Search found 3018 matches

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by trpmb6
Wed Apr 15, 2020 3:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: How the Economy Recovers and We Get Back to Work
Replies: 173
Views: 10094

Re: How the Economy Recovers and We Get Back to Work

We seem to be living in this twilight zone where we are told how contagious this is, and how many people are asymptomatic, but at the same time the death rate is so high that we have to remain shut down. Well the death rate is only based upon the number of known positive cases. The two don't line up...

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by trpmb6
Tue Apr 14, 2020 7:48 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: How the Economy Recovers and We Get Back to Work
Replies: 173
Views: 10094

Re: How the Economy Recovers and We Get Back to Work

Here in Kansas they have started furloughing health care workers. The hospitals are empty and no one is getting elective surgeries or getting the flu or Covid19. Nobody is playing sports so no broken bones, no torn ACLs. Schools are closed to less illness spreading amongst the little ones. Its reall...

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by trpmb6
Tue Apr 14, 2020 7:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Another Casualty of Covid-19: US Postal Service
Replies: 78
Views: 3226

Re: Another Casualty of Covid-19: US Postal Service

Republicans have wanted to privatize USPS for decades. They placed several demands on it like pre-funding financial obligations decades out (no other agency has this requirement). The underlined portion of absolutely false. The Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act of 2006 was signed by Preside...

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by trpmb6
Tue Apr 14, 2020 6:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Another Casualty of Covid-19: US Postal Service
Replies: 78
Views: 3226

Re: Another Casualty of Covid-19: US Postal Service

The USPS is a company that doesn't have to pay state and local taxes, No sales tax. No property taxes. No federal income taxes. Not bound by zoning laws. There are two issues that face the USPS. The movement towards electronic bill pay and the costs associated with providing rural mail service. Both...

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by trpmb6
Tue Apr 14, 2020 6:08 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Random Good music from Youtube
Replies: 49
Views: 2505

Re: Random Good music from Youtube

One of the best inductors today: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhhkGyJ092E Now I have the urge to go march. Thanks for sharing I enjoyed that. I think I'll reach way back. Well before I was born but a live performance like none other - at a concert like none other. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

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by trpmb6
Tue Apr 14, 2020 5:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Another Casualty of Covid-19: US Postal Service
Replies: 78
Views: 3226

Re: Another Casualty of Covid-19: US Postal Service

Republicans have wanted to privatize USPS for decades. They placed several demands on it like pre-funding financial obligations decades out (no other agency has this requirement). The underlined portion of absolutely false. The Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act of 2006 was signed by Preside...

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by trpmb6
Sun Apr 12, 2020 7:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 66546

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

So what happens in the wake of this virus for the antivaxxer movement? Anecdotally, I haven't seen much from them on my social media pages of late.

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by trpmb6
Sun Apr 12, 2020 6:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: CNBC today
Replies: 10
Views: 936

Re: CNBC today

I get fairly frustrated when they bring a short seller on and the guy touts a stock that may be struggling but otherwise has good financials. Then as he talks about shorting it the stock tanks. No doubt he profits. The same could be said for those who come on and talk specifics of stocks they are lo...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 24, 2020 5:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Corona virus Bailout Bill (US)
Replies: 145
Views: 8120

Re: Corona virus Bailout Bill (US)

Just reported on TV that there is considerations for possibly bringing in some of the quarantined individuals in hazmat suits to get the bill passed. The optics of such a thing would surely be shown in tv ads the rest of the year.

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 16, 2020 6:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Should Telecommuting Be Standard Now?
Replies: 56
Views: 1609

Re: Should Telecommuting Be Standard Now?

There is intrinsic value in having a common work place when you are training new employees. Whenever I work from home I typically have a noticeable increase in productivity. Mainly because I'm able to focus more on my work and less on helping younger engineers. Conversely, those engineers are likely...

