get cut. Even though the US economy is fine for now, the European ec...

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by crescent
Mon Oct 29, 2018 12:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA Dehub SJC?
Replies: 43
Views: 7397

Re: Why did AA Dehub SJC?

Has DL surpassed AA at SJC now? If so, that is truly amazing. SJC made a lot of sense as a hub for AA since it is the heart of silicon valley and AA was the undisputed champion of the high tech cities for a while (AUS/SJC/RDU). I know DL has become larger than AA at RDU, but was wondering if they a...

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by crescent
Mon Oct 29, 2018 12:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA Dehub SJC?
Replies: 43
Views: 7397

Re: Why did AA Dehub SJC?

timz wrote:
crescent wrote:
AA blamed San Jose in the media not extending the runway

Wasn't runway 30L 11000 ft by the end of 1992?


No, the 1990s extension took it to 10,200 feet. It went to 11,000 feet in 2004.

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by crescent
Sun Oct 28, 2018 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA Dehub SJC?
Replies: 43
Views: 7397

Re: Why did AA Dehub SJC?

Reno Air actually took over many of the routes at the behest of an AA codeshare in the early 1990s. It was really a combo of oil, recession, and WN entering CA hard that did them in. AA also gave up on two small hubs at RDU and BNA in that timeframe. AA blamed San Jose in the media not extending the...

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by crescent
Sat Oct 27, 2018 7:36 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Will Copa ever dive to the longhaul market?
Replies: 21
Views: 3254

Re: Will copa ever dive to the longhaul market?

The only theoretical reason would be to parallel the ME3 strategy being the connecting point btwn US/Europe and Asia/India, so what would that be for Copa? Connect places like LIM & SCL to Europe? I don't think there is enough demand and obviously not near the O&D traffic in PTY vs DXB.

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by crescent
Sat Oct 27, 2018 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could LTN & STN merge to create one airport?
Replies: 37
Views: 4914

Re: Could LTN & STN merge to create one airport?

Listen, there was this event known as Brexit that will reduce demand for flights once implemented. Easyjet was one of the stocks down the most when the vote went down. Revamping air infrastructure in the face of this is not a priority.

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by crescent
Thu Oct 25, 2018 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Any chances of FLL or MIA to KEF?
Replies: 28
Views: 2266

Re: Any chances of FLL or MIA to KEF?

Remember, DY flies to a lot of European places nonstop from FLL - hard to appeal to the price crowd with a 1-stop service at a similar price.

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by crescent
Mon Oct 22, 2018 8:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian Flight 37 emergency laning OAK
Replies: 9
Views: 3114

Re: Hawaiian Flight 37 emergency laning OAK

https://twitter.com/kaismagazine/status ... 8314046465
"It's not clear what led to this emergency landing. But airport officials tell us the flight couldn't make its oceanic crossing."

It's a brand new A321 so wouldn't surprise me if there was an issue there.
-->

https://twitter.com/kaismagazine/status ... 8314046465
"It's not clear what led to this emergency landing. But airport officials tell us the flight couldn't make its oceanic crossing."

It's a brand new A321 so wouldn't surprise me if there was an issue there.

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by crescent
Mon Oct 22, 2018 1:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/21/2018: AS;DL Ends JFK-SNA;UA
Replies: 72
Views: 12393

Re: OAG Changes 10/21/2018: AS;DL Ends JFK-SNA;UA

There is a limit to AS' stupidity- they are one of the last airlines to come out of negative YOY PRASM because they didn't know where to put 8% seat growth every year- challenging supposed WN monopolies in secondary California city pairs hasn't worked so far.

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by crescent
Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FAA Announces $40.9M for New Tower at GSO
Replies: 4
Views: 1010

Re: FAA Announces $40.9M for New Tower at GSO

Anyone have the list of where COLite flew from GSO in the 1990s?

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by crescent
Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

GSP will have service to 19 airports once AA starts MIA and F9 starts TPA in the winter. Maybe not the easiest compare for BFL.

