Search found 894 matches

by PacoMartin
Tue Nov 05, 2019 6:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12732

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

What do you consider the 3rd Chicago HUB? I think that the responder means that there are 3 airlines that have hubs in 2 chicago airports, or to use Southwest's terminology, MDW is Southwest's busiest operating base. ORD and MDW are the closes LARGE airports to the population center The four closes...

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by PacoMartin
Tue Nov 05, 2019 2:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12732

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

Skywest is a regional carrier for American Airlines (as American Eagle), Delta Air Lines (as Delta Connection), Alaska Airlines (as Alaska SkyWest) and United Airlines (as United Express). They have 141 E175 with 17 on order and an additional 100 E175-2 on order. I wonder if an E175 airline could wo...

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by PacoMartin
Tue Nov 05, 2019 12:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

Slot restrictions would seem to be a far better management option for an airport facing airfield constraints than arbitrarily banning aircraft of a certain size. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) uses runway slots to limit scheduled air traffic at certain capacity constrained airports. In t...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 8:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

RJs have a purpose. They are declining, but not going away. For example, my sister lives in a city that has lost RJ access to LAX. Bummer. Only RJ to SLC, DEN, and DFW. The slot at LAX was worth more for a larger aircraft to somewhere else. Why aren't we looking for growth? Grow or you rot. Another...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 7:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

Should be obvious planes ain’t cars. HOV lanes are complete waste of space, better to use the land to create more travel lanes for everyone. The HOV around here are mostly empty while backups abound in the travel lanes. OK, you suggest something. I'll give you the parameters. SAN airport is at 225,...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 5:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future aircraft for LCY
Replies: 75
Views: 12973

Re: Future aircraft for LCY

I think you're overestimating the price differences. Certainly you are for DCA vs IAD/BWI -- flights out of DCA are often very inexpensive, and several carriers run large portfolios of leisure flights from DCA. Also, if you're comparing base fares for LCY, they can be misleading. The base fare on l...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

I am surprised there is so much resistance here. When highways are too crowded the first thing that cities do is create HOV lanes and reduced tolls to encourage people to rideshare. It seems so obvious.

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

Well, if they want WN to move to Ivanpah all they have to do is to ensure that Ivanpah has lower operating cost than McCarran and see how fast a split operation starts with the ultimate goal of moving over. As with most things, follow the money, if the new airport has higher or similar cost, force ...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 9:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

I don't mean to sound like a jerk as questions online do not always convey tone. Do you believe I am wrong or do you know I am wrong? The quote you have provided leads me to believe the runways are not the bottleneck. If the current maximum capacity is 55 million passengers and airport administrati...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 6:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

Correct me if I am wrong but I do not believe the airport is runway constrained. Rather, the terminals do not have enough gates and space to accommodate the demand. I think you are wrong. The runways cross each other which makes them of limited usage. While McCarran does have more passengers per ga...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

However, I would guess the majority of connections in SAN on WN take place within the East rotunda since that's where the majority of their gates (8 of them) are located so those people would at least not have to break security to make their connections and might be ok with doing so again on a futu...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

I did try it for a different month (DEC 2018) and OAK was considerably lower since Southwest flights had not yet begun Percentage of domestic passengers from Hawaiian airlines (all airports in HI) to US airports. Transfers are included. 25.7% LAX 13.4% SFO 9.5% SEA 6.4% LAS 4.0% PDX 4.0% PHX 3.2% SA...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 2:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

I repeat what you have quoted me saying at the top of this post: I want to see the 2018 totals (for the whole year) to get a feel for where SAN is in the complete rankings; that will even out seasonal variations in HI service. I have trouble downloading too much data and manipulating it from the DO...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Nov 04, 2019 2:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 214
Views: 35418

Re: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019

In HA 3rd quarter report it looks like they are keeping their A330 fleet intact at 24 jets unit at least the arrival of the Dreamliners • Extended the leases on three A330 aircraft, enabling cost savings while maintaining fleet flexibility for future growth. • Took delivery of two Airbus A321neo air...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 11:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 214
Views: 35418

Re: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019

Domestic Passengers to state of Hawaii (April 2019) 58.4% CA 11.2% WA 5.1% OR 4.8% TX 4.0% CO 3.5% AZ 3.3% NV 2.3% IL 1.4% TT (Trust Territory of Pacific) 1.1% NY 4.85% other If HA were to invest in a fleet of A321XLR jets these are some possibilities (distance from HNL) 3,720 mi SAT 3,763 mi AUS 3,...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 10:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 214
Views: 35418