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by trpmb6
Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:40 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US FED announced QE5, slash rates to 0%
Replies: 15
Views: 1013

Re: US FED announced QE5, slash rates to 0%

Honestly, this is getting old. The market is going to continue to slide until the virus is taken care of. You hear pundits say, the FED must take action! And then as soon as they do everyone is shocked and says, oh my goodness, this must mean the economy is worse than we thought! The fed cut rates t...

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by trpmb6
Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Even in France we're only testing if it's basically certain you have it. So either if you have pneumonia, or if you have been in close contact with someone who tested positive. More and more National Assembly members are testing positive for that reason, latest one is Christian Jacob, the leader of...

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by trpmb6
Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: NEED - Northern European Enclosure Dam
Replies: 31
Views: 1175

Re: NEED - Northern European Enclosure Dam

Neat thought experiment. I love these types of discussions. One must completely remove themselves from the political side of it and consider only that it has the ability to be done, thus what is required and the ramifications of such. I see the biggest issue being the obvious shipping obstacles that...

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by trpmb6
Thu Mar 12, 2020 12:47 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Dow Future down over 1000 points as of this writing after Trump made his speech (key being suspension of travel to Europe except UK). It is going to be a fun day tomorrow at the stock market. Yeah. Despite the carrots he left, SBA opening up 50 billion for loans and eliminating penalties and reduce...

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by trpmb6
Thu Mar 12, 2020 3:05 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Isn't the Death rate equal to the outcome. Of those that get the virus, they either recover or die, right.. So currently combined closed cases is 72,919, of which 4,633 deaths is 6.35%. So basically 6% of those that contract it will die, unless the recovery rate starts to increase. Only if you know...

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by trpmb6
Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:55 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Dow Future down over 1000 points as of this writing after Trump made his speech (key being suspension of travel to Europe except UK). It is going to be a fun day tomorrow at the stock market. Yeah. Despite the carrots he left, SBA opening up 50 billion for loans and eliminating penalties and reduce...

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by trpmb6
Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Calling it now, market will crash tomorrow and this will be the first time we see all 3 circuit breakers hit and market closes.

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by trpmb6
Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:08 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

cjg225 wrote:
casinterest wrote:
The economic shockwave is going to be worse than the actual disease by the time this is all done.

Very much so. This is the first time I'm thinking this will have long-term impacts on society.


Absolutely.

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by trpmb6
Wed Mar 11, 2020 4:52 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

dead cat bounce happened as I predicted yesterday. I think we're in the region of good buying opportunities. Especially Boeing given the likelihood of Max flights starting sometime this month (most likely - based on FAA administrator quote from last week). Nah, might be a good time to sell. This is...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 10, 2020 5:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

dead cat bounce happened as I predicted yesterday. I think we're in the region of good buying opportunities. Especially Boeing given the likelihood of Max flights starting sometime this month (most likely - based on FAA administrator quote from last week). Nah, might be a good time to sell. This is...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 10, 2020 4:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

dead cat bounce happened as I predicted yesterday. I think we're in the region of good buying opportunities. Especially Boeing given the likelihood of Max flights starting sometime this month (most likely - based on FAA administrator quote from last week).

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 10, 2020 3:24 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Claim the rallies, own the falls. He is, at the very least, indirectly responsible. As soon as Covid-19 began spreading from China, that was the moment to have a team ready to assess how to prevent the spread into the US. It was the moment to let experts do their thing. It was the moment to reassur...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 10, 2020 12:12 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Just like how the 2001 post 9/11 sell off wasnt Bush's fault or the 2008 housing bubble crash wasn't Obama's, so too is this unrelated to anything Trump has done. Obama got sworn into office Jany 9th 2009, so you are correct, the housing crash in 2008 had nothing to do with Obama, that was was squa...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 09, 2020 6:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Love it how the Trump haters need to rub in the tanking of the markets. I hope they stick around once this rebounds, in any case if anything can be deduced by this, this was to be expected this was written by the end of January: Market reactions to past virus scares show stocks may have more to los...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 09, 2020 4:06 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 2020 Democratic Primary Thread
Replies: 688
Views: 21536