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by crescent
Wed Oct 17, 2018 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/14/2018: HUGE UA Change, Numerous Routes Added and Dropped
Replies: 127
Views: 19630

Re: OAG Changes 10/14/2018: HUGE UA Change, Numerous Routes Added and Dropped

So UA doesn't care about short-haul O&D to LAX; it's all about LH and connecting western small cities to those LH flights.

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by crescent
Fri Oct 12, 2018 9:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Thread - 2018
Replies: 618
Views: 68682

Re: San Diego Thread - 2018

DL certainly has been upgauging many other cities to SEA from RJ to mainline. They told analysts that SEA would eliminate RJs over time and be 190-195 departures, all jet (presumably inclusing A220s).

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by crescent
Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

AirFiero wrote:
So the A220 has transcon range?


BT (Air Baltic) uses it 3x a week on RIX-ALA (Riga to Almaty). Almost exactly the same distance as PDX-JFK. I wouldn't bank on it making it westbound in the winter though.

BT is about to start RIX-AUH at 2729 miles later in October.

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by crescent
Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

My lord, I didn't realize the B6 JFK-PDX leaves at 8:51pm now to arrive at midnight in PDX. It's amazing they get even a fare of $204. It arrives so late that it doesn't operate as the red-eye going back. The aircraft goes to LGB in the morning, and an LGB-PDX arrives at 851p to become the redeye.

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by crescent
Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group
Replies: 69
Views: 10419

Re: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group

It's the way to turn the Big 4 into the Big 5 with another national airline and eliminate a competitor. People think well why can't AS & B6 exist as a nonambitious strong regional but look at what DL has done to AS in SEA- now DL has a hub with foreign routes & connections that AS doesn't. D...

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by crescent
Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group
Replies: 69
Views: 10419

Re: Management shake up at Alaska Air Group

This has everything to do with the deterioraton of profits and nothing to do with spicing themselves up for sale to B6 (AS is larger than B6, BTW). For 2018, no US airline will have as large a decline in operating margin percent than AS (down 8% from 17% to 9%). Some is just timing (new pilot deal i...

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by crescent
Mon Oct 08, 2018 4:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

Back on the issue of AS in PHX, we're talking about an expansion of PHX to cities that are not primary for AS like in California. AS does fly to other AA hubs like PHL DFW LAX ORD but largely only to the two home hubs of SEA & PDX. AA also probably doesn't care about TUS. I don't think if AS sta...

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by crescent
Mon Oct 08, 2018 1:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What happened to LN-WFU 7th October?
Replies: 1
Views: 703

Re: What happened to LN-WFU 7th October?

It dropped to 10,000 feet fairly quickly after the turnaround, so I will go with a pressurization problem.

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by crescent
Mon Oct 08, 2018 1:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

Given the AA partnership, I doubt AS is heading into PHX.

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by crescent
Mon Oct 08, 2018 1:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Alaska de-hub SFO and LAX?
Replies: 82
Views: 10295

Re: Will Alaska de-hub SFO and LAX?

Would an AS-HA merger pass antitrust? It would have 100% share in a number of city pairs that don't end in HNL SFO or LAX

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by crescent
Sun Oct 07, 2018 3:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

I would build up SLC before all of these SEA-random smallish cities in the eastern time zone. They seem to be giving up on SFO as a placement option for all their capacity; they won't get much more city pairs out of SAN or LAX. SLC is pretty profitable for DL

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by crescent
Thu Oct 04, 2018 4:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair also in trouble?
Replies: 40
Views: 12412

Re: Icelandair also in trouble?

Overbuying of aircraft in the first place. They knew WW was dropping big time capacity the whole time. They should have been more conservative with their fleet plans, 757 or not.

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by crescent
Thu Oct 04, 2018 2:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair also in trouble?
Replies: 40
Views: 12412

Re: Icelandair also in trouble?