Re: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019

[it doesn't seem to make much sense to me for HA to have a sub-fleet of just two LR's. Possibly not. HA has 24 A330s (half of them on lease). All Trans Pacific use the A330 (even Papeete and Papau New Guines), and certainly HNL to BOS and JFK must use a twin aisle jet. For Western USA. Daily A330s ...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

Is McCarran capacity limited? I don’t think so as I’ve never been restricted in a bizjet. It’s NOT the size or number of planes, it’s runway capacity and with LAS weather and runway layout, that’s rare Legislation was signed on October 28, 2000, allowing Clark County to purchase land for a new comm...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 7:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 214
Views: 35418

Re: Hawaii Airports and Aviation Thread - 2019

I just read in PBN that AUS Airport Management has an incentive on offer for a nonstop to HNL. Perhaps HA will look into starting AUS. It’s a growing city with a vibrant economy and is the largest TX market that could realistically support a nonstop that isn’t already served. 77H HNL - AUS is 3,763...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 7:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

Interesting. The reports that I saw in the past were from the State of Hawaii Tourist Bureau and I think I recall the annual numbers; if I remember correctly they were local traffic that didn't include connecting pax. What we see here are stats for a single month which is going to be biased toward ...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 6:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

Another consideration is that frequency adds value to a route. Your single B712 flight per day could easily be dropped in favor of 2X/CRJ and, thus, add value to the traveler regarding layover time for a connecting flight. At the end of the day, it’s the carriers role to fill supply to meet demands...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 2:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

If an airport is so capacity constrained than the FAA can impose slot program regime. The FAA generally follows IATA WSG guidelines and best practices for slot administration. In broad terms restrictions based on sizing is not allowed and considered anti competitive. But slot programs end up reduci...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Nov 03, 2019 2:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Re: Constrained Runways

Otherwise, the 737-700 (15.81%), 737-800 (31.8%), E175 (37.54%) and A320 (47.79%) would already provide way over 100% of all commercial seats?? Why the OP would choose a cumulative notation isn't entirely clear to me in this context, though. There were 125 Aircraft Types in the DOT database, so I l...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 5:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

The last time I saw stats on the ranking of mainland markets' air pax counts to the State of Hawaii, SAN held the 4th highest position, preceded only by LAX, SFO and SEA (I believe in that order) and followed by PDX and JFK. This was a few years ago so things certainly might've changed but other th...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 4:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future aircraft for LCY
Replies: 75
Views: 12973

Re: Future aircraft for LCY

Have to wonder if some posters look up the basics of City before writing. Exclusivity and convenience come at a cost. It's a fundamental rule of economics. LCY is a tiny airport with small planes conveniently located near central city. The other airports are much larger, harder to get to, and carry...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 4:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12732

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

Not sure that’s relevant considering only 3-5 are used at any given time. 77H The number of regional jets may be more strongly related to how many people live nearby. US citizens living within 500 and 750 statute miles Chicago O'Hare International Airport (ORD): 500 miles (82.2 million US citizens)...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 10:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2019
Replies: 284
Views: 30468

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2019

I got Auckland to London at 18,327 but agree about a non stop flight not likely to happen unfortunately. The A350 XWB is also offered as the ACJ350 corporate jet by Airbus Corporate Jets, offering a (20,000 km) range for 25 passengers for the -900 derivative and 270 square metres of cabin space. Bu...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 10:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Constrained Runways
Replies: 45
Views: 8251

Constrained Runways

Ranking Aircraft types by the number of domestic operations in the USA we get 8 types are responsible for 2/3 of the seats in commercial operations. Four of these types are regional jets and four are single aisle jets (no surprises as they are B737, B738, A320, and A321). Roughly 44% of the nation l...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 5:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Does Southwest buying Sun Country seem good?
Replies: 46
Views: 6601

Re: Does Southwest buying Sun Country seem good?