Re: 2020 Democratic Primary Thread

If Bernie loses big in MI, him staying will be helping Trump. The same way Warren helped Biden by staying on the race after SC. For now, the Dems should nominate Biden, he seems to have very comfortable leads against Trump on eventual matchups, Biden contrary to Sanders we know what to expect with ...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 09, 2020 3:48 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

So this is my personal opinion. I believe we've hit the bottom. We had a market which had priced in Covid19. Then we had a perfect storm of Saudi vs Russia oil pricing hit on top of treasury yields dipping below all time lows. Then you look at a company like Boeing which was already down due to the ...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 09, 2020 1:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Quite the rollercoaster expected for today. DJIA futures down 1200 and only because a trigger was activated, preventing futures from showing a steeper decline. Upon the opening bell, analyst expect the index to blow past -1200, to as much as -1600 (maybe more). Something no one has been talking abo...

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by trpmb6
Wed Mar 04, 2020 8:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Favorite Sci-fi/fantasy vessel
Replies: 34
Views: 1478

Re: Favorite Sci-fi/fantasy vessel

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serenity_ ... spacecraft)
-->

Serenity from Firefly. It's great for smuggling because of all its nooks and crannies.

(Post was deleted because I probably linked to an image I wasn't supposed to, sorry!)

Here is the Wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serenity_ ... spacecraft)

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by trpmb6
Wed Mar 04, 2020 8:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Consequences of Trump's re-election
Replies: 148
Views: 8577

Re: Consequences of Trump's re-election

The question is posed incorrectly. The correct topic title should be "Consequences of Trump not being re-elected"

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by trpmb6
Wed Mar 04, 2020 1:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

So "stay home if you feel sick" is not going to keep people from showing up at the workplace ill, this will definitely not work as a containment method. Particularly when you could have it and not even know it. This is global, far more people actually have it than is being reported and th...

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by trpmb6
Wed Mar 04, 2020 4:52 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

I would say the other worry is that if and when a REAL downturn (not the current "blip" due to nCoV...the downward trend right now I would say is more comparable to the immediate aftermath of 9/11, with the economy more or less recovered after 3 months) occur, the fed simply can't go back...

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by trpmb6
Wed Mar 04, 2020 3:22 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Well they just announced that Coronavirus made it to NC . This person apparently went to a State of Washington Nursing home for a visit. https://www.wral.com/wake-county-resident-tests-positive-for-coronavirus-nc-s-1st-case/18990198/ // and they did not walk or drive back As I've continued to say, ...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 03, 2020 10:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

I worry the fed over cut. In the short term, the stock market is going to waver, but in the long run, housing is going to go nuts with the refinance and lower rates. This is going to set up a crazy real estate investment bubble over times. I would say the other worry is that if and when a REAL down...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 03, 2020 7:11 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

Explained that way I tend to agree.

I think investors just needed a reason to take profits. Now we're going to see the market slowly climb back up as people come to realize this is not a long term issue and see the current prices as a buy opportunity.

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 03, 2020 5:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

A rate cut out of the blue was a stupid thing to do. The Fed needed to communicate that is was considering this or something similar. All it has done now is spook the market into thinking things a worse than they thought (to need a 1/2 point cut). Tugg :banghead: Damned if they do, damned if they d...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 03, 2020 1:57 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 2020 Democratic Primary Thread
Replies: 688
Views: 21536

Re: 2020 Democratic Primary Thread

So, in other words we are back to Biden vs. Trump, correct? The Democrats will block Bernie's nomination, as predicted, and the superdelegates will back the establishment choice. Rinse and repeat, Dems. And they couldn't have picked a weaker candidate either, a guy who is a walking powderkeg of emb...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 03, 2020 1:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Again, not trying to downplay this thing... but is anyone confused why this thing is climbing a linear line of infections? I would imagine with R0 close to 2 that this thing would be going parabolic, but instead even in highly infected countries like South Korea its climbing in a pretty standard li...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 03, 2020 3:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Japan surprises me. Since the IOC threatened them last week they've really gotten their act together and although cases have gone up its been like 25-30 a day tops. Abe has done a good job since the Olympic cancellation threat came down With all do respect, I don't think it really matters. This thi...