I thought it was nuts FI was sending 2 aircraft daily to so many US cities, all within 30-45 min of each other- SEA MSP BOS ORD EWR/JFK

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by crescent
Mon Oct 01, 2018 7:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Primera Air bankruptcy
Replies: 185
Views: 38329

Re: Primera Air bankruptcy

https://flightaware.com/live/fleet/PRI


There also PF441 from BLL-CHQ. Not sure why but it landed in VIE earlier.

https://www.flightradar24.com/PRI441
-->

DELTA777 wrote:
Three aircraft currently in the air. https://flightaware.com/live/fleet/PRI


There also PF441 from BLL-CHQ. Not sure why but it landed in VIE earlier.

https://www.flightradar24.com/PRI441

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by crescent
Wed Aug 29, 2018 1:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why does Delta fly CLE-BDL?
Replies: 37
Views: 4382

Re: Why does Delta fly CLE-BDL?

PDX-NRT

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by crescent
Sun Aug 26, 2018 1:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

SMF-EWR (not done by UA)

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by crescent
Fri Aug 24, 2018 9:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

To be fair, AS walked into WN hourly service with SAN-SJC and SAN-SMF and SJC-SNA, so yeah they could do OAK-SAN too. OAK for whatever reason is just not a favorable yield city- B6 evacuated what was once a big-time schedule there long ago; Level has quickly moved its BCN flight to SFO from OAK; DL ...

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by crescent
Fri Aug 24, 2018 2:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Washington State Air Service Discussion 2018
Replies: 520
Views: 49313

Re: Washington State Air Service Discussion 2018

What is the latest on when PAE service will begin?

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by crescent
Fri Aug 24, 2018 12:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon
Replies: 631
Views: 66759

Re: Alaska Airlines to announce new markets soon

There is no good answer to this- in effect, AS bought its natural growth by issuing equity for VX. I always wondered how in the world they would find markets for year after year of 8% seat growth. On the margin, they can pick away at select markets being #2 to WN in SMF SJC SAN, but any big project ...

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by crescent
Wed Aug 22, 2018 8:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TPA Announcing New INTL Route - 8/22/2018
Replies: 144
Views: 15458

Re: TPA Announcing New INTL Route - 8/22/2018

Why does DL think TPA-AMS is more profitable than EWR-AMS... both will be / were 767.

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by crescent
Thu Aug 02, 2018 9:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?
Replies: 107
Views: 14324

Re: Q400: the underrated aircraft type?

This is the only aircraft type I flat out will not fly. Too many landing gear incidents- around one every 12-18 months. There used to be a wiki page memorializing all the events. Two this year: A) Croatia Air landing gear wouldn't lock, but fixed after a couple of circles http://www.aviation24.be/ai...

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by crescent
Fri Jul 27, 2018 5:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: [speculation] EVA air at SJC?
Replies: 41
Views: 3354

Re: [speculation] EVA air at SJC?

SJC-PVG needed to work on O/D only. CA doesnt have much of a connecting network at PVG- most of their destinations there are long-haul. Looking up random domestic transfers from PVG on CA few if any had timely connections from the SJC-PVG arrival at 15:10. I agree CI made a big mistake arriving the ...

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by crescent
Mon Jul 23, 2018 8:02 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Routes you thought were flown by an airline, but are not
Replies: 26
Views: 2230

Re: Routes you thought were flown by an airline, but are not

I just remember BOS-DCA was a vital part of the DL Shuttle operation back in the 90's- I would be in the pre-renovated BOS Terminal A all the time going to LGA and the DCA flight would be the gate next door. However, I get that B6 wasn't in the picture then and is now.

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by crescent
Mon Jul 23, 2018 4:02 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Routes you thought were flown by an airline, but are not
Replies: 26
Views: 2230

Re: Routes you thought were flown by an airline, but are not

UA LAX to all kinds of places (PDX SJC CDG PEK PHL OAK)
AA MIA-PVD (until this winter)
BR TPE-SJC
DL BOS-DCA (when did this drop?)
DL or B6 BOS-YUL

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