%Operational Revenue of USA aviation industry in first half of 2019 19.0% Delta Air Lines Inc. 18.5% American Airlines Inc. 17.3% United Air Lines Inc. 09.1% Southwest Airlines Co. 03.4% Alaska Airlines Inc. 03.3% JetBlue Airways 01.5% Spirit Air Lines 01.1% Hawaiian Airlines Inc. 01.0% Frontier Air...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 2:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12732

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

Maybe ORD has large numbers of regional jets because they can. With 7 runways and an 8th under construction they have one more than the next leading contender (DFW with 7 runways). Then DEN, BOS, and DTW have 6 runways.

Southwest Florida International Airport (RSW) has a single 12,000' runway.

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by PacoMartin
Sat Nov 02, 2019 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12732

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

If, as seems to be the case, ORD has significantly fewer pax per flight on average than other major airports, it suggests there is probably a substantial excess of runway capacity Vacation destinations and primarily O&D airports have the largest number of seats per takeoff. Five of the top six ...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 11:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12732

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

http://www.gcmap.com/map?P=37.517534N,92.173096W-ATL/LAX/ORD/DFW/DEN/JFK/SFO/SEA/LAS%0d%0a37.517534N,92.173096W-MCO/EWR/CLT/PHX/IAH/MIA/BOS/MSP%0d%0a37.517534N,92.173096W-FLL/DTW/PHL/LGA/BWI/SLC/SAN/IAD%0d%0a37.517534N,92.173096W-DCA/MDW/TPA/PDX%0d%0a&MS=wls&MR=300&MX=720x360&PM=* O...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 11:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?
Replies: 70
Views: 12732

Re: Why is AA at ORD so RJ heavy?

FSDan did a great thread on this overall topic: AA at ORD: 40% mainline UA at ORD: 43.6% mainline I checked the BTS stats for April 2019 for departures from the airport ORD as a whole (103 seats on average) 43.4% mainline 53.6% regional 1.8% cargo 1.2% small jets (under 20 seats) April 2019 for dep...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 8:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future aircraft for LCY
Replies: 75
Views: 12973

Re: Future aircraft for LCY

If the price is right and LCY has a flight to Malaga, why would you pay more to use LHR or LGW? But that is a big qualifier that "the price is right". There is only one city in the USA with three major airports. Washington DC has Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (downtown), Washi...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Opinion: Airbus and how to move away from the A320 family
Replies: 100
Views: 18313

Re: Opinion: Airbus and how to move away from the A320 family

... If you say so, but I'm just saying: When business managers look at projects, one option is always "do nothing," and the costs on that line are pretty close to zero unless they can claim lost market share as a future cost. Airbus can pretty much do nothing and print money with the A320...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 11:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement
Replies: 1049
Views: 154487

Re: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement

Behind the scenes, Boeing has been recently briefing a small handful of U.S., European and leasing customers on an all-new aircraft — dubbed the Future Small Airplane (FSA) — whose first models would notionally be 180 to 210-seats. That’s larger than the 737 Max 8, which seats 162 passengers in a t...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future aircraft for LCY
Replies: 75
Views: 12973

Re: Future aircraft for LCY

They live in the LCY catchment area. According to the previous CEO, whom I interviewed a couple of years ago: "Our leisure customers are our business customers wearing jeans and taking their families with them." I would assume that LCY has no strictly leisure customers. You would only fly...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 9:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Opinion: Airbus and how to move away from the A320 family
Replies: 100
Views: 18313

Re: Opinion: Airbus and how to move away from the A320 family

Today the A321neo is the main product, with the A320neo the secondary product. Base on which data do you get such really strange conclusion? As of end of September 2019 using 2018 AVERAGE LIST PRICES A320neo 3082 unfilled orders x $110.60 million list price = $340,869 million A321neo 2570 unfilled ...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 1:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Operational Profit history for four major airlines
Replies: 8
Views: 2111

Re: Operational Profit history for four major airlines

Has the entire Aviation industry turned a profit by now? Up until the recent good decade or so run the industry as a whole had lost billions more than it ever made (one of the few established industries ever to do that and still be around) but with a decade or so of Billions being made has it past ...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Nov 01, 2019 1:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Operational Profit history for four major airlines
Replies: 8
Views: 2111

Re: Operational Profit history for four major airlines

Also what exacting are you comparing when you say “operational profits” with percentages, operating margin? I am showing operational profits / operational revenue (passenger tickets + mail + freight + ticket cancellation charges + baggage, etc.) Operational Profits are Operational Revenue minus Ope...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Oct 31, 2019 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Opinion: Airbus and how to move away from the A320 family
Replies: 100
Views: 18313