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by trpmb6
Tue Mar 03, 2020 2:56 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Discard my last post, Dieuwer did say personal reasons. Even though for personal reasons, my company has stated that they will not "endorse" travel to countries labeled by the State Department as "Do not Travel" or "Reconsider Travel". Japan surprises me. Since the IOC...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 11:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Dow tops 28000
Replies: 211
Views: 7001

Re: Dow tops 28000

I dont know but I think this is a rally due to short squeeze that doesn't even make sense. This rally today happened because of a general consensus that all the central banks and vested parties are going to do something. Its speculation is all. Media heads say they think the Fed has to do something...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 4:33 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Sadly, a terrible mix of politics in certain countries, social media, ignorance, fear, economic affects, ethnic and political hate, a far too sensationalizing media, are all creating a very bad situation where no one trusts anyone with this potential pandemic and may make it worse. No one trusts Ch...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 4:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

With many factories in China closed, fashion companies are having to shift their supply chain to other countries, and this will cause a production strain for the Fall/Winter 2020-2021 fashion season, creating potential shortages of Fall/Winter clothes. While Spring/Summer 2020 shouldn't see much im...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 2:57 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

All R0 estimates are higher than the R0 for the flu. The case fatality rate estimates are all higher than the flu- also keep in mind that the SARS case fatality rate was actually adjusted higher when it was all over with. Because of contract tracing early cases a lot of the asymptomatic infected (n...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 1:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

People are in denial and dislike this virus for disrupting their lives more than they are afraid of it so they're using hyperbole. That's what that is. It's worse than the flu by a lot, but it's not the black death. What they don't like is all of the social and economic impact it's causing. But, th...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 1:19 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: 2020 Democratic Primary Thread
Replies: 688
Views: 21536

Re: 2020 Democratic Primary Thread

I think voters in polls basically figured out that Buttigieg was the same as Bloomberg apart from the fact the Bloomberg ran an actual city. And Bloomberg, for his part, isn't polling well himself. I think it's basically going to come down to Biden and Sanders, with warren and Klobuchar getting pea...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 12:55 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Jouhou, what makes you think it is worse than the seasonal flu? Is it the mortality rate vs recovery rate? What if many more people are getting it than we know of who show n9 more symptoms than the seasonal flu? I think it may have been more global than previously thought due to its incubation peri...

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by trpmb6
Mon Mar 02, 2020 12:51 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

With many factories in China closed, fashion companies are having to shift their supply chain to other countries, and this will cause a production strain for the Fall/Winter 2020-2021 fashion season, creating potential shortages of Fall/Winter clothes. While Spring/Summer 2020 shouldn't see much im...

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by trpmb6
Sun Mar 01, 2020 10:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 163004

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I'm really sorry for the noob question, I actually am keeping up with this thread and have read probably 95%+ of the posts, but please help me understand. I'm talking with an ex-pat friend of mine in Thailand (young, healthy American) and he's saying that the coronavirus virus is mostly hype. The c...

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by trpmb6
Fri Feb 28, 2020 1:52 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Early nominee for the year's Darwin Award
Replies: 30
Views: 1607

Re: Early nominee for the year's Darwin Award

Gravity is fake and really just buoyancy or Gravity is fake and the disk is just constantly accelerating upwards ....... would every flat earther ever say either one of those..... So what speed has our disk now reached? well, in year one, flat earthers tend to be young earth creationists surprising...

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by trpmb6
Thu Feb 27, 2020 12:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Early nominee for the year's Darwin Award
Replies: 30
Views: 1607

Re: Early nominee for the year's Darwin Award

I am pretty sure that most "flat earthers" are just trolls. They sadly convince a few gullible people and well the result is this.

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