Re: Opinion: Airbus and how to move away from the A320 family

Airbus can pretty much do nothing and print money with the A320 series for years to come, and that's probably going to weigh heavily on their business analysis for scoping future projects. Airbus seems to have a simple mandate in it's single-aisle design. Build a bigger jet. The A320 was much bigge...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Oct 31, 2019 7:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2019
Replies: 284
Views: 30468

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2019

Air New Zealand to United Airlines hubs (10,000 km is one-quarter of distance around the world) AKL HNL 7,063 km AKL LAX 10,467 km AKL SFO 10,487 km AKL IAH 11,933 km AKL ORD 13,170 km AKL EWR 14,178 km upcoming AKL LHR 18,354 km probably never going to happen nonstop Minimal connections via USA air...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Oct 31, 2019 3:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Operational Profit history for four major airlines
Replies: 8
Views: 2111

Operational Profit history for four major airlines

Who are you betting on in the long term? Year ..AA ..DL ..WN ..UA 2019 +06.5% +13.4% +13.3% +09.4% 2018 +06.1% +12.4% +14.6% +08.0% 2017 +09.6% +14.8% +16.6% +09.3% 2016 +13.1% +17.5% +18.4% +11.9% 2015 +15.0% +19.2% +20.8% +13.6% 2014 +08.6% +07.2% +12.0% +06.1% 2013 +05.8% +10.1% +07.2% +03.3% 201...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Oct 31, 2019 3:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

Three Hawaiian Airline A330 leases are due to expire in 2020, and another in 2022. HA is due to receive two 787s in 2021, three in 2022, and one in 2023, with the remainder arriving later. I remember one business trip in particular where my turboprop from San Diego to LAX got caught in a storm until...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Oct 31, 2019 2:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future aircraft for LCY
Replies: 75
Views: 12973

Re: Future aircraft for LCY

We now have virtually a 50-50 split between business and leisure traffic which tends to surprise people who see London City as more of a business airport. It’s increasingly about business and leisure in combination and I think the next-generation jets will help us with the aim of adding more premiu...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Oct 31, 2019 2:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

And Paco' , I just went to book HNL-SAN on Jan 10 and the seat chart does show a 321. bb I don't know why I got an error. I tried talking to the person on the chat, but she was no help. Delta flies from HNL to four airports in Japan NRT 3819 miles NGO 4025 miles KIX 4117 miles FUK 4397 miles Hawaii...

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by PacoMartin
Wed Oct 30, 2019 9:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

BTW I remember HA saying back in 2013 when they ordered the A321neos that they were going to replace the A330 to SAN with an A321neo to HNL and one to OGG. I haven't seen anything in writing recently. It is possible they changed their mind. I'm confused. This is exactly what they've done. What do y...

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by PacoMartin
Wed Oct 30, 2019 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 195796

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

Load factors don’t tell the whole story. If they’re selling lots of cheap fares to get the plane that full, then it might make sense to move to the A321neo which can cover its costs selling fewer seats at a higher fare. There is also opportunity cost to consider; freeing up the SAN A330 allows them...

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by PacoMartin
Wed Oct 30, 2019 4:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air New Zealand dropping LHR launch NYC
Replies: 261
Views: 59532

Re: Air New Zealand dropping LHR launch NYC

Why would Air New Zealand choose EWR instead of JFK, JFK carries more Passenger Traffic around more than 60 Million while EWR is 46 Million???? Air New Zealand is part of the Star alliance with United Airlines. In addition to HNL, they are only flying to United hubs on the mainland (LAX, SFO, IAH, ...

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by PacoMartin
Tue Oct 29, 2019 11:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air New Zealand dropping LHR launch NYC
Replies: 261
Views: 59532

Re: Air New Zealand dropping LHR launch NYC

Now when I see those AA numbers, remembering their trans-pacific operation isn't that large compared to other US carriers and they have a JV with JAL (and used to have one with QF which is now re-activated), it would appear that almost every flight is losing $20M/month on paper. For the month of Ap...

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by PacoMartin
Tue Oct 29, 2019 11:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air New Zealand dropping LHR launch NYC
Replies: 261
Views: 59532

Re: Air New Zealand dropping LHR launch NYC

double post, I can't delete

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